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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Equities Eye Six Straight Month of Gains Most Read: GBP/USD Forecast: Technical Breakdown & Key Levels Amidst Dollar Strength Gold hit a new record high, moving past $3,865 an ounce. That jump lifted the stock of Asian metal makers, and a Chinese miner called Zijin Gold International jumped roughly 66 % when it first traded in Hong Kong. The metal’s 47 % climb this year looks like the biggest yearly gain since 1979. Global trade fights, questions about America’s special role, and the likelihood of Fed rate cuts all seem to push investors to gold. The precious metal did fall around $60 after the European open to trade around $3815/oz at the time of writing. Looking at a snapshot of Asian stocks performance Source: Gemini, LSEG Meanwhile, China's blue-chip CSI300 Index rose by 0.2% and is set to record its fifth consecutive month of gains, which marks its longest such winning streak since October 2017. September, which was seen as a notoriously bad month for stocks, has enjoyed stellar performance this time around. Major indexes have all put in gains this month with the S&P lagging the rest of the pack, with a gain of around 3%. Source: LSEG China PMI Hits Six-Month Highs China's factory activity saw a notable improvement in September, as the RatingDog China General Manufacturing PMI rose to 51.2. This figure exceeded both the reading from August and analysts' expectations, reaching its highest level since March. Factory production grew at the fastest pace in three months, and, for the first time in half a year, new orders from foreign customers increased. Overall new business expanded at the quickest rate since February. As a direct result, factories increased their purchasing activity at the fastest rate since last November. Despite this growth, employment levels dropped due to concerns about costs. On the supply side, conditions improved, with the time it takes to get materials shortening for the first time in seven months. Regarding prices, the cost of raw materials (input costs) accelerated to a 10-month high, driven by more expensive metal. However, due to intense competition, the prices companies charged for their finished products (selling prices) actually fell slightly. Looking ahead, business confidence improved, with companies optimistic about increasing sales and production, believing they will be supported by new business development and government policies. European Session - European Stocks Cautious European stocks saw a slight dip on Tuesday as shares in major energy and healthcare companies lost value. Investors were also considering the potential effects of a US government shutdown, which would likely postpone the release of the key monthly jobs report. The main pan-European index, the STOXX 600, slipped 0.2% but is still on track for its third straight monthly gain and a quarterly increase of over 2%. The losses were led by oil and gas stocks, such as TotalEnergies and BP, which fell as oil prices declined, and by healthcare stocks, including Novo Nordisk and AstraZeneca. This caution was fueled by comments from US Vice President JD Vance that a government shutdown was probable, which would delay crucial jobs data. In corporate news, Britain's online fashion retailer ASOS saw its shares plunge 11.4% after it warned its annual revenue would miss market expectations. On the FX front, the US dollar index continued its decline today, falling by around 0.2%. The Australian dollar saw a notable gain of 0.49% after the Reserve Bank of Australia decided, as anticipated, to keep interest rates steady. The RBA's accompanying comments suggested that inflation might be higher than forecasted for the third quarter and that the economic outlook remains uncertain. Meanwhile, the euro was slightly lower and the British pound was also down. The Japanese yen weakened somewhat against the US dollar as investors digested the Bank of Japan's summary of its September policy meeting, which indicated that central bank members had debated the possibility of a near-term rate hike. Currency Power Balance Source: OANDA Labs Oil prices dropped on Tuesday as market expectations for a supply surplus were reinforced by two key developments. Firstly, the resumption of crude oil exports from Iraq's Kurdistan region via Turkey is adding supply to the market. Secondly, this comes ahead of another anticipated production increase by the group of major oil producers, OPEC+. Specifically, Brent crude futures for November delivery fell by 84 cents (1.2%) to $67.13 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude also dropped by 77 cents (1.2%) to trade at $62.68 a barrel. For more in-depth Oil analysis, read US Oil (WTI) retreats after yet-another failed breakout Economic Calendar and Final Thoughts Looking at the economic calendar, the European session has brought a host of data releases thus far. German unemployment held stead, French inflation accelerated and German retail sales unexpectedly fell. The rest of the session will be a bit more quieter with Central Bank speakers, German inflation and US CB consumer confidence in the US session. Markets will also be keeping an eye on a potential Government shutdown which could stoke volatility across markets if a deal isn't reached today. For all market-moving economic releases and events, see the MarketPulse Economic Calendar. (click to enlarge) Chart of the Day - FTSE 100 (UK100) Index From a technical standpoint, the FTSE 100 index has pulled back and bounced off the support area at 9285. The Index may face a challenge in keeping the recovery going as resistance lies ahead at 9324. (Most recent swing high). Beyond that the FTSE 100 could revisit the recent high around 9357 before the 9500 handle comes into focus. A pullback here first needs a break below support at 9285 before attention turns to the 100and 200-day MAs, resting at 9259 and 9238 respectively. FTSE 100 Four-Hour Chart, September 30. 2025 Source: TradingView.com (click to enlarge) Follow Zain on Twitter/X for Additional Market News and Insights @zvawda Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.
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GBP/USD. September 30th. A Crucial Week for the Dollar Begins Today
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Monday consolidated above the 76.4% retracement level at 1.3425, where it continues to trade as of Tuesday morning. A rebound from the 1.3425 level would favor continued growth toward the levels of 1.3482 and 1.3528. A consolidation below the 1.3425 level would suggest a reversal in favor of the US dollar and a resumption of the decline toward the support zone of 1.3332–1.3357. The wave pattern remains "bearish." The last completed downward wave broke the previous low, while the new upward wave has yet to surpass the previous high. The news background for the pound has been negative over the past two weeks, but I believe this has already been fully priced in by traders. This week, the news background could turn negative for the US dollar instead. A full trend reversal to "bullish" would require a rise of another 300 points, but I think we will see signs of a trend change earlier than that. On Monday, there was no significant news from either the UK or the US (apart from the government shutdown situation). However, starting today, traders will begin to receive data on the US labor market. The JOLTS Job Openings report is not considered a major release, but it reflects labor market supply. If supply is decreasing, the labor market tends to contract — and we've been seeing this contraction over the past 4–5 months. Thus, even if the JOLTS report doesn't trigger a drop in the dollar on Tuesday, it would still support the ongoing negative labor market trend. Also, today the UK will release its Q2 GDP report. The British economy may show only 0.3% growth — which, under current conditions, is actually quite decent. At the very least, traders are already accustomed to low growth rates, and a figure slightly above 0.3% could help bulls push further upward. On the 4-hour chart, the pair rebounded from the 1.3339 level and turned in favor of the British pound. A consolidation above the 100.0% Fibonacci level at 1.3435 would increase the likelihood of further growth toward the 127.2% retracement level at 1.3795. As of today, no forming divergences are observed on any indicators. A new decline in the pound may be expected only after the pair consolidates below the 1.3339 level. Commitments of Traders (COT) Report: The sentiment among the "Non-commercial" trader category became more bullish in the latest reporting week. The number of Long positions held by speculators increased by 3,704 positions, while Short positions decreased by 912. The current gap between Long and Short positions is practically even: 85,000 vs. 86,000. Bullish traders are once again tipping the scales in their favor. In my view, the pound still faces downward pressure, but with each passing month, the US dollar looks increasingly weak. Previously, traders were concerned about Donald Trump's protectionist policies, uncertain of their outcomes. Now, they may be worried about the consequences of those policies: a possible recession, continual introduction of new tariffs, and Trump's pressure on the Fed, which could lead to the regulator becoming politically influenced by the White House. As a result, the pound now seems far less risky compared to the US dollar. News Calendar for the US and UK: UK – Q2 GDP Growth (06:00 UTC)US – JOLTS Job Openings (14:00 UTC)The economic calendar for September 30 includes two events, both of medium importance. Market sentiment on Tuesday may be affected by news, but only slightly. GBP/USD Forecast and Trading Recommendations: Sell positions are possible today if the pair closes below the 1.3425 level on the hourly chart, with targets at 1.3332–1.3357. Buy positions could have been considered after a rebound from the 1.3332–1.3357 level, with targets at 1.3425, 1.3482, and 1.3528. These positions can still be held today, with Stop Loss set to breakeven. Fibonacci levels are based on: 1.3332–1.3725 on the hourly chart1.3431–1.2104 on the 4-hour chartThe material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
