Redator

The wave markup of the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has not changed for several months, but in recent days it has started to look rather complicated. It is still too early to conclude that the upward trend section has been canceled, though a more complex wave structure is possible in the near future. The upward section of the trend continues to build, and the news background continues to mostly support currencies other than the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump continues. The standoff with the Fed continues. Market expectations of a dovish Fed rate outlook are rising. The market's assessment of Trump's first 6–7 months in office is very low, even though GDP growth in the second quarter was nearly 4%. At the moment, we can assume that the construction of impulse wave 5 is ongoing, with potential targets extending up to the 1.25 level. Within this wave, the structure is quite complex and ambiguous, but on the larger scale it raises no particular doubts. Currently, three upward waves can be observed, meaning the instrument has moved to constructing wave 4 of 5, which takes the form of a three-wave structure. A deeper decline in quotes would require adjustments to the current markup. The EUR/USD rate rose another 40 basis points during Monday, but the day is not yet over. A new "dark cloud" is looming over the dollar, which may trigger a fresh wave of selling pressure on the U.S. currency. Recall that in the past couple of weeks the dollar had been performing quite well, supported by the U.S. GDP report and Jerome Powell's uncertainty regarding further monetary policy moves. The market dislikes uncertainty. If that uncertainty concerns the dollar, the market tends to get rid of it. On Monday, it became known that as soon as Wednesday many U.S. government institutions could shut down. Of course, not permanently, but until Republicans reach an agreement with Democrats. Enter a new U.S. government shutdown. Once again, the sticking point is the usual question—finances. The country's two main parties cannot agree on the spending structure for the next fiscal year. Without a signed budget, funding may stop on October 1. However, markets have grown somewhat accustomed to shutdowns, thanks to Donald Trump. The problem is different this time. Now the shutdown could threaten not only the temporary suspension of government operations but also mass layoffs, as stated by the president himself. In addition, it is unclear how the Bureau of Statistics will function during these days, or what data it will compile if operations are interrupted and layoffs occur. The dollar may fall this week not because of poor data, but due to a lack of data altogether, adding even more uncertainty for the U.S. economy and currency. General Conclusions Based on the analysis of EUR/USD, I conclude that the instrument continues to build its upward trend section. The wave markup still depends entirely on the news background related to Trump's decisions and the domestic and foreign policies of the new White House administration. The targets of the current trend section may extend to the 1.25 level. At present, a corrective wave 4 is forming, which may already be complete. The upward wave structure remains valid. Therefore, in the near future I only consider buying trades. By the end of the year, I expect the euro to rise to 1.2245, which corresponds to the 200.0% Fibonacci level. On a smaller scale, the entire upward section of the trend is visible. The wave markup is not entirely standard, since the corrective waves differ in size. For example, the larger wave 2 is smaller than the inner wave 2 of 3. However, this also occurs. I remind you that it is best to isolate clear structures on the chart rather than trying to tie every single wave. At present, the upward structure raises almost no questions. Key Principles of My Analysis: Wave structures should be simple and clear. Complex structures are difficult to trade and often undergo changes.If you are not confident in what is happening on the market, it is better not to enter.There can never be 100% certainty in the direction of movement. Always use protective Stop Loss orders.Wave analysis can be combined with other forms of analysis and trading strategies.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Trade review and tips for trading the Japanese yen The test of 148.74 in the first half of the day occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly down from the zero line, which limited the downward potential of the pair. For this reason, I did not sell the dollar. In the second half of the day, U.S. pending home sales data will be released. However, a much greater impact on USD/JPY will come from the speeches of Fed officials Christopher Waller and John Williams. The market is waiting in suspense, trying to anticipate the direction of monetary policy. Investors listen closely to every word, searching for hints about the future of interest rates. Pending home sales act as a barometer reflecting the health of the housing sector, a key indicator of the U.S. economy. A decline in this metric could be a troubling sign, pointing to slowing growth. Nevertheless, the day's main event will undoubtedly be the speeches from Waller and Williams. Their views on the current economic situation and the outlook for monetary policy are critical. Particular attention will be paid to their assessment of inflation risks. If their rhetoric proves softer than expected, the dollar may come under pressure, inevitably leading to a decline in USD/JPY. Conversely, hawkish statements would boost demand for the U.S. currency and push the pair higher. As for intraday strategy, I will focus mainly on implementing Scenarios #1 and #2. Buy SignalScenario #1: I plan to buy USD/JPY today at the entry point around 148.87 (green line on the chart), targeting growth toward 149.39 (thicker green line on the chart). Around 149.39, I will exit long positions and open short positions in the opposite direction (expecting a 30–35 point pullback from that level). A continuation of the bullish market can support this growth. Important! Before buying, make sure the MACD indicator is above the zero line and just starting to rise from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to buy USD/JPY today in case of two consecutive tests of 148.58, when the MACD indicator is in oversold territory. This will limit the downward potential of the pair and lead to a reversal upward. Growth toward the opposite levels of 148.87 and 149.39 can be expected. Sell SignalScenario #1: I plan to sell USD/JPY today after breaking below 148.58 (red line on the chart), which would lead to a quick decline in the pair. The key target for sellers will be 148.12, where I will exit short positions and immediately open long positions in the opposite direction (expecting a 20–25 point rebound from that level). Pressure on the pair may persist if the data is weak. Important! Before selling, make sure the MACD indicator is below the zero line and just starting to decline from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to sell USD/JPY today in case of two consecutive tests of 148.87, when the MACD indicator is in overbought territory. This will limit the upward potential of the pair and lead to a reversal downward. A decline toward 148.58 and 148.12 can be expected. Chart Notes:Thin green line – entry price for buying the instrument;Thick green line – suggested level for setting Take Profit or fixing profit manually, since growth above this level is unlikely;Thin red line – entry price for selling the instrument;Thick red line – suggested level for setting Take Profit or fixing profit manually, since decline below this level is unlikely;MACD indicator – when entering the market, it is important to use overbought and oversold zones.Important: Beginner Forex traders must make entry decisions with extreme caution. Before the release of major fundamental reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid sharp price fluctuations. If you decide to trade during news releases, always set stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you neglect money management and trade with large volumes. And remember, successful trading requires having a clear trading plan, like the one outlined above. Spontaneous decisions based on the current market situation are inherently a losing strategy for intraday traders. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Trade review and tips for trading the pound The test of 1.3427 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly down from the zero line, which limited the downward potential of the pair. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. The second test of 1.3427 coincided with the MACD being in the overbought zone, which allowed Scenario #2 for buying the pound to play out, resulting in growth of more than 20 points. In the second half of the day, weak U.S. pending home sales data is unlikely to pressure the dollar, but dovish comments from Fed officials Christopher Waller and John Williams are another matter. An unexpected drop in sales would be an unpleasant surprise, raising doubts about the strength of the housing sector recovery. Immediately after the release of this data, Waller and Williams are scheduled to speak. Known for their cautious stance on inflation, this time they may deliver softer comments, which would further weaken the dollar. As for intraday strategy, I will rely mainly on implementing Scenarios #1 and #2. Buy SignalScenario #1: I plan to buy the pound today at the entry point around 1.3448 (green line on the chart) with a target at 1.3480 (thicker green line on the chart). Around 1.3480, I will close purchases and open sales in the opposite direction (expecting a move of 30–35 points in the opposite direction from the level). A strong pound rally can be expected after weak data. Important! Before buying, make sure the MACD indicator is above the zero line and just starting to rise from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to buy the pound today in the event of two consecutive tests of the 1.3422 level while the MACD indicator is in oversold territory. This will limit the downward potential of the pair and lead to a reversal upward. Growth toward the opposite levels of 1.3448 and 1.3480 can be expected. Sell SignalScenario #1: I plan to sell the pound today after breaking the 1.3422 level (red line on the chart), which will lead to a quick decline in the pair. The key target for sellers will be 1.3396, where I will close sales and immediately open purchases in the opposite direction (expecting a move of 20–25 points upward from the level). The pound could fall sharply in the second half of the day after strong data. Important! Before selling, make sure the MACD indicator is below the zero line and just starting to decline from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to sell the pound today in the event of two consecutive tests of the 1.3448 level while the MACD indicator is in overbought territory. This will limit the upward potential of the pair and lead to a reversal downward. A decline toward 1.3422 and 1.3396 can be expected. Chart Notes:Thin green line – entry price for buying the instrument;Thick green line – suggested level for placing Take Profit or fixing profits manually, since further growth above this level is unlikely;Thin red line – entry price for selling the instrument;Thick red line – suggested level for placing Take Profit or fixing profits manually, since further decline below this level is unlikely;MACD indicator – when entering the market, it is important to rely on overbought and oversold zones.Important: Beginner Forex traders must make entry decisions with extreme caution. Before the release of major fundamental reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid sharp price swings. If you decide to trade during news releases, always place stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you neglect money management and trade with large volumes. And remember, successful trading requires having a clear trading plan, like the one outlined above. Spontaneous decisions based on the current market situation are an inherently losing strategy for intraday traders. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Trade review and tips for trading the euro The test of 1.1721 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had just started moving downward from the zero line, which confirmed the correct entry point for selling the euro. As a result, the pair fell by 10 points. ECB representatives' speeches failed to deliver the desired effect, so all attention now shifts to the speeches of FOMC members Christopher Waller and John Williams. It will be interesting to hear their outlook on interest rates, especially given that no significant increase in inflationary pressure was observed at the end of the summer period. Also in focus is the release of pending home sales data. This indicator, a precise barometer of the real estate market, reacts sensitively to shifts in supply and demand. After several months of relative stability, market participants are questioning whether the positive trend will continue or if a slowdown will follow. As for intraday strategy, I will focus mainly on implementing Scenarios #1 and #2. Buy SignalScenario #1: Today, buying the euro is possible at the 1.1735 area (green line on the chart) with a target at 1.1760. At 1.1760, I plan to exit the market and sell the euro in the opposite direction, expecting a move of 30–35 points from the entry point. A euro rally today is possible if U.S. data comes out weak. Important! Before buying, make sure the MACD indicator is above zero and just starting to rise from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to buy the euro in case of two consecutive tests of the 1.1713 level at a time when the MACD indicator is in oversold territory. This will limit the downward potential of the pair and lead to a reversal upward. Growth toward 1.1735 and 1.1760 can be expected. Sell SignalScenario #1: I plan to sell the euro after reaching the 1.1713 level (red line on the chart). The target will be 1.1689, where I plan to exit the market and immediately buy in the opposite direction (expecting a move of 20–25 points upward from that level). Pressure on the pair will return today if the statistics come in strong. Important! Before selling, make sure the MACD indicator is below zero and just start its decline from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to sell the euro in case of two consecutive tests of the 1.1735 level at a time when the MACD indicator is in overbought territory. This will limit the upward potential of the pair and lead to a reversal downward. A decline toward 1.1713 and 1.1689 can be expected. Chart Notes:Thin green line – entry price for buying the instrument;Thick green line – suggested level for placing Take Profit or fixing profits manually, since further growth above this level is unlikely;Thin red line – entry price for selling the instrument;Thick red line – suggested level for placing Take Profit or fixing profits manually, since further decline below this level is unlikely;MACD indicator – when entering the market, it is important to rely on overbought and oversold zones.Important: Beginner traders in the Forex market must make entry decisions with extreme caution. Before major fundamental reports are released, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid sudden price swings. If you decide to trade during news releases, always set stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-loss orders, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you neglect money management and trade with large volumes. And remember, successful trading requires having a clear trading plan, like the one outlined above. Spontaneous decision-making based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for intraday traders. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

