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In his latest daily technical outlook, Cryptowzrd highlighted that Bitcoin closed the day with a gravestone doji, while holding above a critical level. According to the analysis, more bullish candles are needed to sustain momentum and push the price toward the $120,000 resistance, especially as the market contends with ongoing fundamental pressures. Fundamentals Support Bitcoin Despite Weak NFP Print Cryptowzrd highlighted that the daily candle of Bitcoin closed indecisively, signaling uncertainty as the market evaluates its next move. Despite this indecision, BTC remains above the crucial $110,500 level, which continues to serve as a strong support zone. This level remains critical in determining whether bullish momentum can be sustained in the short term. The analyst noted that Bitcoin has maintained its bullish edge even in the face of a lower-than-expected NFP print, triggered by fundamental commentary. This development suggests that broader market sentiment is still supportive of BTC, and technical strength is being reinforced by macroeconomic factors. From a weekly perspective, traditional markets have closed on a bullish note, adding further support to Bitcoin’s potential upside. However, a series of consecutive bullish daily candles is needed to solidify confidence in a rally toward the $120,000 resistance level. Without this confirmation, the market could remain in a holding pattern, leaving room for volatility and short-term swings. On the downside, he cautioned that if Bitcoin breaks below the $110,500 level by mid-week, it could open the door for a deeper correction, potentially testing the $100,000 support zone. Such a move would shift market dynamics, increasing selling pressure and creating strategic opportunities for traders to position for short-term downside plays. Over the weekend, Cryptowzrd will be closely monitoring lower-time frame charts to identify actionable scalp opportunities while ensuring that the current position above $110,500 remains secure. Intraday Volatility Driven By NFP And Market Fundamentals Concluding his analysis, the analyst highlighted that the intraday chart of BTC has been volatile, influenced by recent fundamental commentary and the lower-than-expected NFP print. This volatility reflects the market’s uncertainty, as traders weigh both technical and macroeconomic factors. He noted that a decisive move above $113,200 would signal stronger bullish momentum, potentially pushing Bitcoin higher and helping to secure the current position. Such a breakout signals that buyers are regaining control of the market. On the other hand, a drop below $110,400 could open the door for additional downside. For now, the analyst plans to wait patiently for the market to form a more mature trade setup before taking the next actionable position.

Ethereum (ETH) has just made history with a development that could reshape its market trajectory. For the first time, the Ethereum exchange balance has turned negative, meaning more tokens are being withdrawn from trading platforms than deposited. This structural shift in supply dynamics has analysts labeling it a key bullish signal for the market’s next rally. Ethereum Exchange Balance = Negative Crypto market expert Cas Abbe shared a new report showing that Ethereum’s exchange flux has slipped into the negative territory for the first time on record. He suggests that the latest development could be bullish for ETH, as it signals reduced selling pressure and growing investor confidence. Historically, the exchange balance metric has served as one of the clearest indicators of investor behavior. When balances rise, it typically signals mounting selling pressure, as traders move coins for liquidation purposes. Conversely, when they fall, it indicates that coins are being withdrawn into private wallets, which are less likely to be sold. The analyst’s chart illustrates a sharp and accelerating drop in Ethereum’s exchange balances over the past few years, culminating in this historic low. Billions worth of ETH have been removed from centralized platforms, coinciding with the asset’s advance toward a target above $5,500. This indicates a clear reduction in liquid supply during already heightened demand. According to Abbe, the importance of this decline cannot be overstated. He noted that market tops in crypto generally occur after inflows spike back into these centralized platforms, not when balances are draining to new lows. In other words, Ethereum may not be positioned for a sell-off but for accumulation. As selling pressure subsides, long-term holders exert greater control over supply, creating conditions for potentially strong upward price momentum. If history is any guide, Abbe suggests that the shrinking exchange balance could set the stage for Ethereum’s next leg up. Analyst Sets $7,000 As ETH’s Next Target While Ethereum’s exchange supply hits uncharted lows, technical analysts like Crypto Goos are increasingly bullish on its price. The market expert announced in a post on X that ETH has officially broken out of a long-term wedge pattern, which has constrained price action since 2021. The accompanying chart illustrates ETH finally piercing through resistance after years of sideways trading. Crypto Goos points to the breakout level around $3,600, and with Ethereum now trading significantly above it, the move appears confirmed. Although Ethereum has experienced a number of price swings in the past few weeks, Crypto Goos remains confident that it can reach a new all-time high soon. The analyst’s projection from the wedge breakout targets the $7,000 region, representing a potential upside of about 62% from current price levels above $4,300. Should momentum persist, the cryptocurrency could extend even beyond the $7,000 milestone. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a moderate price rebound last week, rallying to around $113,000 before witnessing a minor setback. The crypto market leader now trades near the $111,000 price level and stands 10.46% away from its all-time high. Meanwhile, recent data from blockchain analytics firm CryptoQuant has highlighted an intriguing trend in the accumulating activity of Bitcoin treasuries. Bitcoin Treasury Holdings Hit 840K In 2025 In a weekly report posted on September 5, CryptoQuant reports that Bitcoin treasury holdings by public and private companies have reached a new record of 840,000 BTC in 2025, representing the overwhelming institutional interest seen in the present market cycle. However, beneath this headline milestone lies a stark, cautious shift in market dynamics. Notably, monthly purchases have slowed dramatically, raising questions about the sustainability of corporate demand for Bitcoin. Through combined efforts with bitcointreasuries.net.data, CryptoQuant has discovered that Strategy, being the most aggressive institutional accumulator of Bitcoin, has sharply reduced its buying pace by 97% over the last 12 months. Notably, after acquiring an all-time high of 134,000 BTC in November 2024, the Saylor-led company’s purchases dropped to just 3,700 BTC in August 2025. While other Bitcoin treasuries have stepped in more cautiously, adding 14,800 BTC in August compared to Strategy’s relatively small 3,700 BTC buy, their volumes remain far below the peaks seen earlier in 2025. Notably, these other companies had produced a temporary surge in early 2025, recording a 66,000 BTC all-time high purchase in January, which has clearly faded following their August reports. Notably, all this data indicates that while total holdings are at record levels, the flow of new institutional money appears to be drying up. Bitcoin Price Overview At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $110,942, up by 0.48% over the past 24 hours. Daily trading volume has also increased by 4.56% to $61.05 billion, indicating steady market activity. However, the cryptocurrency faces headwinds, with a 3.76% monthly loss underscoring its fragile momentum. The next key resistance level sits near $113,700, a zone that has already proven difficult to break on two separate occasions over the past month. Meanwhile, with Bitcoin price direction largely uncertain, CryptoQuant’s report suggests corporate treasuries appear hesitant to allocate further capital at scale, preferring smaller, more conservative purchases. This behavior signals that while the narrative of Bitcoin as a treasury reserve asset persists, incremental demand growth is slowing. In addition, it raises significant concerns about the potential behavior of these treasury companies during the much-anticipated crypto winter.

Bitcoin has held up strongly compared to the companies that have adopted it as part of their treasury strategy, but the gap between the digital asset and these firms is becoming more pronounced. Over the last 10 weeks, stocks of Bitcoin Treasury Companies (BTCTCs) have fallen sharply, shedding between 50% and 80% of their value. This divergence shows an unusual pattern, effectively creating a “1:4 ratio” in cycle behavior. 12 Mini-Bear Markets In 18 Months Bitcoin’s price action in the past 18 months has mostly been in a bullish cycle on the macro end, with the leading cryptocurrency creating new price highs upon new price highs within this period. This has caused an increase in many companies adopting a Bitcoin treasury strategy in their balance books, also known as Bitcoin Treasury Companies (BTCTCs). However, according to data from crypto commentator Mark Moss, the stock prices of companies with a Bitcoin strategy have diverged from Bitcoin, shedding between 50% and 80% of their stock value over the last ten weeks. This divergence, Moss noted, shows an unusual 1:4 cycle ratio where corporate Bitcoin holders undergo four mini-cycles for every one Bitcoin market cycle. The Japanese firm MetaPlanet is the prime case study for this occurrence. Over the last 18 months, its stock ($MTPLF) has gone through 12 distinct drawdowns, ranging from sharp single-day plunges to prolonged declines stretching over months. On average, these downturns erased 32.4% of value and lasted about 20 days. The shortest correction was a brutal one-day slide of 22.2% in April 2024, while the longest and deepest crash lasted 119 days from July to November 2024, wiping out 78.6%. The chart below, of MetaPlanet’s stock, shows repeated selloff cycles that appear far more compressed and extreme than Bitcoin’s price corrections in the past 18 months or so. MetaPlanet Stock Price: Mark Moss on X Correlation With Bitcoin? Interestingly, only 41.7% of MetaPlanet’s drawdowns have directly lined up with Bitcoin’s corrections. Out of the 12 mini-bear markets identified, just 5 occurred in sync with BTC’s declines. The majority (7 out of 12) were unrelated to Bitcoin and were instead caused by company-specific factors. According to Moss, these factors include warrant exercises, fundraising activities, and compression of the Bitcoin premium that MetaPlanet trades at compared to its BTC holdings. The two most severe drawdowns, however, did overlap with Bitcoin volatility. The -78.6% collapse in late 2024 and a -54.4% drawdown both coincided with periods when Bitcoin itself was undergoing corrections. These overlapping events suggest that while BTC volatility sometimes adds to the drawdown, MetaPlanet’s stock selloffs tend to extend beyond Bitcoin downturns. Essentially, what this means is that instead of BTC 4-year cycles, BTCTCs are now more like 4 cycles in 1 year. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is in a correction phase and is struggling to hold above the $110,000 support level. Popular BTCTC stocks are also struggling with downtrends alongside Bitcoin. Strategy’s stock is down 37.1% from its 52-week high, while MetaPlanet is down 58.6%. Others, like The Smarter Web Company PLC (-83.6%) and The Blockchain Group (-70.7%), are at greater losses. BTCTC Stock Prices: BitcoinTreasuries Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

