Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11729 tópicos neste fórum
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Gold's strong rally yesterday, along with its tilt toward the rising 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the 4-hour chart, confirmed the bulls' advantage in the market. The positive oscillators on both the 4-hour and daily charts also support the likelihood of further upside in XAU/USD in the near term. Therefore, further strengthening beyond the $4145–4150 level toward resistance at $4180 — on the way to the round $4200 level — appears quite likely. The momentum could continue and test the monthly high near $4245. On the other hand, any pullback into the level of the 9- and 14-period EMAs on the same chart may be seen as a buying opportunity, with strong suppo…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Today, the price of the precious metal is holding near yesterday's closing high as traders assess the increased likelihood of a December interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve following dovish statements by policymakers. The latest surge in gold prices was driven by rising expectations of a rate cut, and U.S. economic data released with a delay on Tuesday further reinforced these expectations. New York Federal Reserve President John Williams said on Friday that he is confident rates can be lowered soon without jeopardizing the central bank's inflation target. In turn, Fed Governor Christopher Waller noted on Monday that labor market conditions are soft enough to justify…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Gold climbed to a six-week high on Monday, although it did not show strong follow-through buying. From a technical perspective, overcoming and sustaining above $4,250 would provide a new stimulus for bulls, opening the path for further gains. With daily chart oscillators in positive territory, gold could surpass intermediate resistance around $4,270 on its way to the round level of $4,300. On the other hand, the Asian session low near the $4,200 round level provides protection against an immediate decline. Any further weakening could be viewed as a buying opportunity, with support likely around $4,180 and $4,150. A decisive break below the latter would trigger technical s…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday's rebound of gold from the $4160 support level and its subsequent movement to the upside favor the bulls. Nevertheless, before being confident in a continued rise of the precious metal, it would be prudent to wait for confirmation above the strong resistance at $4250. In this case, gold may break the weekly high near $4270 and aim for the round level of $4300. On the other hand, a decline below the round level of $4200 will attract buyers and find solid support ahead of the $4150 level. This level will become a key pivot point — breaking it would push gold down to the round level of $4100, en route to the confluence support zone at $4075, then toward the 50-day …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The recent unsuccessful attempt to find support above the $4,250 level and the subsequent decline favor the bears. However, positive technical oscillators on the daily chart indicate that any downturn will find strong support near the weekly low set on Tuesday around $4,160. But further selling below this level will push prices toward the round level of $4,100 on the way to $4,075. This level is close to the 50-day SMA, which may become a base in the near future. On the other hand, since gold has already surpassed the round $4,200 level today, resistance at $4,250 may still serve as a strong barrier before $4,270, above which the precious metal will attempt to reclaim the…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Gold is showing moderate gains during the day, pausing near record highs reached earlier on Tuesday, though prices remain below the round level of 3700. Bulls have taken a breather after a sharp surge to new historic highs, preparing for potential changes in central bank policies. However, downward potential remains limited due to fundamentally supportive factors for the yellow metal. Strengthening confidence that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates this week is pushing the U.S. dollar close to yearly lows, which in turn boosts demand for this non-yielding precious metal. In addition, rising geopolitical risks amid the intensifying Russia–Ukraine conflict are dr…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Today, gold prices are correcting from the record high reached on Tuesday, amid a moderate recovery in the U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar has paused its decline as markets reposition ahead of the key FOMC rate decision, which has put slight pressure on the precious metal. As a result, gold ended its three-day winning streak after setting a new all-time high. Nevertheless, downward potential remains limited. Investors are convinced that the Federal Reserve will resume its rate-cutting cycle, with two cuts expected before the end of this year. This outlook caps further U.S. dollar strength and supports gold, keeping it near historical highs. In addition, geopolitical risks st…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Gold prices are declining for the second consecutive day from record highs after volatility triggered by the Fed's actions. For the second day in a row, gold prices are retreating from record highs after volatility sparked by the Fed's moves. The metal broke below $3658 and the 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart, shifting momentum to the downside. This opens the way toward the psychological level of $3600, with stronger support seen in the $3565–3578 level, where the 100-SMA on the 4-hour chart is located. The $3658 level, together with the 50-period SMA, now acts as resistance, capping any rebound attempts from current levels. A breakout above this…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Despite