Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12020 tópicos neste fórum
-
With only two weeks left of 2025, market participants wonder whether the Bitcoin (BTC) and the rest of the crypto market will continue to struggle or begin recovering. An analyst discussed the current market sentiment and the impact it may have on market performance. The Four-Year Crypto Cycle Is ‘Like Faith In God’ As we approach the end of the year, concerns about the crypto market’s performance continue to mount. Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has seen a 30% decline from its early October peak. As the volatility persist and the flagship crypto trades below its yearly opening price of $93,500, some investors questioned the four-year cyc…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The cryptocurrency market remains volatile. The sharp rise of Bitcoin towards $90,000 was quickly reversed, with the trading instrument dropping back to around $85,500, where it feels more comfortable. Ethereum is also trading below $3,000, preparing for a potential move towards $2,700. While the bearish trend in the cryptocurrency market persists, attention was drawn to a statement made yesterday by Federal Reserve representative Christopher Waller. During his speech, he mentioned that, in his opinion, stablecoins will strengthen demand for the U.S. dollar in the near future. Traders and market participants had mixed reactions to this statement. On the one hand, the rec…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The euro and British pound quickly recovered from losses incurred in the first half of the day; however, a bullish market has yet to develop, and there are objective reasons for this. The dollar lost ground following dovish statements from Federal Reserve officials on future interest rates. Traders reacted to hints of further monetary policy easing. However, such a reaction could be premature. Today, several important decisions are expected that could overturn the current market picture. A European Central Bank decision regarding the main interest rate is anticipated, as is a similar decision from the Bank of England. Attention will be closely focused on Christine Lagarde…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
A cryptocurrency analyst has explained where Ethereum could go next based on a long-term Parallel Channel forming in its monthly price chart. Ethereum Has Been Trading Inside A Parallel Channel For The Last Few Years In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about a long-term pattern that Ethereum has appeared to have been following for the last few years. The pattern in question is a “Parallel Channel” from technical analysis (TA), which forms whenever an asset’s price trades between two parallel trendlines. The upper level of a Parallel Channel is likely to facilitate top formations in the asset, while the lower one can act as a support boundary and allow t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Wednesday, a bipartisan meeting of the Senate Banking Committee, led by Senator Tim Scott, offered a cautiously optimistic outlook for discussions surrounding the anticipated crypto market structure bill. Despite the absence of any markup hearings scheduled for this week, industry representatives and senators engaged in what many considered a productive dialogue regarding the evolving legislative landscape. Senators Collaborate With Industry Leaders Key figures from major crypto firms were among the attendees, including executives from Coinbase (COIN), Kraken, Chainlink, a16z, and Ripple, who have been increasingly involved in discussions aimed at fostering the posi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Solana failed to settle above $132 and nosedived. SOL price is now consolidating losses below $130 and might decline further below $120. SOL price started a fresh decline below $130 and $128 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $128 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $131 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could start a recovery wave if the bulls defend $122 or $120. Solana Price Dips Again Solana price failed to remain stable above $132 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL declined below the $130 and $128 support levels.…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Macroeconomic Report Analysis: There aren't many macroeconomic reports scheduled for Thursday, but one on U.S. inflation is highly significant. Recall that the employment data from the U.S. labor market this week has once again proven to be weak and contradictory, suggesting that the Federal Reserve may continue to lean towards making dovish decisions. This is only hindered by the rising inflation seen in recent months. If the Consumer Price Index for November shows a new acceleration, it will be a positive sign for the dollar, as the Fed may then take a prolonged pause on easing monetary policy. However, if inflation slows, the Fed could lower the key rate as early …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Wednesday's Trades: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair experienced a sharp decline on Wednesday, recovered, and then resumed a new downward move. The ascending trendline has been broken, so a correction may occur in the near future. Yesterday, the UK inflation report was published, providing a definitive conclusion on the Bank of England's monetary policy decision scheduled for today. There is now no doubt that the British central bank will cut the key interest rate, which is a bearish factor for the British currency. While this decision may already be partially priced in, a decline could still be observed today, as the BoE may adopt a more dov…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Wednesday's Trades: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair The EUR/USD currency pair corrected downward on Wednesday, but the upward trend remains intact, as clearly shown in the illustration above. Yesterday, the euro declined sharply, despite an essentially absent macroeconomic and fundamental backdrop. Traders might have felt that a downward trend was beginning, which is indeed possible, as the price reached the upper boundary of the sideways channel of 1.1400-1.1830 on the daily timeframe. However, the flat has lasted for six months, and sooner or later, it must come to an end. Thus, we believe it's still too early to panic and expect a new decline in the pair…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
