Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11949 tópicos neste fórum
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Struggling under the weight of notable selling pressure, the Bitcoin price has since lost its hold on the $90,000 support, leading to a sustained downtrend through the middle of December. Despite calls for a bottom, the cryptocurrency does not seem to be heading in that direction, and some analysts have shared reasons as to why this is the case. Crypt analyst Lingrid maps out the trajectory of the Bitcoin price, showing a bullish short-term, but ultimately ending with more declines. Why The Bitcoin Price Could Crash Further Lingrid’s analysis focuses on Bitcoin’s recent price performance, having hit resistance multiple times above the $92,000 level. This comes as the dig…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Key elements BoJ hike is fully priced, normalization to continue: Markets assign a ~94% probability to a 25bp BoJ hike to 0.75%, backed by firm wage growth, improving consumer confidence, and strong Tankan sentiment—pointing to further gradual tightening into 2026. Policy divergence favours JPY structurally: A December hike would underscore the BoJ as the lone major central bank tightening while the Fed eases, reinforcing medium-term appreciation bias for the yen. USD/JPY near-term bias turns bearish: Technicals signal fading upside momentum; below 156.10, risks skew toward a pullback toward 154.40 and lower, with rallies vulnerable unless resistance is decisively clea…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Key elements BoJ hike is fully priced, normalization to continue: Markets assign a ~94% probability to a 25bp BoJ hike to 0.75%, backed by firm wage growth, improving consumer confidence, and strong Tankan sentiment—pointing to further gradual tightening into 2026. Policy divergence favours JPY structurally: A December hike would underscore the BoJ as the lone major central bank tightening while the Fed eases, reinforcing medium-term appreciation bias for the yen. USD/JPY near-term bias turns bearish: Technicals signal fading upside momentum; below 156.10, risks skew toward a pullback toward 154.40 and lower, with rallies vulnerable unless resistance is decisively clea…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
In crypto news today, a few familiar names are back in the limelight. Fidelity CEO Abigail Johnson said she personally owns BTC and openly called Bitcoin the gold standard. At the same time, as Hal Finney, the creator of Bitcoin, and Satoshi Nakamoto discussions are circulating once again, the current price is still leaving us unsure about what kind of market we are really in. Fidelity has been buying quietly. Over recent months, the firm picked up millions of dollars’ worth of Bitcoin during market weakness. But the Bitcoin price has yet to act like we are in a classic bull cycle, although institutional buyers keep showing up anyway. In crypto news today, this contrast …
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On-chain data shows the top 100 whales on the Chainlink network have again started accumulating the asset recently, retracing their earlier distribution. Top Chainlink Addresses Have Been Adding Since The Start Of November In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Santiment has discussed about the latest trend in the holdings of the top Chainlink addresses. Santiment defines “top addresses” as the 100 largest wallets on the network. This category would naturally include the largest of whales on the blockchain, who carry some degree of influence due to the sheer size of their holdings. As such, the behavior of these investors may be worth monitoring. Now, here is the…
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Yesterday, the price of gold approached its record high as investors, digesting the U.S. labor market data, anxiously awaited inflation figures. The escalation of tensions in Venezuela has also increased demand for the metal. Silver similarly rose to a new high, continuing its powerful rally. The price of gold surpassed $4,325 per ounce, recovering from a slight decline in the previous session. The inflation data, to be published on Thursday, will be closely monitored to understand how it may affect the Federal Reserve's readiness for further rate cuts. The rise in gold prices was also influenced by events in Venezuela, where President Donald Trump ordered a blockade of a…
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As the crypto market recovers from the latest pullback, XRP is attempting to climb up from its recent lows. Some analysts have suggested that the cryptocurrency must defend its current levels or risk a 50% drop to levels not seen since 2024. XRP At Make-Or-Break Level Amid the start-of-week market correction, XRP recorded a 6% drop toward its lowest level in weeks. The price lost $2.00 support on Monday morning and continued to lose key levels despite uninterrupted institutional interest. The cryptocurrency has been trading within the $2.00-$2.25 price range over the past month, only losing its lower boundary during the late November pullback. Monday’s correction sent …
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EUR/USD traded around 1.1740 below the 21 SMA and above 4/8 Murray. The euro is expected to continue falling in the coming hours until it reaches support around 1.1718, at which point it could have a technical rebound. If the downward pressure prevails, we could expect the euro to reach the bottom of the uptrend channel around 1.1670, and it could even reach the 200 EMA around 1.1638. The euro could gain ground if it reaches and consolidates above the 21 SMA located at 1.1748. We could then expect EUR/USD to reach 5/8 Murray at 1.1779 and finally return to the psychological level of 1.1800. The Eagle indicator is showing negative signals, so any technical rebound could be…
