Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12087 tópicos neste fórum
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Ethereum price failed to stay above $2,950 and declined again. ETH is now consolidating and might soon aim to attempt another recovery wave if it clears $2,850. Ethereum started a fresh decline below the $2,920 zone. The price is trading below $2,900 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2,925 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below the $2,800 zone. Ethereum Price Faces Renewed Selling Pressure Ethereum price attempted a fresh increase but struggled above $2,950, like Bitcoin. ETH price dipped below $2,920 and $2,900 to enter …
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Gold and silver hit fresh highs on Tuesday while Bitcoin slid back under $89,000, sending a clear message that some investors are favoring metal over riskier bets. According to Reuters and market data, gold traded above $4,330 an ounce and silver pushed past $66 an ounce in what market participants called a strong run for bullion. Reports have disclosed that silver’s rally has lifted local prices in India to about ₹2.06 lakh per kilogram. Metals Rally, Hit New Highs Silver’s advance has been dramatic. It is up roughly 120-130% year-to-date, a jump that outpaces gold by a wide margin. Traders point to a mix of stronger industrial demand from solar and electronics, tigh…
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The GBP/USD currency pair has been trading more actively than the EUR/USD over the past two days. However, it has not shown any particularly interesting movements, which can be seen across almost any time frame. Most traders were likely hoping for more volatile, trend-driven movements this week, but objective reality has dashed those hopes once again. Nevertheless, several important points should not be overlooked and offer an optimistic outlook for the future. For us, optimism now comes from the realization of the forecast we have been discussing throughout 2025. We believe nothing has fundamentally changed for the U.S. dollar globally over the past six months. Therefore…
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The EUR/USD currency pair traded with relatively low volatility on Thursday. Overall, this week can be summarized as follows: expectations were not met. We anticipated that the strong fundamental and macroeconomic backdrop, important reports, and global events would lead the pair out of its six-month flat trend. However, that did not occur. There weren't even any interesting movements, trend shifts, or reinforcement of the current trends. The most significant events elicited emotional spikes in the market, but as seen in the illustration above, the pair is trading roughly where it began this week. Thus, it has been a continuous disappointment. The European Central Bank me…
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Analysis of EUR/USD 5M The EUR/USD currency pair did not trade as expected on Thursday. There were at least three significant events scheduled for the day, each with the potential to impact either the euro or the dollar. In fact, all three had an impact, but the movements observed throughout the day more closely resembled a flat market than anything else. Essentially, only the U.S. inflation report warranted attention. The Consumer Price Index in the U.S. unexpectedly slowed to 2.7%, making it easy to suggest that the Federal Reserve may lower the key interest rate more than once in 2026. Thus, the dollar had every chance to decline significantly. However, it did not.…
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Bitcoin price attempted to start a fresh increase but failed at $89,500. BTC is now struggling below $86,500 and might continue to move down. Bitcoin started a fresh decline below the $86,500 zone. The price is trading below $86,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $87,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it settles below the $85,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Dips Again Bitcoin price attempted a fresh recovery wave above $88,000 and $88,500. BTC tested the $89,500 resistance zone and reacted to the downside. There was a sharp decline b…
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Bitcoin has been under intense selling pressure in recent sessions, leaving market participants increasingly cautious about near-term direction. On Wednesday, BTC briefly surged from the $86,000 area toward $90,000, offering short-term investors a moment of relief after weeks of downside volatility. That rebound, however, proved short-lived. Price quickly retraced back to the $86,000 level, once again stalling bullish momentum and reinforcing the perception that sellers remain firmly in control. This failed recovery attempt has weighed heavily on sentiment, particularly among short-term holders who entered positions at higher levels during the previous consolidation ra…
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XRP Ledger operators are staring down a familiar kind of “deadline drama” on Thursday, after one community tracker warned that a large chunk of XRPL servers are about to get amendment blocked, basically pushed to the sidelines until they upgrade. “In about ~10 hours 418 (!!) out of 999 XRPL servers will go DOWN as they become amendment blocked!” wrote X user Krippenreiter, adding that amendment-blocked rippled servers can’t “determine the validity of a ledger,” “submit transactions,” “process transactions,” or “participate in the consensus process.” Will This Impact The XRP Ledger? That sounds catastrophic if you’ve never watched XRPL governance do its thing. But the i…
