Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11956 tópicos neste fórum
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Bitcoin’s “death cross” is back in the group chat. And yes, the emails too. Matthew Sigel, head of digital assets research at VanEck, said he’s been “getting questions from clients” about the latest death cross print — the 50-day moving average slipping under the 200-day — and answered with the kind of data dump that tends to calm people down. “Lagging indicator,” Sigel wrote on X, alongside a table of every Bitcoin death cross going back to 2011. The summary stats are clean: the 6-month median return after a death cross is +30%, the 12-month median is +89%, and the “positive hit rate” is 64%. Another Bitcoin Death Cross, Another Missed Bottom? But the interesting bit i…
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The crypto market opens December 17 under caution, with .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px solid #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-price-holder .cwp-coin-tre…
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Not long ago, artificial intelligence felt like science fiction—something you read about in a book or saw in a movie. Today, it’s become a part of our daily life. From asking a voice assistant for the weather, to the way streaming platforms tailor our playlists, or how cars navigate traffic on their own, artificial intelligence is behind the scenes powering these moves. For precious metals investors, it’s noteworthy to see that as AI technology expands throughout our economy, it is increasing industrial demand for silver—and that’s expected to grow significantly over the next five years, according to a new report by London-based Oxford Economics Silver: An Essential Co…
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Today, the GBP/JPY pair continues its correction from the December high, approaching the round 207.00 level. The UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) released data showing that headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rose by 3.2% year-on-year in November. This figure declined sharply from 3.6% in October and fell short of analysts' expectations of 3.5%. In addition, core inflation, which excludes the most volatile food and energy components, increased by 3.2% over the same period—slightly below both the market forecast and the October reading of 3.4%. These figures support expectations that the Bank of England will cut its key interest rate as early as next Thurs…
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GBP/USD.
por Ben GrahamThe GBP/USD pair continued its upward movement on Tuesday, a process that began back in early November and was renewed last week after the FOMC meeting. The chart picture continues to point to bull dominance, and the bulls are living up to expectations. A total of three buy signals were generated, each of which traders could have traded according to my recommendations. Now all that remains is to wait and observe. On the other hand, the pair shows no significant bearish patterns or strong resistance zones that would suggest a chart reversal in favor of the U.S. dollar. However, the news background could easily turn the pair downward this week—and more than once—since there…
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Shares Bounce Back from Two-Day Slump Most Read: Bank of England (BoE) Preview: A Hawkish Cut in a Stagnating Economy? Implications for the GBP & FTSE 100 After two days of falling prices, technology stocks in Asia have bounced back. The most dramatic rise was seen in China, where a new chip-making company called MetaX Integrated Circuits skyrocketed by more than 755% on its very first day of public trading. In Japan, the main stock market index, known as the Nikkei, rose slightly by 0.3%. This small increase helped the market recover from a recent two-week low, largely because Japanese tech companies followed the positive trends seen in th…
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Struggling under the weight of notable selling pressure, the Bitcoin price has since lost its hold on the $90,000 support, leading to a sustained downtrend through the middle of December. Despite calls for a bottom, the cryptocurrency does not seem to be heading in that direction, and some analysts have shared reasons as to why this is the case. Crypt analyst Lingrid maps out the trajectory of the Bitcoin price, showing a bullish short-term, but ultimately ending with more declines. Why The Bitcoin Price Could Crash Further Lingrid’s analysis focuses on Bitcoin’s recent price performance, having hit resistance multiple times above the $92,000 level. This comes as the dig…
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Yesterday's data from S&P Global showed that in December of this year, private sector activity in the eurozone increased less than expected, as Germany's manufacturing sector unexpectedly deteriorated. According to the data, the eurozone composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) fell to 51.9 from 52.8 in November, while remaining above the 50 threshold that separates expansion from contraction. Germany emerged as the main weak link, with manufacturing output falling to a ten-month low, while the services sector also delivered disappointing results. In contrast, French indicators surprised analysts by recording the strongest growth in more than three years. The decli…
