Although there is potential for a limited correction, XPD/USD is likely to strengthen today up to its nearest resistance

[Ben Graham]

[XPD/USD] – [Thursday, September 25, 2025]

Although the RSI is in the Neutral-Bearish zone, but the position of EMA(50) & EMA(200) still in a Golden Cross configuration confirms the strengthening bias for XPD/USD.

Key Levels

1. Resistance. 2 : 1271.29

2. Resistance. 1 : 1242.22

3. Pivot : 1225.82

4. Support. 1 : 1196.75

5. Support. 2 : 1180.35

Tactical Scenario

Positive Reaction Zone: If XPD/USD breaks out and closes above 1,225.82, it has the potential to continue strengthening up to 1,242.22.

Momentum Extension Bias: If 1,242.22 is breached and closes above, Palladium has the potential to test the next resistance level at 1,271.29.

Invalidation Level / Bias Revision

The upside bias weakens if Palladium weakens further and breaks and closes below 1,180.35.

Technical Summary

EMA(50) : 1220.08

EMA(200): 1204.44

RSI(14) : 42.25

Economic News Release Agenda:

Tonight, the United States will release the following economic data:

US - Final GDP q/q - 19:30 WIB

US - Unemployment Claims - 19:30 WIB

US - Core Durable Goods Orders m/m - 19:30 WIB

US - Durable Goods Orders m/m - 19:30 WIB

US - Final GDP Price Index q/q - 19:30 WIB

US - Goods Trade Balance - 19:30 WIB

US - Prelim Wholesale Inventories m/m - 19:30 WIB

US - Existing Home Sales - 21:00 WIB

US - Natural Gas Storage - 21:30 WIB

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