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Stock market on September 10: S&P 500 and NASDAQ hit new record highs
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Yesterday, US stock indices closed higher. The S&P 500 rose by 0.27%, while the Nasdaq 100 gained 0.37%. The industrial Dow Jones strengthened by 0.43%. The indices reached record highs on hopes that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates to counter slowing employment. Although most S&P 500 stocks fell, the index advanced thanks to gains in all major technology companies except Apple Inc., whose shares slipped by 1.5% after the launch of the iPhone 17. Bond prices broke a four-day winning streak. Oil rose after an Israeli strike in Qatar reignited concerns of escalating tensions in the Middle East. Following new data pointing to a slowdown in the labor market, investors are now eagerly awaiting key inflation figures due today. These results will set the tone for next week's Fed meeting and help define the scale of monetary easing through the end of 2025. And this will undoubtedly determine whether Wall Street can hold on to this month's gains. Inflation expectations are pressuring bonds, which in turn affect yields and the overall attractiveness of equities. If inflation comes in higher than expected, the Fed may take a more hawkish stance, reducing demand for risk assets. Conversely, if inflation shows further cooling, the Fed is likely to signal its readiness for more aggressive monetary easing. That would lower bond yields, revive equities, and reinforce confidence in continued economic growth. With money markets almost fully pricing in three Fed rate cuts this year, the bar is high. Weakness in the labor market is pushing the Fed toward rate cuts, but inflation remains the key decision-making factor. If policymakers leave borrowing costs unchanged, Wall Street is likely to react negatively, given that a rate cut is nearly priced in. Options traders are betting that the S&P 500 will move modestly after Thursday's CPI release, with forecasts calling for a swing of about 0.6% in either direction. That is well below the average realized move of 1% over the past year. As for the technical picture of the S&P 500, the main task for buyers today will be to break through the nearest resistance level of $6,537. This would allow for further upside and open the way toward the next level at $6,552. An equally important objective for bulls will be to keep control over the $6,563 mark, which would strengthen buyers' positions. In case of a downside move amid weakening risk appetite, buyers will need to step in around $6,520. A breakout below this level would quickly push the instrument back to $6,505 and open the road toward $6,490. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
Where does the US economy stand? Judging by the cooling labor market, it is approaching a recession. The acceleration of August inflation will allow talk of stagflation. Both are bad for the S&P 500. So why is the stock market rising? A combination of fiscal and monetary stimulus alongside improved corporate reports usually emerges as the US economy exits a downturn. Under such conditions, the broad equity index typically soars. Investors can afford to keep buying the dips. A record negative BLS revision to employment data for the 12 months through March—down by 911,000—convinced investors of labor market weakness. If non-farm payrolls grew by 76,000 per month instead of the previously assumed 147,000, the Federal Reserve really should have continued the monetary easing cycle that began in September 2024. The US economy began to weaken under Joe Biden, which gives Donald Trump reason to wash his hands of the problem. Dynamics of US Employment Revisions But instead of increasing the anticipated pace of Fed monetary easing, the futures market reduced it. Derivatives now expect only a 6% chance of a 50 bp rate cut in September, down from 10%. The odds of three rounds of policy easing fell from 73% to 65%. The key was the federal judge's decision allowing Lisa Cook to continue serving as an FOMC governor. Otherwise, Trump would have replaced not one but two "doves" in the Fed's top ranks. Investors aren't particularly worried, since the central bank has ample reasons to cut the fed funds rate. Anticipation of a renewed easing cycle led to Treasury yields dropping to their lowest levels since 2022. Lower borrowing costs are great news for S&P 500 companies, as costs decrease and profits rise. US Treasury Yield Dynamics The "Magnificent Seven" stocks showed mixed performance. While Apple's shares fell 1.5% after its new mobile phone lineup disappointed investors, Alphabet rose on rumors that Google would increase its investment in the cloud business by $59 billion. Thus, markets are behaving as they do when the US economy is emerging from recession, but are prepared to shift sentiment to stagflation if the upcoming US PPI and CPI data beat forecasts. On the other hand, a slowdown in producer and consumer prices will open the door to a 50 bp Fed cut in September. This would further fuel the US equity market rally. Technically, on the daily S&P 500 chart, an inside bar was clearly played out. This allowed for an increase in long positions formed from 6415. Only a drop of the broad equity index below 6480 and 6460 would justify talk of a correction. For now, focus should remain on buying. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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Bitcoin Breakdown Averted? Analyst Says This Level Will Determine BTC’s Fate
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After retesting the range lows, Bitcoin (BTC) has closed the week above a key area, momentarily preventing a breakdown to lower levels. Some market watchers suggested that reclaiming the local range highs this week will set the stage for another leg up, but an analyst warned of potential volatility in the coming days. Bitcoin Holds Crucial Weekly Support As the market moves sideways, Bitcoin has continued to trade within its local range between the $108,250-$111,140 levels since the start of the month. The cryptocurrency has shown mixed signals since the second half of August, failing to hold the crucial $109,000 level during the previous week. Analyst Rekt Capital asserted that BTC was showing “early signs of weakness,” and could see a bearish confirmation if it failed to hold this key level in the weekly timeframe. However, the flagship crypto surged to the range’s high over the past few days and closed the week at around $111,137, averting the potential breakdown in the short-term timeframe. “Bitcoin indeed didn’t fully confirm the breakdown; instead, price has reclaimed the $109k level as support and is now trying to rally higher in an effort to check if $114k has turned into new resistance after being lost as support a few weeks ago,” the analyst noted. According to Rekt Capital, BTC’s retest of this level as resistance will be down to an inverse Head and Shoulders pattern forming on the daily timeframe, which has the $113,000 area as the pattern’s neckline. A daily close above this level could set Bitcoin up for a potential post-breakout retest of this zone, fueling a rally toward the key weekly resistance level. Ali Martinez also affirmed that breaking pass $113,000 would set the cryptocurrency “on track for $116,000 and possibly $119,000.” The New Key Pivot Point For BTC Rekt Capital highlighted that a daily close above this level would “also confirm that the price is going to occupy the upper half of the Daily Bollinger Bands,” as the middle band sits around the $112,000 level. “Turning the mid-point (orange) of the BBands into support tends to set price up for a move to the very top of the Upper Band, which happens to be around the $116k level,” he explained, noting that the upper band coincides with the Monthly Range High resistance level. The market watcher detailed that BTC has been consolidating within the Macro Monthly Range at $107,200-$115,711, recently bouncing from the range lows. As a result, its price “is now ready to try and challenge the Range High over time.” Bitcoin must close the week above $114,000 to retest the macro range high and build a base for a potential third Price Discovery Uptrend. “It’s all about $114k going forward as a key pivot point for price,” he concluded. Notably, BTC attempted to break out of a key area on Tuesday morning, hitting the $113,000 mark before retracing to $110,000. Nonetheless, Ted Pillows warned that the cryptocurrency could face some volatility in the coming days as US CPI data is coming on September 11. He underscored that the last 3 CPI data resulted in a 9%-11% price drop for BTC, with August seeing the largest dip in the past few months. A similar correction could drive Bitcoin’s price to the $100,000 barrier, not seen since June. As of this writing, BTC trades at $111,276, a 1% decline in the daily timeframe. -
Intraday Strategies for Beginner Traders on September 10
