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Over the years, different trends have emerged for the Bitcoin price depending on how the month ends, either in the green or in the red. September has been historically bearish, but the few times that the month has ended in the green, there have been bullish implications for the cryptocurrency. As this month is already shaping up to end in the green, this report takes a look at what has happened in previous years when the month of September has been green. Expect Bullishness From Bitcoin Price If September Closes Green In an X post, crypto analyst Rekt Fencer highlighted an interesting trend in the Bitcoin price when the month of September has been favorable. This trend has to do with what happened in the years when September closed in the green, ushering in an even more bullish month of October. According to CryptoRank data, in the last 14 years, only five months of September have closed in the green. Out of these five instances, in four cases, the bullish close opened up a more bullish move for October. A close example is the last two years of 2023 and 2024, both seeing the months of September close in the green. September 2023 ended with a 3.99% gain for the Bitcoin price, and the next month saw Bitcoin rally 28.5% in response. A similar case was recorded in September 2024 after the Bitcoin price saw a gain of 7.11% and the subsequent month of October ended with an 11.2% gain for the cryptocurrency. Going further back, September 2015 ended with a 2.52% gain for the Bitcoin price, and then October 2015 saw a 33.1% gain. Similarly, September 2016 ended with a 5.94% Bitcoin price gain, and October 2016 saw a 14.9% gain. Only the year 2012 has seen a deviation from this trend, after a 13.1% close in September ended with a 9.96% loss in October. What Happens If This Trend Repeats? A reoccurrence of this trend would mean that the Bitcoin price could be headed for double-digit gains in the month of October. So far, the cryptocurrency is already seeing gains of 6.24% and if this holds, then the bulls could establish a stronghold for a continuation next month. Add in the fact that the month of October is one of the most bullish months in the history of Bitcoin, and it is already brewing a recipe for success. There is still the possibility of a price decline as profit-taking could ramp up quickly at these levels. However, with institutional inflows on the rise, the Bitcoin price could see a favorable last quarter of the year.

The US Federal Reserve cut the key interest rate by 0.25 points, with the change coming into effect at 2 PM ET. U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell gave a press conference on the same day, hinting the cut is a risk management move. He went on to say that ‘[…] a quarter point won’t make a huge difference to the economy,’ but that further cuts were inevitable. Bitcoin reacted with a slight dip to $116.2K, reflecting traders’ caution despite the cut going into effect. Overall, Bitcoin has been trading sideways, still trying to find support above $117K. With investors waiting for clearer signals from the Fed, Powell’s comments, although measured, create a possible bullish scenario for Bitcoin. If investors sense the Fed is leaving the door open for more cuts, this could be the push for a risk-on market and a rally, as seen in past cycles. Historically, Bitcoin has moved in tandem with risk assets, prompting traders to watch the Fed’s next move closely. Meanwhile, analysts are feeling cautiously optimistic, keeping a close eye on $BTC’s support and resistance levels. If the Fed’s decisions boost Bitcoin, it could lift confidence across the market, driving more visibility, liquidity, and upside momentum for low-cap coins like Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER), which has already raised $16.5M in its presale. Could the Fed’s Interest Rate Cut Trigger the Next Big Bitcoin Boom? Historically, the Fed’s rate cuts have usually made borrowing cheaper, increasing traders’ risk appetite and encouraging them to invest in assets that yield high returns, including cryptocurrencies. In 2020, when the Fed cut rates by 0.25%, Bitcoin experienced a remarkable 1,600% surge throughout the year. Additionally, lower rates often make credit more affordable, creating favorable conditions for investments. This new capital can also trickle into the cryptocurrency market, starting with established assets like $BTC. Another effect of rate cuts is the reduced cost of funding, which eases liquidity stress for leveraged crypto traders as positions get repriced. Investors also tend to view rate cuts as a sign the economy is facing headwinds, which often drives Bitcoin to rally in the weeks that follow. Even if the reaction isn’t immediate, many believe that Bitcoin and similar assets can outperform once growth re-accelerates or inflation cools down. At the current inflation rate, Powell’s latest remarks keep crypto investors on edge. The silver lining is that Bitcoin’s supply is capped at 21M coins, positioning it as a hedge against inflation. While investors lose confidence in fiat currencies’ purchasing power during inflationary periods, capital often flows into scarce assets like $BTC. And as confidence in Bitcoin builds, newer related projects like Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) are positioned to soar. This presale’s momentum already reflects strong investor appetite for $BTC-linked growth plays. Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) – Expanding Bitcoin’s Ecosystem with a Layer-2 & Smart Contracts Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is a high-throughput Bitcoin Layer-2 (L2) that integrates the Solana Virtual Machine (SVM) for low-latency execution and smart contract integrations. Its decentralized canonical bridge enables seamless $BTC transfers between the Bitcoin L1 and the Hyper L2, where it unlocks access to DeFi, NFT marketplaces, and high-throughput dApps – all paid for using wrapped $BTC. $HYPER is the all-in-one juice for this ecosystem, fueling gas, staking, and governance. When the DAO goes live in Q1 2026, $HYPER will also be used to reward liquidity providers, validators, and developers on the same grind. Until then, the presale is still ongoing, with the token launch date set in Q4, 2025. This is prime entry time to enjoy early access to $HYPER before major exchange listings, with front-row seats to 69% staking rewards and whitelist access as soon as the mainnet goes live. Bitcoin Hyper has already raised $16.5M+ in its presale, with the token now selling for $0.012935. The subsequent $HYPER price rise comes in less than 22 hours. Today’s entry price sits just below the listing price of $0.012975, giving early birds an edge. At this price level, a $100 investment today could secure you roughly 7,729 $HYPER tokens. With our Bitcoin Hyper price prediction forecasting a $0.02595 high by the end of 2025, your $100 investment could double in value due to price appreciation alone. Add in the 69% staking APY, and your bag compounds to roughly $339 by year-end — a 239% ROI. This makes $HYPER one of the best crypto to stake. However, note the staking APY is dynamic and could go down soon if more investors lock in their tokens. With our analysts projecting a 2x growth by 2025 and 6.6x in 2026, a timely entry could mean a nice potential profit as the ecosystem expands in Q1 next year. Join the $HYPER presale for the lowest price today. This is not financial advice. Please do your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies. Authored by Aaron Walker, NewsBTC — https://www.newsbtc.com/news/bitcoin-could-pump-after-rate-cut-bitcoin-hyper-rally/

Looking at the crypto market today, there’s a real excitement around the FOMC rate cut, the 25 basis points that becomes news headlines everywhere in a mostly positive way as BTC is dancing around 117K USD, ETH is just above 4.5K USD, creeping up about 0.7% in the last day, while XRP is trading close to 3.07, enjoying a 1.6% gain against. If history is any guide, similar rate cuts usually spark 20–30% gains for high-risk assets over the next few weeks. So yes, there’s cause to be mildly excited. bitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.34T24h7d1y Altcoins are getting attention now that the easing has landed. Data from TradingView shows total crypto market cap rising, suggesting some capital is rotating out of BTC ▲0.50% and into high-risk plays. (source – TradingView) SOL ▲4.06% is up to 244 USD, gaining 3.2% today, helped by DEX volumes that climb to about $2.5B daily per DeFiLlama, a 5% jump since the cut and about 26% this week. (source – DefiLlama) BNB ▲5.04%, on the other hand, is with a nice round number, at 1,000 USD, just as this article is being written. Its BSC TVL is at $7.8B, up by almost10% this week. These are the foundations of stronger sentiment across crypto. bnbPriceMarket CapBNB$149.38B24h7d1y DISCOVER: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025 Today Crypto Market News Roundup: BTC, ETH, XRP Ready for Moon as Rate Cut Brings Stronger USD Here’s where things are headed. According to CoinGlass, open interest for BTC USD is about $85B, and long positions dominate in liquidations since the cut, a pattern we’ve seen in past ramps. (source – CoinGlass) ETH USD is supported by Layer‑2 TVLs (via DeFiLlama https://defillama.com/chain/ethereum) exceeding $40B, and ETF inflows pushing over $1.2B weekly. XRP may gain institutional credibility as its CME options pick up steam with doubled volume, now around USD 15B. Could BTC USD slip under $115,000 briefly? Sure. But with signals from the Fed hinting at perhaps two more cuts this year, bullish pressure remains. The overall DeFi total market cap is $4.2B, a huge number considering it against the traditional market. (source – CoinGecko) If things break well, XRP might test 3.20 USD, with BTC, ETH, and SOL leading. Optimistically, September will end on a strong note, even if there are a few dips along the way. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates 6 minutes ago Memecore and EIGEN Price Blasts 20%: Is BTC Layer 2 Next 100X Crypto? By Akiyama Felix The hunt for the next 100x crypto intensified today as traders digested Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s 25bps rate cut, a move that has fueled bullish sentiment across risk markets. Crypto reacted almost instantly, with Memecore and EigenLayer both surging more than 20% higher in the past 24 hours, sparking a fresh wave of speculation about where smart money will next rotate. While Bitcoin reclaimed $117K, history shows the biggest returns don’t come from BTC itself but from smaller-cap tokens building innovative ecosystems around it. With monetary policy easing and liquidity returning, traders are now asking: could a Bitcoin Layer 2 project deliver the next crypto to 100x as new capital floods into the market? Read the full story here. The post Latest Crypto Market News Today, September 18: FOMC Rate Cut Aftermath, BTC, ETH, XRP, and Solana Stable as BNB Close to 1K USD appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctuations due to increased volatility. If you decide to trade during the news release, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes. For successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan and stay focues and disciplined. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for a scalper or daytrader. #instaforex #analysis #sebastianseliga The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

As the overall market continues to move sideways, Bitcoin (BTC) is attempting to reclaim its local range highs as support. After short-term volatility, fueled by the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) rate cut, the cryptocurrency could be poised to close the month on a positive note. Bitcoin Nears Multi-Month Bullish Run On Wednesday, Bitcoin retested the $117,000 resistance for the first time in nearly a month before being rejected. The cryptocurrency has been hovering between the $107,000-$116,000 levels since late August, falling to the local lows at the start of September. Amid the retracement, investors expected to see another “Rektember,” as it has historically been one of BTC’s weakest months. Notably, CoinGlass data shows that BTC’s returns during September have mostly been red throughout the years, with an average negative return of 2.99%. However, the flagship crypto’s price has had a positive streak over the last two years, recording returns of 3.91% and 7.29% in 2023 and 2024, respectively. Analyst Crypto Jelle suggested that with less than two weeks of the month, Bitcoin appears to be setting up for a multi-month green run. Last week, BTC recovered from the early September dip, breaking out of the crucial $114,000 level and turning it into support during the weekend. As a result, the cryptocurrency currently has a positive return of 6.35%, its second-best September, according to the analytics platform. Jelle noted that “a green September has historically resulted in the next 2, 3, or even 6 consecutive months closing in the green too.” Based on this, he suggested that if Bitcoin keeps its positive performance for the rest of the month, “Q4 looks very promising for BTC.” BTC Retests Key Area Amid Volatility Analyst Rekt Capital pointed out that Bitcoin had a weekly Close above $114,000 and is retesting this area as support throughout this week’s pullbacks. This could lead to volatile downside wicks below this crucial level if this week’s close occurs above $114,000. On the contrary, failing to hold this level in the weekly timeframe could jeopardize BTC’s chances of a third price discovery uptrend. Overall, BTC needs to retest and hold $114k as support on the Weekly and any downside volatility below it would likely end up as a wick by the end of the week with the new Weekly Close. Multiple market watchers anticipated some volatility in the short term, as the Federal Reserve was expected to announce its first interest rate cut of the year. Altcoin Sherpa affirmed that “25bps is the expectation here” as “25 bps = Business as Usual but UP.” He added that this decision would likely result in a dip to the range lows or a choppy performance and “then higher in late Sept/ early October.” On Wednesday afternoon, the Fed lowered its rates by 25 basis points to a new range of 4.00% to 4.25%, marking the first rate cut since December 2024. “Recent indicators suggest that growth of economic activity moderated in the first half of the year. Job gains have slowed, and the unemployment rate has edged up but remains low. Inflation has moved up and remains somewhat elevated,” the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announcement reads. BTC retested the $114,000 support and $116,000 resistance immediately after the announcement, before stabilizing around the $115,500 level.

