Although today AUD/JPY has the potential to appreciate upward, it also has the potential to correct downwards. Wednesday,

[Ben Graham]

[AUD/JPY] – Wednesday, September 17, 2025

The appearance of a Hidden Bearish Divergence between the RSI and AUD/JPY price movement indicates a near-term potential for weakening.

Key Levels

1. Resistance. 2 : 98.63

2. Resistance. 1 : 98.25

3. Pivot : 97.59

4. Support. 1 : 97.57

5. Support. 2 : 97.27

Tactical Scenario

• Pressure Zone: If AUD/JPY breaks down and closes below 97.57, it may test the 97.27 level.
• Momentum Extension Bias: If 97.27 is broken and closed below, AUD/JPY will likely head towards the 96.89 level.

Invalidation Level / Bias Revision

Downside bias is contained if AUD/JPY appreciates upward and breaks to close above the 98.63 level.

Technical Summary

EMA(50) : 97.86

EMA(200): 97.85

RSI(14) : 41.44 + Hidden Bearish Divergence

Economic News Release Agenda:

Earlier this morning at 6:50 WIB from Japan, the Trade Balance economic data was released. Meanwhile, tonight until early morning from the United States, economic data will be released as follows:

US - Building Permits - 19:30 WIB

US - Housing Starts - 19:30 WIB

US - Crude Oil Inventories - 21:30 WIB

US - Federal Funds Rate - 01:00 WIB

US - FOMC Economic Projections - 01:00 WIB

US - FOMC Statement - 01:00 WIB

US - FOMC Press Conference - 01:30 WIB

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