Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Overview: Ahead of the long holiday weekend in North America, the US dollar is trading with a slightly firmer bias in narrow trading ranges. The drama around the Fed has intensified with FHFA Director Pulte sending a new criminal referral against Governor Cook regarding a third mortgage, while Governor Waller reiterated his dissent from last month's meeting. He supports a September rate cut in the face of the deterioration of the labor market while advocating looking through the tariff-related price pressures. China again lowered the dollar's reference rate to a new low for the year, and after the Thai baht, the yuan is the second-strongest emerging market currency this w…
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Circle, the company behind the USDC stablecoin, just pulled off one of the most talked-about IPOs of the year. Priced at $31 per share, Circle’s public debut wasn’t just solid, it blew past the expected range of $27 to $29, and the Circle IPO raised over $1.1 billion. The company is now valued at around $6.9 billion based on shares outstanding, and that number could climb to $8.1 billion once everything’s fully diluted. This isn’t just a moment for Circle. It’s a moment for crypto companies trying to prove they belong in traditional financial markets. Wait, What Exactly Does Circle Do? Let’s break it down. Circle runs USDC, a stablecoin that mirrors the U.S. dollar. If …
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The latest narrative to emerge in the crypto space is the wild success of many publicly traded crypto-related companies – netting blockchain stock investors mega gains. The most recent being USDC-issuer, Circle crypto and its CRCL stock – it is up around 530% since going public on June 4, 2025. CRCL is the latest success story after Japanese investment firm Meta Planet (MTPLF) surged over 600% in a year following its pivot to Bitcoin accumulation, following the playbook of Michael Saylor’s Strategy. In the past year alone, companies such as MetaPlanet in Japan have begun stockpiling BTC, similar to Michael Saylor’s Strategy. They recently surpassed 10,000 BTC in hol…
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Circle, the company behind the popular stablecoin $USDC, has just expanded its tokenized U.S. Treasury fund ($USYC) to the Solana Blockchain. Why is this a big deal? Solana’s known for its speed and low transaction costs, making it a perfect match for expanding $USYC’s reach. Previously available on Ethereum, Near, Base, and Canton, USYC is now live on Solana, with BNB Chain integration planned next. $USYC is basically a tokenized slice of a short-term US government money market fund. With a market value of over $635M, up 13% from last month, it’s making a splash in the world of crypto finance. While we’re talking about making a splash, it’d be remiss not to mention …
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Shares of Circle Internet Group, the issuer of the market’s second-largest stablecoin, USDC, experienced a remarkable surge on Thursday, skyrocketing 168% as the company made its debut on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). Circle’s IPO Exceeds Expectations Circle’s stock opened at $69, well above its IPO pricing of $31. Throughout the day, the shares reached a peak of $103.75, showcasing strong investor enthusiasm. The IPO was priced late Wednesday, exceeding the anticipated range of $27 to $28, and substantially outpacing an earlier range of $24 to $26. This pricing strategy valued the company at approximately $6.8 billion before trading commenced. By the end of t…
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Circle CIRCL stock is soaring, spiking by nearly 10X from its IPO price. Several factors, including USDC growth, strategic partnerships, and regulatory clarity, are driving demand. A few weeks before Circle, the issuer of USDC, a stablecoin pegged to the USD, went public with a $5 billion valuation, Ripple, a private company using XRP ▲5.89% in one of its core solutions, proposed a takeover, offering to buy the stablecoin issuer for $5 billion. However, the deal was rejected. Circle dismissed the proposal as too low, citing the rapid growth expected in the stablecoin market and their dominant position. DISCOVER: Virtuals Protocol Ecosystem Plummets With US-Iran War: VIR…
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Circle Internet Group’s stock took a hit late in the day after it revealed a plan to sell up to 10 million shares. Only 2 million of those are new shares issued by the company. The other 8 million are being sold by insiders looking to cash in. There’s also a clause for underwriters to pick up another 1.5 million if demand holds, potentially pushing the total proceeds past half a billion dollars. Strong Earnings Overshadowed by Share Sale Earlier in the day, things looked bright. Circle had released its first earnings since going public, showing $658 million in revenue and $126 million in adjusted EBITDA. Both numbers were up more than 50 percent from the same time last y…
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Analysts at Citigroup see silver prices rallying beyond $40 an ounce in the coming months due to tightening physical supplies and growing investment demand. In a note published Wednesday, analysts led by Max Layton raised their three-month silver price forecast from $38 to $40, citing the metal’s strong fundamentals. They also upgraded silver’s longer-term outlook, with a price target of $43 for the next six to 12 months. “We expect silver availability to tighten on consecutive years of deficit, sticky stockholders requiring higher prices to sell, and robust investment demand,” the Citi analysts wrote. Silver has risen by more than 30% this year, outpacing its…
