Ir para conteúdo
Criar Novo...

Redator

REDATOR
  • Total de itens

    7172
  • Registro em

  • Última visita

  • Dias Ganhos

    2

Tudo que Redator postou

  1. The Cardano (ADA) price is still holding up quite nicely and has maintained support above $0.81. This level is now acting as the major level in the recovery, becoming even more important as the technicals pile up at this point. Highlighting the importance of holding this level, pseudonymous crypto analyst The Alchemist Trader shows what will happen as long as bulls continue to maintain their hold. The Foundation For The Cardano Price Rally In the analysis, the importance of holding $0.81 is shown by several major developments. The first of these is the fact that this level is the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement support. In addition, it is also the major support on the daily timeframe, helping to maintain the bullish momentum. Thus, the foundation of the Cardano price rally is built on the $0.81 support. As The Alchemist Trader explains, the $0.81 level is pivotal for the ADA price right now. In the past, it has served as the demand zone for the altcoin, absorbing sell liquidity and holding up against pressure from the bears. Given this, the analyst believes that holding above this region reinforces the bullish narrative for Cardano despite other bearish factors such as declining volumes. Other bullish factors that have emerged are the fact that the ADA price has continued to put in higher lows and higher highs. Naturally, higher lows and higher highs mean an asset is maintaining its bullish trend, and Cardano is no different. With each correction reaching into the key support zone at $0.81 before bouncing, the analyst points out that this means that bulls are still in control. Such corrections are ‘healthy resets’ and do not signal exhaustion for the digital asset. Where ADA Price Is Headed Is $0.81 Holds As long as the $0.81 region holds, then the ADA price does remain incredibly bullish. The first major push upward is expected to clear out the $1 resistance and move it into the $1.16 region. This is the spot that bulls will need to beat in order to actually validate the bull trend. Once $1.16 is surmounted, then the resistance at $1.19 swims into view, and this is where the momentum must hold the most. This is because these are regions that align with the “previous resistance levels and Fibonacci extension objectives.” Thus, beating these will mean that the price can continue to rally. “A rotation toward $1.16 appears likely, and a breakout beyond that level could drive price action toward $1.19 in the short to mid-term,” the crypto analyst stated.
  2. Tech giants Forward Industries and Galaxy Digital are building substantial Solana reserves to drive strategic growth and network activity within the Solana ecosystem. Forward Industries has secured $1.65B, creating the largest-ever Solana corporate treasury. It’s clearly taken from Strategy’s Bitcoin playbook – holding crypto directly on the company’s balance sheet. Alternatively, one of the major crypto investment firms, Galaxy Digital, purchased $326M $SOL to grow $SOL holdings for Multicoin Capital’s institutional fund (SOL DAT). Galaxy Digital still has $1.3B in cash and stablecoins, which could be directed toward acquiring more $SOL, potentially affecting Solana’s short-term price and market liquidity. These large-scale institutional $SOL purchases translate to green candles in the charts for $SOL, prompting investors to seek early opportunities, such as the Snorter Token ($SNORT) presale, which plans to release the fastest and cheapest Solana trading bot. $SOL Breaks $238 With 21% Monthly Surge—Institutional Buyers Drive Unstoppable Momentum Solana’s current price is at $238, a 7% increase in the last 24 hours that reflects strong investor confidence and surging demand. Besides, Solana’s steady rise in the last week (+%15) highlights sustained buying pressure and continued hype among institutional and retail investors for Solana-focused projects. As a result, $SOL monthly gains have been even more pronounced at roughly 20%, suggesting a broader bullish trend. Our experts identified a bullish pennant in $SOL’s charts, creating hype after breaking key resistance between $212 and $230. This momentum positions $SOL to rally toward all-time highs of $300 soon, a 28% increase from current prices. With Solana ready for a race up, it’s reasonable to expect $SOL-based top altcoins to follow along. Emerging as the ‘next big thing’ in the Solana network, Snorter Token is turning heads with its trading bot, capitalizing on the network’s bullish trajectory. Solana’s Bull Run Sparks FOMO—Is Snorter Token the Next Explosive Presale Opportunity? Snorter Token ($SNORT) aims to create a Telegram-native trading suite that powers the Snorter Bot, a trading partner that can snipe tokens automatically, offer fast & secure swaps, and copy trading functionalities. Other features include: Honeypot detection and rugpull protection Limit orders for locking in profits and scheduling buys Lowest fees among all Solana trading bots (0.85%) Fastest transaction execution on Solana Front-running & MEV protection Read more about Snorter Token’s utility in our guide – we go over everything you need to know! This token will launch on Solana first but is expanding across Ethereum, BNB Chain, and other EVM networks in the future. This means you’ll get quick and easy trading assistance on several of the biggest blockchains. No more will you be outraced by whales – Snorter Bot detects liquidity almost instantly and can trade the freshest tokens in an instant. The Snorter Token presale has raised over $3.8M as whales rush to join before the next price increase at $4.3M. Launched at $0.0935 per token, $SNORT is now $0.1041, delivering an impressive 11.3% ROI for early adopters by simply HODLing. The gains are projected to reach 12.6% by the final presale stage at $0.1053. Plus, our Snorter Token price prediction forecasts a potential $1.02 price by the end of the year. For instance, buying $500 worth $SNORT now could turn to $4,900 by the year’s end. As an early backer, you have the first-mover advantage. 300M of the total 500M $SNORT tokens will be sold during presale, positioning you to benefit from $SNORT’s scarcity-driven model. Staking is also very attractive at 120% APY – you can potentially double your holdings within the first year, maximizing returns from both presale investments and staking rewards. To buy Snorter Token, visit the official presale page, connect your wallet, and select the number of tokens you want to buy. Like several other successful Solana-centric projects, $SNORT is riding the bullish wave that has lifted $SOL above $235. Snorter Token’s dual reward structure, combined with Solana’s broader growth trajectory, positions $SNORT as a lucrative presale opportunity. The subsequent Snorter token price rise is tomorrow. To potentially see double-digit ROI before launch, join the Snorter Token presale today. This is not financial advice. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and speculative. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Authored by Aaron Walker, NewsBTC – https://www.newsbtc.com/news/solana-treasury-race-forward-industries-1-65b-snorter-token-10x-soon
  3. Good afternoon, traders! On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair reversed in favor of the euro and consolidated above the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.1695. Initially, traders were focused on selling and even achieved consolidation below 1.1695. However, the news flow dramatically shifted market sentiment. Thus, the upward movement may continue today toward the next 100% Fibonacci level at 1.1789. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave broke above the previous wave's peak, while the most recent downward wave did not break the previous low. Thus, the trend remains bullish—though not particularly strong or confident. The latest labor market data and the changed outlook for the Fed's monetary policy support only the bulls for now. On Thursday, the ECB held its policy meeting, but that wasn't the catalyst for increased activity among traders. The ECB maintained policy as expected. Instead, the U.S. inflation report surprised the market. Recall that Donald Trump and U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent continue to insist that inflation in America is low and demand that the Fed cut rates. However, official reports continue to show a rising CPI—and currently, it seems everyone has a different definition of "low." For Trump and Bessent, even 5% might be considered low. For the Fed, this is high inflation—2.5 times the target. Notably, there is increasing discussion that the target should be revised. As the saying goes, if the mountain won't come to Mohammed, Mohammed will go to the mountain. If you can't hit the target, just move it. This is the approach advocated by Republicans, loyal Trump supporters, for whom economic growth and a full government purse are far more important than low inflation. Meanwhile, since April (when tariffs began), CPI has climbed from 2.3% to 2.9%. On the 4-hour chart, the pair consolidated above the horizontal range, allowing traders to look for further growth toward the 161.8% Fibonacci level at 1.1854. There are no looming divergences on any indicator today. A bounce off 1.1854 may work in the dollar's favor and spur some decline, whereas consolidation above 1.1854 will increase the pair's chances for further growth toward 1.2066. Commitments of Traders (COT) Report: During the last reporting week, professional traders closed 2,726 long contracts and opened 751 short contracts. The "Non-commercial" group's sentiment remains bullish thanks to Trump and only grows stronger over time. The total number of long contracts held by speculators is now 255,000, and short contracts—136,000. The gap is practically twofold. Also, note the number of green cells in the table above, which reflects strong position buildup in the euro. In most cases, interest in the euro keeps rising, while interest in the dollar keeps falling. For 30 weeks in a row, large players have reduced shorts and increased longs. Trump's policy remains the biggest factor for traders, as it may lead to structural, long-term problems for the US. Despite several key trade deals being signed, some crucial economic indicators are still declining. News calendar for the US and Eurozone: Eurozone — German Consumer Price Index (06:00 UTC)US — University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (14:00 UTC)September 12's economic calendar contains just these two entries, neither of which is significant. The influence of news flow on market mood this Friday will be weak. EUR/USD Forecast and Trading Tips:Selling of the pair can be considered today on a close below 1.1695 on the hourly chart, aiming for the 1.1637–1.1645 zone. Buying the pair was possible on Thursday on a close above 1.1695, targeting the 1.1789–1.1802 area. Today, keep these trades running by setting the Stop Loss to break even. Fibonacci levels are drawn from 1.1789–1.1392 on the hourly and from 1.1214–1.0179 on H4. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  4. Bitcoin broke through the $115,000 level today, continuing its September rally as U.S. inflation data shaped expectations for Federal Reserve policy. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in line with forecasts, while jobless claims rose higher than expected, fueling bets that the Fed could cut interest rates at its upcoming September 17 meeting. bitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.29T24h7d1y This combination of steady inflation and labor market weakness has markets pricing in as much as 75 basis points in rate cuts by year-end. Traders reacted quickly, with Bitcoin climbing to $115,500 and marking its strongest performance since late August. The latest FedWatch data shows markets now pricing in a 92.7% probability of the target rate being lowered to 400–425 basis points, while only 7.3% expect a deeper cut to 375–400 bps. Importantly, the current rate of 425–450 bps has a 0% chance of being maintained, underscoring the market’s conviction that rate cuts are coming. Just a month ago, there was still a 6% chance of no change — showing how quickly sentiment has shifted. (Source: CME FedWatch) Solana also moved higher, trading at $238, while Binance Coin (BNB) reached $909: a new all-time high. Another standout was Hyperliquid (HYPE), which surged to $57 and joined the list of tokens hitting record levels. Meme coins showed signs of revival as well, with PENGU up 10%, DOGE gaining 4%, and Fartcoin nearing a $1 billion market cap after a 20% rise over the past week. EXPLORE: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025 Best Crypto To Buy Now: BNB, HYPE, Mantle And Breakout Altcoins With Bitcoin holding above $115K and fresh rate cut speculation on the table, traders are looking at which tokens could outperform in the next leg of the market. BNB and HYPE are two clear front-runners after setting new all-time highs, highlighting strong momentum and investor demand. Mantle (MNT) is another name to watch, as it recently climbed to new highs, showing resilience as the broader market focused on Layer-2 and Exchange tokens. As CPI-driven volatility settles, the market’s focus will shift back to growth narratives and adoption trends. While short-term pullbacks remain possible, the combination of Bitcoin strength, altcoin breakouts, and growing ETF speculation is making September one of the most dynamic months for crypto this year. 1 hour ago THORChain Co-Founder Scammed by North Korean Hackers in $1.3M Exploit By Fatima JP, co-founder of THORChain and Vultisig, has reportedly lost around $1.3 million in a sophisticated conference call scam carried out by North Korean hackers. The exploit, revealed by blockchain investigator @zachxbt, highlights a striking irony: JP’s projects have previously been linked to facilitating money laundering for DPRK-linked groups. Adding to the controversy, JP recently defended North Korea’s right to hack and exploit teams during a documentary on the Bybit hack. 2 hours ago Fed Set to Cut Rates in September, More Easing Likely Ahead By Fatima Reuters poll of 107 economists shows near-unanimous agreement that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its September 17 meeting, lowering the federal funds rate to 4.00%-4.25%. Weaker labor market data, including stalling job growth in August and a major downward revision to prior employment figures, has shifted expectations firmly toward monetary easing despite inflation risks. Markets have fully priced in a September cut and now expect at least three reductions this year, compared to just two forecast weeks ago. While most economists anticipate another 25-basis-point cut in the fourth quarter, some see the possibility of a larger 50-basis-point move. By year-end, forecasts split between a total of 50 bps and 75 bps of cuts. Looking ahead, analysts expect further easing in 2026, with rates potentially falling to 3.00%-3.25% as the Fed prioritizes labor market stability. The post [LIVE] Crypto News Today, September 12 – Bitcoin Crosses $115K, SOL Price Surges To $238 And BNB Hits A New ATH: Best Crypto To Buy Now? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
  5. Anticipation of the altcoin season has driven up the price of Ethereum (ETH), creating a wave of optimism surrounding the protocol’s native token. This marks a significant turnaround for the second-largest cryptocurrency after months of stagnation. Factors Behind ETH’s Surge A recent report from crypto bank Sygnum reveals that ETH’s price has surged dramatically, reaching all-time highs in August and outpacing Bitcoin in relative performance. According to the bank, several factors have contributed to this renewed bullish sentiment. Notably, the Pectra upgrade has addressed critical technical issues within the Ethereum ecosystem, enhancing its infrastructure. The upgrade has expanded the staking cap from 32 to 2048 ETH, and has spiked ETH staking. This boost coincided with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) clarifying that protocol staking activities do not qualify as security offerings. Combined with increased stablecoin activity and the launch of tokenized securities on the Ethereum blockchain, the upgrade has further bolstered demand for ETH tokens, resulting in a new all-time high near the $5,000 mark. The bank also highlights record inflows into Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and corporate treasury purchases, which mimic strategies employed with Bitcoin (BTC), as playing a significant role in driving up demand. Ethereum Faces Looming Supply Squeeze As institutional interest in Ethereum grows, the liquid supply of ETH on crypto exchanges has begun to dwindle, the report shows. Sygnum suggests that this trend raises the possibility of a supply crunch, which could lead to a significant price increase if demand continues to rise. With significant inflows into ETFs and corporate acquisitions, reserves held on exchanges have dipped to cycle lows, compounding the likelihood of a supply shock. Moreover, recent legislative developments in the US, including the passage of the GENIUS and CLARITY acts, have further provided clarity around stablecoins, opening doors for institutional offerings where Ethereum already leads in stablecoin and tokenization activities. Looking ahead, Ethereum appears poised for a bright future. The bank notes that with its technical upgrades and growing institutional interest, ETH’s price is well-positioned to capture a significant share of anticipated stablecoin issuance and institutional adoption trends. As liquid Ethereum reserves on exchanges dwindle and demand continues to surge, the potential for a supply squeeze looms, presenting a new opportunity for investors to capitalize on the expected new uptrend for the token. When writing, ETH trades at $4,420, surging nearly 3% in the 24 hour time frame and 87% year-to-date. With the broader market correction seen over the past week, the Ethereum price remains 10.6% below all-time high levels. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
  6. Bad news continues to be good news for US equities. For the first time in a long while, the S&P 500 reacted more strongly to jobless claims than to US inflation data. Initial claims jumped to their highest level since October 2021, providing further evidence of a cooling labor market. Investors' belief that this would lead to a cut in the federal funds rate pushed the broad market index to its 24th record of the year. Dynamics of US stock indices What matters more to the market: monetary easing by the Fed or the weakness in the US economy reflected in labor data? An MLIV Pulse survey provides the answer. Two-thirds of the 116 investors surveyed believe that the S&P 500 will continue to rise in 2025 thanks to Fed rate cuts. The key condition is that the process remains gradual. Aggressive monetary expansion would make the broad index panic over recession risks. The main arguments from the minority "bears" on the S&P 500 were growing stagflation risks, overbought conditions in the tech sector, and the potential revival of White House protectionism through new tariffs. Be that as it may, for now, the optimists far outnumber them. The S&P 500 continues to climb, partly thanks to increased share buybacks, which reduce the supply of equity securities. According to JP Morgan, such operations are set to expand by $600 billion in the coming years after reaching a record high of $1.5 trillion in 2025. The main driver is the return of buybacks' share of market capitalization from the current 2.6% to the pre-pandemic range of 3-4%. Dynamics of buyback volumes by US companies Thus, as long as the labor market cools slowly and the Fed eases monetary policy gradually, the S&P 500 remains under no immediate threat. Risks could come from outside if the US and Europe launch an economic war against Russia, China, and India, which would drive oil prices higher and accelerate inflation. But does Donald Trump really need this? New drivers of the S&P 500 rally could include an improvement in Americans' purchasing power thanks to the "big and beautiful" tax cut law, as well as the rollback of White House tariffs following a Supreme Court decision. The Treasury calls this a catastrophe. In August alone, it collected a record $30.1 billion from import tariffs. Since the start of 2025, total collections have reached $171.9 billion, which is $96 billion more than during the same period last year. Technically, on the daily chart of the S&P 500, a continued rally has pushed the index to the first of the two previously outlined long targets at 6,565 and 6,700. This pivot level is turning from resistance into support. As long as the broad market index trades above it, traders should maintain a focus on buying. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  7. Crypto platforms rarely hike fees due to the potential negative impact on their user base and revenue. However, OpenSea, a leading NFT marketplace, has made the bold decision to double its trading fees. Overall, fees play a critical role in determining the activity of decentralized applications (dApps) and overall platform revenue, particularly for open systems, including mainnets. Despite a decline in market activity since the 2020-2022 crypto boom, driven mainly by DeFi and NFT mania, OpenSea remains a dominant force in the $6Bn NFT industry as of September 12, 2025, according to Coingecko. (Source: Coingecko) Presently, CryptoPunks lead the market, holding +33.8% of the value of top NFT collections, followed by trending names like Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) and Pudgy Penguins. Notably, Pudgy Penguins diversified by launching Pengu, a token that has surged to become a top Solana meme coin. DISCOVER: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in 2025 Why Is OpenSea Raising Fees? OpenSea is doubling its NFT trading fees from +0.5% to +1%, effective September 15, 2025. This fee hike is just days before the highly anticipated SEA token launch in early October. Meanwhile, token swaps, a feature launched after the acquisition of Rally, a mobile trading app, will stand at +0.85%. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 Linking Fees, Rewards, and SEA Allocations OpenSea revealed that +50% of fees will fund a prize vault for its pre-TGE rewards program, seeded with $1M in OP and ARB; the two are among the best cryptos to buy. Furthermore, more funds will be funneled to NFTs and tokens. Users can access rewards by logging into the Rewards Portal to receive a Starter Treasure Chest, which can be upgraded from Tier 1 to 12 based on trading activity across supported chains. Higher tiers offer better chances of unlocking valuable rewards, such as blue-chip NFTs like BAYC or Pudgy Penguins, and will influence SEA token allocations. There have been delays in confirming the launch date of the SEA token, which was initially announced for February 2025. When details are released in early October, historical activity on OpenSea and participation in the rewards program will determine users’ SEA token allocations. DISCOVER: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 OpenSea NFT Fees Double to 1% Before SEA Token Launch OpenSea hikes NFT trading fees by 100% 50% of fees to fund a prize vault OpenSea dominates daily trading volume Will SEA launch be a success? The post OpenSea NFT Fees Surge 100% Ahead of SEA Token Launch: What’s Going On? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
  8. We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctuations due to increased volatility. If you decide to trade during the news release, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes. For successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan and stay focues and disciplined. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for a scalper or daytrader. #instaforex #analysis #sebastianseliga The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  9. Good afternoon, traders! On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair reversed in favor of the pound on Thursday and rallied almost to the 100.0% correction level at 1.3587. A clear sell signal was not formed. Today, a rebound from this level would allow traders to look for a decline toward the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.3482. If the pair consolidates above the resistance zone at 1.3611–1.3620, the likelihood of further pound gains increases, with the next target being the 127.2% Fibonacci level at 1.3708. The wave pattern continues to shift bullish. The last completed wave downward broke two previous lows, while the new upward wave broke the last two highs. Thus, at this point, it is fair to say that a new bullish trend is beginning after more than two months of bearish dominance. That dominance was very weak, as news flow generally did not support the bears. On Thursday, bulls charged ahead on the back of weak US inflation data. The consumer price index rose, but it does not give the Fed grounds to tighten monetary policy, which would have benefited the US dollar. Thus, as forecast, the dollar continued its decline. This morning, the UK reports on industrial production and GDP, which came in, once again disappointing the market. July GDP showed 0% growth (which traders didn't really expect to be any higher), while industrial production dropped by 0.9% versus 0% forecast. Another -0.9%. Thus, some bullish enthusiasm was curbed today, but overall, the dollar remains in a much more precarious state than the pound. Trader activity may be subdued today, as only the US University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index could attract attention in the afternoon. On the 4-hour chart, the pair reversed in favor of the pound and settled above the 1.3378–1.3435 zone. As such, the rally may continue toward the next 127.2% corrective level at 1.3795. The chart pattern remains uncertain, with traders pushing the pair in both directions. At the moment, I recommend paying closer attention to the hourly chart. No brewing indicator divergences are observed. Commitments of Traders (COT) Report: Sentiment among the "Non-commercial" category became slightly more bearish over the last reporting week. The number of long contracts held by speculators increased by 61, while shorts rose by 1,848. The gap between long and short positions is now roughly 76,000 vs. 109,000. Nevertheless, the pound is still leaning toward growth, and traders are mostly buying it. In my opinion, the pound remains vulnerable to a decline. The news background for the US dollar was terrible for the first half of the year, but it is gradually turning positive. Trade tensions are easing, key deals are being signed, and the US economy will recover in Q2 thanks to tariffs and various investments. At the same time, prospects of Fed policy easing in the second half of the year are creating real pressure on the dollar, as the US labor market weakens and unemployment rises. Thus, I currently see no rationale for a "dollar trend." News Calendar for the USA and UK: UK – Monthly GDP change (06:00 UTC)UK – Industrial production change (06:00 UTC)USA – University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (14:00 UTC)September 12's economic calendar includes three (all second-tier) events. The impact of news on market sentiment will be weak. GBP/USD Forecast and Trading Tips: Sell the pair on a rebound from 1.3587 on the hourly chart, targeting 1.3482. Buy positions are possible if the pair closes above the 1.3611–1.3620 zone, targeting 1.3708. Fibonacci levels are built from 1.3586–1.3139 on H1 and 1.3431–1.2104 on H4. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  10. Yesterday, US stock indices closed higher. The S&P 500 rose by 0.85%, while the Nasdaq 100 added 0.72%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 1.36%. Relatively moderate inflation readings, combined with new signs of weakening employment, triggered a rally on Wall Street amid speculation that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates for the first time this year. The long-awaited consumer price index showed that although inflation still exceeds the Fed's 2% target, it remains under control. At the same time, weekly jobless claims surged to their highest level in nearly four years, reinforcing bets on a rate cut next week to counter the rapid slowdown in the labor market. This mixed picture created a complex challenge for the Federal Reserve, which is trying to balance the risks of easing too quickly versus too slowly. On the one hand, sticky inflation calls for caution and keeping interest rates elevated to prevent further price acceleration. On the other hand, signs of economic weakness and rising unemployment point to the need for stimulus to avoid a recession. In this environment, the Fed is likely to act gradually, closely monitoring incoming data and adjusting policy as economic conditions evolve. The regulator is expected to cut interest rates by 0.25% at next week's meeting to support the economy, while leaving the door open for further adjustments depending on inflation and employment trends. All this has sparked active buying in equity markets. It was also enough to lift Treasury bonds, with 10-year yields briefly topping 4%. Major US stock indices hit record highs. Gold also moved closer to its historical peak. Energy stocks fell in line with oil. Against this backdrop, expectations of rate cuts have increased across Wall Street. "It's clear that inflation is relatively calm, which gives the Fed the flexibility to focus more on stemming ongoing weakness in the labour market," Regan Capital said. "We expect the Fed to cut 25 basis points next week and to follow through with another two 25-basis-point cuts this year." "Right now, inflation is a key subplot, but the labour market is still the main story," Morgan Stanley Wealth Management noted. "Today's CPI may appear to offset yesterday's producer price index, but it wasn't hot enough to distract the Fed from the softening jobs picture. That translates into a rate cut next week — and, likely, more to come." As for the technical picture of the S&P 500, the main task for buyers today will be to overcome the nearest resistance level of $6,590. This will support further gains and open the way for a push to $6,603. Equally important for bulls will be holding control above the $6,616 level, which would strengthen buyers' positions. In case of a downside move amid weaker risk appetite, buyers must assert themselves near $6,577. A breakout below this mark would quickly push the index back to $6,563 and open the road to $6,552. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  11. For now, Bitcoin continues to react positively to US inflation data, preparing to enter a new bull cycle. However, one of the key crypto exchanges published a report yesterday warning that the BTC market has matured significantly—meaning the times of easy money for corporate buyers of BTC and other altcoins are over. The report notes that simply copying the BTC strategy of companies like Strategy is no longer enough to secure high returns on BTC investments. While it's positive that more and more such firms are entering the market, the odds of seeing huge price swings are becoming less realistic. The report emphasizes that institutional investors now conduct much more thorough analysis of fundamentals, risks, and potential returns before allocating significant capital to digital assets. This involves deep-dive research of technology, regulatory environment, and the competitive landscape of each project. Meanwhile, Fidelity SOL ETF (#FSOL), Canary HBAR ETF (#HBR), and Canary XRP ETF (#XRPC) have been added to the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC) website, which handles trade clearing on NASDAQ. This is an important step toward broader acceptance of cryptocurrencies by traditional financial institutions. Including these ETFs in the DTCC system makes trading and settlement easier, potentially attracting more institutional investors interested in crypto, but who prefer regulated and transparent instruments. It also signals that interest in crypto-based ETFs continues to surge. Institutional investors such as hedge funds and asset managers see ETFs as a convenient way to get crypto exposure without dealing with the complexities of direct ownership and custody. Adding new ETFs to the DTCC shows that NASDAQ and other major exchanges are ready to expand their lineup of crypto products. In turn, this may bring even more capital into the crypto market and support its further growth and development. The introduction of these ETFs creates new portfolio diversification and profit opportunities from the growth of the crypto market, all within a regulated environment. Trading Recommendations: Bitcoin technical picture: Buyers are currently targeting a return to $116,000, which opens a direct path to $117,500, and from there it's a short step to the $118,600 level. The farthest target will be the high in the $119,300 area; a breakout above this level would signal strengthening of the bull market. In case of a decline, buyers are expected around $114,600. A move below this area could quickly push BTC down to $113,200, with the most distant bearish target at $111,900. Ethereum technical picture: A convincing hold above $4519 opens the way straight to $4601. The ultimate target will be the $4723 high; a breakout above this level would signal renewed bull strength and rising buyer interest. In case of a decline, buyers are expected around $4418. A dip below this zone could quickly pull ETH down to $4347, with the further bearish target at $4272. What's on the chart: Red: Support and resistance levels—prices from which slowdowns or strong surges are expectedGreen: 50-day moving averageBlue: 100-day moving averageBright green (lime): 200-day moving averageA crossover or test of any moving average usually stops or can set a new impulse for the market. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  12. The fresh US consumer inflation data released Thursday showed an increase, with the month-on-month number coming in above forecasts. What's next? Will this stop the Federal Reserve from cutting rates? Yesterday's inflation report showed an annual CPI increase from 2.7% to 2.9%, in line with expectations. But the August month-on-month figure jumped to 0.4% (from 0.2% in July), versus a forecast of 0.3%. Let's look at how markets reacted yesterday and what's likely from the Fed next week. As I suspected earlier, markets have fully priced in a 100% probability of a 0.25% rate cut—basically, no one doubts this any longer. Stock markets unambiguously moved higher on the CPI news. Now, investors are focused on the odds of a 0.50% cut—a scenario with just an 8% probability. Meanwhile, the dollar's decline against a currency basket on Forex was minor and, in my opinion, justified. Even back in summer, I suggested that dollar weakness from lower ICE index rates would be limited—mainly due to the pressure (economic and political) the US (especially under Trump) has put on the economies whose currencies are in the ICE Dollar Index basket, through tariffs and financial obligations that effectively amount to the US extracting rents from these countries. Following earlier rate cuts by these central banks, don't expect much strength or growth in their currencies against the US dollar now. Considering the impact of the inflation report, I do not think it will stop the Fed from lowering the key rate by 0.25% on September 17. There are currently no real economic grounds for a 0.50% cut if you look just at the CPI. If it happens, it would be more for political reasons, under pressure from D. Trump and Treasury Secretary S. Bessent. What should we expect on the markets today? I believe there is a high probability of a correction in equity markets, especially in the US, in anticipation of the Fed's final rate decision. On this correction, the dollar may get a bit of support, which could also result in local gold price weakness. A minor correction of major currencies against the dollar can also be expected on Forex. Starting today, investors may already take a wait-and-see approach in the run-up to the Fed meeting on September 16–17. Forecast of the day: #SPXThe S&P 500 CFD, after setting a new all-time high, is trading above support at 6577.00. Before the Fed meeting, expect a correction that could pull the contract down to 6528.75 if support is broken. The 6572.25 level can be used as a sell trigger. GBP/USDThe pair remains in a deep sideways trend and is correcting lower ahead of the Fed's rate decision. If it drops below 1.3545, a move down to 1.3495 becomes likely. The 1.3540 mark serves as a viable sell trigger. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  13. Bitcoin renewed its weekly high today, reaching $116,300. However, it's still too early to say the previous bear cycle is broken. To do that, price needs to firmly break through $118,000, which would open the way to $120,000 and $124,000. Ethereum is also up modestly. Yesterday's crypto market rally was fueled by news that US inflation, while still rising, is doing so at a very slow pace. This allows the Federal Reserve to consider rate cuts as soon as next week, providing support for crypto. Investors, tired of the Fed's tight stance, saw this as a long-awaited glimmer of hope. Lower interest rates are likely to spur capital flows out of traditional assets like bonds and stocks and into riskier but potentially more lucrative vehicles such as cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin, as the flagship of the crypto industry, reacted first by breaking important resistance and pulling up altcoins as well. Ethereum also showed impressive growth, supported by the anticipation of its upcoming protocol upgrade. However, despite this optimism, it's important to remember that risks remain. Inflation, although slowing, is still above the Fed's target. Any unexpected spike could force a policy reversal, sending rates higher and causing an immediate crypto sell-off. Strong inflows into spot BTC ETFs also suggest continued accumulation by traders. I will continue to treat any major pullbacks in Bitcoin and Ethereum as potential entry opportunities, betting on the ongoing medium-term bull market trend. Short-term trading scenarios and conditions are summarized below: BitcoinBuy ScenarioScenario 1: I will buy Bitcoin today if the price reaches the entry area around $115,800, targeting a rise to $117,100. In the $117,100 area, I plan to take profits and immediately sell on a bounce. Before breakout buying, ensure the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is above zero.Scenario 2: Buying is also possible from the lower boundary at $115,000, if there's no price reaction to a breakout down, expecting a return to $115,800 and $117,100.Sell ScenarioScenario 1: I plan to sell Bitcoin today if the price reaches the entry around $115,000, targeting a decline to $114,000. Around $114,000, I'll close shorts and immediately buy on a bounce. Before breakout selling, confirm the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is below zero.Scenario 2: Selling is also possible from the upper boundary at $115,800, if there's no reaction to its breakout, expecting a return to $115,000 and $114,000. EthereumBuy ScenarioScenario 1: I will buy Ethereum today if the price reaches the entry area around $4,434, targeting a rise to $4,484. Around $4,484, I'll close longs and immediately sell on a bounce. Before breakout buying, ensure the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is above zero.Scenario 2: Buying is possible from the lower boundary at $4,397, if there's no reaction to a downside breakout, looking for a return to $4,434 and $4,484.Sell ScenarioScenario 1: I will sell Ethereum today if the price reaches the entry around $4,397, targeting a decline to $4,349. Around $4,349, I'll close shorts and immediately buy on a bounce. Before breakout selling, confirm the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is below zero.Scenario 2: Selling is possible from the upper boundary at $4,434, if there's no reaction to its breakout, expecting a return to $4,397 and $4,349.