Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11825 tópicos neste fórum
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The narrative surrounding XRP, the digital asset native to the XRP Ledger, has shifted from a speculative cryptocurrency to a recognized digital asset within the global financial system. This shift reflects growing legal clarity and rising interest from financial institutions seeking compliant blockchain-based solutions for payments, liquidity, and settlement. How Institutional Interest In XRP Continues To Build As XRP gains recognition in regulated financial markets, it’s moving beyond its earlier perception as a speculative digital asset. An analyst known as Skipper_xrp has mentioned on X that this milestone has placed XRP in the conversation alongside traditional ass…
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The Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, which comes out on December 16, 2025, is the first full look at the US job market since September, and it will be a crucial factor in determining the Federal Reserve's (Fed) strategy for interest rates throughout 2026. This jobs data will either prove that the Fed was right to implement the controversial rate cuts of 75 basis points since September, or it will suggest that the central bank was too aggressive in cutting rates. The report is complicated because it includes both October and November job numbers and is slightly skewed by issues like the recent government shutdown and delayed resignations of federal workers. Most Read: Santa…
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Bitcoin continues to struggle below the $90,000 level, failing to reclaim higher ground as bulls focus on defending current demand zones. After a sharp correction from recent highs, price action has entered a consolidation phase that, on the surface, appears relatively calm. Volatility has compressed, and short-term price movements suggest a market pausing rather than decisively breaking down. However, this apparent stability may be misleading. According to a CryptoQuant report from XWIN Research Japan, on-chain data is signaling growing structural risk beneath the surface. The Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse (IFP), a metric that tracks the movement of Bitcoin between exchang…
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In this short piece, we will dive into who will be the Federal Reserve Voters for 2026. It is extremely essential to keep an eye on what current and next-year voters are saying in their appearances, as their speeches and comments can trigger massive reactions in Markets and potentially open up trade opportunities. Naturally, traders should always keep an eye on the Fed Chair, who appears occasionally but also provides Market-moving testimonies twice a year, traditionally around the end of February and the end of June. There have been numerous examples of appearances from Fed Speakers which have changed the trajectory of markets and the pricing for the upcoming meeting.…
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The Bitcoin price outlook remains under scrutiny as market analysts assess whether the world’s largest cryptocurrency can still reach $140,000. Given BTC’s recent downturn and fluctuating price, it’s understandable that a dramatic surge to $140,000 could be viewed skeptically. However, the analyst points to global M2 Money Supply, highlighting its correlation with Bitcoin and its support for a significant upside move. New discussions have emerged in the crypto space about the relationship between the Bitcoin price action and the global M2 Money Supply. Pseudonymous crypto analyst ‘MoneyLord’ has projected a massive price surge to $140,000 for BTC based on M2 data. The an…
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Westgold Resources (ASX, TSX: WGX) plans to demerge by spinning out its non-core gold exploration assets in the Murchison region of Western Australia and launch an initial public offering on the ASX for their holding company, to be named Valiant Gold. A demerger allows the company to focus on its larger and higher-grade operating assets while creating a team to advance its early-stage projects through funds raised by the IPO, Westgold said in a press release on Monday. Included in the spinout are Reedy’s and Comet — two 100%-owned brownfield assets with a combined mineral resource of 15.6 million tonnes grading 2.4 grams per tonne gold, for 1.2 million oz. of cont…
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Bitcoin continues to struggle below the $90,000 level, failing to reclaim key resistance as bulls attempt to defend current demand zones. Price action reflects a market under pressure, with momentum fading after a prolonged correction. From its all-time high, Bitcoin has now retraced roughly 30%, placing the asset firmly in a corrective phase where uncertainty and caution dominate trading behavior. According to a report from Axel Adler, on-chain data confirms that market stress is no longer limited to price alone. Two key indicators—the Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (STH SOPR) and the P/L Block—are signaling broad loss realization among participants and a …
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Friday provided a sharp shift in post-FOMC flows. The strong rallies in Equities—particularly in defensive sectors—turned sour as Fed members began to voice concerns regarding their recent decision. The bounce in the Debasement Trade following the Fed meeting came as a surprise, especially given that the cut and projections were more defensive than aggressive. Indeed, making a dovish case for 2026 is proving difficult, with the recent Dot Plot indicating only 1 to 2 cuts for the coming year. zoom_out_map …
