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Charles Edwards, founder and CEO of Capriole Investments, has issued his starkest warning yet on quantum computing, arguing that Bitcoin must migrate to post-quantum signatures on an accelerated timeline or face existential risk later this decade. “We need to upgrade Bitcoin to be Quantum proof next year. 2026. Otherwise we are fucked,” Edwards wrote on X early Monday, escalating a series of posts in which he contends “Q-Day is this decade.” Could Bitcoin Crash To $0? Edwards’ thesis hinges on the rapid compression of resource estimates required to run Shor’s algorithm against Bitcoin’s elliptic-curve digital signatures (ECDSA/Schnorr on secp256k1). Pushing back at skeptics who “handwave Quantum as being 20+ years away,” he argued that only “~2,000 logical qubits” may be sufficient to break ECC-256 within a practical time window, placing a credible attack in “2–6 years.” In a separate exchange he framed the stakes bluntly: “Do you want $1M Bitcoin in 5 years, or $0?” Edwards’ timeline closely tracks a fresh line of research and industry messaging from Pierre-Luc Dallaire-Démers, founder of Pauli Group, a startup focused on quantum-resistant money. In an August research preprint and public thread, Dallaire-Démers and co-authors introduced graded ECDLP challenges on Bitcoin’s curve and, after translating logical circuits to physical costs across several error-corrected architectures, placed “cryptanalytically relevant” ECC-256 attacks in a “roughly 2027–2033” window—emphasizing wide error bars and sensitivity to hardware assumptions. Pauli Group summarized the upshot plainly: “The first attack on 256-bit ECC will plausibly happen between 2027–2033.” The firm also provocatively stated via X: “PQC BTC will go to $1M+ by 2030. ECC BTC won’t.” The core risk vector is well-established: once a Bitcoin address reveals its public key on-chain—by spending from it or by using legacy formats that expose the key outright—a sufficiently powerful quantum computer running Shor’s algorithm could, in principle, derive the private key quickly enough to steal funds. Security researchers and industry teams note that coins in already-exposed keys are the first in line, while coins still sitting behind hashed (unrevealed) public keys are safer until they move. Several analyses estimate that a non-trivial share of outstanding BTC resides in exposed-key outputs, including early “pay-to-pubkey” era coins often associated with Satoshi. Edwards leaned into that tail risk, claiming “Satoshi’s coins will be market dumped” absent a migration. Not everyone agrees on the clock speed. Some conservative estimates still point to millions of error-corrected qubits for practical, fast ECDSA breaks, and standards bodies have published transition guidance that implicitly assumes a longer runway. In late 2024, material circulated in the NIST/PQ ecosystem sketched migrations away from vulnerable algorithms by roughly 2035—a horizon many security engineers view as realistic for broad IT systems, even if niche breakthroughs arrive sooner. The spread between the “thousands” versus “millions” of logical qubits camps reflects fast-evolving algorithmic optimizations, differing error-correction models, and varied assumptions about gate speeds and code distances. Notably, Edwards is taking the message to TOKEN2049 this week, where he is slated to present “DOUBLE THREAT: Quantum & the Treasury Bubble” on Wednesday, October 1 at 10:45 a.m. local time—positioning quantum compromise and a growing “Bitcoin Treasury Bubble” as the two dominant downside risks for BTC over the next cycle. At press time, BTC traded at $112,150.

October is definitely going to be a defining month for the global cryptocurrency markets, driven by mounting expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts and the much-anticipated decisions on 16 pending spot crypto ETF applications by the US Securities and Exchange Commission. You could go ahead and call October 2025 the “ETF month.” Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas calls the month “Cointober.” Macroeconomic turbulence? Yes. But breakthrough opportunities? Again Yes! The week starts with critical US economic indicators expected to shape investor sentiment across risk assets, including Bitcoin and leading altcoins. These include August’s JOLTS job openings, consumer confidence metrics, the all-important ADP Nonfarm Employment data, ISM Manufacturing PMI, initial jobless claims, and the comprehensive jobs report. DISCOVER: 9+ Best Memecoin to Buy in 2025 Key Takeaways The most significant catalyst in October may be the SEC’s final rulings on 16 crypto ETF applications. SEC Chair Paul Atkins took aim at Europe’s broadening sustainability regulations, criticizing them as “driven by political fads.” The post Ready From “Cointober?” Atkins Promises “Minimum Effective Dose” Of Regulation appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

Gold surged above $3,800 an ounce for a new record on Monday, as investors flocked to the safe-haven metal amid fears of a potential US government shutdown. Spot gold rose as much 1.7% to $3,831.27 an ounce, surpassing its previous all-time high by about $50 an ounce. US gold futures were also 1.2% higher, peaking at $3,860.60 per ounce in New York. Click on chart for live prices. Gold’s rise was fueled by a continued deterioration of the US dollar, which lost 0.3% as the market awaits developments from a meeting between top US congressional leaders and President Donald Trump on Monday, scheduled right before the Sept. 30 expiration of federal funding. Political uncertainty “Safe-haven demand focused on the potential US government shutdown” is one of the driving factors behind this rally, said David Meger, director of metals trading at High Ridge Futures. “The dollar is under some light pressure in response to that, certainly supporting the precious metals complex.” A government shutdown, analysts say, would also threaten the release of key data including Friday’s payrolls report and add further uncertainty to the path of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy. Weaker employment figures could bolster the case for additional easing in October — a scenario that would benefit bullion. Traders also continued to weigh threats to the US central bank’s independence, after Fed Governor Lisa Cook’s attorneys on Thursday urged the Supreme Court to let her stay on the job while she fights Trump’s attempt to fire her. “Bullion doesn’t look overpriced relative to the dollar and Treasuries, which ought to contain a level of Fed-related premium, given the nature of the risk from the central bank’s potential loss of independence,” Barclays strategists said in a note on Sunday. “This makes it a surprisingly good value hedge,” they added. 45% gain Gold has soared 45% this year, setting successive peaks on robust central-bank demand and expectations of lower US interest rates. Prices are on track to close out a third consecutive quarterly gain next week, with holdings in bullion-backed ETFs at the highest since 2022. Banks including Goldman Sachs Group and Deutsche Bank have said they expect the rally to extend, with the former predicting prices to hit $5,000 should Trump’s attacks on the Fed continue. Those at JPMorgan even see bullion reaching $6,000 by the end of Trump’s presidential term. Peers also surging Meanwhile, gold’s precious metal peers have seen unprecedented tightness this year, exacerbating concerns about dwindling stockpiles of freely available metal in London as several years of supply deficits come to a head. Lease rates — which reflect the cost of borrowing metal, generally for a short period of time — for silver, platinum and palladium have all surged well above their normal levels of close to zero, according to Bloomberg data. Silver, most notably, has risen by nearly 60% this year, trading at levels not seen since early 2011. The metal is now above $47 per ounce, closing in on its all-time high from the late 1970s. Fresh concerns that platinum-group metals may be swept up in Trump’s Section 232 investigation into critical minerals have exacerbated market tightness, according to Citigroup analysts. The bank sees higher odds of palladium being subject to potential US import tariffs, pending the review that’s expected to land in October. (With files from Bloomberg and Reuters) Sponsored: Secure your wealth today — buy gold bullion directly through our trusted partner, Sprott Money.