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Gold is trading around $4,320, showing consolidation since November 11 around $4,300. This could indicate an upward movement towards the 8/8 Murray located at $4,375 in the coming days. If gold falls below $4,300, we could expect it to reach the bottom of the uptrend channel around $4,250, a key level that suggests a technical rebound, and we will enter long positions. If gold reaches the 8/8 Murray around $4,375, this could be seen as an opportunity to open short positions, as this represents a strong barrier for gold, and in turn, we could expect a technical correction. If the price breaks through and reaches $4,400, the instrument is more likely to continue its upward …
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Bitcoin is trading around $87,098, below the 21 SMA and below the 200 EMA, which indicates that it could continue its fall in the coming days and could reach 1/8 Murray around $80,000. On the H4 chart, we can see that Bitcoin has been moving within an uptrend channel formed since November 19. However, on several occasions, around $93,750, it has attempted to break above this zone without success. After a high of around $94,500, Bitcoin underwent a strong technical correction and is likely to reach $84,000 in the coming days. If this scenario occurs, it could even continue its downward acceleration and reach 0/8 Murray around $75,000. We could expect a recovery in Bitcoin …
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Ethereum (ETH/USD) is trading around $2,935, within a downtrend channel formed since December 10 and below the 21 SMA and below the 200 EMA, which adds pressure to the cryptocurrency. If ETH continues its bearish cycle, we could expect it to reach the 1/8 Murray around $2,812. If the bearish force prevails, we could expect it to reach 0/8 Murray around $2,500. If Ether breaks decisively and consolidates above the psychological level of $3,000, it could be seen as a signal to buy this crypto, with a target at 2/8 Murray around $3,125. ETH could even reach the December 10 high around the 3/8 Murray located at $3,437. Ethereum will likely continue its fall in the coming days…
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The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has officially concluded its investigation into the decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol Aave (AAVE), marking a significant development in the ongoing evolution of regulatory approaches within the cryptocurrency industry. Stani Kulechov, the founder and CEO of the Aave protocol, confirmed the end of the four-year investigation in a post on social media, expressing relief and optimism about the future of DeFi. Aave Founder Celebrates End Of SEC Investigation In his announcement, Kulechov emphasized the considerable effort and resources invested by the Aave team throughout this process. He stated, “We are finally ready to …
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Despite recent positive closes from spot XRP ETFs, the cryptocurrency’s price action is sending a clear warning to traders. Market structure remains weak, and without signs of a confirmed reversal, short-term risks persist. XRP’s current behavior highlights that bullish sentiment from ETFs alone isn’t enough to drive a sustained rally, making caution essential for anyone entering the market. New Year Volatility Hits Crypto Markets Hard Efloud, in a recent update, highlighted that with the start of the new year and continued uncertainty across the markets, cryptocurrencies have once again been among the hardest hit. Low trading volume and a lack of clear direction have ke…
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[Silver] If we pay attention to both EMAs of XAG/USD are in a Golden Cross condition, and the RSI is positioned in the Extreme-Bullish zone, it is clearly indicating that buyers are dominant and may lead Silver toward its nearest resistance level. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 65.253 2. Resistance. 1 : 64.482 3. Pivot : 63.318 4. Support. 1 : 62.547 5. Support. 2 : 61.383 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of Silver breaks above 64.482, it may move toward 65.253. Momentum Extension Bias: If 65.253 is successfully surpassed, then XAG/USD could test the level at 66.417. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weakens …
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[Gold] If we look at the position of EMA(50) which is above the EMA(200) and the RSI(14) in the Neutral-Bullish area, today XAU/USD has the potential to test its nearest resistance levels Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 4366.14 2. Resistance. 1 : 4333.98 3. Pivot : 4302.51 4. Support. 1 : 4270.35 5. Support. 2 : 4238.88 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of Gold breaks above 4302.51, it will have the opportunity to test 4333.98. Momentum Extension Bias: If 4333.98 is broken, then XAU/USD will try to test 4366.14. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weakens if the price of XAU/USD drops and closes below 4238.88. Tec…
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Solana started a recovery wave above the $126 zone. SOL price is now consolidating and faces hurdles near the $132 zone. SOL price started a decent recovery wave above $126 and $128 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $130 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $132 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could continue to move up if it clears $130 and $132. Solana Price Faces Resistance Solana price remained stable and started a decent recovery wave from $124, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL was able to climb above the $126 level. There was a move abo…
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Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other digital assets have witnessed a sharp retrace during the last 24 hours, which has resulted in a long squeeze on derivatives exchanges. Crypto Long Liquidations Have Neared $600 Million During The Past Day According to data from CoinGlass, the latest sharp price action in the cryptocurrency market has accompanied a huge amount of liquidations over at the derivatives side of the sector. “Liquidation” here naturally refers to the forceful closure that any open contract has to undergo after it has amassed losses of a certain degree. For long investors, this happens when the asset’s price drops, while for shorts, liquidation occurs after a surge…
