Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12122 tópicos neste fórum
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According to an analyst, Bitcoin sits in a liquidity set-up that has shown up before big rallies. Prices are not shooting higher yet. At press time Bitcoin trades around $104,500, down 0.5% over the past day. Traders watched a decline of about 1.8% earlier that pushed the price near $103,400 and it briefly touched $102,850 during the move. Stablecoin Signal Points Toward Accumulation CryptoQuant analyst Moreno points to the Stablecoin Supply Ratio, or SSR, as the first clear indicator. The SSR compares Bitcoin’s market cap to the total market cap of stablecoins. It has dropped back into the 13 range. Based on historical readings, that 13 area has lined up with market …
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On-chain data shows the large Bitcoin investors have added to their holdings in the past week, a sign that could be bullish for BTC’s price. Bitcoin Investors With 10 To 10,000 BTC Have Added To Their Holdings In a new post on X, the on-chain analytics firm Santiment has talked about the latest trend in the Bitcoin supply held by the 10 to 10,000 BTC investors. The on-chain indicator of relevance here is the “Supply Distribution,” which tells us about the total number of tokens that a particular wallet group is carrying right now. Addresses or investors are placed into these cohorts based on the size of their balance. For example, the 1 to 10 coins group includes all h…
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The liquidity engine that has supported risk assets, including Bitcoin, since the beginning of 2025 is now shifting into reverse. According to macro analyst Tomas (@TomasOnMarkets), the six-month upswing in Federal Reserve liquidity has ended, and a potentially destabilizing wave of debt issuance by the US Treasury is about to begin. In a post published on X late Sunday, Tomas warned: “ Federal Reserve Liquidity set to fall… The Fed liquidity upswing that began on January 1 2025 is now over.” Bitcoin Enters Danger Zone The catalyst behind this reversal is the recent $5 trillion debt ceiling increase passed by Congress last week. That legislative decision gives the Treasu…
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Bitcoin’s price movements often reflect broader macroeconomic trends. Analysts have uncovered a consistent pattern where BTC’s price follows these shifts with a roughly 12-week delay. With global liquidity now picking up steam, the macro-level signal now points toward a potential bullish phase ahead for BTC. How Liquidity Trends Fit Into Bitcoin’s Long-Term Cycle In an X post, Crypto expert MartyParty pointed out a compelling pattern in Bitcoin’s price behavior, stating that its high-timeframe follows global liquidity, indicated on the chart as the blue line following the red line lagged 12 weeks. Currently, the global liquidity curve is on the rise, and the US has no…
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Bitcoin has entered a critical make-or-break phase as price clings to key weekly support while momentum continues to fade. Despite holding above a major confluence zone, repeated rejections overhead suggest buyers are losing control. With macro pressure building and liquidity levels still untested, the next move from here could define whether BTC stabilizes or slides into a deeper reset. Lower-Timeframe Rejection Keeps The Downtrend In Control Crypto analyst Michael Van De Poppe revealed in a recent post that Bitcoin has faced a clear rejection at a key resistance level. This failure signals that the short-term downtrend remains intact on lower timeframes, confirming tha…
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Despite a noticeable cooldown in trading volumes, Bitcoin’s underlying market structure has continued to strengthen. The price action has stabilized within a narrow range as long-term holders maintain firm conviction. As more BTC flows into cold storage and supply on exchanges tightens, the market is transitioning from hype-driven swings to steady structural support. How The Price Compression Builds Energy For A Larger Move CIO and founder of MNFund and MNCapital, CryptoMichNL, emphasized that Bitcoin shares a strong correlation with the Nasdaq. While Nasdaq continues to show steady resilience, BTC has stalled behind. This mismatch creates a mispricing and market diverge…
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A well-known crypto analyst is urging investors to rethink the old trade of gold for Bitcoin, calling current market signals a rare buying window. According to CryptoQuant author Joao Wedson, a set of bottom signals in the BTC/Gold ratio are flashing, and that could mark a turning point in how the two assets move against each other. Rare Signals Point Toward Bitcoin Wedson’s chart shows two tags — one blue and one green — that line up with a normalized oscillator he says is at a low. According to him, the blue tag marks a bottom in the BTC/Gold ratio while the green tag appears when both indicators reach lows together. When that has happened before, it often came a…
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Bitcoin’s recent climb to $105,000 has done little to shake off the worries piling up around its momentum. The world’s biggest cryptocurrency eked out a 0.03% gain in the last 24 hours but still sits 3.5% lower than it did a week ago. According to analyst Captain Faibik, this mix of flat gains and fading strength could mean traders are buying Bitcoin at the top. Bearish RSI Divergence Signals Weakness Based on data, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has drifted downward after peaking near 80, even as Bitcoin’s price pushed to fresh highs. The RSI now sits at 61.88, a clear sign that buyers are losing steam. Traders often watch for this kind of mismatch—when price goes…
