Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11974 tópicos neste fórum
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Bitcoin is struggling to reclaim the $90,000 level as it continues to test critical demand around the $86,000 zone. After weeks of corrective price action, bulls are finding it increasingly difficult to build a convincing case for trend continuation. Momentum has faded, upside attempts have been rejected, and market confidence is weakening. As a result, a growing number of analysts are beginning to openly discuss the possibility that Bitcoin is transitioning into a broader bear market phase rather than a temporary pullback within a larger uptrend. This shift in narrative is supported by structural data. In a recent analysis, Axel Adler highlights that Bitcoin’s price a…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The toppy price action following the post-FOMC rallies is finally taking its toll, hurting risk sentiment quite harshly. Even without the context of a potential AI bubble, the real catalyst for the current drop appears to be a lack of confidence for the upcoming year. The Nasdaq is leading all major US Indexes on the way down, dragging the S&P 500 and Dow Jones with it. Between double tops, profit-taking after a fantastic year, and increasingly blurry fundamentals, the year-end outlook is dimming. The "Santa Rally" has yet to show up. …
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Michael Saylor’s firm Strategy continues to make Bitcoin headlines with its enormous purchases, making it one of the largest holders in the world. Reports show the company owns 671,268 Bitcoin, roughly 3.2% of the total supply, valued at about $58.61 billion at the time of publication, according to Saylor Tracker. Bitcoin entrepreneur Anthony Pompliano said on his podcast that it would be extremely difficult for any other public company to match Strategy’s buying pace. Massive Holdings And Recent Purchase Strategy announced a fresh buy of 10,645 Bitcoin for $980.3 million, paying an average of $92,098 per coin. That move pushed its total hoard to roughly 3.2% of all B…
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Silver prices surged past $66 an ounce for the first time on Wednesday as hopes of further US interest rate cuts were renewed following signs of a weakening labor market. Spot silver surged as much as 4% to a new all-time high of $66.50 per ounce, before paring some gains. The precious metal has now risen by a quarter of the past month, propelled by concerns over its supply and expectations of lower US interest rates. Click on chart for live prices. Gold, which has also been rising but at a slower pace than silver, edged higher as well. up 0.6% to approximately $4,330 per ounce. Earlier, it had hit $4,350 an ounce, about $30 shy of the record high set in October…
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Indonesia, the world’s top nickel producer, might reduce production by one-third in 2026 to keep prices from declining further. In its 2026 Work Plan and Budget, the Indonesian government is proposing a 34% reduction in production from this year’s total to 250 million tonnes next year, the Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) reported Wednesday, citing the Indonesian Nickel Miners Association (APNI). The target is a government-level plan and details of its final implementation aren’t yet clear, APNI Secretary General Meidy Katrin Lengkey said Tuesday, SMM reported. Indonesia’s falling grades Jakarta’s output control efforts are due to nickel grades dropping,…
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Russia has reiterated its firm stance on crypto, drawing a clear distinction between digital assets and traditional currency. While global debate continues over whether crypto can coexist with national currencies, Russian lawmakers are reinforcing a long-held view. Inside the country, payments remain the sole domain of the ruble. The position comes as crypto usage grows worldwide and as Russia experiments with alternative settlement tools for cross-border trade under pressure from sanctions. At the center of the latest comments is Anatoly Aksakov, chair of the State Duma Committee on Financial Markets and a key figure behind Russia’s crypto legislation. Speaking to sta…
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The Debasement Trade continues to roar today. Despite slowing inflows into Cryptocurrencies and Stocks sending mixed signals since Friday, Metals are shining bright. As observed in our Overnight brief, Silver has exploded to yet another fresh record at $66, surpassing targets explored in our pre-FOMC analysis. There are some technical warnings arising however, Platinum is also profiting massively from these inflows, finally breaking its 2011 highs of $1,915. More rare than Gold, the White Metal is now standing just 15% away from its 2008 All-Time Highs ($2,300) and appears on track to test that historic level. …
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The XRP price structure and recent momentum are pointing toward a potentially transformational shift this week. Although the cryptocurrency has experienced an extended period of downside pressure, technical signals suggest that XRP may be nearing the end of its corrective phase. If key support levels are tested and defended this week, it could redefine XRP’s short-term trend and set the tone for price action heading into the end of the year. XRP Price Eyes Dip To $1.64, Builds Uptrend Base Crypto market analyst CasiTrades believes that this week could mark a pivotal turning point for XRP’s price action. In a recent X post, she shared a chart showing XRP trading within a…