We usually don’t see many thousands of percent gains from utility tokens; that’s more of a meme coin phenomenon. However, over the past month, the perpetual futures exchange Aster has seen its native token, $ASTER, make astounding gains of over 2,100%. Aster burst onto the scene with bold ambitions, establishing itself as a strong competitor to established players like Hyperliquid. At the same time, the protocol promised a privacy-focused approach and extremely high leverage, drawing the interest of traders and investors alike. As Aster grows, it should set the stage for projects like Best Wallet Token ($BEST), providing even new investors a convenient way to unlock crypto’s many investment opportunities. What Is Aster? Aster is a decentralized exchange (DEX) designed for perpetual futures trading—derivatives contracts that do not have expiration dates. Unlike standard futures, perpetuals allow traders to speculate on price movements (long or short) indefinitely. Aster supports extremely high leverage of up to 1,001x, which is greater than most of its rivals. Leverage trades carry greater risks but open the possibility of greater rewards for experienced traders. In short, leverage provides more trade exposure with less capital, but at a higher risk. Though Aster also offers spot trading, its main draw is derivatives. The project is backed by YZi Labs and has links to Binance co-founder Changpeng Zhao. Aster is built to be multi-chain, supporting BNB Chain, Solana, Ethereum, and Arbitrum. But technical factors alone don’t explain why Aster has made such progress; that comes down to something simpler. Aster vs. Hyperliquid: How They Stack Up Within days of launch, Aster made waves by exceeding Hyperliquid in daily revenue on several occasions, although its weekly trading volume still lags behind. The recent 24-hour trading volume of $ASTER to $HYPE was $924M compared to $671M. Hyperliquid, which focuses on perpetuals, already has an established user base and infrastructure. Aster remains unproven, even after a strong first month. Aster’s multichain design allows participants to trade across their preferred chains without forced routing or bridging costs. Hyperliquid runs its own blockchain as its foundation. Aster has also suggested moving to its own layer-1 chain in the future. This would free it from relying on BNB Chain and enable custom improvements. One of the main differentiators is order privacy. Aster offers Hidden Orders, allowing users to make private trades. Hyperliquid’s fully transparent model often reveals large ‘whale’ moves, which may discourage some big traders who prefer to stay stealthy. Although still in the early stages, Aster could lead a new wave of DeFi trading apps. One key to broader adoption? Powerful, simple Web3 wallets. Best Wallet Token ($BEST) – Wallet, Token, and Card in Powerful Web3 Ecosystem Best Wallet provides a simple, clean interface for a web3 wallet that’s ready for all the tokens, dApps, and protocol integrations you can throw its way. Best Wallet is non-custodial, so your tokens stay with you; there’s no third-party control. The Best Wallet Token ($BEST) introduces a native utility token, providing lower transaction fees and higher staking rewards. There’s also access to the best crypto presales in an upcoming tokens section, where investors can research and purchase tokens from within the app even before they launch. Investors can create up to 5 individual wallets within Best Wallet. Create one for Bitcoin, one for EVM tokens, and more, using Best Wallet to navigate the growing world of DeFi protocols and integrated dApps. Learn how to buy Best Wallet token and see why the presale has already raised over $16.1M. Check out Best Wallet token at the presale page. Aster’s arrival shakes up the decentralized derivatives space. And with continued growth, Aster might not just challenge Hyperliquid – it might redefine how future DEXs operate. That would create even more demand for wallets like Best Wallet and tokens like $BEST. As always, do your own research. This isn’t financial advice. Authored by Aaron Walker for NewsBTC — https://www.newsbtc.com/news/aster-vs-hyperliquid-in-dex-war-best-wallet-token-is-better-for-beginners

The Pending Home Sales data just got released with a 4% increase (!!) vs a 0.4% expectation – This might just reduce odds for cuts even more. A story to follow. Over the weekend, nothing crazy emerged except for some new Trump tariffs on movies and some rumours of a US Government shutdown. As per usual, this isn't leading to any sign of profit taking in Equities as the Nasdaq tries to catch up to its previous ATH (24,816). US Indices Daily Charts, September 29, 2025 – Source: TradingView Read More: Markets Today: Gold Rallies 1.5% to Trade Above $3800/oz, US Government Shutdown in Focus & FTSE 100 Runs Into ResistanceMarkets Weekly Outlook – getting ready for September NFP week Gold actually still loves this as it is on another sublime session, currently up 1.70% and marked another all-time high at $3,831 just a few hours ago. The US dollar is the one asset that's getting hurt the most from these rumours, with the DXY barely hanging around the 98.00 handle. We got some FED speak just before with Waller this morning on payments and the future of global finance (interesting but nothing much on the economic outlook) and Cleveland's Hammack showing some concerns on the path of Inflation but also takes part in the one time inflation-boosts from tariffs talks. Safe Trades and successful week! Follow Elior on Twitter/X for additional Market News, Insights and Interactions @EliorManier Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

BTC USD is firmly above $110K, and the latest Bitcoin technical analysis at the end of September 2025 is here! Bull markets – everybody loves them! Except the bears, of course… But lets the question circling around lately – Will the Bull market continue or is it over? Where is Bitcoin headed next – should I sell, hold or buy? People who are serious about their finances and consider themselves investors need to make informed decisions when tackling such questions. And they do! One of the areas we get information from is price action and conducting technical analysis. As always, it is really healthy to fill the picture with other trusted traders’ thoughts. In this case, with Sam’s comment on how crucial the $112,000 level has been lately. DISCOVER: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in 2025 And without further ado, let us dig into the charts! How is BTC USD Shaping Up For October? Bitcoin End of Month Technical Analysis (Source, TradingView – BTCUSD) 1W timeframe – a good place to begin! Not to take too long here, we would like to notice that in February of 2024 and April of 2025 there are Weekly Fair Value Gaps. Both remain unfilled. I would rather say the 2024 is unlikely to get filled during this bull market. And the higher the price holds above $100,000, the less likely it becomes for the 2025 gap to be filled. (Source – TradingView, BTCUSD) Going back to Sam’s comment on the importance of $112,000 level for Bitcoin price analysis, on this chart it is the orange line. And what is important here, besides that level, is last week’s candle. Half of the candle is a body, and half of it is a wick, with the wick being underneath that key level. This, by itself, could be a sign of strength! DISCOVER: Top Solana Meme Coins to Buy in 2025 (BTCUSD) Zooming in on the 1D chart, another marker for an uptrend and support are the moving averages. Currently, the BCT USD price is below MA50 and MA100, with MA50 about to go under MA100 – not great. But MA200 is still underneath at which is a strong and important level. The other details will be discussed in more detail below. DISCOVER: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025 Zooming in On BTC USD: Bitcoin Technical Analysis on Lower Timeframe + Conclusions (BTCUSD) On the 4H I have adjusted the left yellow bounce zone to the bottom one, which I considered a deviation. If it were, the BTC USD price wouldn’t go this far down a second time. This makes this zone more of a demand/liquidity support area. Essentially, we have a $10k range between $108,000 and $118,000. The last high that touched the resistance zone is actually a Higher High on this lower timeframe, and now we are moving up from a Higher Low. That is a good start! Bulls want to see all Moving Averages reclaimed and then a clean break above that $118,000 key level. Trade safely! DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto – Here’s 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x This Year Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Bitcoin Technical Analysis: End of September 2025 Insights Key level to hold is $110,000 – $112,000 1D chart shows bearish factors, yet structure remains bullish Expect price to be choppy around Monthly close Key level to reclaim for upward continuation is $118,000. The post BTC USD Targets End of September: Bitcoin Technical Analysis for October appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

Bank of America (BofA) has raised its copper price forecasts, pointing to widespread mine disruptions and steady demand as the metal tightens across global markets. The bank now expects copper to average $11,313 per tonne in 2026, an 11% upgrade from its prior estimate, and $13,501 in 2027, up 12.5%. Strategists forecast a peak of $15,000 per tonne ($6.80 per pound). Supply squeeze deepens BofA analysts flagged ongoing setbacks at some of the world’s largest mines, including Grasberg in Indonesia, El Teniente in Chile, and Kamoa-Kakula in the Democratic Republic of Congo. Additional pressure stems from delays at Teck’s Quebrada Blanca II project in Chile and the indefinite suspension of First Quantum’s Cobre Panamá. At the same time, treatment and refining charges have fallen sharply, underscoring the shortage of raw material. While overcapacity in China’s smelting sector has weighed on processing margins, analysts stressed the underlying issue is insufficient mine supply. Resilient demand Despite the supply headwinds, demand has remained robust. Copper consumption in China continues to be underpinned by rising grid investments tied to renewable energy and AI-related infrastructure. In Europe, demand is showing early signs of recovery after a prolonged slump. On the inventory front, stockpiles at the London Metal Exchange remain exceptionally low, raising the risk of short squeezes if consumption accelerates further. BofA expects copper to enter a structural bull phase. The bank emphasized that spare tonnages have already been diverted to the US, leaving the market vulnerable to sharp price spikes. On Monday morning, three-month copper futures traded at $10,643 per tonne ($4.84 per pound) on the CME, up 1.4% on the day. Click on chart for live prices. Read More: China slashes key metals growth target amid overcapacity curbs

XRP crypto sold off sharply on September 25, but that marked the end of its short-term drop, at least looking at the XRP USD price action. While the downturn lingered into the weekend for most cryptos, XRP USD has held firm, shrugging off broader market pressures and ranking among the most closely watched coins at press time. The recent dip could present a prime buying opportunity for aggressive traders. Several factors bolster this outlook. Despite the heavy selling earlier in the week, XRP USDT remains above $2.60, with buyers now targeting $3, a key psychological level. Moreover, the overall trend stays bullish, building on the rally from early July 2025. (Source: XRP USDT, TradingView) On Coingecko, .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } XRP XRP $2.88 3.15% XRP XRP Price $2.88 3.15% /24h Volume in 24h $3.95B Price 7d In the United States, the CME followed up its XRP futures milestone with the announcement of XRP futures options, opening the door to even greater institutional participation. DISCOVER: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 XRP Whales Bought 120M XRP Crypto: XRP USD To $5? XRP Crypto stabilizes above $2.7 XRP USD bulls in charge, targets $5 Ripple partners with BBVA, SBI REX-Osprey XRP ETF is live The post XRP Whales Bought 120M XRP Crypto In 3 Days: XRP USD To $5? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

