EUR/USD. Technical Analysis on September 29, 2025

[Ben Graham]

Trend analysis (Fig. 1).

On Monday, the market from the level of 1.1699 (Friday's daily candle close) may continue upward with the target at 1.1734 – the 8-period EMA (thin blue line). When testing this line, a move downward is possible with the target at 1.1685 – the 14.6% pullback level (red dotted line). Upon reaching this level, a further move upward is possible with the target at 1.1689 – the historical resistance level (blue dotted line).

Fig. 1 (daily chart).

Comprehensive analysis:

• Indicator analysis – down;
• Fibonacci levels – down;
• Volumes – down;
• Candlestick analysis – down;
• Trend analysis – up;
• Bollinger Bands – down;
• Weekly chart – down.

General conclusion: downward trend.

Alternative scenario: from the level of 1.1699 (Friday's daily candle close), the price may start a move downward with the target at 1.1655 – the 50% pullback level (blue dotted line). Upon reaching this level, an upward move is possible with the target at 1.1685 – the 14.6% pullback level (red dotted line).

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