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The wave analysis on the 4-hour EUR/USD chart has remained unchanged for several months now, which is very encouraging. Even when corrective waves are forming, the overall structure stays intact. This allows for accurate forecasting. It's worth noting that wave patterns don't always appear textbook-perfect. However, the current pattern still looks quite solid. The formation of the upward trend segment continues, and the news background mostly fails to support the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump is ongoing. The standoff with the Federal Reserve also continues. The market's "dovish" expectations for the Fed rate are growing. The market holds a rather grim view of Trump's performance during his first 6–7 months in office, despite the 3% economic growth recorded in the second quarter. At present, we can assume that an impulse wave 5 is in progress, with potential targets extending toward the 1.25 level. The internal structure of this wave is relatively complex and ambiguous, yet its higher-level composition raises few questions. Currently, three upward sub-waves can be seen, which indicates that by the end of last week the pair transitioned into forming wave 4 of 5. During Monday's trading session, EUR/USD climbed by 35 basis points. The movement amplitude wasn't very high, which is unsurprising for a news-light Monday. At the end of last week, the euro lost about 150 basis points, but that drop had no significant impact on the wave pattern. Therefore, I maintain the conclusion that the upward portion of the trend remains in place. Many traders tend to panic in situations where there's really no reason to. Often, traders see prices moving in the "wrong" direction and start frantically opening and closing positions, forgetting that corrections are a natural part of any trend. From my point of view, the decline we saw at the end of last week was simply a corrective wave that fits neatly into the current wave structure. It can be classified as wave 4 within the larger wave 5. If this assumption is correct, the instrument is now transitioning into forming wave 5 of 5; however, wave 4 could still theoretically develop into a three-wave pattern similar to wave 2 of 5. Therefore, we must be prepared for another decline. However, under current market conditions, any new decline will present a good buying opportunity. Recent news has made it increasingly clear that the interest rate gap between the Fed and the ECB will narrow over time. I would like to remind you that currently, this gap favors the U.S. dollar, yet the dollar has gained no real benefit from this advantage. Consequently, as the situation begins to shift (which it already is) in favor of the euro, we can expect a renewed upward move in the instrument. Keep in mind, the Fed's rate-cutting process is a gradual one. The dollar will have ample time to form a new upward trend segment. General Conclusions:Based on the EUR/USD analysis, I conclude that the instrument continues to form an upward trend segment. The wave structure still largely depends on the news backdrop—especially related to Trump's decisions, and the foreign and domestic policy of the current White House administration. The targets for the current trend segment may reach as far as the 1.25 level. Given that the news environment has not changed, I continue to hold long positions, despite the fulfillment of the first target near 1.1875, which corresponds to 161.8% on the Fibonacci scale. By the end of the year, I expect the euro to rise to 1.2245, which equals 200.0% Fibonacci. On a smaller scale, the entire upward trend is visible. The wave structure isn't the most conventional, as the corrective waves vary in size. For example, the larger wave 2 is smaller than internal wave 2 within wave 3. But such discrepancies do occur. Remember, it's best to identify clear structures on the chart rather than get hung up on every single wave. The current upward structure raises minimal doubts. Core Principles of My Analysis: Wave structures should be simple and understandable. Complex structures are harder to trade and often imply impending changes.If you're unsure about what's happening in the market, it's better to stay out.Absolute certainty in market direction does not—and cannot—exist. Never forget to use Stop Loss orders for protection.Wave analysis can and should be combined with other forms of analysis and trading strategies.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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GBP/USD Brief Analysis: The price trend direction of the British pound has been set by an upward wave since the start of this year. In late June, quotes reached the potential reversal zone on the weekly timeframe. Before further growth, a correction needs to form in the wave structure. As of today, the correction is not yet complete. Weekly Outlook: The coming week is expected to bring the end of the pound's downward movement. A temporary decline to the lower boundary is possible early in the week. A trend shift and an upward movement may follow, with resistance aligned at the lower boundary of the weekly reversal zone. Potential Reversal Zones Resistance: 1.3670 / 1.3720Support: 1.3430 / 1.3380Recommendations Sells: Risky and may result in losses. Buys: Upon confirmation signals from your trading system near support, purchases may become the core trade direction. AUD/USD Brief Analysis: An upward wave zigzag that began in August has brought AUD/USD quotes into a strong potential reversal zone. The wave structure is still incomplete. The current unfinished corrective wave segment began developing on September 11. Weekly Outlook: At the start of the week, a bearish vector is more likely, within the context of sideways movement. Toward the weekend, the probability of a reversal and upward movement from resistance increases. The calculated resistance defines the upper limit of the expected weekly range. Potential Reversal Zones Resistance: 0.6680 / 0.6730Support: 0.6550 / 0.6500Recommendations Sells: Can be done with reduced position sizes during individual sessions. Downward potential is limited by support. Buys: Will be relevant after confirmed reversal signals near the support zone. USD/CHF Brief Analysis: Following the completion of a bearish wave in April, a bullish wave has been forming in the USD/CHF major pair, developing as a narrowing flat. Its strong potential suggests it may continue to evolve on the daily timeframe. Over the last month, quotes have retraced downward, forming the (B) segment of the correction. Weekly Outlook: This week is expected to resemble recent periods. After likely moving along support zone boundaries early on, prices may resume rising by the weekend. The projected resistance indicates the maximum price increase potential. Potential Reversal Zones Resistance: 0.8090 / 0.8140Support: 0.7860 / 0.7810Recommendations Sells: High-risk and low potential. Buys: After signals are generated by your trading system near support, purchases can become the main trade direction. EUR/JPY Brief Analysis: Since February, short-term price direction in the EUR/JPY pair has been governed by an upward wave. Over the past two months, an incomplete corrective phase has been developing in the wave structure. The current upward move is forming the middle part (B) of the correction. Weekly Outlook: Sideways movement near resistance is possible in the next few days. Mid-week, expect increased volatility and a likely reversal into a downward move. Potential Reversal Zones Resistance: 175.00 / 175.50Support: 172.00 / 171.50Recommendations Buys: No favorable conditions are present. Sells: May be used in trading if confirmed entry signals from your system are present. EUR/CHF Brief Analysis: The short-term uptrend in the EUR/CHF pair has been dictated by an upward wave since April. Recently, a corrective flat has been forming within a price channel between 0.94 and 0.92. The structure of this correction remains incomplete. Weekly Outlook: The start of the upcoming week is likely to have a bullish bias. There may be pressure on the upper resistance boundary. A reversal and resumption of downward movement is likely closer to the weekend. A breakout below calculated support is unlikely. Potential Reversal Zones Resistance: 0.9390 / 0.9440Support: 0.9280 / 0.9230Recommendations Buys: Possible with reduced volume sizes on an intraday basis. Sells: Can be used from the resistance area upon confirmation from your trading system. US Dollar Index Brief Analysis: The recent strengthening of the U.S. dollar that began in mid-April is nearing completion. On the daily chart, this period forms a narrowing flat. After reaching the upper boundary of the potential reversal zone, quotes have begun to retreat. Breaking below intermediate support, the index has entered a drifting pattern. Weekly Outlook: In the first half of the upcoming week, the index is expected to hover near the resistance boundary. A reversal and downturn are more probable by week's end. The directional shift will likely come with a sharp rise in volatility, potentially triggered by global economic news. Potential Reversal Zones Resistance: 98.20 / 98.40Support: 97.20 / 97.00Recommendations Buying the U.S. Dollar in major pairs has little potential. It is more reasonable to consider bullish positions in major currencies instead. Explanations: In Simplified Wave Analysis (SWA), all waves consist of 3 parts (A-B-C). On each timeframe, the last unfinished wave is analyzed. Dotted lines show expected movement. Note: The wave algorithm does not account for the duration of price movements over time! The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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GBPJPY rejects 200.00 mark as sellers defend the range
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