The phrase “Uptober” has gained popularity in the crypto market, as October has historically delivered gains in the past. For the XRP price, however, the picture looks very different. A closer look at its history shows a mix of big wins and painful losses, making October far less predictable. Removing the extreme years shows that the data points to flat or negative results, which means investors counting on an explosive rally may end up disappointed. Although the last quarter of the year has brought substantial gains in some cases, the overall record remains inconsistent, suggesting that “Uptober” may be more of a myth than a promise for XRP holders. Historical Data Challenges The “Uptober” Hype For XRP Price Every October, the crypto community hopes that coins will rise, and while Bitcoin sometimes lives up to this expectation, XRP’s history tells a different story. Data from CryptoRank shows that XRP has experienced some notable fluctuations in October over the last decade. In 2013, the token soared by more than 94%. In 2014, it jumped 130%. In 2020, it even delivered an explosive rally of nearly 179% in just one month. But these massive rallies are rare. In many other years, the results were disappointing. For example, the XRP price suffered double-digit losses in October of 2018 and 2021. In other years, gains were delivered only in tiny amounts, far below what traders had hoped for. Stripping away the highs and lows makes the overall trend clear. The median October return for XRP is actually a slight loss of 1.79%, and the average return is even worse at -4.58%. This data suggests that October is far more likely to bring disappointment than explosive growth for XRP holders. While the idea of “Uptober” may sound exciting, the history of XRP shows its performance in October is scattered, unpredictable, and often hostile. Q4 Patterns Show Risk Of Relying On Seasonal Myths Some traders argue that even if October is not always a great month, the XRP price usually performs well in the final quarter of the year. Indeed, the last quarter has sometimes delivered big rallies, and the average Q4 return for XRP is nearly 88%. But these results are heavily skewed by a few extraordinary years. When the numbers are balanced, the median return for Q4 is actually a loss of 4.32%. The negative median Q4 return shows that the perception of Q4 strength is not as reliable as many believe. The standout rallies do not represent the typical outcome. Instead, most years end up modest or even negative. The pattern points to risk, not certainty, for those who assume every Q4 will bring green candles. Past data proves that while extraordinary runs are possible, they are rare, and the more common result is far less exciting. XRP could still surprise to the upside, but history warns against treating October as a guaranteed month of gains. Believing the hype without considering the risks may leave investors unprepared for disappointment.

Bitcoin is up 71% over the past year, but investors still feel frustrated with the recent performance of the world’s largest cryptocurrency. That’s because Bitcoin is down nearly 10% from its all-time high of $124,000 last month, currently trading around $112,000. Overall, Bitcoin remains one of the best-performing assets in history. However, lately, it seems to be stuck in a slump. Is this a bug in Bitcoin’s code? At least one analyst, Jordi Visser, believes the pullbacks are actually part of steady growth and warns that more pullbacks could become common even as Bitcoin continues to rise. The Nvidia Parallel Visser compares Nvidia, the semiconductor giant whose stock skyrocketed during the AI boom. Less than three years after ChatGPT’s rise, Nvidia’s stock surged by over 1,000%. Yet during that ascent, it weathered five corrections of 20% or more before reclaiming higher highs. The comparison makes sense, according to Visser, because Bitcoin isn’t just a digital currency or a speculative investment – it’s becoming part of the larger AI and tech conversation. As AI transforms traditional industries and replaces old business models, investors may start to view $BTC as both a hedge against disruption and the native digital store of value for the next wave of innovation. Visser has written about this before, highlighting how AI and crypto innovation aren’t simply a progression of technology, but a fundamental reworking of core institutions, such as banking (through crypto) and production itself (through AI). In that telling, capital might flow into Bitcoin alongside AI-favored equities, tying its trajectory to momentum in the tech sector. Possible Pathways Forward Visser’s outlook doesn’t preclude further upside; his prediction about Bitcoin’s connection with AI actually adds weight to Bitcoin’s long-term outlook. Still, Visser warns that deep pullbacks may punctuate the rally. On the technical side, EMAs still paint a bullish picture, despite recent narrowing. A similar narrowing of the EMA bands occurred before the surge in $BTC’s price in July, building up to August’s ATH. Stablecoins, Bitcoin, DeFi – crypto’s many use cases increasingly point to a continued crypto revolution. Corrections aside, Bitcoin could be set for continued long-term growth as blockchain and AI tech feed on each other. That makes projects like Bitcoin Hyper, with a problem-solving Bitcoin Layer 2, even more critical. Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) – Faster, Cheaper Bitcoin Transactions for Ecosystem Growth Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) tackles some of Bitcoin’s biggest limitations head-on. Bitcoin processes an average of 7 transactions per second; by leveraging the Solana Virtual Machine, Hyper processes several thousand. Bitcoin suffers from congestion and low throughput, but Hyper relies on Solana’s greater scalability. With the SVM and a Bitcoin Canonical Bridge, all the tools and features that investors typically find on Solana are now open to Bitcoin. That means meme coins, DeFi, native staking – the whole works. Bitcoin Hyper actually provides a hybrid architecture, utilizing a bridge to the SVM for wrapped Bitcoin, while reserving final transaction settlement for Layer 1. You can learn how to buy $HYPER with our guide. Given the broader market and some traders’ frustration with Bitcoin’s performance, it’s not surprising that $HYPER is attracting significant presale investment as investors learn more about what Hyper is. The presale has already surpassed $18.8M, with tokens priced at just $0.012995. Don’t overlook Bitcoin Hyper’s potential – read more at the official website. Jordi Visser offers a bullish Bitcoin picture, at least for the long term. Corrections won’t derail an ongoing bull run – they’re likely vital components of it. Suppose Bitcoin follows the pattern of Nvidia and undergoes multiple steep pullbacks en route to higher highs. In that case, it won’t necessarily herald a collapse, but could actually indicate just how far Bitcoin Hyper—and Bitcoin itself—could go. As always, do your own research. This isn’t financial advice. Authored by Aaron Walker for NewsBTC — https://www.newsbtc.com/news/expect-sharp-corrections-before-bitcoin-reclaims-new-highs-lessons-from-nvidia

History of U.S. Government Shutdowns Power Struggle As the September 30 funding deadline approaches, history may be about to repeat itself. The United States has faced several major government shutdowns in the past, and the odds are rising that another one could begin on October 1, 2025. Power Struggle A Look Back: History of Major U.S. Government Shutdowns 1995–1996: The Clinton Era During President Bill Clinton’s administration, budget disputes with Congress led to two shutdowns: November 14–19, 1995 (5 days) December 16, 1995 – January 6, 1996 (21 days) The standoff revolved around disagreements over Medicare, education, and spending cuts. The 21-day shutdown was the longest in U.S. history at the time. 2013: The Obama Shutdown Under President Barack Obama, a bitter fight over funding the Affordable Care Act (Obamacare) caused a 16-day shutdown (October 1–16, 2013). 2018–2019: The Trump Shutdown The most recent and longest shutdown in U.S. history occurred under President Trump. A battle over funding for a border wall with Mexico triggered a 35-day shutdown (December 22, 2018 – January 25, 2019).. Why the Risk of a Shutdown Is High Now Fast forward to today, and the ingredients for another shutdown are in place: Congressional gridlock: Lawmakers have failed to pass a continuing resolution to fund the government past September 30. Senate deadlock: The Senate has not approved the clean stopgap spending bill already passed by the House. White House warnings: The administration has told agencies to prepare for permanent job cuts, signaling that shutdown planning is being taken very seriously. U.S. Government Shutdown Threatens to Delay Key Jobs Report and Shake Global Markets Power Struggle Odds of a Shutdown on October 1 While nothing is guaranteed, the political stalemate makes a shutdown appear increasingly likely. The next few says will be crucial to break the impasse but if not, the U.S. could soon face yet another government shutdown. In this regard, Republicans are looking to get Democrats to agree to kick the can down the road into November to avert closing the government. This latest chapter in the never-ending battle over the budget seems set to go down to the wire. USA GOV The post History of U.S. Government Shutdowns and Why Odds Are High for Another on October 1 appeared first on Forex Trading Forum.

