Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12315 tópicos neste fórum
-
XRP price started a decent increase above $1.920. The price is now correcting gains and might struggle to stay in a positive zone. XRP price started a downside correction and tested the $1.880 zone. The price is now trading below $1.90 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a declining channel or a possible bullish flag pattern forming with resistance at $1.9250 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start another increase if it clears $1.950. XRP Price Fails At Resistance XRP price started a downside correction from the $1.950 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price dipped below the $1.920 and $1.90 levels to e…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin’s recent bounce may look like a sign of renewed strength, but the price action tells a more deceptive story. With downside liquidity still thin and support holding firm, the market appears primed for a move that draws in eager bulls rather than rewarding them. This rally could be less about recovery and more about setting the stage for maximum pain when sentiment flips. Aligning The Mid- And Long-Term Bitcoin Outlook During an in-depth technical and psychological analysis, Mr. Wall Street explained that his broader outlook on Bitcoin had already been clarified a week earlier, after some confusion around his mid and long-term stance. With those time horizons now c…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum price started a recovery wave above $2,980. ETH is now consolidating and faces a key barrier near the $3,080 level. Ethereum started a decent upward move above the $3,000 zone. The price is trading above $2,980 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a rising channel forming with support at $2,975 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above the $3,080 zone. Ethereum Price Faces Important Resistance Ethereum price started a decent increase above $2,880, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to surpass the $2,920 and $2,950 resistance levels to enter a positive zone. The bulls pushed the pr…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP enters the final days of 2025 trading in a narrow and tense range, with market participants split between expectations of a rebound and concerns over a deeper breakdown. After a volatile year that included sharp rallies, extended pullbacks, and growing institutional participation, the token is now hovering near levels that have repeatedly defined sentiment. Price action around the $1.8–$2.0 zone has become the focal point, as traders assess the long-term prospects. XRP’s Technical Structure Tests Trader Conviction From a technical perspective, XRP remains under pressure despite holding above its key support level. The $1.87 level has been tested multiple times i…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
December 22, 2025 American Bullion is proud to announce the winner of the 2025 Annual Scholarship Essay Program! A college scholarship of $1,000 has been awarded. Well over 3,400 applications were received in total, and the talented student below was awarded a scholarship worth $1,000. Applicants were asked to write an essay answering the question, “What Are The Benefits Of Gold In An Investment Portfolio?” Participating students offered a wide range of viewpoints, each with its own approach and opinion. If you are considering entering or wondering how to win a scholarship of your own next year, read the essay below to learn more. Winners are selected from ORIGINAL essa…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin price started a decent recovery wave above $88,000. BTC is now consolidating below $89,000 and might aim for a fresh increase. Bitcoin started a recovery wave above the $87,500 zone. The price is trading above $87,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $87,900 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it settles above the $89,100 zone. Bitcoin Price Eyes More Gains Bitcoin price attempted a fresh recovery wave above $87,500 and $88,000. BTC even cleared the $88,800 resistance and tested the $90,500 hurdle. A high was formed at $90,552 and t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The founder and CEO of on-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant has revealed how Bitcoin on-chain capital inflows have stalled over the last couple of months. Bitcoin Realized Cap Has Witnessed A Slowdown Recently In a new post on X, CryptoQuant founder and CEO Ki Young Ju has talked about how on-chain capital inflows have been weakening for Bitcoin recently. “After about 2.5 years of growth, realized cap has stalled over the past month,” noted Young Ju. The “Realized Cap” here refers to an on-chain capitalization model for Bitcoin that calculates its total value by assuming the value of each coin in circulation is equal to the price at which it was last transacted on the blo…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The GBP/USD currency pair also traded higher on Monday, which few expected. However, in the article on EUR/USD, we already outlined our view on why both the euro and the pound might resume their global uptrends during the New Year holidays. To recap, any decline in either currency pair is an inherent correction. This correction has already lasted 6 months and has been prolonged. Therefore, even if the euro and pound rise simply without any news support, it would still be logical and expected. On Monday, the only report published in the UK for the week generated little market interest. In principle, we had warned that expecting strong movement from the GDP report following…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The EUR/USD currency pair traded quite actively on Monday, a day with a "holiday" status. We witnessed a rise in the European currency during the European trading session. It is worth noting (as shown in the illustration below) that market activity in recent months has been minimal, if not at a historic low. We remember times when the average volatility was around 30-40 pips. Now, it stands at 50. However, we want to remind you that the pair had previously bounced off the upper line of the sideways channel 1.1430-1.1800 on the daily timeframe, so from a technical perspective, a decline was much more likely. Nevertheless, the new week began on a positive note, and we would…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