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Analysis of Tuesday's Trades: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair also surged upward on Tuesday, having initially bounced off the ascending trend line. Throughout the day, traders received several technical buy signals. In addition to these signals, important reports were published in the UK in the morning, which were initially challenging for beginner traders to decipher, but they logically triggered an increase in the pair. We believe the key report was not the unemployment rate but the wage growth. Wages have a direct impact on inflation levels, and inflation, in turn, influences the monetary policy of the Bank of England. Thus, stronger wage growth mean…
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Analysis of Tuesday's Trades: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair The EUR/USD currency pair experienced fluctuations on Tuesday, moving both up and down. As we warned, volatility throughout the day was quite high, though not as extreme as it could have been. Traders largely overlooked the morning reports from the Eurozone, even though they could have triggered a drop in the European currency, as the business activity indices came in weaker than expected. The market was primarily focused on the forthcoming Non-Farm Payroll and unemployment reports from the US. Once these reports were released, the market seemed uncertain about how to react. To recap, the unemployment rate r…
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XRP price started a recovery wave above $1.90. The price is now consolidating and might struggle to clear the $2.00 resistance. XRP price started a recovery wave above the $1.9050 zone. The price is now trading below $2.00 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.9520 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above $2.00. XRP Price Faces Resistance XRP price remained supported above $1.850 and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to climb above $1.880 and $1.90 to enter a short-term positive zone. Ther…
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In a significant milestone for the evolution of on-chain finance, a new money market fund has selected Ethereum as its primary settlement layer toward blockchain-native infrastructure for traditional financial products. This decision reflects growing confidence in ETH security, scalability, ecosystem maturity, and qualities that institutional investors and asset managers increasingly demand when moving regulated financial instruments onto public blockchains. How The New On-Chain Settlement Improves Operational Efficiency The largest money whale in institutional finance just made its biggest move by launching a new money market fund on Ethereum, and it’s coming from J.P. …
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GBP/USD 5M Analysis The GBP/USD pair began to rise almost from the moment the market opened on Tuesday. However, in the second half of the day, when important US unemployment and labor-market reports were published, all upward movement halted. Overall, the British pound logically responded to the macroeconomic backdrop during the European trading session, but during the US session, we saw erratic movements with constantly changing directions. The US reports cannot be definitively interpreted as negative for the US dollar, but calling them positive is quite difficult. Essentially, the unemployment report alone is sufficient to label the entire batch of reports as weak.…
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Ethereum price started a fresh decline below $3,000. ETH is now consolidating and might soon aim to start a recovery wave if it clears $3,025. Ethereum started a fresh decline below the $3,050 zone. The price is trading below $3,000 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $3,110 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below the $2,900 zone. Ethereum Price Starts Consolidation Ethereum price failed to stay above $3,050 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin. ETH price dipped below $3,020 and $3,000 to enter a bearish zone. The bears…
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Cantor Fitzgerald, one of the world’s leading asset management firms, has released an in-depth report highlighting the promising future of the decentralized exchange (DEX) Hyperliquid (HYPE). The 62-page analysis predicts significant growth for both the platform and its native token over the next decade, painting a bullish outlook for investors. Hyperliquid As ‘The Exchange Of All Exchanges’ As detailed in the report, Hyperliquid operates as a decentralized exchange specializing in trading perpetual futures and is built on a custom layer-1 blockchain. Currently, HYPE has a fully diluted market cap of approximately $15.8 billion. Year-to-date (YTD) 2025, the platform…
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The GBP/USD pair soared during the first half of Tuesday. It's safe to say we weren't surprised by the growth in the British currency. For several months, we have consistently pointed out that the dollar has no real strengths, so the British currency would rise, with or without a corresponding macroeconomic background. However, yesterday the market had compelling reasons to buy the GBP/USD pair. Let's analyze it. First, note that this overview will not cover the Non-Farm Payrolls and unemployment reports, as they will be discussed in the EUR/USD article. In the morning, the UK released reports on unemployment, the number of unemployed, wages, and business activity indices…
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