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The Hash Ribbon “buy” trigger – a signal embedded in Bitcoin’s network hashrate dynamics – has flashed again, and technical analyst Astronomer Zero believes it could pave the way to at least $170,000 per coin. A chart the analyst posted on X on 12 June overlays every prior weekly‐time-frame Hash Ribbon entry since 2020 on the BTC/USDT perpetual contract at Binance, illustrating why the signal is treated with almost talismanic respect by some quantitative traders. Bitcoin Surge To $170,000 Imminent? The graphic shows five earlier occurrences of the capitulation-to-recovery crossover embedded in the Hash Ribbon algorithm. Each is marked on the price pane by a cobalt-blue “…
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Bitcoin long-term holders aged between 5 to 7 years old have lost $6.4 billion in Realized Cap over the past year, but selling isn’t behind the fall. 5 To 7 Years Old Bitcoin Holders Have Been Maturing To Even Older Bands In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has talked about how the Realized Cap associated with the 5 to 7 years old Bitcoin investors has changed over the past year. The “Realized Cap” here refers to an indicator that basically measures the amount of capital that the investors of the cryptocurrency have put into it. As such, changes in the metric correspond to the exit or entry of capital into the network. In the context of the current t…
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An analyst has explained how Bitcoin’s bottom in the current cycle may not follow the same pattern as historical bear markets. Bitcoin Could Bottom Around True Mean Price Instead This Time In a new post on X, Checkonchain co-founder Alec Dejanovic has talked about a couple of pricing models related to Bitcoin. The first of these is the “Realized Price,” keeping track of the cost basis of the average investor on the BTC network. When the BTC spot price is trading above this level, it means that the network as a whole is in a state of net unrealized profit. On the other hand, the asset being under the metric suggests that the average token is being held at some loss. Th…
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According to Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, what used to be a near‑perfect four‑year Bitcoin pattern now looks less reliable. Supply cuts, rate moves and crash risks once drove big swings. Now, fresh forces are taking over. Halving’s Impact Shrinks Every Cycle Hougan points out that each Bitcoin halving still cuts new coins by 50% but matters less over time. In early cycles, that shock fueled parabolic runs. Today, with a market cap in the hundreds of billions, the same supply cut is half as important every four years. Back in 2016 and 2020, prices jumped more than 150% around halving events. Now, moves hover under 50% in similar windows. Based on a…
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Bitcoin (BTC) remains within a tight trading range following a recent pullback from its all-time high. At the time of writing, the world’s largest cryptocurrency is priced at $118,570, reflecting a 0.3% increase over the past 24 hours. Recent analysis shared on CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform by market contributor ShayanMarkets highlights a noticeable change in Bitcoin’s futures market activity. According to the analyst, while previous price surges in the $70,000–$90,000 range were marked by significant speculative pressure and leverage buildup, the current trend shows signs of cooling despite elevated price levels. This shift could play a key role in determining Bitco…
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On-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant has revealed the five key Bitcoin on-chain alerts that could be to keep an eye on in the coming week. Bitcoin Is Observing Developments On These Metrics In a new thread on X, CryptoQuant has discussed about some Bitcoin on-chain alerts that could be to watch amid the consolidation phase in the cryptocurrency’s price. The first indicator shared by the analytics firm is the 60-day change in the market cap of USDT, the number one stablecoin. As is visible in the above chart, the 60-day change in the USDT market cap has continued to sit at a notable positive level recently, implying the stablecoin has been witnessing growth. Stablecoi…
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Bitcoin (BTC) continues to face resistance just under the $120,000 mark, struggling to build enough momentum for a breakout. Over the past 24 hours, the cryptocurrency has remained in a tight trading range above $118,000, representing a slight decline of nearly 4% from its most recent all-time high. Despite the lack of upward movement, analysts suggest that Bitcoin may be entering a phase of energy consolidation rather than signaling an imminent downturn. According to data from CryptoQuant, two separate market analysts have shared their perspectives on BTC’s current cycle, focusing on long-term valuation metrics and investor activity patterns that could influence the ne…
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As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to trade in the high $100,000 range following the October 9 crypto market crash, some bullish signs are starting to emerge. Notably, stablecoin reserves on leading crypto exchanges like Binance are entering all-time high (ATH) territory, hinting at a potential rally for BTC. Stablecoin Reserves Rise – Will Bitcoin Benefit? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor PelinayPA, Binance stablecoin reserves are approaching ATH levels, indicating that investors are ready to deploy funds to accumulate BTC at current or lower levels. The CryptoQuant analyst highlighted the rapidly falling Bitcoin-Stablecoin Ratio (ESR). For the uniniti…
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Bitcoin spent about nine months stuck below $110 K before finally pushing past that ceiling this month. The move up to $123,000 shows real buying power. According to EliteOptionsTrader, a crypto expert, many investors see this as the start of something bigger. Key Catalysts Driving The Surge Based on examination by EliteOptionsTrader, one of the biggest factors is the potential approval of a spot Ethereum ETF. Bitcoin’s own ETFs have pulled in billions from major institutions, and a greenlight for Ethereum could send more money into crypto overall, lifting Bitcoin further. The US election is now behind us, and talk of Federal Reserve rate cuts in late 2025 is fueling …