A sharp increase in Bitcoin during today's Asian trading session may indicate the return of large players to the market—participants who have not been very active lately. Clearly, September is not the best time for such a move. As historical data show, September is usually a bearish month not just for cryptocurrencies, but for all classes of risk assets. October, on the other hand, is known for the strongest bullish seasonality: BTC has posted positive returns and an average gain of 22.9% in 9 out of the last 10 Octobers. Naturally, this phenomenon does not guarantee a repeat, but it does highlight the cyclicality and seasonal trends that are typical of financial markets. Investors who pay close attention to such patterns can use them to form their trading strategies, considering the possibility of an October rally. However, relying solely on seasonality would be shortsighted. It is necessary to also take into account the current macroeconomic environment, the news backdrop, and overall market sentiment. More accommodative regulatory changes, technological breakthroughs, and geopolitical events—all of these can alter the expected dynamics of the cryptocurrency market. Therefore, analysis of October's seasonality should always be complemented by other factors affecting the price of Bitcoin. Moreover, it is important to remember that past results do not guarantee future returns. Markets are constantly changing, and established patterns may lose relevance. Nevertheless, understanding historical trends allows investors to better anticipate possible scenarios and make more informed decisions. BofA also forecasts that the fourth quarter of this year could be the strongest ever for BTC. This bold forecast, coming from one of the world's largest financial institutions, adds even more intrigue to the evolving landscape of the cryptocurrency market. BofA's arguments likely consider a range of factors, from seasonality to potential macroeconomic shifts. Notably, institutional interest in BTC—which has steadily grown in recent years—could reach its peak by the end of 2025. More and more companies are adding cryptocurrency to their balance sheets as a hedge against inflation and a means of diversifying assets. In addition, potential approval of new BTC ETFs would attract even more capital to the market, which will undoubtedly affect the price of the world's first cryptocurrency. Rising awareness and adoption of BTC among retail investors is also playing a significant role. Increasing numbers of individuals view cryptocurrency as a promising tool for investment and savings, which stimulates demand and consequently supports price growth. Trading recommendations: As for the technical outlook on Bitcoin, buyers are now targeting a return to the $112,800 level, which would open the way toward $114,400, with just a short distance remaining to the $116,000 mark. The most distant target is the high near $117,400: a breakout above this would signal further strengthening of the bull market. Should Bitcoin decline, buyers are expected to become active around $111,200. A drop back below this area could quickly push BTC toward $109,900, with the most distant downside target in the area of $108,600. Regarding Ethereum's technical setup, a firm move above $4,132 paves the way to $4,210. The most distant target is the high near $4,331, and a breakout above this would confirm the strength of the bull market and a rise in buying interest. In the event of a correction, buyers are expected near $4,039. If ETH falls back below this level, the price may quickly drop to $3,942, with the most distant downside target in the region of $3,827. What we see on the chart: - Red lines: support and resistance levels, where price is expected to either stall or move sharply; - Green lines: 50-day moving average; - Blue lines: 100-day moving average; - Light green lines: 200-day moving average. The crossing or testing of moving averages by the price usually halts or triggers further movement in the market. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Bitcoin has managed to reclaim the $110,000 level, but momentum remains fragile as the market shows early signs of exhaustion. After recent volatility, BTC’s inability to extend gains higher has fueled speculation that a deeper correction may be in play. Traders are closely watching whether Bitcoin can hold above this critical threshold or if selling pressure will drag it lower in the coming sessions. Despite the cautious outlook, some analysts view the current consolidation as a healthy reset in a broader bullish cycle. They argue that periods of cooling price action often serve as foundations for more sustainable rallies, reducing leverage and strengthening long-term support levels. Adding to this cautious optimism, top analyst Maartunn shared fresh data showing that retail demand is backing off. According to his findings, the 30-day Retail Demand Change has dropped to -5%, marking its lowest level since July. This trend suggests smaller investors are stepping aside, leaving price direction increasingly in the hands of larger players and institutions. Retail Capitulation And Macro Risks The current retreat in retail demand could carry a bullish undertone for Bitcoin. Historically, retail investors often act as a contrarian signal—buying aggressively near cycle tops and capitulating near market bottoms. With the 30-day Retail Demand Change dropping, smaller investors appear to be stepping aside just as Bitcoin consolidates above the $110,000 level. This reduction in retail activity may be a sign that the market is flushing out weaker hands, setting the stage for stronger accumulation by institutions and high-conviction holders. At the same time, broader macroeconomic risks add complexity to the picture. The looming threat of a US government shutdown is stirring concerns across risk assets, as investors weigh potential impacts on liquidity, market confidence, and the trajectory of Federal Reserve policy. Historically, periods of political gridlock and fiscal uncertainty tend to increase volatility, with Bitcoin often caught in the crosscurrents. However, uncertainty does not always translate into downside. In some cases, Bitcoin has benefited from macro turbulence as investors seek alternative assets outside of traditional financial systems. If retail investors remain on the sidelines while larger players accumulate, this dynamic could create a launchpad for a new bullish phase once macro conditions stabilize. Bitcoin Price Dynamics: Struggling At $112K Bitcoin is currently trading around $112,141, showing signs of resilience after its recent dip below the $110,000 level. The chart reflects a short-term recovery, but BTC is still facing strong resistance from the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, both positioned slightly above the current price zone. These averages have acted as dynamic barriers in recent weeks, capping upward momentum and reinforcing the market’s corrective phase. The rejection from the $123,217 resistance level, marked earlier in September, highlights the ongoing difficulty for bulls to sustain rallies. Since then, the structure has shifted into a lower-high formation, signaling fading momentum. Despite the bounce, the failure to reclaim and hold above the $114,000–$115,000 zone could expose BTC to further downside risk, with the 200-day moving average near $105,000 serving as the next critical support. For now, Bitcoin’s short-term outlook remains cautious: bulls need a decisive break above $115,000 to regain momentum, while bears may target deeper retracements if the $110,000 floor gives way again. The coming sessions will be crucial in determining whether this rebound is sustainable or just another pause in the correction. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Newmont Corp. (NYSE: NEM), the world’s largest gold miner, said Monday that chief executive Tom Palmer will retire later this year, with chief operating officer Natascha Viljoen set to take over on January 1, 2026. Palmer, who took the top job in October 2029, said it was the right time to step aside after nearly 40 years in the mining industry, including 12 with Newmont. Viljoen joined Newmont in 2023 after leading Anglo American Platinum, now Valterra, and serving on Anglo American’s Group Management Committee. The leadership change announcement comes on the same day Barrick Mining (TSX: ABX; NYSE: G) disclosed the sudden resignation of its CEO, Mark Bristow, who had led the Canadian miner since its 2019 merger with Randgold Resources. Whirlwind of changes Under Palmer, Newmont completed a string of transformative deals, including the takeover of Canada’s Goldcorp, the creation of the Nevada Gold Mines joint venture with Barrick, and the $17-billion acquisition of Australian miner Newcrest, which cemented Newmont’s global dominance. The company has also undergone significant executive turnover. Earlier this year, chief financial officer Karyn Ovelmen resigned after just over two years. Long-time insider Peter Wexler was named interim CFO. Newmont shares have more than doubled in 2025. The company recently pulled its stock from the Toronto Stock Exchange, citing low trading volumes and expected cost savings. Newmont first listed in Canada in 2019 after acquiring Goldcorp. This month, the miner capped a year-long divestment program with the sale of its Coffee gold project in Yukon, underscoring the scale of change under Palmer’s leadership.

Why the Next Fed Chair Matters: Yield Curve Steepening, Fed Independence, and Market Implications Treasury Yield Curve The combination of loose U.S. fiscal policy and an easy monetary policy stance is raising red flags for global investors. Together, they increase the risk of higher inflation and could undermine confidence in the U.S. dollar. At the same time, concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve may already be contributing to the recent steepening of the U.S. Treasury yield curve. This is why the appointment of the next Fed Chair is more than just a Washington decision. It is a major market event with global implications for forex, bonds, equities and commodities markets. How Much Influence Does the Fed Chair Have Over the FOMC? The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) sets U.S. interest rates and monetary policy. While the Fed Chair has only one vote like other members, the position carries outsized influence: Agenda Control: The Chair decides what topics are discussed and in what order at FOMC meetings. Public Voice of the Fed: Through press conferences, speeches (such as Jackson Hole), and testimony to Congress, the Chair communicates the Fed’s stance to the world. Institutional Influence: The Chair has significant sway over internal appointments and how the Fed’s staff frames research and policy options. In short, the Fed Chair is said to be “one above equals, ”not a dictator of policy, but a leader who sets the tone and direction of monetary policy. The Credibility Factor History shows that a credible Fed Chair can rally consensus and reduce internal dissent: Alan Greenspan, Ben Bernanke, Janet Yellen, and Jerome Powell all shaped committee views by forming a consensus by projecting unified messaging. When the Chair is respected, other members are less likely to break publicly from the consensus. By contrast, a Chair perceived as lacking credibility will face more internal dissent, more public disagreement, and a weaker ability to guide markets. Fed Independence and Political Pressure (Trump’s Pressure on the Fed) The biggest risk comes if the next Fed Chair is seen as a political choice rather than an independent one. A politically driven appointment could: Undermine confidence in the Fed’s independence. Lead to a fractured FOMC with more dissenting voices. Increase market uncertainty about inflation and interest rate policy. Drive higher risk premiums in bond markets, further steepening the yield curve. Even with these risks, the Fed Chair still controls the agenda and serves as the central bank’s public voice. This means that credibility and independence will determine how effective the next Chair can be. Why the Next Fed Chair Appointment Is Critical for Markets The appointment of the next Fed Chair will shape: Inflation expectations Bond yields and the treasury yield curve Global confidence in the U.S. dollar Equity market valuations While the Chair is only one vote on the FOMC, the ability to forge consensus, communicate policy clearly, and maintain independence from politics makes the role pivotal. If the new Chair is perceived as politically compromised, it risks not only undermining the individual but also weakening the credibility of the Federal Reserve confuct of monetary policy with major implications across all financial markets. 2-10 Year U.S. Bonds Yields US Department of The Treasury The post Why the Next Fed Chair Matters appeared first on Forex Trading Forum.

