GBP/USD. Technical Analysis for the Week of October 20–25

[Ben Graham]

Trend Analysis

This week, from the level of 1.3429 (the closing price of the last weekly candle), the price may begin moving downward toward 1.3141 — the 38.2% retracement level (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may retrace upward toward 1.3270 — the historical support level (blue dashed line).

Fig. 1 (Weekly Chart)

Comprehensive Analysis:

• Indicator analysis — downward
• Fibonacci levels — downward
• Volume — downward
• Candlestick analysis — downward
• Trend analysis — downward
• Bollinger Bands — downward
• Monthly chart — downward

Overall conclusion: During the week, the GBP/USD price is most likely to follow a downward trend, forming a black weekly candle with a first upper shadow (Monday — upward movement) and a second lower shadow (Friday — upward movement).

Alternative Scenario:

From the level of 1.3429 (the closing price of the last weekly candle), the price may begin moving downward toward 1.3369 — the historical support level (blue dashed line). Upon reaching this level, the price may move upward toward 1.3389 — the 23.6% retracement level (red dashed line).

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