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The wave count on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has changed, but overall it still remains quite clear. There is no talk of canceling the upward trend segment that began in January 2025, although the wave structure since July 1 has become complex and extended. In my view, the pair has completed the formation of corrective wave 4, which took on a very non-standard shape. Within this wave, we observed exclusively corrective structures, leaving no doubt about the corrective nature of the decline. In my opinion, the formation of the upward trend segment is not complete, and its targets may extend as far as the 1.25 level. The series of waves a–b–c–d–e looks complete; therefore,…
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At the start of the new week, the Japanese yen strengthened against the U.S. dollar, pushing USD/JPY down to the psychological level of 155 as investors digested the results of the Q4 Tankan survey. According to the quarterly Tankan survey published by the Bank of Japan on Monday, the index for large Japanese manufacturers rose to 15 in the fourth quarter of 2025, up from 14.0 previously. Forecasts were also released, showing that the outlook index for major manufacturing companies stands at 15.0, compared with 12.0 in the previous report. Commenting on the survey results, a senior Bank of Japan official said that companies cited reduced uncertainty over U.S. trade policy…
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For GBP/USD, the wave count continues to indicate the formation of an upward trend segment (bottom chart), but over the past few weeks it has taken on a complex and extended form (top chart). The trend segment that began on July 1 can be considered wave 4, or any global corrective wave, as it clearly has a corrective rather than impulsive internal wave structure. The same applies to its internal sub-waves. The downward wave structure that started on September 17 took the form of a five-wave pattern a–b–c–d–e and has been completed. The instrument is now in the process of forming a new upward wave sequence. Of course, any wave structure can become more complex and extended…
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The week ahead is critical for shaping the dollar's next move. After the FOMC cut rates by 25 basis points last week, the dollar weakened against most major currencies, and markets are now waiting for the release of data that had been delayed by the shutdown. On Tuesday, labor market reports for both October and November will be published, followed by inflation data on Thursday. These releases will allow markets to reassess both the outlook for the dollar and the Federal Reserve's next steps. The rate has now been cut for the third consecutive time, which Powell describes as "risk management." But what risks are actually being referred to? Markets are currently pricing in…
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It is hard to believe that less than four years ago, AVAX USDT was trading in the triple digits, at an all-time high of $158. Since that day in early 2022, Avalanche crypto has fallen by -91%, with today’s -4.2% drop the latest bloodbath for the Layer-1 blockchain project. During its height, AVAX was also a top 15 token by market cap, but has since dropped to 32nd, with a valuation of $5.3Bn, a fall from grace as the token was once valued at over $30Bn. A recent alliance with the US SEC has the Avalanche crypto community hoping that favourable oversight could rescue their token from the depths of hell. Market Cap…
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XRP has spent the past several weeks moving sideways around the $2.00 level, even as headlines around Ripple and the broader XRP ecosystem continue to stack up. Related Reading: Dogecoin Holds Demand Zone Above $0.13, What A Bounce Would Do From a $300 million venture fund expansion into South Korea to nearly $1 billion in spot ETF inflows and fresh regulatory approvals, the backdrop appears supportive on paper. However, price action tells a different story. Instead of responding to institutional traction and regional growth, XRP remains locked in a tight range, reflecting a disconnect between developments and market behavior. Institutional Growth Isn’t Translating…
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Early in the American session, the euro is trading around 1.1752, close to its high reached last Friday and showing signs of exhaustion. EUR/USD is trading around its high reached on Friday. EUR/USD is showing signs of exhaustion as it is close to the 5/8 Murray resistance level, which is acting as a barrier. If the euro continues to rise in the coming hours, it should attempt to break through the top of the uptrend channel around 1.1780 and also break above the 5/8 Murray level, which could be seen as a positive sign. Hence, EUR/USD could reach the 6/8 Murray level around 1.1840. On the contrary, if the euro falls below 1.1760, we could expect a technical correction, and…
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Gold is trading around $4,329, forming a double top pattern after reaching last week's high of around $4,350. Gold could undergo a technical correction in the coming days and could reach the bottom of the bullish downtrend channel around $4,160. As long as the price remains below $4,350, it could be seen as an opportunity to open short positions with targets at $4,300 and the 21 SMA located at $4,270. Moreover, we could even expect gold to reach the strong support zone around $4,218. On the contrary, if gold breaks decisively above $4,350, it will be exposed to strong resistance around $4,375, where the 8/8 Murray is located. This zone could be seen as a signal to enter s…