These are the latest crypto news: Bitcoin .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Bitcoin BTC $113,719.43 1.42% Bitcoin BTC Price $113,719.43 1.42% /24h Volume in 24h $51.89B Price 7d EXPLORE: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in 2025 Best Altcoins to Buy Going Into October – KAITO Leads With Staking and Airdrops With Bitcoin dominance stretched, traders are considering where capital might rotate next. KAITO is gaining traction thanks to its staking and airdrop system, making it one of the best altcoins to buy right now. Analysts also point to projects with active ecosystems, staking incentives, and resilience during broader pullbacks. As long as BTC and ETH hold key support, these altcoins could benefit from renewed inflows. (Source: Coingecko) Macro conditions remain a risk factor. A U.S. government shutdown is still possible this week, with odds estimated at 65–75%. Gold is at record highs, reflecting investor caution. For crypto, this backdrop suggests volatility will remain elevated into October. There are no live updates available yet. Please check back soon! The post [LIVE] Crypto News Today, September 30 – Bitcoin Price Above $113K, Ethereum Holds $4,100 and SOL at $208: Best Altcoins to Buy? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
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Forex forecast 30/09/2025: EUR/USD, AUD/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, Gold, ETH and Bitcoin
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctuations due to increased volatility. If you decide to trade during the news release, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes. For successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan and stay focues and disciplined. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for a scalper or daytrader. #instaforex #analysis #sebastianseliga The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
GBP/USD. Technical Analysis on September 30, 2025
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Trend Analysis (Figure 1) On Tuesday, the market may continue to move upward from the level of 1.3423 (yesterday's daily candlestick close), targeting 1.3476 – the 38.2% retracement level (blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may begin to move downward, targeting 1.3449 – the 8-period EMA (thin blue line). Figure 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Volume – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall Conclusion: Upward trend. Alternative Scenario: From the level of 1.3423 (yesterday's daily candlestick close), the price may continue to move upward, targeting 1.3448 – the 8-period EMA (thin blue line). Upon testing this level, the price may begin to move downward, targeting 1.3417 – the 23.6% retracement level (blue dashed line). The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
EUR/USD. Technical Analysis on September 30, 2025
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Tuesday, the market may continue moving upward from the 1.1725 level (closing of yesterday's daily candle), targeting 1.1782 – the 50% retracement level (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may pull back downward to test the 38.2% retracement level again (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – up;Volume – up;Candlestick analysis – up;Trend analysis – up;Bollinger Bands – up;Weekly chart – up.Overall Conclusion: Upward Trend Alternative Scenario: From the 1.1725 level (closing of yesterday's daily candle), the price may continue upward toward 1.1749 – the 38.2% retracement level (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may pull back downward toward 1.1717 – the 38.2% retracement level (blue dashed line). The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
Gold Hits Another Record High — And There Are Reasons for It
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Gold has surged to another all-time high, extending Monday's rally as the looming prospect of a U.S. government shutdown has clouded the Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook ahead of next month's interest rate decision. Investors, seeking to protect their assets from geopolitical turbulence and potential economic instability, are increasingly turning to gold — traditionally viewed as a "safe haven." The rise in gold prices is also being fueled by the weakening of the U.S. dollar, making the precious metal more attractive to holders of other currencies. Economic uncertainty tied to a possible shutdown is forcing analysts to reconsider their forecasts regarding the Fed's next moves. If a government shutdown does occur, it could lead to a slowdown in economic growth. This scenario places further pressure on the dollar and boosts demand for gold. Gold prices rose by 0.9%, hitting a new all-time high of $3867.25 per ounce, surpassing the previous session's peak when the metal rallied 2%. Yesterday's meeting between key congressional leaders and President Donald Trump ended without reaching an agreement on temporary government funding. This further intensified concerns over a potential economic halt, which could hinder the release of economic data, depriving investors of critical metrics needed to assess the health of the U.S. economy. So far this year, gold has soared 47% — its highest annual gain since 1979 — and has set a series of records amid strong demand from central banks and the Fed's return to interest rate cuts. Major financial institutions such as Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Deutsche Bank AG anticipate the rally to continue. U.S. Treasury bonds also rose on Monday, while the dollar fell — partly due to fears of a potential economic shutdown. A decline in U.S. government bond yields typically benefits precious metals, which do not pay interest, while a weaker dollar makes dollar-priced bullion cheaper for most global buyers. Among other precious metals, silver and platinum took a breather after hitting multi-year highs in the previous session. Since the beginning of the year, silver and platinum have gained approximately 63% and 76%, respectively. The rally is driven by sustained market tension, as supply deficits have reached peak levels over the past several years. As for the current technical picture of gold, buyers need to break through the nearest resistance at $3906. That would allow targeting $3954, above which a breakout could prove difficult. The most distant upside target lies at $4008. In case of a decline, bears will try to regain control over the $3849 level. If successful, a break below this range would deal a significant blow to the bulls and drag gold down to $3802, with a possible extension to $3756. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
Update on US stock market on September 30. SP500 and NASDAQ close with gains
