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Mark Bristow’s shocking exit shakes up Barrick leadership
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Barrick Mining (TSX: ABX) (NYSE: B) shocked markets Monday with the abrupt resignation of president and CEO Mark Bristow, who departs after nearly seven years at the helm without explanation. Bristow, who steered Barrick since its 2019 merger with Randgold, will be replaced on an interim basis by Mark Hill, a veteran executive overseeing the miner’s Latin American and Asia Pacific regions. Hill, with the company for two decades, takes charge immediately as the board launches a global search for a permanent successor with the help of an external firm. Bristow’s tenure included the integration of Randgold, $6.7 billion in shareholder returns, a $4-billion cut in net debt, and a series of strong quarterly results. But his record was overshadowed by a long-dragged dispute with Mali over the Loulo-Gounkoto gold complex, once Barrick’s largest African mine. Thorn in Bristow’s side The dispute traces back to Mali’s 2023 mining code, which increased government royalties and equity stakes in joint ventures. While competitors such as Allied Gold and B2Gold reached agreements with the ruling junta, Barrick resisted. Tensions escalated last year when the government demanded a greater share of profits. Authorities responded by jailing four Barrick executives, issuing an arrest warrant for Bristow, blocking exports, and seizing bullion. Mark Hill. (Image: LinkedIn profile.) Barrick responded by seeking international arbitration late last year, and in January 2025 shut down the mine entirely. The standoff took a turn for the word in June, when Malian authorities placed Loulo-Gounkoto under state control. Barrick booked a $1-billion impairment charge in August, cutting the carrying value of its 80% stake in the mine, which once generated 15% of the company’s gold output. The crisis deepened further when Hilaire Diarra, Barrick’s former Tongon mine manager and key negotiator with Malian authorities, switched sides. In late August, Diarra was appointed as a special adviser to Mali’s president Assimi Goïta. Earlier this month, Malian prosecutors appealed a court order to release the jailed executives, prolonging legal uncertainty around the Canadian miner’s operations in the country. More to come… -
Stock indices ended week with gainsUS stock indices closed higher on Friday, with futures pointing to further gains. Investors are eagerly awaiting Congress's meeting with Trump on federal funding. Optimism in the market is supported by expectations of new economic stimulus measures. At the same time, concerns remain that political uncertainty could cap the rally. Follow the link for more details. Expectations of volatility in OctoberInvestors are preparing for increased volatility in the S&P 500 in October, possibly due to a potential US government shutdown. A continued rally is constrained by weaker positions of some leading companies. Experts warn that uncertainty over federal funding could trigger short-term sell-offs. However, positive corporate earnings may partly offset these risks. Follow the link for more details. Oracle strengthens position through TikTokOracle signed a $14 billion deal to acquire part of TikTok's US operations, opening new prospects for the company. This will strengthen its position in data and artificial intelligence. The deal will allow Oracle to compete more actively with Microsoft and Amazon in the cloud technology market. Cooperation with TikTok is also expected to expand the company's influence in the media space. Follow the link for more details. Apple enhances work on SiriApple is preparing updates for Siri by developing an internal app to test new features. This is an important step for the company as it seeks to keep pace with rivals in artificial intelligence. New features may improve user experience and increase the attractiveness of Apple's ecosystem. Analysts believe that integrating innovations into Siri will help the company maintain leadership in premium technology. Follow the link for more details. As a reminder, InstaForex provides the best conditions for trading stocks, indices, and derivatives, helping traders profit effectively from market fluctuations. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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Will Solana Uncap Blocks After Alpenglow? SOL USD Price Prediction For October
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Recent Solana price action has been a wild card, and with the upcoming Alpenglow protocol upgrade, things can get even more volatile. With SOL crypto trading in a wide range, gaining over 20% weekly, only to return everything the week after. With Uptober coming in and traders and devs discussing the upcoming update, price action could get even messier. Solana’s Alpenglow update is designed to make transaction finality almost instantaneous, potentially outpacing even Web2 systems like Google search speeds. At the same time, a new proposal from Jump Crypto’s Firefancer team is sparking debates about removing Solana’s long-standing block caps, a move that could take the blockchain’s throughput to unprecedented levels. As excitement builds, the question is whether these upgrades will fuel a rally in SOL price or if the market will see another round of FUD before the next leg up. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time What is the Alpenglow Upgrade and Why Are Developers Excited? Alpenglow is Solana’s most considerable protocol upgrade to date, receiving over 98% validator approval earlier this September. It replaces Solana’s legacy Proof-of-History and TowerBFT systems with Votor (a voting mechanism) and Rotor( a deterministic clock). These changes will drastically cut block finality times from 12.8 seconds to just 100-150 milliseconds. Buy with Best Wallet gaining some traction recently and Solana fundamentals getting even more solid, we can expect that October is going to be a crucial month chart-wise. If that happens and a breakout occurs, the Solana price will be in a position of price discovery, which leaves everything to speculation on where it will stop. Many traders shorting the breakout, believing it is the next fakeout, could create even more speculation, and a short squeeze is also on the board of possibilities, sending it up at a new ATH with ease. RSI indicator is above the moving average, showing a lot of room for growth, supported by green MACD. Missing peace now is the volume; if volume keeps up with, and we push again with volume, this would be the clear sign for possible price discovery. (Source – Tradingview) DISCOVER: 15+ Upcoming Coinbase Listings to Watch in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways SIMD-0370 by Jump’s Firedance team proposes removing Solana’s fixed compute unit block limit after Alpenglow. 4th time is the charm? SOL USD to push again amid Uptober? The post Will Solana Uncap Blocks After Alpenglow? SOL USD Price Prediction For October appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
USD Extends Pre-Weekend Pullback, but may Find Better Bid in North America
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Overview: The US dollar is extending the pullback seen ahead of the weekend. It is softer against all the G10 currencies and most emerging market currencies today. However, the intraday momentum indicators are stretched, and, perhaps, some US participants will want to wait to see the outcome of President Trump's meeting with Democratic leaders in Congress before extending the greenback's sell-off in the face of what the possible government shutdown starting Wednesday. Equities are mostly advancing. Japanese equities were the chief exception in the Asia Pacific, with the Nikkei dropping 0.7%, and Taiwan markets were closed. The Hang Seng led today's rally with a nearly 1.9% gain, and mainland shares that trade there rose 1.6%. Europe's Stoxx 600, which eked out a minor gain last week, is up almost 0.40% today. US index futures pared their weekly losses before the weekend and are 0.4%-0.65% stronger now. Bonds have also rallied. Benchmark 10-year yields are 2-3 bp lower in Europe. The US 10-year yield that approached 4.20% in the second half of last week is off 3-4 bp today near 4.14%. The US Treasury has not coupon sales this week but lots of bills. The softer greenback, lower rates, and the prospect of a US government shutdown helped lift gold to a new record near $3820. However, it has stalled and could test the $3800 area in North America. The prospect that OPEC+ could decide at the end of the week to boost output again next month has seen November WTI pull back toward $64.60 today after reaching $66.40 before the weekend, which was the highest since August 1. USD: After rallying Wednesday and Thursday, the Dollar Index consolidated ahead of the weekend. It peaked last Thursday around 98.60. It has pulled back to further today, reaching almost 97.85. Nearby support is seen in the 97.70-80 area. At the same time, it is increasingly difficult to see how a federal government shutdown tomorrow at midnight can be averted. There seems to be a slim chance that meeting between the president and congressional leaders today, which was canceled last week, will overcome the key obstacle; namely that both sides see advantages in a shutdown. This swamps other near-term concerns. Today's diary is light; pending home sales and the Dallas Fed's manufacturing survey, and tomorrow sees house prices, the August JOLTS and September Conference Board's survey. A government shutdown would delay the September employment report on Friday. That