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On-Chain Data Reveals Critical Support Levels For Bitcoin Price — Details
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The Bitcoin price has managed to stay above $110,000 over the weekend, and on-chain data shows that the premier cryptocurrency sits above three crucial support levels. Here are the critical levels to watch out for over the next few weeks. Where Are The Next Support Levels For BTC? On Saturday, September 6, prominent crypto analyst Ali Martinez took to the social media platform X to offer on-chain insights into the current layout of the Bitcoin price. This price evaluation, which revolves around the BTC UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) metric, shows the next support levels for Bitcoin. The capacity for a price level to act as an on-chain support or resistance zone usually depends on the number of investors who have their cost basis at the given level. An investor’s cost basis refers to the actual price at which they purchased a cryptocurrency (Bitcoin, in this case). The relevant indicator here—UTXO Realized Price Distribution—tracks the amount of a particular cryptocurrency that was acquired at a specific price level. Typically, price levels below the current spot value with substantial buying activity are often considered as major support zones. Meanwhile, levels above the current price with significant investor cost bases usually act as major resistance areas. As shown in the chart above, $108,250, $104,250, and $97,050 are the next crucial support levels for the Bitcoin price. Data from Glassnode shows that nearly 432,000 coins were bought in the $108,250 zone, while roughly 401,000 coins were purchased around the $104,250 region. Meanwhile, 404,000 BTC were acquired around the $97,054 area. The rationale behind this is that investors with a cost basis around these price levels are likely to double down on their positions and purchase more coins. This increased buying activity will, hence, provide a cushion for the Bitcoin price to stay afloat and potentially bounce back. It’s worth mentioning that the next major resistance level for the Bitcoin price based on the URPD metric is around $116,963. Several investors (550,000 coins) around this level are likely to close their positions when the price returns to its cost basis, thereby putting downward pressure on the BTC price. Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $110,628, reflecting no significant movement in the past 24 hours. According to data from CoinGecko, the premier cryptocurrency is up by more than 1% in the past seven days. -
No Confidence Vote in France: How It Works and Why September 8 Could Be Historic
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Roll call -No Confidence Vote in France: How It Works and Why September 8 Could Be Historic A vote of no confidence in France is one of the most powerful tools the National Assembly has to bring down a sitting government. While such motions are filed regularly, it is rare for them to succeed, as they require a broad coalition of opposition parties to gather at least 289 votes out of 577 deputies. On September 8, however, France could face one of those historic turning points. For once, parties from both the left and the far-right are expected to unite, making the fall of the government a real possibility. (scroll below for a full preview) How Does a Vote of No Confidence Work in France? A no confidence vote is the primary way for Parliament to challenge the government. If passed, the Prime Minister and cabinet must resign, forcing the President of France tom decide the fate of the next government. Roll call -No Confidence Vote in France Who Can Call a No Confidence Vote? Only the National Assembly (the lower house of Parliament) can initiate a no confidence motion. The Senate plays no role in this process. The Process of a No Confidence Vote A no confidence motion is filed with the President of the National Assembly. A minimum 48-hour waiting period is required before a debate and vote can be held. The motion passes only if it secures an absolute majority of deputies (289 out of 577) and not just those present at the vote. In the current case, the vote is set for September 8. What Happens if the No Confidence Vote Passes? If the motion succeeds, the Prime Minister and government must resign. French President Emmanuel Macron then has three options: Reappoint the same Prime Minister. Appoint a new Prime Minister. Dissolve the National Assembly and call snap elections. What Happens if the No Confidence Vote Fails? If the vote fails, the government remains in power. However: The same group of deputies cannot file another motion for the rest of the parliamentary session. Other groups can still file separate no confidence motions later. The Special Case of Article 49.3 Under Article 49.3 of the French Constitution, the government can bypass a direct vote in Parliament by forcing a bill through. Parliament then has 48 hours to respond with a no confidence motion. If the motion fails, the bill is automatically passed into law. If the motion succeeds, the government falls. Example: The 2023 Pension Reform Bill Prime Minister Élisabeth Borne invoked Article 49.3 to raise the retirement age from 62 to 64. Opposition parties immediately filed a no confidence vote. The motion failed to reach 289 votes, meaning the pension reform automatically became law. Thew move was not without fallout as it sparked massive protests across France. The September 8 Vote: Why This Time Is Different The upcoming September 8 no confidence vote targets Prime Minister François Bayrou’s government, which recently announced: €44 billion in spending cuts The elimination of public holidays These proposals have triggered fierce resistance across the political spectrum. Opposition Parties Likely to Unite: National Rally (far-right) Socialist Party (center-left) New Popular Front (LFI, Greens, Communists, etc.) Together, these groups control around 320 seats, comfortably above the 289 needed to bring down the government. The outcome is part of Post-Summer Trading Outlook; Uncertainty Rules What Happens Next? If the no confidence vote passes on September 8, the spotlight shifts to President Macron, who will face a critical decision: Reappoint Bayrou and risk renewed instability, Choose a new Prime Minister to form a government, or Dissolve Parliament and call new elections, an option that could reshape French politics entirely. This is the least likely outcome that would produce thew biggest surprise. No confidence votes in France rarely succeed, but September 8 could mark a turning point. With left-wing and right-wing opposition parties uniting against Bayrou’s government, the chances of success are higher than usual. If the motion passes, France could face another period of political uncertainty, leaving President Macron with tough choices that will shape the country’s future. Newsquawk French No Confidence Vote Preview Outcomes Market Reaction Rating Agencies L Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days Roll call -No Confidence Vote in France The post No Confidence Vote in France: How It Works and Why September 8 Could Be Historic appeared first on Forex Trading Forum. -
Pro-XRP Lawyer Says Claims Of Coinbase Manipulating XRP Price Are ‘Highly Unlikely’
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Data from multiple blockchain trackers shows that Coinbase has drastically cut its XRP holdings, a move that has taken many crypto investors by surprise. Analysts say such a huge reduction points to large outflows from institutional investors, but others have gone further by alleging manipulation. However, pro-XRP lawyer Bill Morgan has poured cold water on these claims. Rumors Of Coinbase Manipulation Swirl On X US-based exchange Coinbase recently reduced its stash from more than 780 million XRP to just under 200 million in a matter of weeks. This translates to a 69% reduction in the exchange’s holdings since the second quarter of 2025, including a 57% plunge over the last month alone. The scale of the drawdown has also shifted Coinbase’s ranking among exchange holders of XRP, sliding it from the fifth largest to barely in the top 10. An account on the social media platform X, known as Stern Drew, suggested that Coinbase’s sell-offs go with a deliberate strategy to suppress XRP’s price. In a detailed thread, the commentator claimed that nearly 40% of the outflows were routed through OTC desks tied to New York institutions and that the timing of the sales coincided with XRP price dips in August. According to the thread, more than 70% of the volume was unloaded during low-liquidity trading hours, while fragmented routing across wallets masked the scale of the sales. The thread even suggested that some of the XRP ended up with BlackRock-linked custodial wallets, a move that further points to theories about institutional involvement. Bill Morgan Pushes Back On Manipulation Claims Bill Morgan was quick to reject the idea that Coinbase is actively manipulating XRP’s price. In his view, the theory overlooks the fact that XRP has exhibited the same behavior throughout its history, including during the long stretch when Coinbase delisted the asset and had no apparent influence on its market activity. Coinbase suspended XRP trading in January 2021, but it wasn’t until July 2023 that the cryptocurrency started trading again on the US-based exchange. “One heck of a theory about Coinbase being against XRP,” he said, before noting that the token’s movements today are consistent with its established trends. The suggestion of manipulation by Coinbase fails to hold up, as XRP’s price action appears more reflective of broader crypto market movement than any deliberate suppression by the exchange. XRP has been trading within a well-defined range between $2.8 and $2.9 in the past seven days. Although it lost the $3 support level as August came to a close, XRP has managed to hold above $2.8 since then, and this level has so far cushioned it from deeper losses. On the upside, the $3.10 level is the critical resistance to watch. A decisive break above that barrier could shift momentum back in favor of the bulls. Until then, XRP’s price is likely to continue consolidating between $3.10 and $2.8. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $2.82. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView -
i-80 Gold kicks off underground development at Archimedes
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i-80 Gold (TSX: IAU) (NYSE-A: IAUX) surged to a six-month high on Friday after the company announced the start of construction at its Archimedes project as planned, with expected production in the fourth quarter of 2026. In a press release, the Nevada-focused gold miner confirmed it has secured all environmental permits required to proceed with underground mining activities at Archimedes. Previously, the company had been permitted for open-pit mining at Archimedes. With respect to underground mining, i-80 is following a phased approach, so that it could begin mining the upper zone while simultaneously pursuing and permits for the lower zone. The new permits would allow for underground mining above the 5,100-foot elevation, supporting development and production mining into the first half of 2028. Meanwhile, permitting activities below the 5,100-foot elevation are underway with an estimated completion in the first half of 2027, the company said. Shares of i-80 Gold closed Friday’s session 9.3% higher at C$1.18 apiece, its highest since February. The Reno-based miner has a market capitalization of C$930.4 million. Phase 1 growth Part of the Ruby Hill complex in Nevada, Archimedes represents i-80 Gold’s second planned underground mine, located approximately 180 km from its wholly owned Lone Tree autoclave and carbon-in-leach (CIL) processing facility. CEO Richard Young calls the receipt of permits and commencement of construction at Archimedes “a major milestone” for i-80 Gold, and a key part of the company’s three-phased development plan to increase annual gold output to 600,000 oz. by 2030. Currently in Phase 1, the development plan includes the ramp-up of the Granite Creek underground mine, construction of Archimedes, as well as the refurbishment and commissioning of the Lone Tree facility. Once complete, these growth initiatives are expected to increase the company’s annual gold output from less than 50,000 oz. to150,000-200,000 oz. by 2028, Young said. At Archimedes, underground development above the 5,100-foot elevation is expected to be completed by mid-2027, and will include two underground portals, the main haulage decline, a series of raises for ventilation and secondary access, exploration bays and supporting infrastructure, i-80 said. Meanwhile, the Lone Tree refurbishment Class 3 engineering study remains on schedule for completion in the fourth quarter of 2025, followed by the feasibility study for Granite Creek Underground, scheduled for the first quarter of 2026. Next steps Starting in Q4 2026, material mined at the Archimedes upper zone is expected to be processed at a third-party autoclave processing facility in the region until the Lone Tree facility is commissioned, which is anticipated in early 2028. Additionally, operations at the property are expected to be supplemented by on-site heap leaching during the initial years. According to a preliminary economic assessment for the Ruby Hull property filed this year, the Archimedes project has an initial mine life of 10 years, with an average annual gold output of approximately 100,000 oz. at an all-in-sustaining cost of $1,877/oz. following the ramp-up to steady state. At a base case gold price of $3,000/oz., Archimedes is expected to have an after-tax net present value of $644 million, assuming a 5% discount rate, with an internal rate of return of 81%. Mine construction capital is estimated to be $47 million, and life-of-mine development and closure costs are estimated at $106 million. The PEA uses an indicated resource of 436,000 oz. and an inferred resource of 988,000 oz. contained in the Archimedes deposit. However, i-80 said it has planned infill and exploration drilling to upgrade and expand the resources, providing potential to extend the current mine life. The company also said that the timing of the infill drill program and Archimedes feasibility study has been accelerated by approximately 12 months compared to the timing outlined in the PEA. This is expected to increase the cost of drilling by approximately $10 million-$25 million, mostly due to the higher-elevation drilling that requires longer drill holes, it added. -
How does gold compare to silver, platinum, and Bitcoin as a store of wealth?
