Is APT Price Structure Set to Collapse? $38m Aptos Crypto Unlock Puts Price Under Pressure

Ben Graham · Novembro 11

The spotlight is back on the APT price as Aptos Crypto braces for a primary token unlock and tests crucial technical support levels. After a brief rebound, APT faces mounting pressure from both structural resistance and upcoming supply expansion.

With about 11.3M APT tokens unlocking (worth ~$37.6M), traders are questioning whether this is the start of a deeper correction or just temporary turbulence for one of the most closely watched Layer-1s this month.

Technical Setup: APT Price Structure Under Pressure but Still Intact

Aptos price is trading near $3.3, recovering from a short-lived breakdown (fakeout) below key support earlier in the week. That “fakeout” deviation quickly reversed, supported by buying pressure, suggesting bulls are still active. The price remains confined within a descending channel, sitting right on the support that has been tested five times already.

(Source – TradingView)

Support sits near the $2.8-$3 zone, which coincides with the lower boundary of the current range. If this level holds, the setup could evolve into a higher low rather than a complete breakdown. Upper resistance is displayed in the face of the 200 EMA and SMA moving averages.

However, the technical picture remains fragile, with the impending token unlock acting as a wildcard that could test market conviction. For now, the price is holding up, but pressure is clearly mounting.

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The Token Unlock: How Much Selling Pressure Is Coming?

Aptos APT $3.18 2.41% Aptos APT Price $3.18 2.41% /24h Volume in 24h $137.77M Price 7d Learn more will unlock 11.31M tokens on November 12, 2025, representing approximately 0.96% of the total supply and valued at around $38M at current prices. Historically, token unlocks like this can weigh on the price, as they add to the circulating supply, often distributed to early investors, the team, and community funds. Still, since these events are scheduled and widely known in advance, they don’t always trigger a brutal sell-off.

(Source – cryptorank)

Aptos token has seen similar unlocks before, with mixed results. Sometimes they coincide with dips, while other times they are absorbed mainly by existing demand. The difference this time is that the market is thinner and technicals are stretched, meaning volatility could spike.

Analysts note that if the new tokens hit the market aggressively, APT could briefly retest the $2.80 mark. Still, if buyers absorb the supply, it could quickly rebound, as seen in previous post-unlock recoveries.

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What’s Nex for Project Aptos by Year-End?

Aptos continues to push ecosystem expansion despite token pressure. The Chainlink integration, along with a partnership with NBCUniversal for fan engagement tools, has reinforced the project’s Web3 growth story. Stablecoin inflow, new DeFi tools, and NFT marketplace activity all point toward incremental adoption.

Aptos x @Chainlink x @DecibelTrade

Chainlink's Data Streams and DataLink are now live on Aptos with Decibel as the flagship launch partner.

Learn more ↓ pic.twitter.com/5Gk6gCe0y4

— Aptos (@Aptos) November 7, 2025

Still, competition remains fierce (especially from Solana and Sui), keeping investor expectations grounded. If the network’s activity metrics continue to rise and liquidity remains stable after the unlock, APT could stabilize in the $3.30-$3.50 range by the end of December.

Analysts remain divided: some see potential upside into early 2026 if market sentiment turns bullish, while others expect consolidation as unlocks continue on a monthly basis. Although Aptos’ fundamentals remain strong, the coming weeks will test whether the market can absorb another wave of supply without eroding its structural support.

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