EUR/USD. Technical Analysis on September 26, 2025

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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1)

On Friday, the market may continue its downward movement from the 1.1665 level (yesterday's daily candle close), targeting 1.1608 – the lower fractal (daily candle from September 3, 2025). Upon testing this level, a corrective upward movement is possible, with a target of 1.1645 – the lower fractal (daily candle from September 25, 2025).

Fig. 1 (daily chart)

Comprehensive Analysis:

• Indicator analysis – down;
• Fibonacci levels – down;
• Volumes – down;
• Candlestick analysis – down;
• Trend analysis – down;
• Bollinger Bands – down;
• Weekly chart – up.

Overall Conclusion: Downward trend.

Alternative Scenario:

Today, the price from the 1.1665 level (yesterday's daily candle close) may start moving downward with a target of 1.1645 – the lower fractal (daily candle from September 25, 2025). Upon testing this level, a corrective upward movement is possible, targeting 1.1655 – the 50% retracement level (blue dashed line).

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