Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12206 tópicos neste fórum
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On-chain analytics firm Santiment has revealed how Bitcoin, XRP, and other cryptocurrencies have dropped into a “buy zone” on a popular metric. MVRV Ratio Shows High Degree Of Short-Term Pain In Bitcoin & Altcoins In a new post on X, Santiment has discussed how the various assets in the cryptocurrency sector are looking based on the 30-day MVRV Ratio. The Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Ratio is an on-chain indicator that measures the ratio between the market cap and Realized Cap for a given coin. The Realized Cap here refers to a capitalization model that calculates the asset’s total value by assuming the value of each individual token is equal to the price …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The debut of Canary Capital’s spot-XRP ETF was one of the standout moments for the XRP community this year, bringing the token into the US ETF arena with strong opening volume and heavy attention from traders. Many holders went into launch week expecting that kind of headline event to push XRP into a sharp rally, especially after waiting years for regulated access in the United States. Instead, price action has stayed relatively muted, leaving a gap between expectations and reality. In a new 26-minute video shared on X, finance coach Coach JV tried to close that gap, breaking down why XRP has not exploded higher yet and what he believes holders should actually focus o…
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In the turbulent and often unpredictable world of financial markets, asset correlations can dictate fortunes, creating either synergistic gains or painful downturns. Bitcoin is once again proving its resilience as it navigates a difficult period of negative market correlation. How Macro Pressure Failed To Break Bitcoin Market Structure Bitcoin is dealing with one of the most frustrating correlations in the market and is still surviving. CryptosRus has noted on X that BTC and Nasdaq are moving together, but BTC is reacting more to drops than to pumps. Wintermute pointed this out in their latest market report, and it’s exactly the type of pattern you normally see near macr…
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Cardano (ADA) is once again under heavy market pressure after a series of whale-driven shocks and broken support levels sent the asset spiraling toward multi-month lows. Trading around $0.46–$0.49, ADA has slipped beneath several key zones that protected the price structure throughout 2024 and early 2025. Analysts now warn that the sell-off could deepen toward the $0.43 – $0.30 range if downward momentum continues. ADA Slides as Whale Loss and Support Break Intensify Selling Pressure Much of the latest volatility stems from a dramatic whale incident. A dormant wallet holding 14.45 million ADA, inactive for five years, executed a swap into USDA, a pool so thin that t…
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As I mentioned, most Federal Reserve officials support keeping interest rates unchanged three weeks before the next meeting (the last one of the year). What exactly did the officials communicate? Mary Daly and Neel Kashkari stated that inflation has been elevated and persistent, drifting away from the Fed's target of 2%, hence monetary policy should remain sufficiently "restrictive" to continue curbing price growth. Both officials noted that the FOMC has already lowered rates twice in the second half of 2025, hinting that it will provide "first aid" to the labor market. They also pointed out that the economy is currently stable amid Donald Trump's new trade policy, so fur…
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Many economists continue to highlight the weakness in the labor market and do not believe in its recovery. There could have been no recovery in September, as the Federal Reserve only resumed monetary policy easing on September 17. In October, America was overwhelmed by a government shutdown, and there may be no data for that month at all. Even if the Bureau of Statistics somehow manages to compile reports, how accurate will they be? Additionally, at least six Fed officials drew the market participants' attention to inflation last week. Let's do the same. Inflation in America reached its low of 2.3% year-on-year in April of this year, right when Trump first imposed tariffs…
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Most FOMC Committee members lean towards keeping the interest rate unchanged in December. It is difficult for me to say on what data this preliminary decision was made. Why did the Monetary Policy Committee express concerns about the labor market in September and November, and suddenly stop doing so now, when no reports on payrolls or unemployment have been released? Therefore, in my opinion, any assumptions regarding the Federal Reserve's decision at the December meeting are mere guesswork. This conclusion applies to both forecasts from major banks and analytical companies, as well as those of private traders. Let me remind you that Jerome Powell repeats in every speech …
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No matter how hard the White House tries to take the lead in 2025, the Federal Reserve remains the main driver for the U.S. dollar. In August, Jerome Powell stated that for the central bank, slowing employment is more important than accelerating inflation. In October, the Fed's head noted that a rate cut at the end of 2025 remains unresolved. As a consequence, the futures market fluctuated between increasing and decreasing the scale of monetary expansion, causing the EUR/USD to rise and fall. Dynamics of Market Expectations Regarding Fed Rates As autumn came to a close, a quite interesting situation emerged. Investors concluded that the peak of rates had been reache…