GBPJPY is one of the most volatile FX pair available to trade including only major currencies – Yet, it's been stuck in a huge range since August 2024. As explained in our previous article on this currency pair, a continuous uptrend from 2020 lows (127.30!) to July 2024 highs (208.12) has been met with a sharp correction as carry trades saw a consequent slowdown amid a sudden market-breakdown which suddenly saw yen rebuying speed up. At the same time, equities saw a huge correction, which got followed with the usual dip-buying. Anyways, this time, a consistent shorter-range uptrend has built up momentum from April lows (184.50) to the higher bound of the year-long consolidation. With buyers stepping in after a August retracement, a consequent bull-sequence took the pair to a wick at new yearly highs (201.27). Let's have a look at multi-timeframe charts to spot levels of interest and see if the most recent rejection below 200.00 can hold further or a breakout is due. Read More: Binance Coin (BNB) breaks $1,000 despite a crypto pullback – Crypto outlookGold (XAU/USD): Short-term bullish acceleration intact towards new all-time highs above US$3,660 key supportRBA's Bullock says inflation under control, Aussie steadyGBPJPY multi-timeframe analysisGBPJPY daily timeframe GBPJPY Daily Chart, September 22, 2025 – Source: TradingView Markets have built towards higher levels in the pair throughout the past 5 months as weak fundamentals haven't helped the Yen to find consequent buying. However, some hawkishness as been denoted in last week's Bank of Japan meeting and as the Bank of England just cut its rate to 4% at its last meeting, rates between Japan and the UK are still expected to converge through time. The rest is for markets to spot when the BoJ will actually hike which should provide a further boost to the yen – a sign for sellers to step in further. But markets react to such noise initially before being more patient and waiting for the actual news to drop – There is a bit less of a hike priced in the Japanese short-end curve for the rest of the year. But increased hawkish talk may assist the selling in the pair and needs to be tracked closely, particularly after the most recent failed bullish-breakout. GBPJPY 4H chart and levels GBPJPY 4H Chart, September 22, 2025 – Source: TradingView As can be observed on this 4H chart, the V-shaped return to the 199.00 to 200.00 resistance has built a consolidation level just above the 200-period MA which now serves as immediate momentum level for future action. A break below should accelerate selling towards the April trendline, and further downside could be expected below (towards a retest of the August 5th lows). A failure to break the low of the resistance should amplify the consolidation further – Keep a close eye on the 4H 200-period MA. Levels to watch for GBPJPY trading: Support Levels: Low of 199.00 to 200.00 resistance (198.70)Intermediate Range Resistance Zone turned pivot near 195.00 to 196.85Higher timeframe Main Pivot point 193.00Range Intermediate Support Zone around the 190.00 levelResistance Levels: Resistance Zone extremes 199.00 to 200.00201.27 Bank of England and pre-Bank of Japan highs208.120 July 2024 highs GBPJPY 1H Chart, September 22, 2025 – Source: TradingView Bulls and bears are battling within the resistance of the range. The 50-hour Moving average may act as immediate resistance but will only see confirmation if momentum breaches the pivot zone. Not closing below the pivot on the daily would imply further consolidation within the range. Safe Trades and Shana Tovah for those who celebrate! Follow Elior on Twitter/X for additional Market News, Insights and Interactions @EliorManier Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc. -
EUR/USD Brief Analysis: The upward wave algorithm that began on July 31 continues to push the euro's main pair quotes toward the upper part of the chart. Since late August, the price has been forming a sideways corrective segment (B), which was still incomplete at the time of analysis. A week ago, the price entered a strong potential reversal zone and began pulling back, forming the final part (C) of the correction. Forecast for the Week: A bullish price vector is expected over the next few days, leading the euro toward calculated resistance levels. A reversal within this zone and a return to a bearish trend are likely by the weekend. The projected support/resistance zones define the expected weekly trading range. Potential Reversal Zones Resistance: 1.1810 / 1.1860Support: 1.1660 / 1.1610Recommendations: Buying: Can be used intraday with reduced volume size. Upward potential is limited by resistance. Selling: Premature until clear reversal signals appear near resistance. USD/JPY Brief Analysis: On the USD/JPY chart, a bearish wave structure opposing the previous bullish trend has been forming since August 1. This structure is at a high wave level, and its middle segment (B) in a sideways range is nearing completion. The price has created a horizontal channel around a few figures wide. Forecast for the Week: Continued sideways drift along the resistance boundaries is the most likely scenario in the coming days. There's a possibility of pressure on the upper boundary, potentially with a brief breakout. Toward the weekend, increased volatility and a downward price movement can be expected. The release of significant economic data may serve as a key turning point. Potential Reversal Zones Resistance: 148.10 / 148.60Support: 145.70 / 145.80Recommendations: Buying: Risky due to low upward potential and may result in losses. Selling: Can be a primary trade direction once reversal signals appear near resistance in your trading system. GBP/JPY Brief Analysis: The upward wave that started in August continues to dominate the pound/yen pair chart. Quotes have reached the lower boundary of a broad potential reversal zone on the higher timeframe. Since September 18, price movement has begun downward with reversal potential. The current structure still appears incomplete. Forecast for the Week: Predominantly sideways movement is expected. Early in the week, an upward-biased range may develop toward resistance. In the latter half, expect the sideways period to end and the downward trend to resume. Rising volatility may coincide with key economic data releases. Potential Reversal Zones Resistance: 200.20 / 200.70Support: 198.00 / 197.50Recommendations: Buying: Limited potential and high risk. Selling: May be used once confirmed reversal signals near resistance appear. USD/CAD Brief Analysis: The trend direction for the USD/CAD pair is driven by a downward wave that began at the start of the year. Since April, the pair entered a sideways correction. Extremes on the chart suggest a contracting structure, which remains incomplete. Price is moving within a horizontal channel. Forecast for the Week: A sideways to slightly bearish movement is likely in the coming days. Price is expected to approach support, followed by a potential reversal and resumption of the upward trend. The calculated resistance level marks the estimated upper boundary of this week's range. Potential Reversal Zones Resistance: 1.3850 / 1.3900Support: 1.3730 / 1.3680Recommendations: Selling: May be initiated with small volumes but offers low potential. Buying: Can be profitable after confirmed reversal signals appear near support. Keep in mind the limited upward potential. NZD/USD Brief Analysis: The current wave structure on the NZD/USD chart is bullish and began in early April. Since July, a correctional flat wave has been unfolding and remains incomplete. The tentative target zone for the correction coincides with the upper boundary of a strong potential reversal area on the higher timeframe. Forecast for the Week: Sideways movement with a bearish tilt is likely in the coming days. Price movement is expected to stay within support zone boundaries. By the end of the week, a reversal may form, signaling the resumption of bullish momentum. The projected resistance zone marks the top of the weekly range. Potential Reversal Zones Resistance: 0.5940 / 0.5990Support: 0.5820 / 0.5770Recommendations: Selling: May be done with small volumes in individual sessions but offers limited potential. Buying: Not relevant until confirmed reversal signals near support appear within your strategy. EUR/GBP Brief Analysis: Price direction in the EUR/GBP pair has been driven by a downward wave since April. The formation takes the shape of a narrowing flat. The current wave segment (B) remains unfinished. Over the past two months, prices have hovered near the lower boundary of a broad potential reversal zone on the daily timeframe. Forecast for the Week: Early in the week, expect sideways movement. A temporary test of the upper resistance zone is possible. Toward the weekend, the probability of a reversal and downward resumption increases. A breakout outside the calculated zones is unlikely. Potential Reversal Zones Resistance: 0.8750 / 0.8800Support: 0.8600 / 0.8550Recommendations: Buying: May be done briefly in individual sessions. Selling: Can be used in trades after confirming signals appear near projected resistance. Gold Analysis: Gold continues its bullish wave that began in October of last year. On the daily timeframe, this wave is forming the final trend. The wave structure takes the form of a narrowing flat. Forecast: Early in the week, expect a short-term price rise toward the resistance zone. After that, prices are expected to move sideways, forming setup conditions for a reversal and the start of a downward move. Potential Reversal Zones Resistance: 3730.0 / 3750.0Support: 3630.0 / 3610.0Recommendations: Buying: Limited potential and high risk. Selling: Becomes relevant after confirmed reversal signals appear near resistance. Explanations: In simplified wave analysis (SWA), all waves consist of 3 parts (A-B-C). Only the last incomplete wave is analyzed on each timeframe. Expected movements are shown with dashed lines. Note: This wave-based algorithm does not account for duration of movements over time. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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USD/JPY: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders – September 22nd (U.S. Session)