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The US dollar has actively regained some of the positions it lost at the beginning of the week. This indicates that traders are taking a wait-and-see approach ahead of important fundamental data. It is clear that the market is influenced by a range of factors that could, in the long term, exert significant pressure on the US currency. Chief among these is the ongoing debate about the future monetary policy of the Federal Reserve. Despite inflation showing signs of rising, the Fed is set to lower interest rates at the upcoming meeting in September of this year. Much will depend on today's US inflation data, which we will discuss in more detail later on. During the European session, focus should be on the data concerning Italy's industrial production. These figures will set the tone for the upcoming trade in the European currency market. Against the backdrop of sluggish economic activity in the eurozone, any hints of a revival in Italian industry could provide a breath of fresh air for the euro, supporting its weakened position against the US dollar. Weak numbers, on the contrary, will heighten fears of recession in the region, undermine investor confidence in the European currency, and provoke its decline. If the data matches economists' expectations, it is best to act based on the Mean Reversion strategy. If the data turns out to be much higher or lower than economists' expectations, it is best to use the Momentum strategy. Momentum Strategy (Breakout):EUR/USDBuying on a breakout of 1.1728 could lead to euro growth toward 1.1760 and 1.1813 Selling on a breakout of 1.1695 could lead to a euro decline toward 1.1668 and 1.1630 GBP/USDBuying on a breakout of 1.3553 could take the pound toward 1.3587 and 1.3615 Selling on a breakout of 1.3520 could lead to a pound decline toward 1.3484 and 1.3451 USD/JPYBuying on a breakout of 147.50 could take the dollar toward 147.84 and 148.13 Selling on a breakout of 147.25 could lead to dollar sales toward 146.90 and 146.60 Mean Reversion Strategy (Pullbacks): EUR/USDI'll look for sells after a failed breakout above 1.1725 and a return below this level I'll look for buys after a failed breakout below 1.1686 and a return above this level GBP/USDI'll look for sells after a failed breakout above 1.3549 and a return below this level I'll look for buys after a failed breakout below 1.3508 and a return above this level AUD/USDI'll look for sells after a failed breakout above 0.6626 and a return below this level I'll look for buys after a failed breakout below 0.6574 and a return above this level USD/CADI'll look for sells after a failed breakout above 1.3865 and a return below this level I'll look for buys after a failed breakout below 1.3828 and a return above this level The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
Crude Oil is Trying to Test the Resistance Level at 63.47. Wednesday. September 10, 2025
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[Crude Oil] – [Wednesday, September 10, 2025] With the EMA(50) and EMA(200) forming a Golden Cross and the RSI in the Neutral-Bullish area, this could support a bullish bias for #CL throughout the day. Key Levels Resistance 2: 64.18 Resistance 1: 63.47 Pivot: 62.92 Support 1: 62.21 Support 2: 61.66Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of Crude Oil breaks and closes above 63.47, it has the potential to continue strengthening to 64.18. Momentum Extension Bias: If 64.18 is broken and closed above, #CL could further extend gains to 64.73. Level Invalidation / Bias Revision The upside bias weakens if #CL weakens, breaks, and closes below 61.66. Technical Summary EMA(50): 62.85EMA(200): 63.05RSI(14): 61.18 Economic News Releases Agenda: Today, there will be economic data releases from the United States tonight: US - Core PPI m/m - 19:30 WIBUS - PPI m/m - 19:30 WIBUS - Final Wholesale Inventories m/m - 21:00 WIB US - Crude Oil Inventories - 21:00 WIB The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
[AUD/JPY] – [Wednesday, September 10, 2025] Today, AUD/JPY has the potential to strengthen towards its nearest resistance level due to the EMA Golden Cross condition and RSI being in the Neutral-Bullish area. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 64.18. 2. Resistance. 1 : 63.47. 3. Pivot : 62.92. 4. Support. 1 : 62.21. 5. Support. 2 : 61.66. Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the AUD/JPY price manages to break and close above 97.27, it has the potential to test the next resistance at 97.52. Momentum Extension Bias: If 97.52 is broken and closed above, AUD/JPY may continue its strengthening towards 97.78.Level Invalidation / Bias Revision The upside bias weakens if AUD/JPY declines and closes below 96.50. Technical Summary EMA(50): 97.02EMA(200): 96.61 RSI(14): 67.14 Economic News Release Agenda: Today, there will be economic data releases from the United States tonight: US - Core PPI m/m - 19:30 WIBUS - PPI m/m - 19:30 WIBUS - Final Wholesale Inventories m/m - 21:00 WIB US - Crude Oil Inventories - 21:00 WIB The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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Since a retest on its key medium-term “Expanding Wedge” range support on 22 August 2025, the AUD/USD has staged a minor bullish reversal and rallied by 3.2% (low to high) to print an intraday high of 0.6620 on Tuesday, 9 September 2025, on the backdrop of a broad-based weaker US dollar against other major currencies in anticipation of a Fed dovish pivot. Read more on US CPI Preview: Implications for the DXY & Federal Reserve Fig. 1: One-day rolling performances of the US dollar against major currencies as of 10 Sep 2025 (Source: TradingView) In today’s Asia session, on 10 September, the Australian dollar is the strongest-performing currency among the majors against the US dollar. Based on a one-day rolling performance, the USD/AUD cross rate has declined by -0.3%, much more than the US Dollar Index, which is trading almost unchanged (see Fig. 1). The current upswing in AUD/USD has been reinforced by easing concerns over a potential deflationary spiral in China from the latest key inflationary trends data for August. China’s core CPI has swung up further into growth territory Fig. 2: China CPI and core CPI with AUD/USD as of 10 Sep 2025 (Source: TradingView) China is a key trading partner of Australia, where a higher consumer demand from China on Australia’s raw minerals products is likely to exert upside pressure on the Aussie dollar. Despite the weaker-than-expected headline China’s consumer prices (CPI) that dropped to -0.4% y/y in August from a flat reading in July, and missing forecasts of a -0.2% y/y fall, the core CPI (excluding food and energy) has improved to a further positive reading of 0.9% y/y in August from 0.8% y/y in July, Overall, the core CPI trend in China has trended higher over the past six months, since the February 2025 print of -0.1% year-over-year. Interestingly, the long-term movement (monthly chart) of the AUD/USD has a direct correlation with the trend of China’s core CPI (see Fig. 2). China’s improving core CPI trend is likely to lift consumer confidence, which has remained subdued since the post-COVID period and the property market downturn. A recovery in sentiment could drive stronger demand for Australia’s raw minerals, creating a positive feedback loop that supports further strength in the Aussie dollar. Let’s now decipher the short-term trajectory (1 to 3 days) of the AUD/USD and its key levels to watch from a technical analysis perspective. Fig. 3: AUD/USD minor trend as of 10 Sep 2025 (Source: TradingView) Fig. 4: AUD/USD medium-term trend as of 10 Sep 2025 (Source: TradingView) Preferred trend bias (1-3 days) Since its minor swing low of 0.6501 printed on 4 September 2025, AUD/USD is now undergoing a potential minor bullish acceleration phase after a retest of its 20-day moving average. Bullish bias above 0.6580 key short-term pivotal support, and a clearance above 0.6620 sees the next intermediate resistances coming in at 0.6640 and 0.6660/0.6680 (also a Fibonacci extension cluster) (see Fig. 3). Key elements Price actions of the AUD/USD have traded back above the 20-day and 50-day moving averages since last Friday, 5 September 2025, which reinforces a minor uptrend phase that is still in progress.The hourly RSI momentum indicator has managed to stage a rebound at its parallel ascending support, suggesting that the short-term bullish momentum condition remains intact.The AUD/USD is still evolving within a medium-term “Expanding Wedge” configuration since 22 April 2025, with the upper limit/resistance of the “Expanding Wedge” standing at 0.6660/0.6700 (also the long-term secular descending trendline from 25 February 2021 high) (see Fig. 4).Alternative trend bias (1 to 3 days) A break below 0.6580 key short-term support invalidates the bullish scenario on the AUD/USD to trigger off another round of minor corrective decline sequence to expose the next intermediate supports at 0.6550 and 0.6525. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.