may give the ADP private sector jobs estimate more sway. The median forecast in Bloomberg's survey is for a 48k increase in the ADP estimate. EURO: The euro fell to a two-week low last Thursday, near $1,1645, before recovering back above $1,1700 ahead of the weekend. Additional buying today has seen in approached the lower band of resistance, which extends from $1.1735 to $1.1750 area could lend credence to ideas a low is in place. At the least, it could signal a test on the $1.1800-15 area. The EU confidence surveys out earlier today typically are not market movers. This week's attention in CPI. Spain, whose credit rating was lifted by Moody's and Fitch at the end of last week, reported today that its EU harmonized measure of CPI rose from 2.7% to 3.0% in September. The other three largest eurozone members report this national figures tomorrow and the ECB's aggregate estimate is released on Wednesday. Headline inflation has been hovering between 1.9% and 2.1% for the past four months. Over the same period, the core rate has been flat at 2.3%. CNY: The dollar approached the month's high last week, slightly shy of CNH7.15. The heavier greenback tone ahead of the weekend saw it return to almost CNH7.14. It has been sold a little below CNH7.1200. Currently, the yuan looks to be trading rather passively, responding to changes in the greenback. The next technical target may be slightly below CNH7.1100. After setting the dollar's fix higher for the third consecutive session, and the highest this month before the weekend (CNY7.1152), the PBOC set it lower today at CNY7.1089). China sees its September PMI first thing tomorrow. The market reaction is likely to be limited. Chinese markets are from Wednesday October 1 through Wednesday October 8. China data often has little impact on the exchange rate, which is closely managed by the PBOC. In the generally firm US dollar environment seen since the press conference after the recent FOMC meeting, the yuan has yielded a little to the greenback, but it is among the strongest currencies in the world. JPY: The dollar's recovery that began during Fed Chair's press conference after the FOMC meeting from a two-month low near JPY145.50 stalled last week a smidgeon below JPY150.00 The pullback was limited to around JPY149.40 before the weekend. Follow-through selling today has pushed it slightly below JPY148.50 by early European turnover. It is overextended on an intraday basis. US 10-year yield that was knocking on 4.20% last Thursday is now near 4.14%. That could coincide with the dollar pushing above JPY150. First thing tomorrow, Japan reports industrial production and retail sales. Industrial output is expected to have contracted by 0.9% in August industrial output after a 1.2% decline in July. Q3 is off to a rough start. It averaged 0.2% a gain in the first seven months of the year. Retail sales are expected to rise by 1.2% in August to recover much of the 1.6% decline in July. Through July, the average monthly change was zero. The weak domestic economic backdrop may contribute to the Bank of Japan's reluctance to raise rates so far this year, though the market's confidence of hike is increased. The Tankan survey results may be the economic highlight of the week now, and the LDP will choose its leader this weekend, who will become the next prime minister. GBP: The UK reported August consumer credit and mortgage data earlier today, but the market looks past it. Since the FOMC meeting, the UK 10-year Gilt yield rose by almost 15 bp, while sterling dropped shed about four cents (~3%). As the momentum stalled ahead of the weekend, it appeared that short covering helped it recover from around $1.3325 to almost $1.3415. Follow-through buying today has lifted sterling to $1.3450, which stretched the intraday momentum indicators. Nearby resistance is seen in the $1.3465 area, and a move above there can signal a return to the $1.3525-50 area. CAD: The stronger than expected July GDP (0.2%) did not prevent the Canadian dollar from settling at its lowest level since mid-May before weekend. The US dollar reached a high near CAD1.3960 in Europe before data but found support near CAD1.3930. It has fallen to almost CAD1.3915 today. A break of CAD1.3900 could see CAD1.3870 initially. The swaps market also was not impacted much by the monthly GDP and is still discounting around 75% chance of another rate cut in Q4 25. AUD: Since the US FOMC meeting, the Australian dollar has fallen from the year's high slightly above $0.6705 to $0.6520 at the end of last week. It consolidated but stalled around $0.6550 and rose to almost $0.6575 today. A convincing move above here may boost confidence that the near-term low is in place, but the intraday momentum indicators have stalled in overbought territory. The Reserve Bank of Australia meets the first thing tomorrow. There is little chance of a change in policy. Therefore, the guidance RBA Governor Bullock provides is the key to the market's reaction. Another robust gain (0.6%) in private sector credit is exactly the kind of thing that has spurred Bullock into warning that maybe additional rate cuts are not warranted. MXN: The dollar rallied from the year's low set around the FOMC meeting earlier this month near MXN18.20 to a high last week before Banxico cut rates around MXN18.5650. It fell to almost MXN18.33 on Friday, ahead of the weekend. This met the (61.8%) retracement of the rally near MXN18.34, but it closed above it. Today, it eased a little through MXN18.32. A break of MXN18.30 would signa a return to MXN18.20. Mexico's economic calendar is busy in the coming days with unemployment, worker remittances, IMEF surveys, and auto sales, but none seem to move the peso. Banxico left open the scope for additional easing. Yet, it does not meet until November 6 (and then December 18). This week's data may not be important inputs for the central bank's decision. Disclaimer -
Now That Ethereum ETFs Are Dead, What’s Next For ETH Price? (Record $796M Outflows)
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How does it feel that the above picture is the only reason the Ethereum price is trading above $2000? Ethereum ETFs just suffered their worst week on record. According to Farside Investors, spot ETH funds saw $795.6M in outflows last week, narrowly beating the previous $787.7M record set earlier this month. “ETF flows mirror investor hesitation — high volumes, but cautious allocations,” one Farside analyst said. The Fidelity Ethereum Fund (FETH) led the exodus with $362M withdrawn, while BlackRock’s ETHA lost over $200M despite managing more than $15B in assets. Grayscale’s ETHE also reported heavy withdrawals, underscoring that this wasn’t isolated selling but a broader wave of investor caution. So, will we see a new Ethereum ATH this year or not? Data Check: Is Ethereum Actually Stronger Than It Looks? All you had to do was buy Bitcoin under $1000 and Ethereum under $20. You had seven years to stack for this very moment—the great fiat collapse. With all that said, even with money bleeding out, Ethereum’s on-chain picture isn’t falling apart. CryptoQuant data shows exchange reserves slipping lower as coins move into cold storage or staking contracts. When demand kicks in, less supply on exchanges often sets the stage for sharper moves. At the same time, bearish puts on Ethereum look stretched. With most downside liquidation clusters already cleared, the bulk of leverage now sits above price. In plain terms, even a modest move higher could trigger a cascade of short liquidations and cause a short squeeze. CoinGecko’s long-term charts reinforce the backdrop. ETH has outperformed most Layer-1 rivals year-to-date, with a 62% gain versus Solana’s 45% and BNB’s 28%. The problem isn’t ETH’s fundamentals — it’s sentiment. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 Bitcoin ETFs Are Bleeding Too, But Why Does it Look Stronger? Ethereum wasn’t alone. Spot Bitcoin ETFs lost $902.5M last week, led by Fidelity’s FBTC. Still, Bitcoin held firmer than ETH, sliding 5.5% to $109,352, with liquidation clusters stacked above rather than below. Glassnode data shows that ETF inflows earlier in September remained net positive, suggesting that BTC retains stronger institutional bid support. (Source: CryptoQuant) Ethereum’s chart paints a fragile balance. The price is hugging the 200-day EMA near $4,000, a level that often acts like a launchpad. Momentum indicators are neutral: RSI at 38 and fading OBV point to weaker volume, but not outright collapse. “ETH looks stuck until demand flips the balance, but when it does, the move can be violent,” a trader on X noted. If buyers regain control, ETH could easily squeeze past $4,200, forcing shorts out of the trade. If not, the next support rests near $3,700. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time And if everything for Ethereum collapses you need to learn how to grow food. Can the food and store it. Also make your own wheat and bread. Have livestock for milk. Good luck. EXPLORE: Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino Hopes For Net Positive From US Elections, Says Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Is A Great Idea: 99Bitcoins Exclusive Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways How does it feel that the above picture is the only reason the Ethereum price is trading above $2000? Here’s what’s next for ETF. Even with money bleeding out, Ethereum’s on-chain picture isn’t falling apart. The post Now That Ethereum ETFs Are Dead, What’s Next For ETH Price? (Record $796M Outflows) appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
Ethereum Outflows Hit Spot Exchanges Again: Bullish Signal Or Neutral Flows?
