Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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XRP’s weekly chart has entered a technical zone that has repeatedly acted as a turning point in recent years. A recent analysis shared on the social media platform X highlights a recurring relationship between XRP’s price behavior and its 50-week simple moving average, a long-term trend indicator closely watched by traders. Instead of focusing on XRP’s short-term volatility, which has been bearish, the analysis zeroes in on how extended periods below this moving average have coincided with the end of downside phases and the beginning of rally expansions. The 50-Week SMA And Why It Matters For XRP Cycles Technical analysis of XRP’s price action on the weekly candlestick…
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The 50/50 joint venture between Trilogy Metals (TSX, NYSE-A: TMQ) and South32 (ASX, LSE, JSE: S32) — sees 2026 as a pivotal year for the development of the Ambler mining district of northwestern Alaska. On Wednesday, Trilogy announced that Ambler Metals, the joint venture, recently approved a $35 million work program next year aimed at advancing the Upper Kobuk Mineral Projects (UKMP), which include two copper-rich deposits (Arctic and Bornite) situated within an approximate 1,900 sq.-km land package. Exploration activities in 2026 will primarily focus on the Arctic deposit, including geotechnical and condemnation drilling to support mine design, infrastructure pl…
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Things have changed quite remarkably since the broadly optimistic morning session. As pointed out in this interesting report, there might have been some selection biases in the BLS construction of this CPI release, tilting the numbers to the downside. Accuracy issues for data releases may hurt confidence prospects for Public data going forward. With the next CPI report expected on January 13, traders will want to see if major revisions to today's number will actually affect the Rate Cut expectations. Gold tested a new All-time high $4,400 before falling sharply, Stock markets are making new lows and Bonds are selling off. These flows don't inspire much confidence. …
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For GBP/USD, the wave pattern continues to indicate the formation of an upward trend segment (lower chart), but over the past six months it has taken on a complex and extended form (upper chart). The trend segment that began on July 1 can be considered wave 4, or any large corrective wave, since it clearly has a corrective rather than an impulsive internal wave structure. The same applies to its internal sub-waves. The downward wave structure that started on September 17 took the form of a five-wave pattern a–b–c–d–e and has been completed. The instrument is now in the process of forming a new upward wave sequence. Of course, any wave structure can become more complex and…
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The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has changed, but overall it still remains quite clear. There is no talk of canceling the upward trend segment that began in January 2025; however, the wave structure starting from July 1 has taken on a complex and extended form. In my view, the instrument has completed the formation of corrective wave 4, which took a very unconventional shape. Within this wave, we observed exclusively corrective structures, so there is no doubt about the corrective nature of the decline. In my opinion, the construction of the upward trend segment is not complete, and its targets extend as far as the 2.5000 level. The series of waves a–b–c–d…
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Trade Review and Trading Tips for the Japanese Yen None of the levels I identified were tested during the first half of the day. In the second half of the day, extremely important economic releases are expected: the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) and its core version, which excludes food and energy prices. In addition, weekly data on initial jobless claims in the United States will be published. The market is on hold ahead of the news. Investors and market participants around the world are closely watching the upcoming reports, as these data may have a significant impact on the future monetary policy strategy of the Federal Reserve. Inflation—especially the core measure—…
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Ripple’s push to advance XRP’s institutional relevance took a concrete step forward following a post published by Doppler Finance confirming its partnership with SBI Ripple Asia. The announcement marks a strategic shift from retail-driven narratives to regulated, institution-ready financial infrastructure on the XRP Ledger. The collaboration positions XRP as part of a framework centered on yield generation, compliant custody, and real-world financial integration. Doppler Finance And SBI Ripple Asia To Expand XRP’s Role Beyond Payments The partnership between Doppler Finance and SBI Ripple Asia represents a major evolution in XRP’s role in finance. While XRP has long been…
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Trade Review and Trading Tips for the British Pound The test of the 1.3359 price level occurred when the MACD indicator was just beginning to move downward from the zero line, which confirmed a correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair declined by 25 points. In the second half of the day, very important data are expected on the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the CPI excluding food and energy prices. Weekly U.S. initial jobless claims data are unlikely to attract much interest. Higher-than-expected CPI readings could spark concerns about persistent inflationary pressure in the United States, which in turn may push the Federal Reserve to be more …