As the broader crypto markets remain fixated on volatility and short-term narratives, XRP is quietly transitioning into the accumulation phase. Institutional players are increasingly positioning in silence, favoring strategic accumulation over public signaling. This phase is rarely loud or obvious, and it’s defined by patience, regulatory awareness, and long-term infrastructure planning rather than short-term speculation. While the broader crypto market debates short-term price swings, a quieter story is unfolding behind the scenes. According to skipper_xrp’s post on X, institutions and banks are methodically positioning themselves, and the word on the street is that the…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is once again attempting to reclaim the $90,000 level, but price action remains capped below this key psychological threshold. Despite several short-lived relief rallies, momentum has failed to follow through, reinforcing growing concerns that the broader market structure is weakening. As volatility persists and upside attempts stall, an increasing number of analysts are beginning to openly discuss the possibility that Bitcoin may be transitioning into a bear market phase. Sentiment across derivatives and spot markets has turned noticeably more cautious, with risk appetite continuing to fade. In this context, a recent report by Darkfost draws attention to a fam…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
It is important to specifically address the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Market participants are currently in no doubt that its easing will continue. The pace and timing of this easing are uncertain. However, the November labor market and unemployment data showed only the very beginning of a recession. The inflation report indicated a slowdown, allowing the Fed to utilize additional "medicines" to address the labor market. These additional measures will be new rounds of monetary policy easing. Certainly, not only the Fed's policy matters, but also those of the European Central Bank and the Bank of England. The British central bank also plans several rounds of easing…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
In 2025, the U.S. dollar lost about 9% against a major basket of currencies. To be honest, 9% is significant, but the dollar was fortunate that it did not end up in a much worse position. Against the euro, the decline was 15%, and against the British pound, it was 10%. In the second half of the current year, the market managed to stabilize the situation for the dollar somewhat, but what can be expected next year? In my opinion, the depreciation of the U.S. currency will continue. I believe that the news background remains negative for the dollar, so the market will continue to sell. The year 2025 has shown us that we should not expect monthly crashes from what was once co…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The EUR/USD pair was unable to break through the 1.1800 resistance level (the upper line of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the D1 timeframe) last week, after which sellers took the initiative, driving the price to the 17 figure base. However, they also could not enter the area of the 16 figure, let alone surpass the support level of 1.1690 (the upper boundary of the Kumo cloud on the same timeframe). Friday's trading closed at 1.1704. Overall, the pair declined last week on fairly shaky grounds. The US Dollar Index strengthened its position for three days (Wednesday to Friday), but objective factors did not support this dynamic. A key role here was played by subject…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Gold appears to be the gift that keeps on giving in 2025 as the precious metal surged another 2.4% putting it in sight of the $4500/oz handle. It has been a stellar year for the precious metal with AI optimism leading discussions and yet the precious metal beat overall stock performance by some distance. Gold is up around 66% YTD while stocks (S&P 500) are only up 17%. zoom_out_map Source: GoldNuggets, LSEG The mov…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Why focus only on the negatives? Let's talk about the positives! Following the European Central Bank's stance, the banks of Italy and France raised their GDP forecasts. Every member of the Governing Council is indicating a stronger eurozone economy than expected and noting that the ECB is in a comfortable position. The ECB has managed to tame inflation, which instills hope for a recovery in the upward trend in EUR/USD. A Bloomberg insider report after the December ECB meeting noted that informed sources suggest the end of the monetary easing cycle. Unless there are any shocks, rates will remain unchanged. According to Governing Council member Gediminas Simkus, many view a…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Bank of England lowered the interest rate last week by 0.25% to 3.75%, which aligned with forecasts. The votes were split 5-4, indicating a lack of consensus. The results of the meeting did not include new forecasts. Following weak UK inflation data for November, there was a possibility that the number of votes for a rate cut would increase, suggesting the BoE was ready to shift toward a more dovish monetary policy. However, this did not happen; those voting against the cut pointed out to the Committee that wage growth remains too high, raising uncertainty about whether the current policy is restrictive and whether another inflation spike should be expected. The Commi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
