Dogecoin At ‘Cycle Reset’: Analyst Maps 5,500% Extension Toward $4

[Ben Graham]

Chart analyst Crypto Patel (@CryptoPatel) is arguing Dogecoin has returned to the same macro support band that preceded its last major cycle runs, framing the current $0.10–$0.06 area as a “re-accumulation” zone with upside targets extending as high as $4 if history repeats.

Dogecoin Hits Key Demand Zone Again

In a Feb. 3 post on X, Crypto Patel shared a 2-week DOGE/USDT chart and wrote that DOGE is “at the EXACT level that triggered 17,000% pump,” pointing to a multi-year base that has repeatedly acted as demand since 2021. The post leans heavily on the idea that DOGE’s larger moves have originated from the same structural region, with the current drawdown presented as a typical cycle reset rather than a breakdown.

“This Weekly / 2W Chart is Screaming Accumulation,” Patel wrote. “Macro Demand Zone Holding at $0.10–$0.06. Price Respects a Multi-Year Strong Support (Since 2021).”

The argument is straightforward: DOGE has retraced sharply from its peak and is now back in a band where prior expansions began. Patel characterized the setup as “-87% Down From ATH – Classic Cycle Reset,” and added that “Every Previous Touch of This Zone Led to a Parabolic Expansion,” citing two historical bursts: the 2021 move described as a “+17,000%” rally and a 2024 advance labeled “+600%.”

Patel’s roadmap defines three upside targets—$0.50, $1.50, and $4.00—described as a “Full Cycle Extension ~5,500%,” implying a multi-stage move rather than a single straight-line rally. The analysis also provides a clear line in the sand: “Invalidation: Weekly Close Below $0.06,” which would negate the thesis that the region is holding as higher-timeframe demand.

Beyond the technical framing, Patel attempted to bolster the long-term narrative with a catalyst claim tied to Elon Musk and SpaceX, writing: “LONG-TERM FUNDAMENTAL CATALYST (DON’T IGNORE THIS) Elon Musk has Confirmed that SpaceX (@SpaceX) Plans to Send a Literal #Dogecoin to the Moon.”

As Bitcoinist reported on Wednesday, Elon Musk revived the old “Dogecoin to the moon” narrative after replying on X to a fan and saying SpaceX could send a literal Dogecoin to the Moon “maybe next year”, which people interpret as around 2027.

The broader message is a familiar positioning contrast: “Smart Money Accumulates When Sentiment Is Dead. Retail Buys When Price Is Vertical.” Whether DOGE’s current base behaves like prior cycles will hinge on the same variable the post flags: holding the $0.10–$0.06 band on a weekly closing basis while traders weigh how much of the “cycle extension” playbook still applies in a market that has already seen one sizable post-2021 rebound.

At press time, DOGE traded at $0.09857.