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JPMorgan Chase has launched a $100 million tokenized money-market fund on Ethereum (ETH), adding fresh Wall Street backing to the world’s second-largest blockchain. Ethereum is trading around $2,926, down -1% in the past 24 hours, with a market cap of $353 billion, while Bitcoin (BTC) changes hands at $86,782 (-0.5% on the day). The move lands just as high-profile strategist Tom Lee reiterates a bold call for ETH to reach $20,000 within a year, sparking a debate over how fast institutional tokenization can really move prices. What Is JPMorgan Actually Putting on Ethereum, and Why Now? JPMorgan’s asset-management arm is reportedly rolling out the OnChain Net Yield Fund, a…
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Crypto analyst Doctor Profit has revealed the next Bitcoin price level he is looking to accumulate at in anticipation of a relief rally. Despite plans to buy BTC, the analyst indicated that he is still bearish on the flagship crypto in the long term, with a larger decline expected to unfold. Analyst Reveals The Next Buy Level As Bitcoin Price Eyes Bounce In an X post, Doctor Profit stated that he is buying BTC around $86,000 as he looks to trade a short-term relief bounce. He reiterated that he sees the probability of the Bitcoin price revisiting the $97,000 to $107,000 region before the next major leg lower unfolds. The analyst added that this projected move is a 20% f…
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Global coal demand is set to reach a new record high in 2025, driven by higher output in the United States, before flattening and slowly declining by the end of the decade, according to the latest International Energy Agency (IEA) report. The IEA projects global coal demand will rise 0.5% from 2024 to a record 8.85 billion tonnes this year, even as renewables, nuclear power and plentiful natural gas steadily erode coal’s grip on power generation. The forecast underlines how hard it remains to quit fossil fuels, despite rapid growth in clean energy. In the US, coal use is set to jump 8% in 2025, snapping a 15-year stretch of roughly 6% annual declines. Higher …
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Polygon Crypto is doing something rare in crypto right now: real usage is exploding while the token price barely moves. Well, maybe that’s not exactly new. Looking at you, Solana. Daily transactions on Polygon have pushed back above 6M, with weekly totals exceeding 40M levels last seen during the 2021 bull cycle. Yet POL USD continues to trade near $0.11, pinned close to cycle lows and showing little interest in celebrating the comeback. That disconnect is becoming one of the more interesting market stories heading into year-end. DISCOVER: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025 Polygon Crypto: Polymarket and Stablecoins Are Carrying, So Why Crash? (Source: TradingView) The tran…
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Senator Elizabeth Warren is escalating her long-running war with crypto, this time zeroing in on decentralized exchanges and singling out PancakeSwap as a potential national security risk. Warren literally once tried to stop two sandwich companies from merging. People couldn’t afford both rent and food under Bidenflation, and she was out fighting Big Sandwich. Total joke of a senator. Meanwhile, in a letter sent this week to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Attorney General Pam Bondi, the Massachusetts senator demanded answers by January 12 on whether US regulators are adequately policing DeFi platforms that operate outside traditional anti-money laundering framewor…
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Lightning Network capacity hit a new high this week as major exchanges put more Bitcoin into off-chain channels, boosting the network’s total liquidity and changing how users move BTC. Exchange Support Drives Capacity According to reports, the Lightning Network’s public capacity climbed to about 5,606 BTC, with some trackers briefly showing a peak near 5,637 BTC. That is a clear uptick from earlier levels and marks the highest recorded total so far. Exchanges including Binance and OKX have been named as contributors that added Bitcoin to Lightning channels, and other platforms such as Kraken and Bitfinex are expanding their support as well. These deposits are aimed at …
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Copper is heading into a structural deficit from 2026 as demand from electrification accelerates faster than new supply, according to BloombergNEF, with geopolitical intervention now the single biggest force shaping metals markets. In its December report,Transition Metals Outlook 2025 BloombergNEF says copper faces the most acute pressure among transition metals, driven by rapid growth in data centres, grid expansion and electric-vehicle adoption. Energy-transition demand for copper is set to triple by 2045, pushing the market into persistent deficit unless investment and recycling ramp up. Kwasi Ampofo, head of metals and mining at BloombergNEF, told MINING.COM t…
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Trade Analysis and Advice for Trading the Euro The price test at 1.1715 occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had moved far below the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the euro. The euro weakened in the first half of the day mainly due to disappointing IFO data from Germany and slowing inflation in the eurozone. The IFO index, an important barometer of the German economy, again failed to meet expectations, signaling a continued downturn in industry and restrained future expectations. Additional pressure came from eurozone inflation data, which showed a greater-than-expected slowdown in consumer price growth. Tog…