At the beginning of the new week, silver continues its recent established upward trend, rising to a new record high of $69.45. The technical picture strongly favors the bulls, suggesting the path of least resistance for the white metal remains upward. The breakout of the horizontal resistance at $67.40 last week, along with Monday's breakthrough of the round level at $68.00, amidst multiple price bounces off the 100-hour simple moving average (SMA) over the past two weeks, serves as a renewed trigger for bulls. The subsequent consolidation above the round level of $68.00 has confirmed the positive outlook, leading silver to establish a new historical high around $69.45. T…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Dogecoin (DOGE) is trading above a price level that could determine whether its recent decline turns into a base or extends into deeper weakness. A crypto analyst has identified a critical support level at $0.128, which could change Dogecoin’s bullish outlook if it continues to hold above it. According to the analysis, holding above this key level could create the ideal conditions for investors seeking long positions. Analyst Identifies $0.128 As Critical Support For Dogecoin The Dogecoin price is above a make-or-break zone that could define its next significant price move and signal how investors position themselves in the long term. Market expert Crypto Tony has sha…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
*) see also: InstaForex Trading Indicators for XAU/USD Gold prices surged at the opening of Monday's trading session, reaching a new historical high near $4,420.00 per ounce at the beginning of the European trading session. This significant increase is the result of a complex set of factors, including geopolitical tensions and the expected decisions from the Federal Reserve regarding future monetary policy. As the U.S. trading session began, prices stabilized slightly around $4,410.00. Nevertheless, a strong bullish momentum persists, pushing quotes into uncharted territory and towards new historical highs. BackgroundGold prices have shown a steady upward trend since …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
First Nordic Metals (TSXV: FNM) (OTCQX: FNMCD) announced Monday that effective December 22, it has changed its name to Goldsky Resources Corp. The company’s common shares are expected to begin trading under the new name and under the ticker ‘GSKR’ on the TSX Venture Exchange on December 24. Gold major Agnico Eagle Mines (TSX: AEM; NYSE: AEM) holds a 13% interest in Nordic. Agnico last year invested C$8.2 million to advance First Nordic‘s Oijärvi gold project that Agnico used to own, in Finland. The name change was approved by the company’s board of directors in accordance with its articles and was made in connection with the company’s recent acquisition of…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum is attempting to reclaim the $3,000 level after showing pockets of bullish strength over the weekend. Buyers briefly managed to push the price higher, but momentum has struggled to build, and ETH remains vulnerable below a key psychological threshold. As volatility compresses, market conviction appears fragile. Many analysts are increasingly calling for lower prices, arguing that recent rebounds lack the follow-through required to shift the broader structure back into a sustained uptrend. On-chain data helps explain this hesitation. According to a recent CryptoQuant report, Ethereum’s Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) indicator remains in positive territory, wi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for December 22 Today marked a significant turn in the US Dollar, which took a substantial hit across the board. All FX majors have outperformed the dollar while all commodities have pushed higher. US Oil continues its path higher after attaining new 2025 lows just last week, dragging other petroleum-linked products with it. There are some signs of rising tensions between Iran and Israel as of late, with Iran doing some ballistic missile tests, which isn't too trivial and undoubtedly contributing to the rally in Black Gold. Natural gas, on the other hand, is taking a hit, finishing the session down 2.30%, even as WTI…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Dogecoin is doing that thing again, not pumping, not capitulating, just sitting there on the weekly like it’s waiting for a cue. And if you’re the type who still believes memes have market structure like in 2017 and 2021, one chart making the rounds on X says this is exactly what the pre-run “calm” has looked like before. Crypto analyst Cryptollica (@Cryptollica) posted a weekly DOGE chart marking four major structural points across the coin’s history, arguing the current stretch maps onto prior accumulation phases. “We are looking at a textbook fractal setup,” Cryptollica wrote. “The chart highlights four distinct structural points (1, 2, 3, 4). We are currently at Poi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The two neighbor antipodean currencies have taken quite a divergent path in 2025, particularly throughout the latter part of the year. While historically tending to stay correlated, this link has weakened as New Zealand's economy suffered from a brutal slowdown, while the Australian economy stayed red hot – Also leading to quite a diverging Monetary Policy. The RBNZ Rate is at 2.25% and has just concluded its cutting cycle, while the Royal Bank of Australia rate is at 3.60% and could potentially hike next year! Both currencies are the leaders of today's FX action that kicks off a shortened Christmas week. (Watch out for low volumes and potentially distorted flows as y…
Last reply by Ben Graham,