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  14. Global markets hit new highs On Thursday, the MSCI global equity index climbed to an all-time peak. At the same time, U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar retreated as expectations of interest rate cuts grew. The softer labor market data outweighed the stronger-than-expected inflation reading. Inflation accelerated Consumer prices rose by 0,4% in August, the fastest pace in seven months, following a 0,2% increase in July. Housing costs advanced by 0,4%, while food prices went up by 0,5%. The category of food consumed at home recorded an even sharper gain of 0,6%. Rate cut expectations Traders are almost certain that the Federal Reserve will cut rates at its upcoming meeting. The probability of a 0,25 percentage point reduction stands at 100%, while the chances of a deeper 0,5 percentage point move remain around 5%. Expectations for an additional cut in October jumped to 86% from 74% the previous day. The likelihood of another cut in December increased to 79% from 68%. Wall Street at record highs All three major U.S. stock indexes closed at record levels: Dow Jones Industrial Average: +617,08 points (1,36%) to 46 108,00;S&P 500: +55,43 points (0,85%) to 6 587,47;Nasdaq Composite: +157,01 points (0,72%) to 22 043,08.MSCI hits another record The MSCI global equity index advanced by 6.92 points, or 0.72%, reaching 971.72. This marked the second consecutive day of fresh all-time highs. Europe in a holding pattern The STOXX 600 index in Europe closed 0.6% higher after the European Central Bank kept its key interest rate unchanged at 2%. The ECB also lowered its inflation outlook but refrained from offering any forward guidance. Investors continue to bet on the need for further stimulus. Futures on EUROSTOXX 50, FTSE, and DAX also added 0.2%. Currency market moves The U.S. dollar index fell by 0.28% to 97.51. The euro strengthened by 0.38%, reaching 1.1738 dollars. The dollar also weakened against the Japanese yen by 0.21%, slipping to 147.15. The British pound rose 0.37% to 1.3579 dollars. Emerging market currencies also gained ground, with the Mexican peso climbing 0.74% to 18.455 per dollar, while the Canadian dollar advanced 0.21% to 1.38 per U.S. dollar. Asia follows Wall Street On Friday, Asian stock markets rallied in step with Wall Street. Hopes for rapid rate cuts in the U.S. boosted expectations of cheaper borrowing worldwide, providing relief to stressed bond markets and putting a lid on dollar strength. Asian markets surge Indexes in Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan approached or reached record levels. Meanwhile, Chinese stocks hit their highest point in three and a half years, fueled by optimism about profit growth in companies linked to artificial intelligence. Nikkei sets a new record Japan's Nikkei index climbed 1.0%, hitting a fresh all-time high and finishing the week with a 4.1% gain. South Korea's KOSPI rose even more strongly, adding 1.3% on the day and nearly 6% over the week. Chinese equities hold steady China's blue-chip CSI300 index remained flat but stayed at its highest level since early 2022. Meanwhile, the broad MSCI gauge for Asia-Pacific markets outside Japan advanced by 1.2%. Currency market shifts The U.S. dollar retreated to 147.40 yen after briefly touching 148.20 in the previous session. Finance ministers from Japan and the United States issued a joint statement affirming that neither country will target exchange rates in their policies. The euro hovered around 1.1728 dollars, supported by remarks from the European Central Bank, which kept interest rates unchanged and expressed confidence in its policy stance. ECB outlook uncertain Market pricing suggests only a one-in-five chance of monetary easing in December, while about 60% of investors believe the ECB is close to ending the current policy cycle. Oil prices under pressure Crude oil prices snapped a three-day rally, falling by more than one dollar. Concerns about weakening U.S. demand and signs of global oversupply outweighed risks of supply disruptions tied to Middle East tensions. U.S. crude WTI dropped 2.04%, or 1.30 dollars, to settle at 62.37 dollars per barrel. Brent crude declined 1.66%, losing 1.12 dollars to close at 66.37 dollars. Gold retreats from peaks After reaching record highs earlier in the week, spot gold slipped 0.13% to 3635.83 dollars per ounce. U.S. gold futures also eased, falling 0.19% to 3636.50 dollars per ounce. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  15. Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenA test of 147.80 occurred just as the MACD indicator was starting to move down from the zero line, confirming a good entry for selling the dollar. As a result, the pair fell toward the target area of 147.03. US inflation data once again weakened the dollar and boosted the Japanese yen. The published US inflation figures, which show a slowdown in consumer price growth, triggered the expected reaction in the currency markets. Additionally, another reason for the yen's appreciation is that a weaker dollar reduces pressure on the Bank of Japan, which has recently faced criticism for not shifting toward a tighter policy. However, yen strengthening can have both positive and negative effects on the Japanese economy. On the one hand, it may reduce the cost of imports and, as a result, ease inflationary pressures. On the other hand, it can negatively affect export-oriented companies, making their products less competitive worldwide. Today, data showed a decline in industrial production in Japan. However, this did not put much pressure on the yen; the market reacted calmly because the decrease was largely expected. As for the intraday strategy, I will focus more on implementing scenarios #1 and #2. Buy ScenarioScenario 1: I plan to buy USD/JPY today if the price reaches the entry area around 147.58 (green line on the chart), targeting a rise to 147.94 (thicker green line). Near 147.94, I plan to lock in profits and sell the pair in the opposite direction, aiming for a 30–35 pip pullback from that level. It's better to return to buying the pair after corrections and significant dips in USD/JPY. Important! Before buying, make sure the MACD indicator is above zero and just starting to rise. Scenario 2: I also plan to buy USD/JPY today if there are two consecutive tests of 147.37 when the MACD is in oversold territory. This will limit the downside for the pair and may trigger a sharp upward reversal. A move to 147.58 and 147.94 can be expected. Sell ScenarioScenario 1: I plan to sell USD/JPY today only after a move below 147.37 (red line on the chart), which would trigger a quick drop in the pair. The key target for sellers will be 146.96, where I'll exit sell trades and immediately open long positions, looking for a 20–25 pip rebound from that level. It's best to sell from as high as possible. Important! Before selling, ensure the MACD indicator is below the zero line and just starting to fall. Scenario 2: I'll also plan to sell USD/JPY today if there are two consecutive tests of 147.58 when the MACD is in overbought territory. This will limit the pair's upside and may trigger a sharp downward reversal. A move toward 147.37 and 146.96 can be expected. What's on the Chart:Thin green line – entry price at which the instrument can be bought. Thick green line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely. Thin red line – entry price at which the instrument can be sold. Thick red line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely. MACD indicator: When entering the market, it is important to refer to overbought and oversold areas. Important. Beginner forex traders should exercise extreme caution when making entry decisions. Before important fundamental reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid sharp price swings. If you decide to trade during the release of news, always use stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you don't use money management and trade large volumes. And remember: for successful trading, you need a clear trading plan, as I described above. Making spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation from moment to moment is a losing strategy for an intraday trader. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  16. Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3525 level occurred when the MACD indicator was starting to move upward from the zero line, confirming a good entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose to the target area around 1.3582. US inflation data once again weakened the dollar and led to growth in the British pound. Investors welcomed the slowdown in US consumer price growth, which increased the likelihood of Federal Reserve rate cuts. This weakened the US dollar and provided significant support to the pound. A lot of important data for the UK is expected out this morning. Economists and analysts will closely watch the numbers to assess the British economy's resilience amid global headwinds. GDP data will be a key indicator of the overall economic picture, allowing assessment of growth or slowdown. Special attention will be paid to GDP breakdown by services, industry, and construction. Changes in industrial production volumes are important for gauging the competitiveness of British industry. Output growth can indicate rising overseas demand for British goods as well as domestic investment in production upgrades. Declines could point to sector problems such as labor shortages, high production costs, or lower export demand. Finally, UK goods trade balance figures will help assess the balance between exports and imports, which is important for currency stability and the current account. A trade deficit may weigh on the pound, while a surplus could support it. As for the intraday strategy, I will