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At the end of yesterday, US stock indices closed higher. The S&P 500 rose by 0.26%, while the Nasdaq 100 gained 0.48%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 0.15%. Today, Asian stock indices increased by 0.4% and are on track to post their sixth consecutive monthly gain—marking the longest winning streak since 2018. Clearly, markets are in no rush to reduce risk after several previous episodes of threats to a US government shutdown. This persistent optimism, however, is supported by a number of factors beyond seasonal stability. First and foremost, there is the expectation of further economic stimulus measures aimed at supporting domestic demand and cushioning potential external shocks. Investors are also closely watching the technology sector, which continues to show strong growth, fueled by innovations in artificial intelligence and renewable energy. Yesterday, Vice President J.D. Vance stated that, in his opinion, the US government is on track for a shutdown after President Donald Trump's latest last-ditch meeting with top congressional leaders before the October 1 deadline ended without meeting Democrats' demands. It is apparent that many federal operations will be suspended and employees furloughed or laid off if lawmakers today cannot reach an agreement before the end of the current fiscal year. Meanwhile, China's manufacturing sector contraction has continued for a sixth month in a row, marking the longest downturn since 2019, as the economy entered a slowdown phase following a sharp surge earlier this year. The Australian dollar rose after the Reserve Bank of Australia made the widely expected decision to keep its key rate unchanged, reiterating its cautious outlook and that future actions will be data-dependent. In terms of geopolitical events, Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced that they have agreed on a 20-point plan aimed at ending the war in the Gaza Strip, although the prospects for peace remain unclear without direct participation from Hamas. As for the technical outlook for the S&P 500, the main task for buyers today will be to overcome the nearest resistance at 6,660. Achieving this would enable further growth and open the way for a push to a new level at 6,672. An equally important goal for the bulls is to maintain control above 6,682, which would strengthen the buyers' position. In the event of a downward move amid declining risk appetite, buyers must defend the area around 6,648. A breakdown would quickly send the instrument back to 6,638 and open the way to 6,630. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
Bitcoin and Ethereum continue their steady growth amid the risk of a US government shutdown. Just a couple of years ago, such an event would have triggered a sell-off of risky assets, but not anymore. It's clear that demand has returned to the cryptocurrency market. Fresh data shows that in the past 90 days, net inflows to stablecoins have exceeded $46 billion—that's a 325% increase compared to last year. This indicates growing demand for assets pegged to the US dollar. The surge in interest in stablecoins is not a coincidence, but a logical result of several interconnected factors. First, uncertainty in the global economy is prompting investors to seek stable assets, and stablecoins, due to their peg to the dollar, offer relative protection from cryptocurrency market volatility. Second, ongoing regulatory shifts in the crypto space towards liberalization are also encouraging capital inflows. Investors seeking liquidity view stablecoins as a reliable means of storing assets, enabling them to respond quickly to market fluctuations. Recently, Eric Trump stated that he believes stablecoins will save the dollar. This statement sparked a wave of discussion among financial circles and crypto enthusiasts. On the one hand, stablecoins offer stability and ease of use, which makes them appealing to a wide audience. At the same time, being pegged to the dollar can help maintain some stability in periods of economic turbulence. On the other hand, dependence on the dollar may negate some of the decentralization benefits typical of other cryptocurrencies. In any case, Eric Trump's statement reflects growing recognition of the potential of cryptocurrencies—including stablecoins—as tools for stabilizing and modernizing the financial system. Whether this faith is justified remains to be seen. Trading recommendations As for the technical picture for Bitcoin, buyers are now targeting a return to the $114,600 level, which opens a direct path to $116,000, and from there, it's just a step away from $117,400. The ultimate target is the high around $118,400; breaking through this would signal further strengthening of the bull market. In the case of a Bitcoin decline, buyers are expected at the $112,800 level. If BTC falls back below this area, it could quickly drop toward $111,200. The ultimate downside target would be the $109,900 zone. As for Ethereum, a clear consolidation above $4,325 opens the way directly to $4,331. The ultimate target is the high around $4,441, and breaking above it would mean renewed bullish momentum and increased buyer interest. In case of an Ether pullback, buyers are expected at $4,132. If ETH drops back below this area, it could quickly fall toward $4,039, with the ultimate downside target being the $3,942 zone. What's on the chart Red lines represent support and resistance levels, where price is expected to either pause or react sharply. The green line shows the 50-day moving average. The blue line is the 100-day moving average. The lime line is the 200-day moving average. Price testing or crossing any of these moving averages often either halts movement or injects fresh momentum into the market. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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Bitcoin Sentiment Returns Back To Neutral As BTC Breaks $114,000
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Data shows the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index has retreated into the neutral territory as the BTC price has made recovery back above $114,000. Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Is Exactly In The Balance Right Now The “Fear & Greed Index” refers to an indicator created by Alternative that measures the average sentiment present among traders in the Bitcoin and wider cryptocurrency markets. The index uses the data of the following five factors to determine the investor mentality: volatility, trading volume, market cap dominance, social media sentiment, and Google Trends. The metric represents the sentiment as a score lying between zero and hundred, where all values above 53 correspond to a sentiment of greed and those below 47 to one of fear. Its value being between these two thresholds implies a net neutral mentality. Besides these three regions, there are also two “extreme” zones called the extreme fear (below 25) and extreme greed (above 75). Historically, these two regions have held significance for Bitcoin and other digital assets, as tops and bottoms have occurred while the investors have held these sentiments. The relationship has been an inverse one, however, meaning extreme fear has been where bottoms have taken place, while extreme greed has facilitated top formations. Now, here is how the sentiment in the cryptocurrency sector is like at the moment, according to the Fear & Greed Index: As displayed above, the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index has a value of 50 right now, which suggests the average trader sentiment is exactly in the balance. This is a change from how it was in the last few days, when the investors were fearful. From the chart, it’s visible that the indicator fell to a low of 28 just a few days ago, implying investor sentiment was deep in the fear zone, just shy from turning into extreme fear. The fearful mentality was a result of the crash in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Interestingly, since this peak in fear, BTC has regained footing and made some recovery. This could be an indication that the contrary effect of crowd sentiment may have once again come into play, despite the index not quite reaching extreme fear. With the market rebound, sentiment has quickly improved. But with it still being at neutral levels, the crowd is uncertain about where the asset would head next. It now remains to be seen how the investors will respond if the price recovery continues in the coming days. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $114,300, up more than 3% over the last seven days. -
Erdogan Is Planning a Massive Turkey Crypto Crackdown
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The crypto market in Turkey is facing turbulence as President Recep Tayyip Erdogan pushes for stricter regulations targeting digital assets. Reports from Bloomberg reveal that new legislation could empower Turkey’s Financial Crimes Investigation Board (MASAK) to freeze crypto accounts without court orders, sparking fears across the local crypto market. With Turkey ranking among the top 15 crypto-adopting nations, over $ 170 billion in trading volume was recorded in 2023 alone. Now, the government aims to curb illegal betting, fraud, and tax evasion, raising concerns about market freedom and investor confidence. Will these actions create stability or trigger FUD and a potential sell-off in the overall crypto price landscape? Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Why Is Erdogan Targeting Crypto Now? The proposed crackdown comes amid soaring inflation and ongoing economic instability, driving millions of Turks to use crypto as a hedge against the rapidly devaluing lira. According to Chainalysis, Turkey has one of the highest crypto adoption rates globally, with .