The market is once again driven by headlines: gold has rewritten its all-time high, soaring to $3,812 per ounce; Brent crude slipped below $70 amid a supply glut; Oracle is entering TikTok US through a $14 billion deal; and Apple is preparing to give Siri a "second wind," accelerating the AI race. This article explores the reasons and consequences behind each story, offers fresh forecasts and key risks, and, in conclusion, presents practical strategies for traders looking to turn this volatility into real results. Gold hits a historic peak: a new benchmark for traders Gold has shattered its previous price records, breaking above the $3,812 per ounce mark and cementing its status as the standout asset of the fall season. On Monday, September 29, prices reached an all-time high, prompting analysts to revise their forecasts and the market to closely monitor the metal's momentum. This article delves into why gold is back at the center of the global financial stage, what's driving its price, and how traders can capitalize on the current trend. On Monday, gold prices surged by 1.4% to a record $3,812 per ounce, later settling around $3,806. This marked the sixth consecutive week of gains – a clear signal of a strong uptrend. The key driver behind gold's recent surge is the weakening of the US dollar, which is losing ground amid political uncertainty in Washington and the looming threat of a federal government shutdown. A weaker dollar makes gold more accessible to global buyers, while doubts surrounding the Federal Reserve's future policy direction are further fueling interest in the asset. Adding to the momentum is the risk of delayed publication of key macroeconomic data, including labor market reports. If the forecasted slowdown in employment is confirmed, expectations for a Fed rate cut as early as October will strengthen, giving gold another tailwind. Over the past six weeks of uninterrupted growth, the metal has gained 45% year-to-date, continuing to set new records. Demand is being driven not only by retail investors but also by central banks, which are actively increasing their gold reserves. Gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are seeing their highest volumes since 2022, further reinforcing the bullish trend. For many market participants, gold has become a symbol of distrust in the US political and economic landscape, where even the Federal Reserve's independence is under scrutiny. Top bank analysts agree that the rally still has room to run. Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank forecast continued growth, citing a combination of structural demand and escalating geopolitical uncertainty, which only enhances the asset's appeal. Barclays notes that gold appears to be "an unexpectedly profitable hedge" against both the dollar and Treasury bonds. In other words, investors are increasingly viewing the metal not just as a defensive asset, but as a source of returns even amid instability. For traders, the current situation presents a wide range of opportunities. Gold remains a key risk-hedging tool and is well-suited for long-term positions. In a highly volatile environment, the market offers flexibility to adapt: traders can lock in profits at high levels or increase exposure during short-term pullbacks. Gold is no longer just a "safe haven" – it's becoming a full-fledged source of income for those who know how to seize the moment. Oil under pressure again: oversupply pushes prices down Oil prices began the week with a decline, as Brent dropped below $70 per barrel. In this article, we'll break down why crude is losing ground, which factors are shaping its movement, what banks and analysts are saying, and how traders can turn this turbulence into profit. On Monday, Brent futures fell by 63 cents to $69.50. This came after Iraq resumed oil exports from its Kurdish region, halted for more than two and a half years. The Iraq–Turkey pipeline began pumping 180,000–190,000 barrels per day on Saturday morning, with potential to increase to 230,000. The agreement between Baghdad, the Kurdish regional government, and international oil companies—brokered with US support—came as a surprise to the market and added downward pressure on prices. However, the main factor remains unchanged: OPEC+ policy. The alliance, led by Saudi Arabia, is set to increase output by at least another 137,000 barrels per day in November, continuing the pace already set for October. Since April, the cartel has added over 2.5 million barrels per day—about 2.4% of global demand. This move is not about stabilizing the market, but about regaining market share. In other words, OPEC+ is no longer trying to act as a "price manager"—instead, it's flooding the market with previously idled volumes. While the headlines may make these increases sound significant, analysts caution that the actual production rise will likely be much smaller, as many member countries are already at or near capacity. As RBC notes, beyond Saudi Arabia, there's hardly anyone left who can realistically boost supply. Still, the mere expectation of more barrels entering the system undermines the recent rally in oil prices. The International Energy Agency (IEA) adds fuel to the fire with a forecast: if current trends persist, the market will face a record surplus by 2026. According to their estimates, in the second half of 2025 alone, the oversupply could reach 2.5 million barrels per day. Goldman Sachs is even more blunt: the bank expects Brent to fall into the mid-$50 range as early as next year, despite China's ongoing stockpiling. In other words, the oil market is increasingly looking like a battleground where sellers are fighting to maintain their share at any cost, while buyers simply shrug and go for the cheapest option. For traders, the key is not to get discouraged but to use the volatility as a tool. Given the oversupply and pressure from OPEC+, short strategies on Brent—such as opening sell positions—look like a logical move. Conservative traders may look for entry points during upward corrections, aiming to take profits on subsequent declines. More aggressive traders can take advantage of intraday volatility for scalping opportunities. The current oil market environment offers a unique opportunity to those ready to act now. Open a trading account with InstaForex and download the mobile app to quickly respond to price movements and seize every profit opportunity. Oracle grabs a big piece of TikTok: $14 billion deal and new horizons The deal over TikTok's US operations is finally moving forward: last week, Donald Trump signed an executive order valuing TikTok US at around $14 billion and setting a 120-day deadline to finalize all the details. Investors include Oracle, Silver Lake, and Abu Dhabi's MGX. In this article, we break down—in plain terms—what exactly Oracle is getting, how governance will be structured, where the risks lie, what the implications could be for the business, and finally, specific trading ideas. Let's get to the point. According to US Vice President JD Vance, the $14 billion valuation is fixed by the order. Ownership is split as follows: the Oracle-Silver Lake-MGX consortium holds around 45–50% of TikTok US; ByteDance retains less than 20% (with a target of 19.9%); the remaining ~35% is held by US investors, including General Atlantic, Susquehanna, and KKR. The board of directors consists of seven members: six appointed by the US side and one by ByteDance. The White House insists that the recommendation algorithm used in the US will be retrained and operate under the oversight of security partners within the new joint venture. According to sources, China's cybersecurity regulator has approved a licensing structure that permits the use of AI technologies in the US market. The concept is simple: TikTok continues to operate in the US, but the key "control levers" are transferred to the new American structure. The $14 billion valuation appears conservative compared to market benchmarks. For reference, TikTok's rival Snap has 98 million daily active users in North America and a market cap of about $14 billion. TikTok US is significantly larger in scale. Analyst Dan Ives previously valued TikTok (excluding the algorithm) at $30–40 billion, and ByteDance itself was valued at over $330 billion in employee stock buyback programs. Oracle's key advantage: strategic access to a massive audience at a discounted price The main advantage for Oracle is clear: it's entering a high-value asset with a massive US user base at a price below market expectations, and it's gaining control over the most valuable part of the platform—the data and algorithm operations. Oracle's outlook is quite tangible. The company is strengthening its relationship with the US government as a "trusted custodian" of sensitive data, enhancing its cloud platform with a high-load AI product, and gaining access to advertisers within the TikTok ecosystem. Key growth catalysts include: successful deal closure within the 120-day window, a clear governance model for the algorithm, and the first revenue and monetization metrics from TikTok US. Risks involve regulatory delays, disputes over foreign investor stakes and influence, and potential degradation of content quality during the transition period. Key takeaways for investors $14 billion is a low price for access to one of the largest digital audiences in the US; Oracle gains a strategic asset and bolsters its position in AI and digital advertising. Execution is everything – the outcome for investors depends on how swiftly and smoothly the algorithm and governance restructuring are completed. What traders can do: Bullish Idea: Long positions in Oracle – a bet on successful deal closure and future monetization of TikTok US. Tactic: Buy on dips triggered by news volatility; add to positions as key milestones are confirmed. Volatility Strategy: Play price swings around key events – White House statements, updates from Chinese regulators, board composition announcements, and details on algorithm oversight. Risk Management: Partial profit-taking during optimism spikes. Cautious traders may prefer to wait for official deal approval and early operating metrics, using corrections as entry points. Simple rule of thumb: Watch the 120-day timeline, the algorithm control framework, and the first earnings signals from TikTok US. If all goes smoothly, Oracle may be on track to rewrite its growth story—and give the market a solid reason to reward patient investors. Apple gives Siri a second wind: rejoining the AI race Apple is making it clear that rumors of its AI "lag" have been greatly exaggerated. The company is developing an internal app, similar to ChatGPT, to speed up testing of the long-awaited Siri update, expected to launch in spring 2026. Codenamed Veritas (Latin for "truth"), the project aims to assess whether Siri can truly compete with Google and OpenAI's offerings. Veritas is an internal tool that allows Apple engineers to test new Siri features—from searching personal data like emails and music to editing photos directly within apps. The app mimics the interface of popular chatbots, supports contextual awareness, parallel conversations, and can even access historical queries. While there's no public release planned yet, the very existence of this tool signals Apple's urgency in preparing a next-generation voice assistant. The future Siri will be powered by a system called Linwood, built on large language models developed in-house by the Foundation Models team, with input from external technologies. Apple is keeping things quiet. Company representatives are staying silent, and at a recent internal meeting, Tim Cook simply stated: "AI is our transformation, and we will invest whatever it takes to win." Behind the scenes, however, the company has already held talks with OpenAI and Anthropic, and is now reportedly discussing the use of a customized version of Google's Gemini platform. The road to a new Siri has been bumpy Apple had initially planned to unveil the Siri update in spring 2025, but engineering setbacks delayed the launch—about a third of the new features simply didn't work. This led to a full AI strategy review and internal shakeups: Former AI chief John Giannandrea has stepped back, Siri veteran Robbie Walker is leaving the company in October, The AKI team (Apple Knowledge Integration) is now leading the development of advanced search features. Veritas is expected to help test integration with online data and generate short, useful summaries. Apple understands that this is not just a cosmetic update—it's a matter of survival in the AI competition. In 2026, the smartphone market is set for an all-out battle over AI features, and consumer choice will increasingly hinge on the intelligence of their pocket assistant. What success looks like for Apple If the new Siri can truly act on on-screen data, control devices without extra clicks, and complete tasks faster than its competitors, it could be a turning point. If not, Apple risks cementing its reputation as a follower, not a leader. What this means for traders: The news presents a mixed picture: On the upside: The development of Veritas and the anticipated Siri upgrade in spring 2026 are reigniting investor interest in Apple. The company is re-entering the AI conversation—now the biggest growth driver in tech. On the downside: Release delays, executive turnover, and strong competitors like Alphabet and Samsung could put pressure on Apple's stock. Strategies to consider: Optimists may go long on Apple in anticipation of a successful Siri relaunch and stronger iPhone sales. Conservatives might wait for stable functionality and confirmed AI features, buying on dips. Aggressive traders can play off speculative moves, trading news leaks and announcements that will likely trigger sharp price swings. To turn this volatility into opportunity, open an account with InstaForex and download our mobile app to act fast and capture profit as the AI race heats up. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Crypto analyst Bobby has revealed that the XRP price is about to close a 3-minute candle above a major region. He indicated that this was very bullish for the altcoin, providing insights into how high it could rally. XRP Price Set To Close Fourth 3M Candle Above In an X post, Bobby revealed that the XRP price is about to close its fourth 3-minute candle above the highest 3-minute candlestick close of its prior bull cycle. He added that the altcoin is also on track to close a 3-minute candle body above the previous 3-minute candle wick high amid a highly fearful market and even without reaching a 1.618 extension. Based on this, he urged market participants to “think bigger,” possibly alluding to the projections for the XRP price in this market cycle. His accompanying chart showed that XRP could rally to as high as $13, representing a gain of over 400% from its current price level. Meanwhile, Bobby highlighted the candle closes above the April 2021 high as another reason he is bullish on XRP. His analysis comes amid a market downtrend, which has seen the XRP price drop below crucial support levels. Bobby suggested that the current downtrend was nothing to worry about. He stated that a golden pocket retest for XRP, from its latest low to its swing high, would be between $2.50 and $2.55. However, he declared that a drop to this range wouldn’t change a “single thing” about where the altcoin is heading. Instead, the crypto analyst believes that this would help weed out paper hands, who don’t deserve to benefit from what is to come for the diamond hand holders. He added that strategy and patience are needed amid the wait for the XRP price to reach new highs. XRP Could Reach As High As $33 Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto has predicted that the XRP price could reach as high as $33 in this market cycle. He explained that, within the 2-week timeframe of the last leg in previous cycles, XRP always touched the 21 EMA before it blasted off. In 2017, the altcoin touched the EMA and then surged 1,250% while it rallied 560% in 2021. Egrag Crypto noted that if history repeats, the XRP price could rise to as high as $33 or $17, based on the gains from the previous cycle. Meanwhile, XRP could also record an average rally of 905%, which would put its price at $27. The analyst added that he doesn’t see how XRP won’t reach these targets. At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $2.85, up over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