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For GBP/USD, the wave count continues to indicate the construction of an upward trend segment (see bottom chart), but over the past few weeks it has taken on a more complex and extended form (see top chart). The trend segment starting on July 1 can be considered wave 4, or any global corrective wave, as it clearly has a corrective rather than impulsive internal wave structure. The same applies to its internal subwaves. The downward wave structure starting on September 17 took on a five-wave form (a–b–c–d–e) and is now complete. The pair is currently in the process of forming a new upward wave sequence. Of course, any wave structure can become more complex and extended at …
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The EUR/USD pair is stabilizing near the round 1.1700 level and appears to have halted the sharp decline seen the previous day. At the same time, the fundamental backdrop remains favorable for the bulls, suggesting that the path of least resistance for spot prices remains to the upside.The U.S. dollar gained momentum after the release of November Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, which showed the smallest job creation figure since early October. This occurred against the backdrop of the Federal Reserve's accommodative monetary policy, which is providing support to the EUR/USD pair. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the economy added just 64,000 jobs in No…
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Bitcoin’s “death cross” is back in the group chat. And yes, the emails too. Matthew Sigel, head of digital assets research at VanEck, said he’s been “getting questions from clients” about the latest death cross print — the 50-day moving average slipping under the 200-day — and answered with the kind of data dump that tends to calm people down. “Lagging indicator,” Sigel wrote on X, alongside a table of every Bitcoin death cross going back to 2011. The summary stats are clean: the 6-month median return after a death cross is +30%, the 12-month median is +89%, and the “positive hit rate” is 64%. Another Bitcoin Death Cross, Another Missed Bottom? But the interesting bit i…
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The crypto market opens December 17 under caution, with .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px solid #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-price-holder .cwp-coin-tre…
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Not long ago, artificial intelligence felt like science fiction—something you read about in a book or saw in a movie. Today, it’s become a part of our daily life. From asking a voice assistant for the weather, to the way streaming platforms tailor our playlists, or how cars navigate traffic on their own, artificial intelligence is behind the scenes powering these moves. For precious metals investors, it’s noteworthy to see that as AI technology expands throughout our economy, it is increasing industrial demand for silver—and that’s expected to grow significantly over the next five years, according to a new report by London-based Oxford Economics Silver: An Essential Co…
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Today, the GBP/JPY pair continues its correction from the December high, approaching the round 207.00 level. The UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) released data showing that headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rose by 3.2% year-on-year in November. This figure declined sharply from 3.6% in October and fell short of analysts' expectations of 3.5%. In addition, core inflation, which excludes the most volatile food and energy components, increased by 3.2% over the same period—slightly below both the market forecast and the October reading of 3.4%. These figures support expectations that the Bank of England will cut its key interest rate as early as next Thurs…
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GBP/USD.
por Ben GrahamThe GBP/USD pair continued its upward movement on Tuesday, a process that began back in early November and was renewed last week after the FOMC meeting. The chart picture continues to point to bull dominance, and the bulls are living up to expectations. A total of three buy signals were generated, each of which traders could have traded according to my recommendations. Now all that remains is to wait and observe. On the other hand, the pair shows no significant bearish patterns or strong resistance zones that would suggest a chart reversal in favor of the U.S. dollar. However, the news background could easily turn the pair downward this week—and more than once—since there…
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Shares Bounce Back from Two-Day Slump Most Read: Bank of England (BoE) Preview: A Hawkish Cut in a Stagnating Economy? Implications for the GBP & FTSE 100 After two days of falling prices, technology stocks in Asia have bounced back. The most dramatic rise was seen in China, where a new chip-making company called MetaX Integrated Circuits skyrocketed by more than 755% on its very first day of public trading. In Japan, the main stock market index, known as the Nikkei, rose slightly by 0.3%. This small increase helped the market recover from a recent two-week low, largely because Japanese tech companies followed the positive trends seen in th…
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Struggling under the weight of notable selling pressure, the Bitcoin price has since lost its hold on the $90,000 support, leading to a sustained downtrend through the middle of December. Despite calls for a bottom, the cryptocurrency does not seem to be heading in that direction, and some analysts have shared reasons as to why this is the case. Crypt analyst Lingrid maps out the trajectory of the Bitcoin price, showing a bullish short-term, but ultimately ending with more declines. Why The Bitcoin Price Could Crash Further Lingrid’s analysis focuses on Bitcoin’s recent price performance, having hit resistance multiple times above the $92,000 level. This comes as the dig…
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