The Bitcoin price has enjoyed some level of resurgence over the past week, starting from below $108,000 to as high as $113,000. However, the premier cryptocurrency’s progress hit a stumbling block following the release of weaker-than-expected United States payrolls data on Friday, September 5. Despite the bearish pressure triggered by the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) release, the price of Bitcoin managed to stay above the psychological $110,000 level. Interestingly, the latest analysis suggests that the latest job data could guide the Bitcoin price to a new high. Macro Shift To Kickstart Next BTC Price Rally? In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, market analysis firm XWIN Research Japan explained how weak labor data in the US could see the Bitcoin price embark on its next bullish wave. According to the analytics firm, history shows a paradox despite rising unemployment often linked to weak performances by risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. XWIN mentioned that on-chain stablecoin data offers insight into how this “macro story” could unfold, especially in relation to the cryptocurrency market. The crypto trading firm then highlighted two “distinct waves of activity” that establish the connection between unemployment and crypto market positioning. In the first wave (between late 2024 and early 2025), investors expected the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates as the labor market weakness first emerged. Capital flowed into exchanges with the surge in stablecoin reserves from $30 billion to $50 billion, showing the investors’ preparedness for a macroeconomic shift. The second wave (from mid-2025 to present) has seen unemployment rising again. Similarly, stablecoin exchange reserves recently hit $58.5 billion, while depositing addresses have frequently surpassed 30,000 BTC, with highs near 40,000 BTC. “This isn’t just accumulation—it reflects broader participation, from whales to retail, mobilizing funds in anticipation of easier policy,” XWIN added. According to XWIN, the thinking is that the rising unemployment in the United States could be linked to stronger expectations of Fed rate cuts. With more capital stored in stablecoins on exchanges, ready to buy more coins, the weak jobs data could be the foundation for a fresh rally for Bitcoin. Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $110,780, reflecting no significant changes in the past 24 hours. According to data from CoinGecko, the market leader is up by almost 3% in the last seven days.