USD/JPY continues its decline for the second consecutive day, trading above 148.50 and finding support at the 200-day SMA. Pressure on the U.S. dollar comes from fears of a possible temporary suspension of federal government operations. On Monday, President Donald Trump is set to meet with congressional leaders to discuss government funding. If no agreement is reached, a shutdown could begin as early as October 1, coinciding with the implementation of new tariffs on trucks, pharmaceuticals, and other goods. According to Reuters, this conflict could also delay the release of the September employment report and other key economic data. The dollar's weakness and the fall in USD/JPY are also driven by increased expectations of a Fed rate cut in October, following the release of U.S. inflation data for August. According to the CME FedWatch tool, markets are now pricing in nearly an 88% probability of a rate cut in October and 65% for another cut in December. In Japan, traders' focus will shift to Tuesday's release of the Bank of Japan's "Summary of Opinions" and August retail sales data. Minutes from the BoJ's July meeting indicate the regulator is prepared to consider further rate hikes, provided economic growth and inflation remain steady. However, political uncertainty in Japan could create additional headwinds for the yen. The leadership election of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), scheduled for October 4, could delay monetary tightening plans if a candidate with a more dovish stance on rates wins. From a technical perspective, oscillators on the daily chart remain positive, and the pair is holding above the key 200-day SMA, signaling that bulls are not ready to give up. But failure to defend this support level would nullify the bulls' efforts in USD/JPY, dragging spot prices below the 148.00 round level and leading to a test of last week's low near 147.50, with a possible pause around the 50-day SMA. On the other hand, a breakout above the 149.00 round level would restore a bullish outlook for the pair. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Sterling Metals (TSXV: SAG) shares doubled after the Canadian explorer said it discovered a new high-grade copper zone at the past-producing Soo project in Ontario. Drill hole MEPS-25-02 cut 68 metres grading 1.39% copper, 1.83 grams gold per tonne and 8.46 grams silver from 179 metres depth, Sterling said Monday in a statement. This included 9 metres at 6.8% copper, 13.2 grams gold and 46.26 grams silver from 215 metres downhole. Results from MEPS-25-02 include the highest copper and gold grades encountered to date at Soo, Sterling said. Results from another hole, MEPS-25-01, are pending. “This discovery clearly indicates the potential for a giant magmatic hydrothermal copper-gold-molybdenum deposit within the Batchewana peninsula,” technical adviser Neil O’Brien said in the statement. “The high copper-gold grades due to bornite, coupled with strongly developed potassic alteration and extensive porphyry dykes, all point to a robust and focused mineralizing event that we have just begun to tap.” Sterling soared to C$1.82 Monday morning in Toronto, boosting the company’s market value to about C$68 million. The stock is now trading at its highest level since March 2023, Toronto Stock Exchange data show. Second stage After completing a first leg of drilling in May, which covered 1,800 metres, Sterling has begun a second stage of work by re-logging historical drill core, reinterpreting geophysical data and conducting further analysis to define new targets across the 30-km-wide copper mineralized system. Stage two drilling has been expanded from at least 3,000 metres to no less than 6,000 metres, Sterling said Monday. Located near the small community of Batchewana Bay, about 20 minutes from the Trans-Canada Highway and 80 km north of Sault St. Marie, Soo spans 250 sq. km and extends 30 km in width. Historical production in the area reached 7.6 million tonnes grading 1.97% copper, Sterling says. MEPS-25-02 revealed bornite within the first 25 metres and intersected continuous visible mineralization to over 350 metres downhole, Sterling says. The reported interval contained no pyrite or pyrrhotite, which reinforces the high tenor of the system. Exploration deal News of the drilling results comes three weeks after Sterling reached an exploration agreement with the Garden River First Nation to “promote a cooperative and mutually respectful relationship” regarding the Soo project. The First Nations group will receive 210,000 common shares of the company in connection with the deal. Soo is one of two main exploration projects that Toronto-based Sterling is advancing. The other is the 290-sq. km Adeline silver project in Newfoundland and Labrador.

Price movements in the energy commodity markets are known to be volatile, with a huge number of factors influencing its supply and demand. Between global economic activity fluctuating, OPEC+ countries trying to shake each others out, and persistent wars implying re-routed exports/imports, trying to understand each and every move is a daunting, almost impossible task. But understanding movements is a task for historians, traders need to focus on the current course of action in an attempt to generate profits (and minimize losses that will always incur). Over the preceding week, the Trump Administration repeated their discontent over Europe still purchasing Russian oil through different routes, pushing the joint economy to find alternatives. This was a catalyst for a progressive yet explosive rise, taking prices from $62.20 lows on Monday to $67.80 highs Friday morning, a +7% move. However, things would be too easy if they were as straightforward: A Friday morning selloff took the commodity down 2% from its highs, and the move is continuing today. New export routes are re-opening with Iraq allowing Kurdish oil exports to Turkey after 2-and-a-half years of halt, adding even more supply to an oversupplied market. Oil companies are seeing the pressure, with Total Energies announcing just a few moments ago they would sell their global assets and keeping only their Europe, US and Brazil postiions. Let's dive into some key charts for WTI Oil. Read More: US Home Sales explode ! Monday news recap for US markets and economyMarkets Today: Gold Rallies 1.5% to Trade Above $3800/oz, US Government Shutdown in Focus & FTSE 100 Runs Into ResistanceMarkets Weekly Outlook – getting ready for September NFP weekUS Oil (WTI) technical analysisUS Oil Daily Chart US Oil (WTI) Daily Chart, September 29, 2025 – Source: TradingView Despite the more rangebound action, bears keep shoving breakout attempts and remain in technical control. Since the June War spike correction, prices have been forming downward steps in a consolidation - failed breakout - lower rejection pattern. Prices are now back to test the May range highs that has been acting as key support, but will be subject to a momentum goes into bearish territory and the action still evolves in a downward channel. Reactions to the current levels will be key to spot if buyers can generate a higher-low in prices. Failing to do so would confirm the ongoing $62 to $66 solid range. Let's take a closer look to get more details. US Oil 2H Chart and levels US Oil (WTI) 2H Chart, September 29, 2025 – Source: TradingView Our preceding oil market analysis had spotted a touch of the channel lower bound leading to a triple bottom rebound. However, the new supply channel news have scared bulls again even before reaching the highs of the downward channel seen on the daily chart. Momentum is now reaching oversold levels and reactions are now to be monitored closely. With the $63 to $64 support zone coming into play, bulls will have to hold to maintain a more balanced technical outlook. Failing to do so may lead to a repeat of the failed breakout into new lows pattern. Levels to place on your WTI charts: Resistance Levels Higher timeframe pivot $65 to $66Mini resistance $66.50Shorter timeframe Consolidation Highs ($64.35 to $65 testing)50-Day MA $65.00July mid-range $67 resistanceSupport Levels $63 to $64 support zoneShorter timeframe Consolidation Lows ($62 to 62.50)September lows $61.84 to $62$60.5 Low of May Range Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

