Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12061 tópicos neste fórum
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[Nasdaq 100 Index] – [Thursday, September 25, 2025] Although both EMAs have not yet formed a Death Cross, but the RSI is in the Neutral-Bearish zone, which may bring the Nasdaq 100 index down to its nearest support level today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 24801.4 2. Resistance. 1 : 24652.3 3. Pivot : 24518.9 4. Support. 1 : 24369.8 5. Support. 2 : 24236.4 Tactical Scenario Pressure Zone: If #NDX breaks down and closes below 24,518.9, it is likely to continue its decline down to 24,369.8. Momentum Extension Bias: If 24,369.8 is breached and closes below, it has the potential to further weaken down to 24,236.4. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The dow…
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[XPD/USD] – [Thursday, September 25, 2025] Although the RSI is in the Neutral-Bearish zone, but the position of EMA(50) & EMA(200) still in a Golden Cross configuration confirms the strengthening bias for XPD/USD. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 1271.29 2. Resistance. 1 : 1242.22 3. Pivot : 1225.82 4. Support. 1 : 1196.75 5. Support. 2 : 1180.35 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If XPD/USD breaks out and closes above 1,225.82, it has the potential to continue strengthening up to 1,242.22. Momentum Extension Bias: If 1,242.22 is breached and closes above, Palladium has the potential to test the next resistance level at 1,271.29. Invalidation Le…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe test of the 1.1755 price occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far below zero, which limited the pair's further downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the euro and missed the entire downward move. Long positions on the rebound from 1.1731 yielded about 10 pips in profit. The release of strong new home sales data in the US triggered a rise in the dollar and a decline in the euro. The optimistic figures prompted market participants to revise their expectations regarding upcoming Federal Reserve decisions. Today, we'll see the preliminary German GfK Consumer Sentiment Index, private sector lending figur…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the 148.49 price occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved sharply above zero, limiting the pair's bullish potential. The second test of this level allowed for selling according to Scenario #2, but it ended with a stop-out as the pair failed to drop as expected. The sharp jump in US new home sales in August strengthened the dollar and sent the Japanese yen lower. This unexpected surge in real estate activity signaled the resilience of the US economy, which immediately impacted investor expectations for the Federal Reserve's future policy. The jump in sales exceeded analyst forecasts, reinforcing the b…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3467 price occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well below zero, limiting the pair's downside potential. Long positions on the rebound from 1.3434 (Scenario #2) returned about 15 pips of profit. News that US new home sales came in much higher than economists had forecast strengthened the dollar and led to a decline in the British pound. Investors immediately reconsidered their positions, anticipating good economic growth momentum. The prospect of keeping rates higher for longer returned appeal to the US dollar. Today, the Confederation of British Industry will release UK retail sales figur…
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Yesterday, Bitcoin stopped just shy of the $114,000 mark, and during today's Asian trading, it quickly dropped back to around $111,500. Apparently, this level is where it's currently most comfortable trading. Ethereum fell below $4,000, triggering $141 million in long liquidations. This sharp market move came as a surprise to many traders who had bet on continued growth for the second-largest cryptocurrency. The break below the psychologically important $4,000 mark triggered a chain reaction—exchanges began to close leveraged positions, which further intensified the downtrend automatically. Several factors contributed to this crash. First, general uncertainty in global f…
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Crypto markets have recently faced renewed challenges, despite a brief resurgence following the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) rate cut that initially propelled Bitcoin (BTC) back toward the $120,000 mark. This week, however, Bitcoin has dropped to the lower end of its established consolidation range, fluctuating between $110,000 and $115,000. Analysts from The Bull Theory have pinpointed several factors contributing to this downturn. How Fed Policies And QT Are Impacting Crypto One of the primary reasons for the current situation is the ongoing capital flow favoring traditional assets. In the wake of rate cuts, institutional investors tend to channel their funds into stoc…
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If the White House interferes with the Federal Reserve, why shouldn't the central bank express its view about financial markets? Scott Bessent wonders why the Fed Chair hasn't signaled future rate cuts—which, according to the Treasury Secretary, should drop by 100–150 bps by the end of 2025. Still, Jerome Powell's statement that stocks are "fairly highly valued" made a much bigger impression on investors. The S&P 500 posted three dozen record highs in 2025, rising 35% off its April lows and adding $16 trillion in market cap. Greed and FOMO were so intense that the broad index went 107 sessions without a single drop of 2% or more in a day—the longest winning streak sin…