New updates have been made to Ripple’s XRP Ledger (XRPL) as the network looks to dominate and gain more traction. This is also a positive for XRP, which serves as the network’s bridge currency. Ripple’s XRP Ledger Gets A New Update In an X post, XRP validator Vet revealed that the credentials amendment on the XRP Ledger is now active. He explained that credentials can be applied to attest to compliance requirements, such as KYC and AML, for a user or institution and issued to their decentralized identity. This helps to further build trust in the network. Vet also noted that the amendment has all been done natively on the XRP Ledger. Notably, this update is part of a larger move to enable compliance amendments on the network. With decentralized identities and credentials implemented, Vet indicated that their next focus is to work on the permissioned domains and permissioned DEX. Ripple and other XRP Ledger stakeholders aim to utilize these compliance amendments to attract more institutions to the network, enabling them to adhere to traditional finance (TradFi) standards even on-chain. This also comes as the network aims to become the go-to for tokenization. Ripple recently stated that 10% of global assets will become tokenized by 2030, and is undoubtedly looking to tap into this trillion-dollar market. Ripple Engineer Breaks Down Significance Of This Update In an X post, Ripple engineer Kenny explained that the credentials update gives developers and businesses a way to handle identity checks and compliance requirements directly on the XRP Ledger. With these, they do not need to approve each account one by one manually. The Ripple engineer noted that traditionally, verifying user credentials like KYC requires multiple checks across different platforms. Kenny remarked that this process isn’t only inefficient but also increases privacy risks because sensitive information has to be shared multiple times. As such, this makes the XRP Ledger credentials update vital. The Ripple engineer revealed that this feature enables credentials to be issued, stored, and verified natively on the XRPL. He noted the benefits of how this allows users to prove a required criterion without undergoing repeated verification. Kenny also stated that this will improve the onboard process and enhance security, while maintaining privacy. The Ripple engineer further gave an example of what a typical flow will look like using this credentials feature. A business will define the credentials it requires, such as the KYC, then a trusted issuer creates and signs that credential. The user then accepts and stores these credentials in their XRP Ledger account. That way, the credential is checked on-chain whenever the user interacts with the business. At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $2.83, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Highlights include US CPI, BLS revisions, ECB, OPEC, French No Confidence Vote, Chinese Inflation & Trade, Japanese GDP, Apple Event Worldviews Newsquawk Week Ahead: Highlights 8th – 12th September 2025 MON: Japanese GDP (Q2), German Industrial Output (Jul), EZ Sentix Index (Sep), US Employment Trends (Aug), Chinese Trade Balance (Aug), French no-confidence vote TUE: UN General Assembly (Iran focus likely), Apple Event, BLS Prelim Benchmark Revisions WED: Chinese Inflation (Aug), Swedish Monthly GDP (Jul), Norwegian CI (Aug), US PPI (Aug) THU: ECB Announcement, CBRT Announcement, Swedish CPIF (Aug), US CPI (Aug) FRI: CBR Announcement, Japanese Industrial Output (Jul), German CPI Final (Aug), UK GDP (Jul), French Final CPI (Aug), Spanish Final CPI (Aug), US University of Michigan Prelim (Sep) OPEC (SUN) OPEC-8 will meet on Sunday, 7th September, to possibly discuss starting the unwind of the 1.65mln BPD tranche of cuts, marking a shift from plans to keep these specific curbs until end-2026. Sources on September 3rd suggested OPEC+ is reportedly mulling another oil production hike at Sundayʼs meeting. This is in contrast to initial expectations that the group of eight will maintain its production policy. Russian Deputy PM Novak clarified that OPEC-8 are not discussing production increase now, and no agenda has been set for the upcoming OPEC+ meeting yet. Novak added that current market conditions and forecasts are to be considered. Bloomberg According to delegates cited by Bloomberg, the group would consider all output options. Bloomberg since reported that Saudi Arabia wants OPEC+ to speed up its next oil production increase. No decision has been made, and itʼs not clear whether any increase would be agreed as soon as Sunday or only in later months, but a range of options remains possible, including a pause for a period. Argus Delegates cited by Argus suggest that if a hike were to go ahead, “they expect a cautious approach, maintaining the flexibility to increase, pause, reduce or even reverse policy on a month-to-month basis.” It’s worth noting that members are to conduct a call on Saturday to discuss options; thus, all sources beforehand are to be taken with a pinch of salt. Furthermore, doubts remain over some countries’ ability to raise production further, such as Kazakhstan, which has been producing near maximum capacity. Argus media citing delegates, floated a potential plan for the unwind of the 1.65mln BPD tranche of production cuts: A 12- month phased unwinding is being considered, which would imply ~137,000 BPD added each month. Actual monthly increments may be as low as 60,000–70,000 BPD, per delegate sources, amid some countries’ ability to raise production further. “The impact will be minimal,” said a delegate, estimating actual additions at 00,000–800,000 BPD at best. JAPANESE GDP (MON) GDP Q/Q is expected to be unrevised at 0.3% (prev. 0.3%). The growth seen in the flash release was primarily driven by strong business investment and a significant rebound in net exports, which countered a negative contribution from inventories. However, the data may prove to be stale amid the ongoing impact of US tariffs. This month, US President Trump signed an Executive Order to officially implement the US-Japan trade deal in which the US will apply a baseline 15% tariff on nearly all Japanese imports, although Japan’s top trade negotiator, Akazawa, noted the amended executive order does not mention mostfavoured-nation treatment for pharma and chips, and will continue to push for the treatment. Analysts at ING suggest “Japanʼs second-quarter GDP likely remained near the flash estimate of 0.3% quarter-on-quarter growth. Meanwhile, the August producer price index is projected to rise to 2.7% YoY, indicating continued pipeline price pressures.” CHINESE TRADE BALANCE (MON) There are currently no forecasts for the trade balance data. Analysts at ING “donʼt expect major surprises from Chinaʼs August trade data in light of the extension of the US-China trade war truce, which kept tariffs at the status quo. Export growth could slow to around 3.8% year on year, while imports could continue to pick up to around 6.2% YoY, thanks to base effects from 2024.” Note, there have been no significant US-China trade developments since last month. FRENCH NO CONFIDENCE VOTE (MON) French PM Bayrou will be subject to a confidence vote in relation to his fiscal plans. A vote he is, barring an 11th-hour update, almost certain to lose. Thereafter, President Macron has a handful of options open to him. Firstly, and his clear preference, he could appoint a new PM who would need to retain support from the central bloc and court parties on the Left. A potential candidate for this would be Finance Minister Lombard, given his relations with the Socialists; though, it remains to be seen if the groups can work together and pass meaningful fiscal change. Alternatively, or if this option fails, Macron could call fresh legislative elections. However, polling suggests the fractured political landscape would not change significantly, and this option runs the risk of a strong National Rally (RN) showing, which would leave Macron as President over an RN PM, likely Bardella. Given all of this, the outcome of the confidence vote is likely to be a continuation or extension of the current political uncertainty. As such, the bias for OAT-Bund 10yr yield spread is for further widening, though the fall of Bayrou himself is likely priced at this point. The major catalysts post-vote will be Macronʼs next PM candidate and then Fitch on Friday. Currently, Fitch has France at AA-, negative. Note, while Macron has made clear he has no intention of resigning ahead of his term ending around April 2027, further failed PM appointments and new legislative elections will increase the pressure on him to do so, and any movement towards an early exit would undoubtedly push spreads significantly wider. Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days UN GENERAL ASSEMBLY (TUE) At the 80th UN General Assembly on 9th September, Iran will face heightened diplomatic scrutiny amid renewed tensions over its nuclear programme. In late August, the UK, France, and Germany (E3) initiated the “snapback” mechanism to reinstate all UN sanctions within 30 days, citing Iranʼs non-compliance with the 2015 nuclear deal and IAEA access restrictions. Tehran has called the move “illegal and unjustified,” while signalling a conditional willingness to resume “fair and balanced” talks—provided the West shows good faith. On July 21st, A senior Iranian lawmaker warned that Tehran could halt its regional maritime security cooperation, including in the Strait of Hormuz, if European powers move to reimpose UN sanctions through the so-called snapback mechanism. On the Israel-Palestine situation, several countries have signalled their intention to recognise a Palestinian state at the UN General Assembly. This momentum, which includes prominent Western nations, is a response to the ongoing conflict in Gaza and aims to pressure Israel to commit to a peace process and de-escalate the humanitarian crisis. It is important to remember that it does not grant Palestine full UN membership. That would require approval from the Security Council, where the US has previously used its veto power to block the measure APPLE EVENT (TUES) Appleʼs latest iPhone event is on Tuesday, September 9th, with JPMorgan noting that expectations have historically been for limited surprises from the fall iPhone launch event. Regarding Apple itself, expectations around the big-tech behemoth have been limited recently as it continues to seemingly fall behind in the AI race, with Meta continuing to nick some of its top AI talent. Highlighting the underwhelming expectations surrounding Apple this year, only Tesla in the mag-7 is performing worse, with Apple down 4.3% YTD. Back to the iPhone launch event, Morgan Stanley expects them to modestly hike iPhone 17 prices, its first hike since 2017. The iPhone 17 Air will debut with a thinner design, C1 modem, and a USD 100 premium over the iPhone 16 Plus, while the Pro will start at USD 1,099 for 256GB as lower-storage options are dropped. A new 1TB Air will launch at USD 1,399. Morgan Stanley sees the changes boosting average selling prices 5% in FY26, well above consensus, and does not expect demand to be impacted. MS adds that the event will also unveil new Apple Watches and AirPods, though no major Apple Intelligence updates are anticipated, which is something investors are closely watching. JPM In relation to the opportunity for surprises from the event, JPM sees two key aspects that could set up for upsides through the next FY, including: 1) The launch of iPhone Air could appeal to a broader than anticipated consumer demographic. 2) Pricing for iPhone Air as well as the rest of the lineup; JPM believes pricing will play a particularly strong role in demand in the China market, where smartphones priced under CNY 6,000 (~ USD 840) qualify for a 15% discount. Finally, while expectations for iPhone Air volumes have diminished in recent months with the feedback from the supply chain that Apple is largely planning for ~10-15mln units in H2, but JPM adds there remains room for surprises from better consumer reception. BLS PRELIM BENCHMARK REVISIONS (TUE) The BLS will release the preliminary 2025 benchmark revisions to the establishment survey at 10:00EDT/15:00BST on September 9th, 2025. The final revisions will follow in February 2026, alongside the January employment situation report. Each year, establishment survey estimates are benchmarked to comprehensive counts of employment from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) for the month of March, derived from state unemployment insurance (UI) tax records that nearly all employers are required to file. Bank of America notes that the preliminary estimate is based on QCEW data covering April 2024–March 2025. Importantly, the September release will provide only the implied revision to the March 2025 level of payrolls, with no historical data yet updated. The desk expects a downward revision of 500k to 1mln, implying that payrolls as of March 2025 may have been overstated by 40k–85k per month on average over the April 2024–March 2025 period. BofA also highlights that revisions for April–December 2025, which matter most for the Fed, will only be available with the final benchmark in February 2026. For context, the March 2024 nonfarm employment level was ultimately revised down by –598k in the final benchmark, compared with a preliminary estimate of –818k CHINESE INFLATION (WED) There are currently no forecasts for the upcoming Chinese inflation report. Julyʼs CPI registered flat year-on-year, slightly better than the –0.1% drop in June, while core inflation (excluding food and fuel) rose to 0.8%, its highest in 17 months. Analysts suggest structural headwinds, such as the prolonged property downturn and subdued consumer confidence, are restraining any meaningful inflation rebound. While authorities have stepped up targeted stimulus, there is a view among desks that inflationary momentum is likely to stay muted, with risks tilted towards persistent disinflation through year-end. Analysts at ING suggest “August inflation data, to be released on Wednesday, could show price pressures dipped back into negative territory at around -0.1% YoY after coming in at zero in July.” NORWEGIAN CPI (WED) There is currently no newswire consensus for the upcoming August inflation report, but taking a look at SEB’s predictions, the bank sees CPI-ATE to remain stable at 3.1%, citing higher food prices. As a reminder, the last inflation report mostly printed just above expectations; CPI-ATE Y/Y came in at 3.1% (exp. 3%) but in line with Norges Bankʼs own forecast. As such, Norges Bank opted to keep its rates steady at 4.25%, and highlighted that it will likely be appropriate to continue with a cautious normalisation of the policy rate ahead. Nonetheless, the Bank remained cautious, suggesting that if the rate is lowered too quickly, inflation could remain above target for too long. Into the next meeting, should the August report continue to show inflation moderating, then Norges Bank may opt to cut rates by 25bps in September; As it stands, SEB, ING and GS all see Norges Bank delivering a quarter-point reduction at that meeting. Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days ECB ANNOUNCEMENT (THU) 66/69 of those surveyed by Reuters expect the ECB to hold the Deposit Rate at 2.0% with markets assigning a 99% chance of such an outcome. As a reminder, the prior meeting saw the ECB stand pat on rates with President Lagarde reiterating that policy remains in a good place, suggesting that policymakers are not in a rush to adjust policy. Since Julyʼs confab, the EU and US have formalised their trade agreement, which will see most EU goods subject to a 15% tariff vs. the initially threatened 30% level. On the data slate, Q2 growth was resilient in the face of trade tensions. S&P Global More timely survey data from S&P Global saw the composite PMI metric move further into expansionary territory with the pace of expansion ticking up to a one-year high. On the inflation front, August Y/Y HICP rose to 2.1% from 2.0% and the super-core metric held steady at 2.3%. As such, there is little cause for policymakers to loosen policy at this meeting. Moving forward, there is clearly a split of views on the Governing Council, with the doves on the board, such as Finlandʼs Rehn, flagging the likelihood of greater downside risks to inflation. However, the hawks on the GC, such as Germanyʼs Schnabel, are of the view that rates are already mildly accommodative, and do not see a reason for a further rate cut, adding that global rate hikes may come earlier than people think. Market Pricing Market pricing sees a roughly 50% chance of a rate cut by March next year. Given the lack of fireworks expected within the policy statement, markets may be guided more by the accompanying macro projections, with focus on the 2026 inflation forecast, which is currently expected to come in materially below the Bankʼs 2% target at 1.6%. On the projections, consensus looks for an upgrade to the 2026 inflation view to 1.9% with growth to be held at 1.1%. During the press conference, President Lagarde will likely be asked about any potential backstops for French debt depending on the outcome of Mondayʼs confidence vote. The Transmission Protection Instrument (TPI) is the main tool at the ECBʼs disposal. However, deployment appears to be some way off yet, absent a material rise in spreads CBRT ANNOUNCEMENT (THU) The CBRT is expected to lower rates by 200bps at its September meeting, according to analysts at both JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs. This follows on from a hotter-than-expected inflation report in August, which saw the headline M/M rise 2.04% (exp. 1.79%); Y/Y printed at 32.95% (exp. 32.60%) – nonetheless, metrics did cool from the prior. Inflation aside, GDP metrics for Q2 were resilient, and continued TRY depreciation will further complicate things at the Bank. On the latter, Turkish assets were slapped after a court in Istanbul ruled to remove local officials of the Republican Peopleʼs Party, which is the main opposition party to the current government. Bloomberg economist Baziki said that given the weakening TRY and rising energy costs, risks to inflation are “tilted to the upside”. Analysts at JPMorgan echo this. As such, the bank sees the CBRT cutting rates by 200bps at the September meeting (prev. saw 300bps cut); JPM then see a further 200bps reduction in both October and November, taking the policy rate down to 37% by year-end (prev. saw 36%). Analysts conclude that the policy rate will be kept above headline CPI to “prevent dollarisation among Turkish residents”. GS writes that “With Q2 GDP growth far surpassing expectations— despite weaker domestic demand—and August inflation coming in higher than forecast”, they see a smaller cut than that delivered at the prior meeting. US CPI (THU) The consensus expects US headline CPI to rise by +0.3% M/M in August (prev. +0.2%), while the core rate is also seen rising by +0.3% M/M (prev. +0.3%); analysts think the data will be driven by higher goods prices. Analysts will be watching the data for signs of any further tariff pass-through; Barclays expects core goods prices to entirely drive the upside acceleration, stating that “a widespread boost to core goods prices has not been borne out in the data as of yet, but there are clear signs of upward price pressures across categories,” and the bank looks for this to become more evident in coming months as firms increase imports amid falling inventories. In terms of the policy implications, Barclays is in line with market pricing, expecting the Fed to lower rates by 25bps at its September 17th confab, particularly after Fed Chair Powell’s dovish pivot at Jackson Hole in July. The CPI data and the August jobs data will be used to refine expectations. The August NFP report ultimately was soft, falling to 22k from an upwardly revised 79k, well below the 75k forecast and even beneath the lowest breakeven estimate members at the Fed have provided (Musalem suggested it is between 30-80k). Including revisions, three of the last four months have been below the breakeven rate, with the June print falling into negative territory. The unemployment rate also ticked up to 4.3% from 4.2% (in line with expectations). The report has cemented expectations for a 25bps rate cut,with money markets fully pricing in such a move. Barclays wrote before the jobs report that “absent firm employment numbers, an acceleration in core inflation alone would likely not make the bar for a hold” UK GDP (FRI) Expectations are for M/M GDP growth in July of 0.1% vs. the June print of 0.4%, leaving the Q2 Q/Q outturn at 0.3% vs. the 0.7% pace seen in Q1. At the time, ING judged that when you dig through the data, it wasnʼt as impressive as it first appeared, noting that “much of the growth was generated by government consumption, which the ONS puts down to a greater number of vaccinations, something that isnʼt indicative of underlying economic performance”. ING added that “itʼs worth not reading too much into these figures – and the Bank of England certainly isnʼt doing that”. For the upcoming report, Investec expects momentum to have carried through into July, but at a lesser rate. The desk adds that the service sector is likely to have been bolstered by sunny weather and the Oasis tour, although the impact of the doctors’ strike could act as an offsetting force. Elsewhere, the desk is optimistic on manufacturing output, which is the dominant input into industrial production. Investec notes that a consensus outcome would “set the stage for a fairly solid Q3 for GDP growth”. The desk has pencilled in a 0.4% Q/Q forecast. From a policy perspective, such an outcome would provide some respite for the Treasury and more reason for caution on the MPC. Copyright © 2025 Newsquawk Voice Limited. All rights reserved. Registered Office One Love Lane, London, EC2V 7JN, United Kingdom · Registered Number 12020774 · Registered in England and Wales. newsquawk.com · +44 20 3582 2778 · info@newsquawk.com Get the Latest Trading News and Trading Ideas Global-view.com The post Newsquawk Week Ahead: Highlights 8th – 12th September 2025 appeared first on Forex Trading Forum.