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Vulcan Elements announced Tuesday it has selected Benson, North Carolina, as the location for its $1 billion rare earth magnet facility. This month, Vulcan entered a $1.4 billion partnership with refiner ReElement Technologies and the US government to scale the companies’ development of a domestic rare earth magnet supply chain. While China dominates the global rare earth industry, controlling the vast majority of the world’s rare earth processing and refining capacity, Vulcan Elements’ vision is to provide domestic supply with pricing viable in the US market and beyond. At its Benson location, Vulcan will expand to 10,000 metric tonnes of rare earth magne…
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XRP is facing one of its most challenging moments in recent months as selling pressure accelerates and the broader crypto market slips into a risk-off environment. Bitcoin’s collapse below key psychological levels has dragged altcoins with it, and XRP has not been spared. Analysts are increasingly warning that the market may be entering a bear phase, pointing to tightening liquidity conditions, rising global economic uncertainty, and a sharp decline in investor appetite for risk assets. What makes XRP’s situation more fragile is the growing number of holders sitting on unrealized losses. On-chain data reveals that many late buyers — particularly those who entered after …
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Gold bugs have been riding a scorching rally in 2025. With a gain of over 50%, gold is one of the best-performing assets year to date, buoyed by strong buying pressure from central banks and retail investors. Gold shot up to a record high close to $4,400 an ounce last month before succumbing to profit taking. After spending time below the $4,000 level, expected US interest rate cuts and persistent fears about inflation saw bullion climb again this month. While some of the 20 largest properties ranked by measured and indicated gold resources including reserves face an uphill battle to go into production and many greenfield properties have been stalled for years, th…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for November 18 As the title says, Markets are roller coasters. Volatility fiends are loving the action, particularly when looking at how much back and forth action all asset classes are seeing. As was mentioned in one of our Market Wraps from a few days prior, such flows resemble those that can be seen at the end of huge Quarters. However, we are still far even for Month-end. November is known to be a volatile month (although usually one for upside in stocks). Crypto veterans can only confirm as the two past Market cycle tops (2018 and 2021) have happened between November and December. Seasonals are always a big th…
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A senior executive at DeFi Development Corp. (DFDV) has delivered one of the most aggressive long-term forecasts for the Solana price yet. According to him, Solana could see its value catapult to $10,000, leaving much of the market in the dust. This outlook, shaped by recent market turbulence and years of crypto experience, has drawn attention from industry experts as the DFDV executive outlines how SOL can reach this target by capturing a significant share of the global digital value. Solana Price To Reach $10,000 In 10 Years DFDV COO and CIO Parker White recently shared his long-term thesis on Solana following a rough week for risk assets in the market. White argued t…
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Is forex trading profitable? Is forex trading profitable? Most retail traders dive into the forex market searching for the “perfect setup” or the next big winning trade. But during my years as a bank trader, I learned a very different and far more sustainable approach from a colleague who ran a forex dealing room. His philosophy became the foundation of what I now call the professional trader’s game plan, and it’s a strategy that retail traders can successfully use today. The Professional Trader’s Profit-Building Strategy The trader’s philosophy was simple but powerful: Trade daily, build consistent profits, and save your biggest bets for the few times each year when t…
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Markets are getting rocked up and down across asset classes lately. Cryptos are getting sold off aggressively (Is the selling done or is it only a first wave?).Equities are seeing some record volatility compared to the past few years in frantic +1% up and down moves, as can be seen today. Even Metals are failing to gather traction after reaching some new records towards the end of last month. They are holding relatively well compared to the other asset classes that performed great throughout 2025, but the fact that they can't seem to attract inflows during high-range risk-off profit-taking points to a deeply confused market. The dominant 2025 trend of Stocks, Cryptos,…
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Most Read: NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 2025 Earnings Preview: Navigating the AI Stress Test Gold prices have had a topsy turvy start to the week but the $4000/oz handle has held firm. Bulls have returned and price has bounced off the confluence area at $4000 but needs acceptance above the $4100/oz handle for the rally to gather steam. The question on the minds of market participants is whether or not Gold bulls will remain in control after the Fed minutes release and Labor data on Thursday? Technical Outlook - Gold (XAU/USD) Looking at the four-hour chart below, the technical picture is interesting. Having bounced off the ascending trendline which lined up with the $4000/oz handl…
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Hyperliquid’s native token, HYPE, is staging a surprisingly strong recovery just hours after the platform recorded one of the largest liquidation events in crypto history. According to CoinGlass data, a massive $96.5 million BTC-USD perpetual contract liquidation hit Hyperliquid late Monday, part of a broader market washout that wiped out over 164,000 traders and triggered $814 million in total liquidations across exchanges. Despite the carnage, Hyperliquid price has surged by 6% in the past 24 hours, climbing back above $41 on Tuesday and extending the rebound that began after defending the critical $36.51 support level last week. Whale Accumulation, Rising OI, an…
