Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for October 7th Today commemorates the second anniversary of the tragic massacre when Hamas soldiers invaded Israel, killing, raping, and kidnapping more than a thousand civilians. Tomorrow will see the biggest meeting of Arab leaders regarding implementing the Trump 20-point Plan, which would impose a ceasefire and achieve a process towards peace in the region for the time to come. The meeting will be held in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt, and will include the highest diplomatic delegates from Qatar, Turkey, and Egypt. US Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff will also participate in the meeting and recently landed in Egypt. Tu…
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Bitcoin supply on exchanges has hit a new low for the first time in six years, providing a bullish outlook for BTC. This comes as the flagship crypto continues to hit new all-time highs (ATHs), with the $130,000 target now in sight. Bitcoin Supply On Exchanges Hit Six-Year Low Glassnode data shows that the Bitcoin supply on exchanges has fallen to a six-year low of around 2.8 million BTC. The last time the BTC balance on exchanges was this low was in June 2019, when the flagship crypto was trading at around $8,745. This development confirms that investors are accumulating Bitcoin at an unprecedented pace. CryptoQuant data also confirms this development, with the Bitc…
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The EUR/USD pair remains under pressure despite the ongoing U.S. government shutdown. On Monday, the pair dropped impulsively to the mid-1.16 range but failed to break through the key support level at 1.1650, which corresponds to the lower band of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the daily chart. The trading day ended at 1.1711, and on Tuesday, sellers tried to hold the pair within the 1.16 zone, driven by broad U.S. dollar strength and waning euro demand. With little to focus on in the economic calendar, traders have turned their attention to political and geopolitical news — particularly developments in France and the U.S. shutdown. The unexpected resignation of Fran…
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Tensions are running high. Donald Trump's patience is wearing thin, and President Emmanuel Macron's authority is beginning to waver. Conflicting comments from the U.S. President have raised doubts about the end of the government shutdown, while the escalating political crisis in France continues to weigh heavily on the EUR/USD exchange rate. Mistakes shouldn't just be acknowledged — they're expected to be corrected, at any cost. Just over a year ago, Macron dissolved the National Assembly and called for snap parliamentary elections. At that time, the spread between French and German bond yields was just over 40 basis points. By October, it had surged to 86 basis points. S…
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On Wednesday, October 8, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will hold its next monetary policy meeting — the second-to-last meeting of the year. The central bank is widely expected to cut the official cash rate by 25 basis points. This base-case scenario has already been priced into the market, meaning the decision itself is unlikely to cause meaningful volatility in NZD/USD. Instead, attention will shift to the bank's guidance on future policy steps. Back in August, during its previous meeting, there were widespread rumours that the RBNZ might be ready to end its rate-cut cycle following an acceleration in inflation during the second quarter. Analysts were divide…
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In the previous review, we discussed the fact that a strong euro is not beneficial to the European Union or the European Central Bank (ECB). Of course, the exchange rate should not be excessively low, as this would undermine trust in the currency on global markets. However, it should not be too high either. In recent months, both ECB President Christine Lagarde and Chief Economist Philip Lane have brought up the issue of the euro's strength, making it clear that the elevated exchange rate is becoming problematic for the EU. Even with trade agreements being signed, Donald Trump's tariffs have contributed to new economic challenges in the bloc. The EU economy has been strug…
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In the previous two reviews, we discussed why a strong euro is unfavorable for both the European Union and the European Central Bank, which, unlike the Federal Reserve, is not entirely autonomous. The only question that remains is: how can that be addressed? One of the options currently being floated by some economists is further interest rate reductions. Despite inflation in Europe having stabilized around 2%, the ECB may need to continue easing monetary policy solely to weaken the euro. It's true that in 2025, the ECB's "dovish" stance didn't produce a weaker euro — but that had more to do with Donald Trump's policies, which caused global markets to flee the U.S. dollar…
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South African miner Sibanye-Stillwater (JSE: SSW, NYSE: SBSW) has taken another step in its decarbonization journey with the achievement of commercial operation at the Springbok solar photovoltaic project. Situated in Free State Province, Springbok represents Sibanye’s first solar wheeling project, and the second renewable energy project supplying its mine operations to reach commercial operation this year. The 150 megawatt alternating current (representing 195 MWp in peak direct current) solar project is developed and financed by the SOLA Group, a South African independent power producer. Sibanye is an anchor off-taker of the project and will procure 75MW (50%) …