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Trade Analysis and Tips for the Japanese Yen The price test at 148.12 during the first half of the day came at a time when the MACD indicator had significantly moved below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the dollar. The yen could strengthen further against the dollar, as speeches by FOMC members John Williams and Thomas Barkin are expected in the second half of the day. A dovish tone from policymakers could lead to a drop in the USD/JPY pair. In recent days, the Japanese currency has shown signs of weakening, and today's statements from politicians might serve as a reason to pause. If Williams and Barkin take a more cautious stance in their speeches—highlighting risks to economic growth and inflation—it could lead to a re-evaluation of expectations regarding future interest rate cuts by the Fed. However, considering that the Fed's dovish policy has largely contributed to the dollar's weakening in recent times, any hints of further easing could lead to another wave of dollar selling. A dovish tone from FOMC members will not only reduce the appeal of the dollar but also create additional incentive for yen appreciation, as it would reduce pressure on the Bank of Japan and allow it to maintain its current policy for a longer period. As for intraday strategy, I will rely more on implementing Scenario #1 and Scenario #2. Buy Signal Scenario #1: I plan to buy USD/JPY today upon reaching the entry point around 147.96 (green line on the chart), with the target of rising to 148.33 (thicker green line on the chart). Around 148.33, I will exit long positions and open shorts in the opposite direction (anticipating a movement of 30–35 points in the opposite direction from this level). A bullish continuation of the market could support this rise. Important! Before buying, make sure that the MACD indicator is above the zero mark and just beginning to rise from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to buy USD/JPY today if there are two consecutive tests of the 147.79 price level, at a time when the MACD indicator is in the oversold area. This will limit the pair's downward potential and lead to a market reversal upward. Growth toward opposite levels at 147.96 and 148.33 can be expected. Sell Signal Scenario #1: I plan to sell USD/JPY today after the price breaks below the 147.79 level (red line on the chart), which should result in a quick drop of the pair. The key target for sellers will be the 147.45 level, where I will exit short positions and immediately open long positions in the opposite direction (anticipating a movement of 20–25 points in the opposite direction from this level). Pressure on the pair will remain today if policymakers adopt a dovish stance. Important! Before selling, make sure that the MACD indicator is below the zero mark and just beginning to decline from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to sell USD/JPY today in case of two consecutive tests of the 147.96 level, at a time when the MACD indicator is in the overbought area. This will limit the upward potential of the pair and lead to a market reversal downward. A decline toward opposing levels of 147.79 and 147.45 can be expected. Chart Explanation: Thin green line – the entry price at which the trading instrument can be bought;Thick green line – the estimated price where Take Profit can be placed or profits can be manually fixed, as further growth above this level is unlikely;Thin red line – the entry price at which the trading instrument can be sold;Thick red line – the estimated price where Take Profit can be placed or profits can be manually fixed, as further decline below this level is unlikely;MACD indicator – when entering the market, it's important to follow overbought and oversold zones.Important: Beginner Forex traders need to be very cautious when making market entry decisions. It is best to stay out of the market before major fundamental reports are released in order to avoid sharp price fluctuations. If you choose to trade during news releases, always use stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-loss orders, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you don't use proper money management and trade large volumes. And remember, successful trading requires a clear trading plan, like the one presented above. Making impulsive trading decisions based on current market conditions is an inherently losing strategy for intraday traders. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
GBP/USD: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders on September 22nd (U.S. Session)
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for Trading the British Pound The test of the 1.3490 price level occurred while the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. In the second half of the day, all eyes will be on speeches by FOMC members John Williams and Thomas Barkin. If their tone is cautious or dovish, it could trigger further U.S. dollar weakening and, as a result, strengthen the pound. Should Williams and Barkin express concerns about the current economic situation, it may prompt another round of dollar selling. Investors are likely to interpret such comments as a signal of potential future monetary policy easing, leading to further USD weakness. On the other hand, the pound, supported by expectations of a comparatively tighter Bank of England policy, could gain a significant boost. Therefore, the speeches from Williams and Barkin may become decisive intraday triggers for the GBP/USD pair's direction. As for the intraday strategy, I'll mainly focus on executing scenarios #1 and #2. Buy Signal Scenario #1: I plan to buy the pound today upon reaching the entry point around 1.3508 (green line on the chart) with a target of 1.3543 (thicker green line on the chart). At the 1.3543 level, I will exit buy trades and open sell trades in the opposite direction, anticipating a pullback of 30–35 points from the entry point. The outlook favors a potential strong rise in the pound. Important! Before buying, ensure the MACD indicator is above the zero line and just beginning to rise from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to buy the pound today in the event of two consecutive tests of the 1.3486 level, while the MACD indicator is in the oversold zone. This would limit the downward potential of the pair and likely trigger an upward reversal. A rise toward the opposite levels of 1.3508 and 1.3543 can be expected. Sell Signal Scenario #1: I plan to sell the pound today after a breakout below the 1.3486 level (red line on the chart), which would lead to a quick bearish move. The key target for sellers will be the 1.3453 level, where I will exit sell trades and immediately open buys in the opposite direction, aiming for a 20–25 point retracement. The pound may experience a sharp drop in the second half of the day. Important! Before selling, ensure the MACD indicator is below the zero line and just beginning to fall from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to sell the pound today in the event of two consecutive tests of the 1.3508 level, while the MACD indicator is in overbought territory. This would limit the pair's upward potential and lead to a downward market reversal. A decline toward the opposite levels of 1.3486 and 1.3453 can be expected. What's on the Chart: Thin green line – entry price at which the trading instrument can be bought;Thick green line – estimated take-profit level or price where profits can be manually secured, as further upside above this point is unlikely;Thin red line – entry price at which the trading instrument can be sold;Thick red line – estimated take-profit level or price where profits can be manually secured, as further downside below this point is unlikely;MACD Indicator – When entering the market, it's essential to rely on overbought and oversold zones.Important: Beginner Forex traders should make entry decisions with great caution. It's best to stay out of the market before major fundamental reports are released to avoid sharp price movements. If you choose to trade during news releases, always use stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without proper stop-losses, you could quickly lose your entire account — especially if you're not using sound money management and are trading large volumes. And remember: successful trading requires a clear trading plan, like the one I've outlined above. Making impulsive trading decisions based on current market conditions is an inherently losing intraday trading strategy. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
The Sprott Physical Uranium Trust (TSX: U.U for USD; U.UN for CAD), the world’s largest holder of the heavy metal, now has about 70 million lb. of uranium after it bought 450,000 lb. last week as nuclear energy’s strategic value comes into sharper focus. The transaction on Friday brings to 950,000 lb. of uranium oxide (U3O8) Sprott’s weekly buy and its third quarter purchases to about 2.3 million lb., the highest since the first quarter of 2023, BMO Capital Markets analysts Helen Amos and George Heppel said in a note on Monday. The Trust’s holdings total a market value of about $5.53 billion (C$7.6bn), according to Sprott. “With the trust poised to continue raising funds and the market heading into a seasonally stronger period for contracting in the fourth quarter, we could potentially see more spot purchasing of uranium in the near term, increasing the interest in the uranium market,” the analysts said. The Friday purchase follows Sprott’s 50,000-lb. buy about one month ago, and coincides with the climbing spot uranium price, which gained about 1.3% to $77.25 per lb. of U3O8, its highest level since early July. Securing uranium reserves Meanwhile, the United States’ government is considering increasing its strategic uranium reserve to lessen reliance on Russian supplies and bolster confidence in nuclear power’s long-term potential, Energy Secretary Chris Wright said last week. Russian imports account for about a quarter of the enriched uranium needed by the US’ 94 nuclear reactors that produce about a fifth of the country’s electricity. In 2024, the US purchased 50 million lb. of uranium, but only produced 677,000 lb., according to the Energy Information Administration. While decades ago, the US mined tens of millions of pounds of uranium, imports from countries such as Canada, Kazakhstan and Australia began to overtake domestic output in 1990, until American production fell to a low of 174,000 lb. U3O8 in 2019. Output has been slowly rising since then, increasing to 200,000 lb. U3O8 in 2022 then down to 50,000 lb. U3O8 in 2023, and increasing again last year. India’s National Thermal Power Corporation, the country’s largest energy conglomerate is also examining the prospect of buying foreign uranium supplies to ensure availability for nuclear projects, the South Asian nation’s Economic Times newspaper reported on Sunday. Prices benefit production The spot price increase has also helped miners maintain steady output, with the world’s top producer Kazatomprom (LSE: KAP) posting a 13% year-on-year rise in production in Kazakhstan for the first half of 2025 to 12,242 tonnes, it said on Aug. 1. Canadian uranium major Cameco (TSX: CCO; NYSE: CCJ) expects to produce 18 million lb. U3O8 this year from its mines in Saskatchewan, despite year-on-year output down 28% in the first half, it said in its second quarter results in July. These production trends occur as demand for nuclear energy continues to rise as tech companies move to build more power-hungry data centres for AI applications. The US government is also working to accelerate nuclear’s rise through various supports and fast-tracking uranium projects in the country’s Southwest. Worldwide demand for uranium is projected to triple by 2040, showing the need to develop mines. Uranium demand already outpaces production by 50 million to 60 million lb. a year, according to World Nuclear Association data. Sprott Uranium Trust shares were down 1.2% to $19.16 apiece on Monday morning, for a market capitalization of $5.45 billion. The stock has traded in a 12-month range of $12.65 to $20.50.