The outcome of the Fed meeting was, as expected, a 0.25% rate cut. But, as I noted in the previous article, all the attention was on the central bank's published forecasts for key macroeconomic indicators through the end of this year and the next two years. It was precisely the forecasts, not the fact of the rate cut — which had already been priced into asset values — that gave significant support to the main beneficiary of this theme, which has been dominating the markets in recent weeks. First, let's look at the forecasts. The main point is that the Fed projects further rate cuts amid consumer inflation stabilizing around 3%. At the press conference, Chair Jerome Powell described the easing decision as "reducing risk management." He also made it clear that this reduction cannot, at least for now, be considered the start of a deeper rate-cutting cycle. In effect, the outcome of the meeting was not only a 0.25% cut — bringing the federal funds target range to 4.00–4.25% — but also an expectation of two more cuts before year-end. Naturally, this wave provided significant support to U.S. equities, with stock indices once again hitting fresh all-time highs. The U.S. dollar index fell locally to its June 30 low but later rebounded and is currently holding above the 97.00 mark. So the question arises: why didn't the dollar collapse against the basket of major currencies, given that rates were cut and more cuts are expected? This can only be explained by the weakness of the counterpart currencies traded against the dollar on Forex, due to the fragile state of their economies. In addition, one must account for the burdensome restrictions imposed by Donald Trump in the form of tariffs and obligations to finance the recovery of the U.S. economy. So what can we expect in today's markets? I believe demand for U.S. equities will continue to grow. The dollar will likely consolidate around just above 97 points on the index. The cryptocurrency market will remain in a broad sideways trend. Overall, I assess the market backdrop as moderately positive. Daily Forecast Gold (XAU/USD)Gold is correcting downward after reaching another all-time high. It is quite possible that, on the back of technical overbought conditions, after falling toward support at 3619.60, it may reverse and aim for 3700.00. A suitable entry level for buying gold could be around 1.1710. GBP/USDThe pair has found support near 1.3580. It may turn upward and, after a local technical pullback, rise toward 1.3750 on expectations of two more Fed rate cuts this year. A suitable entry level for buying could be around 1.3620. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Asia Market Wrap - Choppy Trade as Markets Digest Fed Decision Most Read: USD/CAD Outlook: Head and Shoulder Pattern in Play as Fundamentals Provide Interesting Dilemma Global stock markets were unstable on Thursday after the US Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate cut of the year. Investors were left uncertain about the speed of future rate cuts because the Fed suggested it would take a cautious, step-by-step approach to further easing. Contracts for the S&P 500 advanced 0.5% while those for the Nasdaq 100 gained 0.7%, after the underlying benchmarks posted minor declines following the Fed’s decision. In Asia, a broad index of shares, the MSCI Asia-Pacific Index, fell by 0.1% due to declines in Australia and New Zealand. Meanwhile, Chinese stocks had a mixed day, moving between gains and losses. In contrast, shares in South Korea jumped 0.8%, Taiwan's shares rallied 0.4%, and Japan's Nikkei 225 index added 1%. Tomorrow we have the BoJ meeting. For more information on the meeting and the impact on USD/JPY, read Bank of Japan (BoJ) Meeting Preview: Maintaining the Status Quo. Implications for USD/JPY European Open - European Shares Edge Higher On Thursday, European stocks went up slightly after the Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut since December 2024. The overall European STOXX 600 index rose by 0.5% with widespread gains across different sectors. In Denmark, Novo Nordisk's shares increased by 2.6% after new data showed that an experimental pill version of its drug, Wegovy, helped people lose 16.6% of their weight in a study. This was a better result than what was seen in previous studies of the injectable version of the drug. On the other hand, the SIG Group, a Swiss packaging company, saw its shares drop by 20% and trading was temporarily stopped after the