After a strong start in August, the SUI price struggled to build on its momentum in the second half of the month. The altcoin’s price crashed from a local high of above $4.1, reaching around $3.2 to start the new month of September. However, the SUI price seems to have found a new lease on life in the past week, increasing by over 4% in the last seven days. Interestingly, the SUI token appears to only be at the beginning of what could be a journey to a new all-time high. Analyst Predicts SUI To Grow 110% Based On Chart Pattern In a September 5 post on social media platform X, prominent crypto analyst Ali Martinez shared that it might be time for investors to start loading their bags with SUI tokens. According to the online pundit, the SUI price just bounced back from a level that could see travel to a new high around $7. This prediction is based on the appearance of an ascending triangle pattern on the daily Bitcoin chart. The ascending triangle is a technical analysis pattern that features an inverse right-angled triangle with a horizontal upper boundary (connecting a series of lower highs) and a diagonal rising lower trendline (connecting the swing lows). An ascending triangle formation is typically considered a bullish chart pattern, signaling the continuation of the initial upward trend. Nevertheless, this chart pattern can also be viewed as a trend reversal pattern and a bearish sign—usually when the asset’s price breaches below the lower trendline and in the opposite direction of the initial uptrend. As shown in the highlighted chart, the SUI price did make a move for the lower trendline before bouncing back around the $3.1 level. The altcoin, which seemingly found a major support around this price level, looks set to break the upper horizontal trendline of the triangle. While Martinez still expects the SUI price to retest the lower trendline one more time before breaking out of this pattern, the final target for the altcoin is set around the $7 mark. The price target for an ascending triangle pattern is usually calculated by adding the vertical distance between the horizontal and lower trendlines to the breakout point. Going by this method, Martinez puts the target for the SUI at over 110% from the current price point and 30% from the all-time high of $5.8. SUI Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of SUI stands at around $3.38, reflecting an over 2% jump in the past 24 hours.

Bitcoin prices have dipped by over 10% since establishing a new all-time high (ATH) of $124,457 on August 14. As with all previous retracements after a new ATH, this recent correction has sparked much speculation on the market peak price. The Bitcoin Decay Channel, a market prediction model, has provided insights into the potential market top price zones for the present cycle. Bitcoin Decay Channel Hints At $200K–$290K Top, Tips Cycle To Extend To 2026 In an X post on September 5, a Bitcoin researcher with the X username Sminston With shares some important data from the Bitcoin Decay Channel on a potential peak price for the current market cycle. For context, the Bitcoin Decay Channel is a long-term logarithmic regression model that attempts to map Bitcoin’s price cycles, specifically its historical peaks and bottoms, within statistically derived boundaries. This pricing model shows that while Bitcoin follows boom-and-bust patterns, its growth rate decays over time as each cycle delivers smaller percentage gains than the last. Notably, data from the Bitcoin Decay channel chart shows the premier cryptocurrency is steadily climbing within the 0.05 quantile support and upper bound resistance lines, with oscillations that mark historical overheated zones. The embedded oscillator suggests BTC is not yet at a euphoric peak, leaving room for further upside before a long-term top forms. Based on more data, Sminston With explains that the present Bitcoin market cycle could see a price top between late 2025 and late 2026. If Bitcoin peaks in December 2025, the price range would sit between $205,000 and $230,000. However, should the cycle extend into 2026, projections rise incrementally, i.e. $208,000-$235,000 by Jan 2026, $219,000–$250,000 by April 2026, $230,000-$265,000 by July 2026, $243,000-$282,000 by October 2026, and as high as $250,000–$292,000 by year-end 2026. Regardless of which price top scenario, the Bitcoin Decay Channel presents a potential peak zone between $205,000 and $292,000 within the next 12-15 months. This presents a possible price gain of 86% in the base case and 167% in a bull case scenario. Bitcoin Price Outlook At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $110,900, reflecting a 0.45% price increase in the past day. Meanwhile, weekly gains are now up by 2.89% showing a moderate recovery. Interestingly, Coincodex analysts are predicting the premier cryptocurrency to maintain this rebound, rising to $121,276 in five days. With a market cap of $2.2 trillion, Bitcoin remains the largest currency and fifth largest in the world.

On-chain data shows that Shiba Inu diamond hands are holding on to their coins despite the meme coin’s underperformance in recent times. This comes as SHIB bulls eye a new all-time high (ATH), with the meme coin potentially reaching $0.00009. Shiba Inu Holders Are Refusing To Sell Despite SHIB’s Underperformance Glassnode data shows that Shiba Inu’s holder retention rate is currently at 96%, having been on an uptrend over the last thirty days. The metric tracks the percentage of addresses that have held SHIB over the past 30 days. An uptick indicates that holders aren’t selling but instead even accumulating more coins. Furthermore, Santiment data confirms that investors are still accumulating Shiba Inu, despite SHIB’s underperformance. Notably, the number of holders have continued to rise amid the price downtrend, and there are now 1.53 million SHIB holders. This comes as the meme coin looks to hold above the psychological $0.000010 price level. However, a negative for SHIB is the downtrend in the holdings of Shiba Inu whales. Santiment data shows these whales have continued to offload their coins amid the meme coin’s underperformance. These whales refer to those holding 10 million coins and above. Notably, they account for over 98% of the meme coin’s total supply. This also explains why there have been more exchange inflows than outflows, highlighting the fact that there is currently more supply than demand. On September 5, the exchange inflows were 73.73 billion SHIB while the outflows were 46.25 billion coins. Meanwhile, supply on exchanges remains sideways, with whales choosing to offload their coins and stay on the sidelines rather than actively buying the dip. SHIB Bulls Eye New ATH Shiba Inu bulls are eyeing a new all-time high for the meme coin despite its underperformance this year. Crypto analyst Javon Marks has also fuelled the bullish outlook for the SHIB price, predicting that it could record a rally of over 500%, which would bring it close to its current ATH of $0.00008845. In an X post, Marks said that Shiba Inu has confirmed a bullish pattern in a regular bull divergence with the MACD Histogram. He explained that this suggests that the SHIB price is about to record a major bullish reversal to the upside, which can include a move of over 163% back into the $0.00003 range. The crypto analyst further remarked that this move may only be the start. He stated that the 163% move could be part of an over 570% run to the $0.000081 breakout target if the Shiba Inu price continues to hold well broken out of an older structure. At the time of writing, the Shiba Inu price is trading at around $0.00001230, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

After a period of consolidation, SUI’s price action has finally tightened, forming a bullish structure that has analysts on high alert. With a clear foundation for an upward move now in place, all eyes are on the pivotal $3.50 resistance level. Presently, speculations are whether the bulls can summon enough momentum to push past this key hurdle, potentially unlocking a new phase of growth for SUI. Market Structure Strengthens For The Next Wave Up CryptoPulse, in his recent SUI analysis posted on X, highlighted how the token tapped perfectly into the $3.30 support zone. As anticipated, buyers quickly defended this zone, stepping in with strong momentum that signaled the market’s readiness to shift upward. This reaction not only confirmed $3.30 as a critical support level but also reinforced the growing confidence among bulls. He explained that the strong bounce from this support has allowed him to position long, with the expectation of riding the next wave of upward momentum. The renewed upward pressure suggests that traders and investors alike are beginning to align with the bullish narrative. If this momentum sustains, SUI could continue building a healthy structure, forming the foundation needed for higher price targets. Looking ahead, CryptoPulse stated that his targets remain set above the $5 mark, underscoring the potential for significant upside if the breakout structure plays out as anticipated. With such a bullish move, SUI could be on track for one of its strongest rallies in months. SUI Recovers From Major Support Zone BitGuru, in an update on X, pointed out that SUI was trading around the $3.28 mark at the time of the post. This comes after the token managed to recover from recent lows where it tested a major support level, showing resilience from buyers who stepped in at a critical point. He explained that the ability of buyers to sustain this momentum will be key to shaping the next move. If bullish pressure holds steady, SUI could advance toward the $3.50–$3.55 resistance zone, an area that may serve as the next major test for the market. A successful breakout above this range could strengthen the case for a broader upside rally. On the other hand, BitGuru stressed the importance of the $3.20 level, which is acting as a key downside protection zone. Should the price fail to maintain strength above this threshold, it would expose the market to renewed selling pressure. However, the market sentiment presently appears cautiously optimistic as SUI continues to hold its recovery momentum.

According to a shareholder letter, Thumzup Media completed a $50 million common stock offering at $10 per share and laid out a two-part plan: expand into Dogecoin mining and put selected cryptocurrencies into a corporate treasury. Thumzup Raises $50 Million The new cash will help fund a pending acquisition of Dogehash Technologies, a deal that calls for Thumzup to issue 30.7 million shares to Dogehash shareholders. Once the transaction closes, the mining firm is set to be renamed Dogehash Technologies Holdings and is expected to trade on Nasdaq under the XDOG ticker. Part of the raised money will buy 1,000 mining machines, company officials said. Dogecoin Mining Push Reports have disclosed that Thumzup described the mining effort as aggressive. The move ties mining assets and capital markets together in one package. Some details remain unclear. For example, the timetable for renaming and listing, and the exact delivery schedule for the 1,000 rigs, were not spelled out in the letter. Still, the plan is in motion and will be watched closely by investors. XRP Included In Corporate Treasury Beyond rigs and a Nasdaq plan, Thumzup said its board has approved building a diversified crypto treasury that will include XRP. Other assets named were Dogecoin, Solana, Ethereum, Litecoin and stablecoin USDC. No firm numbers were given on how much of any token will be held. What was revealed is that this treasury plan follows earlier cryptocurrency buys: Thumzup invested $1 million in Bitcoin in January and then made an additional $1 million purchase later that month. Companies Adding XRP To Reserves Based on reports from other firms, Thumzup is not alone. Webus International announced a $300 million XRP treasury plan in June. VivoPower, which raised $121 million from investors that include Saudi backers, has also discussed using part of that funding to hold XRP. Trident Digital has said it intends to build a $500 million XRP reserve. Those moves are being watched by market participants because they change how some firms think about holding crypto on their balance sheets. Investors will look for three items. First, whether the Dogehash deal closes and the 30.7 million-share exchange is completed. Second, the actual delivery and deployment of the 1,000 mining units. Third, any filings or announcements that show how much crypto Thumzup will place into its treasury and when those purchases occur. The company framed its strategy as consistent with US President Donald Trump’s stated support for boosting American crypto activity, a political point that the firm used in the shareholder letter. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