focus more on implementing scenarios #1 and #2. Buy ScenarioScenario 1: I plan to buy the pound today if the entry area near 1.3568 (green line on the chart) is reached, targeting growth to 1.3624 (the thicker green line). Around 1.3624, I plan to take profit and open short positions in the opposite direction, expecting a 30–35 pip pullback from that level. Counting on a strong rally in the pound today is unlikely. Important! Before buying, make sure the MACD is above zero and just beginning to rise. Scenario 2: I also plan to buy the pound today if there are two consecutive tests of the 1.3548 level when the MACD is in oversold territory. This will limit the pair's downside and may trigger a sharp upward reversal. A move toward 1.3568 and 1.3624 can be expected. Sell ScenarioScenario 1: I plan to sell the pound today after breaking below the 1.3548 level (red line on the chart), which would lead to a quick drop in the pair. The sellers' key target will be 1.3508, where I will take profit and then open long positions, expecting a 20–25 pip rebound from that level. Pound sellers may show up at any moment today. Important! Before selling, ensure the MACD is below zero and beginning to decline. Scenario 2: I also plan to sell the pound today, should there be two consecutive tests of the 1.3568 level when the MACD is in overbought territory. This will limit the pair's upward potential and may lead to a reversal downward. A drop toward the 1.3548 and 1.3508 levels can be expected. What's on the Chart:Thin green line – entry price at which the instrument can be bought. Thick green line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely. Thin red line – entry price at which the instrument can be sold. Thick red line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely. MACD indicator: When entering the market, it is important to refer to overbought and oversold areas. Important. Beginner forex traders should exercise extreme caution when making entry decisions. Before important fundamental reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid sharp price swings. If you decide to trade during the release of news, always use stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you don't use money management and trade large volumes. And remember: for successful trading, you need a clear trading plan, as I described above. Making spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation from moment to moment is a losing strategy for an intraday trader. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  17. Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroA test of the 1.1692 level occurred just as the MACD indicator began moving up from the zero line, confirming a good entry point for buying euros. As a result, the pair rose by more than 50 pips. The US Consumer Price Index increased, but the growth was relatively modest. The actual increase was 0.4% versus an expected 0.3%. This put moderate pressure on the dollar and boosted demand for the euro. Evidently, August's CPI rise in the US was minor, which could push the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates at its next meeting. The released figures suggest inflationary pressures are slowing, giving the Fed more flexibility. Economists believe the Fed can use this situation to pursue an easier monetary policy to support economic growth in the near future. Rate cuts can stimulate consumer demand and investment activity, which will have a positive effect on the US economy's overall prospects. Still, some experts urge caution and moderation in expectations. They emphasize that August's figures may be temporary and that further inflation dynamics need to be watched closely. Also, Fed rate cuts could weaken the dollar, raising the cost of imports and thus potentially spurring price growth. Today, during the first half of the day, we'll get new CPI data from Germany and France, Italy's unemployment rate, and a public speech from Bundesbank head Joachim Nagel. If the reported inflation figures come in above forecasts, the European Central Bank could be pushed to end its rate-cutting cycle, as Christine Lagarde mentioned in her speech just yesterday. Italy's unemployment rate is unlikely to be scrutinized closely. Still, any signs of deterioration here could negatively impact the euro and complicate the ECB's efforts to stimulate an economic recovery. Bundesbank President Nagel's speech will also get special attention. His comments on current economic conditions and the outlook for monetary policy could heavily shape market expectations—and therefore drive the euro. Traders will closely analyze any hints regarding the ECB's plans. As for the intraday strategy, I will focus more on implementing scenarios #1 and #2. Buy ScenarioScenario 1: Today, you can buy the euro if the price reaches the 1.1742 area (the green line on the chart), with a target of rising to 1.1804. At 1.1804, I plan to exit the market and sell euros in the opposite direction, aiming for a 30–35 pip move from entry. Consider buying euros only after strong data. Important! Before buying, make sure the MACD indicator is above zero and just starting to rise. Scenario 2: I also plan to buy euros if there are two consecutive tests of the 1.1716 level when the MACD is in oversold territory. This will limit further downside for the pair and could trigger a sharp upside reversal. A move to 1.1742 and 1.1804 can be expected. Sell ScenarioScenario 1: I plan to sell euros after a move to the 1.1716 level (the red line on the chart). The target is 1.1671, where I will close out and immediately buy in the opposite direction (expecting a 20–25 pip move back from this level). Pressure on the pair today will return on weaker-than-expected data. Important! Before selling, ensure the MACD indicator is below zero and beginning to decline. Scenario 2: I will also plan to sell euros if there are two consecutive tests of the 1.1742 level when the MACD is in overbought territory. This will limit any upward moves and could trigger a sharp downside reversal. A move lower to 1.1716 and 1.1671 can be expected. What's on the Chart:Thin green line – entry price at which the instrument can be bought. Thick green line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely. Thin red line – entry price at which the instrument can be sold. Thick red line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely. MACD indicator: When entering the market, it is important to refer to overbought and oversold areas. Important. Beginner forex traders should exercise extreme caution when making entry decisions. Before important fundamental reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid sharp price swings. If you decide to trade during the release of news, always use stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you don't use money management and trade large volumes. And remember: for successful trading, you need a clear trading plan, as I described above. Making spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation from moment to moment is a losing strategy for an intraday trader. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  18. The US dollar once again weakened against risk assets as traders increased their expectations of an interest rate cut next week. Despite no rate cut yet, the US Consumer Price Index came in close to expert forecasts. The actual uptick was 0.4% versus a forecast of 0.3%. This kept pressure on the dollar and stimulated interest in the euro, the British pound, and other risk assets. The released data indicate a smooth rise in inflation, giving the Federal Reserve more room to maneuver. Today, in the first half of the day, data is expected for Germany's and France's consumer price indices, Italy's unemployment rate, and a speech by Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel. Economists and traders eagerly await inflation reports from the eurozone's largest economies. Germany and France, as the engines of Europe, set the tone for price trends. If inflation beats expectations, the ECB could completely rule out rate cuts in this cycle, bolstering confidence in euro buying. At the same time, Italy's unemployment will be closely watched, particularly given the country's debt issues and overall labor market instability in Europe. Comments from Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel are also of keen interest, as he is an influential voice on the ECB's Governing Council. His remarks on the economic outlook and monetary policy could significantly alter market expectations and thus move financial assets. Regarding the pound, a series of important UK releases is due this morning. First will be GDP and industrial production figures, and the series will conclude with trade balance data. GDP figures will offer key insight into the overall state of the economy and its growth or contraction pace. Of particular interest will be GDP breakdowns by services, industry, and construction, highlighting which sectors are expanding or struggling. Industrial production dynamics are a key measure of Britain's international competitiveness. An increase can signal rising demand for British goods abroad. If data matches economist forecasts, it's better to use a Mean Reversion strategy. If data is notably above or below projections, Momentum strategies are preferred. Momentum Strategy (Breakout):EUR/USDBuy on a breakout above 1.1735; this could lead to a rise toward 1.1760 and 1.1813.Sell on a breakout below 1.1700; this could lead to a drop toward 1.1668 and 1.1630.GBP/USDBuy on a breakout above 1.3565; this could lead to a rise toward 1.3587 and 1.3615.Sell on a breakout below 1.3545; this could lead to a drop toward 1.3520 and 1.3495.USD/JPYBuy on a breakout above 147.50; this could lead to a rise toward 147.84 and 148.13.Sell on a breakout below 147.25; this could lead to a fall toward 146.90 and 146.60.Mean Reversion Strategy (Pullbacks): EUR/USDLook for shorts after a failed breakout above 1.1744, on a return below this levelLook for longs after a failed breakout below 1.1716, on