Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Log in to our mid-week North American Markets overview, where we examine the current themes in North America and provide an overview of indices and currency performances. This week, some data dampened the economic outlook for both the US and Canada. The past four months didn't show much in that aspect, and participants started to believe that tariffs wouldn't influence activity that much. However, it seems that the markets were too optimistic for North America. August gave a first warning sign, with the US Non-Farm Payrolls showing the first crack in the labor market, which was confirmed by last Friday's report. Canada is also struggling with a regressing GDP in the se…
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The UK government is considering tapping into its massive Bitcoin reserve to help ease growing financial pressure. Chancellor Rachel Reeves is reportedly reviewing whether offloading some or all of the government’s crypto holdings could help cover the country’s widening budget deficit. From Criminal Seizure to National Asset The Bitcoin stash wasn’t bought; it was seized. Back in 2018, law enforcement took hold of around 61,000 BTC during the takedown of a Chinese Ponzi scheme. At the time, the haul was worth a few hundred million pounds. Today, with Bitcoin trading near all-time highs, that same pot is now valued at more than $7 billion. That kind of appreciation is har…
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Nigel Farage believes Bitcoin is the real deal, calling it scarce, secure, and impossible to inflate. Unlike regular money, he says, Bitcoin can’t just be printed into worthlessness. He’s even following Trump’s lead by bringing crypto into his campaign. Nigel Farage isn’t holding back on his stance toward crypto. “Britain cannot afford to be left behind,” he said in response to the Bank of England’s plan to restrict how much exposure banks, payment firms, and individuals can have to stablecoins. What he means is pretty simple: while the U.S., EU, Singapore, and Hong Kong are all rolling out structured frameworks for crypto and digital currencies, the UK is still dra…
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The British Columbia Court of Appeal (BCCA) determined in a new ruling on Friday that the province’s Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples Act (DRIPA) incorporates the United Nations Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples (UNDRIP) and creates legally enforceable obligations. The BCCA case, Gitxaala v. British Columbia (Chief Gold Commissioner), was a partial appeal by the Gitxaala and Ehattesaht First Nations, following a 2023 BC Supreme Court (BCSC) decision that ruled the province’s automatic online mineral claim system breached its constitutional duty to consult, but had limited interpretation of DRIPA. The Gitxaala Nation filed a legal ch…
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The Province of British Columbia has secured a mandate to enter into discussions with the Tŝilhqot’in Nation to define how Indigenous consent would be incorporated into the decision-making process for future mining projects in the Teẑtan Area of the province’s Interior. The mandate would enable the Ministry of Indigenous Relations and Reconciliation, the Ministry of Mining and Critical Minerals, and the Environmental Assessment Office, to enter negotiations with the Tŝilhqot’in Nation, should it agree to consider any reviewable mining project in the region, the BC government stated in a press release dated June 18. Any agreement would fall under the Declaration on…
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British Columbia has officially decided to slam the door on new crypto mining projects looking to tap into the province’s power supply. The permanent ban means no new mining operations will be allowed to connect to the public electricity grid. The government says this is about protecting the province’s energy for industries that actually contribute jobs and long-term revenue. Power utility BC Hydro, which delivers electricity to most of the region, is now off-limits for future miners. This decision follows a moratorium that was first put in place back in 2022 and later extended in 2024. Now, the temporary freeze has become permanent. Lawmakers are making it clear that en…
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The 48th British Columbia mine reclamation award ceremony took place Wednesday in Penticton as part of the annual Mine Reclamation Symposium. The Symposium spans several days and includes workshops, mine tours, technical presentations and concludes with an awards ceremony to recognize the efforts BC mining companies are undertaking relating to environmental protection and reclamation at mine sites. More than 270 people attended this year’s symposium, including biologists, engineers, mine workers and representatives, partners and members of First Nations communities, and students. Since 1969, mining companies are required by law to reclaim mine site lands when mi…
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British Columbia’s mining industry is entering a crucial stage rich in opportunity for critical minerals and gold, but it’s still dogged by slow permitting and widespread uncertainty, according to global accounting firm PricewaterhouseCoopers. Revenue from BC mining operations fell to C$13.9 billion in 2024 from C$15.8 billion in 2023, largely due to a drop in metallurgical coal prices, PwC says in its 57th annual BC Mine report, released this month. Coal remains the province’s largest mining revenue contributor at 52% – with 95% of that coal for steelmaking – but volatility continues to challenge the mining sector. “Metallurgical coal is a key commodity for Briti…