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How does gold compare to silver, platinum, and Bitcoin as a store of wealth? Quick take: In the gold vs silver vs platinum vs bitcoin debate, the right store of wealth balances stability, volatility, and long-term utility. This guide compares core traits, correlations, and use cases so you can choose what fits your portfolio. Key takeaways Gold: historically low correlation and durable hedge; highly liquid store of wealth. Silver & Platinum: add growth via industrial demand but carry higher price swings. Bitcoin: high upside and portability with high volatility; adoption trends matter. Diversification wins: mixing assets can smooth risk across market cycles. In the ever-evolving landscape of investment, choosing the right store of wealth is crucial for preserving and growing assets over time. Traditional precious metals like gold, silver, and platinum have long been trusted for their intrinsic value and stability. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has emerged as a modern contender, captivating investors with its high growth potential and digital scarcity. This article explores how gold stacks up against silver, platinum, and Bitcoin, examining their unique characteristics, market dynamics, and suitability as stores of wealth. Gold: The Timeless Safe Haven Where it fits in gold vs silver vs platinum vs bitcoin: gold is the benchmark store of wealth thanks to scarcity, liquidity, and a long record during stress. Gold has been revered for millennia as a reliable store of value. Its appeal lies in its scarcity, durability, and historical role as a hedge against economic uncertainty. The global supply of gold grows by only about 1.5% annually, which helps maintain its value over time and supports its role as a store of wealth. This limited supply contrasts sharply with fiat currencies, which can be printed in unlimited amounts. Throughout history, gold has been used not only as currency but also as a symbol of wealth and power, often adorning the crowns and treasures of royalty. Its unique properties, such as resistance to tarnish and corrosion, have made it a favored material for jewelry and artifacts that endure through ages. One of gold’s most compelling attributes is its performance during market downturns. Since 1987, gold has delivered an average return of 5.83% during periods when the S&P 500 declined by more than 15%, underscoring its status as a safe-haven asset. Investors often turn to gold during times of volatility, inflation, or geopolitical tension to preserve capital. The metal’s intrinsic value tends to rise when confidence in financial markets wanes, making it a go-to option for risk-averse investors. Furthermore, gold’s liquidity is a significant advantage; it can be easily bought and sold in various forms, from coins and bars to exchange-traded funds (ETFs), providing flexibility for investors looking to adjust their portfolios quickly. Looking ahead, the price of gold is forecasted to be around $1,700 per troy ounce by 2025, reflecting moderate growth expectations amid ongoing economic uncertainties. For those seeking stability and a proven store of wealth, gold remains a cornerstone investment. The increasing demand for gold in various sectors, including technology and renewable energy, adds another layer of complexity to its market dynamics. For example, gold is used in electronics for its excellent conductivity and resistance to corrosion, while its reflective properties make it valuable in solar panels. As industries evolve and the global economy shifts, the multifaceted demand for gold could further influence its price trajectory. For more detailed insights, Statista’s analysis on precious metals offers valuable data on gold’s investment trends. Silver and Platinum: Industrial Demand Meets Wealth Preservation Where they fit in gold vs silver vs platinum vs bitcoin: powerful complements to gold with higher cyclical sensitivity. Silver and platinum share some similarities with gold but also have distinct characteristics that influence their roles as stores of wealth. Silver, often dubbed the “poor man’s gold,” has a dual identity as both an investment asset and an industrial metal. Its industrial demand is poised to reach an all-time high, driven by sectors such as photovoltaics and electronics. This robust industrial use means silver’s price can be more sensitive to economic cycles compared to gold. The surge in renewable energy technologies, particularly solar panels, has positioned silver as a critical component, as it is essential for enhancing the efficiency of photovoltaic cells. As nations push for greener energy solutions, the demand for silver is expected to rise, making it a potentially lucrative investment for those looking to capitalize on the shift toward sustainability. Platinum, rarer than gold, is heavily used in automotive catalytic converters and various industrial applications. Its demand is closely tied to the health of the automotive and manufacturing sectors. While platinum can offer diversification benefits, its price tends to be more volatile due to these industrial dependencies. The automotive industry’s transition to electric vehicles (EVs) also plays a significant role in shaping platinum’s market dynamics. As manufacturers seek to reduce emissions, the demand for platinum in hybrid vehicles continues to grow, even as the industry grapples with the implications of a shift toward fully electric alternatives. This evolving landscape presents both challenges and opportunities for platinum investors, who must navigate the complexities of changing technologies and consumer preferences. Despite their industrial roles, both silver and platinum have maintained appeal as stores of wealth, especially during inflationary periods or economic uncertainty. However, their higher price volatility compared to gold means investors often view them as complementary rather than primary stores of value. The historical performance of these metals during economic downturns highlights their potential to act as hedges against inflation, with investors increasingly turning to them as part of a diversified portfolio. Furthermore, the geopolitical landscape can also impact their prices, as tensions in key mining regions or shifts in trade policies may lead to supply disruptions. For investors interested in the industrial dynamics behind silver, Forbes provides an in-depth look at silver’s rising industrial demand. As the world continues to evolve, the interplay between industrial usage and investment appeal for both silver and platinum will remain a fascinating area of exploration. Bitcoin: The Digital Frontier of Wealth Storage Where it fits in gold vs silver vs platinum vs bitcoin: a high-variance, high-upside digital store of value shaped by adoption and policy. Bitcoin represents a revolutionary approach to storing wealth, leveraging blockchain technology to create a decentralized and scarce digital asset. Over the past decade, Bitcoin has delivered astonishing returns, boasting a 10-year return of over 35,000%, making it the top-performing asset for 8 of the last 11 years leading up to 2024. This explosive growth has attracted a new generation of investors seeking high returns and portfolio diversification. However, Bitcoin’s high volatility and low predictability present challenges. Its daily, weekly, and monthly price fluctuations are significantly greater than those of gold and traditional equities, which can lead to sharp gains but also steep losses. This volatility means Bitcoin is often viewed as a high-risk, high-reward asset rather than a stable store of wealth. Institutional adoption is increasing, with major financial institutions like Bank of America and Morgan Stanley offering Bitcoin ETFs to clients. This growing acceptance is gradually enhancing Bitcoin’s legitimacy and accessibility as a wealth preservation tool. For a comparative analysis of Bitcoin’s potential, Gov.Capital’s study on Bitcoin vs. gold provides a comprehensive overview. Moreover, the rise of Bitcoin has sparked a broader conversation about the future of money and the role of cryptocurrencies in the global economy. As governments and central banks explore the creation of their own digital currencies, Bitcoin stands as a benchmark for what decentralized finance can achieve. This shift towards digital currency could redefine traditional banking systems and create new opportunities for individuals to manage their wealth independently, free from the constraints of centralized financial institutions. Furthermore, the environmental impact of Bitcoin mining has become a hot topic, prompting discussions about sustainability in the cryptocurrency space. While critics argue that the energy consumption associated with Bitcoin mining is detrimental to the planet, proponents highlight the potential for renewable energy sources to power mining operations. Innovations in technology, such as more energy-efficient mining hardware and the use of surplus energy from renewable sources, may pave the way for a greener future for Bitcoin, allowing it to maintain its status as a viable alternative to traditional wealth storage methods. Comparing Correlations and Diversification Benefits How the mix behaves: in a diversified portfolio, the gold vs silver vs platinum vs bitcoin blend can spread risk across economic regimes. One important consideration for investors is how these assets interact with broader financial markets. Gold has exhibited low to negative correlation with global equities over the past 30 years, making it an effective diversification tool during market stress. Its highest correlation with fixed income securities is relatively low at 0.32, further underscoring its distinct behavior compared to traditional assets. Silver and platinum, due to their industrial demand, can be more correlated with economic cycles and equities, which may reduce their effectiveness as safe havens in turbulent markets. Bitcoin, meanwhile, has shown a complex relationship with traditional markets. While it was initially uncorrelated, recent trends suggest some degree of correlation during major market events, though its extreme volatility remains a defining feature. Investors seeking to build a resilient portfolio often combine these assets to balance growth potential with risk mitigation. Gold’s stability, silver and platinum’s industrial ties, and Bitcoin’s growth prospects create a diversified mix that can weather different economic environments. For more on gold’s diversification role, SSGA’s insights on gold and crypto offer valuable perspectives. Side-by-side comparison Asset Primary role as store of wealth Typical volatility Liquidity Main drivers Gold Stable hedge; crisis protection Low–moderate High (physical & ETFs) Scarcity, macro stress, currency trends Silver Hybrid hedge + industry exposure Moderate–high High Industrial demand (PV, electronics), growth cycles Platinum Diversifier with cyclical upside High Moderate Auto catalysts, supply concentration, tech shifts Bitcoin Digital, scarce, portable value Very high High (24/7 markets, ETFs) Adoption, policy, liquidity cycles Conclusion: Choosing the Right Store of Wealth Each of these assets—gold, silver, platinum, and Bitcoin—offers unique advantages and challenges as stores of wealth. Gold’s enduring appeal lies in its stability, limited supply, and safe-haven status during market downturns. Silver and platinum provide additional industrial demand-driven growth but come with greater price volatility. Bitcoin’s unprecedented growth potential is tempered by its high volatility and evolving regulatory landscape. For investors prioritizing capital preservation and risk mitigation, gold remains the benchmark store of wealth. Those willing to accept greater risk for higher returns might consider Bitcoin, especially as institutional adoption grows. Silver and platinum can complement these holdings by adding exposure to industrial growth trends. Ultimately, a balanced approach tailored to individual risk tolerance and investment goals is key. By understanding the distinct roles each asset plays, investors can craft portfolios that not only preserve wealth but also capitalize on emerging opportunities in the evolving financial ecosystem. FAQs Is gold better than Bitcoin as a store of wealth? Gold offers lower volatility and long-term stability; Bitcoin offers higher potential returns with higher risk. Many investors hold both. Where do silver and platinum fit in a diversified portfolio? They can complement gold by adding industrial growth exposure, though both are more cyclical and volatile. What’s the simplest way to start a gold vs silver vs platinum vs bitcoin allocation? Define risk tolerance first, then combine a core gold position with measured exposure to silver/platinum and a small Bitcoin sleeve. The post How does gold compare to silver, platinum, and Bitcoin as a store of wealth? first appeared on American Bullion. -
Bitcoin STH-SOPR Metric Reclaims Critical Level — More Pain For Short-Term Holders?
