Ignore Dogecoin Now, Chase It Later: This Fractal Says History May Repeat

[Ben Graham]

Dogecoin may look quiet and unexciting right now, but history suggests that could be the point. Similar fractal setups in the past have shown that prolonged accumulation phases often precede explosive moves, rewarding patience rather than impulse. If the pattern holds, DOGE’s current calm could simply be the setup before the next major chase begins.

A Familiar Fractal Emerges At A Critical Inflection Point

According to a latest Dogecoin update by Cryptollica, the broader macro structure is beginning to mirror a familiar historical four-point fractal structure, with price action now sitting at Point 4. This phase closely resembles past pre-bull-run accumulation periods, where extended consolidation laid the groundwork for explosive upside moves.

The first key element of the setup is the rounded bottom formation. Zones 1 and 2 represented long stretches of low volatility and market boredom, and where accumulation took place quietly. Notably, Zone 2 acted as the launchpad for Dogecoin’s powerful 2021 rally. In the current Zone 4, price behavior is once again stabilizing into a rounded base, suggesting a similar accumulation process is underway.

Furthermore, the weekly RSI shows a recurring support zone around the 32 level, marked by a red baseline on the chart. Historically, each time RSI dropped to or hovered near the baseline of Points 1, 2, and 3, it marked a macro bottom.

At present, RSI has returned to this same critical support area. This reset implies that selling pressure is fading while momentum conditions are aligning for a potential shift back in favor of buyers. Taken together, this setup points to a cyclical reset rather than random market noise. 

With a bullish rounding bottom in place and RSI sitting at a historical buy zone, the structure suggests Dogecoin may be entering a prime accumulation phase. If the fractal unfolds as it did in past cycles, the current calm could precede a strong impulsive move.

$0.138: The Line That Separates Recovery From Stagnation

In a more recent update, crypto analyst Kevin explained that a successful reclaim of the $0.138 level on the 3-day to weekly timeframes would mark a major shift for Dogecoin. Such a move would place price back above the macro 0.382 Fibonacci level as well as the 200-week simple moving average.

This development would be a strong bullish signal, but it is unlikely to happen in isolation. The setup would most likely align with Bitcoin reclaiming the crucial $88,000–$91,000 zone, a range that needs to be recovered to support broader market strength and risk-on momentum. Until those conditions are met, Dogecoin continues to chop within what is considered a long-term dollar-cost-averaging zone, suggesting consolidation persists while the market waits for a decisive macro trigger.