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EUR/USD: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders – September 22nd (U.S. Session)
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Trade Review and Tips on Trading the Euro The first price test at 1.1757 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. The euro has risen sharply, and this is no surprise given that the Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates, while the European Central Bank has made it clear it won't do so again this year. This realization has likely acted as a catalyst for a reassessment of risks and opportunities in the currency markets. While the ECB maintains a relatively stable monetary policy, the Fed continues to respond to slowing economic growth by cutting rates. This makes the euro, at least temporarily, a more attractive currency for investors. In the second half of the day, FOMC members John Williams and Thomas Barkin are scheduled to speak. Their dovish tone could trigger a renewed sell-off in the dollar and further strengthen the euro. Market participants will be closely watching what these Federal Open Market Committee members have to say. Investors, disappointed by the dollar's indecisiveness earlier in the day, will be looking for any clues about potential changes in the Fed's policy outlook. If Williams and Barkin take a moderate or even soft stance on the current economic situation—acknowledging growth risks and a possible recession—it could trigger the next wave of dollar selling. Regarding the intraday strategy, I will focus mainly on implementing scenarios #1 and #2. Buy Signal Scenario #1: Today, I plan to buy the euro upon reaching the area around 1.1787 (green line on the chart), targeting a rise to 1.1815. At 1.1815, I plan to exit the market and also initiate sell positions in the opposite direction, targeting a move of 30–35 points from the entry point. A rally in the euro today would be more likely if the policymakers strike a dovish tone. Important! Before buying, make sure the MACD indicator is above the zero line and just starting to rise from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to buy the euro in case of two consecutive tests of the 1.1767 level, at a moment when the MACD indicator is in the oversold zone. This would limit the pair's downward potential and lead to a market reversal to the upside. Growth is expected toward the opposite levels of 1.1787 and 1.1815. Sell Signal Scenario #1: I plan to sell the euro after it reaches 1.1767 (red line on the chart). The target would be 1.1729, where I plan to exit the market and initiate long positions in the opposite direction, targeting a move of 20–25 points from that level. Sustained pressure on the pair is unlikely today. Important! Before selling, make sure the MACD indicator is below the zero line and just starting to decline from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to sell the euro today in case of two consecutive tests of 1.1787 while the MACD indicator is in the overbought zone. This will limit the pair's upward potential and lead to a reversal downward. A decline is expected toward the opposite levels of 1.1767 and 1.1729. What's on the Chart: Thin green line – entry price at which the trading instrument can be bought;Thick green line – estimated price where Take Profit orders can be placed or profits manually locked in, as further growth above this level is unlikely;Thin red line – entry price at which the trading instrument can be sold;Thick red line – estimated price where Take Profit orders can be placed or profits manually locked in, as further decline below this level is unlikely;MACD Indicator – when entering the market, it's important to rely on overbought and oversold zones.Important: Beginner Forex traders must take great caution when making decisions to enter the market. It's usually best to stay out of the market before the release of significant fundamental reports to avoid being caught in sharp price swings. If you choose to trade during news releases, always place stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you risk losing your entire deposit quickly—especially if you don't use proper money management or trade with large volumes. And remember: successful trading requires a clear plan, like the one I presented above. Spontaneous trading decisions based on current market conditions are a fundamentally losing strategy for intraday traders. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
Copper price holds steady amid Grasberg supply risks
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Copper prices held steady on Monday as traders continue to assess the impact of a major mine shutdown on global supplies. Three-month futures traded at above $10,000 per ton ($4.6125 per lb.) on the CME, down 0.3% for the day. In London, the metal traded at just under $10,000/ton, holding onto Friday’s advance. Click on chart for live prices. The moves follow an announcement by Freeport McMoRan that it will temporarily suspend its Grasberg mine in Indonesia — the second-largest copper producer in the world — following a mud flow incident that trapped seven workers underground two weeks ago. As of Monday, the bodies of two workers had been recovered. Operations will remain suspended at Grasberg while the search for the remaining workers continues, US-based Freeport has said. The recent updates signal a potentially extended suspension at the mine, which could quickly tighten the market and exacerbate the long-running supply constraints that have supported prices this year. Demand for the metal has generally held firm, and Citigroup analysts said last week that prices could head for a cautious close to 2025 before a more concerted move to hit $12,000 next year. (With files from Bloomberg) -
Solana (SOL) investors are witnessing rising volatility as a surge in whale activity signals deadly selling pressure in the market. Despite a strong rally above $250 earlier in September, market sentiment appears to be shifting, with whale deposits into centralized exchanges hinting at potential headwinds ahead. Most recently, a staggering 312,233 SOL tokens were deposited into Coinbase, fueling concerns that whales may be positioning for significant profit-taking. Solana Whale Deposits Signal Rising Selling Pressure Blockchain tracker Whale Alert reported one of the largest Solana transfers in recent weeks, with 312,233 SOL valued at approximately $75.1 million, moved from an unknown wallet to Coinbase Institutional on September 21. The size and timing of this large-scale transfer immediately raised concerns that whales could be positioned to sell. Before this transfer, Whale Alert had flagged another massive transaction of 227,928 SOL, worth around $54.5 million, being funneled into Coinbase on the same day. Together, these two deposits represent more than $129 million in Solana potentially at stake of being sold off. The implications of such moves are significant, as large holders typically send tokens to exchanges with the intention to sell, ultimately adding considerable downward pressure to the market. Notably, Solana’s price rally in September has been fueled by strong demand; however, these recent transfers raise the risk of oversupply, particularly as the token hovers around $224. If whales follow through with the selling, it could cap SOL’s bullish breakout attempt and force the price back to lower support zones. Interestingly, this is not the first time Solana has faced similar whale-driven headwinds this month. Just over a week ago, blockchain analytics platform Lookonchain reported multiple whale dumpings into various crypto exchanges. A wallet tagged “CMJiHu” deposited 96,996 SOL ($17.45 million) into Coinbase, while “5PjMxa” moved 91,890 SOL ($15.98 million) to Kraken. The same day, another wallet “HiN7sS” transferred 37,658 SOL ($6.73 million) to Binance, securing a profit of $1.63 million. These earlier transfers, combined with the latest inflows, show a pattern of whales steadily reducing their exposure as market sentiment shifts. SOL Momentum Weakens Under Heavy Selling Crypto analysts now view Solana as being at a pivotal crossroad, where strong fundamentals clash with mounting selling pressure and technical risks. Market expert Tom Tucker notes that SOL has climbed more than 150% in 2025, but its rally is showing signs of fatigue. The analyst’s chart reveals a rising wedge formation, often a precursor to a breakdown, combined with weakening momentum indicators. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is narrowing into a triangle, suggesting indecision, while the MACD has flattened after months of strength. This setup, when paired with heavy whale deposits into exchanges and rising sell pressure, underscores the growing possibility of a short-term pullback. Yet, the outlook is not entirely bearish. Tucker points to optimism surrounding a potential Solana ETF, the upcoming Alpenglow upgrade, and steady treasury accumulation as fundamental drivers that could extend SOL’s long-term growth.
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Trump calls on World Bank to reopen fossil fuel funding
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The Trump Administration is pressing the World Bank to resume financing oil and gas projects, reversing the institution’s 2019 policy to halt new fossil fuel investments. Officials told the Financial Times the push extends to other development banks, signalling a broader retreat from climate-focused lending since Donald Trump’s return to the White House. North American banks and asset managers have also begun pulling out of net-zero alliances, further underscoring the shift. The move prioritizes energy security, with an emphasis on upstream gas development, and targets financing for projects in developing countries. Critics warn this could undermine global efforts to curb rising emissions. While industrialized nations remain the largest historical polluters, emissions are climbing fastest in developing economies. Last year was the warmest on record. A 2020 report by German NGO Urgewald found the World Bank had channelled more than $12 billion into fossil fuel ventures since the Paris Agreement in 2015, including $10.5 billion in new loans, guarantees and equity. The bank formally ended financing for new upstream oil and gas projects in 2019, allowing only narrow exemptions for gas. In 2023, it pledged to allocate 45 per cent of annual financing to climate-related projects by 2025. Climate finance needs remain staggering. Economists estimate developing economies will require $1.3 trillion annually by 2035. Development banks are expected to play a pivotal role in mobilizing that capital. Earlier this month, the European Investment Bank reported climate finance from development banks had more than doubled in five years, reaching $85 billion in 2024. -
Binance Coin (BNB) breaks $1,000 despite a crypto pullback – Crypto outlook