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The price of Bitcoin has shown signs of resilience and strength over this weekend after facing significant bearish pressure heading into it. On Friday, August 5, the flagship cryptocurrency suffered a mild correction following the release of weaker-than-expected employment data in the United States. While the Bitcoin price has struggled to break out of its current choppy state, its sustained hold above the psychological $110,000 level displays the current resolution of investors. The latest on-chain data suggests that the market might have absorbed excess selling pressure and could be regaining momentum. Is BTC Ready For A Sustained Move Higher? In a September 6 post on the X platform, pseudonymous crypto analyst Frank revealed a shift in the activity of a key group of Bitcoin investors over the past few weeks. According to the market quant, BTC’s short-term holders (STH) (with coin holdings less than 155 days old) are beginning to lock in some of their profits. This on-chain observation is based on the Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (STH-SOPR) metric, which assesses the profitability ratio of spent outputs (held for more than 1 hour but less than 155 days). This indicator provides insight into whether STHs are selling at a profit or at a loss. When the Bitcoin STH-SOPR metric has a value greater than 1, it implies that the short-term investors are selling at a profit. On the other hand, an STH-SOPR value less than 1 suggests that the short-term holders are capitulating and selling at a loss. Frank shared that the Bitcoin STH-SOPR metric has returned above the critical 1 threshold level for the first time in 20 days. This means that the short-term investors, who were busy selling at a loss the past three weeks, are now back realizing profits. Typically, when the STH-SOPR metric is below 1, it means that weak hands are exiting the market, enabling the diamond hands (long-term investors) to accumulate. Meanwhile, a return above the 1 threshold could mark the end of that distribution period, with a recovery rally typically on the horizon. However, the pertinent question remains whether the past 20 days were enough to shake out the weak hands for the next leg up. Frank noted that the market could want to inflict more pain on the short-term holder cohort before the next move higher. Hence, investors might want to exercise caution before making a decision, as the market seems to be at a critical juncture. Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of BTC stands around $110,200, reflecting no significant movement in the past 24 hours. According to CoinGecko, the market leader is up by nearly 2% in the last seven days. -
Why $50 XRP By December 2025 Isn’t ‘Hopium’ If ETFs Get Greenlight: Analyst
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XRP’s price outlook is in focus as the US Securities and Exchange Commission lines up decisions on multiple spot ETF applications in late October 2025. Analysts say the outcome of that cluster could decide whether billions of dollars in institutional funds flow into the token before year-end. Filings Point To October Decision Reports show that six issuers have active S-1 filings or amendments waiting for review. The list includes Bitwise, WisdomTree, 21Shares, Canary Capital, CoinShares, and Franklin Templeton. The timing of these filings, following the SEC’s dismissal of its case against Ripple, has raised expectations that issuers are preparing for a launch window tied to October’s calendar. Demand Shock Could Stress Supply Industry insiders project that more than $5 billion could enter through spot ETFs in the first month alone. Estimates run as high as $10–18 billion by the end of 2025 if approvals are granted and appetite is strong. XRP’s effective supply is limited, with about 35 billion tokens still locked in escrow and much of the circulating amount held by exchanges and large investors. This thin float means a sudden demand wave could trigger sharp price swings. Analyst Upbeat About A $50 Target Veteran Bitcoin investor Pumpius has tied these supply and demand pressures to a bold forecast. He believes that if ETFs launch in the fourth quarter and inflows reach $10–18 billion, XRP could climb to $50 by December 2025 — and it is not “hopium“. From today’s price of $2.80, that would be a 1,680% rise, lifting market capitalization from $168 billion to about $3 trillion. Pumpius says the setup mirrors Bitcoin and Ethereum before their ETF approvals, pointing to the recent launch of XRP futures on CME and Coinbase Derivatives as proof that institutional infrastructure is already in place. Skepticism Over The Timeline Many market participants have pushed back against the forecast, arguing that the timeline is too short for XRP to grow that much. Critics on social platforms point out the difficulty of scaling from a $168 billion market to $3 trillion in just over a year. Some also question whether early ETF inflows will meet the higher-end projections cited by Pumpius. What Approval Would Mean Should the SEC approve the filings in October, ETFs could channel regulated exposure for pensions, wealth managers, RIAs, and corporate treasuries. That would test XRP’s liquidity, potentially forcing larger holders to adjust positions as new demand arrives. If the applications are denied, expectations for a breakout rally would likely be pushed further out. For now, XRP continues to trade at $2.84. With the SEC’s October cluster approaching, traders are weighing whether the path to $50 is a realistic outcome or just a bold scenario tied to one investor’s high-stakes call. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView -
Silver Top 20: Hycroft Mining leads results this year
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The Northern Miner’s latest Drill Down features highlights of the top 20 silver assays of the year to June 30. Drill holes are ranked by silver grade times width. Drilling in three far-flung parts of the world has returned the best silver assays. Hycroft Mining (Nasdaq: HYMC) topped the results from its namesake past-producing site in Nevada. Aftermath Silver (TSX: SSRM) was second with results from its resource-stage Berenguela project in Peru. Aya Gold & Silver (TSX: AYA) was third with results from its producing Zgounder mine in Morocco. Hycroft Mining Hole H24D-6018 at Hycroft’s site cut 21.2 metres grading 2,359 grams silver per tonne from 306.6 metres depth, for a grade times width value of 50,025, the company reported on Jan. 14. The intersection, which pierced the Brimstone zone, was the best hole drilled at the site in more than 40 years, Alex Davidson, Hycroft’s vice-president of exploration, said in January. It was among drill results that confirmed the continuity of a high-grade silver trend at Brimstone, located on the east side of the gold-silver pit in northwest Nevada. Production happened intermittently between 1983 and 2021, when operations were suspended due to cost difficulties. Drill results including hole H24D-6018 have made Hycroft consider developing a smaller high-grade mine for the initial stage of sulphide mining. During the first half of this year it has advanced metallurgical and engineering work. Last month, Hycroft started a 14,500-metre drill program leading into next year with two rigs. It aims to expand and advance the high-grade discoveries at Brimstone and Vortex, south of Brimstone. The company plans to complete a technical study with economics in the fourth quarter. Hycroft hosts 819.1 million measured and indicated tonnes grading 0.4 gram gold per tonne and 13.68 grams silver for 10.58 million oz. gold and 360.66 million oz. silver, according to a 2023 technical report. Inferred resources total 268.17 million tonnes at 0.39 gram gold and 11.14 grams silver for 3.35 million oz. gold and 96.11 million oz. silver. Silver Top 20. Credit: The Northern Miner Aftermath Silver Hole AFD100 at Aftermath’s Berenguela silver-copper-manganese project returned 156 metres grading 290 grams silver per tonne from surface, for a grade times width value of 45,240. That hole, reported on Feb. 27, was drilled into the Eastern zone at the project in southeastern Peru, about 200 km northeast of Arequipa. The result was from the second stage of a 5,200-metre drilling program designed to define the zone’s margin of mineralization while converting inferred resources to indicated and measured. Berenguela hosts 40.17 million measured and indicated tonnes grading 78 grams silver for 101.2 million contained oz., according to an initial resource from 2023. Inferred resources total 22.28 million tonnes at 54 grams silver for 38.8 million oz. silver. Mining took place at Berenguela from 1913 until 1965, during which about 454,000 tonnes of ore were mined from underground and open pit operations. That amounts to just 1.2% of the 2023 resource, Aftermath said. The company plans to complete a preliminary feasibility study for Berenguela this year. Aya Gold & Silver Hole ZG-RC-24-277, in the East zone at Aya’s producing Zgounder silver mine in west-central Morocco cut 17 metres grading 2,425 grams silver from 33 metres depth, for a grade times width value of 41,225, the miner reported on Jan. 7. The hole, among 34,809 metres drilled as part of last year’s exploration program, revealed the potential to increase high-grade ounces in and around Zgounder’s pit, CEO Benoit LA Salle said in a release. The result came just one week after Aya declared commercial production at Zgounder. The mine produced more than 1.04 million oz. in the second quarter. It’s targeting 5 million to 5.3 million oz. for 2025. Zgounder hosts 8.5 million proven and probable reserves grading 257 grams silver for 70.8 million oz., according to a 2022 technical report. The mine has a $373-million post-tax net asset value (at a 5% discount), a 48% internal rate of return and an 11-year life. Aya is about one-third into its 25,000-metre drill program in and around Zgounder this year. Another 100,000 to 140,000 metres of drilling are planned for the Boudamine project, about 385 km east of Zgounder. The company has budgeted $25 million to $30 million for exploration and development. Aya plans to publish an updated resource estimate for Zgounder in the fourth quarter. -
President of Liberland Has Assets Frozen By Trump Crypto Company – Everything to Know
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Justin Sun, the Prime Minister of Liberland and a well-known crypto billionaire, says his holdings in Donald Trump’s World Liberty Financial (WLFI) have been unfairly frozen. Observers wonder if Trump is using his crypto fortune as a new tool of political pressure – here’s a story. On Sept. 5, Sun announced on X that approximately 545M WLFI tokens were unreasonably frozen the previous day. The $10M tokens had been frozen under what WLFI called its so-called guardian address, and he could not get them out. https://twitter.com/justinsuntron/status/1963807543983263802 According to blockchain analytics company Nansen, the freeze was triggered after Sun moved 50M tokens worth $9.12M. https://twitter.com/OnchainLens/status/1963567020206862519 The sale was within the boundaries of WLFI rules, allowing its early investors to sell at most 20% of their stake. Sun, who founded the TRON blockchain, has been one of WLFI’s biggest supporters. He invested $30M at the end of 2024 and increased his contribution to $75M at the beginning of 2025. How Did the Blacklist Impact WLFI’s Price and Investor Confidence? World Liberty Financial’s vague statement admitted that they were concerned about wallet blacklists in the community, but did not comment on Sun’s case. The blacklist includes around 595M WLFI tokens, which are valued at approximately $107M at current prices. The news affected investors, and the WLFI price started at over $0.30 but dropped to approximately $0.18. World Liberty FinancialPriceMarket CapWLFI$5.63B24h7d30d1yAll time Sun called the freeze an attack on core blockchain values, insisting that “tokens are sacred and inviolable.” One Bitcoin advocate argued that WLFI’s actions run directly against the principles of immutability and fairness that Bitcoin was designed to uphold. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Is Trump Using His Crypto Platform as a Political Weapon? The freeze has left observers asking whether Trump uses his crypto venture as a political tool. If a foreign leader’s holdings can be locked without warning, the precedent could blur the line between finance and power politics in the digital age. The freeze of Justin Sun’s holdings has stirred more than financial questions. Sun is a well-known crypto figure and the self-proclaimed Prime Minister of Liberland, a micronation with symbolic political weight. That dual role turns what might seem like a technical issue into a story with geopolitical undertones. Was this simply about compliance or a show of power? World Liberty Financial (WLFI) is closely linked to the Trump family. Donald Trump’s business controls most of the platform and earns the majority of its revenue, while his sons hold leadership roles. That’s why Sun’s case stands out. Freezing the assets of a foreign head of state, however small or symbolic his nation may be, looks deliberate. If someone as prominent as Sun can be locked out, investors will wonder what freedom really means in this ecosystem. Sun has dismissed the flagged transactions as routine deposit tests and demanded his access back, but the damage may already be done. The move feeds doubts about WLFI’s independence and highlights how politics and finance can blur together when ownership and governance overlap so heavily. There’s no hard proof that this was a calculated political strike. Yet the optics are impossible to ignore. A project pitched as a decentralized experiment is now being seen by many as a tool of influence. The freeze of Sun’s assets is a reminder that, in practice, crypto platforms with centralized control can still act like traditional power structures using access as leverage, and leaving investors to wonder whose interests really come first. DISCOVER: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates The post President of Liberland Has Assets Frozen By Trump Crypto Company – Everything to Know appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
