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Explosion on Indian Gold Imports: Records in January 2026 and Impacts on the Institutional Market

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India, the second largest gold consumer in the world, reported a historic leap in its imports, reaching record levels both in volume and in financial value, which adds a new layer of support fundamental to the prices of the XAU/USD.

By Igor Pereira, financial market analyst, Junior member WallStreet NYSE.


Explosion on Indian Gold Imports: Records in January 2026 and Impacts on the Institutional Market - ExpertFX School

The latest data indicate that imports of gold from India have reached between 95 and 100 tonnes only in January 2026. In terms of value, the jump was even more impressive: $12.1 billion, an increase in 192% for the previous month.

This phenomenon was driven by three main pillars:

  • Institutional Investment (ETFs): For the first time in history, flows to gold ETFs in India ( The total shares of these funds exceeded the symbolic mark of 110 tonnes.

  • Anticipation of Tariffs: Traders and jewelers accelerated purchases to recompose stocks due to uncertainties in global and domestic tariff policies.

  • Cultural Resilience: Despite record prices (which exceeded the $5,400/oz. internationally in January), the appetite for gold as a value reserve and for the wedding season remains unwavering.

The Look of the Authorities: Warning or Stability?

The Minister of Finance, Nirmala Sitharaman, and the Governor of the RBI, Sanjay Malhotra, confirmed that they are closely monitoring this sudden outbreak of January. Although the trade deficit has jumped to almost $35 billion due to this flow, the government stated that the situation is not yet "alarming", given the robust level of international reserves of India, which also reached records driven by the valuation of the metal itself.


Reasons for ExpertFX School Trader

  • XAU/USD: India's record physical demand, added to the continuous purchases of Central Banks (RBI reached record 880,3 tonnes in reserves), creates a strong institutional support. Any technical correction now finds weight buyers on the physical side.


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Import data like these are "lagging indicators" (late). To win on the market, you need "leaving indicators" to show where the volume is entering Now.

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Gold is in a new age. Don't try to operate it with tools from the past.

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