Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12098 tópicos neste fórum
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As the market volatility continues, Bitcoin (BTC) has failed to hold its short-lived momentum and reclaim a key resistance level for the second time this week. Some market watchers have affirmed that the flagship crypto may continue to have a disappointing end-of-year rally and potentially reach new lows before the pain is over. New Lows Before A 2026 Recovery? On Thursday, Bitcoin attempted to break past a crucial level after surging 2.9% from its daily opening. The cryptocurrency has been unable to reclaim $89,000-$90,000 area since the start-of-week correction, which sent the price to a two-week low of $85,145. Notably, the flagship crypto retested the crucial resis…
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Crypto payment platform MoonPay is poised to receive a significant fundraising boost as recent reports suggest that Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the owner of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), is exploring an investment in the company. According to a Bloomberg report, which cited sources familiar with the discussions, MoonPay is close to finalizing this fundraising round and is targeting a valuation around $5 billion. New Regulatory Approval And Investment Talks Based in New York, MoonPay specializes in simplifying the trading of cryptocurrencies through various payment methods, including PayPal, Apple Pay, and Venmo. The platform also offers tools for users to se…
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[Chainlink] With the EMA position forming a Death Cross on the 30-minute chart, it indicates that sellers are still dominating, suggesting that Chainlink will continue its decline toward the nearest support level in the near term. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 13.32951 2. Resistance. 1 : 12.67507 3. Pivot : 12.20532 4. Support. 1 : 11.55088 5. Support. 2 : 11.08113 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price of Chainlink breaks down below 11.55088, it has the potential to continue its decline to 11.08113. Momentum Extension Bias: If 11.08113 is broken, Chainlink may continue its decline down to 10.42669. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The do…
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[Bitcoin] With the technical conditions indicating weakness in Bitcoin, then the potential for a decline which will occur in the near term is quite significant. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 91545.30 2. Resistance. 1 : 88568.39 3. Pivot : 86518.22 4. Support. 1 : 83559.31 5. Support. 2 : 81491.14 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price of Bitcoin breaks down below 86,518.22, it may continue its decline to 83,559.31. Momentum Extension Bias: If 83,559.31 is broken, there is a possibility that Bitcoin will continue to decline to 81,491.14. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is restrained if the price of Bitcoin strengthens a…
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Dogecoin started a fresh decline below the $0.1250 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating losses and might face hurdles near $0.1235. DOGE price started a fresh decline below the $0.1250 level. The price is trading below the $0.1220 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.1300 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could extend losses if it stays below $0.1280 and $0.1300. Dogecoin Price Dips Further Dogecoin price started a fresh decline after it closed below $0.1300, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE declined below the $0.1280 and $0.1250 suppor…
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Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: Several macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Friday, but none of them are particularly significant. It should be noted that yesterday saw meetings of the Bank of England and the European Central Bank, along with the release of U.S. inflation data. These three important events did not provoke any substantial volatility or trending movements. Therefore, today's consumer confidence index in Germany, retail sales in the UK, and new home sales in the U.S. are unlikely to elicit a noticeable market reaction. In our opinion, the most interesting item appears to be the consumer sentiment index from the University of Michigan in the U.S. …
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XRP price failed to gain pace above $1.920 and trimmed gains. The price is now struggling and faces resistance near the $1.820 level. XRP price started a fresh decline below the $1.850 zone. The price is now trading below $1.850 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.920 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below $1.780. XRP Price Dips To New Weekly Lows XRP price attempted a recovery wave above $1.90 but failed to continue higher, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price started a fresh decline below $1.880 and $1.850. There was …
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Data shows Bitcoin and Ethereum have formed a divergence in the Funding Rate indicator, with traders going long on BTC, short on ETH. Bitcoin & Ethereum Funding Rates Are Showing Opposite Values In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Santiment has talked about how the Funding Rate has developed for Bitcoin and Ethereum amid the latest market volatility. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies saw some sudden price swings during the past day, with BTC’s price first rallying to $90,300 in a blink, but then crashing back toward $86,000 just as quickly. The coin’s decline later extended to $85,300. While BTC returned to about the same levels as before the flash surge,…