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Bitcoin BTC $113,719.43 1.42% Bitcoin BTC Price $113,719.43 1.42% /24h Volume in 24h $51.89B Price 7d Globally, analysts compare Turkey’s move to past events in Nigeria and India, where initial restrictions were later softened to encourage innovation. If Turkey strikes a balance, these regulations could legitimize the sector, attracting institutional players. However, if the crackdown leans too heavily on control, it may stifle local innovation and push users into unregulated, risky markets. For now, investors are advised to monitor official updates from the Capital Markets Board (CMB) and MASAK closely. Whether this marks a turning point for Turkish crypto adoption or the start of a long-term chilling effect remains uncertain. One thing is clear: Erdogan’s crypto strategy will be a defining factor for Turkey’s financial future, influencing both domestic adoption and global perceptions of emerging-market regulation. DISCOVER: 15+ Upcoming Coinbase Listings to Watch in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways Erdogan’s new crypto policies could create a new local crackdown. Is Turkey going to soften the crypto law framework? The post Erdogan Is Planning a Massive Turkey Crypto Crackdown appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the 148.58 price level occurred at a time when the MACD indicator had already moved well below the zero line. This limited the pair's downside potential, and as a result, I chose not to sell the dollar. The second test of the same level occurred while the MACD was in oversold territory, which triggered the implementation of Scenario #2 (Buy). However, this did not result in a significant upward move for the pair. A U.S. government shutdown has become even more probable following yesterday's meeting between Democrats and Republicans. The failure to reach an agreement weakened the dollar and strengthened the yen. The potential economic consequences of a government shutdown have raised serious concerns across global financial markets. Investors, wary of the growing unpredictability of the political situation in Washington, are showing caution, which directly affects the position of the U.S. currency. The strengthening of the yen—a traditional "safe haven" asset—reflects the markets' shift toward safety amid rising uncertainty. Today's sharp 1.2% decline in Japanese industrial production had no noticeable impact on the yen, which continues to enjoy steady demand. This phenomenon is particularly evident during periods of heightened geopolitical tension or concerns about slowing global economic growth. As for the intraday strategy, I will focus more on implementing scenarios #1 and #2. Buy ScenarioScenario No. 1: Today, I plan to buy USD/JPY upon reaching the entry level around 148.41 (green line on the chart) with the target set at 148.95 (thicker green line on the chart). Around the 148.95 level, I plan to exit long positions and initiate short positions in the opposite direction, expecting a pullback of around 30–35 pips. It's best to buy the pair on corrections and deep price dips. Important! Before buying, ensure the MACD indicator is above the zero line and is just beginning to rise from it. Scenario No. 2: I also plan to buy USD/JPY today in the case of two consecutive tests of the 148.05 price level while the MACD is in the oversold zone. This would signal limited downside potential and a likely reversal back to the upside. A move toward the 148.41 and 148.95 resistance levels can be expected. Sell ScenarioScenario No. 1: I plan to sell USD/JPY today only after the 148.05 level (red line on the chart) is broken, which could trigger a sharp decline. The key target for sellers will be at the 147.50 level, where I plan to exit short positions and immediately open long positions in the opposite direction, expecting a rebound of 20–25 pips from that level. It is better to sell from higher levels whenever possible. Important! Before selling, ensure the MACD indicator is below the zero line and is just beginning to fall from it. Scenario No. 2: I also plan to sell USD/JPY in the event of two consecutive tests of the 148.41 level while the MACD is in the overbought area. This will limit the pair's upward potential and likely lead to a downward reversal. A decline toward the 148.05 and 147.50 support levels may follow. What's on the Chart:Thin green line – entry price at which the instrument can be bought. Thick green line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely. Thin red line – entry price at which the instrument can be sold. Thick red line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely. MACD indicator: When entering the market, it is important to refer to overbought and oversold areas. Important. Beginner forex traders should exercise extreme caution when making entry decisions. Before important fundamental reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid sharp price swings. If you decide to trade during the release of news, always use stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you don't use money management and trade large volumes. And remember: for successful trading, you need a clear trading plan, as I described above. Making spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation from moment to moment is a losing strategy for an intraday trader. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3448 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I decided not to buy the pound. A second test of the same level coincided with the MACD being in the overbought zone, which validated sell Scenario #2, resulting in a 30-pip drop. The absence of consensus among U.S. politicians due to major ideological differences negatively impacted the value of the U.S. dollar yesterday, leading to a modest strengthening of the British pound. Investors are increasingly concerned about the potential consequences of political instability on the overall economic stability of the United States. If Congress fails to reach an agreement, government agencies will be forced to suspend operations. A prolonged government shutdown could have severe consequences for the dollar, undermining trust in the U.S. economy and increasing the likelihood of a credit rating downgrade. However, in the first half of the day, traders will closely monitor the release of key economic indicators from the UK. Of particular focus are the UK's Q2 GDP growth rate, the current account balance, and speeches from several Bank of England officials. Weak GDP figures could reinforce concerns about a slowing British economy, which would likely reduce investor interest in the pound. A negative current account reading—indicating that imports exceed exports—would further highlight structural weaknesses in the UK's economy. Additionally, speeches by members of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee, especially Catherine L. Mann, could have a significant impact. Her comments on the economic outlook and future monetary policy could shift investor sentiment. Should she express concern about inflation or suggest maintaining high interest rates, it would likely support the pound. As for the intraday strategy, I will focus more on implementing scenarios #1 and #2. Buy ScenarioScenario No. 1: I plan to buy the pound today upon reaching an entry point near 1.3455 (green line on the chart), targeting a rise to the 1.3480 level (thicker green line on the chart). Around 1.3480, I intend to exit buy trades and open sell trades in the opposite direction, expecting a move of 30–35 pips downward from the current level. Pound strength can be expected to continue today if strong UK data is released. Important! Before buying, ensure the MACD indicator is above the zero line and is just starting to rise from it. Scenario No. 2: I also plan to buy the pound today in the case of two consecutive tests of the 1.3430 level when the MACD indicator is in the oversold zone. This would limit the downside potential of the pair and lead to a market reversal to the upside. A rise toward the opposite targets of 1.3455 and 1.3480 can be expected. Sell ScenarioScenario No. 1: I plan to sell the pound today after a breakout of the 1.3430 level (red line on the chart), which could trigger a rapid decline in the pair. The main target for sellers will be 1.3396, where I plan to exit shorts and open a buy trade in the opposite direction, expecting a 20–25 pip rebound from that level. Pound sellers may show up at any moment. Important! Before selling, ensure the MACD indicator is below the zero line and just starting to fall from it. Scenario No. 2: I also plan to sell the pound today if there are two consecutive tests of the 1.3455 level while the MACD is in the overbought area. This will limit the pair's upward potential and could trigger a reversal to the downside. A decline toward the 1.3430 and 1.3396 levels can be expected. What's on the Chart:Thin green line – entry price at which the instrument can be bought. Thick green line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely. Thin red line – entry price at which the instrument can be sold. Thick red line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely. MACD indicator: When entering the market, it is important to refer to overbought and oversold areas. Important. Beginner forex traders should exercise extreme caution when making entry decisions. Before important fundamental reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid sharp price swings. If you decide to trade during the release of news, always use stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you don't use money management and trade large volumes. And remember: for successful trading, you need a clear trading plan, as I described above. Making spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation from moment to moment is a losing strategy for an intraday trader. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe test of 1.1713 coincided with the MACD indicator moving well below the zero line, which limited the downside potential for the pair. For this reason, I did not sell the euro. The second test of this level occurred while the MACD was in the oversold area, which allowed scenario No. 2 for buying to be realized, resulting in an increase of more than 35 pips. The probability of a U.S. government shutdown has risen sharply following negotiations between Democratic and Republican representatives. Against this backdrop, investors are growing increasingly concerned about how political instability could impact the U.S. economy, potentially putting downward pressure on the dollar. The situation is further complicated by the approaching deadline for approving the new fiscal year's budget. If Congress fails to reach an agreement, government agencies will be forced to suspend operations temporarily. This would reduce the availability of public services, slow economic growth, and increase instability in financial markets. Analysts warn that a prolonged shutdown could have significant negative consequences for the dollar by undermining confidence in the resilience of the U.S. economy and increasing the risk of a sovereign credit rating downgrade. Today is rich in German macroeconomic data, as reports on employment dynamics, the unemployment rate, retail trade, and inflation are scheduled for release. In addition, remarks by European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde will be in the spotlight. Market participants will pay particular attention to German labor market data. Any deviations from forecasts could trigger significant movements in the currency markets, which would directly impact the euro. Retail sales data will also be important: higher sales indicate consumer confidence and a healthy economy, while declines may signal reduced spending and potential economic headwinds. Inflation, as measured by the consumer price index, will also be closely analyzed. An acceleration of inflation could encourage tighter monetary policy, potentially strengthening the euro. Lagarde's speech will be the day's key event. Traders will closely scrutinize her comments on the eurozone's economic situation, inflation outlook, and future monetary policy. Her statements may significantly influence sentiment and the euro's trajectory. As for the intraday strategy, I will focus more on implementing scenarios #1 and #2. Buy ScenarioScenario No. 1: Buy the euro today at 1.17347 (green line on the chart) with a target of 1.1770. At 1.1770, I plan to exit longs and enter short positions on a rebound, aiming for a 30–35-pip move from the entry point. Euro upside is likely only if ECB officials maintain a hawkish stance. Important: Before buying, ensure that the MACD indicator is above the zero line and just beginning to rise from it. Scenario No. 2: Another opportunity to buy the euro arises after two consecutive tests of 1.1730, provided the MACD is in the oversold zone. This would limit the downside potential and trigger a reversal upward. Growth to 1.1747 and 1.1770 can then be expected. Sell ScenarioScenario No. 1: Sell the euro after it moves to 1.1730 (red line on the chart), with a target at 1.1705, where I plan to exit shorts and buy immediately on a rebound, targeting a 20–25-pip move in the opposite direction. Pressure on the pair may return if the data disappoints. Important: Before selling, ensure that the MACD indicator is below the zero line and just beginning to decline from it. Scenario No. 2: Another opportunity to sell the euro will arise after two consecutive tests of 1.1747, while the MACD remains in the overbought zone. This would cap the pair's upside potential and trigger a downward reversal, with expected targets at 1.1730 and 1.1705. What's on the Chart:Thin green line – entry price at which the instrument can be bought. Thick green line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely. Thin red line – entry price at which the instrument can be sold. Thick red line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely. MACD indicator: When entering the market, it is important to refer to overbought and oversold areas. Important. Beginner forex traders should exercise extreme caution when making entry decisions. Before important fundamental reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid sharp price swings. If you decide to trade during the release of news, always use stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you don't use money management and trade large volumes. And remember: for successful trading, you need a clear trading plan, as I described above. Making spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation from moment to moment is a losing strategy for an intraday trader. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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Bitcoin Reclaims $114K as Crypto Market Recovers — Maxi Doge Presale Heats Up
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As September ends, Bitcoin reclaims $114K – a meaningful intraday bounce that also pushes the total crypto market cap back above $3.9T. BTC closed near $113,985 after briefly touching $114,309, and traders are now eyeing $108K as support and $114,309 as immediate resistance, with a stronger ceiling sitting near $117K. XRP and Ethereum are also up by 0.89% and 2.44% respectively. In other news, the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and gold are in the green, with the US Treasury’s gold holdings crossing $1T in value. A likely contributor to this is the Fed’s 25-basis-point rate cut, which has significantly lowered the hurdle rate for risky bets, bleeding into high-beta assets like altcoins and new meme coins on presale. And Maxi Doge ($MAXI) stands out among them, having already raised $ 2.6M in presale. BTC Consolidates as Risk Appetite Grows – The Perfect Backdrop for Altcoins Bitcoin’s RSI is holding neutral, the ADX is below 20 (indicating no clear trend), and the EMA50 is still above the EMA200 but with a closing gap (death-cross risk). These all suggest a consolidating market with choppy ranges and volatility spikes. If $BTC breaks above nearby resistance, it can ignite a more substantial rally. However, if it slides below the support level, traders may shift to safer assets, triggering profit-taking in altcoins. Many users have placed the odds at 53% that $BTC will hit $125K before dropping to $105K. The Fed’s recent rate cut is also a clear signal of easier monetary conditions, which will make borrowing cheaper, pushing investors toward riskier, higher-return assets. The S&P 500 is up by 0.26% and Nasdaq by 0.48%, led by tech giants like Nvidia, AppLovin, and Microsoft. Big tech rallies also lift the overall market sentiment, increasing investor risk appetite. This creates a liquidity-rich environment where money isn’t just flowing into Bitcoin, but also into smaller, high-beta plays. Against this backdrop, Maxi Doge’s presale is thriving with whales flexing their entries early. Gym-Bro Energy Meets High-Risk Trading: Inside the Maxi Doge Presale Dogecoin’s the family golden boy, the meme coin everyone knows. Fame, glory, mainstream headlines, he has got it all. But lurking in the shadows at every family gathering was his jacked cousin- Maxi Doge ($MAXI). A Doge Bro forged in rejection, built in rage, and fueled by pure gym-bro discipline. Maxi Doge didn’t get the spotlight; he got the Iron Paradise. With protein shakes in his veins and MaxiTren 9000 pumping through his system, he turned every rep, every set, into fuel for revenge. His eyes burn with charts, candlesticks reflecting off his shades at 3 am, because his motto is simple: ‘The crypto market never sleeps, so why should I?’ Maxi Doge is the degen’s dream — a no-stop-loss, 1000x leverage, retire-at-22 kind of play. He doesn’t hedge; he doesn’t fold. He goes all-in, flexing harder than a double scoop of pre-workout at 5 am leg day. That’s the kind of mad energy Maxi Doge embodies. Maxi Doge has already raised $2.6M in presale, making serious waves in the market. Whale purchases of $37.3K and $12.9K into $MAXI reflects the strong conviction in the project. Today, one $MAXI sits at $0.00026, with dynamic staking rewards offering a massive 129% APY. That means a $500 investment today could grow to around $1,145 in just one year, a profit of $645 from staking alone, without even factoring in potential price appreciation. As more traders join the project, staking rewards will gradually decrease, making now the perfect opportunity to lock in presale gains. With the next price jump expected tomorrow, the clock is ticking for early entrants. Join the Maxi Doge presale to secure your tokens. This is not financial advice. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile. Always do your own research before making any investments. Authored by Aaron Walker, NewsBTC – https://www.newsbtc.com/news/bitcoin-bounces-past-114k-market-turns-green-maxi-doge-pumps -
BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) has surpassed Coinbase’s Deribit platform, becoming the largest venue for Bitcoin options globally. Open interest in options tied to IBIT recently reached nearly $38B, compared to $32B on Deribit. Deribit was founded in 2016 and has been the market leader for Bitcoin derivatives for the longest time. In contrast, launched only in November 2024, IBIT is relatively new to the options trading market. Its early and rapid adoption has turned heads in the crypto world. IBIT has had a remarkable growth since its inception. For starters, the firm crossed $80B in assets under management (AUM) in just 374 trading days – the fastest for an ETF to reach that milestone. With IBIT now holding 57.5% of all Bitcoin ETF assets under management, Wall Street’s message is clear: institutional conviction in $BTC has never been stronger. As Bitcoin’s momentum builds, hot new crypto presales such as Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) are riding the wave of success. Why Now Might Be a Defining Moment for Bitcoin and Its Ecosystem IBIT overtaking Derbit suggests that the center of gravity in crypto derivatives is shifting toward regulated US-based venues. Additionally, IBIT’s increasing options liquidity enhances its credibility, which attracts more capital, creating a cycle of deeper liquidity and market presence. While IBIT may have overtaken Deribit in volume, Deribit continues to retain a strong following among crypto-native traders as a top crypto exchange for speculative and high-leverage trades, particularly in offshore or less-regulated contexts. The major curveball is how a regulated instrument like IBIT could become the largest options venue in under a year, indicating just how much and how fast institutional capital is now flowing into Bitcoin-linked products. As more capital enters, it helps support price and deepens liquidity, making the coin less vulnerable to extreme volatility or flash crashes. Together, these trends indicate that the market is pulling in two directions — crypto natives are sticking with Deribit, while institutions are pouring into IBIT. What’s more, as open interest in Bitcoin-linked options increases, the derivatives market plays a more important role in price discovery. IBIT’s dominance means its options could increasingly influence Bitcoin’s implied volatility, hedging flows, and directional pressures. This deeper market structure feeds directly into broader momentum. Sustained inflows via ETFs and derivatives in a bullish cycle can generate ‘flywheel effects,’ meaning that more capital will attract more liquidity, which in turn brings in even more capital. With macroeconomic factors like inflation, monetary easing, and geopolitical risks prompting investors to seek alternative stores of value, $BTC is well-positioned to capture demand. Additionally, Bitcoin-based projects (layer-2s, decentralized finance, tokenization, cross-chain bridges) stand to benefit significantly from increased adoption, as it translates to more capital, more experiments, and more integrations. Bitcoin Hyper Redefines Efficiency with Ultra-Low Transaction Costs Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is the latest crypto project attempting to turbocharge Bitcoin with Solana-like speed, scalability, and Web3 support. The project is developing a Layer 2 solution for Bitcoin that will integrate with the Solana Virtual Machine (SVM), enabling the execution of thousands of unrelated transactions in parallel. Bitcoin Hyper rises to modern blockchain standards by processing the transactions off-chain, but without compromising Bitcoin Layer 1 security. That’s because it batches the transaction results and submits a summary to the Bitcoin main chain, ensuring instantaneous execution. Here are a few other features that make $HYPER worth watching: SVM integration allows developers to build smart contracts and decentralized applications on the network Layer 2 enables high-speed DeFi trading, NFTs, DAOs and governance, lending, staking, swapping, and blockchain gaming Seamless user interaction with this SVM-powered Web3 environment. Join the Bitcoin Hyper presale and be part of Bitcoin’s next chapter. Now that we have an idea of what the project aims to achieve, let’s get into how to buy $HYPER and why participating in the Bitcoin Hyper presale can deliver value to early investors. The project is already making waves in its presale phase, raising over $19.2M. Whales have been spotted, stacking their bags with $HYPER worth $113.8K, $109.9K, $105.4K, totaling $329K over the past weekend. One Hyper now sits at $0.013005 with dynamic staking rewards of 61% APY. If analysts are correct, $HYPER’s price could rise to $0.02595 by the end of 2025 and to $0.08625 by 2026. To put this into perspective, if you invest $500 into Hyper today, you could stand to gain around $1,606 in just one year — that’s price appreciation plus staking rewards. In other words, a 3.2x return. Remember, the staking APY decreases as more participants join, and the next expected price jump is scheduled for tomorrow. Secure your $HYPER today for the highest potential gains. This is not financial advice. The markets can be volatile and speculative. Please always do your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies. Authored by Aaron Walker, NewsBTC – https://www.newsbtc.com/?p=829180&preview=true
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Trading Recommendations for the Cryptocurrency Market on September 30
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Bitcoin continued its rally during U.S. trading yesterday and gained further during today's Asian session, reaching the 114,800 mark. Ethereum also posted significant gains, consolidating above $4,000. Yesterday, the SEC required issuers of spot ETFs for LTC, XRP, SOL, ADA, and DOGE to withdraw their 19b-4 filings, following the approval of general listing standards that replace the need for individual submissions. Clearly, this change will significantly accelerate the approval process for new crypto ETFs, making the old approach obsolete. As I noted earlier, the SEC's decision marks a turning point in recognizing cryptocurrencies as a legitimate asset class. The withdrawal of individual applications frees up resources for both the regulator and issuers, allowing them to focus on creating more efficient and secure products. Moreover, standardized listing rules increase transparency and predictability in the process, reducing uncertainty for investors and supporting further development of the crypto industry. The SEC's decision serves as a strong signal that cryptocurrencies are no longer a marginal phenomenon but are becoming an integral part of the financial future. Simplifying the ETF listing process is only one step in this direction, but it highlights the regulator's readiness to embrace cooperation and innovation—key to unlocking the full potential of crypto technologies. As for intraday strategy in the cryptocurrency market, I will continue to rely on significant pullbacks in Bitcoin and Ethereum as opportunities, expecting the medium-term bull market, which remains intact, to develop further. Below are the short-term trading strategies and conditions. BitcoinBuy ScenarioScenario 1: I plan to buy Bitcoin today at the entry point around $114,200 with a target of $115,100. Around $115,100, I will exit my long position and sell immediately on a rebound. Before buying on a breakout, it is important to confirm that the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is above zero.Scenario 2: Bitcoin can also be bought from the lower boundary at $113,700 if there is no market reaction to its breakout, with a target of $114,200 and $115,100.Sell ScenarioScenario 1: I plan to sell Bitcoin today at the entry point around $113,700 with a target of $113,100. Around $113,100, I will exit shorts and buy immediately on a rebound. Before selling on a breakout, it is important to confirm that the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is below zero.Scenario 2: Bitcoin can also be sold from the upper boundary at $114,200 if there is no market reaction to its breakout, targeting $113,700 and $113,100. EthereumBuy ScenarioScenario 1: I plan to buy Bitcoin today at the entry point around $114,200 with a target of $115,100. Around $115,100, I will exit my long position and sell immediately on a rebound. Before buying on a breakout, it is important to confirm that the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is above zero.Scenario 2: Bitcoin can also be bought from the lower boundary at $113,700 if there is no market reaction to its breakout, with a target of $114,200 and $115,100.Sell ScenarioScenario 1: I plan to sell Bitcoin today at the entry point around $113,700 with a target of $113,100. Around $113,100, I will exit shorts and buy immediately on a rebound. Before selling on a breakout, it is important to confirm that the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is below zero.Scenario 2: Bitcoin can also be sold from the upper boundary at $114,200 if there is no market reaction to its breakout, targeting $113,700 and $113,100.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