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Ethereum is facing renewed selling pressure as the broader market struggles with fear, uncertainty, and growing bearish expectations. After weeks of weakness, many analysts are now openly calling for a prolonged bear market stretching into 2026, arguing that Ethereum remains below key structural levels and lacks strong momentum. Bulls are attempting to defend the $2,800 mark, a level that has become critical for maintaining short-term confidence, but price action continues to reflect hesitation rather than conviction. Volatility remains elevated, and market sentiment is dominated by caution rather than optimism. Against this fragile backdrop, on-chain data reveals a no…
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In the evolving landscape of blockchain technology, Solana has rapidly emerged as a platform not merely defined by its technical capabilities but by its broader implications for economic infrastructure. By enabling the class of decentralized applications, SOL is positioning itself as a high-performance blockchain and a foundational layer for the next-generation economic activity. Why Infrastructure That Enables Continuous Markets In an X post, crypto analyst Vibhu mentioned that Solana is no longer just a piece of financial technology, but a fully functioning economy. What exists on SOL today has gone beyond transactions and smart contracts. According to the expert, …
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On Thursday, the Bank of England held its last meeting of the year and made not just an expected decision, but a justified one. It is worth noting that some market participants were skeptical about the fourth round of monetary policy easing in 2026, but all doubts were dispelled after the inflation report was released on Wednesday. It turned out that core inflation slowed from 3.4% year-on-year to 3.2%, while headline inflation fell from 3.6% to 3.2%. Frankly, I did not expect inflation to decline so rapidly. Although it remains well short of the target mark, five consecutive months without acceleration are already a trend. Thus, by Wednesday morning, it became clear that…
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On December 18, the European Central Bank concluded its final meeting of the year, albeit a week later than the Federal Reserve. As expected by market participants, no significant decisions were made. All three interest rates (refinancing, deposit, and lending) remained unchanged for the fourth consecutive time. The ECB's accompanying statement emphasized the resilience of the European economy. The 2025 growth forecast was revised upward to 1.4% year-on-year. While such growth rates cannot be deemed high, they are stable, which the ECB likely finds satisfactory. The statement also noted weaknesses in the manufacturing sector (particularly in Germany), while concurrently h…
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The data released on Thursday showed a slowdown in U.S. inflation. All components of the report were in the red zone, falling short of forecasted levels. On one hand, this is an important—one could say pivotal—moment for the EUR/USD pair (as well as for other dollar pairs). Now, representatives of the "dovish camp" at the Federal Reserve have additional arguments to support their position. A weak CPI is a strong card for the "doves" amid a cooling U.S. labor market, a declining ISM manufacturing index, stagnant retail sales, and weaker consumer activity. All these factors contribute to the case for further Fed rate cuts. However, there is one major "but" regarding inflati…
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December 17 was a landmark day for the cryptocurrency market: American spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds witnessed an impressive net inflow of $457.3 million — the largest daily influx of institutional investment in the past month and a half. This occurred despite Bitcoin's price drop, which continues to trade around $86,000, about 32% below its historical high of $126,000 recorded in October. The flagship fund FBTC from Fidelity emerged as the main driver of this growth, securing $391.5 million in a single day. This increased the fund's total net assets to $12.4 billion. IBIT from BlackRock followed closely with an inflow of $111.2 million. Together, these two giants no…
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On Thursday, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the dollar's value against a basket of currencies, was struggling to build on the moderate gains seen the previous day. After the release of disappointing U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, Wednesday's gains were completely erased by downward pressure. This data will play a crucial role in determining the next steps the Federal Reserve will take regarding interest rates. Despite the Fed's cautious outlook, amid clear signs of a weakening U.S. labor market, traders are pricing in the possibility of two more rate cuts in 2026. Additionally, there are rumors that the new Fed Chair will adopt a dovish monetary policy a…
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The European Central Bank's (ECB) upward revisions to inflation and GDP forecasts, amidst a slowdown in U.S. CPI, allow the EUR/USD pair to continue its rally. When the market does not move in the expected direction, it can make a sharp turn the opposite way. The ECB meeting and the U.S. inflation report provided the euro with additional advantages and invited the EUR/USD pair to rise. U.S. consumer prices slowed more than expected, while the ECB raised its inflation and GDP forecasts. What better reason could there be to sell the dollar and buy the regional currency? Unfortunately, traders made this decision with some delay. The ECB expects inflation in the eurozone to r…
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The USD/JPY pair has traded within a broad range of 154.50 to 157.00 over the past three weeks, bouncing alternately between the upper and lower boundaries. Looking at the weekly chart, it becomes evident that traders are uncertain about the direction of price movement. Upward impulses are followed by downward movements, and vice versa. The contradictory outcomes of the December FOMC meeting have not helped traders, neither bulls nor bears. Ahead of this meeting, the USD/JPY pair approached the upper boundary of the aforementioned price range but fell to the lower boundary after the verdict was announced, marking a low of 154.40. However, in this price area, sellers took …