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What to Pay Attention to on September 10? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners
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Macroeconomic Report Review: Very few macroeconomic reports are scheduled again for Wednesday. Only the US Producer Price Index (PPI) stands out. Last month, this indicator posted a sensational figure of +0.9% against a forecast of 0.3%, which triggered a strong market reaction. However, in most cases, the actual value for this indicator differs little from the estimates. Therefore, today, a market reaction is only possible in the case of a second consecutive strong deviation. No important publications are scheduled today for the Eurozone, Germany, or the UK. Fundamental Events Review: There is absolutely nothing to highlight among fundamental events on Wednesday. Bank of England and Federal Reserve meetings will take place next week, so there's no reason to expect monetary policy comments from representatives of these central banks at the moment. Moreover, there are no doubts among traders about the expected rate decisions. The BoE is almost guaranteed to keep its rate unchanged due to high inflation. The Fed is almost guaranteed to cut the rate because of the weak labor market. Thus, the euro and pound still have every chance to continue strengthening against the US dollar. General Conclusions:During the third trading day of the week, both currency pairs may resume their upward movement. The euro and the pound both showed illogical declines yesterday, so today the market may seek to "restore justice." For any movement in the euro, new signals are needed, which may form in the areas of 1.1655–1.1666 and 1.1737–1.1745. The pound sterling is currently in the 1.3529–1.3543 area, so consolidation above or a bounce from this area will give novice traders a chance to enter the market. Key Rules for the Trading System:Signal Strength: The shorter the time it takes for a signal to form (a rebound or breakout), the stronger the signal.False Signals: If two or more trades near a level result in false signals, subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.Flat Markets: In flat conditions, pairs may generate many false signals or none at all. It's better to stop trading at the first signs of a flat market.Trading Hours: Open trades between the start of the European session and the middle of the US session, then manually close all trades.MACD Signals: On the hourly timeframe, trade MACD signals only during periods of good volatility and a clear trend confirmed by trendlines or trend channels.Close Levels: If two levels are too close (5–20 pips apart), treat them as a support or resistance zone. Stop Loss: Set a Stop Loss to breakeven after the price moves 15–20 pips in the desired direction.Key Chart Elements:Support and Resistance Levels: These are target levels for opening or closing positions and can also serve as points for placing Take Profit orders. Red Lines: Channels or trendlines indicating the current trend and the preferred direction for trading. MACD Indicator (14,22,3): A histogram and signal line used as a supplementary source of trading signals. Important speeches and reports, which are consistently featured in the news calendar, can significantly influence the movement of a currency pair. Therefore, during their release, it is advisable to trade with caution or consider exiting the market to avoid potential sharp price reversals against the prior trend. Beginners in the Forex market should understand that not every transaction will be profitable. Developing a clear trading strategy and practicing effective money management are crucial for achieving long-term success in trading. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
Tuesday Trade Review:1H Chart of GBP/USD The GBP/USD pair also traded lower on Tuesday, but by the end of the day, the British pound lost much less than the euro. Thus, the pound's position remains much more promising compared to the euro. On the second trading day of the week, there were no important events in the UK, while in the US, the annual Non-Farm Payrolls report was published. Although the total Nonfarm figure for the last 12 months was revised downward by 911,000, this didn't really upset traders. We would say that the report was largely ignored. Nevertheless, we believe that the negative fundamental and macroeconomic backdrop continues to build up. Over the past two months, market volatility has fallen, but it won't stay that way forever. Sooner or later, the market will "wake up" and will immediately recall all the failures in US data and all the negative news. So maybe current market movements aren't the best, but the dollar still has no reason to rise. 5M Chart of GBP/USD On the 5-minute chart on Tuesday, there were as many as four trading signals. During the entire European session, the price bounced from the 1.3574–1.3590 area, so novice traders could have opened short positions. Then, there were bounces from 1.3543, from 1.3574, and a breakout of the 1.3529–1.3543 area. We do not consider yesterday's decline logical; the last two trading signals were clearly at odds with the character of the NonFarm Payrolls report. How to Trade on Wednesday:On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair is showing signs of resuming the uptrend, and on higher timeframes, the uptrend remains intact. Thus, the moves we have seen recently on the hourly chart are just a pause within the larger uptrend. As we have said before, we see no reason for a medium-term dollar rally, so we expect the British currency to keep growing. On Wednesday, the GBP/USD pair may resume moving north, as yesterday's drop was not justified. We believe the price could break through the 1.3529–1.3543 area today, which would signal buying opportunities. A bounce from this area would allow opening short positions targeting 1.3466–1.3475. On the 5-minute chart, you can currently trade at levels: 1.3102–1.3107, 1.3203–1.3211, 1.3259, 1.3329–1.3331, 1.3413–1.3421, 1.3466–1.3475, 1.3529–1.3543, 1.3574–1.3590, 1.3643–1.3652, 1.3682, 1.3763. No significant events are scheduled for Wednesday in the UK, while in the US, the Producer Price Index will be published, which may only provoke a trader reaction in the case of a strong deviation from forecasts. Core Trading System Rules:Signal Strength: The shorter the time it takes for a signal to form (a rebound or breakout), the stronger the signal.False Signals: If two or more trades near a level result in false signals, subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.Flat Markets: In flat conditions, pairs may generate many false signals or none at all. It's better to stop trading at the first signs of a flat market.Trading Hours: Open trades between the start of the European session and the middle of the US session, then manually close all trades.MACD Signals: On the hourly timeframe, trade MACD signals only during periods of good volatility and a clear trend confirmed by trendlines or trend channels.Close Levels: If two levels are too close (5–20 pips apart), treat them as a support or resistance zone.Stop Loss: Set a Stop Loss to breakeven after the price moves 20 pips in the desired direction.Key Chart Elements:Support and Resistance Levels: These are target levels for opening or closing positions and can also serve as points for placing Take Profit orders. Red Lines: Channels or trendlines indicating the current trend and the preferred direction for trading. MACD Indicator (14,22,3): A histogram and signal line used as a supplementary source of trading signals. Important Events and Reports: Found in the economic calendar, these can heavily influence price movements. Exercise caution or exit the market during their release to avoid sharp reversals. Forex trading beginners should remember that not every trade will be profitable. Developing a clear strategy and practicing proper money management are essential for long-term trading success. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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Tuesday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD The EUR/USD currency pair on Tuesday showed a downward move for inexplicable reasons. Recall that the annual NonFarm Payrolls report was supposed to be released that day—a report that initially bore nothing good for the US dollar. In the end, the annual Nonfarm figure was revised down by almost 1 million jobs. So, the dollar had excellent chances to continue its decline yesterday. But instead, we saw it rise. It's important to note that trading is taking place on the 5-minute chart. In this trading style (intraday), trades rarely depend on the nature of macroeconomic events. In other words, two trading signals were formed yesterday that could have been executed regardless of the NonFarm Payrolls report. The macroeconomic backdrop only adjusts technical analysis. Therefore, nothing is alarming about the dollar strengthening. The move simply looked odd and illogical. On the hourly chart, the uptrend is still in place as indicated by the trendline. 