XRP has drawn plenty of comparisons over the past few months, but one analyst believes the best way to understand its future is to look at Amazon’s past. Nick Anderson, better known as BULLRUNNERS on the social media platform X, says XRP is going through the same kind of consolidation Amazon faced in 2010, and it still has the potential to rally to $200. The key difference, however, is the patience investors will need before this rally can happen. Amazon’s Breakout Holds The Clues For XRP XRP’s price action in the past seven days has been highlighted by a trading range between $2.8 and $2.9. The cryptocurrency now seems stuck within this range, but it has managed to hold above $2.8 for the meantime. Interestingly, Anderson likened this consolidation move to a similar retest of a previous high by the Amazon stock (AMZN) back in 2010. In his post, Anderson highlighted how Amazon stock spent roughly 3,800 days consolidating after the dot-com crash before finally breaking past its previous high and entering a meteoric run. However, before entering into this meteoric run, it consolidated for a few months in 2010 just after breaking above its previous high during the dot-com bubble. According to Anderson, XRP’s current structure is tracing out a massive cup and handle that mirrors this exact Amazon stock setup, with the cryptocurrency now using past highs as support in the same way Amazon did. Just as Amazon transformed once it cleared resistance, Anderson believes XRP could follow a similar breakout trajectory that could eventually push its price above $100, and possibly as high as $200. Short-Term Expectations Between $5 And $30 In his assessment, Anderson noted that this predicted rally to $200 might take many years to come to fruition. Comparing today’s price of around $2.80 to Amazon’s $5 launch point before its monumental rally, this would probably be the best time for XRP investors to accumulate for the long term. For younger investors, holding XRP for the next 10 to 15 years could prove transformative, with as little as 10,000 XRP amounting to $1 million in value if the cryptocurrency eventually climbs to $100. Despite his long-term forecast, Anderson is more cautious about what XRP might achieve this cycle. He stated that while a push to $100 in the near term would be “absolutely insane”, a more realistic target for this bull run could lie between $5 and $30. After that, he expects another correction to set in before the rally resumes sometime around the end of the decade. Anderson also left room for a more explosive scenario, noting that XRP could deliver what he called a “giga rally” if liquidity rushes into the market faster than expected. This is based on the growing anticipation around the adoption of ISO 20022 by the US Federal Reserve. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $2.81. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Trading activity on Coinbase’s Base network is heating up, and meme coins are at the center of the storm. If this momentum holds, Base could see its DEX volumes surge past new milestones in 2025. Will Brett, Toshi, and Degen drive the next breakout, or will the hype fade as quickly as it came? Base is showing steady growth in decentralized finance (DeFi) activity. Data from DeFiLlama shows the daily trading volume on Base’s decentralized exchanges (DEXs) is about $1.379Bn. (Source: Base DEXs Volume, DeFiLlama) The weekly total stands near $9.75Bn, even after a 30.8% decline compared to the previous week. That level of activity makes Base the fourth-largest chain by DEX volume, behind Solana, Ethereum, and BNB Smart Chain. (Source: Chain ranked by DEX volume, DeFiLlama) Most of the trading is concentrated on a handful of platforms. Aerodrome leads with $601.8M in volume, followed by Uniswap at $489.5M and PancakeSwap at $246.2M. Fluid and Balancer also play a role in the network’s liquidity. The meme coin sector on Base is also expanding. Their combined market capitalization is roughly $1.26Bn, with daily trading volumes reaching around $91.5M. As per Coingecko data, the biggest names are Brett (BRETT), Toshi (TOSHI), and Degen (DEGEN). Brett holds a market cap of about $445M, Toshi $238M, and Degen $114M. Together, their daily volume is close to $54M. Analysts say the combination of strong infrastructure and a growing user base could set the stage for higher meme-coin activity in 2025. Because these tokens often spark surges during hype cycles, they may help push Base’s trading volumes even higher in the year ahead. DISCOVER: Top Solana Meme Coins to Buy in 2025 Top 3 Base Meme Coins to Watch in 2025 According to Tradingview, Brett (BRETT) trades at about $0.04479, with a daily volume near $32.9M and a market cap of roughly $444.6M. (Source – BRETT USDT, TradingView) It is the largest meme coin on Base and is often seen as a marker of sentiment for the broader meme-coin market on the network. Toshi (TOSHI) changes hands at around $0.0005653. It records about $10.25M in daily volume and carries a market cap of $237.8M. (Source – TOSHI USDT, TradingView) Its liquidity and growing user base make it one of the steadier tokens in Base’s meme-coin space, balancing speculation with active trading support. Degen (DEGEN) is priced close to $0.003087. It sees about $11.56M in daily trades and holds a market cap of $114.3M. (Source – DEGEN USDT, TradingView) While smaller than Brett and Toshi, Degen has an active trading community. That activity makes it highly sensitive to swings in market sentiment, creating the possibility of sharp price moves during periods of higher volatility. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 Why Base Could Be the Next Meme Coin Hub? Base is drawing attention because of its speed, low fees, and growing decentralized finance (DeFi) infrastructure. Daily trading on its decentralized exchanges (DEXs) already tops $1.3Bn, giving tokens a strong base of liquidity. With Brett, Toshi, and Degen already holding significant positions, they are likely to remain key players as 2025 approaches. Analysts point to the mix of social hype, easy access through DEXs, and steady inflows of capital as reasons why Base could become a leading platform for meme coins in the year ahead. DISCOVER: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates The post DEX Volumes Tipped to Explode On Base: 3 Best Base Meme Coins to Buy in 2025? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

Trump Media and Technology Group has completed a major cryptocurrency transaction with Crypto.com, acquiring 684.4M Cronos (CRO) tokens. Will CRO price pump in September after this deal? The deal was locked in $105M, and the agreement was confirmed on Sept. 5. Trump Media, which owns Truth Social, revealed that the deal was split between stock and cash. CRO is consolidating after a sharp move upward, now testing the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement zone at $0.266. This marks its first major support. If selling continues, the next levels to watch are $0.210 (38.2%), $0.173 (50%), and $0.143 (61.8%). These could act as deeper support zones. The chart still leans bullish, where CRO appears to be in the early stages of a wave III extension. If momentum holds, the token could target $0.396 (138%), $0.537 (161.8%), and $0.877 (200%). A longer-term push could reach $1.43 (238%). For now, the $0.266 level is key. A rebound from this point may spark buying interest and send CRO toward the $0.39-$0.53 resistance range. But if this support breaks, the price could fall back toward $0.21-$0.17, slowing the larger uptrend. In short, CRO’s path depends on whether buyers defend $0.266. Traders are watching closely to see if the bullish Elliott Wave setup can stay intact. DISCOVER: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates The post Trump Media Close Cronos Whale Buy: CRO Price Prediction For September? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

Crypto markets are getting more solid and are showing resilience this Saturday, and so many news outlets predicting a breakout soon. As of today, the global market cap is steadying at $3.8T to $3.9T, and people are looking for a big Q4 rally amid neutral Fear & Greed. Bullish vibes continue building as altcoins show their strength. (source – crypto market cap, CoinGecko) BTC ▼-1.69% hovering around $110K, ETH ▼-3.12% also bouncing at around $4.3K, and SOL ▼-2.49% strong at above $200. Institutional inflows on ETH ETFs has blasted past $16B, and optimism grows with rate cut talks. Coins like Numeraire pumping, and up by more than 20% today after last month’s 70% surge. The JPMorgan deal fuels AI token hype. Upcoming conference could spark fresh gains. ETH/BTC ratio has climb to almost 0.04, something that usually precedes an altoin season. It is reported that whales are staking mor than 1M ETH, holding the line. EthereumPriceMarket CapETH$518.94B24h7d30d1yAll time DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 News is Reporting A Bullish Crypto Condition Today BTC dominance has been dipping below 60% for some time now, and alts are waiting for a breakout. At the moment, ETH has grabbed about a 14% share in the crypto market. This shift hints at Altcoin’s momentum ahead, as we have seen so many regulatory wins. This year, crypto news has been dominated by bullish narratives like SEC safe harbors in today’s news. Joint CFTC rules will likely unlock DeFi flows, and global moves in the UK and Ukraine have also added positive layers. (source – BTC.D, TradingView) This week, a few whales stirred the scene with $52M BTC moves and massive ETH stakes. These show confidence in altcoins, especially Ethereum. Long-term holders are fueling a bullish undercurrent as Solana eyes Nasdaq and Tether explores gold. Adding to the bullishness, Bitwise’s Avalanche ETF filing has also driven the market. Trending crypto tokens has been making the news, like WLFI up 9% lead gains today, after slump since launch. Top performers show market’s vibrant side and analysts forecasts point to BTC at $113K-$150K this year. (source – WLFI/USD, TradingView) Fed cuts will surely ignite 10-20x alt rallies. September’s dip sets up Q4 rebound. Sentiment stays cautiously optimistic on jobs data. Liquidations favor shorts right now, but could flip soon. Follow our live updates today here. DISCOVER: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates 53 minutes ago DEX Volumes Tipped to Explode On Base: 3 Best Base Meme Coins to Buy in 2025? By Akiyama Felix Base is showing steady growth in decentralized finance (DeFi) activity. Data from DeFiLlama shows the daily trading volume on Base’s decentralized exchanges (DEXs) is about $1.379Bn. (Source: Base DEXs Volume, DeFiLlama) The weekly total stands near $9.75Bn, even after a 30.8% decline compared to the previous week. That level of activity makes Base the fourth-largest chain by DEX volume, behind Solana, Ethereum, and BNB Smart Chain. (Source: Chain ranked by DEX volume, DeFiLlama) Most of the trading is concentrated on a handful of platforms. Aerodrome leads with $601.8M in volume, followed by Uniswap at $489.5M and PancakeSwap at $246.2M. Fluid and Balancer also play a role in the network’s liquidity. The meme coin sector on Base is also expanding. Their combined market capitalization is roughly $1.26Bn, with daily trading volumes reaching around $91.5M. As per Coingecko data, the biggest names are Brett (BRETT), Toshi (TOSHI), and Degen (DEGEN). Brett holds a market cap of about $445M, Toshi $238M, and Degen $114M. Together, their daily volume is close to $54M. Analysts say the combination of strong infrastructure and a growing user base could set the stage for higher meme-coin activity in 2025. Because these tokens often spark surges during hype cycles, they may help push Base’s trading volumes even higher in the year ahead. Read the full story here. DISCOVER: Top Solana Meme Coins to Buy in 2025 1 hour ago Trump Media Close Cronos Whale Buy: CRO Price Prediction For September? By Akiyama Felix Trump Media and Technology Group has completed a major cryptocurrency transaction with Crypto.com, acquiring 684.4M Cronos (CRO) tokens. Will CRO price pump in September after this deal? The deal was locked in $105M, and the agreement was confirmed on Sept. 5. Trump Media, which owns Truth Social, revealed that the deal was split between stock and cash. Half of the payment came in Trump Media stock, and the other half was in cash. This setup gave Crypto.com a stake in the company. The structure of the deal allocates 50% in Trump Media stock and 50% in cash, giving Crypto.com an equity position within the company. According to Globalnewswire, Trump Media’s CEO and Chairman, Devin Nunes, stated, “Trump Media is pleased to close this agreement and quickly begin to fulfill our strategic partnership with Crypto.com. We’re convinced that CRO has tremendous potential to spread widely as a versatile utility token and a superior form of safe, fast payment and money transfer, and we’re excited to add this innovative asset to our balance sheet.” CronosPriceMarket CapCRO$9.05B24h7d30d1yAll time DISCOVER: Top Solana Meme Coins to Buy in 2025 Read the full story here. The post Latest Crypto News Today, September 6 : Numeraire Still Going, ETH BTC Going Up, and BTC Dominance Still Below 60% appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

