Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12107 tópicos neste fórum
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Gold and silver prices have remained near record highs after lower-than-expected inflation in the U.S. supported forecasts for further interest rate cuts. Platinum has approached its 17-year peak. On Thursday, the spot price of gold reached approximately $4372 per ounce, signaling growth for the second consecutive week. According to data published on Thursday, the core Consumer Price Index in the U.S. increased at its slowest pace since early 2021, confirming the need for lowering borrowing costs—a factor that favors the price rise of non-yielding precious metals. Against this backdrop, investors are once again focusing on signals from the Federal Reserve regarding futur…
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Yesterday, stock indices closed in positive territory. The S&P 500 increased by 0.79%, while the Nasdaq 100 gained 1.38%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average strengthened by 0.14%. Asian stock markets followed Wall Street's lead, as the slowdown in US inflation reinforced the need for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. The euphoria that swept through US exchanges extended to the Asian region, where investors viewed the prospect of a more accommodative monetary policy from the Fed with optimism. Technology companies became the focal point, as their shares are traditionally sensitive to changes in interest rates. Lower rates translate to a reduced cost of capita…
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World Liberty Financial has put forward a proposal to tap a portion of its token treasury to grow USD1, the dollar-pegged stablecoin linked with the project. The plan would free up about $120 million to back listings, liquidity programs and partner incentives. Treasury Move Could Add Firepower To USD1 Based on reports, WLFI’s proposal would unlock roughly 5% of its unlocked treasury — a fund slice drawn from a multi-billion dollar reserve — for strategic use to expand USD1’s reach. The move has split the community, with some holders supporting rapid expansion and others warning about tokenomics and governance risks. According to the stablecoin’s custodial partners, USD…
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Trade Review and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe price test at 155.79 coincided with the MACD indicator just starting to move down from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the dollar. As a result, the pair decreased by 40 pips. Today, the Japanese yen weakened against the U.S. dollar after the Bank of Japan raised interest rates but provided no clear guidance on the timeline for future monetary policy tightening. Although the central bank, as expected, raised its benchmark interest rate to its highest level since 1995, the focus is now on Governor Kazuo Ueda's press conference. The market expects more definitive statements from Ueda regardin…
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Trade Review and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the price at 1.3365 coincided with the MACD indicator just starting to move upwards from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose by 40 pips. The pound increased yesterday after the Bank of England lowered interest rates but warned that the speed and scale of future cuts are now in question. This decision, made against a backdrop of conflicting economic signals, left markets in uncertainty and increased volatility in the British currency. On one hand, the rate cut is intended to stimulate economic activity by easing the burden of borrowing for businesse…
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Trade Review and Tips for Trading the EuroThe test of the price at 1.1717 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly below the zero line, limiting the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the euro. The second test of 1.1717 triggered Buy Scenario #2, as the MACD was already in oversold territory, driving the pair up by more than 40 pips. Yesterday, the European Central Bank decided not to change interest rates, clearly signaling the end of the easing phase of monetary policy. The upward revision of forecasts and positive changes in policymakers' plans indicate greater resilience in the eurozone economy than previously thought. However, …
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The cryptocurrency market continues to swing back and forth. Yesterday, Bitcoin's sharp rise to around $89,800 was quickly retraced, sending it to approximately $84,700. Ethereum is also trading below $3,000. This surge in volatility was the market's reaction to yesterday's news that U.S. inflation slowed more than expected. This allows the Federal Reserve to continue lowering interest rates and increase the volume of its bond-buying program to stimulate the economy and revitalize the labor market. The more cheap money available in the market, the better Bitcoin will feel. However, it is essential to remember that cryptocurrencies are a high-risk market. High volatility,…
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Key takeaways BoJ policy supportive for equities: The BoJ’s expected 25bp hike to 0.75% and guidance for a gradual, data-dependent tightening path into 2026 signal policy normalization without destabilising financial conditions, reducing downside risks for Japanese equities. Stronger JPY no longer a headwind: Domestic-oriented Nikkei 225 stocks are outperforming export-heavy names, indicating that modest JPY strength and improving consumer confidence can coexist with a sustained equity uptrend. Technical backdrop constructive: The Nikkei 225 is showing signs of a minor bullish reversal after a shallow pullback, with momentum indicators improving and key supports holdin…