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Trade Analysis for Thursday: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair traded mixed on Thursday, reflecting a mixed fundamental backdrop. It was a complex day, especially for novice traders. The difficulty lay in interpreting all the information received. For instance, the Bank of England lowered the key interest rate, prompting many to expect a decline in the British currency. However, the market had already anticipated monetary policy easing since Wednesday, when the UK inflation report was published. Inflation sharply declined, opening the door for the BoE to lower the key rate. Therefore, it can be said that this decision was priced in beforehand. At the same…
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Trade Analysis for Thursday: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair The EUR/USD currency pair moved in various directions on Thursday, but it was not particularly volatile. Overall, this week has been more disappointing than rewarding, in many respects. First, the market movements leave much to be desired. Many traders likely expected to see a trend and high volatility, but what they got instead was more of a flat market. Secondly, the macroeconomic background clarified some issues but failed to answer key questions. Notably, this week saw the release of the long-awaited reports on U.S. unemployment and the labor market, as well as an inflation report. Inflation has started t…
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Ethereum price failed to stay above $2,950 and declined again. ETH is now consolidating and might soon aim to attempt another recovery wave if it clears $2,850. Ethereum started a fresh decline below the $2,920 zone. The price is trading below $2,900 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2,925 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below the $2,800 zone. Ethereum Price Faces Renewed Selling Pressure Ethereum price attempted a fresh increase but struggled above $2,950, like Bitcoin. ETH price dipped below $2,920 and $2,900 to enter …
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Gold and silver hit fresh highs on Tuesday while Bitcoin slid back under $89,000, sending a clear message that some investors are favoring metal over riskier bets. According to Reuters and market data, gold traded above $4,330 an ounce and silver pushed past $66 an ounce in what market participants called a strong run for bullion. Reports have disclosed that silver’s rally has lifted local prices in India to about ₹2.06 lakh per kilogram. Metals Rally, Hit New Highs Silver’s advance has been dramatic. It is up roughly 120-130% year-to-date, a jump that outpaces gold by a wide margin. Traders point to a mix of stronger industrial demand from solar and electronics, tigh…
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The GBP/USD currency pair has been trading more actively than the EUR/USD over the past two days. However, it has not shown any particularly interesting movements, which can be seen across almost any time frame. Most traders were likely hoping for more volatile, trend-driven movements this week, but objective reality has dashed those hopes once again. Nevertheless, several important points should not be overlooked and offer an optimistic outlook for the future. For us, optimism now comes from the realization of the forecast we have been discussing throughout 2025. We believe nothing has fundamentally changed for the U.S. dollar globally over the past six months. Therefore…
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The EUR/USD currency pair traded with relatively low volatility on Thursday. Overall, this week can be summarized as follows: expectations were not met. We anticipated that the strong fundamental and macroeconomic backdrop, important reports, and global events would lead the pair out of its six-month flat trend. However, that did not occur. There weren't even any interesting movements, trend shifts, or reinforcement of the current trends. The most significant events elicited emotional spikes in the market, but as seen in the illustration above, the pair is trading roughly where it began this week. Thus, it has been a continuous disappointment. The European Central Bank me…
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Analysis of GBP/USD 5M The GBP/USD currency pair began Thursday in decline, but after the Bank of England's meeting and its decision to lower the key interest rate by 0.25%, the British pound shifted into an upward trend. Illogical? At first glance, yes. However, the market had already understood the British central bank's intentions following the November inflation report. It became clear at that time that a new round of monetary policy easing would follow. Thus, this decision had been priced in "in advance," and we can say the same as we often do after almost every central bank meeting—do not rush to conclusions. It is essential to give the market time to settle and…
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Analysis of EUR/USD 5M The EUR/USD currency pair did not trade as expected on Thursday. There were at least three significant events scheduled for the day, each with the potential to impact either the euro or the dollar. In fact, all three had an impact, but the movements observed throughout the day more closely resembled a flat market than anything else. Essentially, only the U.S. inflation report warranted attention. The Consumer Price Index in the U.S. unexpectedly slowed to 2.7%, making it easy to suggest that the Federal Reserve may lower the key interest rate more than once in 2026. Thus, the dollar had every chance to decline significantly. However, it did not.…
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Bitcoin price attempted to start a fresh increase but failed at $89,500. BTC is now struggling below $86,500 and might continue to move down. Bitcoin started a fresh decline below the $86,500 zone. The price is trading below $86,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $87,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it settles below the $85,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Dips Again Bitcoin price attempted a fresh recovery wave above $88,000 and $88,500. BTC tested the $89,500 resistance zone and reacted to the downside. There was a sharp decline b…