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Key elements BoJ hike is fully priced, normalization to continue: Markets assign a ~94% probability to a 25bp BoJ hike to 0.75%, backed by firm wage growth, improving consumer confidence, and strong Tankan sentiment—pointing to further gradual tightening into 2026. Policy divergence favours JPY structurally: A December hike would underscore the BoJ as the lone major central bank tightening while the Fed eases, reinforcing medium-term appreciation bias for the yen. USD/JPY near-term bias turns bearish: Technicals signal fading upside momentum; below 156.10, risks skew toward a pullback toward 154.40 and lower, with rallies vulnerable unless resistance is decisively clea…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Key elements BoJ hike is fully priced, normalization to continue: Markets assign a ~94% probability to a 25bp BoJ hike to 0.75%, backed by firm wage growth, improving consumer confidence, and strong Tankan sentiment—pointing to further gradual tightening into 2026. Policy divergence favours JPY structurally: A December hike would underscore the BoJ as the lone major central bank tightening while the Fed eases, reinforcing medium-term appreciation bias for the yen. USD/JPY near-term bias turns bearish: Technicals signal fading upside momentum; below 156.10, risks skew toward a pullback toward 154.40 and lower, with rallies vulnerable unless resistance is decisively clea…
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In crypto news today, a few familiar names are back in the limelight. Fidelity CEO Abigail Johnson said she personally owns BTC and openly called Bitcoin the gold standard. At the same time, as Hal Finney, the creator of Bitcoin, and Satoshi Nakamoto discussions are circulating once again, the current price is still leaving us unsure about what kind of market we are really in. Fidelity has been buying quietly. Over recent months, the firm picked up millions of dollars’ worth of Bitcoin during market weakness. But the Bitcoin price has yet to act like we are in a classic bull cycle, although institutional buyers keep showing up anyway. In crypto news today, this contrast …
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On-chain data shows the top 100 whales on the Chainlink network have again started accumulating the asset recently, retracing their earlier distribution. Top Chainlink Addresses Have Been Adding Since The Start Of November In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Santiment has discussed about the latest trend in the holdings of the top Chainlink addresses. Santiment defines “top addresses” as the 100 largest wallets on the network. This category would naturally include the largest of whales on the blockchain, who carry some degree of influence due to the sheer size of their holdings. As such, the behavior of these investors may be worth monitoring. Now, here is the…
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Yesterday, the price of gold approached its record high as investors, digesting the U.S. labor market data, anxiously awaited inflation figures. The escalation of tensions in Venezuela has also increased demand for the metal. Silver similarly rose to a new high, continuing its powerful rally. The price of gold surpassed $4,325 per ounce, recovering from a slight decline in the previous session. The inflation data, to be published on Thursday, will be closely monitored to understand how it may affect the Federal Reserve's readiness for further rate cuts. The rise in gold prices was also influenced by events in Venezuela, where President Donald Trump ordered a blockade of a…
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As the crypto market recovers from the latest pullback, XRP is attempting to climb up from its recent lows. Some analysts have suggested that the cryptocurrency must defend its current levels or risk a 50% drop to levels not seen since 2024. XRP At Make-Or-Break Level Amid the start-of-week market correction, XRP recorded a 6% drop toward its lowest level in weeks. The price lost $2.00 support on Monday morning and continued to lose key levels despite uninterrupted institutional interest. The cryptocurrency has been trading within the $2.00-$2.25 price range over the past month, only losing its lower boundary during the late November pullback. Monday’s correction sent …
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EUR/USD traded around 1.1740 below the 21 SMA and above 4/8 Murray. The euro is expected to continue falling in the coming hours until it reaches support around 1.1718, at which point it could have a technical rebound. If the downward pressure prevails, we could expect the euro to reach the bottom of the uptrend channel around 1.1670, and it could even reach the 200 EMA around 1.1638. The euro could gain ground if it reaches and consolidates above the 21 SMA located at 1.1748. We could then expect EUR/USD to reach 5/8 Murray at 1.1779 and finally return to the psychological level of 1.1800. The Eagle indicator is showing negative signals, so any technical rebound could be…
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Gold is trading around $4,320, showing consolidation since November 11 around $4,300. This could indicate an upward movement towards the 8/8 Murray located at $4,375 in the coming days. If gold falls below $4,300, we could expect it to reach the bottom of the uptrend channel around $4,250, a key level that suggests a technical rebound, and we will enter long positions. If gold reaches the 8/8 Murray around $4,375, this could be seen as an opportunity to open short positions, as this represents a strong barrier for gold, and in turn, we could expect a technical correction. If the price breaks through and reaches $4,400, the instrument is more likely to continue its upward …
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Bitcoin is trading around $87,098, below the 21 SMA and below the 200 EMA, which indicates that it could continue its fall in the coming days and could reach 1/8 Murray around $80,000. On the H4 chart, we can see that Bitcoin has been moving within an uptrend channel formed since November 19. However, on several occasions, around $93,750, it has attempted to break above this zone without success. After a high of around $94,500, Bitcoin underwent a strong technical correction and is likely to reach $84,000 in the coming days. If this scenario occurs, it could even continue its downward acceleration and reach 0/8 Murray around $75,000. We could expect a recovery in Bitcoin …