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The euro and British pound rose sharply against the U.S. dollar; however, dollar buyers took advantage of attractive prices and quickly restored market equilibrium. Yesterday, the European Central Bank kept interest rates unchanged, clearly indicating that the current cycle of monetary policy easing has concluded. This step, as expected by most analysts, marked the end of a period in which the ECB actively stimulated the economy by lowering interest rates. Now that inflation is stabilizing and economic growth is showing signs of resilience, the ECB is shifting to a more conservative strategy. The Bank of England lowered interest rates to 3.75%, warning that further steps …
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As the market volatility continues, Bitcoin (BTC) has failed to hold its short-lived momentum and reclaim a key resistance level for the second time this week. Some market watchers have affirmed that the flagship crypto may continue to have a disappointing end-of-year rally and potentially reach new lows before the pain is over. New Lows Before A 2026 Recovery? On Thursday, Bitcoin attempted to break past a crucial level after surging 2.9% from its daily opening. The cryptocurrency has been unable to reclaim $89,000-$90,000 area since the start-of-week correction, which sent the price to a two-week low of $85,145. Notably, the flagship crypto retested the crucial resis…
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Crypto payment platform MoonPay is poised to receive a significant fundraising boost as recent reports suggest that Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the owner of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), is exploring an investment in the company. According to a Bloomberg report, which cited sources familiar with the discussions, MoonPay is close to finalizing this fundraising round and is targeting a valuation around $5 billion. New Regulatory Approval And Investment Talks Based in New York, MoonPay specializes in simplifying the trading of cryptocurrencies through various payment methods, including PayPal, Apple Pay, and Venmo. The platform also offers tools for users to se…
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[Chainlink] With the EMA position forming a Death Cross on the 30-minute chart, it indicates that sellers are still dominating, suggesting that Chainlink will continue its decline toward the nearest support level in the near term. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 13.32951 2. Resistance. 1 : 12.67507 3. Pivot : 12.20532 4. Support. 1 : 11.55088 5. Support. 2 : 11.08113 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price of Chainlink breaks down below 11.55088, it has the potential to continue its decline to 11.08113. Momentum Extension Bias: If 11.08113 is broken, Chainlink may continue its decline down to 10.42669. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The do…
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[Bitcoin] With the technical conditions indicating weakness in Bitcoin, then the potential for a decline which will occur in the near term is quite significant. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 91545.30 2. Resistance. 1 : 88568.39 3. Pivot : 86518.22 4. Support. 1 : 83559.31 5. Support. 2 : 81491.14 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price of Bitcoin breaks down below 86,518.22, it may continue its decline to 83,559.31. Momentum Extension Bias: If 83,559.31 is broken, there is a possibility that Bitcoin will continue to decline to 81,491.14. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is restrained if the price of Bitcoin strengthens a…
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Dogecoin started a fresh decline below the $0.1250 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating losses and might face hurdles near $0.1235. DOGE price started a fresh decline below the $0.1250 level. The price is trading below the $0.1220 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.1300 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could extend losses if it stays below $0.1280 and $0.1300. Dogecoin Price Dips Further Dogecoin price started a fresh decline after it closed below $0.1300, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE declined below the $0.1280 and $0.1250 suppor…
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Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: Several macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Friday, but none of them are particularly significant. It should be noted that yesterday saw meetings of the Bank of England and the European Central Bank, along with the release of U.S. inflation data. These three important events did not provoke any substantial volatility or trending movements. Therefore, today's consumer confidence index in Germany, retail sales in the UK, and new home sales in the U.S. are unlikely to elicit a noticeable market reaction. In our opinion, the most interesting item appears to be the consumer sentiment index from the University of Michigan in the U.S. …
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XRP price failed to gain pace above $1.920 and trimmed gains. The price is now struggling and faces resistance near the $1.820 level. XRP price started a fresh decline below the $1.850 zone. The price is now trading below $1.850 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.920 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below $1.780. XRP Price Dips To New Weekly Lows XRP price attempted a recovery wave above $1.90 but failed to continue higher, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price started a fresh decline below $1.880 and $1.850. There was …
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Data shows Bitcoin and Ethereum have formed a divergence in the Funding Rate indicator, with traders going long on BTC, short on ETH. Bitcoin & Ethereum Funding Rates Are Showing Opposite Values In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Santiment has talked about how the Funding Rate has developed for Bitcoin and Ethereum amid the latest market volatility. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies saw some sudden price swings during the past day, with BTC’s price first rallying to $90,300 in a blink, but then crashing back toward $86,000 just as quickly. The coin’s decline later extended to $85,300. While BTC returned to about the same levels as before the flash surge,…