a return above this level GBP/USDLook for shorts after a failed breakout above 1.3571, on a return below this levelLook for longs after a failed breakout below 1.3543, on a return above this level AUD/USDLook for shorts after a failed breakout above 0.6672, on a return below this levelLook for longs after a failed breakout below 0.6656, on a return above this level USD/CADLook for shorts after a failed breakout above 1.3851, on a return below this levelLook for longs after a failed breakout below 1.3828, on a return above this levelThe material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  19. Litecoin has observed a surge in its price as on-chain data shows the whales have participated in a significant amount of buying. Litecoin Whales Have Added 181,000 LTC To Their Wallets In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Santiment has talked about the latest trend in the holdings of the Litecoin whales. The indicator of interest here is the Supply Distribution, which tells us about the total amount of the LTC supply that a given address group is holding. Investors or wallets are put into these cohorts based on the number of coins that they are carrying in their balance. The 1 to 10 coins group, for instance, contains all addresses holding between 1 and 10 LTC. In the context of the current topic, the holders of interest are those who own more than 1,000 tokens of the cryptocurrency. At the current exchange rate, this cutoff converts to around $114,300. Thus, the only investors qualifying for the cohort would be the big-money ones, popularly known as the whales. This group can hold some degree of influence in the market, so the holdings of its members can be worth keeping an eye on. Now, here is the chart shared by Santiment that shows the trend in the Litecoin Supply Distribution of the whales over the last few months: As displayed in the above graph, the Litecoin whales have seen their Supply Distribution shoot up recently, indicating that these large entities have expanded their holdings. In just one day, this group added 181,000 LTC (worth $20.7 million) to its balance. The buying spree came as LTC saw some bullish news surface. Grayscale has officially filed form S-3 with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for their LTC exchange-traded fund (ETF). If the ETF gets approved, investors will be able to buy LTC-backed shares and gain exposure to the digital asset without having to directly own it. Another bullish development is related to Mei Pharma, a company that adopted an LTC treasury strategy back in August and secured around $100 million in the token. According to a press release, the pharmaceutical company has decided to rebrand itself as “Lite Strategy.” The firm notes: The rebranding to Lite Strategy, Inc. underscores the Company’s commitment to building a long-term corporate strategy around Litecoin (LTC) as our primary reserve asset. LTC Price At the time of writing, Litecoin is trading around $114, up more than 4% over the past week.
  20. [Ripple] – [Friday, 12 September 2025] The Golden Cross condition of the EMAs, along with the RSI being in the Neutral-Bullish area, means Ripple has the potential to strengthen throughout today. Although there is a possibility of a correction due to the appearance of Divergence on the RSI, as long as the price does not break and close below 2.9184, Ripple remains in a bullish bias. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 3.0800 2. Resistance. 1 : 3.0460 3. Pivot : 2.9992 4. Support. 1 : 2.9652 5. Support. 2 : 2.9184 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If Ripple's price breaks out and closes above 3.0460, it will likely continue strengthening up to 3.0800. Momentum Extension Bias: If the 3.0800 level is broken and closed above, Ripple potentially extends gains even further. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The upside bias weakens if Ripple breaks and closes below 2.9184, which would invalidate the bullish outlook. Technical Summary EMA(50) : 3.0223 EMA(200): 2.9731 RSI(14) : 63.49 + Divergent Economic News Release Agenda: Tonight, economic data from the United States will be released as follows: US - Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment - 21:00 WIB US - Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations - 21:00 WIB The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  21. This is a follow-up analysis and an update of our prior report “AUD/USD Technical: Further Aussie rally towards major resistance, supported by firmer China core inflation”, published on 10 September 2025. The price actions of the AUD/USD have indeed jumped as expected; it rallied by 1.2% to record an intraday high of 0.6690 on Friday, 12 September, Asia session at the time of writing, and hit the lower limit of the 0.6660/0.6680 major resistance zone mentioned in our publication. Fig. 1: 5-day rolling performances of major currencies versus the US dollar as of 12 Sep 2025 (Source: TradingView) Based on the 5-day rolling performances of the US dollar against the major currencies as of Friday, 12 September, the Australian dollar is the strongest performing currency, where the US dollar shed -1.67% against the AUD, a larger magnitude than the loss of -0.3% seen in the US Dollar Index over the same period (see Fig. 1). What’s next? Let’s break down for you the key fundamental factors and technical elements that are likely to drive forward the movement of the AUD/USD in the near to medium-term time horizon. Further demand-side weakness in the US economy Fig. 2: US Unemployment Rate, ISM Manufacturing/Services Employment & University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment as of Aug 2025 (Source: TradingView) The rally seen in the Australian dollar in the past two weeks has been more attributed to external economic forces (the US and China). On the US side of the equation, more evidence that the deterioration of the US labour market (weaker-than-expected non-farm payrolls data for August, unemployment rose to almost a 4-year high of 4.3%, and initial jobless claims for the week ending 6 September increased to 263,000, the highest level since October 2021). All these latest lackluster US labour market data outweigh the risk of a sticky inflationary trend in the US due to the US White House’s trade tariffs, which have triggered the pricing of a more pronounced Fed dovish pivot that is likely to kickstart next week at the FOMC meeting on 17 September. Today at 14:00 GMT, the preliminary September reading of the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index will be released, a key leading indicator of US demand-side conditions. According to the Trading Economics website, market forecasts are at 58, a slight dip from August’s print of 58.2. The major trend of the University of Michigan’s US consumer sentiment has been deteriorating since March 2024’s print of 79/4, and if September’s print is below expectations (below 58), it is likely to trigger higher odds of Fed’s rate cuts bets in 2026, and asserts further downside pressure on the US dollar, in turn, boosting indirect demand for AUD (see Fig. 2). Higher Iron Ore futures prices trigger a positive feedback loop back into AUD/USD Fig. 3: Iron Ore CFR China futures with AUD/USD as of 12 Sep 2025 (Source: TradingView) In our previous publication, we highlighted that the latest core CPI inflation trend in China has reduced the risk of an entrenched deflationary risk spiral. It will have a trickle-down positive impact on the demand for iron ore, which is one of Australia’s key exports to China. The forward-looking demand for iron ore can be gauged by examining the trends of the iron ore futures, which have a direct correlation with the movement of the AUD/USD (see Fig. 3). Recent price actions of the Iron Ore CFR China futures listed on the Singapore Exchange have started to form a major bullish basing formation since September 2024 and traded back up above its 200-day moving average since the week of 4 August 2025. A further move up in the Iron Ore CFR China futures and a break above 113.75 is likely to trigger a major positive feedback loop back into the AUD/USD (see Fig. 3). Let’s now dive deeper into the technical analysis aspects of AUD/USD and determine its next near-term trajectory (1 to 3 days), key levels to watch, and key technical elements. Fig. 4: AUD/USD minor trend as of 12 Sep 2025 (Source: TradingView) Fig. 5: AUD/USD medium-term & major trends as of 12 Sep 2025 (Source: TradingView) Preferred trend bias (1-3 days) The minor bullish trend of AUD/USD from the 4 September 2025 low remains intact, but a risk of a minor pullback first before a potential new impulsive up move sequence materializes. Maintain bullish bias with an adjusted short-term pivotal support at 0.6620 to contain the potential minor pull-back, and a clearance above 0.6700 adds impetus for the next intermediate resistance to come in at 0.6760 (also a Fibonacci extension) in the first step (see Fig. 4). Key technical elements The major resistance of the AUD/USD stands at 0.6660/0.6700, which is defined by the upper boundary of the medium-term “Expanding Wedge” range configuration and the long-term secular descending trendline from the 25 February 2021 high (see Fig. 5).The daily RSI momentum indicator of the AUD/USD has continued to trend higher after its bullish breakout on 5 September 2025 and has not reached its overbought region (above 70). These observations suggest a potential bullish signal for the AUD/USD to break above 0.6700 (see Fig. 5).The yield spread between Australia’s 2-year sovereign bond and the US Treasury note has steadily narrowed from -0.55% on 1 August 2025 to -0.19% at the time of writing. This recent breakout above a 5-day descending resistance reinforces the bullish momentum in AUD/USD (see Fig. 4).Alternative trend bias (1 to 3 days) A break below 0.6620 key short-term support negates the bullish scenario on the AUD/USD to expose the next intermediate supports at 0.6580 and 0.6550. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.