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The week starts on a grim note for cryptocurrencies when looking at the daily performance of most major altcoins. Crypto market overview, September 22, 2025 – Source: Finviz A lack of progress throughout the past few weeks still hasn't marked anything resembling a bear market, particularly with Solana dragging market sentiment upward the past week, attaining $250 highs. The price action and the general market cap has corrected to open the week but BNB, Binance's altcoin and one of the major cryptocurrency coin outstanding, has broken a new record over the weekend. Breaching the $1,000 cap on Saturday, BNB reached $1,087 highs on the same day before retracing slightly. Let's have a look at an intraday chart for this huge altcoin, and then taking a look at ETH and BTC to spot levels of interest for these major coins. Read More: Markets Today: Gold Surges Above $3700/oz, China Keep Rates on Hold and FTSE Holds at SupportMarkets Weekly Outlook - PMI and PCE in the Spotlight as US Dollar Remains Sensitive to US Labor DataGold (XAU/USD): Short-term bullish acceleration intact towards new all-time highs above US$3,660 key supportA look at the Crypto Total Market Cap Total Crypto Market Cap, September 22, 2025 – Source: TradingView Cryptos are still holding tightly above preceding all-time highs (from November 2021) which peaked at $3.73T at that time. Since, the new record reached $4.14T and consolidated at this time, with the current rally supported by more stable investor inflows and the creation of ETFs. Nonetheless, keep an eye on the Market Cap to check if this ongoing dynamic sees a switch. Binance Coin (BNB) 8H Chart BNB 8H Chart, September 22, 2025 – Source: TradingView BNB was progressing at a similar pace as other altcoins throughout this bull cycle but has seen considerable acceleration since August 2nd lows – Which also occurred on a Saturday. It might be important to denote this fact for future action! The top #5 altcoin is up 45% in a less than two months when looking at the low to high swings. Despite currently correcting, the crypto will now look to confirm its breakout above $1,000 as the pivot zone approaches and may serve as consolidation level. Levels of interest for BNB trading: Support Levels: $1,000 Pivot (+/- $15)Low of channel + breakout Support zone $880 to $900December 2024 Highs $794.3 support zone ($790 to $800)May 2021 highs to August 2nd lows zone ($704 to $730)Resistance Levels: Current ATH $1,087 and ATH resistance zoneATH resistance zone: $1,050 to $1,090$1,255 Fib-Induced potential resistanceEthereum 8H Chart ETH 8H Chart, September 22, 2025 – Source: TradingView Since reaching a new all-time high ($4,950) following Jerome Powell's August speech, Ethereum hasn't been able to create a significant rally. As mentioned in the introduction to this piece, the second-largest coin is still consolidating above $4,000 which is a positive sign for the long-run. However, last week's price action has formed a tight bear channel sequence, Despite the rebound at the December 2024 highs, a potential break-retest sign, bulls still have to show more to regain immediate momentum. Levels to place on your ETH Charts: Support Levels: $4,200 to $4,300 consolidation Zone (getting tested)$4,000 to $4,095 Main Long-run Pivot (most recent rebound)$3,500 Main Support ZoneResistance Levels: September 12th rebound high $4,690$4,950 Current new All-time highs$4,700 to $4,950 All-time high resistance zonePotential main resistance $5,230 Fibonacci extensionBitcoin 8H Chart BTC 8H Chart, September 22, 2025 – Source: TradingView Bitcoin's momentum has fallen sharply since last week's FOMC meeting. Still, the leading crypto is evolving within an upward channel which will need bulls to hold relaunch momentum higher to avoid a further bearish sequence settling. As a matter of fact, the lower trendline of the upward channel is about $2,000 lower (around $110,000). Currently hanging around the 50-period MA, it will be interesting to see who takes the immediate momentum – Selling is happening as we speak throughout the market, but Bitcoin is hanging tight. Levels to place on your BTC Charts: Support Levels: $110,000 to $112,000 previous ATH support zone$106,000 to $108,000 key support$100,000 main support at the psychological levelResistance Levels: Current all-time high $124,596Major resistance $122,000 to $124,500$115,000 to $117,000 key pivot$126,500 to $128,000 Fib-extension potential resistance (1.382% from April to May up-move)Safe Trades! Follow Elior on Twitter/X for additional Market News, Insights and Interactions @EliorManier Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc. -
Gold price ascends to new high; silver price at 14-year best
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Gold rose by nearly 1% to set another all-time high on Monday, as persistent political uncertainty and expectations of more US interest rate cuts continue to fuel demand for the metal. Spot gold surged to a record of $3,728.36 per ounce during the early hours of trading. By 10:30 a.m. ET, it traded at $3,718.77 an ounce for an intraday gain of 0.9%. Meanwhile, US gold futures were 1.3% higher at $3,755.20 per ounce in New York. With Monday’s move, gold has now risen by more than 41% in 2025. Central bank purchases and strong investment demand remain the key drivers of this rally, which could be traced back as far as 2022 when the Russia-Ukraine war broke out. Click on chart for live prices. Strong demand According to data from Metals Focus, net purchases by global central banks have exceeded 1,000 metric tons each year since 2022. The consultancy expects them to maintain this strong buying and add another 900 tons this year — twice the annual average of 457 tons in 2016-2021. Meanwhile, after a typical seasonal dip in UK gold buying, central bank demand has rebounded to 63 tonnes, matching the post-2022 average and adding to bullish sentiment, Societe Generale said in a note on Monday. Gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are also seeing continued inflows, with total holdings standing at 3,615.9 tons at the end of June, the largest since August 2022, the World Gold Council estimates. Their record was 3,915 tons five years ago. “There’s a continued flow of safe haven demand amid geopolitical matters that are still kind of wobbly, including the Russia-Ukraine war,” Jim Wyckoff, senior analyst at Kitco Metals, commented in a Reuters note. “Last week’s Fed interest rate cut and probably more Fed rate cuts coming by the end of the year are also supporting prices,” he added. Investors are closely watching a series of Fed speeches this week, including remarks from Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday, for fresh signals on the central bank’s monetary policy path. The US core personal consumption expenditure price data, due this Friday, is also in focus. Silver keeps going Silver, seen as a much cheaper alternative to gold as a safe-haven investment, also remains strong. On Monday, prices rose to $43.81 per ounce for a new 14-year high. This takes its year-to-date gains to almost 50%, surpassing that of gold. “Silver may yet find fresh upside as investors cast their sights beyond record-high gold prices. With the gold-silver ratio currently around 86, still above its five-year average of 82, silver may yet have more room to catch up on its more illustrious precious metals cousin,” Han Tan, chief market analyst at Nemo.money, told Reuters. (With files from Reuters) Sponsored: Secure your wealth today — buy gold bullion directly through our trusted partner, Sprott Money. -
First Solana Treasury is Live in South Korea: Will SOL USD Reclaim $250?
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First came Michael Saylor with MicroStrategy, launching a Bitcoin treasury. Soon, public firms explored Ethereum, and as of late September 2025, the first Solana treasury is now live in South Korea. Although the launch coincides with SOL USD falling, this development could provide the tailwinds to lift SOL USDT above $250. At press time, the Solana price is steady but hasn’t been spared the market-wide sell-off. Although the uptrend remains, there needs to be a conclusive close above September highs at around $250. If SOL bulls take charge, SOL USD could extend the gains from early July. According to Coingecko, the Solana price is up a decent +53% in the past year and +10% in the last month of trading. (Source: Coingecko) On Coinglass, Solana traders on leading perpetual exchanges are still bullish. For example, the long/short ratio on Binance is above 2.7, suggesting that most traders are bullish and expect SOL USD to shake off recent weaknesses. At the same time, there have been decent inflows on spot exchanges in the past few hours, pointing to possible accumulation at lower prices. (Source: Coinglass) First Solana Treasury is Live in South Korea: What Does it Mean for SOL? While there is accumulation, it remains to be seen whether Solana whales are buying the dip. However, earlier today, DeFi Development Corp. (DFDV), a public company trading on Nasdaq, partnered with Fragmetric Labs, a liquidity restaking platform on Solana, to launch the first Solana Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) in South Korea. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in 2025 Solana Treasury Live in South Korea: SOL USD To $250? SOL USD under pressure, drops from $250 Fragmetric Labs and DFDV are partnering for the first Solana DAT in South Korea South Korea has an active crypto scene Will SOL USD surge above $300? The post First Solana Treasury is Live in South Korea: Will SOL USD Reclaim $250? appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
Market sentiment improves amid US–China trade talksUS major stock indices continue their rally. The S&P 500 rose by 0.49%, while the Nasdaq 100 added 0.72%, both setting fresh all-time highs. Market sentiment is improving on the back of ongoing discussions regarding trade agreements between the United States and China. Strong quarterly earnings from tech companies also provided additional support to the market. Experts note that if the current positive trend continues, the indices could reach new levels by the end of the month. [Read more] No alarming bubbles in the stock market Investors point out that, despite elevated asset valuations, there are no signs of "scary bubbles" for now. The S&P 500 remains resilient, even amid concerns about a potential re-pricing of Fed rate expectations. At the same time, growing interest in the tech sector is sustaining capital inflows. Analysts believe that the primary risk remains uncertainty around monetary policy. [Read more] $100,000 H-1B visa fee sparks panic in Silicon Valley A new $100,000 fee for H-1B visas has alarmed tech companies, as it threatens the position of foreign specialists in the US job market. This decision could slow the flow of talent into the high-tech sector. Business associations have already voiced concerns and are preparing to lobby for the cancellation of the initiative. Experts warn this could lead to a relocation of some IT projects outside the US. [Read more] Oracle in talks with Meta The two companies are reportedly discussing a deal worth around $20 billion in the field of AI-focused cloud computing. The news highlights the intensifying competition in the tech sector and Oracle's growing ambitions. If finalized, the deal would be the largest ever between the two firms in this area. Investors see the talks as a signal of the ongoing trend toward integrating AI into core business processes. [Read more] US stock market at a crossroads Investors are awaiting key economic data, including the PCE Price Index, which could significantly impact market direction. The Fed's future rate strategy will largely depend on these figures. Soft data could trigger another leg up in the rally, while stronger inflation numbers could spark volatility and a possible correction. [Read more] Reminder: InstaForex offers some of the best trading conditions for stocks, indices, and derivatives — helping traders profit from market swings effectively. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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Altcoins Hit Hard as Week Starts With $1.7 Billion in Crypto Liquidations
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The crypto market kicked off the week with one of its sharpest downturns of 2025, erasing more than $151 billion in market value within a single day. According to data from CoinGlass, over $1.7 billion in leveraged positions were liquidated in just 24 hours, leaving more than 402,000 traders in the red. Ethereum (ETH) bore the heaviest losses, with nearly $500 million in liquidations, while Bitcoin (BTC) saw about $284 million wiped out. Altcoins such as XRP, Solana, Dogecoin, and Hyperliquid (HYPE) tumbled between 7–12%, erasing recent gains and signaling an abrupt end to the latest altcoins rally. The cascade began with BTC dipping below $113,000, triggering margin calls and automated sell-offs. Within just 30 minutes, liquidations had surged past $1 billion, underscoring the fragility of highly leveraged trading environments. Bitcoin Dominance Rises as Altcoins’ Value Drops The sell-off also brought a sharp reversal in market sentiment. The Altcoin Season Index, which peaked at 100 points just days ago, has now dropped to 64, suggesting traders are shifting back toward Bitcoin. BTC dominance has climbed to 57%, while ETH dominance slipped to 13%. Historically, altcoin seasons last only a few weeks before liquidity rotates back into Bitcoin. Analysts warn that the latest liquidation cascade may have ended this cycle earlier than expected. Smaller tokens, including ASTER, WLFI, and PUMP, which recently saw speculative surges, were among the hardest hit, with more than $263 million in altcoins longs liquidated. Healthy Shakeout or Bearish Warning? Despite the steep losses, many analysts argue the pullback reflects a healthy reset rather than the end of the bull cycle. Overleveraged traders were washed out, creating stronger support levels for long-term holders. Institutional demand remains intact, with Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs recording steady inflows last week, suggesting that large investors continue to buy the dip. On-chain data also shows 420,000 ETH leaving exchanges, pointing toward accumulation despite short-term volatility. For now, the market’s next move hinges on whether Ethereum can hold above $4,100 and Bitcoin stabilizes near the $112,000–$114,000 zone. Despite skepticism from traders, analysts predict a correction as laying the groundwork for the next upward move in the ongoing bull market. Cover image from ChatGPT, ETHUSD chart from Tradingview -