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Matt Hougan, Bitwise’s Chief Investment Officer, posted a brief, bullish note on social media on Oct 6, 2025, writing “$1 trillion inbound….” Based on reports, that short message kicked off fresh coverage and debate about how large Bitcoin-focused funds could get if current trends continue. Bitcoin was trading near a fresh high at the time, which helped the comment spread quickly. Context Around The Claim Bitcoin hit a new all-time high of $126,080 on Oct 7, 2025. At the same time, data cited by several outlets put global Bitcoin fund assets under management at about $200 billion. Those two figures were used by many market watchers to give the $1 trillion remark conte…
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Data shows users on social media are the most bearish toward XRP in six months, a potential setup for a contrarian move in the asset. XRP Positive/Negative Sentiment Has Plunged Recently According to data from analytics firm Santiment, social media FUD around XRP has seen a spike recently. The indicator of relevance here is the “Positive/Negative Sentiment,” which tells us about how the bullish and bearish sentiments related to the coin compare on the major social media platforms. The metric works by first going through posts/messages/threads on these platforms to separate those that contain mentions of the asset. It then puts them through a machine-learning model to di…
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The Pi Network (PI) community is heating up after a major announcement revealed that new Decentralized Finance (DeFi) features are now live on the Testnet. With the cryptocurrency currently trading around $0.26 after crashing severely in the past few months, the report of new upgrades raises the question of whether these developments could trigger a strong enough comeback to spark a 900% rally back to $2.98. Could Pi Network’s New DeFi Upgrades Spark A Rally? Pi Network’s price faced a devastating correction over the course of eight months, plunging from its February peak of $2.98 to just around $0.26 today. The decline erased more than $18 billion in value in just six…
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Grayscale has introduced staking within its spot Ethereum exchange-traded products. Investors holding the Ethereum Trust ETF (ETHE) and the Ethereum Mini Trust ETF (ETH) can now earn staking rewards as part of their investment. The company framed this as giving people more flexibility, letting some reinvest their rewards for compounding while others take cash payouts instead. A Milestone for U.S. Crypto ETFs This development marks a first in the U.S. Grayscale is the only asset manager so far to integrate staking rewards into spot Ethereum ETFs. The firm also expanded staking to its Solana Trust (GSOL), but that fund still needs regulatory approval before it can trade as…
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Hyperliquid (HYPE) extended its pullback for a fifth straight session on Tuesday, sliding about 6% intraday to the $45–$46 zone after a sharp rejection at a reclaimed trendline. While near-term momentum has flipped bearish, several on-chain and market-structure cues still point to a potential rebound toward $55–$60 if buyers can quickly stabilize the price above key supports. Derivatives Tilt Bearish, but Spot Holds the Line Futures positioning has swung defensively, and according to Coinglass, the long-to-short ratio slipped to 0.80, its lowest in over a month, signaling traders are leaning short into weakness. Momentum indicators echo the caution, daily RSI near 45 …
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Intercontinental Exchange, the same company that owns the New York Stock Exchange, is betting big on the future of prediction markets. ICE is investing up to $2 billion into Polymarket, a blockchain-powered platform that lets users bet on real-world events. That puts Polymarket’s valuation around $8 billion before any of this money even hits the table. From Wall Street to What’s Going to Happen Next Polymarket isn’t your typical trading platform. Instead of buying stocks or crypto, users wager on things like election outcomes, celebrity drama, or even sports results. The site had to pull out of the U.S. for a while after regulators questioned its legal status. Howev…
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EUR/USD 5-Minute Chart Analysis The EUR/USD currency pair remained under downward pressure throughout Tuesday. For the second consecutive day, the pair gravitated toward the downside. The political crisis in France remains the only noteworthy event so far this trading week, and we've already discussed that in earlier reviews. However, we do not believe this political development is significant or impactful enough to justify two days of sustained euro declines. In our view, the U.S. government shutdown carries far more weight in the eyes of traders. To be fair, the pair hasn't fallen too far — for two consecutive days, the 1.1657–1.1666 zone has halted the decline. The…
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GBP/USD 5-Minute Chart Analysis On Tuesday, the GBP/USD currency pair remained under pressure, despite the fact that the political crisis in France has no direct connection to the UK. In recent days, the British pound has been clearly trading within a classic flat range, observable on both the hourly and daily timeframes. So, these abrupt upward and downward moves are not surprising. Ideally, we prefer to see the dollar decline and the pound rise, as most fundamental and macroeconomic indicators still support this scenario. However, over the past several months, the market has consistently demonstrated an unwillingness to sell the dollar aggressively. It's also possib…