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Ethereum (ETH/USD) is trading around $2,935, within a downtrend channel formed since December 10 and below the 21 SMA and below the 200 EMA, which adds pressure to the cryptocurrency. If ETH continues its bearish cycle, we could expect it to reach the 1/8 Murray around $2,812. If the bearish force prevails, we could expect it to reach 0/8 Murray around $2,500. If Ether breaks decisively and consolidates above the psychological level of $3,000, it could be seen as a signal to buy this crypto, with a target at 2/8 Murray around $3,125. ETH could even reach the December 10 high around the 3/8 Murray located at $3,437. Ethereum will likely continue its fall in the coming days…
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The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has officially concluded its investigation into the decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol Aave (AAVE), marking a significant development in the ongoing evolution of regulatory approaches within the cryptocurrency industry. Stani Kulechov, the founder and CEO of the Aave protocol, confirmed the end of the four-year investigation in a post on social media, expressing relief and optimism about the future of DeFi. Aave Founder Celebrates End Of SEC Investigation In his announcement, Kulechov emphasized the considerable effort and resources invested by the Aave team throughout this process. He stated, “We are finally ready to …
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Despite recent positive closes from spot XRP ETFs, the cryptocurrency’s price action is sending a clear warning to traders. Market structure remains weak, and without signs of a confirmed reversal, short-term risks persist. XRP’s current behavior highlights that bullish sentiment from ETFs alone isn’t enough to drive a sustained rally, making caution essential for anyone entering the market. New Year Volatility Hits Crypto Markets Hard Efloud, in a recent update, highlighted that with the start of the new year and continued uncertainty across the markets, cryptocurrencies have once again been among the hardest hit. Low trading volume and a lack of clear direction have ke…
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[Silver] If we pay attention to both EMAs of XAG/USD are in a Golden Cross condition, and the RSI is positioned in the Extreme-Bullish zone, it is clearly indicating that buyers are dominant and may lead Silver toward its nearest resistance level. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 65.253 2. Resistance. 1 : 64.482 3. Pivot : 63.318 4. Support. 1 : 62.547 5. Support. 2 : 61.383 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of Silver breaks above 64.482, it may move toward 65.253. Momentum Extension Bias: If 65.253 is successfully surpassed, then XAG/USD could test the level at 66.417. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weakens …
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[Gold] If we look at the position of EMA(50) which is above the EMA(200) and the RSI(14) in the Neutral-Bullish area, today XAU/USD has the potential to test its nearest resistance levels Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 4366.14 2. Resistance. 1 : 4333.98 3. Pivot : 4302.51 4. Support. 1 : 4270.35 5. Support. 2 : 4238.88 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of Gold breaks above 4302.51, it will have the opportunity to test 4333.98. Momentum Extension Bias: If 4333.98 is broken, then XAU/USD will try to test 4366.14. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weakens if the price of XAU/USD drops and closes below 4238.88. Tec…
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Solana started a recovery wave above the $126 zone. SOL price is now consolidating and faces hurdles near the $132 zone. SOL price started a decent recovery wave above $126 and $128 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $130 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $132 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could continue to move up if it clears $130 and $132. Solana Price Faces Resistance Solana price remained stable and started a decent recovery wave from $124, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL was able to climb above the $126 level. There was a move abo…
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Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other digital assets have witnessed a sharp retrace during the last 24 hours, which has resulted in a long squeeze on derivatives exchanges. Crypto Long Liquidations Have Neared $600 Million During The Past Day According to data from CoinGlass, the latest sharp price action in the cryptocurrency market has accompanied a huge amount of liquidations over at the derivatives side of the sector. “Liquidation” here naturally refers to the forceful closure that any open contract has to undergo after it has amassed losses of a certain degree. For long investors, this happens when the asset’s price drops, while for shorts, liquidation occurs after a surge…
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Analysis of Tuesday's Trades: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair also surged upward on Tuesday, having initially bounced off the ascending trend line. Throughout the day, traders received several technical buy signals. In addition to these signals, important reports were published in the UK in the morning, which were initially challenging for beginner traders to decipher, but they logically triggered an increase in the pair. We believe the key report was not the unemployment rate but the wage growth. Wages have a direct impact on inflation levels, and inflation, in turn, influences the monetary policy of the Bank of England. Thus, stronger wage growth mean…
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