company warned that its 2025 profit would be lower than expected and that it was suspending its cash dividend. Additionally, British fashion retailer Next lost 5.5% of its share value. This happened after the company announced it expects sales growth in the UK to slow down in the second half of the year, which overshadowed its report of a 13.8% profit increase in the first half. On the FX front, the US dollar went up on Thursday, continuing its recent rebound. This happened as traders tried to understand the Federal Reserve's cautious approach to future interest rate cuts. The dollar had initially fallen to its lowest point since February 2022 immediately after the Fed's announcement but then bounced back strongly. Elsewhere, the New Zealand dollar fell sharply after new data showed the country's economy shrank much more than expected in the second quarter. This has led to speculation that there will be more significant interest rate cuts this year. The Australian dollar also weakened after Australia's employment numbers unexpectedly dropped in August. After its initial drop, the dollar index climbed as much as 0.44% on the day to 97.074, and continued to rise on Thursday to 97.163. The euro slipped 0.2% to $1.1791, after briefly jumping to its highest level since June 2021 on Wednesday in an immediate reaction to the Fed's news. The British pound also eased by 0.2% to $1.3604, after briefly leaping to its highest point since July 2. The US dollar went up by 0.2% against the Japanese yen, reaching 147.245 yen in the latest trading session. This happened after it had initially weakened as much as 0.67% to its lowest point since July 7, before quickly bouncing back. Currency Power Balance Source: OANDA Labs Oil prices went down for the second day in a row on Thursday. This happened after the US Federal Reserve cut interest rates as expected. Traders were focused on concerns about the US economy and the risk of too much oil supply. Brent crude futures fell by 26 cents, or 0.38%, to $67.69 per barrel. US West Texas Intermediate futures dropped by 28 cents, or 0.44%, to $63.77 per barrel. For more information on Oil, please read WTI Oil Rallies 1% After Ukrainian Attacks on Russian Oil Facilities, Russia Sanction Calls Grow On Thursday, gold prices continued to fall. This happened because the US dollar became stronger after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a quarter of a percent, as expected, and hinted that it would be cautious about making any further policy changes. Spot gold fell by 0.6% to $3,637.41 per ounce, after reaching a record high of $3,707.40 on Wednesday. US gold futures for December delivery also slipped by 1.2% to $3,671.30.. For more information on Gold, read Gold (XAU/USD) Soars to Breach $3700/oz. FOMC Meeting Next, Will the Rally Continue? Bank of England (BoE) Meeting and Final Thoughts Looking at the economic calendar, the biggest event of the day will be the Bank of England policy meeting. The Bank of England is expected to keep interest rates at 4%. According to LSEG data, markets are pricing in around 97.2% probability that rates will remain at 4%. This is supported by official figures from Wednesday, which showed that British inflation was 3.8% in August. This number has made investors more confident that the central bank is unlikely to cut rates again very soon. However, a survey of economists by Reuters conducted earlier this month found that they still expect one more rate cut before the end of the year. There is also a meeting between US President Donald Trump and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer as well as a press conference. Whether there will be any updates on trade agreements remains to be seen and if there is it could shake up markets. For all market-moving economic releases and events, see the MarketPulse Economic Calendar. (click to enlarge) Chart of the Day - DAX Index From a technical standpoint, the DAX is bouncing this morning and is trading up around 0.9%. If the daily candle can close at current levels or higher that could be seen as a morningstar candlestick formation, which would set the index up for further gains. A candle close on the daily timeframe above the 23750 handle will be needed for a change in structure which would further enhance the probability of further upside. Looking at the RSI period-14 and it is approaching the 50 handle. with a break above leading to a shift in momentum. Beyond the 23750 handle resistance is provided by 20 and 100-day MAs which rest at 23824 and 23922 respectively. Support for now rests at 23471 and 23212 respectively. DAX Daily Chart, September 18. 2025 Source: TradingView.com (click to enlarge) Follow Zain on Twitter/X for Additional Market News and Insights @zvawda Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