Charles Edwards, founder and CEO of Capriole Investments, has issued his starkest warning yet on quantum computing, arguing that Bitcoin must migrate to post-quantum signatures on an accelerated timeline or face existential risk later this decade. “We need to upgrade Bitcoin to be Quantum proof next year. 2026. Otherwise we are fucked,” Edwards wrote on X early Monday, escalating a series of posts in which he contends “Q-Day is this decade.” Could Bitcoin Crash To $0? Edwards’ thesis hinges on the rapid compression of resource estimates required to run Shor’s algorithm against Bitcoin’s elliptic-curve digital signatures (ECDSA/Schnorr on secp256k1). Pushing back at skeptics who “handwave Quantum as being 20+ years away,” he argued that only “~2,000 logical qubits” may be sufficient to break ECC-256 within a practical time window, placing a credible attack in “2–6 years.” In a separate exchange he framed the stakes bluntly: “Do you want $1M Bitcoin in 5 years, or $0?” Edwards’ timeline closely tracks a fresh line of research and industry messaging from Pierre-Luc Dallaire-Démers, founder of Pauli Group, a startup focused on quantum-resistant money. In an August research preprint and public thread, Dallaire-Démers and co-authors introduced graded ECDLP challenges on Bitcoin’s curve and, after translating logical circuits to physical costs across several error-corrected architectures, placed “cryptanalytically relevant” ECC-256 attacks in a “roughly 2027–2033” window—emphasizing wide error bars and sensitivity to hardware assumptions. Pauli Group summarized the upshot plainly: “The first attack on 256-bit ECC will plausibly happen between 2027–2033.” The firm also provocatively stated via X: “PQC BTC will go to $1M+ by 2030. ECC BTC won’t.” The core risk vector is well-established: once a Bitcoin address reveals its public key on-chain—by spending from it or by using legacy formats that expose the key outright—a sufficiently powerful quantum computer running Shor’s algorithm could, in principle, derive the private key quickly enough to steal funds. Security researchers and industry teams note that coins in already-exposed keys are the first in line, while coins still sitting behind hashed (unrevealed) public keys are safer until they move. Several analyses estimate that a non-trivial share of outstanding BTC resides in exposed-key outputs, including early “pay-to-pubkey” era coins often associated with Satoshi. Edwards leaned into that tail risk, claiming “Satoshi’s coins will be market dumped” absent a migration. Not everyone agrees on the clock speed. Some conservative estimates still point to millions of error-corrected qubits for practical, fast ECDSA breaks, and standards bodies have published transition guidance that implicitly assumes a longer runway. In late 2024, material circulated in the NIST/PQ ecosystem sketched migrations away from vulnerable algorithms by roughly 2035—a horizon many security engineers view as realistic for broad IT systems, even if niche breakthroughs arrive sooner. The spread between the “thousands” versus “millions” of logical qubits camps reflects fast-evolving algorithmic optimizations, differing error-correction models, and varied assumptions about gate speeds and code distances. Notably, Edwards is taking the message to TOKEN2049 this week, where he is slated to present “DOUBLE THREAT: Quantum & the Treasury Bubble” on Wednesday, October 1 at 10:45 a.m. local time—positioning quantum compromise and a growing “Bitcoin Treasury Bubble” as the two dominant downside risks for BTC over the next cycle. At press time, BTC traded at $112,150.

October is definitely going to be a defining month for the global cryptocurrency markets, driven by mounting expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts and the much-anticipated decisions on 16 pending spot crypto ETF applications by the US Securities and Exchange Commission. You could go ahead and call October 2025 the “ETF month.” Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas calls the month “Cointober.” Macroeconomic turbulence? Yes. But breakthrough opportunities? Again Yes! The week starts with critical US economic indicators expected to shape investor sentiment across risk assets, including Bitcoin and leading altcoins. These include August’s JOLTS job openings, consumer confidence metrics, the all-important ADP Nonfarm Employment data, ISM Manufacturing PMI, initial jobless claims, and the comprehensive jobs report. DISCOVER: 9+ Best Memecoin to Buy in 2025 Key Takeaways The most significant catalyst in October may be the SEC’s final rulings on 16 crypto ETF applications. SEC Chair Paul Atkins took aim at Europe’s broadening sustainability regulations, criticizing them as “driven by political fads.” The post Ready From “Cointober?” Atkins Promises “Minimum Effective Dose” Of Regulation appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

Gold surged above $3,800 an ounce for a new record on Monday, as investors flocked to the safe-haven metal amid fears of a potential US government shutdown. Spot gold rose as much 1.7% to $3,831.27 an ounce, surpassing its previous all-time high by about $50 an ounce. US gold futures were also 1.2% higher, peaking at $3,860.60 per ounce in New York. Click on chart for live prices. Gold’s rise was fueled by a continued deterioration of the US dollar, which lost 0.3% as the market awaits developments from a meeting between top US congressional leaders and President Donald Trump on Monday, scheduled right before the Sept. 30 expiration of federal funding. Political uncertainty “Safe-haven demand focused on the potential US government shutdown” is one of the driving factors behind this rally, said David Meger, director of metals trading at High Ridge Futures. “The dollar is under some light pressure in response to that, certainly supporting the precious metals complex.” A government shutdown, analysts say, would also threaten the release of key data including Friday’s payrolls report and add further uncertainty to the path of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy. Weaker employment figures could bolster the case for additional easing in October — a scenario that would benefit bullion. Traders also continued to weigh threats to the US central bank’s independence, after Fed Governor Lisa Cook’s attorneys on Thursday urged the Supreme Court to let her stay on the job while she fights Trump’s attempt to fire her. “Bullion doesn’t look overpriced relative to the dollar and Treasuries, which ought to contain a level of Fed-related premium, given the nature of the risk from the central bank’s potential loss of independence,” Barclays strategists said in a note on Sunday. “This makes it a surprisingly good value hedge,” they added. 45% gain Gold has soared 45% this year, setting successive peaks on robust central-bank demand and expectations of lower US interest rates. Prices are on track to close out a third consecutive quarterly gain next week, with holdings in bullion-backed ETFs at the highest since 2022. Banks including Goldman Sachs Group and Deutsche Bank have said they expect the rally to extend, with the former predicting prices to hit $5,000 should Trump’s attacks on the Fed continue. Those at JPMorgan even see bullion reaching $6,000 by the end of Trump’s presidential term. Peers also surging Meanwhile, gold’s precious metal peers have seen unprecedented tightness this year, exacerbating concerns about dwindling stockpiles of freely available metal in London as several years of supply deficits come to a head. Lease rates — which reflect the cost of borrowing metal, generally for a short period of time — for silver, platinum and palladium have all surged well above their normal levels of close to zero, according to Bloomberg data. Silver, most notably, has risen by nearly 60% this year, trading at levels not seen since early 2011. The metal is now above $47 per ounce, closing in on its all-time high from the late 1970s. Fresh concerns that platinum-group metals may be swept up in Trump’s Section 232 investigation into critical minerals have exacerbated market tightness, according to Citigroup analysts. The bank sees higher odds of palladium being subject to potential US import tariffs, pending the review that’s expected to land in October. (With files from Bloomberg and Reuters) Sponsored: Secure your wealth today — buy gold bullion directly through our trusted partner, Sprott Money.