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British Columbia has approved Imperial Metals’ (TSX: III) plan to deepen and extend the Springer pit at the Mount Polley copper-gold mine, adding about eight more years. The decision comes after an August court ruling that upheld key permits challenged by an area First Nation. The consent order from Environment and Parks Minister Tamara Davidson, and Mining and Critical Minerals (MCM) Minister Jagrup Brar, lets the expansion move forward under a provincial Mines Act permit amendment. “We agree that any changes to the effects from the proposed Springer Expansion assessed under the Act would not be significant,” the ministers said in their reasons for the decision p…
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Premier David Eby unveils mining investment plan on May 26 in Vancouver. Image from BC Gov Photos Via flickr. British Columbia Premier David Eby outlined an approach to mining development in the province’s northwest that combines economic growth, reconciliation and conservation in a speech to the mining industry, First Nations and conservation organizations in Vancouver on Monday. The vision, Eby emphasized, is to realize an opportunity for tens of billions of dollars in investment and thousands of jobs throughout the province. British Columbia currently produces or has the potential to produce 19 of Canada’s 34 critical minerals essential to Canada’s economic…
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The Province of British Columbia has announced that, in partnership with the Tahltan, Taku River Tlingit, Kaska Dena, Gitanyow and Nisga’a Nations, land-use planning will begin in the coming weeks in the northwestern corner of BC, engaging with industry to provide greater certainty for investors, First Nations and communities. Last week, Premier David Eby outlined the government’s vision for attracting mining investment to the province, particularly in the mineral-rich northwest. The vision, Eby emphasized, is to realize an opportunity for tens of billions of dollars in investment and thousands of jobs throughout the province. The plan involves partnering …
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British Columbia’s Environmental Appeal Board has upheld a ruling that handed Peace River Coal Inc. an C$800,000 ($580,000) fine after it repeatedly failed to comply with its environmental permit at its Trend Roman coal mine near Tumbler Ridge, Business in Vancouver reported. The Peace River coal mine was a metallurgical coal mine in northeastern BC, that was owned by Anglo American and suspended production in 2014 due to low coal prices. In February 2025, the idled mine was sold to Conuma Resources, a coal miner with operations in northeastern BC. The penalty was the largest ever issued by the B.C. Ministry of the Environment under the Environmental Management …
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The British pound is slightly lower on Friday. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3541, down 0.22% on the day. GBP economy stalls in July UK GDP slowed in July, posting zero growth month-to month. This was down from the 0.4% gain in June and matched the market estimate. Services and construction were higher but were offset by a decrease in manufacturing. In the three months to July, GDP eased to 0.2%, down from 0.3% and below the market estimate of 0.2%. The UK economy has been losing steam - after a strong gain of 0.7% in the first quarter, GDP eased to 0.3% in Q2 and all signs point to negative growth in the second half of 2025. The weakenin…
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A British man has been ordered to repay £4.1 million, or about $5.4 million, in Bitcoin after running one of the most infamous crypto scams ever seen on Twitter. The scam involved hijacking accounts belonging to some of the most recognizable figures in the world. A civil recovery order was granted by UK prosecutors to seize 42 Bitcoin, along with other digital assets linked to the fraud. A Cyberattack That Took Over the Biggest Names on Twitter The hacker, Joseph James O’Connor from Liverpool, admitted guilt in the US last year. He faced charges including wire fraud, computer intrusion, and extortion. Back in July 2020, he and his team managed to take over more than 130 …
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The British pound has started the new trading week in positive territory. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3591, up 0.26% on the day. Earlier, the pound hit a daily high of 1.3620, its highest level since July 10. UK claimant count change expected to jump The UK releases employment data on Tuesday. Claimant counts is expected to jump to 20.3 thousand in August, after a rare decline in July which saw claimant counts decline by 6.2 thousand. The unemployment rate is expected to remain at 4.7% for a third straight time, its highest level in four years. Wage growth including bonuses is expected to rise to 4.7%, up from 4.6% in the previous release, which wa…
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The fate of the British pound, like that of the euro, is mainly out of its own hands. Right now, almost everything on the market depends on how investors feel about the dollar—and in 2025, that sentiment is strongly negative. If this market mood persists through year-end, demand for the pound will only continue to grow. Notably, the current wave pattern has remained unchanged for a long time and still suggests a bullish segment is unfolding. The new week brings the Bank of England meeting, which should not be taken lightly. In recent meetings, what mattered most was the mood of the MPC Committee—rather than the specific decision made or not made. The BoE is almost certain…
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In the new week, there will be no notable events in the UK, unlike the Eurozone or the U.S. Even the central bank meeting will take place later than those of the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve. Therefore, traders focusing on GBP/USD will need to concentrate primarily on U.S. news flow. Unfortunately, in October, the market seems to either interpret many events surrounding the dollar in a very strange way or overlook them. In my view, buyers had sufficient reasons to start taking action, especially since the wave structure fully supported them. However, the wave pattern began to complicate at the beginning of the month, and now we are witnessing the complica…