5M Chart of EUR/USD On the 5-minute chart on Tuesday, two trading signals were formed. First, the pair bounced from the 1.1737–1.1745 area but managed to rise only about 15 pips, which was enough to set a Stop Loss at breakeven. During the US trading session, a sell signal was formed; however, in this case, it would not have been worth the risk of opening short positions, given the weakness of the NonFarm Payrolls report. How to Trade on Wednesday:On the hourly timeframe, the EUR/USD pair has every chance to resume the uptrend that has been forming since the beginning of the year—the flat can be considered over. The fundamental and macroeconomic backdrop remains disastrous for the US dollar, so we still expect no strengthening of the American currency. In our view, as before, the US dollar can only count on technical corrections. On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair may resume its upward movement, since the previous day's decline was absolutely illogical. However, new trading signals are needed in the 1.1655–1.1666 and 1.1737–1.1745 areas. On the 5-minute chart, you should watch the levels: 1.1198–1.1218, 1.1267–1.1292, 1.1354–1.1363, 1.1413, 1.1455–1.1474, 1.1527, 1.1571–1.1584, 1.1655–1.1666, 1.1737–1.1745, 1.1808, 1.1851, 1.1908. On Wednesday, the US will release the Producer Price Index, which, in our view, is not very important. Last month, the PPI showed a strong number and triggered a decent market reaction. If today's figure is much different from the forecast, the reaction could also be significant. Core Trading System Rules:Signal Strength: The shorter the time it takes for a signal to form (a rebound or breakout), the stronger the signal.False Signals: If two or more trades near a level result in false signals, subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.Flat Markets: In flat conditions, pairs may generate many false signals or none at all. It's better to stop trading at the first signs of a flat market.Trading Hours: Open trades between the start of the European session and the middle of the US session, then manually close all trades.MACD Signals: On the hourly timeframe, trade MACD signals only during periods of good volatility and a clear trend confirmed by trendlines or trend channels.Close Levels: If two levels are too close (5–20 pips apart), treat them as a support or resistance zone.Stop Loss: Set a Stop Loss to breakeven after the price moves 15 pips in the desired direction.Key Chart Elements:Support and Resistance Levels: These are target levels for opening or closing positions and can also serve as points for placing Take Profit orders. Red Lines: Channels or trendlines indicating the current trend and the preferred direction for trading. MACD Indicator (14,22,3): A histogram and signal line used as a supplementary source of trading signals. Important Events and Reports: Found in the economic calendar, these can heavily influence price movements. Exercise caution or exit the market during their release to avoid sharp reversals. Forex trading beginners should remember that not every trade will be profitable. Developing a clear strategy and practicing proper money management are essential for long-term trading success. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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Solana (SOL) Stays Strong – Can Bulls Fuel the Next Breakout?
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Solana started a fresh increase above the $215 zone. SOL price is now consolidating above $212 and might aim for more gains above the $220 zone. SOL price started a fresh upward move above the $205 and $212 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $212 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $216 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend gains if it clears the $220 resistance zone. Solana Price Eyes Upside Break Solana price started a decent increase after it found support near the $202 zone, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed above the $208 level to enter a short-term positive zone. The price even smashed the $215 resistance. The bulls were able to push the price above the $218 barrier. A high was formed at $220 and the price is consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $199 swing low to the $220 high. Solana is now trading above $212 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is also a bullish trend line forming with support at $216 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $220 level. The next major resistance is near the $228 level. The main resistance could be $232. A successful close above the $232 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $244. Any more gains might send the price toward the $250 level. Downside Correction In SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $220 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $216 zone and the trend line. The first major support is near the $210 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $199 swing low to the $220 high. A break below the $210 level might send the price toward the $202 support zone. If there is a close below the $202 support, the price could decline toward the $195 support in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $216 and $210. Major Resistance Levels – $220 and $232. -
XRP Price Pullback Limited – Bulls Prepare for Next Leg Higher
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XRP price gained pace for a move above the $2.920 resistance. The price is now correcting some gains and might find bids near $2.920. XRP price is facing hurdles and struggling to clear the $3.00 resistance. The price is now trading above $2.920 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $2.9650 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to rise if it stays above the $2.920 zone. XRP Price Remains Supported for Gains XRP price managed to stay above the $2.8320 level and started a fresh increase, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price climbed above the $2.920 and $2.950 resistance levels. The bulls even pumped the price above the $3.00 level. A high was formed at $3.0365 and the price is now correcting gains. There was a move below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $2.794 swing low to the $3.036 high. Besides, there was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $2.9650 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The price is now trading above $2.920 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If the bulls protect the $2.920 support, the price could attempt another increase. On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $2.980 level. The first major resistance is near the $3.00 level. A clear move above the $3.00 resistance might send the price toward the $3.0350 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $3.120 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $3.150. More Downsides? If XRP fails to clear the $3.00 resistance zone, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $2.9350 level. The next major support is near the $2.920 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $2.794 swing low to the $3.036 high. If there is a downside break and a close below the $2.920 level, the price might continue to decline toward $2.860. The next major support sits near the $2.850 zone, below which the price could gain bearish momentum. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now near the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $2.9350 and $2.920. Major Resistance Levels – $2.980 and $3.00. -
XRP Liquidity Flashpoint: Analyst Eyes Rapid Move To $4.50
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In a new market breakdown published today, crypto analyst CryptoInsightUK argues that XRP has reached a “liquidity flashpoint” that could accelerate price discovery toward the mid-$4 range once key resistance is reclaimed. He anchors the call to a cluster of liquidity sitting above the $3.40 area and an improving relative-strength backdrop versus Bitcoin, Ethereum and even gold, while cautioning that the US CPI print due tomorrow could inject short-term volatility in either direction. Be aware that tomorrow there is CPI news coming from the US and it probably, most likely at this point in the market, brings with it some sort of volatility,” he said, adding that while the move “could be to the upside,” there is still “liquidity sitting below us” that could be swept before continuation. The analyst frames the recent grind higher as constructive but “choppy,” with a pattern of slightly higher lows that would invalidate quickly if one of those pivots is lost. $4.20–$4.50 Is The Target Zone As XRP Liquidity Builds XRP remains his top altcoin setup. “XRP is the base case of something that I think is looking pretty strong right now,” he said. The pair has “formed a nice bottoming pattern” and broken out, but is now “fighting against these previous swing highs.” In his view, the immediate task is a sequence of closes through successive resistance shelves—including the zone just under $3.40—after which the path to the former peak opens. “As soon as we start to get that level broken then… we could argue that all-time highs [are] back on the table,” he said, noting that from the recent local bottom XRP is “up 11%,” and that another ~10% burst through resistance “probably comes pretty quickly.” On higher time frames, he highlights a stacked band of resting interest overhead. “On the daily [for XRP, there is] significant liquidity above us and over the last 2–3 days more has been building in here. When we start to break that $3.40 level… this is the all-time high and we probably resume this march back towards $4.20, $4.30 and then realistically $4.50 is where all this liquidity is sitting right now.” While he characterizes that as the base case, he keeps risk balanced: “It’s not time to get 100% definite [that we’re] going to the upside… We could argue that [liquidity below] could be taken before we go higher especially if Bitcoin and ETH come down.” The cross-asset context matters for his XRP view. He sees Bitcoin at an inflection defined by structural waypoints—“a break above the $111,003 and then… $114,300… and then… above this high here about $117k”—with the daily map still showing “significant liquidity above.” Ethereum, he says, has a “dense” pocket of bids just below, but has been “losing strength against other alts,” creating a window in which ETH might wick lower to clean up liquidity while alts with stronger relative momentum hold up better. That relative momentum is where he places XRP. On XRP/ETH, he notes a sequence of “lows, highs, higher lows and higher highs,” arguing the pair is “back in an uptrend.” He draws attention to the four-hour RSI repeatedly tagging overbought during prior upside phases: “When we start to hit this four hour overbought area… momentum looks like it is pushing back to the upside… it has led to quite significant price action.” He flags 0.000071 on XRP/ETH as a confirmation pivot that would “give us more confirmation back to the upside.” A similar story appears on XRP/BTC, where he