Oceans protection law to tighten squeeze on seabed miners
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A newly ratified treaty to safeguard life at sea is expected to intensify opposition to deep-sea mining at a United Nations climate summit this week in New York, United States, running alongside the leaders’ general assembly. The High Seas Treaty, officially known as the Biodiversity Beyond National Jurisdiction (BBNJ) agreement, will enter into force in January next year. This was made possible after Morocco became the 60th nation to ratify it on Friday, crossing the threshold required for UN treaties. Two decades in the making, the pact allows the creation of vast conservation zones in international waters, with the goal of protecting 30% of the ocean and halting biodiversity loss by 2030. Although the treaty does not mention mining directly, it requires governments to co-operate with agencies such as the Jamaica-based International Seabed Authority (ISA), which has yet to approve commercial mining in international waters. Environmentalists welcomed the breakthrough. “This is a conservation opportunity that happens once in a generation, if that,” Lisa Speer, director of the International Oceans Program at the Natural Resources Defense Council, said in a statement. WWF International director general Kirsten Schuijt called it a “turning point for two-thirds of the world’s ocean that lie beyond national jurisdiction.” Not a barrier Despite optimism, countries are pushing ahead with plans to extract minerals from the ocean floor. Hours after the treaty crossed the ratification threshold, India signed a 15-year contract with the ISA granting it exclusive rights to explore polymetallic sulphides in the Indian Ocean. New Delhi now holds the largest ISA-assigned exploration zone for these deposits and has conducted deep-sea trials in the region. India is also seeking exploration licences for nickel, manganese and copper in the Pacific. France is the only G7 nation to have ratified the High Sees treaty so far, but more are expected to do so at this week’s UN climate summit in New York. The US signed the treaty under the Biden administration, but President Trump has not ratified it and it is unclear whether he will. Washington has moved to allocate mining licences to private companies, bypassing the UN-backed regulator. The Trump administration views seabed mining as a strategy to secure critical minerals and cut reliance on foreign supply chains. A White House official said the industry could generate 100,000 jobs and add hundreds of billions to the US economy over the next decade. Companies are moving quickly. California-based Impossible Metals has applied for exploration rights both under US law and through the ISA, targeting the Clarion-Clipperton Zone (CCZ) in the Pacific, which holds nodules rich in copper, nickel, manganese and other metals vital for electric vehicles. Canada’s The Metals Company (TMC) filed for a commercial permit in April and secured an $85.2-million investment from South Korea’s Korea Zinc in June.The deal positioned Korea Zinc as a non-Chinese alternative capable of refining TMC’s extracted materials into battery-grade metals. Scramble beneath Beyond the US, nations including the Cook Islands, Japan and Norway are advancing seabed mining within their territorial waters, citing a looming supply crunch. The International Energy Agency (IEA) projects demand for copper and rare earth elements will jump 40% by 2040, while lithium, cobalt and nickel could rise by as much as 90%. Industry advocates argue that seabed extraction has a smaller environmental footprint than land-based mining. Opponents counter that the deep ocean remains poorly understood, and disrupting fragile ecosystems could unleash cascading effects on marine life. -
Bitcoin Stuck In Neutral While Markets Roar — Analyst Explains Why
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Bitcoin’s listless tape in the face of roaring macro risk is less a contradiction than a timing problem, argues this week’s edition of The Weekly Insight (Week 160, Sept. 20, 2025). Writing under the banner “Why’s BTC Lagging?”, contributor @CryptoinsightUK sets a decisively constructive medium-term tone—“I want to start this week by saying I am bullish, and I will continue to be bullish until I believe we are close to a top”—while acknowledging that the market feels late-cycle and emotionally frayed. “With that said, I do think we are closer to a top than a low here,” he adds, but the author still believes “we are approaching the most euphoric stage of this bull cycle.” Why Is Bitcoin Lagging? The piece pins much of today’s malaise on sentiment reflexivity. Crypto-Twitter’s grinding negativity is described as a view-generating feedback loop that makes the market feel heavier than it is. “That lag can feel frustrating,” the author writes, noting that the Fear & Greed Index has not displayed the clustered “extreme greed” readings that characterized the 2021 double-top. Aside from a burst of exuberance around late-2024/early-2025—“which coincided with XRP’s rally from around 50 cents to $2.70, eventually topping out at about $3.30 to $3.40”—the index has hovered in the mid-range, far from the blow-off conditions that typically mark cycle peaks. The implication is straightforward: despite the noise, the market has yet to show the classic euphoria clusters that precede tops. Macro correlations, often invoked to explain Bitcoin’s leadership or underperformance, are used here to argue for lag rather than breakdown. On M2 money supply, the author reiterates a well-tracked three-month linkage: “Bitcoin and the M2 money supply have correlated closely so far, but in the last two to three months M2 has absolutely ripped higher.” From here, readers can “either argue that the correlation has broken down, or that Bitcoin is simply lagging and has yet to catch up.” A similar read extends to gold. Directional leadership has alternated between the two assets, but with bullion pressing higher, a catch-up in BTC would “imply a move towards at least $135,000, compared to the current level of around $115,000.” Equities tell the same story in another register: the Nasdaq, Dow Jones, S&P, and Russell 2000 are at or near fresh all-time highs while Bitcoin has “mostly chopped sideways,” again “looking as though it may be lagging behind.” Market microstructure adds a decisive layer. The letter emphasizes the interaction between visible liquidity pockets and consolidation dynamics. “Every single time there has been a significant liquidity build up, Bitcoin has eventually run through it.” As price has stepped higher, resting liquidity has thickened—“red indicates the deepest liquidity, orange the next, and green the lightest”—and breakouts have been most forceful once those deep pockets were taken. The example given is the “run from $70k to $100k,” where “heavy consolidation was followed by an explosive breakout.” By that logic, the current map “is pointing to a move toward $140k or higher,” which also dovetails with the gold-parity argument. The author’s metaphor is telling: “I often explain price action like stored energy. The longer it consolidates and charges, the bigger the eventual release.” What Role Do Altcoins Play? The most forceful claim in the issue is not about Bitcoin at all but about altcoins. Both Total2 (crypto ex-BTC) and Total3 (crypto ex-BTC and ETH) are said to have “closed a daily candle into price discovery.” Total2 “closed a weekly all time high and is now extremely close to closing a second consecutive weekly high,” while Total3 sits “right on the edge of breaking into new all-time highs.” Structurally, the report frames Total2 as completing a Wyckoff accumulation and cup-and-handle, and Total3 as carving an ascending triangle poised for continuation. The combination—alts pressing price discovery while Bitcoin “is preparing to push to new highs”—is the setup the author associates with “mania or euphoria.” It is also the basis for a clear positioning disclosure: “it is exactly why I am fully positioned in altcoins here.” That rotation view is bolstered by a call on Bitcoin dominance. The author reiterates a long-held target: “I think we are heading down to at least the 35.5 percent level, and potentially even into the low 20s.” The historical analogs are unambiguous: from the 2017 highs, dominance “dropped by 62 percent,” and from the 2021 highs it “dropped by 46 percent,” each time accompanied by an acceleration in the monthly decline. If a similar acceleration coincides with BTC “ripping to new all time highs,” the result would be “a face melting altcoin rally that most people cannot even imagine right now.” The letter links this purely market-internal setup with external catalysts, citing “major legislative shifts in the largest financial economy in the world” and “the potential influx of trillions of dollars through stablecoins and the Clarity Act, which could be passed as soon as November.” Where Is Bitcoin Price Heading Next? The issue closes with a complementary technical brief by @thecryptomann1 that brings the near-term risk map into focus. For BTC spot, “decision time… is fast approaching,” with the zone between $111,000 and $115,000 flagged as “huge.” Lose it, and “the liquidity around the $105K range feels inevitable.” Exchange-side order-book heatmaps show “a chunk of liquidity sitting here across all exchanges,” suggesting elevated volatility if tested. The analyst doesn’t force a directional call—“I’m unsure which way the market swings”—and labels aggressive speculation “dangerous” in the current chop. A second lens comes via USDT dominance (USDT.D), which the analyst inverts to track risk appetite. The metric has been “stuck in [a] range for the past 15 months or so,” but structurally “looks like a chart that’s on its way to revisit its highs (which, in reality, are the lows).” The stated target remains 3.76%. The logic is deliberately simple—range structure, a hold of the 0.5 retracement, persistence in trend, and defense of a key “blue box” support—each pointing “to strength,” i.e., room for risk to keep advancing before stablecoin dominance rises again. That underpins a tactical approach: “The way I’m playing it is swinging long until USDT.D hits 3.76%, then de-risking. That’s not financial advice, just the way I’m approaching it.” The short-term “max pain” path is sketched with characteristic market irony. One plausible sequence is “$BTC pushing up to $120,000, everyone panicking and going long, fueling the liquidity below us, and then sweeping the lows.” The analyst cautions that a straight drop to the “low $100,000 range” feels “too obvious,” but concedes that both upside and downside liquidity are attractors in a compressed-volatility environment. The mood music for traders is summed, wryly, in a single line: “it’s getting squeaky bum time.” At press time, BTC traded at $112,712. -