Ethereum Mirrors Bitcoin Post ATH Movement, As Market Bears Target 20% Correction
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Popular crypto analyst and key opinion leader Ted Pillows has outlined an insightful trend in the Ethereum (ETH) market amidst an ongoing price correction. Since hitting a new all-time high of around $4,900, the prominent altcoin has experienced an extensive price pullback. However, Pillows’ insights suggest further price drops may lie ahead, before another explosive rally. Ethereum Heading To $3,900 Before Major Surge – Here’s Why In an X post on September 6, Pillows reports that Ethereum appears to be replicating some part of Bitcoin’s price movement from the last market cycle. Notably, the premier cryptocurrency had experienced a 20% correction after reaching the previous ATH of $20,000 from the 2017 bull run. Thereafter, Bitcoin embarked on a bullish price run to establish a new ATH around $69,000. Similar to these conditions, the chart below shows that Ethereum has recently broken out of a forming symmetrical triangle, touching its previous ATH of $4,860 from 2021. Since then, the altcoin has slipped into a corrective phase, with present market levels now within the $4,200 region, leading to Pillows’ suggestions of a duplicated price movement. However, if Ethereum is indeed mirroring Bitcoin’s price performance from 2021, ETH bulls should expect a further price decline to around $3,800-$3,900 to complete the 20% price correction. While such a price loss would represent an additional 9.68% from present market prices, it could also complete the perfect bullish set-up for a parabolic rally. Going by BTC’s price history, Ethereum could likely experience a 4.5x price surge with potential price targets around $22,000. Notably, this projection exceeds the $10,000 ceiling that many analysts currently anticipate. However, a potential decline below the predicted $3,800-$3,900 could invalidate such bullish forecasts, presenting new downside targets around $3,400-$3,600. Ethereum Market Outlook At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at $4,263, reflecting a 1.35% decline in the past day and a 1.53% loss over the past week. However, on the broader timeline, ETH remains in positive territory, posting a 10.53% gain over the past month as bulls maintain longer-term momentum. According to on-chain data from analytics firm Sentora, the altcoin is showing signs of heating activity. In particular, Ethereum’s total network fees for the week increased to $11.93 million, up 19.4% compared to the previous week, signaling heightened transaction activity and demand for block space. Meanwhile, exchange netflows stood at -$2.09 billion, pointing to substantial outflows from centralized exchanges as investors opted to move their assets to personal wallets. With a market cap of $516.03 billion, Ethereum continues to rank as the 2nd largest cryptocurrency and 22nd largest asset in the world. -
New Peak: Bitcoin Mining Difficulty Soars To 135 Trillion
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Bitcoin’s mining math hit a fresh high this week as the network’s difficulty climbed to a new all-time peak of 135 trillion. Miners now need more computing work than ever to win a block, while the overall hashpower available to the network has slipped from its summer peak. Mining Difficulty Reaches New High According to on-chain data, network hashrate fell to 967 billion hashes per second after topping 1 trillion hashes per second on August 4. That gap — rising difficulty paired with a lower hashrate — tightens margins for miners. Reports have disclosed that higher difficulty makes mining more costly, and the pressure is felt most by smaller operations that run on narrow profit margins. Big miners have room to scale. Smaller teams do not. Costs for electricity, machines and maintenance add up fast. The situation raises concern about concentration. As the cost to operate rises, larger pools and firms are better positioned to absorb the pain and keep hashing. Solo Miners Still Score Big Despite those headwinds, Three solo miners managed to land blocks in July and August, proving the system still hands out rewards to individuals now and then. Reports show the block subsidy is 3.125 BTC per block. On July three, a solo miner found block 903,883 and took home just under $350,000 in subsidy plus fees. Another solo miner added block 907,283 on July 26, claiming over $373,000 when prices at the time were used to value the reward. On August 17, block 910,440 was mined by a solo operator, yielding roughly $373,000 in subsidy and fees. Those payouts highlight two facts. First, solo success is rare but possible. Second, occasional large rewards do not erase the steady advantage of scale. Pools still smooth earnings for participants, and many miners use them to avoid long dry spells. Seasonality And Market Patterns Meanwhile, September has a poor historical record for Bitcoin, with an average return of -3.77% across 12 years beginning in 2013, researchers say. Bitcoin endured six straight losing Septembers from 2017 through 2022. The streak reversed in 2023, and 2024 closed out as the best September on record at +7.29%. What This Means Now In short, the network’s math is becoming tougher at the same time mining capacity dipped slightly. That creates tighter margins and fuels debate over centralization as scale matters more. Yet the ecosystem still shows variety: solo miners can and do win blocks, and market history gives investors a mixed picture where seasonal trends matter but do not guarantee outcomes. For now, miners and market watchers alike will be tracking difficulty, hashrate and price swings as the fall unfolds. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView -
Africa Crypto News: Ripple Expanding, Nigeria On Crypto Regulations Amid Soaring Adoption
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In Africa crypto news this week, Ripple crypto continues to expand its global presence with several partnerships to expand its stablecoin usage in Africa. Behind Ripple is the XRP crypto, among the most valuable coins, far exceeding ADA crypto or Dogecoin meme coin. Ripple is also the issuer of RLUSD, a stablecoin targeting institutions. On the Western coast, the Nigerian Senate is working with the country’s blockchain association to formulate more crypto regulations. As crypto adoption picks up steam, more countries in Africa are looking to regulate it. Kenya has made notable progress, and South Africa is ahead as far as crypto regulation is concerned. Meanwhile, a Chainalysis study has found that crypto usage grew by +52% in Sub-Saharan Africa for the twelve months ending June 2025. Increasingly, more people are opting for Bitcoin and stablecoins, mainly USDT, as a hedge against local currency volatility and inflation. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 Let’s look at these stories making continental headlines this week: Ripple Crypto News: Ripple Partners With Fintechs, Pushing For RLUSD Adoption Ripple has expanded the reach of its RLUSD stablecoin on the African continent through partnerships with Chipper Cash, VALR, and Yellow Card. RLUSD has a market cap of $709M and intends to make cross-border payments efficient and provide a medium for humanitarian efforts. (Source: Coingecko) Senior Vice President of stablecoins, Jack McDonald, said they are excited to begin distribution in Africa, noting the expanding adoption across the globe. “We’re seeing demand for RLUSD from our customers and other institutional players globally and are excited to now begin distribution in Africa through our local partners….We also recently enabled RLUSD in Ripple Payments, extending the breadth of stablecoins available in our cross-border payments solution to better serve our customers worldwide.” The local partnerships open up local markets where these payment platforms have achieved impressive growth rates. (Source: WhaleInsider, X) Ripple is still trying to capture its full potential years after the problematic clashes with regulators in the United States, which slowed down the adoption of its solutions, including use of XRP ▲0.84%. XRPPriceMarket CapXRP$168.97B24h7d30d1yAll time DISCOVER: The 12+ Hottest Crypto Presales to Buy Right Now Nigeria Crypto News: Senate Seeks To Create A Regulatory Framework For Exchanges The Nigerian Senate Committee on Capital Markets and the country’s blockchain association collaborate to create a better framework for regulating crypto exchanges. Nigeria passed legislation on capital markets generally at the start of the year. Still, more work is necessary to fine-tune the regulatory landscape. When done, this move may boost flow to some of the best meme coin ICOs. The blockchain association’s president, Obinna Iwuno, talked up the need for Nigeria to seize the moment in his presentation to the Committee: “Here in Nigeria, we can not afford to take the back seat after ranking second globally in cryptocurrency adoption…..In Africa, we take the lead. We contribute over 60 per cent of Africa’s adoption and activities on the blockchain.” Nigeria has had a love-hate relationship with this industry in the past few years. That said, the gradual emergence of regulatory clarity provides optimism for certainty in the future. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Africa Crypto News: Chainalysis Report Points To Surging Crypto Adoption Crypto usage in the sub-Saharan region grew by +52% in the 12 months ending June 2025. This finding was the work of blockchain analytics firm Chainalysis. Asia and Africa had some of the most impressive usage increments and were pull factors for the global uptick. The spike was fueled by increases in remittance and everyday payment use of leading assets, including some of the best cryptos to buy. Most countries in Africa have unstable currencies. As such, informal crypto usage has grown steadily over the past decade to fill the gap. The opportunity is evident for crypto stakeholders like exchange operators. They can fill the gap in a timely manner by providing low-cost transaction media for users across the continent. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in 2025 Africa Crypto News: Ripple Expanding, Nigeria Regulations Africa crypto news: Adoption soaring in Africa as Ripple expands partnerships Nigeria crypto news: Senate wants to fine-tune crypto regulations The post Africa Crypto News: Ripple Expanding, Nigeria On Crypto Regulations Amid Soaring Adoption appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
A Chainlink Pullback To $16 Could Set Up Parabolic Price Rally – Analyst