wants to see “a real good green day” to break the downtrend after a “bullish cross on the daily RSI.” He extends the relative framework beyond crypto. On XRP/gold, the analyst says the weekly structure “actually bounced pretty well off the 702 Fibonacci retracement,” with a clean back-test of prior range highs and “bullish cross” momentum. Projecting from current consolidation, he cites a potential 4.236 extension that, mechanically, implies substantial outperformance: “For a 4.236 extension from where we are now it would be about a 700% outperformance from gold… so if we just say five to six hundred percent that would be bloody nice for XRP.” He is careful to note that gold could also move, which would affect the nominal translation. Despite the urgency of the title levels, he repeatedly frames the next 24–48 hours as path-dependent. Bitcoin dominance sits at a decision point in his model; a breakdown from its “ascending wedge” would, in his view, validate the altcoin-outperformance regime he has been anticipating. “It could get very exciting very soon,” he said. “Or we could just have a few more days of chop.” Still, the directional bias is clear: “I think that I’ve said that XRP I think is leading the market. I still believe that.” His bottom line for XRP is conditional but pointed: reclaim and hold above ~$3.40, convert that resistance into support, and the liquidity magnets at ~$4.20–$4.50 come into play quickly. Fail the near-term tests, especially into a volatile macro print, and a final dip to harvest downside liquidity remains on the table before any renewed advance. At press time, XRP traded at $2.96. -
Ethereum Price Forming Base – Key Levels That Could Trigger a Breakout
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Ethereum price started a fresh decline below the $4,450 zone. ETH is now consolidating and might aim for a fresh increase if it clears $4,380. Ethereum is still struggling to recover above the $4,400 zone. The price is trading below $4,380 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $4,340 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a recovery wave if it settles above $4,350 and $4,380. Ethereum Price Faces Hurdles Ethereum price started a recovery wave after it formed a base above the $4,260 zone, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to climb above the $4,320 and $4,350 resistance levels before the bears appeared. The price struggled to clear the $4,385 level. A high was formed at $4,3873 and the price started to decline again. There was a move below the $4,320 support level. The recent low was formed at $4,268 and the price is now consolidating losses above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $4,387 swing high to the $4,268 low. Ethereum price is now trading below $4,350 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $4,340 level. Besides, there is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $4,340 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. The next key resistance is near the $4,360 level or the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $4,387 swing high to the $4,268 low. The first major resistance is near the $4,385 level. A clear move above the $4,385 resistance might send the price toward the $4,420 resistance. An upside break above the $4,420 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $4,500 resistance zone or even $4,550 in the near term. More Downside In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $4,340 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $4,265 level. The first major support sits near the $4,220 zone. A clear move below the $4,220 support might push the price toward the $4,200 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $4,160 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $4,120. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now near the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $4,260 Major Resistance Level – $4,385 -
Bitcoin Holds $112,000 Support As Binance Whale Activity Cools Off – What’s Ahead?
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Bitcoin (BTC) continues to defend the $112,000 support level following days of tepid price action, unable to give a clear indication about the potential direction of its next move. Latest exchange data from Binance shows a recent dip in whale activity, suggesting BTC likely avoided another massive sell-off. Bitcoin Defends $112,000 Against Whale Sell-Off According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, recent data from the Binance crypto exchange shows that there was a sudden spike in whale activity on the exchange on September 7, when the BTC: Exchange Whale Ratio surged to 0.55. However, this surge was quickly followed by a decline in the metric, as the BTC: Exchange Whale Ratio tumbled to 0.28, on September 8. However, the price remained stable around $112,500, suggesting that whale movements were short-lived and did not lead to a sell-off in BTC. The CryptoQuant analyst remarked that the fall in whale pressure toward the end of the period is a positive short-term signal. In essence, the likelihood of a sharp price correction driven by whale sell-offs on Binance is now significantly reduced. Arab Chain added: The frequent whale fluctuations in late August and early September highlight that major players are still moving large volumes – meaning risks remain, and the market could be caught off guard by a sudden move if substantial exchange inflows are converted into market orders. However, the analyst cautioned that the relationship is not always absolute. Although the rise in the metric has often been associated with a fall in the price of BTC, not every spike has led to a clear decline in price. As seen in the above chart, there have been instances of whale activity surging beyond 0.5 for multiple days – accompanied by positive net inflows to exchanges. Arab Chain noted that such dynamics may lead to a failure to maintain the $112,000 level, and possibly trigger a drop to $108,000. Historical data for September shows that the beginning of the month is typically quiet in terms of whale pressure on Binance, except for the occasional quick jump. While this offers a safer environment for a gradual rise, it also gives whales a chance to exert pressure on the market, especially if the overall demand is weak. Is BTC Yet To Hit Its Peak? While BTC is currently trading roughly 10% below its latest all-time high (ATH) of $124,128, some crypto experts opine that the flagship cryptocurrency is yet to hit its peak for this market cycle. In recent analysis, Bitcoin researcher Sminston predicted that BTC may top out anywhere between $200,000 – $290,000 sometime in 2026. At press time, BTC trades at $112,639, down 0.1% in the past 24 hours. -
EUR/USD The euro made a false breakout above the daily MACD line (gray square). Formally, it is believed that the dollar strengthened due to risk-off moves by investors following the downward revision of last year's employment data. From March 2024 to March 2025, 900,000 fewer jobs were created, and now this is being seen as a crisis situation. But this is merely a pretext, as the dollar had already been strengthening since the morning. We believe investors continue to close positions in anticipation of a hawkish stance from the Fed at the September 17 meeting. The daily trading volume was slightly above the average of the past month and a half. The euro is now targeting support at 1.1632. Consolidation below this level would signal readiness for a push to 1.1495. The Marlin oscillator is in positive territory, so a breakout below the nearest support is not expected in the next two days. Elevated volatility and range-bound trading continue. On the four-hour chart, the price is approaching the MACD line. Here, the Marlin oscillator is in negative territory, so after the price consolidates below the MACD line (1.1680), sideways movement below 1.1632 is likely. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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GBP/USD Against the backdrop of yesterday's 0.35% strengthening in the dollar index, the British pound fell by 16 pips after briefly piercing the resistance of the daily MACD indicator line. If this spike is regarded as a false move, the pound's task today becomes to consolidate below the 1.3525 level. Next (the following day), when the Marlin oscillator's signal line enters the territory of a downtrend, the price will begin moving toward the target support at 1.3364. But as long as Marlin remains in positive territory, the price is unlikely to significantly break away from the 1.3525 level reached. On the four-hour chart, the price is formally holding below 1.3525, but Marlin has not yet moved into the bearish zone. Most likely, the MACD line (1.3467) will serve as the support around which the price will form sideways movement until convincing bearish signals align on the daily chart, according to the main scenario. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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USD/CAD The USD/CAD pair has reached the target resistance at 1.3860. A pullback is possible, as the price is essentially within the sideways range observed in the second half of April. However, the Marlin oscillator is confidently starting to rise in positive territory, so the probability of the price consolidating above the 1.3860 level is more than 50%. After such consolidation, growth toward the next target resistance at 1.3958 is possible. It's also worth noting the price's attempt to pull away from the balance line after unsuccessful attempts to drop below it from September 5–9. This signals the price's desire to accelerate its rise. On the H4 chart, the price began a decisive rise after a triple reversal from the MACD line. Unlike the previous two rebounds, this time the Marlin oscillator is in the territory of an upward trend. Now the price needs to consolidate above the reached 1.3860 level. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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HYPE Crypto Hits All-Time High: Outperforming SOL for Q4?
