Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12238 tópicos neste fórum
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The euro and the British pound maintained their positions against the U.S. dollar, unlike the Japanese yen, which fell sharply. However, the dollar still faced pressure after disappointing data from the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index, but this did not lead to any drastic market changes. Participants likely decided to wait for more significant economic indicators. Clarity regarding the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy remains crucial to restraining active trading. Today, there is no data from the Eurozone, so significant market movements are not expected in the first half of the day. However, this calm before the storm can be deceptive. Markets p…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
[Crude Oil] Although EMA(50) and EMA(200) have not formed a Golden Cross, the RSI(14) briefly touched the Extreme Bullish zone and is now in the Neutral-Bearish level, which indicates potential strength for #CL today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 57.61 2. Resistance. 1 : 57.12 3. Pivot : 56.42 4. Support. 1 : 55.93 5. Support. 2 : 55.23 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of Crude Oil breaks above 57.12, it may have the opportunity to reach 57.61 Momentum Extension Bias: If 57.61 is successfully surpassed, Crude Oil could continue its strength up to 58.31. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weakens if #CL declin…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
[Gold] Considering both EMAs are forming a Golden Cross and the RSI is in the Extreme Bullish level, buyers are expected to dominate Gold throughout today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 4381.54 2. Resistance. 1 : 4359.96 3. Pivot : 4334.45 4. Support. 1 : 4312.87 5. Support. 2 : 4287.36 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If Gold rises above 4359.96, it has the potential to test the level at 4381.54. Momentum Extension Bias: If 4381.54 is broken, there is potential for further strength towards 4407.05. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weakens if Gold declines and breaks below 4287.36. EMA(50) : 4344.38 EMA(200): 4323.00 RS…
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Solana started a recovery wave above the $120 zone. SOL price is now consolidating and faces hurdles near the $128 zone. SOL price started a decent recovery wave above $122 and $124 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $125 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $127 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could continue to move up if it clears $128 and $130. Solana Price Faces Resistance Solana price remained stable and started a decent recovery wave from $117, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL was able to climb above the $120 level. There was a move abo…
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XRP price started a steady increase above $1.90. The price is now struggling to clear $1.950 and might start a fresh decline below $1.90. XRP price started a fresh increase above the $1.90 zone. The price is now trading above $1.910 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a declining channel or a flag pattern forming with resistance at $1.940 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above 1.950. XRP Price Faces Resistance XRP price started a decent upward move above $1.880 and $1.90, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price gained pace for a clear move above the $1.920 resistance. The bu…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The GBP/USD currency pair showed a volatility of 37 pips on Friday. There were no market movements, despite several macroeconomic reports in the UK and the U.S. Earlier in the week, key data on the labor market, unemployment, and inflation were released in the U.S., along with the Bank of England meeting, where a decision to lower the key rate was made. Reports on UK business activity, unemployment, and inflation were also published. Yet, all that traders got this week was a flat market. If traders couldn't determine the direction of movement last week, the likelihood of a trending movement this week is even lower. Of course, in a "thin" market, movements can occur. But t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The EUR/USD currency pair "stagnated" on Friday. The volatility of movements once again did not please traders. Essentially, there was no significant movement. It should be noted that a large volume of important macroeconomic data was published in the Eurozone and the U.S. this week, along with the European Central Bank meeting. The ECB did not make any important decisions, so macroeconomic data took precedence. However, even the U.S. data did not provoke any market "storm." The week passed, and the pair remained at the same price level as at the beginning. Looking ahead to next week, we want to note that the holidays officially begin today. Christmas is this week, and th…
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Analysis of GBP/USD 5M The GBP/USD currency pair showed no interesting movements on Friday. Even relatively important reports on retail sales in the UK and consumer sentiment in the U.S. did not help. On the 5-minute timeframe, it is clear that the price ignored the 1.3369-1.3377 area and the Kijun-sen line throughout the day. This happens when the market is in a "calm" phase. And indeed, the market was calm—the day's overall volatility was just 37 pips. From a technical perspective, the situation on the hourly timeframe is even more interesting. During this super-important week, the only thing the market showed was a flat. The GBP/USD pair is now trapped between 1.33…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of EUR/USD 5M The EUR/USD currency pair did not move at all on Friday. There was some movement during the U.S. trading session, but it was not significant. Notable