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Chainlink (LINK) prices have dropped by 5.63% in the past seven days, amid a broader, volatile market movement. Nevertheless, the altcoin maintains a healthy 20.88% on its monthly chart, suggesting that a significant portion of recent market entrants are holding in profits. Looking ahead, prominent analyst Ali Martinez has outlined a potential market opportunity for a mega price rally. LINK Price Pattern Suggests Parabolic Surge After Final Retest In an X post on September 6, Martinez postulates that Chainlink may be on the verge of one of its most significant price moves after tracking a long-term symmetrical triangle pattern on LINK’s weekly chart that suggests a short-term correction could pave the way for a breakout to unprecedented highs. Chainlink presently trades around $22 following last week’s decline. However, Martinez sees potential for bullish momentum, especially if the token retests the $16 region in the coming weeks. According to the seasoned analyst, a retracement to this support zone could present the “most bullish setup” for LINK holders, providing the launchpad for a multi-month rally. Notably, this analysis mainly rests on Fibonacci retracement and extension levels plotted against LINK’s multi-year price action. The $16 area coincides with the 0.5 retracement level, often regarded as a critical point where accumulation and renewed buying pressure can emerge. From there, the chart projects a series of higher highs and higher lows that could carry LINK beyond $31.88, $52.30, and eventually into triple-digit territory near $100. Specifically, the Fibonacci 1.272 extension level points to $98.15 as a potential peak for the breakout. This would represent a nearly 350% increase from current levels and over 500% from the suggested $16 retest zone. Such a move would also mark a new all-time high, surpassing LINK’s previous record of $52.88 set in May 2021. Meanwhile, the triangle consolidation, spanning from 2021 through 2025, highlights LINK’s tightening price structure and diminishing volatility. Historically, prolonged consolidations often precede explosive moves in either direction. For LINK bulls, the key is maintaining support above the $16–$17 range and eventually breaching resistance around $30. Importantly, failure to hold the $16 level could invalidate the bullish thesis, potentially dragging LINK back toward lower support zones near $12 or even $9. LINK Price Outlook At press time, LINK trades at $22.30 after a slight 0.54% decline in the past day. The asset’s daily trading volume is also down by 58.12% and is now valued at $567.14 million. According to Coincodex, LINK investors are presently expressing a neutral sentiment, as indicated by a Fear & Greed Index of 48. Notably, short-term analysis suggests the altcoin could trade at $21.71 in the five days, followed by a potential rebound to $23.71 in the next month. -
Bitcoin Holds Key Support Amid Gravestone Doji – $120,000 Hangs In Balance
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In his latest daily technical outlook, Cryptowzrd highlighted that Bitcoin closed the day with a gravestone doji, while holding above a critical level. According to the analysis, more bullish candles are needed to sustain momentum and push the price toward the $120,000 resistance, especially as the market contends with ongoing fundamental pressures. Fundamentals Support Bitcoin Despite Weak NFP Print Cryptowzrd highlighted that the daily candle of Bitcoin closed indecisively, signaling uncertainty as the market evaluates its next move. Despite this indecision, BTC remains above the crucial $110,500 level, which continues to serve as a strong support zone. This level remains critical in determining whether bullish momentum can be sustained in the short term. The analyst noted that Bitcoin has maintained its bullish edge even in the face of a lower-than-expected NFP print, triggered by fundamental commentary. This development suggests that broader market sentiment is still supportive of BTC, and technical strength is being reinforced by macroeconomic factors. From a weekly perspective, traditional markets have closed on a bullish note, adding further support to Bitcoin’s potential upside. However, a series of consecutive bullish daily candles is needed to solidify confidence in a rally toward the $120,000 resistance level. Without this confirmation, the market could remain in a holding pattern, leaving room for volatility and short-term swings. On the downside, he cautioned that if Bitcoin breaks below the $110,500 level by mid-week, it could open the door for a deeper correction, potentially testing the $100,000 support zone. Such a move would shift market dynamics, increasing selling pressure and creating strategic opportunities for traders to position for short-term downside plays. Over the weekend, Cryptowzrd will be closely monitoring lower-time frame charts to identify actionable scalp opportunities while ensuring that the current position above $110,500 remains secure. Intraday Volatility Driven By NFP And Market Fundamentals Concluding his analysis, the analyst highlighted that the intraday chart of BTC has been volatile, influenced by recent fundamental commentary and the lower-than-expected NFP print. This volatility reflects the market’s uncertainty, as traders weigh both technical and macroeconomic factors. He noted that a decisive move above $113,200 would signal stronger bullish momentum, potentially pushing Bitcoin higher and helping to secure the current position. Such a breakout signals that buyers are regaining control of the market. On the other hand, a drop below $110,400 could open the door for additional downside. For now, the analyst plans to wait patiently for the market to form a more mature trade setup before taking the next actionable position. -
Ethereum (ETH) has just made history with a development that could reshape its market trajectory. For the first time, the Ethereum exchange balance has turned negative, meaning more tokens are being withdrawn from trading platforms than deposited. This structural shift in supply dynamics has analysts labeling it a key bullish signal for the market’s next rally. Ethereum Exchange Balance = Negative Crypto market expert Cas Abbe shared a new report showing that Ethereum’s exchange flux has slipped into the negative territory for the first time on record. He suggests that the latest development could be bullish for ETH, as it signals reduced selling pressure and growing investor confidence. Historically, the exchange balance metric has served as one of the clearest indicators of investor behavior. When balances rise, it typically signals mounting selling pressure, as traders move coins for liquidation purposes. Conversely, when they fall, it indicates that coins are being withdrawn into private wallets, which are less likely to be sold. The analyst’s chart illustrates a sharp and accelerating drop in Ethereum’s exchange balances over the past few years, culminating in this historic low. Billions worth of ETH have been removed from centralized platforms, coinciding with the asset’s advance toward a target above $5,500. This indicates a clear reduction in liquid supply during already heightened demand. According to Abbe, the importance of this decline cannot be overstated. He noted that market tops in crypto generally occur after inflows spike back into these centralized platforms, not when balances are draining to new lows. In other words, Ethereum may not be positioned for a sell-off but for accumulation. As selling pressure subsides, long-term holders exert greater control over supply, creating conditions for potentially strong upward price momentum. If history is any guide, Abbe suggests that the shrinking exchange balance could set the stage for Ethereum’s next leg up. Analyst Sets $7,000 As ETH’s Next Target While Ethereum’s exchange supply hits uncharted lows, technical analysts like Crypto Goos are increasingly bullish on its price. The market expert announced in a post on X that ETH has officially broken out of a long-term wedge pattern, which has constrained price action since 2021. The accompanying chart illustrates ETH finally piercing through resistance after years of sideways trading. Crypto Goos points to the breakout level around $3,600, and with Ethereum now trading significantly above it, the move appears confirmed. Although Ethereum has experienced a number of price swings in the past few weeks, Crypto Goos remains confident that it can reach a new all-time high soon. The analyst’s projection from the wedge breakout targets the $7,000 region, representing a potential upside of about 62% from current price levels above $4,300. Should momentum persist, the cryptocurrency could extend even beyond the $7,000 milestone. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
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Bitcoin Treasury Purchases Down Amid Record Holdings – What Does This Mean?
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Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a moderate price rebound last week, rallying to around $113,000 before witnessing a minor setback. The crypto market leader now trades near the $111,000 price level and stands 10.46% away from its all-time high. Meanwhile, recent data from blockchain analytics firm CryptoQuant has highlighted an intriguing trend in the accumulating activity of Bitcoin treasuries. Bitcoin Treasury Holdings Hit 840K In 2025 In a weekly report posted on September 5, CryptoQuant reports that Bitcoin treasury holdings by public and private companies have reached a new record of 840,000 BTC in 2025, representing the overwhelming institutional interest seen in the present market cycle. However, beneath this headline milestone lies a stark, cautious shift in market dynamics. Notably, monthly purchases have slowed dramatically, raising questions about the sustainability of corporate demand for Bitcoin. Through combined efforts with bitcointreasuries.net.data, CryptoQuant has discovered that Strategy, being the most aggressive institutional accumulator of Bitcoin, has sharply reduced its buying pace by 97% over the last 12 months. Notably, after acquiring an all-time high of 134,000 BTC in November 2024, the Saylor-led company’s purchases dropped to just 3,700 BTC in August 2025. While other Bitcoin treasuries have stepped in more cautiously, adding 14,800 BTC in August compared to Strategy’s relatively small 3,700 BTC buy, their volumes remain far below the peaks seen earlier in 2025. Notably, these other companies had produced a temporary surge in early 2025, recording a 66,000 BTC all-time high purchase in January, which has clearly faded following their August reports. Notably, all this data indicates that while total holdings are at record levels, the flow of new institutional money appears to be drying up. Bitcoin Price Overview At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $110,942, up by 0.48% over the past 24 hours. Daily trading volume has also increased by 4.56% to $61.05 billion, indicating steady market activity. However, the cryptocurrency faces headwinds, with a 3.76% monthly loss underscoring its fragile momentum. The next key resistance level sits near $113,700, a zone that has already proven difficult to break on two separate occasions over the past month. Meanwhile, with Bitcoin price direction largely uncertain, CryptoQuant’s report suggests corporate treasuries appear hesitant to allocate further capital at scale, preferring smaller, more conservative purchases. This behavior signals that while the narrative of Bitcoin as a treasury reserve asset persists, incremental demand growth is slowing. In addition, it raises significant concerns about the potential behavior of these treasury companies during the much-anticipated crypto winter. -
Bitcoin Price Vs. BTC Treasury Companies: Interesting 1:4 Ratio Pops Up
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Bitcoin has held up strongly compared to the companies that have adopted it as part of their treasury strategy, but the gap between the digital asset and these firms is becoming more pronounced. Over the last 10 weeks, stocks of Bitcoin Treasury Companies (BTCTCs) have fallen sharply, shedding between 50% and 80% of their value. This divergence shows an unusual pattern, effectively creating a “1:4 ratio” in cycle behavior. 12 Mini-Bear Markets In 18 Months Bitcoin’s price action in the past 18 months has mostly been in a bullish cycle on the macro end, with the leading cryptocurrency creating new price highs upon new price highs within this period. This has caused an increase in many companies adopting a Bitcoin treasury strategy in their balance books, also known as Bitcoin Treasury Companies (BTCTCs). However, according to data from crypto commentator Mark Moss, the stock prices of companies with a Bitcoin strategy have diverged from Bitcoin, shedding between 50% and 80% of their stock value over the last ten weeks. This divergence, Moss noted, shows an unusual 1:4 cycle ratio where corporate Bitcoin holders undergo four mini-cycles for every one Bitcoin market cycle. The Japanese firm MetaPlanet is the prime case study for this occurrence. Over the last 18 months, its stock ($MTPLF) has gone through 12 distinct drawdowns, ranging from sharp single-day plunges to prolonged declines stretching over months. On average, these downturns erased 32.4% of value and lasted about 20 days. The shortest correction was a brutal one-day slide of 22.2% in April 2024, while the longest and deepest crash lasted 119 days from July to November 2024, wiping out 78.6%. The chart below, of MetaPlanet’s stock, shows repeated selloff cycles that appear far more compressed and extreme than Bitcoin’s price corrections in the past 18 months or so. MetaPlanet Stock Price: Mark Moss on X Correlation With Bitcoin? Interestingly, only 41.7% of MetaPlanet’s drawdowns have directly lined up with Bitcoin’s corrections. Out of the 12 mini-bear markets identified, just 5 occurred in sync with BTC’s declines. The majority (7 out of 12) were unrelated to Bitcoin and were instead caused by company-specific factors. According to Moss, these factors include warrant exercises, fundraising activities, and compression of the Bitcoin premium that MetaPlanet trades at compared to its BTC holdings. The two most severe drawdowns, however, did overlap with Bitcoin volatility. The -78.6% collapse in late 2024 and a -54.4% drawdown both coincided with periods when Bitcoin itself was undergoing corrections. These overlapping events suggest that while BTC volatility sometimes adds to the drawdown, MetaPlanet’s stock selloffs tend to extend beyond Bitcoin downturns. Essentially, what this means is that instead of BTC 4-year cycles, BTCTCs are now more like 4 cycles in 1 year. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is in a correction phase and is struggling to hold above the $110,000 support level. Popular BTCTC stocks are also struggling with downtrends alongside Bitcoin. Strategy’s stock is down 37.1% from its 52-week high, while MetaPlanet is down 58.6%. Others, like The Smarter Web Company PLC (-83.6%) and The Blockchain Group (-70.7%), are at greater losses. BTCTC Stock Prices: BitcoinTreasuries Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView -
Bitcoin Price Holds Above $110,000—How Weak Job Data Could Fuel Next Wave
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The Bitcoin price has enjoyed some level of resurgence over the past week, starting from below $108,000 to as high as $113,000. However, the premier cryptocurrency’s progress hit a stumbling block following the release of weaker-than-expected United States payrolls data on Friday, September 5. Despite the bearish pressure triggered by the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) release, the price of Bitcoin managed to stay above the psychological $110,000 level. Interestingly, the latest analysis suggests that the latest job data could guide the Bitcoin price to a new high. Macro Shift To Kickstart Next BTC Price Rally? In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, market analysis firm XWIN Research Japan explained how weak labor data in the US could see the Bitcoin price embark on its next bullish wave. According to the analytics firm, history shows a paradox despite rising unemployment often linked to weak performances by risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. XWIN mentioned that on-chain stablecoin data offers insight into how this “macro story” could unfold, especially in relation to the cryptocurrency market. The crypto trading firm then highlighted two “distinct waves of activity” that establish the connection between unemployment and crypto market positioning. In the first wave (between late 2024 and early 2025), investors expected the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates as the labor market weakness first emerged. Capital flowed into exchanges with the surge in stablecoin reserves from $30 billion to $50 billion, showing the investors’ preparedness for a macroeconomic shift. The second wave (from mid-2025 to present) has seen unemployment rising again. Similarly, stablecoin exchange reserves recently hit $58.5 billion, while depositing addresses have frequently surpassed 30,000 BTC, with highs near 40,000 BTC. “This isn’t just accumulation—it reflects broader participation, from whales to retail, mobilizing funds in anticipation of easier policy,” XWIN added. According to XWIN, the thinking is that the rising unemployment in the United States could be linked to stronger expectations of Fed rate cuts. With more capital stored in stablecoins on exchanges, ready to buy more coins, the weak jobs data could be the foundation for a fresh rally for Bitcoin. Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $110,780, reflecting no significant changes in the past 24 hours. According to data from CoinGecko, the market leader is up by almost 3% in the last seven days. -
Ripple’s XRP Ledger Just Introduced A Pivotal Update In Its Quest For Dominance
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New updates have been made to Ripple’s XRP Ledger (XRPL) as the network looks to dominate and gain more traction. This is also a positive for XRP, which serves as the network’s bridge currency. Ripple’s XRP Ledger Gets A New Update In an X post, XRP validator Vet revealed that the credentials amendment on the XRP Ledger is now active. He explained that credentials can be applied to attest to compliance requirements, such as KYC and AML, for a user or institution and issued to their decentralized identity. This helps to further build trust in the network. Vet also noted that the amendment has all been done natively on the XRP Ledger. Notably, this update is part of a larger move to enable compliance amendments on the network. With decentralized identities and credentials implemented, Vet indicated that their next focus is to work on the permissioned domains and permissioned DEX. Ripple and other XRP Ledger stakeholders aim to utilize these compliance amendments to attract more institutions to the network, enabling them to adhere to traditional finance (TradFi) standards even on-chain. This also comes as the network aims to become the go-to for tokenization. Ripple recently stated that 10% of global assets will become tokenized by 2030, and is undoubtedly looking to tap into this trillion-dollar market. Ripple Engineer Breaks Down Significance Of This Update In an X post, Ripple engineer Kenny explained that the credentials update gives developers and businesses a way to handle identity checks and compliance requirements directly on the XRP Ledger. With these, they do not need to approve each account one by one manually. The Ripple engineer noted that traditionally, verifying user credentials like KYC requires multiple checks across different platforms. Kenny remarked that this process isn’t only inefficient but also increases privacy risks because sensitive information has to be shared multiple times. As such, this makes the XRP Ledger credentials update vital. The Ripple engineer revealed that this feature enables credentials to be issued, stored, and verified natively on the XRPL. He noted the benefits of how this allows users to prove a required criterion without undergoing repeated verification. Kenny also stated that this will improve the onboard process and enhance security, while maintaining privacy. The Ripple engineer further gave an example of what a typical flow will look like using this credentials feature. A business will define the credentials it requires, such as the KYC, then a trusted issuer creates and signs that credential. The user then accepts and stores these credentials in their XRP Ledger account. That way, the credential is checked on-chain whenever the user interacts with the business. At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $2.83, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. -
Newsquawk Week Ahead: Highlights 8th – 12th September 2025
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Highlights include US CPI, BLS revisions, ECB, OPEC, French No Confidence Vote, Chinese Inflation & Trade, Japanese GDP, Apple Event Worldviews Newsquawk Week Ahead: Highlights 8th – 12th September 2025 MON: Japanese GDP (Q2), German Industrial Output (Jul), EZ Sentix Index (Sep), US Employment Trends (Aug), Chinese Trade Balance (Aug), French no-confidence vote TUE: UN General Assembly (Iran focus likely), Apple Event, BLS Prelim Benchmark Revisions WED: Chinese Inflation (Aug), Swedish Monthly GDP (Jul), Norwegian CI (Aug), US PPI (Aug) THU: ECB Announcement, CBRT Announcement, Swedish CPIF (Aug), US CPI (Aug) FRI: CBR Announcement, Japanese Industrial Output (Jul), German CPI Final (Aug), UK GDP (Jul), French Final CPI (Aug), Spanish Final CPI (Aug), US University of Michigan Prelim (Sep) OPEC (SUN) OPEC-8 will meet on Sunday, 7th September, to possibly discuss starting the unwind of the 1.65mln BPD tranche of cuts, marking a shift from plans to keep these specific curbs until end-2026. Sources on September 3rd suggested OPEC+ is reportedly mulling another oil production hike at Sundayʼs meeting. This is in contrast to initial expectations that the group of eight will maintain its production policy. Russian Deputy PM Novak clarified that OPEC-8 are not discussing production increase now, and no agenda has been set for the upcoming OPEC+ meeting yet. Novak added that current market conditions and forecasts are to be considered. Bloomberg According to delegates cited by Bloomberg, the group would consider all output options. Bloomberg since reported that Saudi Arabia wants OPEC+ to speed up its next oil production increase. No decision has been made, and itʼs not clear whether any increase would be agreed as soon as Sunday or only in later months, but a range of options remains possible, including a pause for a period. Argus Delegates cited by Argus suggest that if a hike were to go ahead, “they expect a cautious approach, maintaining the flexibility to increase, pause, reduce or even reverse policy on a month-to-month basis.” It’s worth noting that members are to conduct a call on Saturday to discuss options; thus, all sources beforehand are to be taken with a pinch of salt. Furthermore, doubts remain over some countries’ ability to raise production further, such as Kazakhstan, which has been producing near maximum capacity. Argus media citing delegates, floated a potential plan for the unwind of the 1.65mln BPD tranche of production cuts: A 12- month phased unwinding is being considered, which would imply ~137,000 BPD added each month. Actual monthly increments may be as low as 60,000–70,000 BPD, per delegate sources, amid some countries’ ability to raise production further. “The impact will be minimal,” said a delegate, estimating actual additions at 00,000–800,000 BPD at best. JAPANESE GDP (MON) GDP Q/Q is expected to be unrevised at 0.3% (prev. 0.3%). The growth seen in the flash release was primarily driven by strong business investment and a significant rebound in net exports, which countered a negative contribution from inventories. However, the data may prove to be stale amid the ongoing impact of US tariffs. This month, US President Trump signed an Executive Order to officially implement the US-Japan trade deal in which the US will apply a baseline 15% tariff on nearly all Japanese imports, although Japan’s top trade negotiator, Akazawa, noted the amended executive order does not mention mostfavoured-nation treatment for pharma and chips, and will continue to push for the treatment. Analysts at ING suggest “Japanʼs second-quarter GDP likely remained near the flash estimate of 0.3% quarter-on-quarter growth. Meanwhile, the August producer price index is projected to rise to 2.7% YoY, indicating continued pipeline price pressures.” CHINESE TRADE BALANCE (MON) There are currently no forecasts for the trade balance data. Analysts at ING “donʼt expect major surprises from Chinaʼs August trade data in light of the extension of the US-China trade war truce, which kept tariffs at the status quo. Export growth could slow to around 3.8% year on year, while imports could continue to pick up to around 6.2% YoY, thanks to base effects from 2024.” Note, there have been no significant US-China trade developments since last month. FRENCH NO CONFIDENCE VOTE (MON) French PM Bayrou will be subject to a confidence vote in relation to his fiscal plans. A vote he is, barring an 11th-hour update, almost certain to lose. Thereafter, President Macron has a handful of options open to him. Firstly, and his clear preference, he could appoint a new PM who would need to retain support from the central bloc and court parties on the Left. A potential candidate for this would be Finance Minister Lombard, given his relations with the Socialists; though, it remains to be seen if the groups can work together and pass meaningful fiscal change. Alternatively, or if this option fails, Macron could call fresh legislative elections. However, polling suggests the fractured political landscape would not change significantly, and this option runs the risk of a strong National Rally (RN) showing, which would leave Macron as President over an RN PM, likely Bardella. Given all of this, the outcome of the confidence vote is likely to be a continuation or extension of the current political uncertainty. As such, the bias for OAT-Bund 10yr yield spread is for further widening, though the fall of Bayrou himself is likely priced at this point. The major catalysts post-vote will be Macronʼs next PM candidate and then Fitch on Friday. Currently, Fitch has France at AA-, negative. Note, while Macron has made clear he has no intention of resigning ahead of his term ending around April 2027, further failed PM appointments and new legislative elections will increase the pressure on him to do so, and any movement towards an early exit would undoubtedly push spreads significantly wider. Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days UN GENERAL ASSEMBLY (TUE) At the 80th UN General Assembly on 9th September, Iran will face heightened diplomatic scrutiny amid renewed tensions over its nuclear programme. In late August, the UK, France, and Germany (E3) initiated the “snapback” mechanism to reinstate all UN sanctions within 30 days, citing Iranʼs non-compliance with the 2015 nuclear deal and IAEA access restrictions. Tehran has called the move “illegal and unjustified,” while signalling a conditional willingness to resume “fair and balanced” talks—provided the West shows good faith. On July 21st, A senior Iranian lawmaker warned that Tehran could halt its regional maritime security cooperation, including in the Strait of Hormuz, if European powers move to reimpose UN sanctions through the so-called snapback mechanism. On the Israel-Palestine situation, several countries have signalled their intention to recognise a Palestinian state at the UN General Assembly. This momentum, which includes prominent Western nations, is a response to the ongoing conflict in Gaza and aims to pressure Israel to commit to a peace process and de-escalate the humanitarian crisis. It is important to remember that it does not grant Palestine full UN membership. That would require approval from the Security Council, where the US has previously used its veto power to block the measure APPLE EVENT (TUES) Appleʼs latest iPhone event is on Tuesday, September 9th, with JPMorgan noting that expectations have historically been for limited surprises from the fall iPhone launch event. Regarding Apple itself, expectations around the big-tech behemoth have been limited recently as it continues to seemingly fall behind in the AI race, with Meta continuing to nick some of its top AI talent. Highlighting the underwhelming expectations surrounding Apple this year, only Tesla in the mag-7 is performing worse, with Apple down 4.3% YTD. Back to the iPhone launch event, Morgan Stanley expects them to modestly hike iPhone 17 prices, its first hike since 2017. The iPhone 17 Air will debut with a thinner design, C1 modem, and a USD 100 premium over the iPhone 16 Plus, while the Pro will start at USD 1,099 for 256GB as lower-storage options are dropped. A new 1TB Air will launch at USD 1,399. Morgan Stanley sees the changes boosting average selling prices 5% in FY26, well above consensus, and does not expect demand to be impacted. MS adds that the event will also unveil new Apple Watches and AirPods, though no major Apple Intelligence updates are anticipated, which is something investors are closely watching. JPM In relation to the opportunity for surprises from the event, JPM sees two key aspects that could set up for upsides through the next FY, including: 1) The launch of iPhone Air could appeal to a broader than anticipated consumer demographic. 2) Pricing for iPhone Air as well as the rest of the lineup; JPM believes pricing will play a particularly strong role in demand in the China market, where smartphones priced under CNY 6,000 (~ USD 840) qualify for a 15% discount. Finally, while expectations for iPhone Air volumes have diminished in recent months with the feedback from the supply chain that Apple is largely planning for ~10-15mln units in H2, but JPM adds there remains room for surprises from better consumer reception. BLS PRELIM BENCHMARK REVISIONS (TUE) The BLS will release the preliminary 2025 benchmark revisions to the establishment survey at 10:00EDT/15:00BST on September 9th, 2025. The final revisions will follow in February 2026, alongside the January employment situation report. Each year, establishment survey estimates are benchmarked to comprehensive counts of employment from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) for the month of March, derived from state unemployment insurance (UI) tax records that nearly all employers are required to file. Bank of America notes that the preliminary estimate is based on QCEW data covering April 2024–March 2025. Importantly, the September release will provide only the implied revision to the March 2025 level of payrolls, with no historical data yet updated. The desk expects a downward revision of 500k to 1mln, implying that payrolls as of March 2025 may have been overstated by 40k–85k per month on average over the April 2024–March 2025 period. BofA also highlights that revisions for April–December 2025, which matter most for the Fed, will only be available with the final benchmark in February 2026. For context, the March 2024 nonfarm employment level was ultimately revised down by –598k in the final benchmark, compared with a preliminary estimate of –818k CHINESE INFLATION (WED) There are currently no forecasts for the upcoming Chinese inflation report. Julyʼs CPI registered flat year-on-year, slightly better than the –0.1% drop in June, while core inflation (excluding food and fuel) rose to 0.8%, its highest in 17 months. Analysts suggest structural headwinds, such as the prolonged property downturn and subdued consumer confidence, are restraining any meaningful inflation rebound. While authorities have stepped up targeted stimulus, there is a view among desks that inflationary momentum is likely to stay muted, with risks tilted towards persistent disinflation through year-end. Analysts at ING suggest “August inflation data, to be released on Wednesday, could show price pressures dipped back into negative territory at around -0.1% YoY after coming in at zero in July.” NORWEGIAN CPI (WED) There is currently no newswire consensus for the upcoming August inflation report, but taking a look at SEB’s predictions, the bank sees CPI-ATE to remain stable at 3.1%, citing higher food prices. As a reminder, the last inflation report mostly printed just above expectations; CPI-ATE Y/Y came in at 3.1% (exp. 3%) but in line with Norges Bankʼs own forecast. As such, Norges Bank opted to keep its rates steady at 4.25%, and highlighted that it will likely be appropriate to continue with a cautious normalisation of the policy rate ahead. Nonetheless, the Bank remained cautious, suggesting that if the rate is lowered too quickly, inflation could remain above target for too long. Into the next meeting, should the August report continue to show inflation moderating, then Norges Bank may opt to cut rates by 25bps in September; As it stands, SEB, ING and GS all see Norges Bank delivering a quarter-point reduction at that meeting. Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days ECB ANNOUNCEMENT (THU) 66/69 of those surveyed by Reuters expect the ECB to hold the Deposit Rate at 2.0% with markets assigning a 99% chance of such an outcome. As a reminder, the prior meeting saw the ECB stand pat on rates with President Lagarde reiterating that policy remains in a good place, suggesting that policymakers are not in a rush to adjust policy. Since Julyʼs confab, the EU and US have formalised their trade agreement, which will see most EU goods subject to a 15% tariff vs. the initially threatened 30% level. On the data slate, Q2 growth was resilient in the face of trade tensions. S&P Global More timely survey data from S&P Global saw the composite PMI metric move further into expansionary territory with the pace of expansion ticking up to a one-year high. On the inflation front, August Y/Y HICP rose to 2.1% from 2.0% and the super-core metric held steady at 2.3%. As such, there is little cause for policymakers to loosen policy at this meeting. Moving forward, there is clearly a split of views on the Governing Council, with the doves on the board, such as Finlandʼs Rehn, flagging the likelihood of greater downside risks to inflation. However, the hawks on the GC, such as Germanyʼs Schnabel, are of the view that rates are already mildly accommodative, and do not see a reason for a further rate cut, adding that global rate hikes may come earlier than people think. Market Pricing Market pricing sees a roughly 50% chance of a rate cut by March next year. Given the lack of fireworks expected within the policy statement, markets may be guided more by the accompanying macro projections, with focus on the 2026 inflation forecast, which is currently expected to come in materially below the Bankʼs 2% target at 1.6%. On the projections, consensus looks for an upgrade to the 2026 inflation view to 1.9% with growth to be held at 1.1%. During the press conference, President Lagarde will likely be asked about any potential backstops for French debt depending on the outcome of Mondayʼs confidence vote. The Transmission Protection Instrument (TPI) is the main tool at the ECBʼs disposal. However, deployment appears to be some way off yet, absent a material rise in spreads CBRT ANNOUNCEMENT (THU) The CBRT is expected to lower rates by 200bps at its September meeting, according to analysts at both JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs. This follows on from a hotter-than-expected inflation report in August, which saw the headline M/M rise 2.04% (exp. 1.79%); Y/Y printed at 32.95% (exp. 32.60%) – nonetheless, metrics did cool from the prior. Inflation aside, GDP metrics for Q2 were resilient, and continued TRY depreciation will further complicate things at the Bank. On the latter, Turkish assets were slapped after a court in Istanbul ruled to remove local officials of the Republican Peopleʼs Party, which is the main opposition party to the current government. Bloomberg economist Baziki said that given the weakening TRY and rising energy costs, risks to inflation are “tilted to the upside”. Analysts at JPMorgan echo this. As such, the bank sees the CBRT cutting rates by 200bps at the September meeting (prev. saw 300bps cut); JPM then see a further 200bps reduction in both October and November, taking the policy rate down to 37% by year-end (prev. saw 36%). Analysts conclude that the policy rate will be kept above headline CPI to “prevent dollarisation among Turkish residents”. GS writes that “With Q2 GDP growth far surpassing expectations— despite weaker domestic demand—and August inflation coming in higher than forecast”, they see a smaller cut than that delivered at the prior meeting. US CPI (THU) The consensus expects US headline CPI to rise by +0.3% M/M in August (prev. +0.2%), while the core rate is also seen rising by +0.3% M/M (prev. +0.3%); analysts think the data will be driven by higher goods prices. Analysts will be watching the data for signs of any further tariff pass-through; Barclays expects core goods prices to entirely drive the upside acceleration, stating that “a widespread boost to core goods prices has not been borne out in the data as of yet, but there are clear signs of upward price pressures across categories,” and the bank looks for this to become more evident in coming months as firms increase imports amid falling inventories. In terms of the policy implications, Barclays is in line with market pricing, expecting the Fed to lower rates by 25bps at its September 17th confab, particularly after Fed Chair Powell’s dovish pivot at Jackson Hole in July. The CPI data and the August jobs data will be used to refine expectations. The August NFP report ultimately was soft, falling to 22k from an upwardly revised 79k, well below the 75k forecast and even beneath the lowest breakeven estimate members at the Fed have provided (Musalem suggested it is between 30-80k). Including revisions, three of the last four months have been below the breakeven rate, with the June print falling into negative territory. The unemployment rate also ticked up to 4.3% from 4.2% (in line with expectations). The report has cemented expectations for a 25bps rate cut,with money markets fully pricing in such a move. Barclays wrote before the jobs report that “absent firm employment numbers, an acceleration in core inflation alone would likely not make the bar for a hold” UK GDP (FRI) Expectations are for M/M GDP growth in July of 0.1% vs. the June print of 0.4%, leaving the Q2 Q/Q outturn at 0.3% vs. the 0.7% pace seen in Q1. At the time, ING judged that when you dig through the data, it wasnʼt as impressive as it first appeared, noting that “much of the growth was generated by government consumption, which the ONS puts down to a greater number of vaccinations, something that isnʼt indicative of underlying economic performance”. ING added that “itʼs worth not reading too much into these figures – and the Bank of England certainly isnʼt doing that”. For the upcoming report, Investec expects momentum to have carried through into July, but at a lesser rate. The desk adds that the service sector is likely to have been bolstered by sunny weather and the Oasis tour, although the impact of the doctors’ strike could act as an offsetting force. Elsewhere, the desk is optimistic on manufacturing output, which is the dominant input into industrial production. Investec notes that a consensus outcome would “set the stage for a fairly solid Q3 for GDP growth”. The desk has pencilled in a 0.4% Q/Q forecast. From a policy perspective, such an outcome would provide some respite for the Treasury and more reason for caution on the MPC. Copyright © 2025 Newsquawk Voice Limited. All rights reserved. Registered Office One Love Lane, London, EC2V 7JN, United Kingdom · Registered Number 12020774 · Registered in England and Wales. newsquawk.com · +44 20 3582 2778 · info@newsquawk.com Get the Latest Trading News and Trading Ideas Global-view.com The post Newsquawk Week Ahead: Highlights 8th – 12th September 2025 appeared first on Forex Trading Forum. -
SUI Price To $7? Analyst Predicts Altcoin’s Path To New ATH