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Bitcoin remains under pressure after sliding from its all-time high above $124,000 earlier this month. At the time of writing, the asset trades at $110,219, reflecting a weekly decline of about 2% and a broader drop of more than 10% from its peak. Despite the correction, analysts continue to examine on-chain data for signs of the market’s next direction. Among the latest insights, CryptoQuant contributor CryptoOnchain highlighted the significance of the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) Price Bands, a long-observed metric used to assess market cycles. According to the analyst, Bitcoin’s current positioning above key support bands suggests the uptrend remains intact,…
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The chief executive officer of SOL Strategies has a strong belief in the potential of Bitcoin, despite recent setbacks by the top crypto asset. Leah Wald told members of the press she expects bitcoin to make a steep move before year end. Her baseline? The vaunted $175,000 mark – a price she called a conservative read compared to some loftier forecasts. The market has already surprised a lot of people — bitcoin hit about $124,000 recently — so big swings are not impossible. Institutional Interest Drives Momentum According to Wald, part of the push comes from big money moving in. She pointed to companies like BlackRock and high-profile investors such as Cathie Wood, and…
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As Bitcoin (BTC) attempts to reclaim the $88,000 area, some market observers believe that the recent lows marked the bottom, and a price recovery rally is underway. Nonetheless, other analysts have warned that the flagship crypto’s November pain could continue if the current levels don’t hold. Bitcoin Finds Local Support On Monday, Bitcoin continued its price recovery from the latest correction, nearing a key resistance for the second consecutive day. Throughout November, the cryptocurrency has struggled to hold multiple crucial levels amid the crypto market volatility, falling below the $100,000 psychological barrier and trading around multi-month lows. Last week, BTC…
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Bitcoin dropped sharply this month and is set to post one of its worst Novembers in years, leaving traders and fund managers weighing whether to buy or hold fire. Based on reports, the token is down about 18% for November and was trading below $91,000 as markets quieted heading into the weekend. Market Cleansing Opens The Door For Buyers According to CoinGlass, this decline approaches the scale of losses seen in November 2019, when Bitcoin fell roughly 17%, and is far from the harsh 35% crash of November 2018. Reports have disclosed that some analysts view the drop as a market reset. Nick Ruck, research director at LVRG, said overleveraged positions and weak projects …
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As Bitcoin (BTC) resumes recording new all-time highs (ATH), focus is back on key price levels that could provide investors with an idea about the next possible resistance levels that may see a sell-off in BTC. Fresh on-chain data offers a map of BTC’s most important price levels. Bitcoin May Face Resistance At These Levels According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Crazzyblockk, the cost basis (Realized Price) of BTC Short-Term Holders (STH) provides a snapshot of important support and resistance zones. Notably, the STH Realized Price highlights the aggregate price at which recent market participants acquired their BTC. This information can give analysts…
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Bitcoin has climbed 250% since BlackRock’s IBIT launch. But those massive green candles—spikes traders chase—could become a thing of the past. According to Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas, the era of sudden jolts up or down may be ending. He says that spot ETFs and big companies piling in will smooth out those drawdowns. Spot ETF Approval Era Balchunas pointed out that IBIT just passed $100 billion in assets under management. Based on his view, that landmark tells you everything. Bitcoin traded between $116,000 and $120,000 after Galaxy Digital sold 80,000 coins. No panic sell‑off followed. Before ETFs, a sale like that could send prices tumbling by double‑digit perc…
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Bitcoin appears to be quietly gathering strength beneath the surface. After a healthy pullback that shook out weak hands, the market is showing signs of renewed momentum. Key technical signals suggest this correction may have been a setup for the next major rally, potentially paving the way for a new all-time high. Healthy Correction Within A Dominant Uptrend EtherNasyonaL, in a recent post, highlighted that Bitcoin continues to maintain its upward trajectory despite recent market fluctuations. The analyst described the latest movement as a healthy correction within the broader bullish trend, emphasizing that such retracements are natural in a sustained rally. Followin…
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Bitcoin’s price is beginning to recover after a brief period of stagnation, trading at $118,945 at the time of writing. This marks a 1% increase over the past 24 hours, with the asset briefly reaching a high of $119,754 during the same period. The recent upward movement suggests a cautious return of buying interest, though analysts warn that market participants should remain aware of deeper trends influencing price action. Among the key voices weighing in is CryptoQuant contributor Yonsei Dent, who highlighted a familiar pattern in Bitcoin’s current on-chain metrics. MVRV Ratio Signals Possible Peak by Late August According to Dent, the 365-day moving average (DMA) of…
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