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The new week promises new challenges for the British pound. The UK will be the country where several important reports are released, potentially altering the market's perceptions of the Bank of England's monetary policy. The key report of the week will undoubtedly be the inflation report. It is worth recalling that the consumer price index in Britain has been rising for over a year, but the previous report showed a "status quo," and the new report may indicate a slowdown to 3.6%–3.7% year-on-year. The BoE stated at its last meeting that it expects inflation to slow over the coming years and to return to the 2% target. Therefore, if inflation resumes its movement toward th…
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While the euro has remained in a sideways range over the past week, the British pound has been swinging back and forth for months. These fluctuations don't significantly impact the wave layout, but the structure is becoming more complex and increasingly difficult to use effectively in short-term trading. That said, the upward trend segment continues to develop, and the fundamental backdrop still favors buyers—this much is clear. In the new week, it will be difficult for the pound to find strong support from the domestic UK news cycle. But that's not necessarily a problem. First, even the current set of news may be enough for the market to resume buying activity. Second, t…
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The upcoming U.K. economic data will be relatively scarce, but one report in particular could lend significant support to the British pound. On Wednesday, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September will be published. As highlighted in recent commentary, inflation in the U.K. has been running nearly double the Bank of England's (BoE) target for some time now—and next week it could officially surpass that benchmark twofold. Annual CPI is expected to rise by another 0.2%, reaching 4.0% year-over-year. Core inflation may increase to 3.7%. This single report could lead the BoE to abandon any remaining plans for a rate cut before year-end. Though some economists still expect …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The British pound has been trading similarly to the euro in recent months (as it often does), constructing identical or very similar wave structures. However, the wave structure for the pound appears more convincing overall. We observed a long, complex corrective wave 4 that took the form of an A-B-C. Inside wave C, a corrective structure a-b-c-d-e was also formed. Following this, an upward wave set began to develop, which could signify the start of a new global wave 5 or it could simply be wave D in 4. Unfortunately, corrective structures tend to take on more complex forms and elongate. The news backdrop for the pound in recent weeks has only created problems. The econom…
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The British pound remains in a far more vulnerable position compared to the euro. If you compare any two charts of the euro and the pound over the past few months, you will see that the British pound has fallen more sharply than the euro. We will not discuss the reasons for this disparity now, as that is history. Instead, let's talk about the chances of the pound continuing to rise against the US dollar. In the euro currency outlook, I mentioned that the European Central Bank meeting should not be taken lightly. While it is possible that no significant decisions will be made and Christine Lagarde may refrain from issuing forecasts for 2026, the likelihood of a rate cut fo…
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The news flow from the UK will be the most interesting. In Europe, there will be very few significant events, and in the U.S., many important reports will again be missed rather than published. However, the UK will delight us with a wealth of important data. The key is that this data should, in turn, favor the British pound. In my opinion, wave analysis is currently the cornerstone of all analysis. The current wave analysis suggests a rise in quotes and the formation of a bullish trend segment. We have observed a five-wave corrective structure, so it is now reasonable to expect the construction of an ascending wave set. The news backdrop must not hinder this process. Let'…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The British currency cannot boast of more attractive movements or a more accurate wave analysis. Essentially, everything happening with the euro currency is also occurring with the British pound sterling. Demand for it is decreasing just like for the euro, and the news background is interpreted by market participants only in favor of the dollar. Thus, we will have to work with such movements and this wave analysis. The wave analysis of the pound again indicates the completion of the current wave set. The current corrective five-wave structure has taken a convincing form and belongs to wave c, a component of the presumed wave 4. Even if the current wave analysis is incorre…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The upcoming week promises to be quite eventful for the British pound. It is important to note that the bulk of the United Kingdom's key economic data is traditionally released around the middle of each month. The wave count for GBP/USD has also become more complex due to the recent decline in price, and now shows a pattern of three consecutive three-wave structures. In this regard, the wave configurations of the pound and the euro currently align fully, which is a positive development. We are now observing the third wave taking shape in the current structure. At the same time, recent developments in macroeconomic news have not provided a reason for the broad strengthenin…
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