We usually don’t see many thousands of percent gains from utility tokens; that’s more of a meme coin phenomenon. However, over the past month, the perpetual futures exchange Aster has seen its native token, $ASTER, make astounding gains of over 2,100%. Aster burst onto the scene with bold ambitions, establishing itself as a strong competitor to established players like Hyperliquid. At the same time, the protocol promised a privacy-focused approach and extremely high leverage, drawing the interest of traders and investors alike. As Aster grows, it should set the stage for projects like Best Wallet Token ($BEST), providing even new investors a convenient way to unlock crypto’s many investment opportunities. What Is Aster? Aster is a decentralized exchange (DEX) designed for perpetual futures trading—derivatives contracts that do not have expiration dates. Unlike standard futures, perpetuals allow traders to speculate on price movements (long or short) indefinitely. Aster supports extremely high leverage of up to 1,001x, which is greater than most of its rivals. Leverage trades carry greater risks but open the possibility of greater rewards for experienced traders. In short, leverage provides more trade exposure with less capital, but at a higher risk. Though Aster also offers spot trading, its main draw is derivatives. The project is backed by YZi Labs and has links to Binance co-founder Changpeng Zhao. Aster is built to be multi-chain, supporting BNB Chain, Solana, Ethereum, and Arbitrum. But technical factors alone don’t explain why Aster has made such progress; that comes down to something simpler. Aster vs. Hyperliquid: How They Stack Up Within days of launch, Aster made waves by exceeding Hyperliquid in daily revenue on several occasions, although its weekly trading volume still lags behind. The recent 24-hour trading volume of $ASTER to $HYPE was $924M compared to $671M. Hyperliquid, which focuses on perpetuals, already has an established user base and infrastructure. Aster remains unproven, even after a strong first month. Aster’s multichain design allows participants to trade across their preferred chains without forced routing or bridging costs. Hyperliquid runs its own blockchain as its foundation. Aster has also suggested moving to its own layer-1 chain in the future. This would free it from relying on BNB Chain and enable custom improvements. One of the main differentiators is order privacy. Aster offers Hidden Orders, allowing users to make private trades. Hyperliquid’s fully transparent model often reveals large ‘whale’ moves, which may discourage some big traders who prefer to stay stealthy. Although still in the early stages, Aster could lead a new wave of DeFi trading apps. One key to broader adoption? Powerful, simple Web3 wallets. Best Wallet Token ($BEST) – Wallet, Token, and Card in Powerful Web3 Ecosystem Best Wallet provides a simple, clean interface for a web3 wallet that’s ready for all the tokens, dApps, and protocol integrations you can throw its way. Best Wallet is non-custodial, so your tokens stay with you; there’s no third-party control. The Best Wallet Token ($BEST) introduces a native utility token, providing lower transaction fees and higher staking rewards. There’s also access to the best crypto presales in an upcoming tokens section, where investors can research and purchase tokens from within the app even before they launch. Investors can create up to 5 individual wallets within Best Wallet. Create one for Bitcoin, one for EVM tokens, and more, using Best Wallet to navigate the growing world of DeFi protocols and integrated dApps. Learn how to buy Best Wallet token and see why the presale has already raised over $16.1M. Check out Best Wallet token at the presale page. Aster’s arrival shakes up the decentralized derivatives space. And with continued growth, Aster might not just challenge Hyperliquid – it might redefine how future DEXs operate. That would create even more demand for wallets like Best Wallet and tokens like $BEST. As always, do your own research. This isn’t financial advice. Authored by Aaron Walker for NewsBTC — https://www.newsbtc.com/news/aster-vs-hyperliquid-in-dex-war-best-wallet-token-is-better-for-beginners

The Pending Home Sales data just got released with a 4% increase (!!) vs a 0.4% expectation – This might just reduce odds for cuts even more. A story to follow. Over the weekend, nothing crazy emerged except for some new Trump tariffs on movies and some rumours of a US Government shutdown. As per usual, this isn't leading to any sign of profit taking in Equities as the Nasdaq tries to catch up to its previous ATH (24,816). US Indices Daily Charts, September 29, 2025 – Source: TradingView Read More: Markets Today: Gold Rallies 1.5% to Trade Above $3800/oz, US Government Shutdown in Focus & FTSE 100 Runs Into ResistanceMarkets Weekly Outlook – getting ready for September NFP week Gold actually still loves this as it is on another sublime session, currently up 1.70% and marked another all-time high at $3,831 just a few hours ago. The US dollar is the one asset that's getting hurt the most from these rumours, with the DXY barely hanging around the 98.00 handle. We got some FED speak just before with Waller this morning on payments and the future of global finance (interesting but nothing much on the economic outlook) and Cleveland's Hammack showing some concerns on the path of Inflation but also takes part in the one time inflation-boosts from tariffs talks. Safe Trades and successful week! Follow Elior on Twitter/X for additional Market News, Insights and Interactions @EliorManier Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

BTC USD is firmly above $110K, and the latest Bitcoin technical analysis at the end of September 2025 is here! Bull markets – everybody loves them! Except the bears, of course… But lets the question circling around lately – Will the Bull market continue or is it over? Where is Bitcoin headed next – should I sell, hold or buy? People who are serious about their finances and consider themselves investors need to make informed decisions when tackling such questions. And they do! One of the areas we get information from is price action and conducting technical analysis. As always, it is really healthy to fill the picture with other trusted traders’ thoughts. In this case, with Sam’s comment on how crucial the $112,000 level has been lately. DISCOVER: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in 2025 And without further ado, let us dig into the charts! How is BTC USD Shaping Up For October? Bitcoin End of Month Technical Analysis (Source, TradingView – BTCUSD) 1W timeframe – a good place to begin! Not to take too long here, we would like to notice that in February of 2024 and April of 2025 there are Weekly Fair Value Gaps. Both remain unfilled. I would rather say the 2024 is unlikely to get filled during this bull market. And the higher the price holds above $100,000, the less likely it becomes for the 2025 gap to be filled. (Source – TradingView, BTCUSD) Going back to Sam’s comment on the importance of $112,000 level for Bitcoin price analysis, on this chart it is the orange line. And what is important here, besides that level, is last week’s candle. Half of the candle is a body, and half of it is a wick, with the wick being underneath that key level. This, by itself, could be a sign of strength! DISCOVER: Top Solana Meme Coins to Buy in 2025 (BTCUSD) Zooming in on the 1D chart, another marker for an uptrend and support are the moving averages. Currently, the BCT USD price is below MA50 and MA100, with MA50 about to go under MA100 – not great. But MA200 is still underneath at which is a strong and important level. The other details will be discussed in more detail below. DISCOVER: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025 Zooming in On BTC USD: Bitcoin Technical Analysis on Lower Timeframe + Conclusions (BTCUSD) On the 4H I have adjusted the left yellow bounce zone to the bottom one, which I considered a deviation. If it were, the BTC USD price wouldn’t go this far down a second time. This makes this zone more of a demand/liquidity support area. Essentially, we have a $10k range between $108,000 and $118,000. The last high that touched the resistance zone is actually a Higher High on this lower timeframe, and now we are moving up from a Higher Low. That is a good start! Bulls want to see all Moving Averages reclaimed and then a clean break above that $118,000 key level. Trade safely! DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto – Here’s 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x This Year Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Bitcoin Technical Analysis: End of September 2025 Insights Key level to hold is $110,000 – $112,000 1D chart shows bearish factors, yet structure remains bullish Expect price to be choppy around Monthly close Key level to reclaim for upward continuation is $118,000. The post BTC USD Targets End of September: Bitcoin Technical Analysis for October appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

Bank of America (BofA) has raised its copper price forecasts, pointing to widespread mine disruptions and steady demand as the metal tightens across global markets. The bank now expects copper to average $11,313 per tonne in 2026, an 11% upgrade from its prior estimate, and $13,501 in 2027, up 12.5%. Strategists forecast a peak of $15,000 per tonne ($6.80 per pound). Supply squeeze deepens BofA analysts flagged ongoing setbacks at some of the world’s largest mines, including Grasberg in Indonesia, El Teniente in Chile, and Kamoa-Kakula in the Democratic Republic of Congo. Additional pressure stems from delays at Teck’s Quebrada Blanca II project in Chile and the indefinite suspension of First Quantum’s Cobre Panamá. At the same time, treatment and refining charges have fallen sharply, underscoring the shortage of raw material. While overcapacity in China’s smelting sector has weighed on processing margins, analysts stressed the underlying issue is insufficient mine supply. Resilient demand Despite the supply headwinds, demand has remained robust. Copper consumption in China continues to be underpinned by rising grid investments tied to renewable energy and AI-related infrastructure. In Europe, demand is showing early signs of recovery after a prolonged slump. On the inventory front, stockpiles at the London Metal Exchange remain exceptionally low, raising the risk of short squeezes if consumption accelerates further. BofA expects copper to enter a structural bull phase. The bank emphasized that spare tonnages have already been diverted to the US, leaving the market vulnerable to sharp price spikes. On Monday morning, three-month copper futures traded at $10,643 per tonne ($4.84 per pound) on the CME, up 1.4% on the day. Click on chart for live prices. Read More: China slashes key metals growth target amid overcapacity curbs

