Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11845 tópicos neste fórum
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Cardano (ADA) is getting the “2020 blastoff” treatment again — at least if you ask Quantum Ascend, a technical analyst on X who says the chart is starting to rhyme with the setup that preceded ADA’s last major run. In a Dec. 13 video shared on X, Quantum Ascend (@quantum_ascend) told followers he’s been working through a longer-term weekly count and thinks the market may be grinding toward the end of a drawn-out corrective structure. The punchline: a “conservative” target zone around $4.88–$5.50, and a “primary” bull-run target of $10.40. “Cardano Mirroring 2020 Blastoff Moment,” his post read, before laying out the two tiers: “Conservative: $4.88-$5.50” and “Primary: $…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The GBP/USD currency pair traded quite calmly throughout Monday, and calm movements for the pound this week would be the best possible scenario. It is worth noting that the Bank of England is very likely to lower the key interest rate this week, which is a "bearish" factor. We still believe that the pound will not face any significant problems in this regard, as the US dollar rose in October and November without any clear grounds. Thus, we maintain the view that the global upward trend remains intact, indicating that the pound will continue to rise. However, it cannot be denied that this week holds many sharp turns for the British currency, just as it does for the US doll…
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The EUR/USD currency pair traded quite calmly on Monday, as we had warned. The only interesting event scheduled for Monday was the publication of the European Union's industrial production report. This indicator slightly exceeded forecast values, but only in annual terms. Overall, this report can be deemed interesting but not important. Accordingly, the reaction to it was minimal. Nevertheless, the euro is rising, and what lies ahead for both the euro and the dollar this week remains a mystery. It is worth noting that this week is significant not only because of the meetings of the European Central Bank and the Bank of England, but also because of the publication of regul…
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GBP/USD 5M Analysis The GBP/USD currency pair traded very weakly on Monday, although with a slight upward bias. There was a complete lack of macroeconomic and fundamental background both in the UK and the US yesterday, so traders had nothing to react to throughout the day. However, they weren't particularly keen on trading ahead of a completely chaotic Tuesday. A considerable number of important reports will be published today in both the UK and the US, so no one wants to take risks by opening positions on Monday. The upward trend on the hourly timeframe for the British pound remains, but no one can know how the day will end. We believe that macroeconomic reports may …
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EUR/USD 5M Analysis The EUR/USD currency pair showed no notable movements on Monday, and overall volatility was minimal. As anticipated, the report on European industrial production had little impact on the pair's movement throughout the day. The market made another attempt to continue the upward trend but quickly calmed down, recalling that tomorrow is a significant day. We are not joking. There hasn't been such a volume of important macroeconomic reports in one day for a long time. Of course, about a third of these reports should not even take place. The Non-Farm Payrolls and unemployment rate reports are being released unplanned, two weeks late. Additionally, the A…
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Ethereum price started a fresh decline below $3,000. ETH is now consolidating and might soon aim to start a recovery wave above $2,980. Ethereum started a fresh decline from the $3,175 zone. The price is trading below $3,000 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $3,120 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below the $2,920 zone. Ethereum Price Dips 5% Ethereum price failed to stay above $3,150 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin. ETH price dipped below $3,120 and $3,050 to enter a bearish zone. The bears even pushed the pric…
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Shiba Inu has kept a spot in crypto talk even as its price has slid sharply. According to reports, the network had a market cap of $5 billion as of Dec. 6, and it still draws attention because people know the name. That visibility, however, does not settle the debate over whether the token belongs in a long-term portfolio. Shiba Inu’s Price And Market Size Based on reports, Shiba Inu has seen massive moves over several years. Roughly five years ago it traded near $0.0000000001684; at the time of writing, it is quoted at about $0.000008439. SHIB’s all-time high stands at $0.00008845, which means the token trades roughly 85% below that peak. Reports have disclosed that S…
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Bitcoin price corrected gains and traded below the $88,000 support zone. BTC is now consolidating and might struggle to clear the $88,500 zone. Bitcoin started a fresh decline from the $90,500 zone. The price is trading below $88,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $89,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it settles above the $85,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Dips Further Bitcoin price failed to gain strength for a move above the $90,000 and $90,500 levels. BTC started a fresh decline and traded below the $88,500 support. The price even sp…