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Trade Review and Trading Tips for the European Currency The test of the 1.1737 price level occurred when the MACD indicator was just beginning to move downward from the zero line, which confirmed a correct entry point for selling the euro. As a result, the pair declined by 25 points. Ahead of the ECB's decision on key interest rates, the euro showed slight weakness. Traders are anxiously awaiting guidance on the future monetary policy strategy in the euro area, although changes are considered unlikely. It is widely expected that the ECB will keep rates unchanged, with the main focus shifting to the press conference led by Christine Lagarde. At the same time, a heavy flow …
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Today, only the Canadian dollar was traded using the Mean Reversion strategy. I traded the British pound and the Japanese yen using the Momentum strategy. The euro and the pound edged lower ahead of the European Central Bank's and the Bank of England's interest rate decisions. Investors are holding their breath, waiting for signals regarding future monetary policy. The ECB is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, but particular attention will be paid to Christine Lagarde's press conference. The Bank of England, however, is preparing to cut interest rates, which could extend the decline of the British pound. In addition, the economic calendar is set to be quite busy,…
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At present, the GBP/JPY pair has entered a phase of bullish consolidation, remaining stable above the round level of 208.00 amid the upcoming interest rate decisions by the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan. Later today, the Bank of England will announce its interest rate decision, while on Friday the results of the Bank of Japan's two-day monetary policy meeting are expected to be published. After the pause in November, it is assumed that the Bank of England may move toward cutting rates amid signs of easing inflationary pressures. This backdrop is reinforced by a rise in the UK unemployment rate to the highest levels seen since 2021, as well as a slowdown in wage gr…
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Equity Markets welcomed a large miss on the US Inflation report from this morning. While the weekly labor Jobless Claims report continued to affirm a softening but not crashing employment picture, high concerns on US Inflation and its prospects for 2026 were hurting Appetite for Stocks. Combined with quite gloomy reports from Fed Members, US NFP and the latest Bank of America Survey, it seemed that the trading days leading to the end of the calendar year would not be as joyful as early 2025 was. But the huge miss in this morning's CPI report helped to ease the uncertainty. A 0.4% miss on the 3.1% high expectations have largely helped Swap Traders to price in higher o…
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BNB has slipped below its long-standing bullish trendline, raising fresh concerns about a deeper pullback. However, the selloff is unfolding right into a key support zone, where multiple technical signals hint that buyers may be preparing for a counter-move. With breakdown risk clashing against early rebound signs, BNB now sits at a pivotal moment that could define the next major move. Bullish Trendline Break Signals A Change In BNB Market Character According to crypto analyst Marcus Corvinus, BNB has just experienced a significant structural shift by losing its long-held bullish trendline. This technical break is a critical development that is rapidly changing the marke…
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Sierra Madre Gold & Silver (TSXV: SM) is buying another past-producing mine First Majestic Silver (NYSE, TSX: AG) to bolster its Mexico-focused mine portfolio. In a press release on Wednesday, the Vancouver-headquartered silver miner said it has agreed to acquire First Majestic’s 100%-owned Del Toro silver mine in Zacatecas state to in a deal worth up to $60 million. The company currently has one mine in Mexico, La Guitarra, which it also bought from First Majestic. Sierra Madre will pay $30 million upfront at closing, comprising $20 million cash and $10 million in shares, and another $10 million, paid in cash or shares, within 18 months. Two additional $10 mi…
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Brazil has postponed a long-awaited auction of mineral exploration areas rich in critical minerals after its mining regulator said it lacks the resources to move forward. The National Mining Agency (ANM) had planned to approve the tender rules in December, with the auction scheduled for March 2026, but has now suspended the process indefinitely. Speaking during a board meeting, ANM director José Fernando Gomes Júnior said the agency could not proceed because the auction involves several embedded costs and would only resume once its financial situation improves. The delay comes as Brazil works to position itself as a major supplier of minerals critical to the …
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The Bitcoin and Ethereum prices are down today as the crypto market remains in a phase of extreme fear. This latest crash came amid BlackRock’s move, which sparked fear of a sell-off from the world’s largest asset manager. The Bitcoin and Ethereum prices are down today following BlackRock’s transfer of 2,257 BTC and 74,973 ETH to Coinbase, indicating plans to offload these coins. Notably, the BTC and ETH ETFs recorded outflows on December 16, likely why the asset manager moved these coins to redeem shares for its IBIT and ETHA ETFs, which were sold that day. Bitcoin and Ethereum Prices Decline Amid BlackRock’s Transfer These Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs have continued to…