XRP crypto sold off sharply on September 25, but that marked the end of its short-term drop, at least looking at the XRP USD price action. While the downturn lingered into the weekend for most cryptos, XRP USD has held firm, shrugging off broader market pressures and ranking among the most closely watched coins at press time. The recent dip could present a prime buying opportunity for aggressive traders. Several factors bolster this outlook. Despite the heavy selling earlier in the week, XRP USDT remains above $2.60, with buyers now targeting $3, a key psychological level. Moreover, the overall trend stays bullish, building on the rally from early July 2025. (Source: XRP USDT, TradingView) On Coingecko, .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } XRP XRP $2.88 3.15% XRP XRP Price $2.88 3.15% /24h Volume in 24h $3.95B Price 7d In the United States, the CME followed up its XRP futures milestone with the announcement of XRP futures options, opening the door to even greater institutional participation. DISCOVER: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 XRP Whales Bought 120M XRP Crypto: XRP USD To $5? XRP Crypto stabilizes above $2.7 XRP USD bulls in charge, targets $5 Ripple partners with BBVA, SBI REX-Osprey XRP ETF is live The post XRP Whales Bought 120M XRP Crypto In 3 Days: XRP USD To $5? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

The phrase “Uptober” has gained popularity in the crypto market, as October has historically delivered gains in the past. For the XRP price, however, the picture looks very different. A closer look at its history shows a mix of big wins and painful losses, making October far less predictable. Removing the extreme years shows that the data points to flat or negative results, which means investors counting on an explosive rally may end up disappointed. Although the last quarter of the year has brought substantial gains in some cases, the overall record remains inconsistent, suggesting that “Uptober” may be more of a myth than a promise for XRP holders. Historical Data Challenges The “Uptober” Hype For XRP Price Every October, the crypto community hopes that coins will rise, and while Bitcoin sometimes lives up to this expectation, XRP’s history tells a different story. Data from CryptoRank shows that XRP has experienced some notable fluctuations in October over the last decade. In 2013, the token soared by more than 94%. In 2014, it jumped 130%. In 2020, it even delivered an explosive rally of nearly 179% in just one month. But these massive rallies are rare. In many other years, the results were disappointing. For example, the XRP price suffered double-digit losses in October of 2018 and 2021. In other years, gains were delivered only in tiny amounts, far below what traders had hoped for. Stripping away the highs and lows makes the overall trend clear. The median October return for XRP is actually a slight loss of 1.79%, and the average return is even worse at -4.58%. This data suggests that October is far more likely to bring disappointment than explosive growth for XRP holders. While the idea of “Uptober” may sound exciting, the history of XRP shows its performance in October is scattered, unpredictable, and often hostile. Q4 Patterns Show Risk Of Relying On Seasonal Myths Some traders argue that even if October is not always a great month, the XRP price usually performs well in the final quarter of the year. Indeed, the last quarter has sometimes delivered big rallies, and the average Q4 return for XRP is nearly 88%. But these results are heavily skewed by a few extraordinary years. When the numbers are balanced, the median return for Q4 is actually a loss of 4.32%. The negative median Q4 return shows that the perception of Q4 strength is not as reliable as many believe. The standout rallies do not represent the typical outcome. Instead, most years end up modest or even negative. The pattern points to risk, not certainty, for those who assume every Q4 will bring green candles. Past data proves that while extraordinary runs are possible, they are rare, and the more common result is far less exciting. XRP could still surprise to the upside, but history warns against treating October as a guaranteed month of gains. Believing the hype without considering the risks may leave investors unprepared for disappointment.

Bitcoin is up 71% over the past year, but investors still feel frustrated with the recent performance of the world’s largest cryptocurrency. That’s because Bitcoin is down nearly 10% from its all-time high of $124,000 last month, currently trading around $112,000. Overall, Bitcoin remains one of the best-performing assets in history. However, lately, it seems to be stuck in a slump. Is this a bug in Bitcoin’s code? At least one analyst, Jordi Visser, believes the pullbacks are actually part of steady growth and warns that more pullbacks could become common even as Bitcoin continues to rise. The Nvidia Parallel Visser compares Nvidia, the semiconductor giant whose stock skyrocketed during the AI boom. Less than three years after ChatGPT’s rise, Nvidia’s stock surged by over 1,000%. Yet during that ascent, it weathered five corrections of 20% or more before reclaiming higher highs. The comparison makes sense, according to Visser, because Bitcoin isn’t just a digital currency or a speculative investment – it’s becoming part of the larger AI and tech conversation. As AI transforms traditional industries and replaces old business models, investors may start to view $BTC as both a hedge against disruption and the native digital store of value for the next wave of innovation. Visser has written about this before, highlighting how AI and crypto innovation aren’t simply a progression of technology, but a fundamental reworking of core institutions, such as banking (through crypto) and production itself (through AI). In that telling, capital might flow into Bitcoin alongside AI-favored equities, tying its trajectory to momentum in the tech sector. Possible Pathways Forward Visser’s outlook doesn’t preclude further upside; his prediction about Bitcoin’s connection with AI actually adds weight to Bitcoin’s long-term outlook. Still, Visser warns that deep pullbacks may punctuate the rally. On the technical side, EMAs still paint a bullish picture, despite recent narrowing. A similar narrowing of the EMA bands occurred before the surge in $BTC’s price in July, building up to August’s ATH. Stablecoins, Bitcoin, DeFi – crypto’s many use cases increasingly point to a continued crypto revolution. Corrections aside, Bitcoin could be set for continued long-term growth as blockchain and AI tech feed on each other. That makes projects like Bitcoin Hyper, with a problem-solving Bitcoin Layer 2, even more critical. Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) – Faster, Cheaper Bitcoin Transactions for Ecosystem Growth Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) tackles some of Bitcoin’s biggest limitations head-on. Bitcoin processes an average of 7 transactions per second; by leveraging the Solana Virtual Machine, Hyper processes several thousand. Bitcoin suffers from congestion and low throughput, but Hyper relies on Solana’s greater scalability. With the SVM and a Bitcoin Canonical Bridge, all the tools and features that investors typically find on Solana are now open to Bitcoin. That means meme coins, DeFi, native staking – the whole works. Bitcoin Hyper actually provides a hybrid architecture, utilizing a bridge to the SVM for wrapped Bitcoin, while reserving final transaction settlement for Layer 1. You can learn how to buy $HYPER with our guide. Given the broader market and some traders’ frustration with Bitcoin’s performance, it’s not surprising that $HYPER is attracting significant presale investment as investors learn more about what Hyper is. The presale has already surpassed $18.8M, with tokens priced at just $0.012995. Don’t overlook Bitcoin Hyper’s potential – read more at the official website. Jordi Visser offers a bullish Bitcoin picture, at least for the long term. Corrections won’t derail an ongoing bull run – they’re likely vital components of it. Suppose Bitcoin follows the pattern of Nvidia and undergoes multiple steep pullbacks en route to higher highs. In that case, it won’t necessarily herald a collapse, but could actually indicate just how far Bitcoin Hyper—and Bitcoin itself—could go. As always, do your own research. This isn’t financial advice. Authored by Aaron Walker for NewsBTC — https://www.newsbtc.com/news/expect-sharp-corrections-before-bitcoin-reclaims-new-highs-lessons-from-nvidia

History of U.S. Government Shutdowns Power Struggle As the September 30 funding deadline approaches, history may be about to repeat itself. The United States has faced several major government shutdowns in the past, and the odds are rising that another one could begin on October 1, 2025. Power Struggle A Look Back: History of Major U.S. Government Shutdowns 1995–1996: The Clinton Era During President Bill Clinton’s administration, budget disputes with Congress led to two shutdowns: November 14–19, 1995 (5 days) December 16, 1995 – January 6, 1996 (21 days) The standoff revolved around disagreements over Medicare, education, and spending cuts. The 21-day shutdown was the longest in U.S. history at the time. 2013: The Obama Shutdown Under President Barack Obama, a bitter fight over funding the Affordable Care Act (Obamacare) caused a 16-day shutdown (October 1–16, 2013). 2018–2019: The Trump Shutdown The most recent and longest shutdown in U.S. history occurred under President Trump. A battle over funding for a border wall with Mexico triggered a 35-day shutdown (December 22, 2018 – January 25, 2019).. Why the Risk of a Shutdown Is High Now Fast forward to today, and the ingredients for another shutdown are in place: Congressional gridlock: Lawmakers have failed to pass a continuing resolution to fund the government past September 30. Senate deadlock: The Senate has not approved the clean stopgap spending bill already passed by the House. White House warnings: The administration has told agencies to prepare for permanent job cuts, signaling that shutdown planning is being taken very seriously. U.S. Government Shutdown Threatens to Delay Key Jobs Report and Shake Global Markets Power Struggle Odds of a Shutdown on October 1 While nothing is guaranteed, the political stalemate makes a shutdown appear increasingly likely. The next few says will be crucial to break the impasse but if not, the U.S. could soon face yet another government shutdown. In this regard, Republicans are looking to get Democrats to agree to kick the can down the road into November to avert closing the government. This latest chapter in the never-ending battle over the budget seems set to go down to the wire. USA GOV The post History of U.S. Government Shutdowns and Why Odds Are High for Another on October 1 appeared first on Forex Trading Forum.

