The US Dollar cannot find a direction despite the positive CPI report

[Redator]

Market reactions have been very muted and mixed, even if the CPI report came out with a small but positive surprise.

For those who are discovering the number, US Headline CPI came in as expected (0.287 unrounded Headline vs 0.30% expected).

The Core number was however the more welcomed surprise, coming in at 0.2% (0.227%) vs 0.3% expected – This is what the FED prefers for their decisions.

For Canadian Data also, CPI Came in as expected (1.79% y/y, slightly stronger core)

Reactions have been a bit underwhelming overall, not what could have been expected. Nonetheless, more participants will be coming into the Market at 9:30 for the open, which may trigger some further volatility, totally absent for now.

Markets will need bigger surprises to move more, and except for Nasdaq and S&P Futures that are rising (slowly) on the news, it seems that players are waiting for something else to be on the move.

Let's take a look at US Dollar charts to see where we are after the CPI report.

Read More: Asian stocks rise on China data, Gold gains as US dollar softens; EUR/USD (Chart of the day)

Dollar Index 4H Chart

Dollar Index 4H Chart, July 15, 2025 – Source: TradingView

The Dollar has been grinding upwards since the 1st off July, now hanging around the 98.00 handle since yesterday with buyers showing some hesitancy.

It could have been assumed that participants would await for the number to move forward with the Dolalr buybacks, but for now the 4H Candle is a doji.

Look at the 98.00 PIvot Zone (+/- 15 pips) for immediate strength:

A break above would point towards a test of the 98.50 level that was key support on the way down, the next main resistance is closer to 99.00

A break below would look to test the 97.60 Support in confluence with the bottom of the Upwards Channel from this month that will need to hold to avoid resuming the main downtrend.

Dollar. Index 30M Chart

Dollar Index 30m Chart, July 15, 2025 – Source: TradingView

Looking closer shows further the lack of volatility from the data, with the Dollar Index confined within at 80 pip range – Other currencies have shown some wicks but no immediate reactions.

Data high in DXY: 98.15 – Low: 97.35, watch for any breakout beyond these points.

We will follow closely what the market is waiting for to start moving as the North-American session is still young and somne geopolitic turmoil might start to be into play between Ukraine and Russia - keep an eye on the news.

Safe Trades!

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