Government Shutdown Risks Don't Scare the S&P 500
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If new U.S. tariffs and the looming government shutdown haven't spooked markets, should investors really be worried about lofty valuations? The S&P 500 is currently trading at nearly 23 times the earnings expected over the next 12 months. Over the past 25 years, such levels have been seen only twice — during the dot-com bubble and the pandemic. Yet some individual companies are trading at even higher P/E multiples. U.S. Companies With Elevated Valuations Interestingly, it is precisely the stocks with inflated valuations that are leading the rally. On September 29, the S&P 500 gained on the back of a 12% surge in Robinhood, whose P/E stands at 60. Since the beginning of the year, Robinhood shares have tripled. Some analysts argue that the environment has undergone significant changes. Whereas the average probability of a U.S. recession stood at 42% before World War II, it has dropped to just 10% over the past three decades. The U.S. has shifted from an industrial economy to one dominated by technology and services. The share of mega-cap companies in the S&P 500 has grown significantly. Indeed, if weighted averages rather than market capitalization were used, the P/E of the broad index would fall to 17.8 — close to its 10-year average. S&P 500 Valuations in Perspective As a result, valuation metrics are becoming less relevant for investment decisions compared to corporate earnings, macroeconomic conditions, and Federal Reserve policy. Moreover, the U.S. market holds one critical advantage over others — leadership in artificial intelligence technologies. It is no surprise that, instead of fleeing after U.S. Independence Day, foreign investors have increased their exposure to American assets. In the three months ending June 30, they purchased $290 billion in equities. Foreign investors now hold around $18 trillion worth of U.S. stocks, equal to 30% of the $60 trillion market. Thanks to strong foreign demand and a lack of fear over high valuations, the S&P 500 has already notched roughly 30 record highs this year and seems able to shrug off new White House tariffs and the risk of a government shutdown. Historically, disagreements between Republicans and Democrats have usually been resolved at the last minute. The market will only start to price in shutdown risks if the standoff drags on for several days. Far more important for equities was the latest speech by New York Fed President John Williams, who described tariff-driven inflation as temporary and reaffirmed that the Fed's decision to cut rates was the right one. Technical OutlookOn the daily chart, the S&P 500 rally remains intact. Long positions opened at 6,570 and 6,610 should be held for now. However, the growing risk of reversal patterns such as 1-2-3 or a Double Top may prompt profit-taking. A necessary trigger would be a drop below the doji bar low at 6,640. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
Solana Gaining Ground On Ethereum: These Key Metrics Show Colossal Growth
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In recent months, Solana (SOL) has emerged as a formidable competitor to Ethereum (ETH), consistently outpacing its larger rival in various key metrics. Analysts from The Motley Fool have highlighted that while Solana is sprinting ahead, Ethereum seems to be trotting along in comparison. Ethereum’s Market Lead May Be At Risk A particularly telling metric in this competition is the total value locked (TVL) within each ecosystem. TVL serves as an indicator of the capital deposited in a blockchain’s decentralized applications (dApps) and smart contracts. A higher total value locked often signifies greater value within the ecosystem, reflecting growing user engagement and investment. Over the past year, Solana has seen its total value locked soar by approximately 198%, reaching around $38.5 billion. Meanwhile, Ethereum has also doubled its total value locked, which now stands at approximately $362.7 billion. However, the growth rate of Solana’s ecosystem outpaces that of Ethereum, signaling a shift in user activity and interest. Despite Ethereum’s substantial lead in TVL, particularly in the stablecoin sector where it hosts around $161.1 billion compared to Solana’s $12.9 billion, the rapid growth of Solana’s ecosystem raises questions about its long-term market share. The Motley Fool analysts suggest that if this trend continues, Solana could capture a significant portion of the market currently dominated by the Ethereum blockchain. Solana To Dominate The Tokenized Stock Market? One of the key factors contributing to Solana’s growth is its advantage in transaction speed and cost. As the market and interest for real-world asset (RWA) tokenization expands, Solana is said to be positioned as a preferred platform for issuing and trading tokenized stocks. This segment of the tokenization market is continuously gaining traction, and Solana has already accumulated $69.2 million in tokenized stock value within just the last three months. In contrast, Ethereum holds $274.8 million in tokenized stocks, but much of that flow occurred only recently. Moreover, Solana’s total tokenized assets grew by 35% to reach $671.4 million in just 30 days ending on September 24, while Ethereum’s tokenized asset value saw only a modest 2% increase, reaching $9 billion. The analysts concluded by stressing that the asset tokenization market is still in its early stages, and Solana appears well-positioned to capitalize on this opportunity. When it comes to price growth, Ethereum is in the lead, having risen by over 50% year-to-date, compared to Solana’s 33% increase in the same period. At the time of writing, the price of SOL hovers just above the $209 mark, representing a 28% gap between current valuations and its record high of $293. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com -
Intraday Strategies for Beginner Traders on September 30
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The U.S. dollar continued to lose ground rapidly against risk assets at the start of the week, with objective reasons for this decline. The likelihood of a government shutdown increased further after yesterday's meeting between Democrats and Republicans with Trump. Traders are concerned about how political uncertainty may impact the U.S. economy and are seeking safer assets, which is putting pressure on the dollar. The situation is aggravated by the approaching deadline for passing the budget for the new fiscal year. If Congress fails to reach a compromise, government agencies will be forced to suspend their operations. This would lead to a reduction in public services, slower economic growth, and heightened chaos in financial markets. A prolonged shutdown could have serious consequences for the dollar, as it would undermine confidence in the U.S. economy and increase the risk of a downgrade to the U.S. credit rating. As for statistics, today's releases include Germany's unemployment change, unemployment rate, retail sales, and consumer price index. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde's speech will also attract attention. Traders are particularly interested in Germany's labor market data. Any deviations from expectations could trigger significant market volatility, particularly affecting the euro. A decline in unemployment and stability in the unemployment rate would signal economic strength and support the single currency. As for retail sales, the focus is on momentum: an increase points to consumer confidence and a healthy economy. Inflation, measured by the consumer price index, is also a key indicator monitored by the ECB. Accelerating inflation could prompt the ECB to adopt tighter monetary policy, which in turn could strengthen the euro. In the UK, today's focus will be on weak Q2 GDP data, along with a speech from MPC member Catherine L. Mann. Markets are closely watching the UK's economic indicators, which could have a notable impact on the pound. The expected weak GDP recovery, combined with an anticipated negative current account balance, will put pressure on the British currency. If the data matches economists' forecasts, it is preferable to use the Mean Reversion strategy. If the data is significantly higher or lower than expected, the Momentum strategy will be more effective. Momentum Strategy (Breakout):EUR/USDBuying on a breakout above 1.1750 may lead to growth toward 1.1785 and 1.1800. Selling on a breakout below 1.1725 may lead to a decline toward 1.1700 and 1.1670. GBP/USDBuying on a breakout above 1.3450 may lead to growth toward 1.3470 and 1.3499. Selling on a breakout below 1.3430 may lead to a decline toward 1.3405 and 1.3370. USD/JPYBuying on a breakout above 148.30 may lead to growth toward 148.66 and 149.00. Selling on a breakout below 148.15 may trigger a decline toward 147.60 and 147.30. Mean Reversion Strategy (Pullbacks): EUR/USDLook for selling opportunities after a failed breakout above 1.1745 with a return below this level. Look for buying opportunities after a failed breakout below 1.1711 with a return above this level. GBP/USDLook for selling opportunities after a failed breakout above 1.3451 with a return below this level. Look for buying opportunities after a failed breakout below 1.3416 with a return above this level. AUD/USDLook for selling opportunities after a failed breakout above 0.6622 with a return below this level. Look for buying opportunities after a failed breakout below 0.6585 with a return above this level. USD/CADLook for selling opportunities after a failed breakout above 1.3925 with a return below this level. Look for buying opportunities after a failed breakout below 1.3907 with a return above this level. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