A sharp increase in Bitcoin during today's Asian trading session may indicate the return of large players to the market—participants who have not been very active lately. Clearly, September is not the best time for such a move. As historical data show, September is usually a bearish month not just for cryptocurrencies, but for all classes of risk assets. October, on the other hand, is known for the strongest bullish seasonality: BTC has posted positive returns and an average gain of 22.9% in 9 out of the last 10 Octobers. Naturally, this phenomenon does not guarantee a repeat, but it does highlight the cyclicality and seasonal trends that are typical of financial markets. Investors who pay close attention to such patterns can use them to form their trading strategies, considering the possibility of an October rally. However, relying solely on seasonality would be shortsighted. It is necessary to also take into account the current macroeconomic environment, the news backdrop, and overall market sentiment. More accommodative regulatory changes, technological breakthroughs, and geopolitical events—all of these can alter the expected dynamics of the cryptocurrency market. Therefore, analysis of October's seasonality should always be complemented by other factors affecting the price of Bitcoin. Moreover, it is important to remember that past results do not guarantee future returns. Markets are constantly changing, and established patterns may lose relevance. Nevertheless, understanding historical trends allows investors to better anticipate possible scenarios and make more informed decisions. BofA also forecasts that the fourth quarter of this year could be the strongest ever for BTC. This bold forecast, coming from one of the world's largest financial institutions, adds even more intrigue to the evolving landscape of the cryptocurrency market. BofA's arguments likely consider a range of factors, from seasonality to potential macroeconomic shifts. Notably, institutional interest in BTC—which has steadily grown in recent years—could reach its peak by the end of 2025. More and more companies are adding cryptocurrency to their balance sheets as a hedge against inflation and a means of diversifying assets. In addition, potential approval of new BTC ETFs would attract even more capital to the market, which will undoubtedly affect the price of the world's first cryptocurrency. Rising awareness and adoption of BTC among retail investors is also playing a significant role. Increasing numbers of individuals view cryptocurrency as a promising tool for investment and savings, which stimulates demand and consequently supports price growth. Trading recommendations: As for the technical outlook on Bitcoin, buyers are now targeting a return to the $112,800 level, which would open the way toward $114,400, with just a short distance remaining to the $116,000 mark. The most distant target is the high near $117,400: a breakout above this would signal further strengthening of the bull market. Should Bitcoin decline, buyers are expected to become active around $111,200. A drop back below this area could quickly push BTC toward $109,900, with the most distant downside target in the area of $108,600. Regarding Ethereum's technical setup, a firm move above $4,132 paves the way to $4,210. The most distant target is the high near $4,331, and a breakout above this would confirm the strength of the bull market and a rise in buying interest. In the event of a correction, buyers are expected near $4,039. If ETH falls back below this level, the price may quickly drop to $3,942, with the most distant downside target in the region of $3,827. What we see on the chart: - Red lines: support and resistance levels, where price is expected to either stall or move sharply; - Green lines: 50-day moving average; - Blue lines: 100-day moving average; - Light green lines: 200-day moving average. The crossing or testing of moving averages by the price usually halts or triggers further movement in the market. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Bitcoin has managed to reclaim the $110,000 level, but momentum remains fragile as the market shows early signs of exhaustion. After recent volatility, BTC’s inability to extend gains higher has fueled speculation that a deeper correction may be in play. Traders are closely watching whether Bitcoin can hold above this critical threshold or if selling pressure will drag it lower in the coming sessions. Despite the cautious outlook, some analysts view the current consolidation as a healthy reset in a broader bullish cycle. They argue that periods of cooling price action often serve as foundations for more sustainable rallies, reducing leverage and strengthening long-term support levels. Adding to this cautious optimism, top analyst Maartunn shared fresh data showing that retail demand is backing off. According to his findings, the 30-day Retail Demand Change has dropped to -5%, marking its lowest level since July. This trend suggests smaller investors are stepping aside, leaving price direction increasingly in the hands of larger players and institutions. Retail Capitulation And Macro Risks The current retreat in retail demand could carry a bullish undertone for Bitcoin. Historically, retail investors often act as a contrarian signal—buying aggressively near cycle tops and capitulating near market bottoms. With the 30-day Retail Demand Change dropping, smaller investors appear to be stepping aside just as Bitcoin consolidates above the $110,000 level. This reduction in retail activity may be a sign that the market is flushing out weaker hands, setting the stage for stronger accumulation by institutions and high-conviction holders. At the same time, broader macroeconomic risks add complexity to the picture. The looming threat of a US government shutdown is stirring concerns across risk assets, as investors weigh potential impacts on liquidity, market confidence, and the trajectory of Federal Reserve policy. Historically, periods of political gridlock and fiscal uncertainty tend to increase volatility, with Bitcoin often caught in the crosscurrents. However, uncertainty does not always translate into downside. In some cases, Bitcoin has benefited from macro turbulence as investors seek alternative assets outside of traditional financial systems. If retail investors remain on the sidelines while larger players accumulate, this dynamic could create a launchpad for a new bullish phase once macro conditions stabilize. Bitcoin Price Dynamics: Struggling At $112K Bitcoin is currently trading around $112,141, showing signs of resilience after its recent dip below the $110,000 level. The chart reflects a short-term recovery, but BTC is still facing strong resistance from the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, both positioned slightly above the current price zone. These averages have acted as dynamic barriers in recent weeks, capping upward momentum and reinforcing the market’s corrective phase. The rejection from the $123,217 resistance level, marked earlier in September, highlights the ongoing difficulty for bulls to sustain rallies. Since then, the structure has shifted into a lower-high formation, signaling fading momentum. Despite the bounce, the failure to reclaim and hold above the $114,000–$115,000 zone could expose BTC to further downside risk, with the 200-day moving average near $105,000 serving as the next critical support. For now, Bitcoin’s short-term outlook remains cautious: bulls need a decisive break above $115,000 to regain momentum, while bears may target deeper retracements if the $110,000 floor gives way again. The coming sessions will be crucial in determining whether this rebound is sustainable or just another pause in the correction. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Newmont Corp. (NYSE: NEM), the world’s largest gold miner, said Monday that chief executive Tom Palmer will retire later this year, with chief operating officer Natascha Viljoen set to take over on January 1, 2026. Palmer, who took the top job in October 2029, said it was the right time to step aside after nearly 40 years in the mining industry, including 12 with Newmont. Viljoen joined Newmont in 2023 after leading Anglo American Platinum, now Valterra, and serving on Anglo American’s Group Management Committee. The leadership change announcement comes on the same day Barrick Mining (TSX: ABX; NYSE: G) disclosed the sudden resignation of its CEO, Mark Bristow, who had led the Canadian miner since its 2019 merger with Randgold Resources. Whirlwind of changes Under Palmer, Newmont completed a string of transformative deals, including the takeover of Canada’s Goldcorp, the creation of the Nevada Gold Mines joint venture with Barrick, and the $17-billion acquisition of Australian miner Newcrest, which cemented Newmont’s global dominance. The company has also undergone significant executive turnover. Earlier this year, chief financial officer Karyn Ovelmen resigned after just over two years. Long-time insider Peter Wexler was named interim CFO. Newmont shares have more than doubled in 2025. The company recently pulled its stock from the Toronto Stock Exchange, citing low trading volumes and expected cost savings. Newmont first listed in Canada in 2019 after acquiring Goldcorp. This month, the miner capped a year-long divestment program with the sale of its Coffee gold project in Yukon, underscoring the scale of change under Palmer’s leadership.