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After a strong start in August, the SUI price struggled to build on its momentum in the second half of the month. The altcoin’s price crashed from a local high of above $4.1, reaching around $3.2 to start the new month of September. However, the SUI price seems to have found a new lease on life in the past week, increasing by over 4% in the last seven days. Interestingly, the SUI token appears to only be at the beginning of what could be a journey to a new all-time high. Analyst Predicts SUI To Grow 110% Based On Chart Pattern In a September 5 post on social media platform X, prominent crypto analyst Ali Martinez shared that it might be time for investors to start loading their bags with SUI tokens. According to the online pundit, the SUI price just bounced back from a level that could see travel to a new high around $7. This prediction is based on the appearance of an ascending triangle pattern on the daily Bitcoin chart. The ascending triangle is a technical analysis pattern that features an inverse right-angled triangle with a horizontal upper boundary (connecting a series of lower highs) and a diagonal rising lower trendline (connecting the swing lows). An ascending triangle formation is typically considered a bullish chart pattern, signaling the continuation of the initial upward trend. Nevertheless, this chart pattern can also be viewed as a trend reversal pattern and a bearish sign—usually when the asset’s price breaches below the lower trendline and in the opposite direction of the initial uptrend. As shown in the highlighted chart, the SUI price did make a move for the lower trendline before bouncing back around the $3.1 level. The altcoin, which seemingly found a major support around this price level, looks set to break the upper horizontal trendline of the triangle. While Martinez still expects the SUI price to retest the lower trendline one more time before breaking out of this pattern, the final target for the altcoin is set around the $7 mark. The price target for an ascending triangle pattern is usually calculated by adding the vertical distance between the horizontal and lower trendlines to the breakout point. Going by this method, Martinez puts the target for the SUI at over 110% from the current price point and 30% from the all-time high of $5.8. SUI Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of SUI stands at around $3.38, reflecting an over 2% jump in the past 24 hours. -
Bitcoin Cycle Peak May Extend Into 2026, Decay Model Shows
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Bitcoin prices have dipped by over 10% since establishing a new all-time high (ATH) of $124,457 on August 14. As with all previous retracements after a new ATH, this recent correction has sparked much speculation on the market peak price. The Bitcoin Decay Channel, a market prediction model, has provided insights into the potential market top price zones for the present cycle. Bitcoin Decay Channel Hints At $200K–$290K Top, Tips Cycle To Extend To 2026 In an X post on September 5, a Bitcoin researcher with the X username Sminston With shares some important data from the Bitcoin Decay Channel on a potential peak price for the current market cycle. For context, the Bitcoin Decay Channel is a long-term logarithmic regression model that attempts to map Bitcoin’s price cycles, specifically its historical peaks and bottoms, within statistically derived boundaries. This pricing model shows that while Bitcoin follows boom-and-bust patterns, its growth rate decays over time as each cycle delivers smaller percentage gains than the last. Notably, data from the Bitcoin Decay channel chart shows the premier cryptocurrency is steadily climbing within the 0.05 quantile support and upper bound resistance lines, with oscillations that mark historical overheated zones. The embedded oscillator suggests BTC is not yet at a euphoric peak, leaving room for further upside before a long-term top forms. Based on more data, Sminston With explains that the present Bitcoin market cycle could see a price top between late 2025 and late 2026. If Bitcoin peaks in December 2025, the price range would sit between $205,000 and $230,000. However, should the cycle extend into 2026, projections rise incrementally, i.e. $208,000-$235,000 by Jan 2026, $219,000–$250,000 by April 2026, $230,000-$265,000 by July 2026, $243,000-$282,000 by October 2026, and as high as $250,000–$292,000 by year-end 2026. Regardless of which price top scenario, the Bitcoin Decay Channel presents a potential peak zone between $205,000 and $292,000 within the next 12-15 months. This presents a possible price gain of 86% in the base case and 167% in a bull case scenario. Bitcoin Price Outlook At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $110,900, reflecting a 0.45% price increase in the past day. Meanwhile, weekly gains are now up by 2.89% showing a moderate recovery. Interestingly, Coincodex analysts are predicting the premier cryptocurrency to maintain this rebound, rising to $121,276 in five days. With a market cap of $2.2 trillion, Bitcoin remains the largest currency and fifth largest in the world. -
Shiba Inu Diamond Hands Are Refusing To Sell, Bulls Eye $0.00009 ATH
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On-chain data shows that Shiba Inu diamond hands are holding on to their coins despite the meme coin’s underperformance in recent times. This comes as SHIB bulls eye a new all-time high (ATH), with the meme coin potentially reaching $0.00009. Shiba Inu Holders Are Refusing To Sell Despite SHIB’s Underperformance Glassnode data shows that Shiba Inu’s holder retention rate is currently at 96%, having been on an uptrend over the last thirty days. The metric tracks the percentage of addresses that have held SHIB over the past 30 days. An uptick indicates that holders aren’t selling but instead even accumulating more coins. Furthermore, Santiment data confirms that investors are still accumulating Shiba Inu, despite SHIB’s underperformance. Notably, the number of holders have continued to rise amid the price downtrend, and there are now 1.53 million SHIB holders. This comes as the meme coin looks to hold above the psychological $0.000010 price level. However, a negative for SHIB is the downtrend in the holdings of Shiba Inu whales. Santiment data shows these whales have continued to offload their coins amid the meme coin’s underperformance. These whales refer to those holding 10 million coins and above. Notably, they account for over 98% of the meme coin’s total supply. This also explains why there have been more exchange inflows than outflows, highlighting the fact that there is currently more supply than demand. On September 5, the exchange inflows were 73.73 billion SHIB while the outflows were 46.25 billion coins. Meanwhile, supply on exchanges remains sideways, with whales choosing to offload their coins and stay on the sidelines rather than actively buying the dip. SHIB Bulls Eye New ATH Shiba Inu bulls are eyeing a new all-time high for the meme coin despite its underperformance this year. Crypto analyst Javon Marks has also fuelled the bullish outlook for the SHIB price, predicting that it could record a rally of over 500%, which would bring it close to its current ATH of $0.00008845. In an X post, Marks said that Shiba Inu has confirmed a bullish pattern in a regular bull divergence with the MACD Histogram. He explained that this suggests that the SHIB price is about to record a major bullish reversal to the upside, which can include a move of over 163% back into the $0.00003 range. The crypto analyst further remarked that this move may only be the start. He stated that the 163% move could be part of an over 570% run to the $0.000081 breakout target if the Shiba Inu price continues to hold well broken out of an older structure. At the time of writing, the Shiba Inu price is trading at around $0.00001230, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. -
SUI Breakout Structure Builds – Can The Bulls Push Past $3.50?
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After a period of consolidation, SUI’s price action has finally tightened, forming a bullish structure that has analysts on high alert. With a clear foundation for an upward move now in place, all eyes are on the pivotal $3.50 resistance level. Presently, speculations are whether the bulls can summon enough momentum to push past this key hurdle, potentially unlocking a new phase of growth for SUI. Market Structure Strengthens For The Next Wave Up CryptoPulse, in his recent SUI analysis posted on X, highlighted how the token tapped perfectly into the $3.30 support zone. As anticipated, buyers quickly defended this zone, stepping in with strong momentum that signaled the market’s readiness to shift upward. This reaction not only confirmed $3.30 as a critical support level but also reinforced the growing confidence among bulls. He explained that the strong bounce from this support has allowed him to position long, with the expectation of riding the next wave of upward momentum. The renewed upward pressure suggests that traders and investors alike are beginning to align with the bullish narrative. If this momentum sustains, SUI could continue building a healthy structure, forming the foundation needed for higher price targets. Looking ahead, CryptoPulse stated that his targets remain set above the $5 mark, underscoring the potential for significant upside if the breakout structure plays out as anticipated. With such a bullish move, SUI could be on track for one of its strongest rallies in months. SUI Recovers From Major Support Zone BitGuru, in an update on X, pointed out that SUI was trading around the $3.28 mark at the time of the post. This comes after the token managed to recover from recent lows where it tested a major support level, showing resilience from buyers who stepped in at a critical point. He explained that the ability of buyers to sustain this momentum will be key to shaping the next move. If bullish pressure holds steady, SUI could advance toward the $3.50–$3.55 resistance zone, an area that may serve as the next major test for the market. A successful breakout above this range could strengthen the case for a broader upside rally. On the other hand, BitGuru stressed the importance of the $3.20 level, which is acting as a key downside protection zone. Should the price fail to maintain strength above this threshold, it would expose the market to renewed selling pressure. However, the market sentiment presently appears cautiously optimistic as SUI continues to hold its recovery momentum. -
Trump-Tied Thumzup Raises $50M, Merges Dogecoin Mining With XRP Plans
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According to a shareholder letter, Thumzup Media completed a $50 million common stock offering at $10 per share and laid out a two-part plan: expand into Dogecoin mining and put selected cryptocurrencies into a corporate treasury. Thumzup Raises $50 Million The new cash will help fund a pending acquisition of Dogehash Technologies, a deal that calls for Thumzup to issue 30.7 million shares to Dogehash shareholders. Once the transaction closes, the mining firm is set to be renamed Dogehash Technologies Holdings and is expected to trade on Nasdaq under the XDOG ticker. Part of the raised money will buy 1,000 mining machines, company officials said. Dogecoin Mining Push Reports have disclosed that Thumzup described the mining effort as aggressive. The move ties mining assets and capital markets together in one package. Some details remain unclear. For example, the timetable for renaming and listing, and the exact delivery schedule for the 1,000 rigs, were not spelled out in the letter. Still, the plan is in motion and will be watched closely by investors. XRP Included In Corporate Treasury Beyond rigs and a Nasdaq plan, Thumzup said its board has approved building a diversified crypto treasury that will include XRP. Other assets named were Dogecoin, Solana, Ethereum, Litecoin and stablecoin USDC. No firm numbers were given on how much of any token will be held. What was revealed is that this treasury plan follows earlier cryptocurrency buys: Thumzup invested $1 million in Bitcoin in January and then made an additional $1 million purchase later that month. Companies Adding XRP To Reserves Based on reports from other firms, Thumzup is not alone. Webus International announced a $300 million XRP treasury plan in June. VivoPower, which raised $121 million from investors that include Saudi backers, has also discussed using part of that funding to hold XRP. Trident Digital has said it intends to build a $500 million XRP reserve. Those moves are being watched by market participants because they change how some firms think about holding crypto on their balance sheets. Investors will look for three items. First, whether the Dogehash deal closes and the 30.7 million-share exchange is completed. Second, the actual delivery and deployment of the 1,000 mining units. Third, any filings or announcements that show how much crypto Thumzup will place into its treasury and when those purchases occur. The company framed its strategy as consistent with US President Donald Trump’s stated support for boosting American crypto activity, a political point that the firm used in the shareholder letter. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView