Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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A new XRP price outlook from a crypto analyst outlines its recent breakdown below $2 and the factors that could influence its next moves. According to the analysis, Bitcoin’s ongoing retracement and key support levels could trigger a stronger correction for XRP. However, this projected downtrend is expected to pave the way for a reversal to higher target levels. XRP Price Outlook Tied To Bitcoin Retracement While the broader crypto market continued to trend lower, crypto market expert Tara shared a fresh technical analysis on XRP. On Tuesday, she stated in an X post that the current XRP price structure shows it is completing a deeper pullback compared to Bitcoin, which …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has entered a critical make-or-break phase as price clings to key weekly support while momentum continues to fade. Despite holding above a major confluence zone, repeated rejections overhead suggest buyers are losing control. With macro pressure building and liquidity levels still untested, the next move from here could define whether BTC stabilizes or slides into a deeper reset. Lower-Timeframe Rejection Keeps The Downtrend In Control Crypto analyst Michael Van De Poppe revealed in a recent post that Bitcoin has faced a clear rejection at a key resistance level. This failure signals that the short-term downtrend remains intact on lower timeframes, confirming tha…
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On December 17, Bitcoin saw a sharp and chaotic two-hour stretch that sent prices violently higher and lower within a short window. The move began with a fast rally, then flipped just as quickly into a steep drop. Both sides of the market took hits. Each leg pushed Bitcoin roughly $3,000 in either direction, highlighting how aggressive trading had become during the session. Bull Theory flagged the initial surge, noting that Bitcoin jumped about $3,300 in just 30 minutes. That spike forced the liquidation of roughly $106M in short positions. According to the analyst, the speed and scale of the move made it a textbook short squeeze. But the strength did not last. O…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Cardano traded slightly lower over the past 24 hours, with the token hovering near $0.3656 at the time of writing. That price marks a daily drop of about -5.5%. Trading activity stayed tight, with intraday moves limited to a narrow range between $0.3775 and $0.3898. There was a small bounce attempt earlier in the session, but it did not last. The short-term picture remains weak. Over the past seven days, Cardano has fallen by roughly -18.2%, showing continued pressure on the downside. (Source: Coingecko)The pullback looks deeper when viewed over a longer period. Over the past two weeks, the token has declined by another 15%. That move reflects broader market cond…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has lost more than 30% of its value since early October, triggering a sharp shift in market psychology. What was once viewed as a routine correction is increasingly being interpreted by analysts as a potential cycle top. Sentiment has deteriorated quickly, with fear and apathy replacing the optimism that dominated earlier in the year. Many investors are now positioning defensively, preparing for what they believe could be a prolonged bear market phase similar to past post-peak cycles. However, a recent CryptoQuant report challenges this increasingly popular narrative. According to the analysis, Bitcoin may no longer be following the traditional four-year boom-a…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Will Taylor, founder of CryptoinsightUK, frames XRP’s “best buy area” as a risk-to-reward question, not a certainty call. In his latest YouTube video from Dec. 17, he argues that XRP is trading back in the lower portion of a well-defined range, which is typically where entries make the most sense for range traders—because invalidation levels are clearer and upside targets are structurally defined. “We’re at the bottom of the range […] this area, the bottom of the range, and the bottom of the range has been quite wide,” Taylor said. “So, I’d say between like $2.01, then all the way down to about $1.60. This has been the best area to enter […] for the last […] basically ye…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
In my view, there is only one expectation for the European Central Bank in 2026—tightening. In the most optimistic scenario for the dollar, inflation in the European Union will remain steady around 2%, so there will be no need for monetary policy intervention. Rates will stay at current levels, which will not provide additional support for the European currency. However, the euro continues to dominate the dollar and shows no signs of losing its advantage. The market has not found compelling reasons to begin constructing a downward trend in the last six months, and I really don't think reasons will emerge in 2026. In the worst-case scenario for the dollar, inflation in the…
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Looking at the movements of the EUR/USD pair in recent months, there is a sense that the market is preparing to sell euros and buy dollars for the long term. Autumn has been very favorable for the U.S. currency. My readers may question what kind of luck I am referring to, since the dollar has experienced only weak demand. In my view, the luck lies in the fact that the market has not begun to sell off the dollar to the same extent as it did in the first half of 2025. It is worth recalling that the market largely ignored two Federal Reserve rate cuts in the autumn. It also disregarded the looming "shutdown" or the new tariffs imposed by Donald Trump. Therefore, the U.S. dol…
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The pound reacted negatively to published data on UK inflation growth. Almost all components of the report were in the "red zone," reflecting a weakening of inflationary pressure. The significance of this release is hard to overstate, especially considering that on Thursday, December 18, the last Bank of England meeting of the year will take place. There is now no doubt that the central bank will not only lower interest rates but also convey dovish messages, further pressuring the British currency. Under current circumstances, the only thing supporting GBP/USD buyers is the upcoming U.S. CPI report, due on Thursday. If U.S. consumer inflation slows down (against expec…
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The market bought the rumor and sold the fact, while the worsening outlook for the German economy acted as a catalyst for the EUR/USD pullback. Moreover, the situation in Ukraine remains unresolved. U.S. employment figures are disappointing, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.6%. Overall, the BLS report gives the Federal Reserve a reason to sit back and observe how events unfold. This allowed traders to take profits on their long positions in the euro. U.S. Non-Farm Employment Dynamics The U.S. labor market continues to cool, with consumers refraining from excessive spending, as evidenced by retail sales data. American purchasing managers' indices also leave muc…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The recent economic reports from the U.S. labor market hit like a thunderbolt. I'm not saying that most market participants expected positive numbers; rather, the opposite. I had warned that it would be extremely difficult to expect positive outcomes from the U.S. labor market even after three rounds of monetary policy easing. However, the labor market data for October and November surprised with their weakness. To summarize, the unemployment rate jumped to 4.6% in November. The Nonfarm Payrolls for October were -105,000, and for November, they were 60,000. If we sum all the values, including the upward revision of the September figure, it's not so bad. However, in my opi…
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Tuesday was incredibly interesting. Traders received a massive amount of important information that affects currency market movements. But not only that; it also impacts the long-term plans and prospects of the Bank of England (BoE) and the Federal Reserve (Fed). In this review, we will look at what has changed for the British central bank just two days before its final meeting of the year. Among all the UK reports released on Tuesday morning, I can highlight two reports: the unemployment rate and the change in average hourly earnings. The unemployment situation is relatively straightforward. The rate rose to 5.1% year-on-year, but Andrew Bailey mentioned back in the summ…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On December 18, the last European Central Bank meeting of the year will occur. The formal outcomes of the December meeting are likely predetermined—the central bank will almost certainly maintain all monetary policy parameters as they are. However, this is by no means a "routine" meeting. The intrigue continues regarding the ECB's future actions, especially given the ongoing strengthening of the euro. The question of interest rate cuts has not been removed from the agenda—at least, in the context of the first half of 2026. According to the baseline scenario, the ECB will remain in a wait-and-see position not only at the December meeting but also at the beginning of th…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Troubles seldom come alone. Joy seems to come in packs as well. The Federal Reserve's rate cuts, geopolitical tensions, and the slowdown in global economic growth have intertwined to help gold shine once more. When the precious metal fell from its record highs in October, rumors spread that a return would take years. However, in reality, XAU/USD could set a new historical peak even before the end of 2025. Gold is heading toward its best annual result since 1979. Back then, its prices surged by 127% as the White House pressured the Fed to lower rates. A similar picture is emerging now. Donald Trump is demanding that the central bank lower borrowing costs to 1% or lower. To…
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According to new research commissioned by the Financial Conduct Authority, the share of UK adults who hold cryptocurrencies has fallen to 8% in 2025, down from 12% a year earlier. Survey Shows Smaller Numbers Holding Crypto Fieldwork for the FCA study ran from 5th August to 2nd September 2025, using a YouGov online panel to collect a nationally representative sample of 2,353 interviews plus a boosted sample of people who own or previously owned crypto. Awareness of cryptocurrencies remains high at 91%, even as fewer people report owning them. The drop marks the first fall in overall ownership in the last four years, although ownership is still about double the level r…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for December 17 Yesterday's afternoon session brought some hopes for dip-buying after a rough weekly open, but the reality of uncertain times ahead came right back with a red selling wave. Traders are reflecting on the unusual year ahead. Will it be a Hard Landing? Will the long wars end? Is the AI boom really a bubble? Questions worth many millions. But some more immediate factors are affecting financial flows: Participants are getting ready for a second yearly Bank of Japan rate hike which may reduce carry trade potentials yet again (a strong booster for Markets) and the employment picture for the largest Economy i…
