Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has officially concluded its investigation into the decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol Aave (AAVE), marking a significant development in the ongoing evolution of regulatory approaches within the cryptocurrency industry. Stani Kulechov, the founder and CEO of the Aave protocol, confirmed the end of the four-year investigation in a post on social media, expressing relief and optimism about the future of DeFi. Aave Founder Celebrates End Of SEC Investigation In his announcement, Kulechov emphasized the considerable effort and resources invested by the Aave team throughout this process. He stated, “We are finally ready to …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Despite recent positive closes from spot XRP ETFs, the cryptocurrency’s price action is sending a clear warning to traders. Market structure remains weak, and without signs of a confirmed reversal, short-term risks persist. XRP’s current behavior highlights that bullish sentiment from ETFs alone isn’t enough to drive a sustained rally, making caution essential for anyone entering the market. New Year Volatility Hits Crypto Markets Hard Efloud, in a recent update, highlighted that with the start of the new year and continued uncertainty across the markets, cryptocurrencies have once again been among the hardest hit. Low trading volume and a lack of clear direction have ke…
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[Silver] If we pay attention to both EMAs of XAG/USD are in a Golden Cross condition, and the RSI is positioned in the Extreme-Bullish zone, it is clearly indicating that buyers are dominant and may lead Silver toward its nearest resistance level. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 65.253 2. Resistance. 1 : 64.482 3. Pivot : 63.318 4. Support. 1 : 62.547 5. Support. 2 : 61.383 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of Silver breaks above 64.482, it may move toward 65.253. Momentum Extension Bias: If 65.253 is successfully surpassed, then XAG/USD could test the level at 66.417. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weakens …
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[Gold] If we look at the position of EMA(50) which is above the EMA(200) and the RSI(14) in the Neutral-Bullish area, today XAU/USD has the potential to test its nearest resistance levels Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 4366.14 2. Resistance. 1 : 4333.98 3. Pivot : 4302.51 4. Support. 1 : 4270.35 5. Support. 2 : 4238.88 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of Gold breaks above 4302.51, it will have the opportunity to test 4333.98. Momentum Extension Bias: If 4333.98 is broken, then XAU/USD will try to test 4366.14. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weakens if the price of XAU/USD drops and closes below 4238.88. Tec…
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Solana started a recovery wave above the $126 zone. SOL price is now consolidating and faces hurdles near the $132 zone. SOL price started a decent recovery wave above $126 and $128 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $130 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $132 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could continue to move up if it clears $130 and $132. Solana Price Faces Resistance Solana price remained stable and started a decent recovery wave from $124, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL was able to climb above the $126 level. There was a move abo…
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Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other digital assets have witnessed a sharp retrace during the last 24 hours, which has resulted in a long squeeze on derivatives exchanges. Crypto Long Liquidations Have Neared $600 Million During The Past Day According to data from CoinGlass, the latest sharp price action in the cryptocurrency market has accompanied a huge amount of liquidations over at the derivatives side of the sector. “Liquidation” here naturally refers to the forceful closure that any open contract has to undergo after it has amassed losses of a certain degree. For long investors, this happens when the asset’s price drops, while for shorts, liquidation occurs after a surge…
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Analysis of Tuesday's Trades: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair also surged upward on Tuesday, having initially bounced off the ascending trend line. Throughout the day, traders received several technical buy signals. In addition to these signals, important reports were published in the UK in the morning, which were initially challenging for beginner traders to decipher, but they logically triggered an increase in the pair. We believe the key report was not the unemployment rate but the wage growth. Wages have a direct impact on inflation levels, and inflation, in turn, influences the monetary policy of the Bank of England. Thus, stronger wage growth mean…
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Analysis of Tuesday's Trades: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair The EUR/USD currency pair experienced fluctuations on Tuesday, moving both up and down. As we warned, volatility throughout the day was quite high, though not as extreme as it could have been. Traders largely overlooked the morning reports from the Eurozone, even though they could have triggered a drop in the European currency, as the business activity indices came in weaker than expected. The market was primarily focused on the forthcoming Non-Farm Payroll and unemployment reports from the US. Once these reports were released, the market seemed uncertain about how to react. To recap, the unemployment rate r…