US-based crypto exchange Coinbase has made a significant appeal to the Department of Justice (DOJ) regarding a wave of lawsuits aimed at its operations. The company is urging federal action to address what it describes as an “increasingly fragmented and hostile” regulatory landscape for the crypto market. Coinbase Urges Federal Action In a recent letter, Coinbase highlighted the steps taken by the current Administration to create a more equitable framework for digital asset regulation. This includes the introduction of stablecoin legislation and two pending bipartisan market-structure bills aimed at fostering uniformity in the oversight of cryptocurrencies. Coinbase argues that these initiatives have begun to mitigate the adverse effects of the previous Administration’s enforcement-driven regulatory approach. However, the company warns that certain states are perpetuating this problematic trend by adopting “expansive and flawed” interpretations of securities laws and implementing new licensing requirements that undermine the federal government’s pro-innovation stance. They make an example with the Oregon Attorney General, who has filed a lawsuit against Coinbase, claiming that many digital assets traded on its platform qualify as alleged unregistered securities. The letter affirms that the suit not only targets Coinbase but also encourages other states to address what the Attorney General perceives as a regulatory gap left by federal authorities. Similarly, the New York Attorney General has initiated legal action to regulate transactions involving digital assets based on decentralized protocols as securities, further complicating the regulatory environment. Coinbase has faced cease-and-desist orders from four states, which demand the company halt its retail staking services. These orders are deemed by Coinbase as “legally unfounded and inconsistent.” Unified Framework For Digital Assets In light of these challenges, the letter to the DOJ calls for urgent federal intervention to establish broad preemption provisions. The crypto exchange argues that preemption has historically been an effective tool for addressing state interference in national markets, referencing past Congressional actions. Coinbase contends that the current patchwork of state regulations not only disrupts market efficiency but also leads to unequal access to cryptocurrency services based on geographic location. To remedy these issues, Coinbase advocates for Congress to adopt legislation that would exempt federally regulated digital assets from state blue-sky laws and clarify that state licensing requirements do not apply to crypto intermediaries. Additionally, the company urges the SEC to expedite rulemaking and provide clearer guidance on why digital asset transactions and services, including staking, should not be classified as securities. Such clarity would help prevent states from imposing conflicting regulations based on their interpretations of securities laws. Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com

In a situation of two-sided risks, there is no risk-free path. Treat the rate cut as a reduction in risk management. How should risky assets have reacted to Jerome Powell's rhetoric? Correct — with a roller coaster ride! Stocks initially surged, then plunged, but by the close of the trading session managed to recover their lost positions. The "bulls" lined up to buy the dip in the S&P 500 and were rewarded. After a nine-month pause, the Fed resumed its cycle of monetary easing. Markets expected this, but the fact that the FOMC forecasts pointed to two more federal funds rate cuts by the end of the year became a rally catalyst. Then came the classic "sell the fact after buying the rumor," and the S&P 500 sank to a weekly low. FOMC Rate Forecasts The broad stock index was disappointed to see only one dissenter within the Committee — Stephen Mirran. What about Trump's earlier appointees, Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman? Did they lose the beauty contest? The grand prize could have been the Fed chairmanship. Was the S&P 500 also upset that the September forecasts from FOMC officials included just