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Dogecoin may be lining up for a deeper breakdown even if Bitcoin manages a short-term bounce, according to pseudonymous analyst VisionPulsed, who argues that a familiar 2022-style pattern is re-emerging across majors and memecoins. In a video published December 16, the analyst frames the near-term setup around Bitcoin’s daily stochastic RSI, which is moving from overbought back toward oversold. Over the past two months, every such reset on the daily chart has coincided with fresh lows in price. This time, he says, the structure is slightly different — and that matters for how Dogecoin trades the next leg. Dogecoin Bull Need To Watch Bitcoin’s Stochastic Reset On Bitcoin…
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Market Insights Podcast (17/12/2025): In this most recent episode, TraderNick leads the discussion on the latest developments in monetary policy, particularly regarding how the Fed is balancing its dual mandate, recent stock market trends, and furthering the conversation on global sovereign debt. Join Nick Syiek (TraderNick) and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major ec…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP now finds itself trading around the $1.90 region due to an extensive pullback in the past 30 days. The question is now whether this pullback is a structural weakness or a necessary reset within a larger bullish structure. A technical analysis shared by crypto analyst Tara focuses on this exact moment, highlighting why the current level could be far more important than it looks on the surface. XRP Tests A Macro Fib Support Zone Around $1.88 XRP’s price action in the past 24 hours saw it declining to an intraday low of $1.88, according to data from CoinGecko. However, technical analysis shows that this move has pushed the price action to a major macro support level a…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Log in to our mid-week North American Markets overview, where we examine the current themes in North America and provide an overview of indices and currency performances. Last week, the FOMC delivered a highly expected 25 bps cut, which was quickly repriced from the final stretch of November trading. But at what cost? As Fed Goolsbee warned, cutting preemptively risks boosting an inflation rate that remains a wildcard—a concern that will be tested by tomorrow’s November CPI report. For equity bulls this is starting to be a real concern: reignited inflation could severely compromise the prospects for future cuts in 2026. The overall theme for US Markets going into next …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
For GBP/USD, the wave structure continues to indicate the formation of a bullish trend segment (bottom chart), but over the past six months it has taken on a complex and extended form (top chart). The trend segment that began on July 1 can be considered wave 4, or any global corrective wave, since it clearly has a corrective rather than an impulsive internal wave structure. The same applies to its internal sub-waves. The downward wave structure that started on September 17 has taken the form of a five-wave a–b–c–d–e pattern and has been completed. The instrument is now in the process of forming a new bullish wave sequence. Of course, any wave structure can become more com…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has transformed, but overall it still remains quite clear. There is no talk of canceling the bullish trend segment that began in January 2025; however, the wave structure since July 1 has taken on a complex and extended form. In my view, the instrument has completed the construction of corrective wave 4, which turned out to be highly unconventional. Within this wave, we observed exclusively corrective structures, leaving no doubt about the corrective nature of the decline. In my opinion, the construction of the bullish trend segment has not been completed, and its targets may extend as far as the 2.5000 level. The series of…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum’s (ETH) recent pullback is starting to reflect more than short-term price volatility. As ETH trades below the $3,000 mark, a combination of heavy liquidations, declining network activity, and sustained institutional outflows is reinforcing concerns about weakening demand. While prices have so far held above key support levels, multiple indicators suggest that selling pressure remains firmly in place, leaving the market in a cautious holding pattern. Over the past week, Ethereum has fallen roughly 12%, underperforming several major assets during a broader market correction. The drop pushed ETH briefly toward the $2,850–$2,900 zone, triggering over $200 million …
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Artemis Gold (TSXV: ARTG) has approved a C$1.44 billion ($1 billion) Phase 2 expansion of its Blackwater mine, a move the company says would place the British Columbia operation among Canada’s three largest single gold producers. The project — referred to as EP2 — involves further upgrading the Blackwater plant’s processing plant capacity, from 8 million tonnes per annum (mtpa) envisioned in the Phase 1A expansion to a combined 21 mtpa. At the moment, Blackwater is operating at 6 mtpa through the existing Phase 1 plant. The Phase 1A expansion, comprising the addition of a vertical mill, is already under construction and is expected to be completed before the end o…
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Most Read: Bank of England (BoE) Preview: A Hawkish Cut in a Stagnating Economy? Implications for the GBP & FTSE 100 EUR/USD has had an interesting day as a stronger US Dollar has pushed the pair down for a retest of support at the 1.1700 handle. However, bulls remain interested and this is evidenced by the bounce back toward the 1.1750 handle as the day wore on. The rest of this week still brings US CPI and an ECB meeting into the picture. This begs the question, where will EUR/USD be on the last day of 2025? Let us take a look at all the factors that could play a role and shape price action over the coming days. ECB Meeting Preview The European Central Bank is wi…
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