macroeconomic events included the U.S. new home sales report and the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index. Both reports came in weaker than expected, but as one might guess, the market showed virtually no reaction. The U.S. dollar fell by 30 pips after its publication and then rose by the same amount by the end of the day. Thus ended the super-important week that was expected to provoke a "storm" in the market. From a technical perspective, the upward trend remains intact, but we may see…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum price started a recovery wave above $2,950. ETH is now consolidating and might soon attempt another recovery wave if it clears $3,050. Ethereum started a decent upward move above the $2,950 zone. The price is trading above $2,950 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $2,920 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above the $3,050 zone. Ethereum Price Eyes More Gains Ethereum price started a decent increase from $2,775, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to surpass the $2,850 and $2,880 resistance levels to enter a positive zone. Th…
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Bitcoin price attempted to start a fresh increase but failed at $89,250. BTC is now consolidating below $89,000 and might react to the downside. Bitcoin started a recovery wave above the $86,800 zone. The price is trading above $87,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a key rising channel forming with support at $87,650 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it settles above the $89,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Faces Resistance Bitcoin price attempted a fresh recovery wave above $88,200 and $89,000. BTC tested the $89,250 resistance zone and struggled to continue higher. The price is now cons…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: There are very few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Monday. The only noteworthy release is the final estimate of UK GDP for the third quarter. It cannot be said that this report is secondary, but we do not expect a strong market reaction. Traders are already familiar with the first two estimates, and the third is unlikely to differ significantly from them. In the Eurozone and the U.S., the event calendars are empty. Analysis of Fundamental Events: No fundamental events are scheduled for Monday. Overall, the market currently has questions only for the Federal Reserve. The last meeting occurred recently, and since then, t…
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Trade Review for Friday: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair traded even worse on Friday than the EUR/USD pair. Furthermore, another flat range has formed in the British currency, clearly visible on the hourly timeframe. For seven consecutive days, the quotes have been within the range of 1.3331-1.3437. What is this, if not a flat? This week, significant macroeconomic information was published in the UK and the U.S., and there was also the Bank of England meeting, the results of which are not trivial by any means. If reports on inflation, unemployment, and business activity indices, along with the BoE meeting, failed to trigger a trend or volatility, how ca…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review for Friday: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair The EUR/USD currency pair remained stagnant on Friday. The overall volatility for the day was around 30 pips, which essentially indicates a complete lack of movement. It is worth noting that a significant number of crucial macroeconomic data were published that week, along with two central bank meetings (the European Central Bank and the Bank of England). Now, let's look at the charts. Does it feel like the fundamental and macroeconomic background over the past five days was super important? Essentially, the EUR/USD pair showed good movement only on Wednesday evening and Thursday night. During this time, the quot…
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In the latest Cardano news,Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson claimed on X that the new Midnight token, NIGHT, traded more in 24 hours than XRP and Solana combined, after volume hit around $4 billion. NIGHT changed hands near $0.0738 with about $1.2 billion in market cap, putting it in the top 60 coins by size but near the top 10 by trading activity. This spike plays into a larger 2025 story, which has seen retail investors downtrodden by institutional money finding fresh interest in privacy coins, cross-chain bridges. Now the question is whether Cardano is still a “ghost chain” or quietly awakening. Market Cap …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Strangely enough, important events are scheduled for next week in the United States. While the UK and the Eurozone are already beginning their Christmas and New Year celebrations, America continues to operate. On Tuesday, reports on GDP, durable goods orders, and industrial production will be released. These are certainly not trivial and insignificant data releases. On Wednesday, initial unemployment claims will be published. After that, the limit of significant events will be reached even for the United States. Then comes Christmas. The news backdrop next week will be limited to the U.S., and the aforementioned reports could add some excitement to the pre-New Year routin…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The British currency did not show the expected movements last week. It is worth noting that over the past five days, several significant reports were released in the UK, including data on inflation, unemployment, wages, and business activity. In addition, the Bank of England held its last meeting of the year. In the U.S., reports on the labor market, unemployment, inflation, and business activity were released, and just a week prior, the Federal Reserve meeting occurred. There are times when important reports yield absolutely mundane figures, and