two acts of monetary easing in 2025, one in 2026, and another in 2027? That implies a federal funds rate cut of 100 bps to 3.25%, not below 3% as the market had hoped — and not as quickly. In reality, there is no reason to despair. History shows that over the past 50 years, when the Fed lowered borrowing costs while the S&P 500 stood within 1% of a record high, in 13 out of 16 cases the broad index rose over the following six weeks. Combined with a still-strong U.S. economy, the bulls' intent to buy the dip in the S&P 500 looks logical. In its updated projections, the Fed raised GDP growth estimates for 2025 from 1.4% to 1.6% and for 2026 from 1.6% to 1.8%. The forecast for core inflation at year-end remained unchanged at 3.1%. Performance of U.S., European, and Chinese Stock Indexes The U.S. stock market looks solid and draws far more attention than its competitors. Despite gains in Chinese and European indexes, investors remain cautious on Asia due to the gradual effects of U.S. tariffs on exports and economies. In Europe, according to Goldman Sachs, there is skepticism regarding Germany's announced fiscal stimulus measures. Markets prefer to see implementation before committing. Thus, the continuation of the Fed's monetary easing cycle and weaker rivals allow the S&P 500 to look forward to an extended rally. Technically, on the daily chart, a doji bar with a long lower shadow was formed. More likely than not, the S&P 500 will move in the opposite direction of that shadow — upward. Therefore, a breakout above the doji bar's high near 6,625 will serve as a signal to increase previously established long positions from 6,570. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

During the Asian session, Bitcoin stopped just one step away from the 118,000 mark, although only yesterday, after the Federal Reserve's rate decision, BTC had updated the level of 114,800. Several factors drive this sharp rally: the continued inflow of institutional investors, rising interest from retail traders, and the Fed's ongoing monetary easing. Institutional players, who had previously shown caution, are likely to keep building positions in Bitcoin now that the Fed has confirmed its dovish stance, viewing BTC as a hedge against inflation and instability in traditional financial markets. Before the Fed's decision, the average daily BTC purchases by public companies stood at 1,428 BTC, the lowest since May this year. But after yesterday's meeting, this could change. Renewed demand may push BTC above 118,000, a key level separating the market from the path toward its all-time high near 124,500. However, if the price fails to hold above that barrier soon, a move down toward 100,000 will be almost guaranteed. With plenty of time before the Fed's October meeting, the market still has room to revisit 100K ahead of the next rate cut. For the intraday strategy, I will continue to rely on buying major dips in BTC and ETH, expecting the bullish market trend to extend in the medium term. For short-term trading, here are the scenarios: BitcoinBuy ScenarioScenario #1: I plan to buy Bitcoin today at an entry point near 117,400, targeting 119,200. Around 119,200, I will exit long positions and immediately sell on the rebound. Before buying on a breakout, make sure the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is above zero.Scenario #2: Buying is also possible from the lower boundary at 116,700 if there is no market reaction to its breakout, with upside targets at 117,400 and 119,200.Sell ScenarioScenario #1: I plan to sell Bitcoin today at an entry point near 116,700, targeting 115,100. Around 115,100, I will exit shorts and immediately buy on the rebound.Before selling on a breakout, make sure the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is below zero.Scenario #2: Selling is also possible from the upper boundary at 117,400 if there is no market reaction to its breakout, with downside targets at 116,700 and 115,100. EthereumBuy ScenarioScenario #1: I plan to buy Ethereum today at an entry point near 4,576, targeting 4,664. Around 4,664, I will exit long positions and immediately sell on the rebound.Before buying on a breakout, make sure the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is above zero.Scenario #2: Buying is also possible from the lower boundary at 4,537 if there is no market reaction to its breakout, with upside targets at 4,576 and 4,664.Sell ScenarioScenario #1: I plan to sell Ethereum today at an entry point near 4,537, targeting 4,460. Around 4,460, I will exit shorts and immediately buy on the rebound.Before selling on a breakout, make sure the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is below zero.Scenario #2: Selling is also possible from the upper boundary at 4,576 if there is no market reaction to its breakout, with downside targets at 4,537 and 4,460.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