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Ethereum had a relatively quiet weekend, with price action showing signs of stability after last week’s volatility. ETH has reclaimed the $4,100 level, and analysts now point to the $4,000 mark as a crucial line of defense. If bulls manage to hold above this support, the market could see a strong surge in the coming days, setting the stage for Ethereum to retest higher levels. Adding weight to this outlook, a key report by CryptoQuant highlights that Ethereum supply on spot exchanges continues to decline. This trend often signals that investors are withdrawing ETH to self-custody or staking, reducing available sell-side liquidity on exchanges. Historically, such declines in exchange reserves have paved the way for rallies, as demand eventually absorbs the reduced supply. However, while the data is supportive, analysts caution that the real catalyst remains demand. Without strong inflows of new buyers, supply-side reductions alone may not be enough to push ETH significantly higher. The coming days will therefore be critical, with Ethereum’s ability to hold above $4,000 serving as a key indicator of whether the next leg of the rally is ready to unfold. Ethereum Outflows Point to Long-Term Bullish Setup According to the CryptoQuant report, recent Ethereum outflows from spot exchanges are largely tied to new buys, where investors purchase ETH and immediately move it into self-custody or staking. This behavior reduces sell-side liquidity and, over time, can create the foundation for price appreciation. Looking at past cycles, clear patterns emerge: Network Congestion & UNI Airdrops: During this phase, high gas fees and strong macro tailwinds fueled demand. Outflows accelerated, leading to a robust bull run as liquidity tightened. Late Bear Phase & FTX Collapse: At the peak of quantitative tightening (QT), the FTX crisis sparked a bank run, with older coins leaving exchanges. Despite fear, improving macro conditions soon restored demand, driving ETH higher. We see the same trend today: reserves are falling, yet prices remain flat as selling offsets new buying. Historically, once demand strengthens, these periods lead to rallies. Importantly, this is not a supply shock in the strict financial sense. Instead, it reflects reduced exchange reserves and lower sell-side pressure. The question is whether demand will accelerate. If rate cuts, slower QT, and rising global liquidity continue, ETH could be primed for a strong long-term move. In the meantime, price volatility is expected. If ETH dips below the accumulating whales’ realized price, it may offer a buying opportunity, just as it has in past cycles. This dynamic shows investor trust in Ethereum and reinforces the view that falling reserves prepare the ground for the next rally. Price Action Details: Relief Rally Or Recovery? Ethereum (ETH) is attempting to stabilize after its sharp drop below the $4,000 level, with the latest chart showing a modest recovery to around $4,131. The bounce comes after ETH briefly tested lows near $3,900, suggesting that buyers are stepping in to defend this critical support area. On the 8-hour chart, ETH has reclaimed the 200-day EMA (red line), which is now acting as a short-term pivot point. However, the 50-day (blue) and 100-day (green) moving averages remain above the current price, creating overhead resistance between $4,250 and $4,400. A clean break and consolidation above these levels will be necessary for bulls to regain momentum and target higher ranges toward $4,600. For now, ETH’s structure is fragile. The recent rejection from $4,600 and the subsequent breakdown highlight the intensity of selling pressure. Still, the rebound from sub-$4,000 levels signals that demand remains strong, particularly from accumulation wallets and whales, which have been absorbing supply. If ETH holds above $4,000 and pushes through $4,250, the market could enter a recovery phase. Conversely, failure to maintain this rebound may expose ETH to a retest of $3,800 or even lower support zones. The coming sessions will be critical in defining ETH’s short-term trend. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView -
Is Telegram Still Free? French Government Force Moldova Election Interference Via Pavel
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Telegram founder Pavel Durov said on September 28 that French intelligence pressured him into removing Moldovan election channels during the 2024 campaign. In posts on Telegram and X, he claimed the request came through an intermediary while he was in Paris and was linked to his ongoing legal case in France. “This was unacceptable on several levels,” Durov wrote. Crypto advocates and digital rights groups framed Telegram as a last line of defense for free speech online, warning that the prosecution was a test case for platform accountability. DISCOVER: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025 Europe’s Broader Push for Online Control: Is Telegram Next? The latest claims come amid a broader European push to regulate online platforms. In May 2025, Durov said French intelligence also pressured Telegram to censor Romanian election content, which he rejected. “You can’t ‘defend democracy’ by destroying democracy. You can’t ‘fight election interference’ by interfering with elections,” Durov argued. Meanwhile, the EU’s controversial 2025 proposal to monitor all chat messages, including encrypted ones, has gained backing from 19 member states. (Source – European Blockchain Association) According to Eurobarometer, trust in government across the EU is 32%, while nearly half of respondents now put more faith in digital platforms for communication (a climb from 42% in 2023). Durov says Telegram will never censor for politics, no matter the pressure. At stake is the bigger question of who will set the boundaries of political speech in an age where encrypted apps shape public debate. EXPLORE: XRP Price Jumps 11% After SEC Crypto Unit Tease XRP ETF Progress Key Takeaways Telegram founder Pavel Durov said on Sept. 28 that French intelligence attempted to pressure him into removing Moldovan election channels. Trust in government across the EU sits at 32%, according to Eurobarometer. The post Is Telegram Still Free? French Government Force Moldova Election Interference Via Pavel appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
On Friday, the EUR/USD pair continued its upward move after rebounding from the support zone of 1.1637–1.1645 and consolidated above the 76.4% Fibonacci level – 1.1695. Thus, growth may continue today toward the resistance zone of 1.1789–1.1802. A close below 1.1695 would favor the U.S. dollar and a return to the 1.1637–1.1645 zone. The wave setup on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed downward wave broke the low of the previous wave, while the new upward wave has not broken the previous low. Therefore, the trend remains "bearish" for now. However, recent labor market data and shifting Fed monetary policy outlook support bullish traders, meaning the trend may begin to change again this week. To end the "bearish" trend, the price must consolidate above the last peak at 1.1819. On Friday, traders' main focus was the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, which fell to 55.1 points, below expectations. Personal consumption expenditure price index and household income and spending matched forecasts. U.S. consumer confidence has been declining repeatedly. While not the most crucial indicator for traders, on Friday it weighed on the dollar. Meanwhile, bulls gained ground on news of new tariffs imposed by Donald Trump, as well as the looming threat of another government shutdown. I would also note that all the "bearish" factors (and there were not many of them) have already been priced in by traders. Thus, I expect the "bullish" trend to shine anew. This week brings many important events and reports, with particular interest in U.S. labor market and unemployment data. These will shape FOMC monetary policy for the rest of the year. If results are negative, the likelihood of additional easing will grow. That would be a double blow for the dollar. On the 4-hour chart, the pair turned in favor of the euro near the 1.1680 level. Growth may resume toward the 161.8% corrective level at 1.1854. A close below 1.1680 would favor the U.S. dollar and open the way for further decline toward the 127.2% Fibonacci level at 1.1495. No developing divergences are observed today. Commitments of Traders (COT) Report: Over the last reporting week, professional players closed 789 long positions and opened 2,625 short positions. The sentiment of the "Non-commercial" group remains "bullish" thanks to Donald Trump and continues to strengthen. The total number of long positions held by speculators now stands at 252,000, compared to 138,000 short positions. The gap is practically twofold. Also note the number of green cells in the table above, which show strong buildup in euro positions. In most cases, interest in the euro is growing while interest in the dollar is declining. For thirty-three consecutive weeks, large players have been reducing short positions and increasing longs. Donald Trump's policies remain the most significant factor for traders, as they can create numerous problems with long-term and structural consequences for America. Despite the signing of several important trade agreements, many key economic indicators continue to decline. News calendar for the U.S. and the Eurozone: September 29 – the economic events calendar contains no noteworthy entries. The news background will not affect market sentiment on Monday. EUR/USD forecast and trader advice: Sales of the pair were possible after a close below the resistance zone of 1.1789–1.1802 on the hourly chart, with targets at 1.1695 and 1.1637–1.1645. All targets have been reached. New sales will be possible after a close below 1.1695, targeting 1.1637–1.1645. Purchases were possible on a rebound from the 1.1637–1.1645 zone, with targets at 1.1695 and 1.1789–1.1802. These trades can be kept open today with stop-loss moved to breakeven. Fibonacci grids are built from 1.1789–1.1392 on the hourly chart and from 1.1214–1.0179 on the 4-hour chart. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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Asia Market Wrap - Nikkei Slips Most Read: GBP/USD Forecast: Technical Breakdown & Key Levels Amidst Dollar Strength Most stock markets in Asia rose on Monday, while the U.S. dollar eased. This investor reaction was triggered by the possibility of a U.S. government shutdown, which would lead to the delayed publication of the September jobs report and other key economic data. China's blue-chip stocks added 0.7% ahead of the start of the Golden Week holidays on Wednesday. The broader MSCI index for Asia-Pacific shares (excluding Japan) firmed 0.4%, bringing its monthly gain to almost 4%. South Korean stocks bounced 1.5%, contributing to their strong 7.8% gain for September. The exception was Japan's Nikkei index, which slipped 0.8% as investors focused on the upcoming weekend vote for the new leader of the ruling party, a decision that will have implications for Japan's future fiscal and monetary policy. European Session - Healthcare and Tech Stocks Lead to Positive Open European stock markets saw a slight increase on Monday, driven by gains in healthcare and technology company shares. Investors were keeping a close watch on the possibility of a U.S. government shutdown, which would likely postpone the release of important economic data. The main pan-European index, the STOXX 600, rose by 0.2%. Healthcare stocks were among the biggest gainers, with Britain's GSK jumping 3.3% after the drugmaker announced that its CEO, Emma Walmsley, will step down and be replaced by Luke Miels in January. The UK's AstraZeneca added 1.3% after stating it will keep its listing and headquarters in London but will now directly list its shares on the New York Stock Exchange, moving away from its current depository shares system. Technology shares advanced by 0.6%, with chipmakers ASMI and BE Semiconductor both rising by over 1%. The industrial goods and services sector also performed well, gaining 0.4%. On the FX front, the US dollar slightly weakened on Monday. The dollar index, which tracks its value against other major currencies, was down by 0.22% to 97.90, following a gain of 0.5% last week. For more on the US Dollar Index (DXY), read US Dollar Index (DXY): How Sustainable is the Recent Rally? Morningstar Pattern Hints at Further Upside The dollar fell against the Japanese yen by 0.6%. Meanwhile, the euro and the British pound both strengthened against the dollar, rising by 0.25% and 0.34%, respectively. In other news, the Australian dollar rose by 0.35%, reaching $0.6571. Investors are currently looking ahead to the Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rate decision on Tuesday, where the central bank is widely expected to keep rates unchanged. Currency Power Balance Source: OANDA Labs Oil prices fell on Monday due to two main reasons that signal an increase in global supply. First, Iraq's Kurdistan region started shipping crude oil again through Turkey over the weekend. Second, the group of major oil producers, OPEC+, plans to increase oil production again in November. Specifically, Brent crude futures dropped by 43 cents (0.6%) to $69.70 a barrel, pulling back after reaching their highest price since July 31 on Friday. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude also fell by 49 cents (0.8%) to $65.23 a barrel, giving back most of the gains it made on Friday. Gold prices soared past the $3,800 an ounce mark for the first time ever on Monday. This major surge was fueled by rising market expectations that the US Federal Reserve will soon cut interest rates, a prospect that weakened the US dollar and made the precious metal more attractive. Furthermore, concerns over a potential US government shutdown encouraged investors to seek safety in gold, a traditional safe-haven asset. The price of spot gold jumped 1.4% to $3,812.49 per ounce, having peaked at $3,819.59 earlier in the trading session. Economic Calendar and Final Thoughts Looking at the economic calendar, the European session will be a quiet one from a data perspective but we do have a host central bank speakers on the docket. Later in the day, markets will focus on US pending homes index as well as Federal Reserve policymakers who are scheduled to speak. Markets will also hope for a resolution on a potential US government shutdown. The lack of a resolution could add to uncertainty and stoke further haven demand. Most Read: Markets Weekly Outlook – getting ready for September NFP week For all market-moving economic releases and events, see the MarketPulse Economic Calendar. (click to enlarge) Chart of the Day - FTSE Index From a technical standpoint, the FTSE 100 index finished last week on the front foot. Gains have continued this morning but the index is currently in overbought territory and a short-term pullback could be on the cards The 9357 handle remains key, with a break above this level potentially leading to further upside toward the 9500 level. A pullback from here could find support at the swing high around 9280 before the 100-day MA at 9254 comes into focus. FTSE 100 Four-Hour Chart, September 29. 2025 Source: TradingView.com (click to enlarge) Follow Zain on Twitter/X for Additional Market News and Insights @zvawda Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. 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For the second consecutive day, GBP/USD is showing positive dynamics against the backdrop of U.S. dollar weakness, linked to rising expectations of further Fed rate cuts in October following the release of U.S. inflation data for August. The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index rose 2.7% year-over-year in August, in line with analysts' forecasts, according to data from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis published on Friday. The core PCE index, excluding food and energy, stood at 2.9%, also matching expectations. In September, the Fed cut the key rate by 25 basis points for the first time, bringing it to the 4.00%–4.25% range. According to the CME FedWatch tool, markets are currently pricing in an 88% probability of another rate cut in October, and around 65% for an additional cut in December. As for the British pound, there are suggestions that the Bank of England will keep the rate at 4.0% until the end of the year, which supports the currency. The Bank of England is unlikely to cut rates in the near term due to persistent inflationary pressures in the UK economy. Today, Monday, for better trading opportunities, special attention should be paid to the release of UK economic data, as well as speeches from Fed officials, including Governor Christopher Waller, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem, New York Fed President John Williams, and Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic. More hawkish remarks from policymakers could increase demand for the U.S. dollar and limit the growth of GBP/USD. From a technical standpoint, the pair faces resistance at the confluence of the 50-day SMA and the 9-day EMA. A breakout above this level would bring the next resistance at the 100-day SMA, above which bulls would strengthen their positions. However, as long as the 14-day RSI remains below the 50 level, this signals an active bearish sentiment. The nearest support for the pair lies at the psychological level of 1.3400, below which the path opens toward the September low around 1.3323. A break of this level would reinforce bearish sentiment and pressure the pair lower toward the next round level of 1.3300. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Friday rebounded from the support zone of 1.3332–1.3357 and turned in favor of the pound. Today, consolidation above the 76.4% Fibonacci level – 1.3524 – was recorded, which allows for expectations of further growth toward 1.3482 and 1.3528. A close below 1.3425 would once again favor the U.S. dollar and a return to the 1.3332–1.3357 zone. The wave situation remains "bearish." The last completed downward wave broke the previous low, while the new upward wave has not yet broken the last peak. The news background for the pound has been negative over the past two weeks, but I believe traders have already fully priced this in. This week, however, the negative news background may shift to the dollar. To cancel the "bearish" trend, the pair would need to rise another 300 points, but I think we will see signs of a shift to a "bullish" trend much earlier. On Friday, the pound was supported by the U.S. consumer sentiment report, as well as news of a potential government "shutdown" and new tariffs announced by Donald Trump. The White House decided to impose import duties on all foreign trucks, furniture, and medicines. Of course, if foreign companies build factories in the U.S., they will be exempt from tariffs. The threat of a shutdown arose for the same reasons as almost every year: Democrats and Republicans cannot reach agreement on funding for government agencies due to certain "sticking points." The Democratic Party insists on preserving tax benefits and insurance subsidies for Americans, while Donald Trump's administration demands cutting subsidies and only discussing the matter after government funding is resolved. Clearly, once the threat of a shutdown passes, Republicans will no longer need to make concessions to Democrats, since they control both chambers. The shutdown could be prolonged. On the 4-hour chart, the pair rebounded from the 1.3339 level and turned in favor of the British pound. Consolidation above the 100.0% Fibonacci level – 1.3435 – increases the probability of a new rise toward the 127.2% corrective level – 1.3795. No emerging divergences are seen in any indicator today. A new decline in the pound can be expected only after a close below 1.3339. Commitments of Traders (COT) Report: The sentiment of the "Non-commercial" trader category turned more "bullish" last reporting week. The number of long positions held by speculators increased by 3,704, while the number of short positions decreased by 912. The gap between long and short positions now stands at approximately 85,000 versus 86,000. Bullish traders are once again tipping the balance in their favor. In my view, the pound still has prospects for decline, but with each passing month the U.S. dollar looks weaker and weaker. Previously, traders worried about Donald Trump's protectionist policies without knowing what results they might bring; now they may worry about the consequences of those policies: a potential recession, the constant imposition of new tariffs, and Trump's fight with the Fed, as a result of which the regulator could become "politically controlled" by the White House. Thus, the pound already looks far less risky than the U.S. currency. News calendar for the U.S. and the UK: September 29 – the economic events calendar contains no noteworthy entries. The news background will not affect market sentiment on Monday. Forecast for GBP/USD and trader advice: Selling the pair is possible today if it closes below 1.3425 on the hourly chart, with targets at 1.3332–1.3357. Buying could have been considered on a rebound from the 1.3332–1.3357 zone, with targets at 1.3425, 1.3482, and 1.3528. These trades can be kept open today with a stop-loss moved to breakeven. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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The dollar began an eventful week on a weaker note. The Dollar Index fell 0.2% on Monday, marking its second consecutive day of losses. The looming U.S. government shutdown, with both political parties holding firm to their positions, could significantly affect the strength of the dollar in the short term. Several important U.S. economic releases are also expected this week, culminating in Friday's monthly employment report. The prospect of a government shutdown, hanging over the U.S. economy like a Damocles' sword, adds considerable uncertainty to the currency markets. Traders, who traditionally seek safety during turbulent periods, may begin shifting capital into more stable assets, which is already putting direct pressure on the dollar. Delays in funding government programs, a reduction in the federal workforce, and the resulting decline in consumer activity are all factors that could weaken U.S. economic performance. This week, special attention is focused on the release of key macroeconomic data, particularly the employment report. These figures will serve as an important indicator of labor market conditions and the overall health of the economy. If the data come in weaker than expected, the negative impact of a potential shutdown could be amplified, leading to further dollar weakness. Conversely, strong employment numbers could partially offset concerns and provide short-term support for the U.S. currency. The yen is leading gains against the dollar, with Japan set to release its own economic data and host central bank speeches. In addition, the ruling party will select a new leader this Saturday. Traders will be watching closely to see whether these events influence expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut or a Bank of Japan rate hike. Either of these scenarios—or both—will impact the dollar-yen exchange rate. The dollar's recent rally was driven by fading investor expectations of future Fed rate cuts. Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently reaffirmed his view that policymakers likely face a challenging path ahead, as labor market and inflation outlooks remain vulnerable to risks, which reduced expectations of monetary policy easing. As for the current technical picture of EUR/USD, buyers now need to target the 1.1750 level. Only then will a test of 1.1780 become possible. From there, the pair could move up to 1.1820, though achieving this without support from major players would be quite difficult. The ultimate target lies at the 1.1845 high. In case of a decline, I expect strong buyer activity only near 1.1705. If no one steps in there, it would be better to wait for a retest of the 1.1670 low or to open long positions from 1.1650. As for GBP/USD, pound buyers need to break through the nearest resistance at 1.3460. Only then will a move toward 1.3500 be possible, though breaking above this level will be quite challenging. The ultimate target lies at 1.3534. If the pair falls, bears will try to regain control at 1.3410. A successful breakout below this range would deal a serious blow to bullish positions and push GBP/USD down to 1.3370, with the prospect of extending the decline to 1.3330. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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Expectations of OPEC+ output increase drag oil prices lower
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Asian markets kick off week with gainsOn Monday, most Asian equity markets ended the session in positive territory. The dollar weakened as investor focus shifted to the US, where the risk of a temporary government shutdown persists. Such a scenario could delay the release of the September jobs report and several other key data points. Washington seeks compromisePresident Donald Trump plans to meet with leaders of both congressional parties on Monday to discuss extending federal funding. Otherwise, the government will face a partial shutdown. This coincides with the introduction of new US tariffs on heavy trucks, pharmaceuticals, and a number of other goods. Seasonal support in focusAnalysts note that the beginning of the fourth quarter is traditionally favorable for equity markets. Historically, the S&P 500 has risen in nearly three out of four such periods. In early trading, futures on the S&P 500 gained 0.2%, while Nasdaq futures rose by 0.3% after last week's pullback. European indices also opened higher, with EUROSTOXX 50, FTSE, and DAX each adding around 0.3%. Japan and Korea move in different directionsThe most notable exception was Japan's Nikkei index, which fell by 0.8%. However, as of the end of September, it still held a 5% gain. Investors are awaiting an internal LDP vote that will determine the next prime minister and could shape the country's economic strategy. In South Korea, the KOSPI index climbed by 1.3%, securing a monthly gain of 7.6%. The broader MSCI Asia-Pacific index excluding Japan strengthened by another 0.4%, closing the month with nearly a 4% advance. Chinese markets rise ahead of long holidaysShares of Chinese companies in the CSI300 index rose by 0.7% on Monday. Investors turned more active ahead of Golden Week, which begins in the country on Wednesday. Australian regulator prepares for meetingOn Tuesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia will hold its policy meeting. Analysts expect the rate to remain unchanged at 3.65%. Notably, the regulator has already cut rates three times this year. Currency market under pressureThe dollar index fell by 0.2% to 97.952, even though the US currency was supported by strong macroeconomic data last week. The euro strengthened to 1.1726 dollars, remaining within its recent range between 1.1646 and 1.1918. The US currency also weakened against the yen: the rate dropped by 0.4% to 148.92 yen. This came after the dollar had gained just over 1% last week, rebounding from the September low near 145.50. Gold at historical peakAs for precious metals, gold continued to strengthen and set a new record of $3,798 per troy ounce. Oil loses groundOil prices moved lower as crude supplies resumed through the pipeline from Iraq's Kurdistan to Turkey for the first time in two and a half years. Investors are also awaiting the OPEC+ meeting scheduled for Sunday. The organization is expected to approve an output expansion of at least 137,000 barrels per day. Against this backdrop, Brent fell by 0.8% to $69.73 per barrel, while US WTI dropped by 0.7% to $65.27. Indian markets start week higherAfter the steepest weekly decline in almost seven months, Indian stock indices opened Monday in positive territory. The market was supported by energy and oil & gas stocks. Major indices advanceBy 10:02 local time, the Nifty 50 index rose by 0.43% to 24,761.5 points. The BSE Sensex gained 0.39% to 80,745.23 points. Last week's pressureLast week, the indices shed 2.7%, marking six consecutive sessions of losses. The sell-off was triggered by higher US H-1B work visa fees and increased duties on branded pharmaceuticals, which hurt investor sentiment and prompted capital outflows. Energy and oil & gas lead gainsThe energy sector rose by 1.2%, while oil & gas added 1.5%. Gains were driven by BPCL and HPCL shares, supported by stable fuel prices and expectations of higher company valuations. Oil India on the riseShares of Oil India jumped by 2.2% after reports of a natural gas discovery on the Andaman Islands shelf. Small and mid-cap stocks in positive territoryShares of small- and mid-cap companies also advanced, rising by about 0.7% each. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
GBP/USD. Technical Analysis for the Week of September 29 – October 4
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Trend analysis. This week, from the level of 1.3400 (close to the last weekly candle), the price may continue moving downward with the target at 1.3270 – the historical support level (light blue dotted line). When testing this level, the price may retrace upward with the target at 1.3332 – the lower fractal (weekly candle of August 31, 2025). Fig. 1 (weekly chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Monthly chart – down.Overall outcome of the weekly candle calculation for GBP/USD: during the week, the price will most likely show a downward trend, with the first upper shadow on the weekly black candle (Monday – upward) and the second lower shadow (Friday – upward). Alternative scenario: from the level of 1.3400 (close of the last weekly candle), the price may continue moving downward with the target at 1.3141 – the 38.2% pullback level (red dotted line). Upon reaching this level, an upward move is possible with the target at 1.3270 – the historical support level (light blue dotted line). The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
Stock market on September 29: S&P 500 and NASDAQ rebound