FTX’s bankruptcy estate will begin its third wave of repayments on September 30, sending out $1.6 Bn and lifting total recoveries above $8Bn. Nearly three years have passed since the exchange collapsed, taking $8Bn in client assets. The payouts mark a step forward in unwinding Sam Bankman-Fried’s mess. But creditors remain divided over whether it’s enough. Moreover, could this trigger further sell-offs in the crypto markets? “It’s progress, but it doesn’t fully capture the opportunity cost,” one creditor wrote in online forums. How Much Are FTX Creditors Getting Back? Will This Cause a Crypto Dump? solanaPriceMarket CapSOL$130.45B24h7d1y As of this week, FTX payouts vary widely by jurisdiction and class: U.S. customers are set to recover 95% of their entitlements after this round. International users on the “dotcom” exchange will reach 78% recovery. Some government-related claims could see up to 120% restitution under premium settlement terms. Distributions will flow through partners like Kraken, BitGo, and Payoneer, typically within three business days of the launch. The August 15 cutoff has passed, so late filers must wait until the next cycle. A flood of repayments this size could spark a broader sell-off if markets stay under pressure. The real takeaway is simple: traders should be bracing for the impact of FTX distributions. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 What Does the FTX Data Reveal About the Recovery? According to court filings in Delaware, the disputed claims reserve was trimmed from $6.5 Bn to $4.3 Bn, unlocking $1.9 Bn in liquidity for immediate distribution. (Source: TradingView) DeFi Llama data puts the FTX Recovery Trust’s assets near $16.5 Bn, with administrators expecting to pay all claims by late 2026. By bankruptcy standards, that would count as one of the strongest recoveries the crypto sector has seen. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Is This a Win for Justice? Creditors say repayments based on 2022 prices leave them shortchanged, with Bitcoin more than 200% higher today, per CoinGecko. Demands for inflation adjustments or crypto-denominated payouts have grown in recent years, but the trust continues to prioritize speed and certainty. The final chapter may not close until 2026, but with billions already flowing, the odds of creditors walking away whole look better than anyone predicted in 2022. EXPLORE: New Crypto Bill: Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong Heads to Washington DC Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways FTX’s bankruptcy estate will begin its third wave of repayments on September 30, sending out $1.6 Bn and lifting total recoveries above $8 Bn Creditors say repayments based on 2022 prices leave them shortchanged, with Bitcoin more than 200% higher today. The post Will FTX Payout Dump Altcoin Markets This Week? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
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Black Swan Alert: What To Expect From Trump UN Speech?
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Eight years ago, Donald Trump was laughed at inside the General Assembly hall. Now a new Trump UN speech set for Tuesday might upheave everything in crypto and politics. His first speech as president drew smirks and derision from diplomats who dismissed him as a loud outsider unfit for the global stage. Today, in his second term, Trump is returning not as an outlier but as the embodiment of a post-multilateral world order. Leading up to the event, the total crypto market has crashed 3.4%. “The things he said then that seemed outlandish are now things he can do and has done,” said Michael Doyle, professor of international relations at Columbia University. The line drew cheers and underscored a hard-edged political style that has outgrown the guardrails of traditional diplomacy. Trump folded tariffs, political violence, and national loyalty into what was supposed to be a eulogy. MAGA, of course, loved it. We’ll see how things play out by week’s end. EXPLORE: Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino Hopes For Net Positive From US Elections, Says Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Is A Great Idea: 99Bitcoins Exclusive Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways Trump was once laughed at inside the UN hall. Now a new Trump UN speech set for Tuesday might upheave everything in crypto and politics. New Trumpism was on display during the memorial service for conservative activist Charlie Kirk. Trump praised Kirk as “a giant of his generation” The post Black Swan Alert: What To Expect From Trump UN Speech? appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
Despite an aggressive intraday drop in the cryptocurrency market — likely aimed at flushing out speculators and weaker hands in preparation for the next leg of the bull run — Bitcoin managed to stay above the $112,000 level. And with continued inflows into crypto investment products, there's reason to remain calm. In fact, when looking at the fundamental factors supporting the crypto industry, the outlook remains largely positive. Institutional interest is holding strong, and more corporations are adding digital assets to their balance sheets. Regulatory developments are ongoing, fostering innovation and expanding the practical use of cryptocurrencies. The regulatory environment is gradually becoming clearer, reducing uncertainty and improving the investment climate. According to CoinShares, inflows into crypto products totaled $1.9 billion last week, following a $3.3 billion inflow the week before. Strategy is expected to report new BTC purchases later today. Meanwhile, Asia's own "MicroStrategy," the company Metaplanet, has already announced the acquisition of another 5,419 BTC — the largest single purchase in its history. This brings its total holdings to 25,555 BTC. Such large-scale corporate investments reflect growing long-term confidence in Bitcoin as a reliable asset and store of value. Major players like Metaplanet are showing that Bitcoin is moving beyond its speculative roots and is increasingly seen as a legitimate component of institutional portfolios. Moreover, the actions of these companies could encourage other corporations to reassess their investment strategies and consider adding BTC to their balance sheets. This could spark a domino effect, driving further demand and fueling continued price growth. Trading recommendations Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Buyers are currently targeting a return to $113,200, which would open a direct path toward $114,400 — and from there, it's a short jump to $116,000. The final target for this bullish leg is the $117,800 area; a breakout above this level would confirm the strengthening of the bull market. If Bitcoin falls, buyers are expected to step in around $111,900. A drop below this level could quickly drag BTC down to the $110,000 zone, with the next support at $108,200. Ethereum (ETH/USD) A solid consolidation above $4,202 paves the way for a move toward $4,272. The final target is $4,397; a breakout here would signal increased buyer interest and confirm bullish momentum. If Ethereum declines, buyers will likely step in around $4,120. A fall below this zone could quickly send ETH toward $4,018, with deeper support at $3,922. What's on the chart The red lines represent support and resistance levels, where price is expected to either pause or react sharply. The green line shows the 50-day moving average. The blue line is the 100-day moving average. The lime line is the 200-day moving average. Price testing or crossing any of these moving averages often either halts movement or injects fresh momentum into the market. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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Ethereum has seen it all, from the ICO boom of 2017 to the NFT and DeFi explosion of 2021. Yet, in every cycle, there is a constant: fees. Ethereum is not as scalable as Solana or Base, for example, and users are susceptible to changes in gas fees. While fee changes can be used to gauge trader sentiment, which influences Ethereum price prediction models, the drivers of these fee changes ought to be organic and sustainable. In a blog post on September 21, Vitalik Buterin, the co-founder of Ethereum, delivered a sobering message to crypto investors and degens chasing the next god candle. He thinks that for Ethereum to survive, the chain should not hinge on the fleeting frenzy of meme coins. It is an indirect dig at competitors, especially Solana, whose bloodline is directly fed by meme coin activity. As of September 22, Coingecko data shows that Solana meme coins are now worth over $10.5Bn. (Source: Coingecko) While Buterin is skeptical of meme coins, some of the top meme coins have their origins on Ethereum, with some going on to funnel millions of dollars to help scale the mainnet. Shiba Inu, for example, has a Shibarium Layer-2 for Ethereum, and SHIB USD is still one of the most valuable Ethereum meme coins. DISCOVER: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in 2025 Vitalik Buterin: Ethereum Can’t Rely on Meme Coins for Growth Meme coins are not necessarily bad for crypto. If anything, there is an argument that they are the only option for retailers to ride the crypto boom now that, for example, top-tier DeFi projects have been captured by venture capitalists. One analyst in particular projects the total meme coin market to command over $1T by the end of the decade. Yet, Buterin thinks the overreliance on speculative fads like meme coins, or even NFTs, and high-risk DeFi schemes promising massive yields is dangerous for Ethereum as a network. The Ethereum co-founder thinks the meme coin booms or the explosion of high-risk DeFi protocols are “temporary” and “recursive forces” running on hype. He adds that, on these dapps, most incentive chasers see ETH as valuable “because people use the Ethereum mainnet to buy and sell and leverage-trade ETH.” Buterin notes that “it’s just not possible to say with a straight face you are excited about the ecosystem because it’s positively changing the world, if its single largest application is political memecoins.” To illustrate the danger, he points to the 2021 Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) land sale that, though a success raking in millions in gas fees, was poorly designed, leading to the squandering of $180M in gas inefficiencies. The BAYC story, in Buterin’s view, highlights how speculative mania breeds waste, not the much-needed innovation Ethereum needs to move forward. While NFTs faded, the rise of meme coins presents new challenges to Ethereum and investors. The boom of viral meme coins on the Ethereum mainnet can lead to gas spikes. Meanwhile, investors can be scammed or rug-pulled. Over the years, hundreds of millions of dollars, if not billions, have been stolen from retail investors. Instead, Buterin thinks if developers must build the right things, steering away from “political meme coins”, the first smart contract will find its Google “search moment.” Low-risk DeFi protocols, though boring, could help attract trillions into Ethereum while consistently generating steady fees for node operators. DISCOVER: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 Ethereum Price Prediction: Will ETH USD Break $5,000 if There’s a Pivot? In preparation for global adoption, Ethereum has been scaling. The Dencun upgrade from early 2024 slashed Layer-2 transaction costs, making it dirt cheap to trade on popular Layer-2s, including Base and Arbitrum. Presently, all Ethereum Layer-2s manage over $55 billion worth of assets. (Source: L2Beat) Moreover, the improving regulatory environment in the United States could explain the stablecoin boom on Ethereum and other chains. The GENIUS Act’s enactment makes it clear for stablecoin issuers what they should comply with before rolling out their tokens. As of September 22, the total stablecoin market stands at over $297Bn. Algorithmic stablecoins on Ethereum like USDS are also finding the much-needed traction. (Source: Coingecko) If Ethereum pivots away and finds a sustainable revenue path where the network generates a bulk of its fees from low-risk DeFi protocols the co-founder endorses, ETH ▼-6.34% could extend gains. ethereumPriceMarket CapETH$503.56B24h7d1y At press time, ETH USD is fragile after losing $4,200. Buyers must step in to contain losses of earlier today, validating the uptrend set in motion from early July. A close above $4,800 will open up Ethereum to $5,000 in the coming sessions. On X, one analyst thinks the ETH USD uptrend remains. He notes that the second most valuable coin is within a bullish breakout, clear in the weekly chart. If Ethereum stays above $4,000, ETH USDT could easily climb to $12,000. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto – Here’s 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x This Year Vitalik Buterin On Meme Coins: Ethereum Price Prediction Vitalik Buterin skeptical about meme coins and high-risk DeFi protocols Meme coins to break $1T by 2030? Ethereum co-founder pushing for innovation Ethereum price prediction: ETH USD to break $5,000? The post Vitalik Says Ethereum Can’t Rely on Meme Coin Money: Ethereum Price Prediction for October 2025 appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
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Arthur Hayes Dumps Hyperliquid for a Ferrari: Should Traders Care?