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HYPE crypto hit a fresh record this week as institutional signals and new ecosystem bids pushed Hyperliquid into the spotlight. Can it overtake SOL in Q4? Here’s the analysis. HYPE price pushed to a new all-time high this week, climbing to $55.04 on September 9. The surge came as institutional interest and fresh bids in the Hyperliquid ecosystem drew more liquidity into the token, placing it among the top 15 digital assets by market rank. At the same time, Solana continues to hold its position near the $215-$220 range with strong spot and derivatives activity. As the sixth-largest crypto by market cap, SOL remains a leading contender for Q4 performance, setting up a direct comparison with HYPE’s recent breakout. (Source – SOL USDT, TradingView) DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in September2025 HYPE Price Analysis: Is HYPE’s Current Uptrend a Signal for More Gains in Q4? HYPE’s 4-hour chart shows strong upward momentum. After weeks of consolidation between $44 and $47, the token broke out in early September, pushing decisively above both the 50-day EMA at $48.15 and the 100-day EMA at $46.74. The crossover triggered a wave of buying, sending the price past $53 and marking its sharpest rally in recent weeks. (Source – HYPE USDT, TradingView) The move was confirmed by rising trading volumes and successive green candles, signaling strong buyer conviction. Resistance emerged near $54, leading to a small pullback toward $53, but selling pressure has remained limited. With the shorter EMA trending above the longer line, the bullish structure remains intact. The breakout has also flipped the $44-$47 zone from resistance into a support base. If current momentum holds, the next upside target sits between $55 and $57. On the downside, first support is near $50, followed by the EMA cluster around $47-$48. For now, market signals point to continued bullish control as long as volume stays high. Currently, the HYPE price is trading at $53.4, showing an increase of +5.6% in the last 24 hours. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Can Hyperliquid’s Bidding War and Institutional Backing Push HYPE Even Higher? Nasdaq-listed Lion Group announced it will begin converting its SOL and SUI holdings into HYPE, the native token of Hyperliquid. The announcement comes as competition intensifies over control of the platform’s proposed USDH stablecoin, a key piece in its DeFi infrastructure. Ethena Labs has become the sixth bidder to oversee Hyperliquid’s USDH, submitting its proposal in a detailed Tuesday blog post. The stablecoin would be fully backed by USDtb, a token tied to BlackRock’s BUIDL fund and set to be issued through Anchorage Digital Bank. Ethena’s pitch includes routing 95% of reserve revenue back to the Hyperliquid community. It also calls for a validator “guardian network” to be elected by users, an added layer of security designed to strengthen protocol trust. As the bidding war unfolds, BitGo has added institutional custody support for both HYPE and HyperEVM. This adds credibility and could ease access for larger investors, especially those concerned about custody risks in DeFi. According to DefilLlama data, Hyperliquid posted $106M in revenue during August, driven by nearly $400Bn in perpetual futures volume. Estimates suggest the exchange now commands about 70% of the DeFi perps market numbers that reflect solid fundamentals and growing user confidence. VanEck CEO Jan van Eck has publicly praised Hyperliquid’s product design and governance structure on X. His comments came just as HYPE touched new price highs, a moment that many took as validation from traditional finance circles. On September 9, crypto trader James Wynn opened a 10x leveraged long position on HYPE using referral rewards. According to Lookonchain data, he’s earned over $117,000 in referral bonuses to date. https://TWITTER.com/lookonchain/status/1965444540640428374 But his latest trade didn’t go well, and the position was liquidated within 24 hours, just like several of his previous HYPE trades. Traders have taken note, with some joking that trading against Wynn has become a viable strategy. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates The post HYPE Crypto Hits All-Time High: Outperforming SOL for Q4? appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
Bitcoin Bulls on Edge – Is Another Sharp Decline Coming?