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Gold prices have declined but remain close to all-time highs as traders—encouraged by upbeat US economic data and noting diverging opinions among Federal Reserve officials this week—have reassessed their expectations for future monetary policy. Gold slipped to nearly $3,719 per ounce, down $70 from the record set on Tuesday. Prices dropped on Wednesday after data showed US new home sales in August unexpectedly rose to their fastest pace since early 2022, easing some concerns about a slowdown in the world's largest economy. The dollar climbed to its highest level in almost two weeks, making gold more expensive for most buyers. Traders also weighed comments from US offici…
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After a strong price performance over the past month, driven by growing interest in the Avalanche ecosystem, AVAX now faces a key resistance area that could delay its long-awaited rally. Institutional Momentum Fuels Avalanche Price On Wednesday, Avalanche continued its recovery from the start-of-week pullback and is currently retesting the $34 area as support. The cryptocurrency recently fell to the $29 level, but quickly bounced toward a seven-month high of $36.1 on Tuesday, fueled by institutional interest in the ecosystem. AgriFORCE Growing Systems recently announced its rebrand to a crypto treasury company under the name AVAX One, marking the first Nasdaq-listed en…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Thursday, from the 1.1737 level (yesterday's daily close), the market may continue moving downward toward 1.1706 – the 38.2% retracement level (red dotted line). When testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.1720 – the 50% retracement level (red dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – downward.Overall conclusion: downward trend. Alternative scenario: On Thursday, from the 1.1737 level (yesterday's daily close), the market may conti…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Thursday, from the 1.3442 level (yesterday's daily close), the market may continue moving downward toward 1.3383 – the 23.6% retracement level (blue dotted line). From this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.3405 – a historical resistance level (light blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – downward.Overall conclusion: downward trend. Alternative scenario: From the 1.3442 level (yesterday's daily close), the price may start moving do…
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Looking at how safe havens have performed so far this year, one thing is clear: fear is driving markets. With Donald Trump as US President, tariffs were swiftly rolled out, and businesses, even nations, had to shield themselves from uncertainty. This flight to safety has funneled trillions of dollars into bonds, high-quality equities, crypto, and gold. BTC USD rocketed to new all-time highs in August, breaking $124,500, but gold has truly stolen the show with its relentless climb. In 2025, gold prices have trended strictly upward, a pattern that’s hard to miss. According to CME data, the yellow metal is up nearly +45% over the past ten months, jumping from about $2,640 i…
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The Swiss National Bank's (SNB) interest rate decision is scheduled for Thursday, September 25, 2025, followed by a press conference from Chairman Martin Schlegel. It is expected that the central bank will once again keep the key rate at 0.0%, marking a second consecutive meeting without changes after six straight cuts since March of last year. Market expectations do not point to further cuts this year, while any potential moves next year remain uncertain. Investors and traders should closely monitor Schlegel's remarks for signals that could indicate a review of the negative rate policy. This decision will have a significant impact on the Swiss franc's exchange rate and p…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Wednesday formed a new reversal in favor of the U.S. dollar and consolidated below the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.3482, working through the support zone of 1.3416–1.3425. A rebound from this zone favored the pound and led to some growth toward 1.3482. A consolidation above this level will increase the likelihood of continued growth toward the next 100.0% corrective level at 1.3587. The wave situation has turned "bearish." This happened suddenly and unexpectedly. The last completed upward wave broke the previous high, but the last downward wave easily broke the previous low. The news background was mostly neutral for the pound la…
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On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair formed a new reversal in favor of the U.S. dollar and consolidated below the 1.1789–1.1802 zone. Thus, the decline may continue today toward the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.1695. A rebound from this level would favor the euro and growth toward the resistance zone of 1.1789–1.1802. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed downward wave did not break the low of the previous wave, and the last upward wave did not break the previous peak. Therefore, the trend remains "bullish" at this time. The latest labor market data and the changed Fed monetary policy outlook support bullish traders, but the bears a…