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Did Arthur Hayes just cash out on his own 126x prediction for Hyperliquid? The BitMEX co-founder sold his entire stash of HYPE tokens, reportedly to fund a Ferrari Testarossa. Barely a month after telling a Tokyo audience the token could climb 126x, Arthur Hayes cashed out part of his HYPE stash. “Need to pay my deposit on the new Rari 849 Testarossa,” he posted on Sept. 21. Then, it’s over. I loved Hyperliquid and their values but what can a man do when their biggest advocate has abandoned them or against CZ Binance is promoting the Aster project? CZ literally destroyed the FTX wonder boys. Even his copypaste chain is unbeatable. Blockchain data from Lookonchain shows he cleared $823,000, a 19.2% gain on 96,628 tokens. The sports car’s sticker price, up to $590,000, matched the move’s theatrics. Can Hyperliquid Hold Up Without Arthur Hayes, Its Biggest Promoter? HYPE powers the Hyperliquid decentralized derivatives exchange, which has exploded in activity. The token traded at $49.48 after Hayes’ exit, down 8% on the day but still up 660% since launching at $6.51 last November. According to DeFi Llama, Hyperliquid’s trading volume spiked from $560 Mn in early August to a record $3.4 Bn by Aug. 24. (Source: DefiLlama) At WebX 2025, Hayes had argued: “Fiat debasement will drive stablecoin expansion and push Hyperliquid’s annualized fees as high as $255 Bn.” DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Is This Another Hayes Head Fake? Crypto Investors Call Him BullSh*t Artist Hayes has a track record of mixing bold forecasts with sudden mercurial pivots. As the old crypto saying goes: “Never believe what people say in crypto, only what their actions show on chain.” Recently, he declared that crypto was about to enter “up only” mode after the U.S. Treasury topped its $850Bn account target. “With this liquidity drain complete, up only can resume,” Hayes wrote. (Source: X) He also predicts Bitcoin will hit $250,000 by end of 2025, though he admits accuracy isn’t his concern. “It doesn’t really matter at the end of the day,” he told Cointelegraph Magazine. Despite Hayes’ Ferrari stunt, CoinGecko data shows daily HYPE trading volume remains resilient. Liquidity on Hyperliquid has not fled, suggesting users are sticking with the platform. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 Bet Against Hayes, or With Him? Hayes’ sale may look like a top signal, but the exchange’s fundamentals tell a different story. Hyperliquid is still scaling fast, and HYPE is more than a one-man show. The bigger question will be if the Q4 crypto cycle actually delivers the “up only” world Hayes promised, or did he just cash in before the music stops? EXPLORE: New Crypto Bill: Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong Heads to Washington DC Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways Did Arthur Hayes just cash out on his own 126x prediction for Hyperliquid? The BitMEX co-founder sold his entire stash of HYPE tokens The bigger question will be if the Q4 crypto cycle actually delivers the “up only” world Hayes promised. The post Arthur Hayes Dumps Hyperliquid for a Ferrari: Should Traders Care? appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
XRP Goes Head-To-Head With Bitcoin In This Metric As South Korean Market Wakes Up
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XRP’s growing momentum has not only intensified price speculations but has also placed it in direct comparison with Bitcoin in one surprising metric, especially in the South Korean market. Data shows that XRP is now challenging Bitcoin’s dominance in the South Korean crypto world, as evidenced by the reserves of Upbit, the biggest crypto exchange in the country in terms of trading volume and market share. Upbit’s Unusual XRP Reserve Levels On-chain data shows how XRP is beginning to challenge Bitcoin’s long-standing dominance in South Korea, where trading activity is among the most vibrant globally. As the leading cryptocurrency, most exchanges across the world hold Bitcoin as the dominant reserve asset, with BTC traditionally accounting for the largest share of exchange portfolios. This has been the case because exchange reserves are shaped by customer demand, and Bitcoin has been the preferred asset for traders. However, it would seem the Korean market is bucking the trend, and investors are getting more inclined to XRP. According to on-chain data from CryptoQuant, which was first posted on the social media platform X by an analytics account called CryptoOnchain’s, XRP is challenging Bitcoin’s dominance on Upbit, which is the biggest crypto exchange in South Korea. This trend began in December 2024, when Upbit started significantly increasing its XRP reserves. At the time of writing, the amount of XRP held by the exchange is now at levels that rival its Bitcoin holdings. As shown in the chart below, XRP’s USD value in Upbit’s reserves has risen steeply alongside Bitcoin’s since the beginning of the year, with XRP even breaking above $20 billion briefly before retracing. As of now, the value of XRP reserves on Upbit is around $18 billion, only slightly below Bitcoin’s $20 billion on the platform. For comparison, Ethereum’s holdings on Upbit are just a little above $5 billion. This shows how XRP has carved out a position much closer to Bitcoin than any other major cryptocurrency on the exchange. Implications For The Altcoin’s Future Demand Monitoring these reserve trends at Upbit could serve as an important indicator for XRP’s trajectory in the months ahead. Given Upbit’s large influence in Asia, its portfolio balance has implications beyond its own platform, and it could shape XRP’s demand and price action within the continent. Trading data has shown periods of exceptionally high XRP trading volume and activity on Upbit in the past. If the altcoin continues to maintain parity with Bitcoin in Upbit’s reserves, it would signal a deep structural preference for the token in one of the world’s most active trading hubs, and this would, in turn, add weight to bullish arguments of a sustained upward price momentum. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $2.81, down by 6.5% in the past 24 hours. -
Canadian pension giant enters Aussie renewables with $725M deal
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Canadian pension fund La Caisse is acquiring Australian renewables developer Edify Energy for C$1.1 billion ($725 million), securing a foothold in a market it has long sought to enter. La Caisse, which manages nearly C$500 billion ($550 billion) in net assets, will commit about C$1 billion in equity. Roughly one-third will go toward the acquisition, with the rest funding two integrated solar-and-battery projects. The deal marks La Caisse’s first investment in Australian renewables after years of searching for an entry point, including an unsuccessful bid for Tilt Renewables in 2021. “We don’t have renewables in Australia, which is something I was trying to fix because I think it’s a great market … we want to be part of that,” Emmanuel Jaclot, executive vice president and head of infrastructure and sustainability at La Caisse, said. “We’re hoping we can turbocharge the development of Edify.” The two Edify projects will deliver 900 megawatts of generation capacity and 3,600 megawatt-hours of storage, and the funding will also support the renewables developer’s pipeline of more than 11 gigawatts, La Caisse said. Rio Tinto (ASX: RIO) and the Australian government have already signed offtake agreements for the projects, according to La Caisse. The acquisition gives the Montreal-based fund exposure to Australia’s fast-growing clean energy sector. The federal government aims to cut emissions by 62% to 70% from 2005 levels by 2035, a target that will require massive investment in renewable generation.