Why the Next Fed Chair Matters: Yield Curve Steepening, Fed Independence, and Market Implications Treasury Yield Curve The combination of loose U.S. fiscal policy and an easy monetary policy stance is raising red flags for global investors. Together, they increase the risk of higher inflation and could undermine confidence in the U.S. dollar. At the same time, concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve may already be contributing to the recent steepening of the U.S. Treasury yield curve. This is why the appointment of the next Fed Chair is more than just a Washington decision. It is a major market event with global implications for forex, bonds, equities and commodities markets. How Much Influence Does the Fed Chair Have Over the FOMC? The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) sets U.S. interest rates and monetary policy. While the Fed Chair has only one vote like other members, the position carries outsized influence: Agenda Control: The Chair decides what topics are discussed and in what order at FOMC meetings. Public Voice of the Fed: Through press conferences, speeches (such as Jackson Hole), and testimony to Congress, the Chair communicates the Fed’s stance to the world. Institutional Influence: The Chair has significant sway over internal appointments and how the Fed’s staff frames research and policy options. In short, the Fed Chair is said to be “one above equals, ”not a dictator of policy, but a leader who sets the tone and direction of monetary policy. The Credibility Factor History shows that a credible Fed Chair can rally consensus and reduce internal dissent: Alan Greenspan, Ben Bernanke, Janet Yellen, and Jerome Powell all shaped committee views by forming a consensus by projecting unified messaging. When the Chair is respected, other members are less likely to break publicly from the consensus. By contrast, a Chair perceived as lacking credibility will face more internal dissent, more public disagreement, and a weaker ability to guide markets. Fed Independence and Political Pressure (Trump’s Pressure on the Fed) The biggest risk comes if the next Fed Chair is seen as a political choice rather than an independent one. A politically driven appointment could: Undermine confidence in the Fed’s independence. Lead to a fractured FOMC with more dissenting voices. Increase market uncertainty about inflation and interest rate policy. Drive higher risk premiums in bond markets, further steepening the yield curve. Even with these risks, the Fed Chair still controls the agenda and serves as the central bank’s public voice. This means that credibility and independence will determine how effective the next Chair can be. Why the Next Fed Chair Appointment Is Critical for Markets The appointment of the next Fed Chair will shape: Inflation expectations Bond yields and the treasury yield curve Global confidence in the U.S. dollar Equity market valuations While the Chair is only one vote on the FOMC, the ability to forge consensus, communicate policy clearly, and maintain independence from politics makes the role pivotal. If the new Chair is perceived as politically compromised, it risks not only undermining the individual but also weakening the credibility of the Federal Reserve confuct of monetary policy with major implications across all financial markets. 2-10 Year U.S. Bonds Yields US Department of The Treasury The post Why the Next Fed Chair Matters appeared first on Forex Trading Forum.