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Citigroup Inc. expects gold prices to decline below $3,000 an ounce in the coming quarters, forecasting a cooldown after this year’s record-setting run. The bank cites weakening investment demand, improving economic prospects, and anticipated US interest rate cuts as key drivers of the expected pullback. In a recent report, Citigroup analysts led by Max Layton predicted that gold will fall to a range of $2,500 to $2,700 an ounce by the second half of 2026. The outlook contrasts sharply with bullish forecasts from other major financial institutions. Goldman Sachs projects gold to reach $3,700 by late 2025 and $4,000 by mid-2026, citing robust central bank buy…
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Following an all-time high (ATH) reached last August, Ethereum (ETH), the market’s second-largest cryptocurrency, has found itself in a consolidation phase, trading between $4,200 and $4,700. This price range reflects a broader stagnation in the cryptocurrency market, as various digital assets, including Bitcoin (BTC), struggle to regain the momentum that led both BTC and ETH reach new records above $124,000 and $4,9000 respectively. Notably, Citigroup, the third-largest investment bank in the United States, has tempered expectations for the Ethereum price, forecasting a year-end price target of $4,300 for the altcoin. Citi Forecasts Moderate ETF Inflows Into Ethereu…
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American multinational investment bank Citigroup announced plans to potentially issue its stablecoin, as CEO Jane Fraser revealed during a post-earnings conference call. As first reported by Reuters, Fraser emphasized the bank’s focus on both the stablecoin initiative and the growing tokenized deposit sector, stating, “This is a good opportunity for us.” As the third-largest lender in the United States, Citigroup is also exploring solutions for reserve management related to stablecoins and providing custody services for cryptocurrency assets. Citigroup’s Plan For New Stablecoin Initiative This announcement follows a strong second-quarter performance for Citigroup, whi…
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Thousands of former workers, members of supplier companies and residents of the districts of La Pintada, Omar Torrijos and Donoso, staged a march on Sunday along the Pan-American Highway in the city of Penonomé to ask the government of President José Raúl Mulino to start negotiations with Minera Panamá, S.A. for the reopening of the giant Cobre Panama copper mine, local media El Capital Financiero reported. Minera Panamá is a subsidiary of the Canada’s First Quantum Minerals (TSX: FM), which operated the mine until Panama’s Supreme Court ruled its contract to operate the only mining operation in the Central American country, was unconstitutional in 2023. Challe…
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Cloudflare is stepping into the world of digital currency with a new project called NET Dollar. It plans to launch this as a fully backed stablecoin tied to the U.S. dollar. According to CEO Matthew Prince, the idea is to help build a better foundation for how the internet handles payments and value. Why Cloudflare Is Entering the Stablecoin Space Although Cloudflare is known for its internet security and performance tools, the company sees a bigger role for itself. As AI and smart systems grow more common, there is a clear need for a faster and more efficient way to move money. NET Dollar is meant to handle payments in these new digital spaces, especially when smal…
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The Bitcoin market has been marked by notable volatility recently, with prices fluctuating significantly, dropping close to the $98,400 level before rebounding above $105,000 on Monday. Potential 12% Retrace To $92,000 Technical analyst Doctor Profit recently shared key notes on the social media platform X (formerly Twitter), indicating that a substantial Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) gap exists at $92,000. The analyst predicts that this level will likely be eventually reached, suggesting that closing this gap could create additional fear in the market, which often plays into the hands of market makers. Doctor Profit also highlighted in his analysis the presenc…
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CME Group plans to open the door to round-the-clock trading for cryptocurrency futures and options starting in early 2026. This move still needs the green light from regulators, but if it goes through, it would mean no more waiting for market open. Instead of being locked into specific hours, users will be able to access these products any time on CME’s Globex platform. It’s a clear response to the growing call for nonstop trading access in a market that never really shuts down. What the New Schedule Will Look Like Once it’s live, crypto futures and options will trade 24 hours a day, every day of the week. The only pause will be a two-hour maintenance break each week. If…
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IXM, a metals trading unit of CMOC Group (SHA: 603993), has declared force majeure on its cobalt supply contracts due to an ongoing export ban in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). The ban, initially set for four months, has now been extended until September, halting cobalt shipments from key suppliers. Export ban extended The DRC government extended its cobalt export ban by another three months on June 21, citing a need to address market oversupply and stabilize prices. The measure, enforced by the Authority for the Regulation and Control of Strategic Mineral Substances’ Markets (ARECOMS), began on February 22, 2025. It has disrupted shipments from …
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Metals investor Cobalt Holdings has dropped plans of an initial public offering on the London Stock Exchange, dashing investor hopes of what would’ve been the biggest mining IPO since 2022. The company previously aimed to raise as much as $230 million through the offering and use most of the funds to buy 6,000 tonnes of physical cobalt from Glencore (LON: GLEN) at a discount. The IPO launch represents Cobalt Holding’s strategic play to capitalize on a struggling market that has been in three consecutive years over oversupply despite healthy demand, which drove the metal’s price down by 75% over the past three years. The company, headed by mining entrepr…