The poor US employment data fanned speculation of a 50 bp rate cut when the Fed meets on September 17. Even though more unwelcome news from the labor market is expected with next week's BLS annual benchmark revisions that could wipe out 500k-1 mln jobs (the adjustment last year was 818k lower), the risk of a large Fed cut may be exaggerated. An acceleration in headline CPI (September 11) may temper the enthusiasm for a large move. The ECB meeting is on Thursday, and the staff will update economic projections. There is little doubt, but that central bank will stand pat. Political developments may be more important. The French government looks surely to lose a confidence vote on Monday. President Macron's most likely recourse is to appoint another prime minister and accept that there will not be the fiscal improvement he hoped for (to reduced deficit from around 5.4% this year to 4.6% in 2026). This risks a downgrade by Fitch at the end of the week, which already has its AA- credit on negative outlook. Japan's LDP will vote on Monday whether to have a leadership contest this year. Senior LDP officials have offered their resignation to take responsibility for the recent electoral losses, but the key is Prime Minister Ishiba. Meanwhile, despite firm wage growth, household spending was weaker than expected and the government's stimulus efforts are less certain. The odds of a BOJ rate hike this year have slipped below 50% for the first time in two months. US Drivers: The prospect of a resumption of the Federal Reserve's easing cycle and efforts that erode the Federal Reserve's independence from partisan politics hang over the greenback's outlook. Firm inflation readings may temper the market's speculation of a 50 bp cut. Data: Following the soft August jobs report, the BLS will announce annual benchmark revisions on Tuesday, and they are expected to point to even weaker job growth earlier. Some surveys suggest between 500k and 1 mln jobs could be revised away. Last year's revision removed almost 820k jobs. The PPI and CPI on Wednesday and Thursday are likely to have risen a little more in August, but the shift in the balance of risks comes from the labor market slowdown. Price pressures do not stand in the way of removing more restrictiveness from the current monetary setting. The federal government's August budget balance will report on Thursday, as well. The government appears to be spending billions of tariff revenue as fast as it is being collected. The deficit in the first seven months was nearly $920 bln, down about $85 bln from the same year ago period. Prices: The Dollar Index was pushed below the August 22 low set in response to Fed Chair Powell's comments at Jackson Hole near 97.55. However, the low was marginal, less than 5/100 of an index point. With a 25 bp cut fully discounted for later this month, there does not appear much more room for the pendulum to swing as the employment report does not appear sufficient to secure a majority vote in favor of a 50 bp cut. The next area of chart support is around 97.30, then 97.00. The pre-jobs report high was near 98.25. This may offer the nearby cap. EMU Drivers: The narrowing of the US two-year premium over Germany often coincides with a stronger euro and that premium recorded a new low for the year near 155 bp before the weekend. If the French government is toppled in this week's confidence vote, the euro may wobble, but President Macron is likely to find another candidate for prime minister, though parliamentary elections cannot be ruled out. What can be ruled out is a general election as term limits prevent Macron from running again. Data: The four large EMU members report industrial output this week, but the focus is on the ECB's meeting. There is little chance of a change in policy. The ECB's staff will present updated forecasts and this, alongside President Lagarde's forward guidance. We expect it to be limited and for her to recognize there is still easing in pipeline given the lagged effects of monetary policy. Prices: The euro rose to $1.1760 after the US jobs report, its highest level since late July before consolidating. The combination of French political intrigue, possible contagion, poor German data, the euro still looks rangebound as opposed to a trending market. Still, the late July high near $1.1780 and the multi-year high seen on July 1 near $1.1830 are the next targets. PRC Drivers: Chinese officials have allowed the yuan's gains to accelerate in recent weeks. The dollar's reference rate has been lowered from CNY7.1586 at the end of June and CNY7.1496 at the end of July to CNY7.1030 at the end of August. Some suspect that officials are allowing the yuan to appreciate so that when it eases policy cushion for it. Data: China reports August trade and inflation figures this week. It seems clear that at least in the short-run, China has found alternative markets for its exports as US tariffs hit. The efforts to curb excess investment (involution) will take time to be felt and that could cut exports on the margins. Still, a reduction in investment as a percentage of GDP will boost the share of consumption. Still, price pressures remain feint and are not obstacles to further easing of policy. Prices: The dollar peaked last week near CNH7.15 and although it pulled back, it still finished slightly higher on the week that snapped a four-week slide. The year's low was set on August 29 near CNH7.1160 and this may be approached, but the PBOC seems to be signaling that it has had enough for now as it set the dollar's reference rate higher in four of last week's five sessions. While China's critics urge it to drive the currency higher, it is not clear that if one were to really advise Beijing, given the deflationary forces and the arguable need to provide more stimulus, that a significant currency re-valuation would be the go-to policy prescription. JAPAN Drivers: The single most important driver of the yen's exchange rate appears to be changes in US interest rates. A dramatic event, such as an unexpected BOJ rate hike later this month, or some other exogenous shock could also loosen the relationship. Data: Japan data are unlikely to change the market's collective wisdom that a rate hike this month is highly unlikely. Revisions to Q2 GDP (0.3% quarter-over-quarter and 1% annualized) and July industrial production (initially estimated at -1.6%) will not move the needle, though GDP could be shaved after disappointing capex numbers. There is a strong seasonal pattern for the monthly current account. In June, it nearly always deteriorates from May (18 of 20 years) and always improves in July (no exception in the past two decades). The pattern with the narrower measure of the trade balance is less clear. It has worsened from June in the past four years and 13 of the past 20 years. Prices: The US 10-year yield fell from 4.30% on Tuesday after the US holiday on Monday and finished the week below 4.10%, its lowest level in five months. The drop in US rates after the poor employment report saw the dollar slump toward the week's low set at the start of the week near JPY146.80. Nearby support is seen in the JPY146.50-60 area, while the August low was closer to JPY146.20. But US rates may have approached a near-term bottom given the prospect of higher US CPI, the risk-reward may favor a dollar bounce. The swaps market discounts slightly less than a 50% chance of a BOJ hike this year, for the first time since early July and still the dollar posted its lowest settlement in over a month ahead of the weekend. UK Drivers: Sterling seems to be driven now by the dollar's broad direction and aided by the widening rate premium the UK offers over the US (and Germany). There has also been a shift in expectations for the Bank of England. The odds of another rate have fallen from 100% on the eve of the last BOE meeting to 40%. Many, if not most, observers recognize the risk of that the government take new measures to boost revenue and a surtax on British banks has already been suggested as a possibility. The resignation of Deputy Prime Minister Rayner over a tax issue adds to Prime Minister Starmer challenges, while news of a seasonal adjustment problem by the ONS that exaggerated retail sales by as much as GBP2 bln complicates the fiscal pressure building on Chancellor Reeves. However, the weakness of the dollar was a more important driver and this helped lift sterling. Data: The highlight comes at the end of the week: July GDP and details. One cannot simply extrapolate from the monthly to the quarterly figures. The cumulative monthly prints were 0.9% in Q1 and 0.2% in Q2 and the quarterly GDP prints were 0.7% and 0.3%. Economic growth this quarter may slow a little more. Prices: Sterling fell to four-week lows in the middle of last week slightly below $1.3335. It recovered smartly despite domestic problems and reached $1.3555 ahead of the weekend. That was sterling's best level since August 18. Nearby resistance is seen in the $1.3565-$1.3600 area. The upper end of that range was formed in July and August and looks formidable given the macro backdrop. CANADA Drivers: The Canadian dollar is sensitive to the broad direction of the US dollar. Last week, when the US dollar fell against most of the G10 currencies, the Canadian dollar was the only G10 currency unable to gain against the greenback. It also reported disappointed jobs data ahead of the weekend, which followed the recent poor Q2 GDP report (-1.6% vs. median forecast of -0.7%). Data: Canada's economic calendar is sparse with July building permits and Q2 capacity utilization rates at the end of the week. The Bank of Canada meets on September 17, and the odds of a rate hike has risen since the weak Q2 GDP. The swaps market now puts the odds of a cut around 73%, up from about 44% before the GDP and 56% before the jobs report. Prices: The Canadian dollar looks vulnerable. The US dollar rebounded from a three-day low near CAD1.3760 in the initial spike after the US employment report to almost CAD1.3840. A move above CAD1.3850-60 could spur a move toward CAD1.3900 initially, but we suspect the risk may extend toward CAD1.40 in the coming weeks. AUSTRALIA Drivers: The two main drivers of the Australian dollar are the broad direction of the Dollar Index and the Canadian dollar. The inverse correlation of changes between the Dollar Index and the Aussie is near 0.85 for the past 30 sessions, near the most since the middle of 2024 around 0.77 over the past 60 sessions. The inverse correlation with the changes in the Canadian dollar is near 0.82 and 0.78 for the past 30 and 60 sessions, respectively. The correlation with the offshore yuan is significant near 0.60 for both tenors. Data: Australia's economic calendar nearly bare, with a couple bank confidence surveys and the Melbourne Institute's survey of consumer inflation expectations. These are not the kind of data points that will sway market expectations for the central bank meeting at the end of the month. The bar to cut seems high. In fact, the futures market has downgraded the extent of the easing this year for the past six consecutive sessions. Prices: The Australian dollar was sold through $0.6600 on Tuesday last week but settled above it and held above it before rallying to almost $0.6590 ahead of the weekend. This is its best level since July 25. The most likely scenario seems to be one of consolidation rather than a break higher. Key support is seen in the $0.6480-$0.6500 area. MEXICO Drivers: Mexico's high interest rates (7.75% target) and liquidity make the peso an attractive long side of trades funded by a short dollar. The dollar has spent the first two months of Q3 in a fairly defined range of MXN18.50-MXN19.00. It does not look like it will be going anywhere quickly, but for most market participants it is only interesting near the extremes of the range. The central bank meets a week after the Federal Reserve, and it looks poised to cut rates too. Data: Given that scenario, the most important data point in the coming days is the August CPI (September 9). The headline and core rates are unlikely to change much from the July reading of 3.51% and 4.23%, respectively. Prices: The dollar briefly traded below MXN18.60 after the disappointing US employment report for the first time since August 25. It did not stay there long and recovered back to almost the MXN18.70 area where it was before the US jobs data before consolidating. This range affair looks set to persist, while the carry pays peso longs to sit tight. Disclaimer