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Last Friday, US stock indices closed higher. The S&P 500 rose by 0.59%, while the Nasdaq 100 gained 0.44%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped by 0.55%. Futures on US and European stock indices climbed alongside Asian markets, signaling growth on Wall Street after data pointed to moderate inflation growth in the US. Futures on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 advanced after both indices surged on Friday, breaking a three-day losing streak. European stock indices also pointed to a stronger open. Asian markets pared early losses, rising by 0.6%, with mainland China's index soaring by 2%. Oil prices fell on expectations that OPEC+ will once again raise production in November, fueling concerns about oversupply. Gold prices surged to a record $3,800 per ounce. The US dollar index declined for a second straight day under pressure from month-end flows and the looming risk of a US government shutdown. Treasury bonds gained across the curve. Congressional leaders plan to meet with President Donald Trump on Monday, just a day before federal funding expires. A bill that would extend government funding only until mid-November must be passed by October 1 to avoid a shutdown, which could delay the release of key economic data and destabilize markets. If the government shuts down, federal employees will be sent on unpaid leave, slowing US economic activity, while official economic reports will be suspended. Failure to prevent a shutdown could further highlight the fragile situation in the US, putting additional downward pressure on the greenback. The economic consequences of a shutdown extend far beyond the immediate reduction in spending. Delays in issuing permits, suspension of scientific research, and postponement of government procurement could trigger a chain reaction, negatively affecting various sectors of the economy. The absence of timely economic data from government agencies makes it difficult for businesses and investors to make informed decisions, adding to market uncertainty. On the political stage, a shutdown usually reflects deep divisions between the legislative and executive branches. The exchange of mutual accusations and the search for scapegoats undermine confidence in the government and institutions of power. Foreign investors, watching US political instability with concern, may begin to reconsider their portfolios, adding further pressure on the US currency. Today, the four leading congressional leaders are scheduled to meet with Trump on this issue. As for the technical picture of the S&P 500, the main task for buyers today will be to overcome the nearest resistance level of $6,672. This will support growth and open the way for a push toward the next level at $6,682. An equally important objective for bulls will be to gain control over the $6,697 mark, which would strengthen buyers' positions. In the event of a downside move amid weakening risk appetite, buyers must assert themselves around $6,660. A breakout would quickly push the instrument back to $6,648 and open the road toward $6,638. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
EUR/USD. Technical Analysis for the Week of September 29 – October 4
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). This week, the market from the level of 1.1699 (close of the last weekly candle) may start moving downward with the target at 1.1536 – the 38.2% pullback level (blue dotted line). When testing this level, the price may retrace upward with the target at 1.1572 – the upper fractal (red dotted line). Fig. 1 (weekly chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Monthly chart – down.Conclusion of the comprehensive analysis: downward movement. Overall outcome of the weekly candle calculation for EUR/USD: during the week, the price will most likely show a downward trend, with the first upper shadow on the weekly black candle (Monday – upward) and the second lower shadow (Friday – upward). Alternative scenario: the pair from the level of 1.1699 (close of the last weekly candle) may start moving downward with the target at 1.1488 – the historical resistance level (light blue dotted line). When testing this level, the price may then start moving upward with the target at 1.1536 – the 38.2% pullback level (blue dotted line). The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
Bulls are tired of this September and already looking forward to Uptober, historically one of Bitcoin’s strongest months. In the past few hours, .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Bitcoin BTC $112,147.29 2.36% Bitcoin BTC Price $112,147.29 2.36% /24h Volume in 24h $35.59B Price 7d Buy with Best Wallet reclaimed $4K, sparking some hope as we get closer to October. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time History isn’t on Bitcoin’s side though. In 13 years, BTC has only had four green Septembers, and never in a bull year. With just two days to go, Bitcoin is trading around $111,781. A clean breakout and hold above $112K could flip sentiment for bulls, but for now traders remain divided and liquidations are piling up on both sides of the book. No clear direction yet, just chop around key levels. (Source: Coinglass) EXPLORE: 10+ Next Crypto to 100X In 2025 Best Crypto to Buy Now – Perps Meta Still Running Strong With ASTER and APEX Beyond BTC and ETH, the story right now is still perp DEX tokens. After Aster’s run, attention has shifted to ApeX Protocol (APEX), which just pulled off a crazy move — more than 160% in a single day after its XP token conversion event. The campaign dropped 25M APEX to users, and trading volumes shot to $361M. (Source: Coingecko) ApeX is a decentralized hub for perpetuals trading with leverage, deep liquidity, and low fees, backed by products like ApeX Pro (a Layer-2 powered DEX). There’s also $12M set aside for buybacks from past revenue, and support from Bybit should boost both usage and revenue going forward. At the moment, APEX sits at a $304M market cap, way below Aster’s $3.22B. That gap is where the rotation trade could come in. Aster is still holding strong around $1.94, but fresh money may flow into APEX as traders chase the next perp play. If momentum carries into Uptober, with Bitcoin price reclaiming $112K, APEX could run into double digits faster than most expect, making it one of the best cryptos to buy before October kicks off. DISCOVER: Crypto Calm as Uptober Looms: Best New Crypto to Buy in October? 23 minutes ago Aster Surges to Second Place in Global Fee Rankings, Outpacing Circle and Uniswap By Fatima DeFiLlama shows Aster pulled in $14.33 million in fees over the past 24 hours, making it the world’s second-highest fee-generating protocol. Only Tether ($22.18 million) collected more. Aster’s performance outpaced Circle and Uniswap, highlighting how derivatives/perp activity is stealing market share from traditional venues. Aster’s fee intake is roughly ten times that of Hyperliquid. (Source: DefiLlama) The post [LIVE] Crypto News Today, September 29 – Bitcoin Price Briefly Surges Above $112K And Ethereum Reclaims $4K – Best Crypto To Buy Before “Uptober? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
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Forex forecast 29/09/2025: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF, USDX and Bitcoin
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctuations due to increased volatility. If you decide to trade during the news release, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes. For successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan and stay focues and disciplined. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for a scalper or daytrader. #instaforex #analysis #sebastianseliga The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
GBP/USD. Technical Analysis on September 29, 2025
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Monday, the market from the level of 1.3400 (Friday's daily candle close) may continue upward with the target at 1.3454 – the 8-period EMA (thin blue line). Upon reaching this line, a corrective move downward is possible with the target at 1.3363 – the 61.8% pullback level (yellow dotted line). When testing this level, the price may then start moving upward with the target at 1.3381 – the 14.6% pullback level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – up;Fibonacci levels – up;Volumes – up;Candlestick analysis – up;Trend analysis – up;Bollinger Bands – up;Weekly chart – up.General conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: from the level of 1.3400 (Friday's daily candle close), the price may continue moving upward with the target at 1.3454 – the 8-period EMA (thin blue line). Upon reaching this line, a corrective move downward is possible with the target at 1.3381 – the 14.6% pullback level (blue dotted line). When testing this level, a corrective upward move is possible with the target at 1.3406 – the historical resistance level (light blue dotted line). The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
EUR/USD. Technical Analysis on September 29, 2025
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Monday, the market from the level of 1.1699 (Friday's daily candle close) may continue upward with the target at 1.1734 – the 8-period EMA (thin blue line). When testing this line, a move downward is possible with the target at 1.1685 – the 14.6% pullback level (red dotted line). Upon reaching this level, a further move upward is possible with the target at 1.1689 – the historical resistance level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – up;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – down.General conclusion: downward trend. Alternative scenario: from the level of 1.1699 (Friday's daily candle close), the price may start a move downward with the target at 1.1655 – the 50% pullback level (blue dotted line). Upon reaching this level, an upward move is possible with the target at 1.1685 – the 14.6% pullback level (red dotted line). The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