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Cobalt futures prices in China surged to levels last seen mid-March on Monday after the Democratic Republic of Congo extended its concentrate export ban first instituted in February. In a surprise move Congo, responsible for more than 80% of global output, stretched the export restrictions for the electric vehicle battery material by another three months taking more than 100,000 tonnes off the market over the seven month period by some estimates. The most active cobalt futures on China’s Wuxi Stainless Steel Exchange surged over 9% to 254 yuan or $35.34 per kilogram, the highest since March 14. A surge in supply from the Congo, where cobalt is a byproduct of c…
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A surge in supply from the Congo, responsible for 80% of the world’s cobalt output, coupled with tepid demand from the electric vehicle market, saw cobalt prices sink to historic lows at the start of 2025. Copper production in the DRC, with a big chunk owned by Chinese companies, was rising fast – leading to a near 40% jump in the country’s co-product cobalt output in 2024, but in February the country announced a four month ban on exports, extending it again in June. The price of cobalt sulphate entering the EV battery supply chain in China duly responded and is now trading over 90% higher than at the start of the year averaging $6,947 a tonne in August (still no…
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Panama is expected to have all information necessary to make a decision on First Quantum’s (TSX: FM) shuttered copper mine by the end of this year, according to its Minister of Commerce and Industry Julio Moltó. Speaking with local media this week, Moltó confirmed that the terms of reference for Cobre Panamá’s environmental and comprehensive audit have been consolidated into a single review process. He added that the Ministry of Environment has already selected the firm responsible for conducting the audit, which was slated to begin this month. “I understand that the company has been defined, and the audit should commence shortly, pending the awarding of the contr…
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Chilean copper giant Codelco has confirmed the discovery of a second body at its El Teniente mine, where five workers have been trapped since a collapse triggered by a powerful tremor on Thursday. The company announced Saturday that the victim’s identity has not yet been confirmed by authorities. One miner was previously reported dead at the time of the accident, which occurred in the Andesita section of the mine, about 75 kilometres southeast of Santiago. “This discovery fills us with sadness, but it also tells us that we are in the right place, that the strategy we followed led us to them,” general manager of El Teniente, Andres Music, said in a statement. H…
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Chile state-owned copper miner Codelco said on Thursday it will pilot Caterpillar’s (NYSE: CAT) new Dynamic Energy Transfer (DET) system, which supplies electricity to both diesel-electric and battery-electric large mining trucks while in motion. The trial will take place at Codelco’s Radomiro Tomic Division in northern Chile using three Cat® 798 AC diesel-electric haul trucks. The system, scheduled to launch in the second quarter of 2026, is expected to cut emissions by 60%–70% and extend engine life while reducing fuel consumption. DET works by transmitting electricity through an electrified rail system connected to a power transfer module, which converts energy…
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Chile’s state-owned copper giant Codelco is warning that national production could stagnate at about 5.5 million tonnes per year as the industry faces mounting challenges. Chairman Máximo Pacheco said at the Ecos de la Minería summit in Santiago the sector faces “enormous difficulties,” citing deeper mining operations, falling ore grades and rising costs. Chile is the world’s top copper supplier, and a prolonged plateau in output could tighten global markets just as demand from the energy transition accelerates. Despite the challenges, Pacheco said Codelco is pressing ahead with upgrades and new ventures. He confirmed the company remains committed to a lithium par…
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Chile’s state-owned copper miner Codelco and SQM (NYSE: SQM), the world’s second-largest lithium producer, are close to finalizing a landmark partnership to jointly extract lithium from the Atacama salt flats. The deal first signed in December 2023, stems from President Gabriel Boric’s national lithium strategy, which placed Codelco at the helm of all operations in strategic salt flats. Under the agreement, SQM will hand over a majority stake in its Atacama operations to Codelco in exchange for extending its production rights until 2060. The pact is expected to be concluded within weeks, though it still requires antitrust approvals, including from regulators in C…
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Coinbase has become the first U.S.-based crypto exchange to win a MiCA license, giving it legal access to offer services across the European Union. The license was issued by Luxembourg’s financial regulator and opens the door to operating in all 27 EU nations, plus Iceland, Liechtenstein, and Norway. As part of the move, Coinbase will shift its EU base of operations from Ireland to Luxembourg. Why Luxembourg Won According to Coinbase’s European leadership, Luxembourg stood out for its established blockchain laws and for being a regulator more familiar with the crypto space. While Ireland was home to Coinbase’s previous EU operations, it has yet to pass crypto-specific…
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