It was a tough week for BTC USD. The good news is that a positive shift is underway. After a concerning dip, the Bitcoin price steadied, closing with a long lower wick that signals strong buying pressure. The digital gold found support at $108,900 before staging a robust bounce, closing above $110,000. Right now, BTC USDT is holding firm above $112,000. Amid this refreshing rebound, attention is turning to Solana and one of its key revenue drivers: Pump.fun. The meme coin launchpad remains a hot topic, boosting PUMP and several top Solana meme coins along the way. While SOL USD fluctuates above $200, confidence is building that a surge in Pump.fun activity could ignite a full-blown Solana season. (Source: BTC USDT, TradingView) According to Coinglass data, optimism is mounting for Solana to break higher. The long/short ratio exceeds 2 on Binance, reflecting strong trader conviction. This bullish skew is especially encouraging after last week’s slippage, which briefly pushed SOL USDT below $200. What’s more? Trading volume on major perpetual futures exchanges, particularly on Binance and Gate.io, is rising, pointing to renewed trader interest. (Source: Coinglass) DISCOVER: 10+ Next Crypto to 100X In 2025 Will Crypto Recover in October? BTC USD Blasts Past $112,000 Of course, whether Solana climbs higher and bolsters overall sentiment hinges on a broader market recovery. Overall, how the Bitcoin price performs will play a pivotal role. Since last week’s pullback, .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Bitcoin BTC $112,131.16 2.36% Bitcoin BTC Price $112,131.16 2.36% /24h Volume in 24h $39.95B Price 7d Ultimately, Pump.fun’s triumphs ripple directly to Solana. Decentralized exchange (DEX) trading volume on Solana averaged over $10Bn for much of last week. (Source: Dune) If SOL USD grinds higher alongside a spike in Pump.fun activity, overall trading volumes could explode, driving fresh demand for SOL and delivering a major tailwind for bulls. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Will Crypto Recover? BTC USD Reclaims $110K Amid Solana SZN Will crypto recover after falling in September? BTC USD reclaims $110,000 Solana in focus: Trades back above $200 Pump.fun driving meme coin activity The post Will Crypto Recover in October? BTC USD Reclaims $110K as Solana SZN Heats Up on Pump.Fun appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

Barrick Mining (TSX: ABX) (NYSE: B) shocked markets Monday with the abrupt resignation of president and CEO Mark Bristow, who departs after nearly seven years at the helm without explanation. Bristow, who steered Barrick since its 2019 merger with Randgold, will be replaced on an interim basis by Mark Hill, a veteran executive overseeing the miner’s Latin American and Asia Pacific regions. Hill, with the company for two decades, takes charge immediately as the board launches a global search for a permanent successor with the help of an external firm. Bristow’s tenure included the integration of Randgold, $6.7 billion in shareholder returns, a $4-billion cut in net debt, and a series of strong quarterly results. But his record was overshadowed by a long-dragged dispute with Mali over the Loulo-Gounkoto gold complex, once Barrick’s largest African mine. Thorn in Bristow’s side The dispute traces back to Mali’s 2023 mining code, which increased government royalties and equity stakes in joint ventures. While competitors such as Allied Gold and B2Gold reached agreements with the ruling junta, Barrick resisted. Tensions escalated last year when the government demanded a greater share of profits. Authorities responded by jailing four Barrick executives, issuing an arrest warrant for Bristow, blocking exports, and seizing bullion. Mark Hill. (Image: LinkedIn profile.) Barrick responded by seeking international arbitration late last year, and in January 2025 shut down the mine entirely. The standoff took a turn for the word in June, when Malian authorities placed Loulo-Gounkoto under state control. Barrick booked a $1-billion impairment charge in August, cutting the carrying value of its 80% stake in the mine, which once generated 15% of the company’s gold output. The crisis deepened further when Hilaire Diarra, Barrick’s former Tongon mine manager and key negotiator with Malian authorities, switched sides. In late August, Diarra was appointed as a special adviser to Mali’s president Assimi Goïta. Earlier this month, Malian prosecutors appealed a court order to release the jailed executives, prolonging legal uncertainty around the Canadian miner’s operations in the country. More to come…