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Bitcoin price is struggling to recover above $112,000. BTC is now consolidating and might decline if there is a move below the $110,800 level. Bitcoin started a fresh decline from the $113,200 zone. The price is trading below $111,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $111,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another decline if it stays below the $112,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Remains At Risk Bitcoin price started a fresh recovery wave from the $110,100 zone. BTC managed to climb above the $110,800 and $111,500 resistance levels. The bulls were able to push the price above $112,500 and $113,000. However, the bears remained active near the $113,200 zone and prevented more gains. There was a fresh bearish reaction, and the price traded below $112,000. A low was formed at $110,820 and the price is now consolidating losses. Bitcoin is now trading below $111,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Besides, there is a bullish trend line forming with support at $111,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $111,700 level. The first key resistance is near the $112,000 level. It is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $113,200 swing high to the $110,820 low. The next resistance could be $112,300 or the 61.8% Fib level of the recent decline from the $113,200 swing high to the $110,820 low. A close above the $112,300 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $113,200 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $114,200 level. The main target could be $115,000. More Losses In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $112,300 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support is near the $111,000 level and the trend line. The first major support is near the $110,800 level. The next support is now near the $110,200 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $108,800 support in the near term. The main support sits at $107,500, below which BTC might decline sharply. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $111,000, followed by $110,200. Major Resistance Levels – $112,000 and $112,300. -
No Chain Comes Close: Solana Leads With 2.5x Ethereum’s Revenue
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Solana has pulled well ahead of other networks on a key measure: revenue. That gap is large enough to change how traders and builders talk about where money flows in crypto. Solana Tops Blockchain Revenue Charts According to data shared by crypto media outlets, Solana has generated $1.25 billion in revenue year-to-date. That is about two and a half times the revenue of Ethereum, which sits at $523 million so far this year. Only two other chains have cleared the $100 million mark: BNB Smart Chain at $148 million and Bitcoin at $135 million. Base, Coinbase’s layer-2, records $54 million and leads the L2 group, while Arbitrum, Polygon and Optimism report revenues between $10.80 million and nearly $3 million. Monthly Numbers Show App-Driven Growth In the past 30 days, Solana pulled in more than $210 million in revenue. Much of that cash was earned by apps on the network rather than by Solana’s base layer. Based on reports, memecoin launchpad Pump.fun and trading bot Axiom Pro generated close to $53 million and $51 million respectively in the last month. Decentralized exchanges such as Jupiter and Meteora, along with the Phantom wallet, also rank among the top revenue generators. Solana’s own on-chain fee haul was $4.56 million over the same period, placing the chain itself eighth among revenue sources. Apps Capture Most Of The Fees Reports have disclosed that developers and investors see this as a feature of Solana: apps can make big money fast. Axiom Exchange became the fastest app to reach $200 million in revenue, doing so in 202 days when it hit the mark on August 4. Pump.fun reached $200 million in 303 days. Helius Labs CEO Mert Mumtaz has said that the ecosystem’s architecture attracts builders who can run revenue-heavy services, and the numbers appear to back that view. Price Moves Follow Revenue Headlines SOL has been reacting. According to price trackers, SOL climbed about 6% to $215 in a single session and is up 17% over the past 30 days. Year-to-date, however, SOL lags some larger tokens such as Bitcoin, Ether, XRP and BNB. Market gains and big app revenues together are driving bullish sentiment among traders and some fund managers. Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView -
GBP/USD Overview. September 10. Fed Meeting: Keep Calm, Only Keep Calm
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The GBP/USD currency pair continued to trade relatively quietly on Tuesday, but with an upward bias. In just a week, the highly anticipated Fed meeting will take place—a market event awaited as eagerly as the NFP or unemployment figures. In principle, there is no intrigue left, as the latest labor market and unemployment reports showed no improvement. So, with a 99.9% probability, the Fed is expected to cut the key rate by 0.25%. Why not more? The answer is simple but requires explanation. In short, because Jerome Powell remains Chair, the FOMC committee composition is still independent. Donald Trump is doing everything possible to ensure that Powell and all his colleagues who refuse to vote for a rate cut leave their posts as soon as possible, but even the US president can't solve this "problem" in just a few weeks. So, Trump will have to wait regardless. While he waits, Powell and his team will stick closely to the plan set at the start of the year. Recall that since January, all "dot-plot" projections have indicated two rate cuts for this year. The Fed still maintains independence from Trump and will not turn a blind eye to inflation. Therefore, nobody is going to rush and cut rates headlong. Two rounds of easing through the end of 2025 look like the base scenario. Over the summer, the macroeconomic data situation changed, and now inflation is no longer the Fed's priority. More precisely, the Fed simply can't achieve both maximum employment and low inflation at the same time. However, the Fed's mandates should be properly understood: it is mandated to AIM for maximum employment and price stability. And that's exactly what the US central bank will continue to do. To keep inflation in check, the rate shouldn't be cut too much or too often. To stimulate the labor market, the rate needs to be cut. Thus, the Fed is 99% likely to choose an intermediate option where the labor market is revived from its "knockdown," but inflation is not allowed to float freely. And the market had a chance to price in two rounds of policy easing since the start of the year. Therefore, the dollar isn't likely to see another collapse across the market just because of this factor. But if we reassess the whole fundamental backdrop, it becomes clear—the dollar will keep falling. It's unlikely to be as rapid as in the first half of 2025, but it will keep falling regardless. On the daily timeframe, the technical picture is fairly clear. We saw a minor correction, and now a new round of the uptrend has started. Accordingly, we have little doubt that by year-end, the pound sterling could reach $1.40—something it hasn't done since 2021. The average volatility for GBP/USD over the last five trading days is 90 pips, considered "average" for the pair. On Wednesday, September 10, we expect movement within a range limited by levels 1.3448 and 1.3628. The linear regression channel's upper band is pointing upward, indicating a clear uptrend. The CCI indicator again entered the oversold area, warning once more of an uptrend's resumption. Nearest Support Levels:S1 – 1.3489 S2 – 1.3428 S3 – 1.3367 Nearest Resistance Levels:R1 – 1.3550 R2 – 1.3611 R3 – 1.3672 Trading Recommendations:The GBP/USD pair is once again seeking to resume its uptrend. In the medium term, Trump's policies are likely to keep putting pressure on the dollar, so we do not expect the dollar to rise. Thus, long positions with targets at 1.3611 and 1.3672 remain much more relevant while the price is above the moving average. If the price falls below the moving average, small shorts can be considered on strictly technical grounds. The US currency occasionally shows corrections, but it will need clear signs of the end of the global trade war or other major positive factors for any trend reversal. Chart Elements Explained:Linear regression channels help determine the current trend. If both channels point in the same direction, the trend is strong.The moving average line (settings 20,0, smoothed) indicates the short-term trend and trade direction.Murray levels serve as target levels for moves and corrections.Volatility levels (red lines) are the likely price channel for the next day, based on current volatility readings.The CCI indicator: dips below -250 (oversold) or rises above +250 (overbought) mean a trend reversal may be near.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
EUR/USD Overview. September 10. How Does Trump Affect the Dollar? Globally
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The EUR/USD currency pair traded relatively quietly throughout Tuesday—at least until the publication of the annual Nonfarm Payrolls report. However, as we've said many times, one report (no matter what it is) cannot reverse the trend or instantly change trader sentiment. That's why in our fundamental articles, we won't even discuss the NonFarm Payrolls report; we'll cover it in the "Trading Recommendations" section. After a three-week pause, the US dollar is falling again. As we warned several times over these last three weeks, the dollar had—and still has—no factors for growth. If anything, quite the opposite. In these three weeks, enough news arrived essentially "instructing" the market to keep dumping the US currency. This includes failed macroeconomic statistics in the US, Donald Trump's "firing" of Lisa Cook, and the raising of tariffs against India in retaliation for their refusal to stop buying Russian oil, gas, and arms. As we can see, the trade war is only escalating, with Trump now using tariffs as leverage against certain countries to achieve his own geopolitical goals, while still demanding the Fed cut rates. Therefore, all the factors that pushed the dollar down in the first 7–8 months of 2025 remain in force. But beyond those, there are new ones as well. For example, starting in September, the gap between ECB and Fed rates will begin to narrow—and we expect it to narrow quickly. In theory, the euro shouldn't have risen so much in the first half of the year, since the ECB was cutting rates that whole time. Imagine how powerful Trump's impact on the dollar was, that even as the ECB was easing, the euro still rose! In the second half, the Fed will be the one cutting rates. So what should we expect from the dollar if it fell even when the Fed kept hawkish policy settings? Regarding Trump's influence on the dollar, it's clear that under Trump, the US currency has consistently depreciated and will likely continue to do so for another 3.5 years. But there is another important point: the share of dollar reserves at central banks worldwide is declining. This has been happening for quite some time—so you can't solely blame Trump for it—but he could worsen the trend. As of 2024, the US dollar's share of reserves is 57.8%, the euro about 20%, and all other currencies about 20%. Obviously, it will take a very long time for the euro and the dollar to reach parity, but the process has begun and has been ongoing for at least a decade. Trump himself doesn't want the world to abandon the dollar, but US protectionist policies are leading it there. We see the Asia-Pacific region cooperating, strengthening ties, uniting against the US. The trio of India-China-Russia can hardly be called "weak players"—even individually, they are quite powerful. Who will the US cooperate with? Canada and the EU, both of which have been hit with tariffs. The average volatility of the EUR/USD pair over the last five trading days as of September 10 is 71 pips, characterized as "average." We expect the pair to move between 1.1651 and 1.1793 on Wednesday. The linear regression channel's upper band is pointed upward, which still indicates an upward trend. The CCI indicator entered the oversold area three times, warning of a renewed uptrend. A bullish divergence also formed, signaling growth. Nearest Support Levels:S1 – 1.1719 S2 – 1.1658 S3 – 1.1597 Nearest Resistance Levels:R1 – 1.1780 R2 – 1.1841 Trading Recommendations:The EUR/USD pair may resume its uptrend. The US currency is still strongly influenced by Donald Trump's policies, and he has no intention of "resting on his laurels." The dollar has risen as much as it could, but now it seems time for a new round of prolonged decline. If the price is below the moving average, small shorts to a target of 1.1597 can be considered. Above the moving average, long positions remain relevant with targets at 1.1780 and 1.1841 in continuation of the trend. Chart Elements Explained:Linear regression channels help determine the current trend. If both channels point in the same direction, the trend is strong.The moving average line (settings 20,0, smoothed) indicates the short-term trend and trade direction.Murray levels serve as target levels for moves and corrections.Volatility levels (red lines) are the likely price channel for the next day, based on current volatility readings.The CCI indicator: dips below -250 (oversold) or rises above +250 (overbought) mean a trend reversal may be near.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
Cronos Pump: Will Trump’s Social Plan Drive CRO Price?