GBP/USD Brief analysis: Over the past three months, the major pound pair has been forming the corrective part (B) within the uptrend that has dominated since the beginning of the year. The price is moving sideways along the lower boundary of the potential reversal zone on the daily timeframe. The wave structure does not yet look complete. Weekly forecast: In the coming days, the British pound is expected to gradually decline toward support boundaries. In the second half of the week, a reversal and the start of price growth may follow. The resistance zone marks the upper boundary of the pair's expected weekly range. Potential reversal zones Resistance: 1.3520/1.3570Support: 1.3270/1.3220Recommendations Selling: possible with fractional volumes during separate sessions; limited potential.Buying: may be used after confirmed reversal signals appear near the resistance zone.AUD/USD Brief analysis: The short-term trend of the Australian dollar has been guided by an upward wave since April. The unfinished downward segment began on September 11. Prices are nearing the upper boundary of strong daily resistance. The correction structure has entered its final phase. Weekly forecast: In the coming days, a continuation of the downward move is expected until the decline completes near support. By the end of the week, a reversal and the start of price growth toward calculated resistance can be expected. Potential reversal zones Resistance: 0.6600/0.6650Support: 0.6480/0.6430Recommendations Selling: may be used intraday with fractional volumes.Buying: become possible once confirmed reversal signals appear near support.USD/CHF Brief analysis: The upward wave in the Swiss franc major, which began in April this year, has reversal potential. Its structure is forming as a stretched flat, with the middle part (B) still incomplete. The price is approaching the upper boundary of the large timeframe potential reversal zone. Weekly forecast: At the start of the week, sideways fluctuations along support are expected. Toward the weekend, growth may resume. Any upward move is unlikely to exceed calculated resistance. Potential reversal zones Resistance: 0.8090/0.8140Support: 0.7860/0.7810Recommendations Selling: possible with smaller volumes during separate sessions.Buying: may be used once buy signals appear on your trading systems near support.EUR/JPY Brief analysis: Since February, the euro/yen pair has been in an upward short-term trend. The unfinished wave segment has been developing since August 5. For the past two months, prices have hovered near the strong potential reversal zone on the weekly chart. Weekly forecast: In the coming days, sideways movement near resistance is expected. In the second half of the week, volatility is likely to increase, leading to a reversal and a renewed downward move. This is likely to coincide with major economic data releases. Potential reversal zones Resistance: 175.00/175.50Support: 172.40/171.90Recommendations Buying: highly risky, may be unprofitable.Selling: wait for reversal signals near resistance on your trading systems before entering trades.AUD/JPY Brief analysis: Since July this year, the Australian dollar/yen pair has been moving mostly sideways. On a larger scale, this segment forms a descending flat. The structure indicates the final part (C) of the wave is forming. Weekly forecast: At the start of the week, a downward move toward calculated support is expected. In that area, conditions for a reversal may form. A resumption of growth is likely by the end of the week. Potential reversal zones Resistance: 100.00/100.50Support: 96.30/95.80Recommendations Selling: limited potential; volume size should be kept minimal.Buying: may be used once reversal signals appear near support.Bitcoin Analysis: Since March, Bitcoin's trend has been guided by an upward wave. For the past three months, prices have been forming the corrective part (B), which is still unfinished. The final segment is missing in the current structure. Forecast: This week, a continuation of Bitcoin's decline is expected until support is reached. In the early days, sideways movement with a pullback toward resistance is possible. Active decline is more likely in the second half. The support zone limits the downward range. Potential reversal zones Resistance: 111300.0/112300.0Support: 104500.0/103500.0Recommendations Selling: may be used intraday with fractional volumes; potential is limited by resistance.Buying: become relevant only after confirmed reversal signals appear near support.Notes: In simplified wave analysis (SWA), all waves consist of three parts (A-B-C). On each timeframe, only the last unfinished wave is analyzed. Expected movements are shown with dotted lines. Attention: The wave algorithm does not account for the duration of price moves in time! The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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EUR/USD Brief analysis: The upward trend has been setting the main direction in the euro's major pair since February this year. The latest unfinished segment started in late July. From the lower boundary of a strong potential reversal zone, the price has continued its sideways movement that began a month and a half ago. The structure shows the correction remains incomplete. Weekly forecast: In the coming days, the euro is likely to continue its sideways movement along the support zone. Later, conditions may form for a reversal and the start of an upward move. The rise of the major could extend to the calculated resistance levels. A breakout above them within the weekly period is unlikely. Potential reversal zones Resistance: 1.1810/1.1860Support: 1.1660/1.1610Recommendations Buying: can be used within separate sessions with reduced volume size after confirmed signals appear.Selling: risky and may lead to losses in the coming days.USD/JPY Brief analysis: On the yen chart, an upward wave has been developing since April. In the broader wave model, this segment is correcting the downward trend. Its structure is approaching completion of the final part (C). Prices are nearing the lower boundary of the preliminary target zone. Weekly forecast: In the coming days, the most likely scenario is an upward move towards the calculated resistance zone. Towards the weekend, higher volatility, reversal, and the start of a decline are expected. The release of important economic data could serve as a timing reference. Potential reversal zones Resistance: 150.50/151.00Support: 148.30/147.80Recommendations Buying: limited potential; safer to reduce volume size.Selling: could become the main direction after reversal signals appear near resistance on your trading systems.GBP/JPY Brief analysis: In the pound/yen pair, an upward wave started in August. On a larger scale, this segment marks the beginning of the next wave of the dominant uptrend. Within its structure, an intermediate correction (B) has been developing over the past two weeks. Last week, a pullback took shape. Weekly forecast: In the coming days, the pair is expected to show mostly sideways movement near resistance levels. By the end of the week, the flat phase may finish, leading to a reversal and the start of a decline. Volatility growth may coincide with key news releases. Potential reversal zones Resistance: 200.50/201.00Support: 198.30/197.80Recommendations Buying: low potential, may result in losses.Selling: become relevant once confirmed signals appear near resistance.USD/CAD Brief analysis: The current wave formation on the Canadian dollar chart is upward, starting from mid-June this year. It represents the corrective part (B) within a larger wave model. The wave structure looks completed. No imminent reversal signals are visible on the chart. Weekly forecast: In the coming days, a sideways movement is highly probable. Pressure on the resistance boundary is possible. In the second half of the week, a reversal and resumption of the pair's downtrend can be expected. The calculated support marks the lower boundary of the expected weekly range. Potential reversal zones Resistance: 1.3960/1.4010Support: 1.3840/1.3790Recommendations Buying: has no potential.Selling: become relevant once confirmed signals appear near resistance on your trading systems.NZD/USD The New Zealand dollar's major pair has been trending downward for the past three months. This segment corrects the previous trend. Last week, the price reached the lower boundary of a strong potential reversal zone. No clear reversal signals have yet appeared. Weekly forecast: In the coming days, sideways movement is likely. Brief pressure on the lower support boundary is possible. Later, a reversal and the start of growth in the pair can be expected. Potential reversal zones Resistance: 0.5850/0.5900Support: 0.5750/0.5700Recommendations Selling: has no potential, risky.Buying: after confirmed reversal signals appear near support, can become the main trading direction for this pair.EUR/GBP Brief analysis: Since April, a downward wave has been forming in the euro/pound pair. In recent months, a hidden correction (B) has developed within it. Quotes are nearing the lower boundary of the potential reversal zone on the daily timeframe. Weekly forecast: An upward move in the pair is expected in the early days of the coming week. Towards the weekend, a reversal and a downward move are highly likely. A sharp spike in volatility cannot be ruled out when the direction changes. Potential reversal zones Resistance: 0.8760/0.8810Support: 0.8600/0.8550Recommendations Buying: has low potential and may result in losses.Selling: become relevant after reversal signals form near resistance according to your trading systems.Gold Analysis: Gold quotes are hitting historical records. Last week, the price entered a strong weekly potential reversal zone. For several days, gold has been drifting mostly sideways. Within the wave structure, this segment completes a stretched hidden correction. Forecast: At the start of the week, sideways movement near resistance is likely. Increased activity and a reversal may be expected closer to the weekend. A reversal is highly likely to coincide with news releases. Potential reversal zones Resistance: 3780.0/3800.0Support: 3720.0/3700.0Recommendations Buying: has low potential, may lead to deposit losses.Selling: can be used after reversal signals appear near resistance on your trading systems.Notes: In simplified wave analysis (SWA), all waves consist of three parts (A-B-C). On each timeframe, only the last unfinished wave is analyzed. Expected movements are shown with dotted lines. Attention: The wave algorithm does not account for the duration of price moves in time! The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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Everyone’s Wrong About XRP: Here’s Why, Says Top Analyst