positive U.S. data and pressure on the precious metal from the dollar, gold continues to attract buyers. From a technical perspective, however, Tuesday's failure near the round level of 3800 can be seen as the first sign of possible exhaustion of the bullish trend, given the persistent overbought condition of the daily RSI (Relative Strength Index). Still, last week's breakout above 3700 was viewed as a key trigger for the bulls, confirming the likelihood of buying on pullbacks near that level. That said, a decisive break below 3700 would trigger technical selling, pushing the yellow metal toward intermediate support at 3645 on the way to the 3615–3600 level. On t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Today, gold is attracting buyers again, while the dollar has shown weakness during the day despite positive PMI data.On Tuesday, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned that a government shutdown could inflict more significant damage on the economy than previously thought, weighing on GDP, economic growth, and the labor market. However, traders remain optimistic, expecting the effects of a partial shutdown to be limited. This optimism fueled new record highs on Wall Street and continues to support positive sentiment in the stock markets. This acts as an additional factor reducing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, although a large-scale corrective decline has not…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Today, Thursday, gold continues to consolidate, although it holds above the key level of $4000 thanks to mixed fundamental data. The agreement reached between Israel and Hamas on launching the first stage of a peace plan reduces geopolitical tensions and prompts investors to lock in profits on the safe-haven asset — the precious metal, which still appears overbought. At the same time, the U.S. dollar is strengthening its weekly gains, reaching new highs since early August, which further weakens the momentum of this precious metal. Nevertheless, dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve still provide some support to vulnerable gold, helping to limit its decline. In addi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Today, gold set another all-time high, moving toward the next psychological level of $4,100, supported by a strong fundamental backdrop. Investor sentiment toward risk assets deteriorated sharply late last week after President Trump threatened to impose 100% tariffs on Chinese goods and tighten export controls on key software starting November 1. Beijing responded by criticizing Washington for its "double standards" and hinted at unspecified countermeasures should the U.S. threats be implemented, stressing that it is not afraid of a potential trade war. However, over the weekend, Trump softened his rhetoric, stating on Truth Social that the U.S. is not interested in harmi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Today, gold has updated its all-time high, driven by a series of fundamental factors. This week has been marked by new threats from U.S. President Donald Trump, who announced the possible suspension of trade operations with China — including shipments of vegetable oil and other goods — in response to Beijing's refusal to purchase American soybeans. In turn, China announced additional special port fees for American vessels entering its ports, as well as stricter export restrictions on rare earth metals. These measures indicate a significant escalation of the trade conflict between the world's two largest economies. At the same time, geopolitical risks and concerns that the…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Gold prices have stabilized. Against the backdrop of escalating trade conflicts between the United States and China in recent weeks, concerns about a potential full-scale trade war have intensified. U.S. President Donald Trump threatened to raise tariffs on Chinese goods to 100% in response to tighter restrictions on rare earth metal exports. In addition, both countries announced the introduction of reciprocal port fees for vessels linked to each other's fleets, further fueling fears of a continued deterioration in trade relations. At the same time, concerns over a prolonged U.S. government shutdown have supported gold, which continues its record rally as a safe-haven ass…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
At the start of the new week, gold continues to show a modest intraday rise, although it is not displaying strong confidence, remaining within its weekly trading range. From a technical standpoint, the 200-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) has been providing support for the precious metal since the beginning of this month. At the moment, the 200-hour EMA is located near $4190 and should become a key reference point for short-term traders. A decisive break below this level would trigger technical selling, making gold prices vulnerable to an accelerated decline toward the $4160–4163 level—the December monthly low—on the way to levels below the round $4100 level. If this…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Today, gold bounced off a level slightly above the round $4,200, accelerating its upward momentum. Yesterday, as expected, the U.S. Federal Reserve cut the interest rate by 25 basis points following a two-day meeting and projected only one possible rate cut in 2026. However, investors expect two more cuts next year, especially after the dovish comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. At the post-meeting press conference, Powell noted that the U.S. labor market faces significant downside risks and that the central bank does not want its economic-tightening policies to hinder job creation. This comment weakened the U.S. dollar and helped gold reach a new weekly high. Neverthe…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Gold is once again attracting buyers, despite the release of positive U.S. economic