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A cryptocurrency analyst has pointed out how Cardano has formed a technical analysis (TA) signal on its weekly chart that last led into a major price drawdown. Cardano SuperTrend Has Flipped Bearish In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about a signal that has appeared in the SuperTrend of Cardano. The “SuperTrend” refers to a TA indicator that’s generally used for determining whether a given asset is following a bearish or bullish trend. It’s built using the Average True Range (ATR), another TA indicator that measures the degree of volatility being experienced by the price. The SuperTrend is represented by a single trendline that acts as both support and…
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Questions about whether Cardano (ADA) is beginning to lose momentum have surfaced more often in recent crypto market coverage, driven by price action that continues to shape trader sentiment. ADA has moved lower as traders reassess their risk exposure. That shift has diverted some attention away from larger, established tokens and toward lower-priced assets, which are seen as easier entry points and, by some, among the best options to buy in crypto. Selling pressure on Cardano has continued to build, and the market reaction has been swift. ADA extended its decline, falling another -10% to trade near $0.41 at the time of writing. …
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Bitcoin risks a further drop toward the $70,000 area if the Bank of Japan follows through with an expected interest-rate rise on Dec. 19, analysts focused on macro forces warned. According to multiple macro-focused voices, the move could sap global liquidity and put fresh downward pressure on risk assets, with some traders already bracing for a sharp pullback. Japan’s policy shift matters because higher rates tend to strengthen the yen and raise the cost of borrowing. When that happens, traders who previously borrowed cheaply in yen to invest elsewhere are often forced to unwind those positions. That process can pull money out of global markets in a short period of ti…
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Ethereum (ETH) is currently consolidating in a tight range following its recent selloff, demonstrating resilience by holding above key support zones. However, the price remains firmly capped by a descending trendline and structural resistance around the $3,400 level. While buyers defend the vital $2,905 low, the trend remains sideways until ETH can achieve a decisive close above the descending resistance to initiate the next major rally. ETH Attempts To Stabilize After The Selloff According to a daily update from CyrilXBT, Ethereum is attempting to form a base following its recent selloff, but the price remains capped below the 50-day EMA around $3,281. This level contin…
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XRP’s price action in recent days has led to speculations among crypto traders over whether it could fall below the $2 support zone and how deep any pullback might go before a bottom is established. Popular XRP analyst Zach Rector addressed this concern shared by many market participants during an interview on the Paul Barron Podcast as to how low XRP could realistically fall before buyers step in and whether a return to the $1 level is still possible under current conditions. Zach Rector Says $1 XRP Is Virtually Impossible Inflows into Spot XRP ETFs have been largely offset by selling pressure on centralized exchanges, keeping the cryptocurrency range-bound just above…
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The most interesting aspect of this story is that the US Supreme Court may issue a decision that is "neither here nor there." On one hand, the court has already ruled that Trump did not have the authority to impose global tariffs. On the other hand, it acknowledges that refunding customs duties could be extremely complicated and significantly harm the American economy. Thus, the highest court does not want to enter into open conflict with Donald Trump while also recognizing that, should it issue a favorable ruling, the White House could continue to use any law to advance decisions it favors. Therefore, there is a high likelihood that the court will block further import du…
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Donald Trump's tariffs, which he gradually introduced throughout the year, were challenged by various parties almost immediately. What does it mean to challenge them? Disputing the president of the world's largest economy is not easy. Initially, 12 state governors filed a lawsuit to overturn all tariffs. It's worth noting that the US president initiated a trade war based on a 1977 emergency law. Under this law, Trump declared a state of emergency in trade and began imposing tariffs on half of the countries in the world. However, there is not a single word in this law about the possibility of imposing tariffs on imports or the circumstances under which such radical measure…
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On Monday, the euro was appreciating against the US dollar, as the dollar is under pressure after the Federal Reserve lowered the key rate by 25 basis points last week. Currently, the EUR/USD exchange rate is approaching 1.1760, its highest level since early October. Meanwhile, the Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the dollar against a basket of six major currencies, is fluctuating near its December lows. The decline in the dollar's value has been significantly influenced by the Fed's moderate statements from Fed Chair Stephen Miran, who expressed a preference for a 50-basis-point cut at the last meeting. He noted that core inflation is nearing the target level of 2%, excl…
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The euro-dollar pair maintains a bullish outlook. Although EUR/USD buyers have not managed to hold above the resistance level of 1.1750 (the upper line of the Bollinger Bands on the D1 timeframe), the pair consistently returns to this price barrier after downward price pullbacks. The upward momentum of the pair is primarily driven by the overall weakening of the greenback, amid increasing confidence that the US Federal Reserve will again cut interest rates at the beginning of next year. Even hawkish signals from some Fed representatives have not altered the prevailing dovish sentiment. The dollar continues to face background pressure. The European currency is also supp…