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Ethereum Ready For Round 2? Analyst Forecasts Early October Rally Amid $4,200 Retest
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As the crypto market recovers from the end-of-September correction, Ethereum (ETH) is attempting to reclaim the crucial $4,200 area. Some analysts affirmed that the altcoin’s bounce signals that a new leg up could be coming in the next few weeks. Ethereum Reclaims $4,000 On Monday, Ethereum continued to recover from the recent market pullback, surging nearly 6% from Sunday’s Lows toward a crucial barrier. Last week, the King of Altcoins recorded a sharp drop below the $4,000 level for the first time since early August, recording an eight-week low of $3,815 on Thursday afternoon. Over the weekend, the cryptocurrency reclaimed the $4,000 barrier before surging to the crucial $4,100 mark on Sunday afternoon. This level served as a strong resistance throughout the past two years, as it represents the cycle’s previous high and a key bounce area during the Q3 rally. It also marks the lower boundary of its local $4,100-$4,800 range. Market Watcher Daan Crypto Trades noted that the weekly candle on ETH’s chart closed above this level after “a solid effort by the bulls and a late Sunday push.” He added that it remains important to hold this area on the higher timeframes to target the range highs. In the daily timeframe, the trader considers Ethereum has “not the worst look” as the recent reclaim shows a clear invalidation of the range breakdown and a potential recovery continuation. Daan also suggested that the cryptocurrency could be “taking one out of BTC’s playbook,” and be preparing for a massive new leg up following the range consolidation and deviation. Similarly, Bluntz affirmed that ETH’s wave 4 on the daily timeframe “looks like it’s over with a leg higher into ath yet to come.” However, the analyst considers that the next all-time high (ATH) breakout won’t be as “sensational” as many believe, suggesting the $5,500 area as the main target. ETH’s Next Leg Up Two Weeks Away? Multiple market watchers highlighted a potential Power of Three (Po3) setup on Ethereum’s chart, signaling that the recent pullback was part of the second stage, manipulation, and the cryptocurrency is ready for the third phase, expansion. Meanwhile, Merlijn the Trader affirmed that Ethereum is displaying a similar setup that preceded the May and July rallies. At the time, ETH broke down from its local range during a liquidity grab, sending the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator to oversold territory. “This is the exact setup that birthed every violent reversal. Strong hands know it. Weak hands fold,” the trader affirmed. Additionally, he noted that the cryptocurrency could be repeating the late Q2 script’s timeline. Per the post, Ethereum saw a 66-day consolidation between the May breakout and the next pump in July. During this period, the second-largest cryptocurrency saw a price fakeout below the range around the 45-day mark before breaking out 20 days later. Last week’s correction below the local range occurred 46 days into the accumulation period, suggesting that a new breakout and leg up could come in the first half of October. “We’re at day 51. The longer the squeeze… The harder the detonation,” Merlijn stated. Nonetheless, analyst Ted Pillows added that for more upside, ETH must recover the $4,250 area, where a strong sell wall is located, until the $4,320 level. If it fails to reclaim this area, the cryptocurrency risks retesting he $3,600-$3,800 support once again. As of this writing, Ethereum is trading at $4,172, a 3.5% increase in the daily timeframe. -
Natural Gas is likely to test its nearest resistance today. Tuesday, September 30, 2025.
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[Natural Gas] – [Tuesday, September 30, 2025] With all technical indicators in strengthening conditions, seems like Natural Gas has the potential to continue its upward movement today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 3.400 2. Resistance. 1 : 3.338 3. Pivot : 3.235 4. Support. 1 : 3.173 5. Support. 2 : 3.070 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the price breaks and closes above 3.338, it could bring #NG up to the 3.400 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 3.400 is broken and closes above it, #NG has the potential to continue strengthening up to 3.503. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The upside bias weakens if Natural Gas declines and breaks below 3.070. Technical Summary EMA(50) : 3.185 EMA(200): 3.020 RSI(14) : 66.52 Economic News Release Agenda: Tonight from the United States, the following economic data will be released: US - HPI m/m - 20:00 WIB US - S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y - 20:00 WIB US - Chicago PMI - 20:45 WIB US - JOLTS Job Openings - 21:00 WIB US - CB Consumer Confidence - 21:00 WIB The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
[Gold] – [September 30, 2025] Today, Gold has the potential to rise toward its closest resistance level because all prevailing technical indicators are showing strengthening conditions. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 3884.98 2. Resistance. 1 : 3858.90 3. Pivot : 3807.52 4. Support. 1 : 3781.44 5. Support. 2 : 3730.06 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of Gold breaks and closes above 3858.90, there is a chance to extend its gains up to 3884.98. Momentum Extension Bias: If 3884.98 is successfully surpassed, Gold has the potential to move up toward 3936.36. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The upside bias weakens if Gold declines and breaks below 3730.06. Technical Summary EMA(50) : 3813.64 EMA(200): 3771.62 RSI(14) : 65.33 Economic News Release Agenda: Tonight from the United States, the following economic data will be released: US - HPI m/m - 20:00 WIB US - S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y - 20:00 WIB US - Chicago PMI - 20:45 WIB US - JOLTS Job Openings - 21:00 WIB US - CB Consumer Confidence - 21:00 WIB The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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Solana (SOL) Attempts Recovery – Yet Lacking Momentum Could Stall Bullish Breakout
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Solana found support near the $192 zone. SOL price is now attempting to recover from above $200 and faces hurdles near $215. SOL price started a recovery wave above $200 and $202 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $202 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $204 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could start another decline if it stays below $215 and $220. Solana Price Eyes Recovery Solana price extended losses below $200 before the bulls took a stand, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL tested the $192 zone and recently started a recovery wave. The price was able to surpass the $200 and $202 resistance levels. There was a move above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $242 swing high to the $191 low. Besides, there is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $204 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. However, the price faces many hurdles near $215. Solana is now trading above $205 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. If there are more gains, the price could face resistance near the $215 level. The next major resistance is near the $216 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $242 swing high to the $191 low. The main resistance could be $220. A successful close above the $220 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $230. Any more gains might send the price toward the $242 level. Another Drop In SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $216 resistance, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $204 zone and the trend line. The first major support is near the $202 level. A break below the $202 level might send the price toward the $200 support zone. If there is a close below the $200 support, the price could decline toward the $192 support in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $204 and $200. Major Resistance Levels – $216 and $220.