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XRP price started a recovery wave above $1.90. The price is now consolidating and might struggle to clear the $2.00 resistance. XRP price started a recovery wave above the $1.9050 zone. The price is now trading below $2.00 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.9520 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above $2.00. XRP Price Faces Resistance XRP price remained supported above $1.850 and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to climb above $1.880 and $1.90 to enter a short-term positive zone. Ther…
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In a significant milestone for the evolution of on-chain finance, a new money market fund has selected Ethereum as its primary settlement layer toward blockchain-native infrastructure for traditional financial products. This decision reflects growing confidence in ETH security, scalability, ecosystem maturity, and qualities that institutional investors and asset managers increasingly demand when moving regulated financial instruments onto public blockchains. How The New On-Chain Settlement Improves Operational Efficiency The largest money whale in institutional finance just made its biggest move by launching a new money market fund on Ethereum, and it’s coming from J.P. …
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GBP/USD 5M Analysis The GBP/USD pair began to rise almost from the moment the market opened on Tuesday. However, in the second half of the day, when important US unemployment and labor-market reports were published, all upward movement halted. Overall, the British pound logically responded to the macroeconomic backdrop during the European trading session, but during the US session, we saw erratic movements with constantly changing directions. The US reports cannot be definitively interpreted as negative for the US dollar, but calling them positive is quite difficult. Essentially, the unemployment report alone is sufficient to label the entire batch of reports as weak.…
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Ethereum price started a fresh decline below $3,000. ETH is now consolidating and might soon aim to start a recovery wave if it clears $3,025. Ethereum started a fresh decline below the $3,050 zone. The price is trading below $3,000 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $3,110 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below the $2,900 zone. Ethereum Price Starts Consolidation Ethereum price failed to stay above $3,050 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin. ETH price dipped below $3,020 and $3,000 to enter a bearish zone. The bears…
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Cantor Fitzgerald, one of the world’s leading asset management firms, has released an in-depth report highlighting the promising future of the decentralized exchange (DEX) Hyperliquid (HYPE). The 62-page analysis predicts significant growth for both the platform and its native token over the next decade, painting a bullish outlook for investors. Hyperliquid As ‘The Exchange Of All Exchanges’ As detailed in the report, Hyperliquid operates as a decentralized exchange specializing in trading perpetual futures and is built on a custom layer-1 blockchain. Currently, HYPE has a fully diluted market cap of approximately $15.8 billion. Year-to-date (YTD) 2025, the platform…
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The GBP/USD pair soared during the first half of Tuesday. It's safe to say we weren't surprised by the growth in the British currency. For several months, we have consistently pointed out that the dollar has no real strengths, so the British currency would rise, with or without a corresponding macroeconomic background. However, yesterday the market had compelling reasons to buy the GBP/USD pair. Let's analyze it. First, note that this overview will not cover the Non-Farm Payrolls and unemployment reports, as they will be discussed in the EUR/USD article. In the morning, the UK released reports on unemployment, the number of unemployed, wages, and business activity indices…
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The EUR/USD currency pair soared throughout Tuesday. Initially, it moved up, then down, similar to the GBP/USD pair. We warned that volatility could be extremely high on Tuesday, as more than 10 important reports were scheduled for release throughout the day. However, it turned out that most of them did not even capture the traders' interest. The market had been waiting for only two reports for several weeks—Non-Farm Payrolls and the unemployment rate—and it finally got them. So, the number of new jobs created outside the agricultural sector in October was... drumroll... -105,000. Non-Farm Payrolls for November came in at +64,000, above the forecast of +50,000. The unempl…
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Bitcoin price declined further and traded below the $87,000 support zone. BTC is now consolidating and might struggle to clear the $89,350 zone. Bitcoin started a fresh decline below the $87,500 zone. The price is trading below $88,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $88,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it settles above the $89,350 zone. Bitcoin Price Consolidates Losses Bitcoin price struggled to stay above the $89,000 and $88,500 levels. BTC started a fresh decline and traded below the $88,000 support. The price even spiked bel…
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Michael Arrington, the founder of TechCrunch and CrunchBase, has placed XRP among his largest personal crypto holdings, according to a recent social post. He listed XRP as one of his top five positions by dollar value, alongside Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana and Immutable. The disclosure landed plenty of attention online and reignited debate about who is buying what and why. Arrington’s Holdings And Community Reaction Reports have disclosed that his post drew heavy engagement, with replies running the gamut from Bitcoin-only stances to more mixed portfolios. Several industry figures echoed Arrington’s mix; Tony Edward, for example, listed XRP with BTC and ETH when discuss…