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If the crowd were always right, the sun would still revolve around the Earth. Most major banks believe that after the 13% rally in EUR/USD in 2025, the main currency pair will continue to rise in 2026. The main reasons cited are the divergence in monetary policy and the White House's pressure on the Federal Reserve. However, at the end of 2024, there were many supporters of the US dollar. In fact, the USD index fell by 10% in the first half of the year. How will it be this time? Major Banks' Forecasts for Global Currencies Consensus forecasts from Bloomberg experts suggest a 3% decline in the USD index in the next year. The biggest "bulls" on the euro are Goldman Sa…
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On Monday, WTI oil prices were under pressure, approaching the round level of $57.00. Tensions between the US and Venezuela reached new heights last week after President Donald Trump announced the detention of an oil vessel by the US Coast Guard off the coast of Venezuela. However, this news did not alleviate concerns about potential oil supply disruptions from Venezuela. Additionally, given the ongoing bearish sentiment towards the US dollar, the oil market found no support. In geopolitical terms, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky held five-hour talks with American envoys on Sunday and proposed abandoning the strategy of joining NATO. American diplomat Steve Witkoff…
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XRP is at the center of the institutional flows, leading the crypto market in streaks of capital inflows even as its price is locked around $2. Recent data shows that money is still entering into Spot XRP ETF products, but despite this steady demand and a clear shift toward bullish sentiment across social platforms, XRP’s spot price has struggled to break higher, and this raises questions as to why inflows and price action appear out of sync. Spot XRP ETFs Are Seeing Relentless Institutional Demand Institutional appetite for XRP has been especially visible through Spot XRP exchange-traded funds. These products have now logged 19 days of uninterrupted inflows, with a fres…
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The narrative surrounding XRP, the digital asset native to the XRP Ledger, has shifted from a speculative cryptocurrency to a recognized digital asset within the global financial system. This shift reflects growing legal clarity and rising interest from financial institutions seeking compliant blockchain-based solutions for payments, liquidity, and settlement. How Institutional Interest In XRP Continues To Build As XRP gains recognition in regulated financial markets, it’s moving beyond its earlier perception as a speculative digital asset. An analyst known as Skipper_xrp has mentioned on X that this milestone has placed XRP in the conversation alongside traditional ass…
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The Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, which comes out on December 16, 2025, is the first full look at the US job market since September, and it will be a crucial factor in determining the Federal Reserve's (Fed) strategy for interest rates throughout 2026. This jobs data will either prove that the Fed was right to implement the controversial rate cuts of 75 basis points since September, or it will suggest that the central bank was too aggressive in cutting rates. The report is complicated because it includes both October and November job numbers and is slightly skewed by issues like the recent government shutdown and delayed resignations of federal workers. Most Read: Santa…
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Bitcoin continues to struggle below the $90,000 level, failing to reclaim higher ground as bulls focus on defending current demand zones. After a sharp correction from recent highs, price action has entered a consolidation phase that, on the surface, appears relatively calm. Volatility has compressed, and short-term price movements suggest a market pausing rather than decisively breaking down. However, this apparent stability may be misleading. According to a CryptoQuant report from XWIN Research Japan, on-chain data is signaling growing structural risk beneath the surface. The Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse (IFP), a metric that tracks the movement of Bitcoin between exchang…
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In this short piece, we will dive into who will be the Federal Reserve Voters for 2026. It is extremely essential to keep an eye on what current and next-year voters are saying in their appearances, as their speeches and comments can trigger massive reactions in Markets and potentially open up trade opportunities. Naturally, traders should always keep an eye on the Fed Chair, who appears occasionally but also provides Market-moving testimonies twice a year, traditionally around the end of February and the end of June. There have been numerous examples of appearances from Fed Speakers which have changed the trajectory of markets and the pricing for the upcoming meeting.…
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The Bitcoin price outlook remains under scrutiny as market analysts assess whether the world’s largest cryptocurrency can still reach $140,000. Given BTC’s recent downturn and fluctuating price, it’s understandable that a dramatic surge to $140,000 could be viewed skeptically. However, the analyst points to global M2 Money Supply, highlighting its correlation with Bitcoin and its support for a significant upside move. New discussions have emerged in the crypto space about the relationship between the Bitcoin price action and the global M2 Money Supply. Pseudonymous crypto analyst ‘MoneyLord’ has projected a massive price surge to $140,000 for BTC based on M2 data. The an…
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