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On Tuesday, the EUR/USD currency pair continued trading lower. But why? Why is the U.S. dollar continuing to strengthen when all key factors seem to indicate it should be falling? The macroeconomic and fundamental background is virtually nonexistent, yet for once, the dollar is clearly in demand among traders. To understand what's going on, we need to look back at last week when the U.S. government shutdown began. The ADP employment report missed expectations by a wide margin, and the ISM business activity indices came in weak, showing figures nobody wanted to see. Yet even amid all this, the dollar remained resilient and even advanced on some days. This week, with no maj…
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The GBP/USD currency pair continued to trade lower on Tuesday, and we continue to view this movement as entirely illogical. In the EUR/USD article, we suggested that the euro pair is in a flat range on the daily timeframe. With GBP/USD, there's really no need to guess — the flat is plain to see. Given the traditionally high correlation between the euro and pound, there's every reason to assume that both currencies are trading sideways. If true, then the current decline in the pound is purely technical and has nothing to do with macroeconomic or fundamental factors. Even on the 4-hour chart, it's clear that the price has been bouncing around in every direction over the pas…
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Bitcoin price struggled to surpass $126,200 and corrected gains. BTC is now consolidating near $122,000 and might aim for a recovery wave. Bitcoin started a downside correction below the $125,000 level. The price is trading below $124,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $123,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it trades below the $120,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Corrects Gains Bitcoin price extended gains above the $124,000 zone. BTC climbed above the $125,000 and $125,500 resistance levels before the bears appeared. A new high wa…
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Wall Street’s biggest exchange owner is betting $2Bn that prediction markets are going mainstream. Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, announced on Tuesday that it will invest up to $2Bn in crypto prediction platform Polymarket. The deal makes ICE a global distributor of Polymarket’s event-driven data and opens the door for future tokenization projects between the two firms. The investment values Polymarket at about $8Bn before the deal and $9Bn after, according to company statements. ICE shares rose in pre-market trading following the announcement. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in October…
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SharpLink Gaming’s Ethereum portfolio has ballooned in value after the cryptocurrency climbed nearly 4.5% over the past day, pushing the company’s unrealized profits close to the $1Bn mark In a statement on Tuesday, SharpLink said its gains from Ether purchases have topped $900M since the firm began accumulating the asset on June 2. Data from the Strategic ETH Reserve shows SharpLink holds 838,730 ETH, valued at roughly $3.93Bn at current prices. That stake represents about 0.69% of Ethereum’s total circulating supply, placing the company among the largest corporate holders of the token. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in October2025 How Di…
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In stark contrast to the broader resurgence in the cryptocurrency market, where many assets are approaching or exceeding record highs, the XRP price finds itself in a precarious position. The altcoin has consistently failed to breach its nearest resistance level at $3, resulting in a retracement to crucial support levels that are vital for preventing a significant correction and further declines. XRP Price Struggles As Bitcoin Hits New High While Bitcoin (BTC) recently celebrated a new all-time high above $126,000, Ethereum (ETH) is inching closer to its own record of $4,900, and Binance Coin (BNB) mirrors Bitcoin’s ascent with prices rising above $1,300, XRP has faced…
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Ethereum price failed to extend gains above $4,750 and declined. ETH is now consolidating and might struggle to rise above $4,600 in the short term. Ethereum started a downside correction below $4,620 and $4,600. The price is trading below $4,600 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $4,560 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it trades below $4,420. Ethereum Price Corrects Gains Ethereum price extended gains above $4,600 and $4,620, like Bitcoin. ETH price even tested the $4,750 resistance zone before the bears appeared. A high was formed at $…
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While most eyes remain fixated on Bitcoin’s price swings and ETF inflows, the real revolution is unfolding quietly in its code. This silent evolution is redefining how value, contracts, and trust can operate on the leading secure blockchain. How Layer-2s Are Turning Bitcoin Into A Dynamic Ecosystem Bitcoin’s new all-time high (ATH) is dominating the timeline, but it’s not the real story. Under the surface of price charts and speculation, a quiet technological revolution is taking shape and could redefine BTC’s utility in the ecosystem. In an X post, High Tower revealed the real ATH is in the code, and the movement centers on BitVM2, an evolution of the original BitVM mod…
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XRP price started a fresh decline below $2.920. The price is now consolidating losses and might continue to move down if it trades below $2.850. XRP price is slowly moving lower below the $2.920 pivot zone. The price is now trading below $2.950 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a key declining channel with support at $2.90 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh decline if it settles below $2.850. XRP Price Dips Again XRP price failed to stay above $3.020 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price declined below $3.00 and $2.950 to enter a short-term bearish z…
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