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Trump Media and Technology Group has rolled out a new feature on its Truth Social platform that ties its digital rewards system to cryptocurrency – will this scheme pay off? According to the company, users who subscribe to the Patriot Package, the paid version of its Truth+ streaming service, will now receive extra benefits, including access to “Truth gems.” These gems can be earned through activities across Trump Media platforms and later converted into Cronos (CRO), the native token of Crypto.com, and the exchange’s wallet infrastructure will handle the conversion process. This move represents a shift in strategy. Earlier this year, Trump Media had floated the idea of launching its own digital wallet and utility token. In an April 29 letter to shareholders, CEO Devin Nunes explained that such a token could be used for subscription payments and potentially expanded to other products within the company’s ecosystem. At the time, the token was also being considered as the centerpiece of a broader rewards system. Speculation in May suggested that Trump Media might introduce a Truth Social memecoin, but the company dismissed those reports. Donald Trump Jr. publicly stated that there was “no truth” to the claims. (Source – Truth Social) By linking its rewards program with CRO instead of creating a new token, Trump Media is signaling a preference for integration with an existing cryptocurrency rather than the risks and costs of developing one from scratch.\ DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 CRO Price Analysis: What Does Global Hype Around CRO Mean for Its Price Outlook? Crypto.com’s token, Cronos (CRO), is gaining unusual traction across both centralized finance (CeFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi) communities. Analysts note that engagement around the asset has increased, with some speculation linking figures such as US President Donald Trump to interest in CRO as part of broader ETF discussions. The chatter has raised CRO’s global visibility, but market sentiment remains divided. Some traders see room for long-term growth, while others argue the token’s volatile performance makes it look uncertain. On the charts, CRO/USDT shows signs of correction after a strong rally. The token recently failed to break past resistance in the $0.35-$0.36 range and has since retreated toward $0.25. Price action now reflects lower highs, steady selling pressure, and reduced trading volumes of around 38.7 million, signaling waning enthusiasm from buyers. Technical projections suggest a possible downside of more than 50% from recent highs, with key risk levels around $0.12-$0.13. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Traders currently see support near $0.123, while sellers hold resistance firm at $0.345. Analysts say the market must recover above $0.35 to revive bullish momentum. Conversely, a sustained drop below $0.20 could trigger further losses. The broader market structure has shifted from bullish to corrective, with profit-taking and fading demand weighing on CRO after its breakout surge. As of press time, the CRO price is trading at $0.25268, showing a slight decline of -0.89% in 24 hours as per TradingView data. (Source: CROUSDT, TradingView) In summary, CRO’s chart shows a market at a crossroads: while community interest is rising globally, technical signals point to a risk of deeper pullback unless fresh buying volume emerges near current levels. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates The post Cronos Pump: Will Trump’s Social Plan Drive CRO Price? appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
Germany’s Bitcoin Seizure Program Exposed: Nearly $5 Billion In BTC Left Dormant
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Germany’s much-publicized Bitcoin seizure campaign has come under fresh scrutiny after blockchain analysts revealed that nearly $5 billion worth of BTC has remained untouched. The finding raises intrigue within the crypto community, as questions swirl over whether the funds are lost, frozen, or simply being held in reserve. Why The Coins Remain Untouched In an X post, Elite KOL Crypto Patel, who is also associated with CoinMarketCap and Binance, has highlighted that Germany’s Bitcoin crackdown has encountered a major roadblock. Blockchain analytics firm Arkham has revealed a massive trove of untouched BTC connected to the now-defunct Movie2K piracy site, suggesting that German authorities’ seizure efforts may have hit a wall. According to the report, approximately 45,000 BTC, valued at around $5 billion, has been sitting dormant across over 100 wallets since 2019. These coins are believed to still be under the control of the site’s original operators. Earlier in 2024, German authorities successfully seized nearly 50,000 BTC, which were later liquidated for about $2.9 billion. However, despite that high-profile move, this new revelation highlights that a significant portion of the Movie2K fortune is still out of reach. Bitcoin continues to gain notable mainstream adoption among prominent figures, institutions, and countries. Crypto expert Hashley Giles explained that Bitcoin is an ideal balance sheet asset for a wide range of profitable businesses of all sizes and across all industries. In the United Kingdom, opening an e-money account is a straightforward way for companies to gain BTC exposure without straining existing banking relationships. Accounting is also simple when businesses focus on accumulating rather than trading, removing the complexity of constant mark-to-market volatility. Beyond ease of integration, Bitcoin offers unmatched liquidity. Companies can instantly convert BTC into pounds within seconds whenever business performance requires it, and even on weekends when banks are closed. Compared to the ultra-low interest rates on business bank deposit savings in the UK, those with slightly better yields often require 90-day or longer notice periods before funds can be accessed. Bitcoin, on the other hand, has no notice period, making it both flexible and efficient. Maintaining Bitcoin’s Security While Unlocking Liquidity Bitcoin has long been the most trusted digital asset. However, to fulfill its potential and truly power real economies, it requires a stable unit of account. BSquaredNetwork emphasized that the missing piece is U2, a BTC-backed, USD-pegged stablecoin designed to preserve Bitcoin’s security while unlocking global liquidity. BSquaredNetwork’s vision extends beyond simple payments. With U2 as a stable unit of account, BTC can transform into the settlement engine for payment, decentralized finance (DeFi), and even AI-to-AI microtransactions. This innovation bridges the gap between BTC’s digital gold properties and its potential as the foundation of the intelligent economy.