Expectations surrounding possible rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in September are nearing peak levels, especially among crypto investors. Historically, Fed rate cuts have often meant the start of a bull run since it signals to investors to take more positions in risk assets such as Bitcoin and crypto. Thus, with only two weeks left to the next FOMC meeting, votes are already coming in for what the Fed will do and how the crypto market will react. Probability Climbs Above 97% The CME Watch Tool from the CME Group website is now showing the highest probability so far for a Fed rate cut in September. The percentage had fluctuated over the month of August, rising above 92% and then falling back to 75% again as different developments popped up. However, as the market entered the month of September, sentiment has skewed completely toward the positive, and the probabilities have risen drastically. Bitcoinist had reported that the probability had fallen to 75% toward the end of August. But now the figure is back again, reaching the highest level so far, ahead of the FOMC announcement. The Fed Watch Tool now reads a 97.6% chance that the Fed will cut rates this September and trigger another bull run. This figure means that there is now only a 2.4% probability that the Fed would choose to keep rates at the same level as they did the last time. In contrast, there is still a 0% chance that there will be a rate hike this September. In fact, there have not been talks of a Fed rate hike for months now, suggesting that all focus remains on the rate cuts. How The Crypto Market Could React Naturally, a Fed rate cut is bullish for both the stock and crypto markets as it allows investors to take on more risks. This triggers a flow of liquidity into the market, driving up prices rapidly, while also increasing the volatility of the market at the same time. The expectation is that the crypto market could rally off the news, especially as US President Donald Trump has been in support of rate cuts for months now. However, there is also the need to be cautious due to high expectations often leading to dashed hopes. In a report, the on-chain data analytics platform Santiment revealed that social conversations with the words “Fed”, “rate”, and “cut” had risen to the highest level in almost one year. This suggests a lot of bullishness already surrounding the FOMC meeting. But periods like these have often marked the top, leading to a possible “buy the rumor, sell the news” event. If the latter is the case, then it would mean that prices could rise leading up to the FOMC meeting and then crash if the announcement is different from expectations. Thus, it would be wise to be cautious around this period, especially with the expectation of high volatility.

Bloomberg Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) analyst James Seyffart shared his perspective on the long-awaited altcoin season and how it may differ from previous cycles following the boom of Digital Asset Treasuries and institutional adoption. Altseason Already Here? In a recent interview with Jay Hamilton from Milk Road, James Seyffart, senior analyst and ETF expert at Bloomberg, reaffirmed his stance that the four-year cycle theory has “lost a lot of value,” at least for this cycle. “I’m one of those people not necessarily saying this time is different, but I don’t think we’re going to, you know, peak in later this year and then drop 80%. I just don’t think that’s going to happen anymore,” he stated. The analyst previously explained that with institutional adoption and treasury companies, the cycle’s amplitude will reduce significantly, adding that this theory has gotten “muted” and “It won’t be as strict as on the money, where everything collapses in November or December.” During the Thursday interview, he affirmed that, unlike the previous cycle, the market appears to be experiencing what could be considered a “corporate” altcoin season, driven by institutional adoption, Digital Asset Treasury Companies (DATCOs), and Initial Public Offerings (IPOs). Seyffart considers that DATCOs are “taking a lot of steam” from any potential traditional altcoin season, as “they’ve been on absolute fire.” Based on this, he suggested that in the short term, the highly anticipated altcoin season is occurring on public markets through institutions: The thing is, I just think right now this market is becoming a little more institutionalized (…). I just don’t think altcoins are going to run in the same way it has in years past. Largely because the money that’s mostly driving the performance of things like Bitcoin and ETH right now is institutional money. Altcoin ETFs Demand Won’t Match BTC, ETH The ETF expert asserted that neither institutional money nor the long-awaited approval of multiple altcoin-based ETFs will fuel a rally like the BTC or ETH-based products had at launch, despite the evident interest in the investment products. “Anyone who thinks like, ‘oh, Bitcoin ETFs took in 40 billion, (…) XRP ETF is going to take in the same amount’ or whatever. That’s just not how this is going to work. These are longer tail assets,” he added. Recently, Canary Capital CEO Steve McClurg claimed that the XRP spot ETFs could hit $5 billion worth of inflows in their first month. He pointed out that after BTC, XRP is the most recognized token among Wall Street investors, which could drive significant adoption from the start and even outperform Ethereum ETFs. Seyffart explained that there will be demand for the altcoin-based investment products, and “there will probably be multiple products for each of these assets to do well.” He pointed out that they will not capture the same institutional capital as Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, “but they’ll be trading vehicles.” However, the Bloomberg analyst expects basket products that combine multiple assets to attract significantly more interest from institutional capital, arguing that investment advisors prefer asset diversification.

On-chain data shows the Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have seen three waves of major inflows from the veteran hands in this cycle so far. Bitcoin Coin Days Destroyed Shot Up Alongside Earlier ETF Net Inflows As explained by CryptoQuant author Maartunn in a new post on X, Bitcoin has been observing major reshuffles related to old tokens and the spot ETFs. The spot ETFs refer to investment vehicles that trade on traditional platforms and allow investors to gain exposure to an underlying asset like BTC without having to directly own the asset. The BTC spot ETFs launched in the US in January 2024. Since then, the funds have generally enjoyed growth, with a few periods involving a particularly sharp burst of inflows. The main attraction of the ETFs is that investors unfamiliar with the cryptocurrency world can invest into BTC in a form that’s convenient to them. When a trader invests into such a vehicle, the fund buys an equivalent amount of the cryptocurrency on the client’s behalf. This reflects as an on-chain movement into the wallets associated with the ETF. Below is the chart shared by Maartunn that shows the trend in the 30-day Bitcoin spot ETF netflow since the start of 2024. As displayed in the graph, the Bitcoin spot ETF netflow has seen a few phases of extremely positive values. These naturally correspond to a high amount of demand for the ETFs. Interestingly, there is a pattern common among these large waves of inflows. From the chart, it’s visible that the Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) gave distribution signals alongside the netflow spikes. The CDD is an on-chain indicator that measures the total number of coin days that are being “destroyed” in transactions across the BTC network. A coin day is a quantity that one BTC accumulates after staying dormant on the blockchain for one day. When a token dormant for some number days is moved, its coin days counter returns back to zero. The coin days that it had previously been carrying are said to be destroyed. Generally, spikes in this metric correspond to activity from the diamond hands of the network. These HODLers tend to accumulate a massive amount of coin days with their patience, so when they finally break their silence, large-scale destruction of coin days takes places. The three major Bitcoin ETF net inflow waves of Summer 2024, Fall 2024, and Summer 2025 all accompanied a distribution signal from the CDD, which suggests a rotation of coins happened from the veteran hands to new demand coming through these vehicles. Since the latest such wave, the ETF netflow has calmed down to the neutral level, meaning demand has gone cold. “ETF inflows are key,” notes Maartunn. “Without strong new demand, selling pressure from new holders could increase.” BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $110,500, up 2% over the past week.