central bank meetings end without any significant decisions. None of the aforementioned events fell into that category. However…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Last week did not yield significant results for either buyers or sellers. Despite a strong news backdrop, the importance of which was off the charts, the market experienced yet another banal and dull week according to the charts. Nothing has changed in the wave layout. The presumed wave 3 or C seems to have completed, and the construction of a new downward wave has begun, which could be either 4 or D, or the first wave of a new downward segment of the trend. Why is this the case? Because in recent months, the instrument has been building only corrective structures, which can be three-wave, five-wave, or even considerably more extended. Therefore, to some extent, we can on…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
There is only a week and a half left until the New Year, and just a few days until Christmas, during which the market often slows down in a pre-holiday lull. Nevertheless, the economic calendar for the upcoming week is not empty. The report on U.S. economic growth for the third quarter will be released on Tuesday, December 23. This is likely the most critical release of the week. Due to the government shutdown, the standard schedule for the release of U.S. Q3 GDP data was altered. The preliminary estimate was canceled, so next week will see the first available release that effectively combines the first and second estimates of GDP. The January data update will be anal…
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According to reports, Fundstrat analysts are sending mixed signals about Bitcoin’s path in 2026. One line of work inside the firm sees a noticeable pullback early next year, while another predicts new highs arriving soon after. Sean Farrell, Fundstrat’s head of digital asset strategy, is reported to have told clients that a “base case” would see Bitcoin move down toward the $60,000–$65,000 range in the first half of 2026. The same internal material attributes fallbacks for other major tokens — ETH toward about $1.8K–$2K and SOL near $50–$75 — which were framed as potential buying opportunities should markets correct. Risk Models And Shorter Time Horizons Farrell’s not…
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Inflation is one of the most persistent threats to retirement security, because rising prices slowly weaken the purchasing power of every dollar saved. For pre-retirees and retirees who rely on IRAs, 401(k)s, and other tax-advantaged accounts, this erosion can make it harder to maintain the lifestyle they spent decades building. Many investors are turning to physical gold and other precious metals to help counter this long-term challenge and strengthen their overall retirement strategy. Understanding How Inflation Threatens Retirement Savings Inflation quietly reduces what your savings can buy over time, even when your account balances appear stable or growing on paper. T…
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Expectations around XRP exchange-traded funds were seen as a turning point that could unlock new institutional demand and change XRP’s price structure in favor of buyers. However, recent on-chain data suggests the price response has diverged immensely from that narrative. Metrics tracked by the on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant point to a very different dynamic unfolding beneath the surface, one that explains why the altcoin continues to struggle for traction despite headline optimism and inflows into Spot XRP ETFs. Whale Exchange Inflows Expose Supply Pressure Data from on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant reveals an interesting trend among XRP whale address…
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The price of Ethereum endured significant selling pressure over the past week, reflecting the current climate of the crypto market. The latest data shows that the spot US-based Ethereum ETFs (exchange-traded funds) did not have it any better, as significant capital flowed out of the market in the past week. Ethereum ETFs Weekly Outflow Exceeds $600 Million In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, market pundit CryptoOnchain revealed an overwhelming exodus of institutional capital from the Ethereum market. More specifically, the analyst highlighted that over $600 million in capital flowed out of the US-based spot Ethereum ETFs over the past week. The relevant in…
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More than 60% of global critical mineral demands is met through international trade, underscoring the deep structural interdependence between producing and consuming economies as the deployment of clean energy accelerates, according to the International Energy Forum (IEF). This level of reliance on international trade, the group said, makes the world’s supply chains highly sensitive to geopolitical tensions, export controls, and refining bottlenecks, as minerals become the backbone of electrification, digital infrastructure and advanced manufacturing. In its latest report titled A Critical Minerals Enabled Energy Future, the IEF highlights the mounting supply-side…
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Ethereum developers officially confirmed the next big 2026 upgrade name: Hegota, which will follow the planned Glamsterdam hard fork. ETH traded largely range-bound on the day of the news, as traders focused more on macro signals and BTC dominance than long-range technical plans. Still, this roadmap matters for anyone who uses Ethereum, as it shapes future fees, network speed, and the perceived weight of running or relying on the chain. Hegota aligns with Ethereum’s new twice-a-year upgrade rhythm, which already includes upcoming forks such as Pectra and Fusaka in 2025 and Glamsterdam in 2026. According to FastBull, this predictable schedule lets developers ship smaller,…
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