According to statements reported by Russian news agencies, Anatoly Aksakov, Chairman of the State Duma Committee on Financial Markets, said cryptocurrencies “will never become money” in Russia and should be treated only as investment instruments. He said that where a payment is required, it must be made in Russian rubles. Ruble Remains Sole Payment Unit Based on reports, that stance matches existing law. A 2020 federal law on digital financial assets defines digital currency as something different from Russia’s monetary unit and bars its use as a means of payment inside the country. The law treats tokens and classic cryptocurrencies as property or investment items rathe…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP price failed to gain pace above $1.950 and trimmed gains. The price is now struggling and faces resistance near the $1.90 level. XRP price started a fresh decline below the $1.90 zone. The price is now trading below $1.880 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.9350 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below $1.850. XRP Price Fails At Resistance XRP price attempted a recovery wave above $1.920 but failed to continue higher, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price started a fresh decline below $1.90 and $1.880. There was a mov…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The idea that Bitcoin’s halving operates on a fixed four-year timetable has become one of the most oversimplified narratives in the crypto markets. While the halving still reduces new supply, its influence is no longer confined to predictable timelines or uniform outcomes. As BTC matures into a globally traded asset, the forces shaping its market behavior have expanded beyond the event. How The Cycle Narrative Became Oversimplified In an X post, an analyst known as Deg_ape revealed that the Bitcoin halving cycle was never a rigid four-year clock. BTC’s cycle has always been about phase transitions, shifting liquidity conditions, and market behavior, but never about buyin…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum price failed to stay above $3,000 and declined further. ETH is now consolidating and might soon aim to start a recovery wave if it clears $2,880. Ethereum started a fresh decline below the $2,950 zone. The price is trading below $2,900 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2,920 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below the $2,800 zone. Ethereum Price Dips To New Weekly Lows Ethereum price attempted a fresh increase but struggled above $3,000, like Bitcoin. ETH price dipped below $2,950 and $2,920 to enter a bearish zon…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The GBP/USD currency pair has been more active over the past two days than the EUR/USD pair. However, it has not shown any super-interesting movements. Essentially, we witnessed a new surge upward on somewhat weak U.S. labor-market data, followed by a correction on a weaker-than-expected inflation report from the UK—and that was it. It is worth noting that inflation figures are not currently significant for the European Central Bank, which has managed to stabilize its rate around 2%. However, they are very important for the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve. The U.S. inflation report will be released today, while the UK report was released yesterday. We will focus o…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The EUR/USD currency pair was more active on Tuesday and Wednesday, yet overall it didn't warrant a standing ovation. Consider this: on a highly informative Tuesday, the total volatility was only 75 pips. And that was on a day when a good dozen important macroeconomic reports were released in both the Eurozone and the U.S. Thus, we can draw a few conclusions that should be obvious to all. The first conclusion is that the flat trend on the daily timeframe remains relevant, which explains the relatively low volatility even on days when volatility would logically be the highest. The second conclusion is that the market was not impressed by the U.S. macroeconomic data it had …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of GBP/USD 5M The GBP/USD currency pair began on Wednesday with a sharp decline. This drop in the British currency was entirely justified, as the only important report of the day—the UK inflation report—came in significantly below forecasts. While a slowdown in inflation is generally positive for the economy (or at least for consumers), it also greatly increases the likelihood of a rate cut by the Bank of England at its upcoming meeting, happening today. Consequently, the market priced in monetary policy easing, and in the second half of the day the pound unexpectedly began to recover, returning to its initial levels. We believe the pair's growth in the secon…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of EUR/USD 5M The EUR/USD currency pair declined for most of Wednesday but recovered nearly all its losses by the end of the day. Essentially, the euro returned to its level before the release of crucial U.S. labor market data. We had warned that this week might see "flights" in both directions, alternating constantly. For example, the pair's rise on Tuesday can be easily attributed to negative macroeconomic data from across the ocean. However, explaining why the euro fell on Wednesday night and for most of the day is much more challenging. It can be hypothesized that the pound sterling pulled the euro down, as an inflation report from the UK was published th…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The founder of Capriole Investments has warned about the Quantum risk to Bitcoin, saying there’s a 34% chance it breaks BTC in the next three years. Bitcoin Could Trade At A Discount If No Quantum Fix Is Deployed As Quantum Computing continues to advance, many in the Bitcoin community have been raising concerns about what a breakthrough could mean for the cryptocurrency. Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards has been one of those voices. Last week, Edwards gave a presentation on the Quantum threat to Bitcoin at the Global Blockchain Show in Abu Dhabi. The analyst has also shared some insights on X. According to Edwards, there’s a 34% chance that Quantum will un…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin price attempted to start a fresh increase but failed at $90,000. BTC is now consolidating and might struggle to clear the $88,000 zone. Bitcoin started a fresh decline below the $87,000 zone. The price is trading below $87,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $86,450 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it settles above the $87,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Consolidates Losses Bitcoin price attempted a fresh surge above $88,000 and $88,500. BTC tested the $90,000 resistance zone and reacted to the downside. There was a sharp decline …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
A new XRP price outlook from a crypto analyst outlines its recent breakdown below $2 and the factors that could influence its next moves. According to the analysis, Bitcoin’s ongoing retracement and key support levels could trigger a stronger correction for XRP. However, this projected downtrend is expected to pave the way for a reversal to higher target levels. XRP Price Outlook Tied To Bitcoin Retracement While the broader crypto market continued to trend lower, crypto market expert Tara shared a fresh technical analysis on XRP. On Tuesday, she stated in an X post that the current XRP price structure shows it is completing a deeper pullback compared to Bitcoin, which …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has entered a critical make-or-break phase as price clings to key weekly support while momentum continues to fade. Despite holding above a major confluence zone, repeated rejections overhead suggest buyers are losing control. With macro pressure building and liquidity levels still untested, the next move from here could define whether BTC stabilizes or slides into a deeper reset. Lower-Timeframe Rejection Keeps The Downtrend In Control Crypto analyst Michael Van De Poppe revealed in a recent post that Bitcoin has faced a clear rejection at a key resistance level. This failure signals that the short-term downtrend remains intact on lower timeframes, confirming tha…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On December 17, Bitcoin saw a sharp and chaotic two-hour stretch that sent prices violently higher and lower within a short window. The move began with a fast rally, then flipped just as quickly into a steep drop. Both sides of the market took hits. Each leg pushed Bitcoin roughly $3,000 in either direction, highlighting how aggressive trading had become during the session. Bull Theory flagged the initial surge, noting that Bitcoin jumped about $3,300 in just 30 minutes. That spike forced the liquidation of roughly $106M in short positions. According to the analyst, the speed and scale of the move made it a textbook short squeeze. But the strength did not last. O…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Cardano traded slightly lower over the past 24 hours, with the token hovering near $0.3656 at the time of writing. That price marks a daily drop of about -5.5%. Trading activity stayed tight, with intraday moves limited to a narrow range between $0.3775 and $0.3898. There was a small bounce attempt earlier in the session, but it did not last. The short-term picture remains weak. Over the past seven days, Cardano has fallen by roughly -18.2%, showing continued pressure on the downside. (Source: Coingecko)The pullback looks deeper when viewed over a longer period. Over the past two weeks, the token has declined by another 15%. That move reflects broader market cond…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has lost more than 30% of its value since early October, triggering a sharp shift in market psychology. What was once viewed as a routine correction is increasingly being interpreted by analysts as a potential cycle top. Sentiment has deteriorated quickly, with fear and apathy replacing the optimism that dominated earlier in the year. Many investors are now positioning defensively, preparing for what they believe could be a prolonged bear market phase similar to past post-peak cycles. However, a recent CryptoQuant report challenges this increasingly popular narrative. According to the analysis, Bitcoin may no longer be following the traditional four-year boom-a…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Wednesday, GBP/USD fell below the round 1.3400 level as the latest UK inflation report showed a notable decline, ahead of the Bank of England's upcoming monetary policy decision on Thursday. The pound sterling weakened sharply as the CPI for November revealed an unexpected result: instead of the anticipated increase, it decreased. The economic situation in the U.S. remains tense as Federal Reserve officials adjust their positions. Fed Chairman Christopher Waller, whom President Donald Trump planned to appoint as Fed Chair, noted that the rate cut had a positive effect on the labor market. He emphasized that inflation is unlikely to rise again, stating that current rate…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