Bitcoin (BTC) has recently reached a new weekly high above the $112,000 mark, signaling a potential new uptrend for the leading cryptocurrency. This movement may represent the final phase of the current cycle for Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market. Market analyst CryptoBirb has indicated that this uptrend could last for approximately 50 more days, emphasizing that Bitcoin is now 95% through its cycle, which has spanned 1,017 days since the lows of November 2022. 50 Days Until Possible Bitcoin Peak Historically, Bitcoin’s bull markets have peaked between 1,060 and 1,100 days after significant lows, suggesting a target timeframe for this cycle’s peak could fall between late October and mid-November 2025. The analysis highlights the typical relationship between Bitcoin’s Halving events and subsequent price peaks. Since the last Halving in April 2024, 503 days have passed, with past data showing that price peaks usually occur 518 to 580 days following such events. As seen in the chart below, Bitcoin is currently 77% to 86% of the way through this timeline, entering what the analyst refers to as the “hot zone”—a period of heightened volatility and potential price movements. However, CryptoBirb cautions that historical trends indicate that after reaching a peak, Bitcoin typically experiences a significant decline, often dropping by 70% to 80% over a 370 to 410-day timeframe. This bearish phase is projected for approximately the first and second quarter of 2026, with a historical probability of a bear market in that year reaching 100%. Before this potential downturn, the analyst expects a final surge, with about 50 days remaining before the market may peak. September, often recognized as a weaker month for Bitcoin, has shown an average decline of 6.17%. Although third quarter statistics can be mixed, with a median increase of 0.80%, the overall average tends to reflect a decline due to larger losses. The typical seasonal pattern suggests that a poor September could be followed by stronger performance in October and November, with September 17 identified as a crucial date to watch by the analyst. Critical Support And Resistance Levels On the technical front, Key support levels are identified at the 50-week simple moving average (SMA) of $95,900 and the 200-week SMA at $52,300. The daily chart reveals further technical insights, including a 200-day breakout point at $111,000 and a 200-day SMA at $101,000. CryptoBirb has identified local support between $107,700 and $108,700, while resistance sits at $113,000 to $114,100. Looking ahead, both short-term and long-term trading trailers are currently in a bearish mode. CryptoBirb asserts that if Bitcoin falls below the critical levels of $107,000 to $108,000, bearish sentiment could intensify, potentially leading to secondary corrections in the range of 20% to 30%. Fortunately, cryptocurrency miners appear to be faring well, with the mining cost established at $95,400, suggesting a healthy market environment with minimal capitulation risk. Lastly, the analyst cautions against the potential for a market peak leading into the altcoin season in October and November. CryptoBirb suggests to mark calendars for October 22, as it could be a pivotal date in Bitcoin’s cycle. As of this writing, Bitcoin trades at $112,886, down nearly 11% from all-time high levels. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

After hitting its latest all-time high of $4,956 on August 23 on Binance, Ethereum (ETH) has been trading in a tight range – oscillating between $4,200 to $4,500 – giving little clues about its next potential direction. However, recent exchange data suggest that a supply crunch may be nearing for ETH. Ethereum Price Stable Amid Exchange Supply Decline According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, during the period between August 16 to September 3, Ethereum’s Binance Exchange Supply Ratio (ESR) saw a sharp decline. Although ETH’s price has remained in the mid $4,000 range, its ESR tumbled from 0.041 to 0.037 – marking the biggest decline within the observed period – in a matter of just two weeks. It’s worth highlighting that ETH’s price has remained stable all this time, trading close to $4,400 at the end of the period. According to the CryptoQuant analyst, such price behavior can explain two things. First, it signals that investors are withdrawing from exchanges – including Binance – at an accelerated pace. Further, it also shows growing confidence among ETH holders as they opt for self-custody in cold wallets instead of keeping their holdings on exchanges. Arab Chain remarked that a combination of stable price, declining exchange supply, and healthy exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows confirms that sellable supply is dwindling while the demand for the digital asset remains strong. They added: Declines in ESR have historically preceded strong upward moves, as lower exchange liquidity limits sellers’ ability to push prices down. The current ESR levels have fallen back to pre-June figures, suggesting that the market has effectively “flushed out” previous profit-taking activity and is now reaccumulating supply into long-term wallets. ETH Entering A New Bull Cycle? The analyst concluded by saying that if ETH’s ESR continues to fall without a corresponding decline in price, then it would mean that the market is entering a new, institutional investor-led bull cycle. Three metrics in particular support this prediction. The ETH market has seen a recent drop in leverage, meaning there are fewer traders with speculative positioning. Further, most perpetual futures markets show neutral funding rates for ETH contracts. Finally, the on-chain activity by ETH whales has also subsided, meaning long-term holders are not selling. Also worth noting is that the Ethereum blockchain’s fundamentals continue to improve. Latest data shows that as much as 36 million ETH has been staked on the ETH network, further raising the possibility of an ensuing supply shock. Recently, Ethereum daily transactions also hit a 12-month high. Amid these bullish developments, seasoned industry experts are not shying away from giving ambitious ETH price predictions. At press time, ETH trades at $4,295, down 1.7% in the past 24 hours.

Dogecoin (DOGE) continues to show resilience as it holds above the critical $0.21 support level, a price zone that has repeatedly acted as a launchpad for bullish momentum. At the time of writing, DOGE trades at $0.216, up 0.34% in the last 24 hours. Analysts highlight the emergence of a bullish cup-and-handle pattern with an initial target of $0.30, but the long-term projections are even more ambitious, pointing toward a potential 850% rally to $2 if momentum accelerates. A recent whale transfer of 900 million DOGE ($200 million) to Binance temporarily triggered selling pressure, but strong buying support quickly stabilized prices. This recovery is seen by many traders as a sign of institutional and retail. Technical Patterns Hint at Breakout Potential Dogecoin’s technical indicators paint a mixed but promising picture. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 47, suggesting neutral momentum and leaving room for an upward push. While DOGE trades below short-term moving averages (7, 20, and 50-day), it remains above its 200-day SMA at $0.20, a sign of long-term structural strength. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) still shows mild bearish momentum, but signals of stabilization around $0.21 hint at a potential reversal. Meanwhile, Bollinger Bands indicate DOGE is trading near the lower range, with room to test $0.24 resistance. A confirmed breakout above $0.24 could unlock the path toward $0.30 and, eventually, higher levels if market sentiment improves. Analysts Eye $2 Dogecoin “Super Rally” September could prove decisive for DOGE. Crypto strategists believe the defense of $0.21 support may be the catalyst for a parabolic rally. If bullish momentum sustains, the cup-and-handle breakout pattern could evolve into a multi-stage rally, with $0.30 as the short-term target and $2 as the ultimate bull case scenario. Beyond technicals, regulatory optimism is adding fuel. With the U.S. SEC nearing decisions on crypto ETF approvals, including a potential Dogecoin ETF, analysts see institutional inflows as a major accelerant for future price action. For traders, the $0.20–$0.21 range presents a favorable risk-reward setup with clear stop-loss levels. If DOGE holds the line, the meme coin may be preparing for its most significant breakout yet. Cover image from ChatGPT, DOGEUSD chart from Tradingview

The launch of the World Liberty Financial platform’s native token, WLFI, was anticipated as a significant event in the cryptocurrency market, especially with backing from the Trump family. However, just a day after its debut, the token’s price plummeted, sparking intense speculation regarding its major investors, particularly Justin Sun, the founder of the Tron blockchain. Alleged Manipulation By Justin Sun Market expert Quinten Francois provided insights into the WLFI launch, which initially priced at $0.20, reaching a market capitalization of $1 billion. Despite the excitement surrounding the launch, which generated billions in trading volume, the token’s value continued to decline. Interestingly, this downturn occurred even as the community seemed to hold onto their tokens rather than sell them. Francois speculated that exchanges might have offloaded part of their holdings, estimated at 2.8%. Allegations have surfaced that Justin Sun engaged in dubious tactics by channeling WLFI through his exchange, HTX. He reportedly offered users a 20% annual percentage yield (APY) for depositing WLFI, allowing him to offload a significant portion of his own holdings under the guise of user staking. Allegations suggest that this maneuver not only enabled him to profit from the situation but also that he intended to cover any withdrawals or sell-offs with his own tokens, further complicating retail investors’ returns. As Bitcoinist reported on Thursday, Sun’s alleged manipulation led to the freezing of his wallet address. As a result, there is growing concern among experts that WLFI could ultimately face a trajectory toward zero. Could The WLFI Price Plummet To Zero? In a recent social media post, user OxPunisher outlined the patterns of manipulation associated with Sun, referencing his history of questionable trades between 2018 and 2020, which reportedly resulted in $31 million in illicit profits. This ongoing saga continued into 2024, when Sun withdrew $732 million worth of Bitcoin from USDD collateral, and in late 2024, he invested $30 million into WLFI just as the SEC paused his case, further raising alarms among investors. The narrative surrounding WLFI appears precarious at best. The expert asserts that without Justin Sun’s liquidity strategies the token’s value could collapse. Moreover, without the backing of high-profile figures like President Donald Trump, the narrative that initially attracted investors may lose its momentum entirely. This situation has led OxPunisher to believe that this situation can result in panic selling and a shift toward safer investment options by the platform’s investors, which could further increase the WLFI’s sell-off and downtrend seen in the past few days. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

MemeCore’s native token M has raced from near-zero to headline-making highs in a matter of weeks, drawing both excitement and sharp warnings from market watchers. MemeCore’s Meteoric Rise According to reports, M hit a fresh all-time high of $1.69 Friday before easing back to $1.60, while 24-hour volume climbed past $53 million. At the time of writing, M was up 250% in the weekly timeframe, data from Coingecko shows. That follows July lows near $0.036, a move that translates into roughly a 3,750% gain in about 90 days. Traders piled in quickly. A lot of money followed. Market Moves Outpaced Fundamentals Price action has been wild. Momentum indicators show parabolic behavior and the RSI has flashed extreme overbought readings, signaling the run may be stretched. Based on technicals, the token has swept through resistance levels since mid-August and is trading in territory where a fast reversal is possible. Some traders say M is being propelled by hype and big marketing plays more than by on-chain usage today. Event-Driven Hype And Community Stunts Reports have disclosed that MemeCore rented Seoul’s Lotte World for the final night of Korea Blockchain Week, an attention-grabbing move that pushed social interest higher. The project pitches itself as the first Layer-1 built for meme culture and uses a Proof of Meme consensus model alongside community-focused tokenomics. Those features have been shouted about in the community, and they help explain why momentum traders have shown up in force. Bulls Point To Network Story; Bears Point To Liquidity Risk Supporters highlight the promise of a meme-driven economy as reasons for continued upside. If consolidation holds above $1, a push toward $2 is floated by optimistic traders. But risks are clear. If $1 support gives way, liquidation cascades could accelerate downside toward $0.40–$0.50. Liquidity outside major centralized exchanges looks thin, and event-driven spikes can reverse quickly. Memecore Price Forecast And Sentiment Snapshot Meanwhile, based on current projections, MemeCore’s price is predicted to fall by 23% to about $1.19 by October 5, 2025. Market sentiment is still labeled Bullish by some indicators, while the Fear & Greed Index sits at 48, which is neutral. Over the past 30 days, M recorded 16/30 green days and roughly 35% price volatility, showing how choppy trading has been. Those figures suggest a market that favors quick movers but leaves slower traders exposed to steep losses. Featured image from MemeCore, chart from TradingView