data, against the backdrop of escalating geopolitical risks. Earlier this week, comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell pushed the U.S. dollar to a two-week high, putting pressure on gold prices. Powell sought to temper expectations of significant rate cuts, noting that overly sharp easing could leave the fight against inflation unfinished and require policy adjustments. Nevertheless, traders still expect the Fed to cut rates in October and December, following this month's 25 basis point reduction prompted by labor market concerns. This "dovish" outlook limits further dollar gain…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Thursday, gold was trying to maintain its optimism. On Wednesday, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) announced that the Producer Price Index (PPI) in the US annually fell to 2.6% in August compared to 3.3% a month earlier. Other indicators showed that the core PPI—excluding food and energy—rose 2.8% year-on-year, down from 3.7% in July. The absence of inflationary pressure from producers, despite the imposed import tariffs, signals weakening domestic demand amid instability in the labor market. Even though the released Consumer Price Index exceeded forecasts, this dynamic supports market expectations of an upcoming interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve at next…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Friday, gold attracted buyers amid expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut borrowing costs two more times this year. Fed Chair Jerome Powell did not provide any new policy signals, but the minutes of the FOMC's September meeting, released Wednesday, confirmed ongoing concerns about inflation. Despite this, traders still largely expect two additional rate cuts by the Fed before the end of the year. The U.S. government shutdown continues into its second week, with no progress on a funding agreement. On Thursday, the Senate rejected competing budget proposals for the seventh time and does not plan further votes until next week, when the upper chamber is expect…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The price of gold closed the week within the same range, as Federal Reserve officials opened the possibility of a rate cut at the December meeting. In the last three days before the weekend, the price of precious metals fluctuated as traders remained uncertain about future market moves. Statements from Fed officials and the release of new economic data indicate economic stability, a resilient labor market, but high prices. Comments from John Williams and New York Fed President Stephen Miran were "dovish," increasing the likelihood of a 25 basis point rate cut in December. In contrast, Lorie Logan from the Dallas Fed and Susan Collins from the Boston Fed indicated the need…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Monday, the price of gold surged sharply, breaking through the $4,110 level, driven by investors' confident expectations of a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve at the December meeting, considering the ongoing stream of economic data from the U.S. The recovery of the yellow metal has continued for the fourth consecutive day while remaining in a narrow range alongside the decline in U.S. Treasury yields. Soft statements from Fed officials have increased the likelihood of a 25-basis-point rate cut in December. Fed Chair Christopher Waller supported a rate cut in December, echoing comments by John Williams, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, last Fr…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Stellar (XLM) has made its fourth attempt since June to break the $0.45 resistance, though it now trades at $0.36 after repeated rejections. Analysts note that such repeated tests often signal “resistance fatigue,” suggesting sellers may be running out of steam. This attempt comes at a time when Stellar’s fundamentals are strengthening. The much-anticipated Protocol 23 upgrade and growing adoption of real-world assets (RWA), now valued at more than $460 million, are providing a strong narrative for a potential breakout. Why $0.45 Could Define Stellar’s Next Move Despite optimism around Stellar (XLM), it remains one of the biggest losers among the top 20 cryptocurrencie…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Stellar Lumens hit a critical support level this week at $0.20, putting the token in a precarious spot. At that price, XLM sits 30% below its peak in May and 60% under its 2024 high. Based on reports, bears have been piling on, pushing the funding rate into negative territory since early June. If that support gives way, traders warn XLM could slide toward $0.15, a drop of about 35%. Network Activity Up According to Artemis, operations on the Stellar network surged to 197 million in June. Stablecoin supply also reached a record $667 million. Over the past five months, the total value locked in real‑world asset tokenization grew to $487 million, helped by new offerings …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
How has Monero Crypto been doing so well throughout this whole bear market? Although Zcash has been mooning, the entire privacy narrative, including .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
[Palladium vs USD] With all technical conditions such as the Golden Cross intersection between the two EMAs and the RSI in the Neutral-Bullish area, then XPD/USD has the potential to strengthen in the near term. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 1530.57 2. Resistance. 1 : 1508.51 3. Pivot : 1464.88 4. Support. 1 : 1442.82 5. Support. 2 : 1399.19 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of XPD/USD breaks out and closes above 1464.88, it has the potential to strengthen to 1508.51. Momentum Extension Bias: If 1508.51 is successfully broken, then XPD/USD will test the level at 1530.57. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weake…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