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Li-FT Power (TSXV: LIFT) has significantly expanded its presence in Quebec with a proposed acquisition of Australia’s Winsome Resources (ASX: WR1) and a deal to grab a majority stake in a project held jointly by Azimut Exploration (TSXV: AZM) and SOQUEM. In a statement on Monday, the Canadian lithium developer said it has signed a binding scheme implementation deed to acquire all issued shares of Winsome, offering 0.107 of a common share for each Winsome share acquired. This exchange ratio implies a per-share value of A$0.501 for Winsome, calculated using a five-day volume-weighted average price for Li-FT shares on the TSX Venture Exchange. The per-share considera…
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Bitcoin is trading around $89,797 within the uptrend channel formed since November 24, rebounding after reaching the bottom of the uptrend channel at the 2/8 Murray line located at $87,500. Bitcoin could continue its rise in the coming days until it reaches the top of the uptrend channel around $98,700. The key would be to wait for the Bitcoin price to consolidate above $90,000 and above the 21 SMA located at 90,467. If this scenario occurs, we could look for opportunities to open long positions, with targets at $93,750 and finally at $98,000. On the contrary, if Bitcoin breaks sharply and consolidates below the uptrend channel and below $87,000, we could expect the price…
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ETHEREUM is trading around $3,125 above the 21 SMA around the 2/8 Murray support, with a slight recovery after reaching the psychological level of $3,000. In the coming hours, Ethereum could continue its rise and could reach $3,200. It could even gain bullish momentum and could reach the 3/8 of Murray around $3,437. If Ethereum reaches the strong resistance zone around $3,437, which also coincides with the top of the uptrend channel around $3,500. If the price settles below the zone of the 200 EMA, it could be seen as an opportunity to open short positions. On the other hand, if ETH trades below the 21 SMA and below the 2/8 Murray, we could expect it to continue its bear…
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The yen strengthened again against the U.S. dollar after the Bank of Japan pointed to further progress on wages, a key factor that effectively confirms the need for an interest rate hike at the meeting scheduled for this week. The report shows that, despite U.S. tariffs, the trend toward rising wages remains intact. "In most reports from the head office and regional branches, it was noted that companies expect wage increases in fiscal year 2026 at roughly the same pace as in fiscal year 2025, when strong wage growth was recorded," the Bank of Japan said in a report published on Monday. The market reacted swiftly to these signals, interpreting them as a harbinger of furth…
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The interest rate cut expected from the Bank of England this week is limiting the British pound's further upward potential and is also prompting investors and traders to consider whether the monetary policy easing cycle may be nearing its end, almost a year and a half after it began. The 25-basis-point rate cut expected on Thursday, which would bring the Bank of England's base rate down to 3.75%, could negatively affect the pound in the short term. However, the rate would already be one to two cuts below the level that a number of experts—including Governor Andrew Bailey—consider to be the UK's neutral interest rate. For this reason, attention will shift to the Bank of E…
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Crypto pundit Crypto Wimar has explained why the Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP prices crashed, highlighting the continuous selling pressure. The crypto market is also at risk of further downward pressure due to macro factors such as the impending Japan rate hike. Why The Bitcoin, Ethereum, And XRP Prices Crashed In an X post, Crypto Wimar revealed that Wintermute has dumped 40% of its holdings over the last three weeks, which has contributed to the crash in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP prices. The crypto pundit further noted that the market maker is still dumping millions in BTC and ETH on Binance, which puts these coins at risk of further declines. The Bitcoin, Ethereum,…
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Market Insights Podcast (15/12/2025): Join OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong and podcast host Jonny Hart as they discuss the latest in central bank monetary policy, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, Friday's sell-off in US equities, the US dollar, and more. Join OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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Ethereum (ETH) has entered another period of tight price compression, a phase that has left traders split between expectations of a renewed rally and concerns about a deeper correction. As of December 15, the Ethereum price trades near the $3,100 level, drifting sideways after several failed attempts to reclaim higher resistance zones. The narrowing range reflects hesitation across the market, with declining volumes, mixed technical signals, and contrasting institutional activity. Despite modest intraday fluctuations, Ethereum’s broader structure shows a market waiting for direction. Trading activity has slowed compared to earlier in the year, suggesting reduced specul…
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