EUR/USD. Technical Analysis on October 2, 2025

[Ben Graham]

Trend Analysis (Fig. 1).

On Thursday, the market from the level of 1.1729 (yesterday's daily close) may continue moving upward toward the target of 1.1782 – the 50% retracement level (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may roll back downward with a target of 1.1717 – the 38.2% retracement level (blue dashed line).

Fig. 1 (daily chart).

Comprehensive Analysis:

• indicator analysis – upward;
• Fibonacci levels – upward;
• volumes – upward;
• candlestick analysis – upward;
• trend analysis – upward;
• Bollinger Bands – upward;
• weekly chart – upward.

General conclusion: upward trend.

Alternative scenario: on Thursday, the market from the level of 1.1729 (yesterday's daily close) may continue moving upward toward the target of 1.1749 – the 38.2% retracement level (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may roll back downward with a target of 1.1685 – the 14.6% retracement level (red dashed line).

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