Stock indices ended week with gainsUS stock indices closed higher on Friday, with futures pointing to further gains. Investors are eagerly awaiting Congress's meeting with Trump on federal funding. Optimism in the market is supported by expectations of new economic stimulus measures. At the same time, concerns remain that political uncertainty could cap the rally. Follow the link for more details. Expectations of volatility in OctoberInvestors are preparing for increased volatility in the S&P 500 in October, possibly due to a potential US government shutdown. A continued rally is constrained by weaker positions of some leading companies. Experts warn that uncertainty over federal funding could trigger short-term sell-offs. However, positive corporate earnings may partly offset these risks. Follow the link for more details. Oracle strengthens position through TikTokOracle signed a $14 billion deal to acquire part of TikTok's US operations, opening new prospects for the company. This will strengthen its position in data and artificial intelligence. The deal will allow Oracle to compete more actively with Microsoft and Amazon in the cloud technology market. Cooperation with TikTok is also expected to expand the company's influence in the media space. Follow the link for more details. Apple enhances work on SiriApple is preparing updates for Siri by developing an internal app to test new features. This is an important step for the company as it seeks to keep pace with rivals in artificial intelligence. New features may improve user experience and increase the attractiveness of Apple's ecosystem. Analysts believe that integrating innovations into Siri will help the company maintain leadership in premium technology. Follow the link for more details. As a reminder, InstaForex provides the best conditions for trading stocks, indices, and derivatives, helping traders profit effectively from market fluctuations. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Recent Solana price action has been a wild card, and with the upcoming Alpenglow protocol upgrade, things can get even more volatile. With SOL crypto trading in a wide range, gaining over 20% weekly, only to return everything the week after. With Uptober coming in and traders and devs discussing the upcoming update, price action could get even messier. Solana’s Alpenglow update is designed to make transaction finality almost instantaneous, potentially outpacing even Web2 systems like Google search speeds. At the same time, a new proposal from Jump Crypto’s Firefancer team is sparking debates about removing Solana’s long-standing block caps, a move that could take the blockchain’s throughput to unprecedented levels. As excitement builds, the question is whether these upgrades will fuel a rally in SOL price or if the market will see another round of FUD before the next leg up. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time What is the Alpenglow Upgrade and Why Are Developers Excited? Alpenglow is Solana’s most considerable protocol upgrade to date, receiving over 98% validator approval earlier this September. It replaces Solana’s legacy Proof-of-History and TowerBFT systems with Votor (a voting mechanism) and Rotor( a deterministic clock). These changes will drastically cut block finality times from 12.8 seconds to just 100-150 milliseconds. Buy with Best Wallet gaining some traction recently and Solana fundamentals getting even more solid, we can expect that October is going to be a crucial month chart-wise. If that happens and a breakout occurs, the Solana price will be in a position of price discovery, which leaves everything to speculation on where it will stop. Many traders shorting the breakout, believing it is the next fakeout, could create even more speculation, and a short squeeze is also on the board of possibilities, sending it up at a new ATH with ease. RSI indicator is above the moving average, showing a lot of room for growth, supported by green MACD. Missing peace now is the volume; if volume keeps up with, and we push again with volume, this would be the clear sign for possible price discovery. (Source – Tradingview) DISCOVER: 15+ Upcoming Coinbase Listings to Watch in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways SIMD-0370 by Jump’s Firedance team proposes removing Solana’s fixed compute unit block limit after Alpenglow. 4th time is the charm? SOL USD to push again amid Uptober? The post Will Solana Uncap Blocks After Alpenglow? SOL USD Price Prediction For October appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

Overview: The US dollar is extending the pullback seen ahead of the weekend. It is softer against all the G10 currencies and most emerging market currencies today. However, the intraday momentum indicators are stretched, and, perhaps, some US participants will want to wait to see the outcome of President Trump's meeting with Democratic leaders in Congress before extending the greenback's sell-off in the face of what the possible government shutdown starting Wednesday. Equities are mostly advancing. Japanese equities were the chief exception in the Asia Pacific, with the Nikkei dropping 0.7%, and Taiwan markets were closed. The Hang Seng led today's rally with a nearly 1.9% gain, and mainland shares that trade there rose 1.6%. Europe's Stoxx 600, which eked out a minor gain last week, is up almost 0.40% today. US index futures pared their weekly losses before the weekend and are 0.4%-0.65% stronger now. Bonds have also rallied. Benchmark 10-year yields are 2-3 bp lower in Europe. The US 10-year yield that approached 4.20% in the second half of last week is off 3-4 bp today near 4.14%. The US Treasury has not coupon sales this week but lots of bills. The softer greenback, lower rates, and the prospect of a US government shutdown helped lift gold to a new record near $3820. However, it has stalled and could test the $3800 area in North America. The prospect that OPEC+ could decide at the end of the week to boost output again next month has seen November WTI pull back toward $64.60 today after reaching $66.40 before the weekend, which was the highest since August 1. USD: After rallying Wednesday and Thursday, the Dollar Index consolidated ahead of the weekend. It peaked last Thursday around 98.60. It has pulled back to further today, reaching almost 97.85. Nearby support is seen in the 97.70-80 area. At the same time, it is increasingly difficult to see how a federal government shutdown tomorrow at midnight can be averted. There seems to be a slim chance that meeting between the president and congressional leaders today, which was canceled last week, will overcome the key obstacle; namely that both sides see advantages in a shutdown. This swamps other near-term concerns. Today's diary is light; pending home sales and the Dallas Fed's manufacturing survey, and tomorrow sees house prices, the August JOLTS and September Conference Board's survey. A government shutdown would delay the September employment report on Friday. That may give the ADP private sector jobs estimate more sway. The median forecast in Bloomberg's survey is for a 48k increase in the ADP estimate. EURO: The euro fell to a two-week low last Thursday, near $1,1645, before recovering back above $1,1700 ahead of the weekend. Additional buying today has seen in approached the lower band of resistance, which extends from $1.1735 to $1.1750 area could lend credence to ideas a low is in place. At the least, it could signal a test on the $1.1800-15 area. The EU confidence surveys out earlier today typically are not market movers. This week's attention in CPI. Spain, whose credit rating was lifted by Moody's and Fitch at the end of last week, reported today that its EU harmonized measure of CPI rose from 2.7% to 3.0% in September. The other three largest eurozone members report this national figures tomorrow and the ECB's aggregate estimate is released on Wednesday. Headline inflation has been hovering between 1.9% and 2.1% for the past four months. Over the same period, the core rate has been flat at 2.3%. CNY: The dollar approached the month's high last week, slightly shy of CNH7.15. The heavier greenback tone ahead of the weekend saw it return to almost CNH7.14. It has been sold a little below CNH7.1200. Currently, the yuan looks to be trading rather passively, responding to changes in the greenback. The next technical target may be slightly below CNH7.1100. After setting the dollar's fix higher for the third consecutive session, and the highest this month before the weekend (CNY7.1152), the PBOC set it lower today at CNY7.1089). China sees its September PMI first thing tomorrow. The market reaction is likely to be limited. Chinese markets are from Wednesday October 1 through Wednesday October 8. China data often has little impact on the exchange rate, which is closely managed by the PBOC. In the generally firm US dollar environment seen since the press conference after the recent FOMC meeting, the yuan has yielded a little to the greenback, but it is among the strongest currencies in the world. JPY: The dollar's recovery that began during Fed Chair's press conference after the FOMC meeting from a two-month low near JPY145.50 stalled last week a smidgeon below JPY150.00 The pullback was limited to around JPY149.40 before the weekend. Follow-through selling today has pushed it slightly below JPY148.50 by early European turnover. It is overextended on an intraday basis. US 10-year yield that was knocking on 4.20% last Thursday is now near 4.14%. That could coincide with the dollar pushing above JPY150. First thing tomorrow, Japan reports industrial production and retail sales. Industrial output is expected to have contracted by 0.9% in August industrial output after a 1.2% decline in July. Q3 is off to a rough start. It averaged 0.2% a gain in the first seven months of the year. Retail sales are expected to rise by 1.2% in August to recover much of the 1.6% decline in July. Through July, the average monthly change was zero. The weak domestic economic backdrop may contribute to the Bank of Japan's reluctance to raise rates so far this year, though the market's confidence of hike is increased. The Tankan survey results may be the economic highlight of the week now, and the LDP will choose its leader this weekend, who will become the next prime minister. GBP: The UK reported August consumer credit and mortgage data earlier today, but the market looks past it. Since the FOMC meeting, the UK 10-year Gilt yield rose by almost 15 bp, while sterling dropped shed about four cents (~3%). As the momentum stalled ahead of the weekend, it appeared that short covering helped it recover from around $1.3325 to almost $1.3415. Follow-through buying today has lifted sterling to $1.3450, which stretched the intraday momentum indicators. Nearby resistance is seen in the $1.3465 area, and a move above there can signal a return to the $1.3525-50 area. CAD: The stronger than expected July GDP (0.2%) did not prevent the Canadian dollar from settling at its lowest level since mid-May before weekend. The US dollar reached a high near CAD1.3960 in Europe before data but found support near CAD1.3930. It has fallen to almost CAD1.3915 today. A break of CAD1.3900 could see CAD1.3870 initially. The swaps market also was not impacted much by the monthly GDP and is still discounting around 75% chance of another rate cut in Q4 25. AUD: Since the US FOMC meeting, the Australian dollar has fallen from the year's high slightly above $0.6705 to $0.6520 at the end of last week. It consolidated but stalled around $0.6550 and rose to almost $0.6575 today. A convincing move above here may boost confidence that the near-term low is in place, but the intraday momentum indicators have stalled in overbought territory. The Reserve Bank of Australia meets the first thing tomorrow. There is little chance of a change in policy. Therefore, the guidance RBA Governor Bullock provides is the key to the market's reaction. Another robust gain (0.6%) in private sector credit is exactly the kind of thing that has spurred Bullock into warning that maybe additional rate cuts are not warranted. MXN: The dollar rallied from the year's low set around the FOMC meeting earlier this month near MXN18.20 to a high last week before Banxico cut rates around MXN18.5650. It fell to almost MXN18.33 on Friday, ahead of the weekend. This met the (61.8%) retracement of the rally near MXN18.34, but it closed above it. Today, it eased a little through MXN18.32. A break of MXN18.30 would signa a return to MXN18.20. Mexico's economic calendar is busy in the coming days with unemployment, worker remittances, IMEF surveys, and auto sales, but none seem to move the peso. Banxico left open the scope for additional easing. Yet, it does not meet until November 6 (and then December 18). This week's data may not be important inputs for the central bank's decision. Disclaimer