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Top crypto commentator CryptoinsightUK argues that market consensus has misread the setup for XRP and altcoins, contending that sentiment, liquidity positioning, and cross-asset relationships point to an imminent phase in which XRP could outperform even a resurgent ETH. In his latest Weekly Insight (Week 161, Sept. 27, 2025), the analyst opens with a blunt reset of stance: “I am bullish.” He acknowledges the psychological toll of recent chop and public pushback—“I am getting pushback from all sides for staying bullish… But I also do not really care”—yet he frames the current drawdown as the kind of fear-laced inflection that historically precedes a trend resumption higher. Why Is Everyone Wrong About XRP? The note situates the call against a noisy backdrop. He cites well-followed traders who either called a top or de-risked into weakness, and the victory laps of dominance-maxi voices after a bounce in Bitcoin dominance. The riposte is data-driven: sentiment gauges near “fear” readings of 40 or below, a zone that has repeatedly coincided with local lows or pre-reversal conditions. While he concedes that “we could see a slight further correction,” the weight of evidence, he argues, skews to upside. A key pillar is liquidity mapping. On Bitcoin, he highlights sizeable resting liquidity around $106,000—a pool that has persisted since mid-July and remains uncollected despite spot advances as high as $123,000. “I would expect this 106k area of liquidity to be taken, maybe even down to 104k with a wick,” he writes, emphasizing that a tag into that zone would not invalidate the higher-timeframe bull structure. Crucially, he says, the “largest amount of liquidity ever” sits above price, implying that if a major top were in, “market makers… would [not] allow that much liquidity to remain untouched.” By contrast, lower-side liquidity down around $70,000 is drying up, suggesting reduced gravitational pull to the downside as stale longs and shorts have been flushed or realized. That skew, he says, is even more pronounced across majors and large-cap alts. On daily time frames for ETH, Cardano, XRP, and SUI, “significant liquidity” has rebuilt above spot, while “minor” pockets remain below—an asymmetry that makes precise dip-buy levels hard to pre-declare yet keeps the “ultimate outcome” biased to a leg higher. The timing cue rests on two oscillators that often mark rotation windows: ETH is now as oversold on the 4-hour as it was at the exact cycle bottom around $1,400—a setup not seen again during its run toward $5,000—while Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) has reached overbought on the 4-hour. “The last three times this happened, it marked either a local high, the exact high, or came just before a larger drawdown in Bitcoin Dominance,” he notes. On the weekly, he expects the structural outcome to be an acceleration lower in dominance later in the cycle, and he leaves open whether that moment is now. The mosaic—ETH deeply oversold, BTC.D heavily overbought, liquidity stacked above alts—supports his conclusion that “very soon it is likely to be the altcoin show.” Within that rotation, XRP vs. ETH is his sharpest edge. On the 4-hour XRP/ETH chart, he sees a local bottom structure—“a series of lows, higher lows, and higher highs”—with a trigger level at 0.00071 ETH per XRP: “We are looking for closes above the 0.00071 level, and the larger the timeframe of the close above that level, the greater the likelihood of reversal.” On the weekly XRP/ETH, he sketches two Elliott-wave roadmaps: a conservative five-wave path back to the prior highs against ETH, and a higher-beta alternative that starts from the candle structure shift and implies “exponential growth” in relative terms this cycle. The combined thesis is explicit: “ETH looks poised to perform well… [and] XRP looks ready to outperform ETH on top of that. Use your imagination for what could happen if those two things play out together.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.86. -
Gold Surges to Record High on U.S. Government Shutdown Risk
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Gold prices have climbed to a new all-time high of around $3,800 per ounce amid dollar weakness, as investors grew nervous about the potential shutdown of the U.S. government. Bullion rose 1.4% to an all-time high of $3,814 per ounce, surpassing last Tuesday's record after six consecutive weeks of gains. Silver jumped 2.4%, while platinum and palladium also posted significant increases, supported by persistent market tensions and inflows into exchange-traded funds backed by these metals. Strong physical demand from central banks — particularly in emerging markets — has also been an important factor behind gold's rally. Diversification of foreign reserves into gold is seen as a safeguard against fluctuations in the dollar and other currency risks, helping to sustain elevated gold prices despite broader market volatility. The dollar fell as investors anticipated negative developments ahead of a scheduled Monday meeting between senior U.S. congressional leaders and President Donald Trump — just one day before federal government funding is set to expire. Failure to reach a deal on a short-term spending bill could trigger a shutdown, threatening the release of key economic data, including Friday's closely watched employment report, which economists expect will show weak job growth in September. A weaker dollar typically makes precious metals cheaper for international buyers. Disappointing labor market data would further strengthen the case for another Fed rate cut at its October policy meeting — a scenario that would make gold even more attractive. However, uncertainty remains high regarding the Fed's rate-cutting cycle, as policymakers last week voiced diverging views on monetary policy. As Barclays Plc recently noted, precious metals do not appear overvalued relative to the dollar and U.S. Treasuries, which should reflect some degree of Fed-related risk premium, especially given the potential threat to the central bank's independence. Gold has surged 45% this year, reaching record levels driven by strong demand from central banks and renewed expectations of Fed rate cuts. Prices are now on track to complete a third consecutive quarterly gain. Inflows into precious metals-backed ETFs have already reached their highest level since 2022. Major banks, including Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Deutsche Bank AG, have stated they expect the rally to continue. Technical Outlook for GoldFor buyers, the immediate resistance lies at $3,802. A breakout above this level would open the way toward $3,849, though overcoming it could prove challenging. The furthest bullish target is seen at $3,906. In case of a pullback, bears will attempt to regain control at $3,756. A break below this level could deal a serious blow to bullish positions and pull gold down toward $3,705, with the potential to extend losses to $3,658. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
Everything comes to an end — both the good and the bad. As investors prepare for heightened volatility in the S&P 500 in October, following several months of a sharp rally, the markets are beginning to bid farewell to the Magnificent Seven. Since the launch of artificial intelligence technologies in early 2023, betting on the stocks of companies in this group seemed like a win-win trade. However, nothing lasts forever. Performance of the Magnificent Seven At first glance, the giants appear unshaken—the Magnificent Seven accounts for 35% of the S&P 500's market capitalization. In 2026, the group's earnings are expected to grow by 15% and revenue by 13%. This is stronger compared with the rest of the index, where profit is projected to rise by 13% and revenue by 5.5%. Still, there are serious changes within the group itself. While Nvidia, Alphabet, Meta, and Microsoft remain in strong positions, Apple, Amazon, and Tesla are clearly lagging. It may be time to replace them with other companies tied to artificial intelligence — such as Broadcom, Oracle, and Palantir Technologies. The new stars are ready to take the place of the old ones. However, for now, investors are more concerned about the shift of the stock market toward greater volatility. Many doubt that the S&P 500 rally in the fourth quarter will continue at the same pace as in April through September. Goldman Sachs warns that, since 1929, stock market volatility in the final quarter of the year has been, on average, 20 percentage points higher than during the rest of the year. In the 21st century, this figure has been even greater due to numerous corporate, economic, and political developments. Seasonal Volatility Dynamics of the S&P 500 One potential trigger for a spike in S&P 500 volatility could be a US government shutdown. Markets appear overly complacent about the debt ceiling. They assume the issue will be resolved at the last minute, as it has been in previous years, and that catastrophe will be avoided. But time is running out — only a few days remain until the end of September, and Democrats and Republicans are locked in a standoff. The former are demanding healthcare concessions, while the latter are threatening public sector layoffs. It is worth noting that the last government shutdown occurred during Donald Trump's previous presidential term. This led to delays in the release of economic data and a slowdown in GDP growth. This time could be even worse. Weakness in the labor market risks accelerating, which could spell serious trouble for the US economy. Is a surge in stock market volatility just around the corner? From a technical perspective, on the daily chart, the S&P 500 has clearly followed the buy-on-dip strategy at the pivot support level of 6570. Long positions could be expanded after the successful breakout of the fair value at 6610, which now turns into key support. It makes sense to continue focusing on buying as long as the broad stock index trades above this level. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com