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The crypto market is back in deep red today as Bitcoin BTC ▼-0.80% once again failed to reclaim the crucial $113,500 resistance. After briefly attempting a bounce, BTC has been pushed lower and is now hovering near the weekly lows. Market bears are calling for a potential dip toward $107,000, right in line with the “max pain” zone ahead of a massive $17.5 billion Bitcoin options expiry in just two days. Historically, Bitcoin tends to move toward this level during large expirations, suggesting a possible final flush before a reversal. (Source: Coinglass) Ethereum ETH ▼-3.38% has also broken below the $4,000 mark, adding to the bearish pressure across altcoins. Most major…
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Stock Rally Takes a Breath Most Read: Gold's (XAU/USD) Bull Run Just Getting Started? A Look at What History Says Asian stock markets took a pause on Thursday after their recent surge, as investors waited for new reasons to buy. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen faced significant selling pressure, especially against the euro and Swiss franc. The broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares (excluding Japan) slipped by 0.1%, coming after a very strong period of rallying over 5% this month and 9% this quarter. Japan's Nikkei index was up slightly by 0.2%, having jumped 7% this month and 13% this quarter. Chinese stocks were the best performers: the CSI300 ind…
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The bull crypto market *is* over, for crypto at least. You should have sold. To be clear, the whole of twitter was saying altseason is here last week. So where is it? What if you’re wrong and the bull market is actually over? And you still didn’t take advantage? Every YouTuber and crypto influencer is telling us to HODL. No way they could all be wrong, right? (Source: TradingView) Just one week after the Fed’s first rate cut of 2025, Chair Jerome Powell struck a cautious note on Tuesday. He admitted the US labor market is softening, inflation is still running hot, and policymakers face what he called “two-way risk.” “There is no risk-free path forward,” Powell said, le…
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Dollar Strengthens, Stocks Slip On Wednesday, the MSCI global equity index declined, while the US dollar gained ground and gold prices fell. Investors were digesting cautious remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell about the timing of the central bank's next potential rate cut. Powell on Balancing Risks In his first speech since last week's rate reduction, Powell stressed that policymakers must carefully weigh the risks of persistent inflation against the signs of a cooling labor market before making further monetary moves. Market Expectations Despite his careful tone, CME FedWatch data indicates that traders still anticipate a rate cut in October. Housing Mar…
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After hitting its $124,000 all-time high back in July, the Bitcoin price has now moved back into a phase of struggling and consolidation. While many have called this out as only a temporary stop, expecting the Bitcoin price to continue its ascent once the decline is over, crypto analyst EXCAVO has taken a more bearish outlook. According to the analyst, the current market trend actually points to the end of the bull market and the beginning of the next bear market. Why The Bitcoin Price Will Crash In the analysis, EXCAVO outlined why they believe that the Bitcoin bear market was actually over. These were given as the classic signs of a top of the market, and there were th…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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Why is no one shilling the RIOT Stock Price? Well, you can put us in the group because, out of the many crypto stocks, shares of Riot Platforms (NASDAQ: RIOT) climbed more than +10% on Tuesday, boosted by record production and renewed optimism around crypto mining. Wall Street sentiment has shifted firmly bullish, with most brokerages rating the stock a Strong Buy or Buy. If Riot Platforms can lease out its data center, as it has recently been rumored, the stock price is estimated to double. If it doesn’t, it’s still one of the best bitcoin miners with one of the healthiest balance sheets. Here is what’s next for Riot and if they will be a top crypto stock in Q4: …
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On Thursday, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) confirmed that the base deposit rate would remain unchanged at 0% after completing its quarterly monetary policy review for Q3 2025. This decision was fully in line with market expectations. The central bank ended its rate-cutting cycle after six consecutive reductions, which began in March last year and continued through June this year. According to the latest SNB statement, Switzerland's GDP growth forecast for 2025 was revised down to 0.2% from the previous 1.0–1.5% range. For 2026, the SNB projects Swiss GDP growth of about 1% (previously 1.0–1.5%). Inflation in the country is forecast to reach 0.0% in Q2 2028. Globally, econ…
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Overview: The foreign exchange market is becalmed today. The greenback is in narrow ranges with a slightly softer bias against most of the G10 currencies, but the Swiss franc and Canadian dollar. The news stream is light, and the leadership of the North American market seems awaited. The US announced a new sectoral investigation into robotics, industrial machinery, and medical devices. Under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act, the investigation can last 270 days. Separately, the White House budget office reportedly is preparing for large-scale permanent layoffs during a government shutdown, which looks increasingly likely. Workers deemed nonessential are typically fur…
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