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Bitcoin (BTC) has been struggling to regain momentum in the market, failing to surpass its nearest resistance level of $94,000 for over a month. The cryptocurrency is currently trading within a broad range between $85,000 and $93,000, leading to growing concerns about further price corrections in the upcoming months. Amid this uncertainty, market expert NoLimit recently expressed on social media platform X (formerly Twitter) that he anticipates Bitcoin could bottom out at around $40,000 sometime in 2026. This forecast implies a significant 54% decline from current levels, which are just above $87,860. A Historical Perspective On Market Cycles NoLimit’s analysis outlines…
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Almonty Industries (NASDAQ: ALM) (TSX: AII) (ASX: AII), announced Tuesday the first truckload of ore has been successfully delivered at the Sangdong tungsten mine in South Korea, marking the beginning of active mining operations and the final step before commencement of commercial production. Crushing, milling, and flotation circuits are proceeding as planned and support a smooth ramp-up toward full production, the company said. The deposit, located in the northeastern province of Gangwon, is said to host one of the largest tungsten resources in the world, along with one of the highest grades. Total reserves are measured at 7.9 million tonnes averaging 0.47% tu…
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According to a Grayscale outlook released Monday, the asset manager expects rising demand for alternatives and clearer rules in the US to push Bitcoin to a new all-time high in the first half of 2026. The report lays out 10 key investing themes for 2026 and ties the Bitcoin call to two main forces: growing portfolio demand for stores of value and what Grayscale describes as improving regulatory clarity. Spot-Bitcoin ETPs reached the market in 2024, the firm notes, and Congress passed the GENIUS Act in 2025, steps that the report says reduce barriers for big investors. Macro Risks And Demand For Crypto Grayscale frames its outlook around a simple macro point. Rising …
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XRP has slipped below the $2 level, a psychologically important threshold, as broader market conditions continue to deteriorate and selling pressure weighs on risk assets. While Bitcoin dominates liquidity and investor attention, altcoins are struggling to attract sustained demand, and XRP is increasingly reflecting this imbalance. According to a CryptoQuant report by Darkfost, the weakness in XRP is not an isolated event but part of a broader contraction across the altcoin market. Whether on spot markets or in derivatives, trading activity has been shrinking significantly over recent months. Liquidity is gradually drying up, signaling a clear retreat from speculative p…
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One of the cleaner tells in crypto is when the old supply decides it’s time. Not “made a quick 20% and clipped it” time — years old. That’s basically what Glassnode researcher CryptoVizArt flagged after an XRP wallet aged roughly 5–7 years (with a cost basis around $0.40) realized more than $721.5 million in profit on Dec. 11. A single wallet doesn’t “break” a market on its own. But the timing is the point: this wasn’t profit-taking into a rip. It landed while XRP was showing weakness right at the $2.0 key level. CryptoVizArt wrote via X: “On December 11th, a 5-7 year old XRP wallet address (with a cost basis of $0.4) realized over $721.5M in profit! A rare sizable pr…
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Vale (NYSE:VALE), Caterpillar and Sotreq have signed an agreement to expand the fleet of autonomous haul trucks in iron ore operations in the Northern System in Pará, Brazil. Currently, the Northern System operation has 14 autonomous haul trucks with a capacity to carry up to 320 tons. The new agreement expands the fleet to approximately 90 autonomous trucks in the region by 2028, operated by Cat MineStar Command for hauling, including trucks with a capacity to carry up to 400-tons. The technology, VALE said, will be gradually expanded over the next five years at the Serra Norte and Serra Sul units. The implementation will be accompanied by a plan to prepare e…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for December 16 The session started on a sour note following the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, which sent conflicting signals to traders and initially weighed on sentiment. All indexes traded lower after a timid open until the mid-session, when major dip-buying stepped in as key psychological support levels came into play. The Nasdaq led the reversal, reclaiming 25,000 to turn positive on the day, while the S&P 500 and Dow Jones defended the 6,800 and 48,000 marks, respectively. The Unemployment Rate ticking higher—now sitting above the Fed's 2025 projections—initially sent chills through market participants. …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has retraced to the $85,000 level, a critical support zone that bulls must defend to prevent a deeper breakdown. After failing to reclaim higher levels, price action has slowed and volatility has compressed, reinforcing a market environment dominated by apathy and fear. Sentiment across the crypto space has deteriorated sharply, with a growing number of analysts openly discussing the possibility of a prolonged bear market extending into next year. In this context, understanding who is actually selling becomes far more important than the price move itself. According to a recent CryptoQuant report, Bitcoin’s pullback from the ~$88.2K region toward ~$85K provides …
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