  22. [Chainlink] – [Friday, 12 September 2025] With the EMA(50) positioned above the EMA(200) which indicating a Golden Cross and the RSI in the Neutral-Bullish area, Chainlink is likely to strengthen today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 24.84456 2. Resistance. 1 : 24.51180 3. Pivot : 23.91681 4. Support. 1 : 23.58405 5. Support. 2 : 22.98906 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the price successfully breaks and closes above 23.91681, it has the potential to continue strengthening to 24.51180. Momentum Extension Bias: If 24.51180 is broken and closed above, the price could test the 24.84456 level. Invaldation Level / Bias Revision The upside bias weakens if the Chainlink price breaks and closes below 22.98906. Technical Summary EMA(50) : 24.12134 EMA(200): 23.51145 RSI(14) : 68.18 Economic News Release Agenda: Tonight, there will be economic data releases from the United States as follows: US - Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment - 21:00 WIB US - Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations - 21:00 WIB The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  23. Concerns about a potential crypto bubble have intensified over the past few days, with industry leaders like Arjun Sethi, co-CEO of crypto exchange Kraken, voicing alarm over the current state of the digital asset landscape. Sethi Warns Of Short-Term Crypto Bubbles In a recent interview with Fortune at the Brainstorm Tech conference in Park City, Utah, Sethi acknowledged the presence of a bubble when examining short-term market trends. During the panel discussion, Sethi noted, “If you look at it quarter by quarter, the answer is yes, we get into those bubbles all the time.” Since the beginning of the year, the market’s leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC), has achieved multiple all-time highs, contributing to a total market capitalization exceeding $4 trillion for the first time. This surge has been fueled by pro-crypto regulations stemming from President Donald Trump’s administration and crypto-focused initial public offerings (IPOs) in the United States from firms like Circle (CRLC) and the crypto exchange Bullish (BLSH). The current enthusiasm in the crypto market can be partially attributed to its correlation with the stock market, particularly following record highs in the S&P 500 since President Donald Trump took office. Some argue that these developments provide investors with exposure to cryptocurrencies that may not be accessible through traditional brokerage accounts. However, skeptics caution that many of these firms are merely capitalizing on the hype, leading to unsustainable valuations that could result in a market crash. Silbert Predicts Most Digital Assets Will Crash Recent data indicates that there may already be signs of a downturn. According to Architect Partners, a crypto advisory and financing firm, the average stock price of 15 digital asset treasuries dropped by 15% last week, raising red flags about the stability of the market. Conversely, Barry Silbert, founder of Digital Currency Group (DCG), expressed a more optimistic outlook during the same panel. He acknowledged the presence of “overvalued assets” within the crypto space, stating, “There’s a whole lot of crap in crypto right now, which is overvalued. I think 99% of crypto is absolutely going to zero.” Further complicating the landscape, Elliott Management, an activist investment firm, has also raised alarms about the cryptocurrency market. In a recent investor letter, the firm pointed to the rapid inflation of the so-called crypto bubble, attributing it in part to perceived endorsements from the White House during Trump’s administration. Elliott Management warned that the dramatic rise in crypto prices poses risks not only to individual investors but also to the overall economy. They caution that an impending collapse of this bubble could have unforeseen consequences, potentially destabilizing financial markets at large. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
  24. BNB price is gaining pace above the $885 zone. The price is now showing positive signs and might aim for a move above the $920 level in the near term. BNB price started a fresh increase above the $880 and $900 levels. The price is now trading above $900 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $898 on the hourly chart of the BNB/USD pair (data source from Binance). The pair must stay above the $885 level to start another increase in the near term. BNB Price Extends Gains BNB price formed a base above the $850 level and started a fresh increase, beating Ethereum and Bitcoin. There was a steady move above the $870 and $885 levels. The bulls even cleared the $895 resistance zone. A new all-time high was formed at $908 and the price is now consolidating gains. It is trading near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $888 swing low to the $908 high. The price is now trading above $900 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. Besides, there is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $898 on the hourly chart of the BNB/USD pair. On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $908 level. The next resistance sits near the $912 level. A clear move above the $912 zone could send the price higher. In the stated case, BNB price could test $920. A close above the $920 resistance might set the pace for a larger move toward the $945 resistance. Any more gains might call for a test of the $1,000 handle in the near term. Short-Term Pullback? If BNB fails to clear the $908 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $898 level. The next major support is near the $893 level or the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $888 swing low to the $908 high. The main support sits at $888. If there is a downside break below the $888 support, the price could drop toward the $872 support. Any more losses could initiate a larger decline toward the $865 level. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for BNB/USD is gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BNB/USD is currently above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $898 and $888. Major Resistance Levels – $908 and $920.
  25. Macroeconomic Report Analysis: There are a lot of macroeconomic reports scheduled for Friday, which is rather unusual. In Germany, a second, relatively minor estimate for August inflation will be released. In the UK, there will be low-importance monthly reports on GDP and industrial production. In the US, there's the not-so-important University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. In all cases, significant market reaction is only possible if there is a serious deviation from forecasted values. Fundamental Events Analysis: There is nothing notable among fundamental events for Friday. The ECB meeting was just yesterday, so the market has already absorbed all necessary information. The Fed meeting will be held next week, which means FOMC members are not permitted to give any comments or interviews at present. On Friday, traders can focus on only a few non-critical reports. General Conclusions:On the last trading day of the week, both currency pairs may resume upward movement, but new buy signals are needed for this. For the euro, a breakout above 1.1737–1.1745 will lead to further growth with a target of 1.1808. A bounce down from 1.1737–1.1745 allows for considering shorts, though substantial declines are not expected. For the pound, a bounce from 1.3529–1.3543 or a breakout above 1.3574–1.3590 makes long positions attractive, while a consolidation below 1.3529–1.3543 justifies shorts. In both cases, long positions remain preferable. Key Rules for the Trading System:Signal Strength: The shorter the time it takes for a signal to form (a rebound or breakout), the stronger the signal.False Signals: If two or more trades near a level result in false signals, subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.Flat Markets: In flat conditions, pairs may generate many false signals or none at all. It's better to stop trading at the first signs of a flat market.Trading Hours: Open trades between the start of the European session and the middle of the US session, then manually close all trades.MACD Signals: On the hourly timeframe, trade MACD signals only during periods of good volatility and a clear trend confirmed by trendlines or trend channels.Close Levels: If two levels are too close (5–20 pips apart), treat them as a support or resistance zone. Stop Loss: Set a Stop Loss to breakeven after the price moves 15–20 pips in the desired direction.Key Chart Elements:Support and Resistance Levels: These are target levels for opening or closing positions and can also serve as points for placing Take Profit orders. Red Lines: Channels or trendlines indicating the current trend and the preferred direction for trading. MACD Indicator (14,22,3): A histogram and signal line used as a supplementary source of trading signals. Important speeches and reports, which are consistently featured in the news calendar, can significantly influence the movement of a currency pair. Therefore, during their release, it is advisable to trade with caution or consider exiting the market to avoid potential sharp price reversals against the prior trend. Beginners in the Forex market should understand that not every transaction will be profitable. Developing a clear trading strategy and practicing effective money management are crucial for achieving long-term success in trading. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
×
×
  • Criar Novo...

Informação Importante

Ao utilizar este site, você concorda com nossos Termos de Uso de Uso e Política de Privacidade

Pesquisar em
  • Mais opções...
Encontrar resultados que...
Encontrar resultados em...

Write what you are looking for and press enter or click the search icon to begin your search