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Eurozone Consumer Trust Stabilizes and Expectations of Inflation Back Up in February

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The macroeconomic scenario in Europe presents mixed signals on Thursday, February 26, 2026. Official data show that Consumer Trust in Eurozone has registered -12.2. in February, coming exactly in line with market expectations and showing a slight improvement in relation to the previous data of -12.4. However, the point of greatest attention for analysts was the jump in the Consumer Inflation Expectations Index, which rose to 25.8 in February, significantly surpassing the previous record of 24.2.

By Igor Pereira, financial market analyst, Junior member WallStreet NYSE.


Eurozone Consumer Trust Stabilizes and Expectations of Inflation Back Up in February - ExpertFX School

The increase in inflation expectations suggests that European consumers are still not convinced that the price rise has been controlled, which can pressure the European Central Bank (ECB) to maintain a stricter stance (hawkish) for longer. While consumer confidence has stopped deteriorating, the perception of future inflation can directly impact consumption and wages in the coming months.


Coin Pair Analysis (EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD)

The impact of these data on the dynamics of the dollar and European currencies is immediate:

  1. EUR/USD: The pair operates in an indecision zone. The increase in inflation expectations may give some temporary support to the Euro due to the possibility of high interest rates, but the structural weakness of confidence (-12.2) limits expressive rallies. Technical support in the region of 1.17 He's still being watched.

  2. GBP/USD: The Sterling Libra is correlated with the feeling of European risk. The stabilisation of trust in Eurozone may bring some relief to the pair, but the focus remains on the resilience of the US Dollar in the face of global tariff uncertainties.

  3. AUD/USD: The Australian dollar remains sensitive to internal inflation data (CPI of 3.8% in January). "Hot" inflation in Europe strengthens the thesis of a global high interest environment, which tends to sustain commodity currencies, provided that appetite for risk remains stable.


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