How does it feel that the above picture is the only reason the Ethereum price is trading above $2000? Ethereum ETFs just suffered their worst week on record. According to Farside Investors, spot ETH funds saw $795.6M in outflows last week, narrowly beating the previous $787.7M record set earlier this month. “ETF flows mirror investor hesitation — high volumes, but cautious allocations,” one Farside analyst said. The Fidelity Ethereum Fund (FETH) led the exodus with $362M withdrawn, while BlackRock’s ETHA lost over $200M despite managing more than $15B in assets. Grayscale’s ETHE also reported heavy withdrawals, underscoring that this wasn’t isolated selling but a broader wave of investor caution. So, will we see a new Ethereum ATH this year or not? Data Check: Is Ethereum Actually Stronger Than It Looks? All you had to do was buy Bitcoin under $1000 and Ethereum under $20. You had seven years to stack for this very moment—the great fiat collapse. With all that said, even with money bleeding out, Ethereum’s on-chain picture isn’t falling apart. CryptoQuant data shows exchange reserves slipping lower as coins move into cold storage or staking contracts. When demand kicks in, less supply on exchanges often sets the stage for sharper moves. At the same time, bearish puts on Ethereum look stretched. With most downside liquidation clusters already cleared, the bulk of leverage now sits above price. In plain terms, even a modest move higher could trigger a cascade of short liquidations and cause a short squeeze. CoinGecko’s long-term charts reinforce the backdrop. ETH has outperformed most Layer-1 rivals year-to-date, with a 62% gain versus Solana’s 45% and BNB’s 28%. The problem isn’t ETH’s fundamentals — it’s sentiment. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 Bitcoin ETFs Are Bleeding Too, But Why Does it Look Stronger? Ethereum wasn’t alone. Spot Bitcoin ETFs lost $902.5M last week, led by Fidelity’s FBTC. Still, Bitcoin held firmer than ETH, sliding 5.5% to $109,352, with liquidation clusters stacked above rather than below. Glassnode data shows that ETF inflows earlier in September remained net positive, suggesting that BTC retains stronger institutional bid support. (Source: CryptoQuant) Ethereum’s chart paints a fragile balance. The price is hugging the 200-day EMA near $4,000, a level that often acts like a launchpad. Momentum indicators are neutral: RSI at 38 and fading OBV point to weaker volume, but not outright collapse. “ETH looks stuck until demand flips the balance, but when it does, the move can be violent,” a trader on X noted. If buyers regain control, ETH could easily squeeze past $4,200, forcing shorts out of the trade. If not, the next support rests near $3,700. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time And if everything for Ethereum collapses you need to learn how to grow food. Can the food and store it. Also make your own wheat and bread. Have livestock for milk. Good luck. EXPLORE: Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino Hopes For Net Positive From US Elections, Says Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Is A Great Idea: 99Bitcoins Exclusive Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways How does it feel that the above picture is the only reason the Ethereum price is trading above $2000? Here’s what’s next for ETF. Even with money bleeding out, Ethereum’s on-chain picture isn’t falling apart. The post Now That Ethereum ETFs Are Dead, What’s Next For ETH Price? (Record $796M Outflows) appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

Ethereum had a relatively quiet weekend, with price action showing signs of stability after last week’s volatility. ETH has reclaimed the $4,100 level, and analysts now point to the $4,000 mark as a crucial line of defense. If bulls manage to hold above this support, the market could see a strong surge in the coming days, setting the stage for Ethereum to retest higher levels. Adding weight to this outlook, a key report by CryptoQuant highlights that Ethereum supply on spot exchanges continues to decline. This trend often signals that investors are withdrawing ETH to self-custody or staking, reducing available sell-side liquidity on exchanges. Historically, such declines in exchange reserves have paved the way for rallies, as demand eventually absorbs the reduced supply. However, while the data is supportive, analysts caution that the real catalyst remains demand. Without strong inflows of new buyers, supply-side reductions alone may not be enough to push ETH significantly higher. The coming days will therefore be critical, with Ethereum’s ability to hold above $4,000 serving as a key indicator of whether the next leg of the rally is ready to unfold. Ethereum Outflows Point to Long-Term Bullish Setup According to the CryptoQuant report, recent Ethereum outflows from spot exchanges are largely tied to new buys, where investors purchase ETH and immediately move it into self-custody or staking. This behavior reduces sell-side liquidity and, over time, can create the foundation for price appreciation. Looking at past cycles, clear patterns emerge: Network Congestion & UNI Airdrops: During this phase, high gas fees and strong macro tailwinds fueled demand. Outflows accelerated, leading to a robust bull run as liquidity tightened. Late Bear Phase & FTX Collapse: At the peak of quantitative tightening (QT), the FTX crisis sparked a bank run, with older coins leaving exchanges. Despite fear, improving macro conditions soon restored demand, driving ETH higher. We see the same trend today: reserves are falling, yet prices remain flat as selling offsets new buying. Historically, once demand strengthens, these periods lead to rallies. Importantly, this is not a supply shock in the strict financial sense. Instead, it reflects reduced exchange reserves and lower sell-side pressure. The question is whether demand will accelerate. If rate cuts, slower QT, and rising global liquidity continue, ETH could be primed for a strong long-term move. In the meantime, price volatility is expected. If ETH dips below the accumulating whales’ realized price, it may offer a buying opportunity, just as it has in past cycles. This dynamic shows investor trust in Ethereum and reinforces the view that falling reserves prepare the ground for the next rally. Price Action Details: Relief Rally Or Recovery? Ethereum (ETH) is attempting to stabilize after its sharp drop below the $4,000 level, with the latest chart showing a modest recovery to around $4,131. The bounce comes after ETH briefly tested lows near $3,900, suggesting that buyers are stepping in to defend this critical support area. On the 8-hour chart, ETH has reclaimed the 200-day EMA (red line), which is now acting as a short-term pivot point. However, the 50-day (blue) and 100-day (green) moving averages remain above the current price, creating overhead resistance between $4,250 and $4,400. A clean break and consolidation above these levels will be necessary for bulls to regain momentum and target higher ranges toward $4,600. For now, ETH’s structure is fragile. The recent rejection from $4,600 and the subsequent breakdown highlight the intensity of selling pressure. Still, the rebound from sub-$4,000 levels signals that demand remains strong, particularly from accumulation wallets and whales, which have been absorbing supply. If ETH holds above $4,000 and pushes through $4,250, the market could enter a recovery phase. Conversely, failure to maintain this rebound may expose ETH to a retest of $3,800 or even lower support zones. The coming sessions will be critical in defining ETH’s short-term trend. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Telegram founder Pavel Durov said on September 28 that French intelligence pressured him into removing Moldovan election channels during the 2024 campaign. In posts on Telegram and X, he claimed the request came through an intermediary while he was in Paris and was linked to his ongoing legal case in France. “This was unacceptable on several levels,” Durov wrote. Crypto advocates and digital rights groups framed Telegram as a last line of defense for free speech online, warning that the prosecution was a test case for platform accountability. DISCOVER: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025 Europe’s Broader Push for Online Control: Is Telegram Next? The latest claims come amid a broader European push to regulate online platforms. In May 2025, Durov said French intelligence also pressured Telegram to censor Romanian election content, which he rejected. “You can’t ‘defend democracy’ by destroying democracy. You can’t ‘fight election interference’ by interfering with elections,” Durov argued. Meanwhile, the EU’s controversial 2025 proposal to monitor all chat messages, including encrypted ones, has gained backing from 19 member states. (Source – European Blockchain Association) According to Eurobarometer, trust in government across the EU is 32%, while nearly half of respondents now put more faith in digital platforms for communication (a climb from 42% in 2023). Durov says Telegram will never censor for politics, no matter the pressure. At stake is the bigger question of who will set the boundaries of political speech in an age where encrypted apps shape public debate. EXPLORE: XRP Price Jumps 11% After SEC Crypto Unit Tease XRP ETF Progress Key Takeaways Telegram founder Pavel Durov said on Sept. 28 that French intelligence attempted to pressure him into removing Moldovan election channels. Trust in government across the EU sits at 32%, according to Eurobarometer. The post Is Telegram Still Free? French Government Force Moldova Election Interference Via Pavel appeared first on 99Bitcoins.