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Global Macro Investor (GMI) head of macro research Julien Bittel posted a bitcoin “oversold RSI” roadmap on X, arguing the market has tracked it closely and tying the setup to a broader view that the cycle could run into 2026—an outlook he says would render the traditional “four-year cycle” framework obsolete. “A lot of people have been asking for an update on this chart, so I’ll just leave this here for anyone who needs to see it,” Bittel wrote, sharing a chart of bitcoin’s average price path after RSI falls below 30, with the RSI breach marked as t=0. “This shows the average BTC trajectory following an oversold RSI reading, with RSI falling below 30 at t=0.” Can Bitco…
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This morning is a blessing for volatility traders and economists – A triple slate of high-tier change just landed in the past hour and a half. Starting with the most recent releases, the US CPI (headline) for November landed at 2.7% vs 3.1% expectations – A sharp miss on high expectations and a very good sign for future cuts. The Core measure actually came lower (2.6% vs 3% exp), reflecting a cooling in the Services sector. zoom_out_map Morning US Data releas…
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Bitcoin (BTC) has entered an extreme oversold phase, with momentum indicators dropping to levels that historically signal market exhaustion and a trend reversal. Researchers tracking macro conditions and long-term price behavior say that the current drawdown reflects a reset in positioning, not the end of the bull market. Based on past recovery patterns, the analyst believes that Bitcoin could soon forge a path toward a new all-time high. Bitcoin Enters Extreme Oversold Territory Thomas Lee, Co-founder and Chief Investment Officer (CIO) of Fundstrat Capital, has flagged Bitcoin’s latest market condition as a key technical development. He pointed to data from Bittel Jul…
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BHP (ASX, LON, NYSE: BHP) faces a demand for at least £189 million ($253 million) in legal costs after a UK court found last month that the world’s largest miner was liable for Brazil’s 2015 Mariana dam collapse, which killed 19 people and caused the country’s worst environmental disaster. Lawyers for victims told the High Court in London on Wednesday that they were the “clear overall winner” in a November liability ruling and that BHP should make an immediate interim payment toward costs. The claim ranks among the largest cost demands in British legal history, according to Financial Times. The request includes legal fees and about £44 million (nearly $60 million)…
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Asia Market Wrap - Nikkei Hits Three-Week Lows Most Read: Bank of England (BoE) Preview: A Hawkish Cut in a Stagnating Economy? Implications for the GBP & FTSE 100 Japan's Nikkei dropped to its lowest point in three weeks on Thursday. The decline was driven largely by falling prices in major technology companies, as investors grew worried about the future of artificial intelligence and data center businesses. Overall, the Nikkei index fell by roughly 1%, while the broader Topix index saw a smaller decline. SoftBank Group was hit particularly hard, losing nearly 4% of its value. This happened after its partner, Oracle, saw its own stock drop due to reports that a ma…
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The market showed mixed price action on December 18, with heightened volatility, especially during the late session. .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px solid #008868 !important; } .c…
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Veteran chartist Peter Brandt is flagging what he calls a “potential double top” on XRP’s weekly chart, a classic reversal setup that, if confirmed, would argue for materially lower prices — even as other traders point to a washed-out weekly RSI reading that has historically aligned with prior bottom zones. Peter Brandt Flags XRP Double Top Pattern Brandt posted the chart to X on Dec. 17 and didn’t bother softening the message for XRP’s online faithful. “I know in advance that all you Riplosts $XRP will forever remind me of this post — ask me if I care,” he wrote, before adding: “This is a potential double top. Sure, it may fail, and I will deal with this if it does. But…
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On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair declined to the 38.2% retracement level at 1.1718, rebounded from it, reversed in favor of the European currency, and began a growth phase toward the resistance level at 1.1795–1.1802. A consolidation below the 1.1718 level would favor the US dollar and a resumption of the decline toward the support level at 1.1645–1.1656. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The most recent completed downward wave did not break the low of the previous wave, while the latest upward wave broke the previous high. Thus, the trend officially remains "bullish." It would be an exaggeration to call it strong, but in recent weeks the b…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair first declined and then rose on Wednesday. At the moment, the pound has consolidated above the 1.3352–1.3362 level. A rebound from this area today would allow traders to anticipate renewed growth toward the 1.3425 level. A consolidation below the 1.3352–1.3362 level would favor the US dollar and a continuation of the decline toward the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.3294. The wave structure shifted to a "bullish" one several weeks ago, but this week it has shifted back to "bearish." The most recently completed upward wave exceeded the previous peak by only a few points, while the latest downward wave managed to break the previous low. …
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