First signs of market reversal: hopes and reality

[Ben Graham]

The cryptocurrency market, after a sustained decline, remains under close scrutiny. Despite prevailing pessimism, professional circles have started to discuss factors that could eventually pull the sector out of a bear phase. Those conversations, cautious as they are, are backed by concrete developments and trends that hint at a potential bottom and a subsequent rebound.

One of the key catalysts is the rapid development of AI agents. Industry experts point to active moves by major players, including Coinbase, in this field. Integrating artificial intelligence into crypto platforms promises opportunities for automation, improved efficiency, and novel user services, which could draw both new investors and developers.

At the same time, decentralized finance (DeFi) is undergoing institutionalization. A telling example is the recent partnership between BlackRock and Uniswap. That collaboration not only signals growing interest from traditional finance but also underlines DeFi's maturity and its potential for broader adoption. Institutional acceptance could become a powerful catalyst for capital inflows and greater confidence in the ecosystem.

Progress in mitigating quantum-computing risks should not be overlooked. While the threat remains largely theoretical, active research and the development of countermeasures against potential quantum attacks on cryptographic systems are laying the groundwork for long-term blockchain security — a critical prerequisite for sustainable development.

Finally, the acceleration of real-world asset tokenization — a prominent trend this year — opens fresh horizons for the crypto market. Representing tangible assets such as real estate, art, or commodities as digital tokens on a blockchain can boost liquidity, accessibility, and transparency. This, in turn, could attract both retail and institutional capital.

That said, it is premature to declare a full market reversal. Prices could still fall further. Nevertheless, the emergence of the positive factors described above suggests initial building blocks for a recovery are forming. A durable bottom and a confident uptrend will require an accumulation of additional favorable signals. The process appears to have begun, offering grounds for cautious optimism.

Trading recommendations:

Buyers of BTC are targeting a return to $68,900, which would open a path to $72,100 and then $74,600. The extended target is the peak near $77,300. A break above that level would signal attempts to restore a bullish market. On the downside, buyers are likely to appear around $65,600. A break below that area could quickly push BTC toward $62,600, with a further downside target near $60,100.

As for Ethereum, a clear consolidation above $1,972 would open a route to $2,060. The extended target is the peak near $2,169. Breaching that level would strengthen bullish sentiment and renew buyer interest. If ETH falls, buyers are anticipated at $1,874. A move below that zone could rapidly send ETH down to about $1,783, with a farther downside target near $1,685.

What we see on the chart:

- Red lines indicate support and resistance levels where either a price slowdown or active growth is expected;

- Green lines indicate the 50-day moving average;

- Blue lines indicate the 100-day moving average;

- Light green lines indicate the 200-day moving average.

A crossover, or a price test of moving averages, typically either halts the move or sparks fresh market momentum.

The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com