The market is once again driven by headlines: gold has rewritten its all-time high, soaring to $3,812 per ounce; Brent crude slipped below $70 amid a supply glut; Oracle is entering TikTok US through a $14 billion deal; and Apple is preparing to give Siri a "second wind," accelerating the AI race. This article explores the reasons and consequences behind each story, offers fresh forecasts and key risks, and, in conclusion, presents practical strategies for traders looking to turn this volatility into real results. Gold hits a historic peak: a new benchmark for traders Gold has shattered its previous price records, breaking above the $3,812 per ounce mark and cementing its status as the standout asset of the fall season. On Monday, September 29, prices reached an all-time high, prompting analysts to revise their forecasts and the market to closely monitor the metal's momentum. This article delves into why gold is back at the center of the global financial stage, what's driving its price, and how traders can capitalize on the current trend. On Monday, gold prices surged by 1.4% to a record $3,812 per ounce, later settling around $3,806. This marked the sixth consecutive week of gains – a clear signal of a strong uptrend. The key driver behind gold's recent surge is the weakening of the US dollar, which is losing ground amid political uncertainty in Washington and the looming threat of a federal government shutdown. A weaker dollar makes gold more accessible to global buyers, while doubts surrounding the Federal Reserve's future policy direction are further fueling interest in the asset. Adding to the momentum is the risk of delayed publication of key macroeconomic data, including labor market reports. If the forecasted slowdown in employment is confirmed, expectations for a Fed rate cut as early as October will strengthen, giving gold another tailwind. Over the past six weeks of uninterrupted growth, the metal has gained 45% year-to-date, continuing to set new records. Demand is being driven not only by retail investors but also by central banks, which are actively increasing their gold reserves. Gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are seeing their highest volumes since 2022, further reinforcing the bullish trend. For many market participants, gold has become a symbol of distrust in the US political and economic landscape, where even the Federal Reserve's independence is under scrutiny. Top bank analysts agree that the rally still has room to run. Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank forecast continued growth, citing a combination of structural demand and escalating geopolitical uncertainty, which only enhances the asset's appeal. Barclays notes that gold appears to be "an unexpectedly profitable hedge" against both the dollar and Treasury bonds. In other words, investors are increasingly viewing the metal not just as a defensive asset, but as a source of returns even amid instability. For traders, the current situation presents a wide range of opportunities. Gold remains a key risk-hedging tool and is well-suited for long-term positions. In a highly volatile environment, the market offers flexibility to adapt: traders can lock in profits at high levels or increase exposure during short-term pullbacks. Gold is no longer just a "safe haven" – it's becoming a full-fledged source of income for those who know how to seize the moment. Oil under pressure again: oversupply pushes prices down Oil prices began the week with a decline, as Brent dropped below $70 per barrel. In this article, we'll break down why crude is losing ground, which factors are shaping its movement, what banks and analysts are saying, and how traders can turn this turbulence into profit. On Monday, Brent futures fell by 63 cents to $69.50. This came after Iraq resumed oil exports from its Kurdish region, halted for more than two and a half years. The Iraq–Turkey pipeline began pumping 180,000–190,000 barrels per day on Saturday morning, with potential to increase to 230,000. The agreement between Baghdad, the Kurdish regional government, and international oil companies—brokered with US support—came as a surprise to the market and added downward pressure on prices. However, the main factor remains unchanged: OPEC+ policy. The alliance, led by Saudi Arabia, is set to increase output by at least another 137,000 barrels per day in November, continuing the pace already set for October. Since April, the cartel has added over 2.5 million barrels per day—about 2.4% of global demand. This move is not about stabilizing the market, but about regaining market share. In other words, OPEC+ is no longer trying to act as a "price manager"—instead, it's flooding the market with previously idled volumes. While the headlines may make these increases sound significant, analysts caution that the actual production rise will likely be much smaller, as many member countries are already at or near capacity. As RBC notes, beyond Saudi Arabia, there's hardly anyone left who can realistically boost supply. Still, the mere expectation of more barrels entering the system undermines the recent rally in oil prices. The International Energy Agency (IEA) adds fuel to the fire with a forecast: if current trends persist, the market will face a record surplus by 2026. According to their estimates, in the second half of 2025 alone, the oversupply could reach 2.5 million barrels per day. Goldman Sachs is even more blunt: the bank expects Brent to fall into the mid-$50 range as early as next year, despite China's ongoing stockpiling. In other words, the oil market is increasingly looking like a battleground where sellers are fighting to maintain their share at any cost, while buyers simply shrug and go for the cheapest option. For traders, the key is not to get discouraged but to use the volatility as a tool. Given the oversupply and pressure from OPEC+, short strategies on Brent—such as opening sell positions—look like a logical move. Conservative traders may look for entry points during upward corrections, aiming to take profits on subsequent declines. More aggressive traders can take advantage of intraday volatility for scalping opportunities. The current oil market environment offers a unique opportunity to those ready to act now. Open a trading account with InstaForex and download the mobile app to quickly respond to price movements and seize every profit opportunity. Oracle grabs a big piece of TikTok: $14 billion deal and new horizons The deal over TikTok's US operations is finally moving forward: last week, Donald Trump signed an executive order valuing TikTok US at around $14 billion and setting a 120-day deadline to finalize all the details. Investors include Oracle, Silver Lake, and Abu Dhabi's MGX. In this article, we break down—in plain terms—what exactly Oracle is getting, how governance will be structured, where the risks lie, what the implications could be for the business, and finally, specific trading ideas. Let's get to the point. According to US Vice President JD Vance, the $14 billion valuation is fixed by the order. Ownership is split as follows: the Oracle-Silver Lake-MGX consortium holds around 45–50% of TikTok US; ByteDance retains less than 20% (with a target of 19.9%); the remaining ~35% is held by US investors, including General Atlantic, Susquehanna, and KKR. The board of directors consists of seven members: six appointed by the US side and one by ByteDance. The White House insists that the recommendation algorithm used in the US will be retrained and operate under the oversight of security partners within the new joint venture. According to sources, China's cybersecurity regulator has approved a licensing structure that permits the use of AI technologies in the US market. The concept is simple: TikTok continues to operate in the US, but the key "control levers" are transferred to the new American structure. The $14 billion valuation appears conservative compared to market benchmarks. For reference, TikTok's rival Snap has 98 million daily active users in North America and a market cap of about $14 billion. TikTok US is significantly larger in scale. Analyst Dan Ives previously valued TikTok (excluding the algorithm) at $30–40 billion, and ByteDance itself was valued at over $330 billion in employee stock buyback programs. Oracle's key advantage: strategic access to a massive audience at a discounted price The main advantage for Oracle is clear: it's entering a high-value asset with a massive US user base at a price below market expectations, and it's gaining control over the most valuable part of the platform—the data and algorithm operations. Oracle's outlook is quite tangible. The company is strengthening its relationship with the US government as a "trusted custodian" of sensitive data, enhancing its cloud platform with a high-load AI product, and gaining access to advertisers within the TikTok ecosystem. Key growth catalysts include: successful deal closure within the 120-day window, a clear governance model for the algorithm, and the first revenue and monetization metrics from TikTok US. Risks involve regulatory delays, disputes over foreign investor stakes and influence, and potential degradation of content quality during the transition period. Key takeaways for investors $14 billion is a low price for access to one of the largest digital audiences in the US; Oracle gains a strategic asset and bolsters its position in AI and digital advertising. Execution is everything – the outcome for investors depends on how swiftly and smoothly the algorithm and governance restructuring are completed. What traders can do: Bullish Idea: Long positions in Oracle – a bet on successful deal closure and future monetization of TikTok US. Tactic: Buy on dips triggered by news volatility; add to positions as key milestones are confirmed. Volatility Strategy: Play price swings around key events – White House statements, updates from Chinese regulators, board composition announcements, and details on algorithm oversight. Risk Management: Partial profit-taking during optimism spikes. Cautious traders may prefer to wait for official deal approval and early operating metrics, using corrections as entry points. Simple rule of thumb: Watch the 120-day timeline, the algorithm control framework, and the first earnings signals from TikTok US. If all goes smoothly, Oracle may be on track to rewrite its growth story—and give the market a solid reason to reward patient investors. Apple gives Siri a second wind: rejoining the AI race Apple is making it clear that rumors of its AI "lag" have been greatly exaggerated. The company is developing an internal app, similar to ChatGPT, to speed up testing of the long-awaited Siri update, expected to launch in spring 2026. Codenamed Veritas (Latin for "truth"), the project aims to assess whether Siri can truly compete with Google and OpenAI's offerings. Veritas is an internal tool that allows Apple engineers to test new Siri features—from searching personal data like emails and music to editing photos directly within apps. The app mimics the interface of popular chatbots, supports contextual awareness, parallel conversations, and can even access historical queries. While there's no public release planned yet, the very existence of this tool signals Apple's urgency in preparing a next-generation voice assistant. The future Siri will be powered by a system called Linwood, built on large language models developed in-house by the Foundation Models team, with input from external technologies. Apple is keeping things quiet. Company representatives are staying silent, and at a recent internal meeting, Tim Cook simply stated: "AI is our transformation, and we will invest whatever it takes to win." Behind the scenes, however, the company has already held talks with OpenAI and Anthropic, and is now reportedly discussing the use of a customized version of Google's Gemini platform. The road to a new Siri has been bumpy Apple had initially planned to unveil the Siri update in spring 2025, but engineering setbacks delayed the launch—about a third of the new features simply didn't work. This led to a full AI strategy review and internal shakeups: Former AI chief John Giannandrea has stepped back, Siri veteran Robbie Walker is leaving the company in October, The AKI team (Apple Knowledge Integration) is now leading the development of advanced search features. Veritas is expected to help test integration with online data and generate short, useful summaries. Apple understands that this is not just a cosmetic update—it's a matter of survival in the AI competition. In 2026, the smartphone market is set for an all-out battle over AI features, and consumer choice will increasingly hinge on the intelligence of their pocket assistant. What success looks like for Apple If the new Siri can truly act on on-screen data, control devices without extra clicks, and complete tasks faster than its competitors, it could be a turning point. If not, Apple risks cementing its reputation as a follower, not a leader. What this means for traders: The news presents a mixed picture: On the upside: The development of Veritas and the anticipated Siri upgrade in spring 2026 are reigniting investor interest in Apple. The company is re-entering the AI conversation—now the biggest growth driver in tech. On the downside: Release delays, executive turnover, and strong competitors like Alphabet and Samsung could put pressure on Apple's stock. Strategies to consider: Optimists may go long on Apple in anticipation of a successful Siri relaunch and stronger iPhone sales. Conservatives might wait for stable functionality and confirmed AI features, buying on dips. Aggressive traders can play off speculative moves, trading news leaks and announcements that will likely trigger sharp price swings. To turn this volatility into opportunity, open an account with InstaForex and download our mobile app to act fast and capture profit as the AI race heats up. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Crypto analyst Bobby has revealed that the XRP price is about to close a 3-minute candle above a major region. He indicated that this was very bullish for the altcoin, providing insights into how high it could rally. XRP Price Set To Close Fourth 3M Candle Above In an X post, Bobby revealed that the XRP price is about to close its fourth 3-minute candle above the highest 3-minute candlestick close of its prior bull cycle. He added that the altcoin is also on track to close a 3-minute candle body above the previous 3-minute candle wick high amid a highly fearful market and even without reaching a 1.618 extension. Based on this, he urged market participants to “think bigger,” possibly alluding to the projections for the XRP price in this market cycle. His accompanying chart showed that XRP could rally to as high as $13, representing a gain of over 400% from its current price level. Meanwhile, Bobby highlighted the candle closes above the April 2021 high as another reason he is bullish on XRP. His analysis comes amid a market downtrend, which has seen the XRP price drop below crucial support levels. Bobby suggested that the current downtrend was nothing to worry about. He stated that a golden pocket retest for XRP, from its latest low to its swing high, would be between $2.50 and $2.55. However, he declared that a drop to this range wouldn’t change a “single thing” about where the altcoin is heading. Instead, the crypto analyst believes that this would help weed out paper hands, who don’t deserve to benefit from what is to come for the diamond hand holders. He added that strategy and patience are needed amid the wait for the XRP price to reach new highs. XRP Could Reach As High As $33 Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto has predicted that the XRP price could reach as high as $33 in this market cycle. He explained that, within the 2-week timeframe of the last leg in previous cycles, XRP always touched the 21 EMA before it blasted off. In 2017, the altcoin touched the EMA and then surged 1,250% while it rallied 560% in 2021. Egrag Crypto noted that if history repeats, the XRP price could rise to as high as $33 or $17, based on the gains from the previous cycle. Meanwhile, XRP could also record an average rally of 905%, which would put its price at $27. The analyst added that he doesn’t see how XRP won’t reach these targets. At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $2.85, up over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

It was a tough week for BTC USD. The good news is that a positive shift is underway. After a concerning dip, the Bitcoin price steadied, closing with a long lower wick that signals strong buying pressure. The digital gold found support at $108,900 before staging a robust bounce, closing above $110,000. Right now, BTC USDT is holding firm above $112,000. Amid this refreshing rebound, attention is turning to Solana and one of its key revenue drivers: Pump.fun. The meme coin launchpad remains a hot topic, boosting PUMP and several top Solana meme coins along the way. While SOL USD fluctuates above $200, confidence is building that a surge in Pump.fun activity could ignite a full-blown Solana season. (Source: BTC USDT, TradingView) According to Coinglass data, optimism is mounting for Solana to break higher. The long/short ratio exceeds 2 on Binance, reflecting strong trader conviction. This bullish skew is especially encouraging after last week’s slippage, which briefly pushed SOL USDT below $200. What’s more? Trading volume on major perpetual futures exchanges, particularly on Binance and Gate.io, is rising, pointing to renewed trader interest. (Source: Coinglass) DISCOVER: 10+ Next Crypto to 100X In 2025 Will Crypto Recover in October? BTC USD Blasts Past $112,000 Of course, whether Solana climbs higher and bolsters overall sentiment hinges on a broader market recovery. Overall, how the Bitcoin price performs will play a pivotal role. Since last week’s pullback, .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Bitcoin BTC $112,131.16 2.36% Bitcoin BTC Price $112,131.16 2.36% /24h Volume in 24h $39.95B Price 7d Ultimately, Pump.fun’s triumphs ripple directly to Solana. Decentralized exchange (DEX) trading volume on Solana averaged over $10Bn for much of last week. (Source: Dune) If SOL USD grinds higher alongside a spike in Pump.fun activity, overall trading volumes could explode, driving fresh demand for SOL and delivering a major tailwind for bulls. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Will Crypto Recover? BTC USD Reclaims $110K Amid Solana SZN Will crypto recover after falling in September? BTC USD reclaims $110,000 Solana in focus: Trades back above $200 Pump.fun driving meme coin activity The post Will Crypto Recover in October? BTC USD Reclaims $110K as Solana SZN Heats Up on Pump.Fun appeared first on 99Bitcoins.