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Trade Analysis for Thursday: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair traded mixed on Thursday, reflecting a mixed fundamental backdrop. It was a complex day, especially for novice traders. The difficulty lay in interpreting all the information received. For instance, the Bank of England lowered the key interest rate, prompting many to expect a decline in the British currency. However, the market had already anticipated monetary policy easing since Wednesday, when the UK inflation report was published. Inflation sharply declined, opening the door for the BoE to lower the key rate. Therefore, it can be said that this decision was priced in beforehand. At the same…
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Trade Analysis for Thursday: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair The EUR/USD currency pair moved in various directions on Thursday, but it was not particularly volatile. Overall, this week has been more disappointing than rewarding, in many respects. First, the market movements leave much to be desired. Many traders likely expected to see a trend and high volatility, but what they got instead was more of a flat market. Secondly, the macroeconomic background clarified some issues but failed to answer key questions. Notably, this week saw the release of the long-awaited reports on U.S. unemployment and the labor market, as well as an inflation report. Inflation has started t…
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Ethereum price failed to stay above $2,950 and declined again. ETH is now consolidating and might soon aim to attempt another recovery wave if it clears $2,850. Ethereum started a fresh decline below the $2,920 zone. The price is trading below $2,900 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2,925 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below the $2,800 zone. Ethereum Price Faces Renewed Selling Pressure Ethereum price attempted a fresh increase but struggled above $2,950, like Bitcoin. ETH price dipped below $2,920 and $2,900 to enter …
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Gold and silver hit fresh highs on Tuesday while Bitcoin slid back under $89,000, sending a clear message that some investors are favoring metal over riskier bets. According to Reuters and market data, gold traded above $4,330 an ounce and silver pushed past $66 an ounce in what market participants called a strong run for bullion. Reports have disclosed that silver’s rally has lifted local prices in India to about ₹2.06 lakh per kilogram. Metals Rally, Hit New Highs Silver’s advance has been dramatic. It is up roughly 120-130% year-to-date, a jump that outpaces gold by a wide margin. Traders point to a mix of stronger industrial demand from solar and electronics, tigh…
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The GBP/USD currency pair has been trading more actively than the EUR/USD over the past two days. However, it has not shown any particularly interesting movements, which can be seen across almost any time frame. Most traders were likely hoping for more volatile, trend-driven movements this week, but objective reality has dashed those hopes once again. Nevertheless, several important points should not be overlooked and offer an optimistic outlook for the future. For us, optimism now comes from the realization of the forecast we have been discussing throughout 2025. We believe nothing has fundamentally changed for the U.S. dollar globally over the past six months. Therefore…
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The EUR/USD currency pair traded with relatively low volatility on Thursday. Overall, this week can be summarized as follows: expectations were not met. We anticipated that the strong fundamental and macroeconomic backdrop, important reports, and global events would lead the pair out of its six-month flat trend. However, that did not occur. There weren't even any interesting movements, trend shifts, or reinforcement of the current trends. The most significant events elicited emotional spikes in the market, but as seen in the illustration above, the pair is trading roughly where it began this week. Thus, it has been a continuous disappointment. The European Central Bank me…
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Analysis of GBP/USD 5M The GBP/USD currency pair began Thursday in decline, but after the Bank of England's meeting and its decision to lower the key interest rate by 0.25%, the British pound shifted into an upward trend. Illogical? At first glance, yes. However, the market had already understood the British central bank's intentions following the November inflation report. It became clear at that time that a new round of monetary policy easing would follow. Thus, this decision had been priced in "in advance," and we can say the same as we often do after almost every central bank meeting—do not rush to conclusions. It is essential to give the market time to settle and…
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Analysis of EUR/USD 5M The EUR/USD currency pair did not trade as expected on Thursday. There were at least three significant events scheduled for the day, each with the potential to impact either the euro or the dollar. In fact, all three had an impact, but the movements observed throughout the day more closely resembled a flat market than anything else. Essentially, only the U.S. inflation report warranted attention. The Consumer Price Index in the U.S. unexpectedly slowed to 2.7%, making it easy to suggest that the Federal Reserve may lower the key interest rate more than once in 2026. Thus, the dollar had every chance to decline significantly. However, it did not.…
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