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Bitcoin has officially slipped into dangerous territory after losing the $90,000 level for the first time since early spring, triggering widespread fear across the market. The drop has intensified concerns that BTC may be transitioning into a full bear market, as momentum weakens and buyers struggle to absorb the aggressive waves of sell pressure. According to top analyst Darkfost, one of the driving forces behind the latest downturn is persistent selling from major institutional players. Data shows that Galaxy Digital has been offloading significant amounts of BTC. This steady stream of institutional selling has added weight to an already fragile market structure, like…
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Currently trading at 0.79952, having recovered losses from earlier in today’s session, USD/CHF is up +0.42% in today’s session. Having recently suffered its worst weekly performance since June, falling by 1.38% in week 46, dollar-franc now looks for support near the key level of 0.8000, having recently formed a triple bottom on the daily timeframe. Otherwise, markets now eye an all-important FOMC Minutes release tomorrow. What’s next for USD/CHF? USD/CHF: Key takeaways 18/11/2025 Succumbing to bearish pressure in last week's trading, USD/CHF has found some support in the past few sessions and is currently looks to secure a three-day winning streak While changing expect…
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The Japanese yen is under pressure. On Monday, Nikkei Asia reported that Japan's Prime Minister, Sanae Takaichi, plans to begin discussions on tax reform this week. The main goal is to reduce certain taxes to stimulate investment and consumer demand, while increasing other tax rates and eliminating exemptions to offset the budget deficit. The report notes that the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), together with its coalition partners, will discuss the tax package for the coming year, including the cancellation of gasoline and diesel fuel surcharges, which may reduce budget revenues by about 1.5 trillion yen. On Monday, government data showed that Japan's economy cont…
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Barrick Mining (TSX: ABX) (NYSE: B) has entered into an option agreement with Canadian gold junior Midland Exploration (TSXV: MD) for its Lewis property in Quebec. Under the terms, Barrick can acquire up to 75% of the project by making C$750,000 in staged cash payments and spending C$12 million on exploration by the end of 2032. During the option period, the Canadian gold miner will serve as the project’s operator. An initial 51% interest can be earned by paying C$250,000 cash to Midland and funding exploration work of at least C$3 million by 2028. Following the initial earn-in, the companies will form a joint venture. Barrick will then have the option to earn…
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A new pricing model from Diana, a crypto analyst on X, projects that XRP could climb into the $7–$24 range within 60 days of the ETF launch, driven strictly by inflow pressure and the asset’s constrained liquid supply. The model reportedly relies on supply-absorption math, revealing how ETF-driven demand could shift XRP’s market pricing once XRP ETFs go live. New XRP ETF Inflow Model Maps A Direct Route To $24 Diana’s newly released “XRP ETF Launch Impact Model” outlines a clear, data-driven view on how ETF inflows alone could reprice XRP. Her framework tests multiple launch scenarios involving five to twenty ETFs, each seeded with $10 million to $45 million. Depending o…
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From a technical standpoint, yesterday's close above the psychological level of 155.00 has given the USD/JPY pair new upward momentum. Moreover, oscillators on the daily chart are positive and have not yet entered overbought territory, indicating that spot prices are still oriented toward further gains. Consequently, additional strengthening of the pair beyond the intermediate resistance at 155.60 on the way back toward the round level of 156.00 appears quite likely. On the other hand, a corrective pullback below the round level of 155.00 will encounter strong support, attracting new buyers in the 154.50 level. This level serves as a key support point; a break below it wo…
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Today, on Tuesday, the British pound is showing gains against the Japanese yen, which continues to face pressure due to Japan's ambitious fiscal initiatives and the Bank of Japan's restrained approach to monetary tightening. At the moment, the GBP/JPY pair is trading near 204.25, hovering around the five-week high reached on Monday. Even so, the atmosphere surrounding the pound sterling remains fragile, as market participants await the UK's budget on November 26 amid uncertainties over the government's tax and spending plans. Recent reports indicate that the Treasury is considering additional revenue options after rejecting an income tax increase, including the potential …
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Bitcoin Price has come down nearly -29% from its ATH in October. Compared to the S&P’s just over -4% and Nasdaq’s -7% drops, we can easily say that the BTC volatility is still a lot to take for traditional investors. Such a drop for the indexes can be observed at the COVID crash in 2020 and earlier this year, around the tariff wars. In the meantime, over the past 24 hours, there have been +$400 million worth of Bitcoin long positions liquidated. YoY Bitcoin ETFs have an inflow of $60 billion, and over the past two weeks, we’ve seen an outflow of $1.8 billion, which is nothing close to 29%. That should be telling. FVG gap. Will t…
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