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Bitcoin has been under intense selling pressure in recent sessions, leaving market participants increasingly cautious about near-term direction. On Wednesday, BTC briefly surged from the $86,000 area toward $90,000, offering short-term investors a moment of relief after weeks of downside volatility. That rebound, however, proved short-lived. Price quickly retraced back to the $86,000 level, once again stalling bullish momentum and reinforcing the perception that sellers remain firmly in control. This failed recovery attempt has weighed heavily on sentiment, particularly among short-term holders who entered positions at higher levels during the previous consolidation ra…
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XRP Ledger operators are staring down a familiar kind of “deadline drama” on Thursday, after one community tracker warned that a large chunk of XRPL servers are about to get amendment blocked, basically pushed to the sidelines until they upgrade. “In about ~10 hours 418 (!!) out of 999 XRPL servers will go DOWN as they become amendment blocked!” wrote X user Krippenreiter, adding that amendment-blocked rippled servers can’t “determine the validity of a ledger,” “submit transactions,” “process transactions,” or “participate in the consensus process.” Will This Impact The XRP Ledger? That sounds catastrophic if you’ve never watched XRPL governance do its thing. But the i…
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Ethereum is facing renewed selling pressure as the broader market struggles with fear, uncertainty, and growing bearish expectations. After weeks of weakness, many analysts are now openly calling for a prolonged bear market stretching into 2026, arguing that Ethereum remains below key structural levels and lacks strong momentum. Bulls are attempting to defend the $2,800 mark, a level that has become critical for maintaining short-term confidence, but price action continues to reflect hesitation rather than conviction. Volatility remains elevated, and market sentiment is dominated by caution rather than optimism. Against this fragile backdrop, on-chain data reveals a no…
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In the evolving landscape of blockchain technology, Solana has rapidly emerged as a platform not merely defined by its technical capabilities but by its broader implications for economic infrastructure. By enabling the class of decentralized applications, SOL is positioning itself as a high-performance blockchain and a foundational layer for the next-generation economic activity. Why Infrastructure That Enables Continuous Markets In an X post, crypto analyst Vibhu mentioned that Solana is no longer just a piece of financial technology, but a fully functioning economy. What exists on SOL today has gone beyond transactions and smart contracts. According to the expert, …
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On Thursday, the Bank of England held its last meeting of the year and made not just an expected decision, but a justified one. It is worth noting that some market participants were skeptical about the fourth round of monetary policy easing in 2026, but all doubts were dispelled after the inflation report was released on Wednesday. It turned out that core inflation slowed from 3.4% year-on-year to 3.2%, while headline inflation fell from 3.6% to 3.2%. Frankly, I did not expect inflation to decline so rapidly. Although it remains well short of the target mark, five consecutive months without acceleration are already a trend. Thus, by Wednesday morning, it became clear that…
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On December 18, the European Central Bank concluded its final meeting of the year, albeit a week later than the Federal Reserve. As expected by market participants, no significant decisions were made. All three interest rates (refinancing, deposit, and lending) remained unchanged for the fourth consecutive time. The ECB's accompanying statement emphasized the resilience of the European economy. The 2025 growth forecast was revised upward to 1.4% year-on-year. While such growth rates cannot be deemed high, they are stable, which the ECB likely finds satisfactory. The statement also noted weaknesses in the manufacturing sector (particularly in Germany), while concurrently h…
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The data released on Thursday showed a slowdown in U.S. inflation. All components of the report were in the red zone, falling short of forecasted levels. On one hand, this is an important—one could say pivotal—moment for the EUR/USD pair (as well as for other dollar pairs). Now, representatives of the "dovish camp" at the Federal Reserve have additional arguments to support their position. A weak CPI is a strong card for the "doves" amid a cooling U.S. labor market, a declining ISM manufacturing index, stagnant retail sales, and weaker consumer activity. All these factors contribute to the case for further Fed rate cuts. However, there is one major "but" regarding inflati…
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December 17 was a landmark day for the cryptocurrency market: American spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds witnessed an impressive net inflow of $457.3 million — the largest daily influx of institutional investment in the past month and a half. This occurred despite Bitcoin's price drop, which continues to trade around $86,000, about 32% below its historical high of $126,000 recorded in October. The flagship fund FBTC from Fidelity emerged as the main driver of this growth, securing $391.5 million in a single day. This increased the fund's total net assets to $12.4 billion. IBIT from BlackRock followed closely with an inflow of $111.2 million. Together, these two giants no…
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