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With public and government attention shifting to critical minerals, energy transition metals and specialty commodities, and retail investors all-in on rampant gold and silver, here’s a reminder of where the bulk of investments in global mining and metals goes. From 2000 to 2023, metals and mining revenues grew by $1.7 trillion, a jump of roughly 75%, affording the industry a 70% slice of the overall materials business which also includes plastics, pulp, and building materials. As a whole, materials represent some 7% of the global GDP. However, battery and other metals associated with decarbonisation – even when lumping in bellwether copper – hardly makes up 15% …
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The U.S. Federal Reserve has taken a notable step in reshaping how banks under its supervision can engage with crypto, reversing guidance introduced in 2023 that had sharply limited such activities. The decision reflects a broader reassessment inside the central bank about how regulation should adapt to financial innovation, especially as digital assets continue to intersect with traditional banking infrastructure. Under the earlier framework, uninsured state-chartered banks were required to follow the same constraints as federally insured institutions in order to remain under Federal Reserve supervision. That approach effectively barred some crypto banks from accessin…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for December 18 Market flows took a strongly positive tone following a CPI report that delivered a massive miss—2.7% vs. 3.1% expected. However, the initial euphoria stalled as economists dove into the details, uncovering significant adjustments by the BLS that cast doubt on the data's validity. The doubts triggered a pump-and-dump looking action across asset classes. Gold briefly breached its record highs before correcting sharply, and stocks followed a similar trajectory: a wonderful open erased by mean-reverting flows around the mid-session bell. …
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Market analysts are closely watching the XRP price as recent movements test key support levels. A new technical analysis has highlighted a critical price zone that is currently helping contain further downside pressure on XRP. Over the past few months, the cryptocurrency has struggled to reclaim its previous highs, recently crashing below the $2 psychological level amid increased volatility and market uncertainty. XRP Key Support Contains Downside Risks Crypto analyst Skipper shared a new technical update on XRP this week, highlighting current market dynamics and a critical support level that could help prevent further downturns. The analyst noted that XRP recently brok…
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Today's highly anticipated CPI report has sent conflicting signals across the board, leaving economists, traders, and analysts scratching their heads. As debates heat up and early morning moves reverse across all asset classes, we take a closer look at the Major FX pairs—including USD/JPY—ahead of tonight's key flows. The US Dollar had been falling consistently since Tuesday's Non-Farm Payrolls report, allowing most majors (with the notable exception of a struggling AUD) to outperform the Greenback. However, as traders cast doubts on the integrity of a clouded CPI report, the Dollar has halted its descent quite suddenly. …
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Dogecoin (DOGE) is approaching a sensitive phase as weakening investor demand, stalled ETF inflows, and growing sell-side pressure converge near a key price area. Related Reading: XRP Risks Double-Top Crash Toward $0.40, Peter Brandt Warns Once driven largely by retail enthusiasm, the meme coin is now trading closer to levels where a significant share of holders last acquired their tokens, raising questions about downside risk if confidence continues to erode. At the same time, isolated whale accumulation and long-term cost-basis data suggest the market is approaching a zone that could define the next major move. Dogecoin ETF Inflows Stall as Sentiment Softens One …
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In a critical moment for global finance, Visa now settles some payments in the USDC stablecoin on the Solana blockchain, expanding beyond its earlier Ethereum pilots and pushing stablecoins into mainstream finance. The company already operates at a pace of approximately $3.5 billion annually for stablecoin settlement volume, so this is no longer a small experiment. It joins a wider shift in which banks, card networks, and even J.P. Morgan are moving real financial activity onto public blockchains during a period of growing on-chain finance. For people like me who have been monitoring Solana’s evolution and the steady mainstreaming of stablecoins for Years, it’s clear thi…
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Reports have circulated across social channels this week after a prominent XRP commentator warned critics that they may be underestimating the token’s long-term role in finance. According to a post on X by user UnknowDLT, XRP’s place in global payment rails was “planned more than a decade ago,” and the token could one day become “the most valuable asset in the world,” a claim that has stirred both debate and disbelief. Community Voice Turns Loud Supporters in the XRP community have long argued that market prices miss bigger shifts. Based on reports from prominent community accounts, followers say short-term trading noise hides structural moves that could lift demand fo…
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