The U.S. dollar initially lost ground against risk assets but quickly regained its position after Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech. Yesterday, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a quarter point. At first, the euro and the pound reacted with gains, but without clear hints from Powell on further aggressive rate cuts this year, the dollar sharply rebounded. The market had expected a stronger signal confirming the Fed's readiness to ease monetary policy. The lack of firm commitments disappointed traders who had counted on more aggressive measures to stimulate the economy. Uncertainty about the Fed's next steps pushed investors toward the dollar, traditionally seen as a safer asset in times of economic instability. Going forward, much will depend on the upcoming macroeconomic data. If inflation growth remains under control while the pace of economic expansion slows, the Fed may be forced to revisit the issue of additional rate cuts. Otherwise, maintaining current levels could become the central bank's priority. Today, the ECB's current account balance data and a speech by ECB President Christine Lagarde are expected. Traders will scrutinize any hints of a policy shift, though it is possible Lagarde will avoid the topic altogether. Overall, short-term prospects for the euro remain uncertain. For sustainable growth, the single currency will require supportive macroeconomic data and clear signals from the ECB on economic support. Without this, pressure on the euro may persist. As for the pound, the Bank of England will announce its key rate decision and release its monetary policy summary in the first half of the day. The British currency remains under pressure from concerns over the country's economic outlook. Inflation continues to rise above the target level, while growth momentum remains weak. Most economists expect the central bank to keep rates unchanged today. However, any hints at potential monetary easing could trigger a short-term sell-off in sterling. If the data matches economists' expectations, the Mean Reversion strategy is preferable. If the figures deviate significantly from forecasts, the Momentum strategy should be applied. Momentum Strategy (Breakout):EUR/USDBuy on a breakout above 1.1805, targets 1.1830 and 1.1870. Sell on a breakout below 1.1780, targets 1.1750 and 1.1725. GBP/USDBuy on a breakout above 1.3612, targets 1.3635 and 1.3667. Sell on a breakout below 1.3585, targets 1.3555 and 1.3525. USD/JPYBuy on a breakout above 147.45, targets 147.72 and 148.03. Sell on a breakout below 147.25, targets 147.00 and 146.70. Mean Reversion Strategy (Pullbacks): EUR/USDLook for selling opportunities after a failed breakout above 1.1833 and return below this level. Look for buying opportunities after a failed breakout below 1.1780 and return above this level. GBP/USDLook for selling opportunities after a failed breakout above 1.3636 and return below this level. Look for buying opportunities after a failed breakout below 1.3585 and return above this level. AUD/USDLook for selling opportunities after a failed breakout above 0.6660 and return below this level. Look for buying opportunities after a failed breakout below 0.6615 and return above this level. USD/CADLook for selling opportunities after a failed breakout above 1.3799 and return below this level. Look for buying opportunities after a failed breakout below 1.3765 and return above this level. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenThe test of 146.17 occurred when the MACD indicator had just started moving downward from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for selling the dollar. As a result, the pair fell by more than 40 pips. Yesterday's Fed decision to cut rates led to a temporary strengthening of the yen, but then demand for the dollar returned. The initial market reaction to the Fed's rate cut was predictable: the yen, traditionally seen as a safe-haven asset, strengthened. The key factor behind the subsequent reversal was the absence of clear signals from the Fed regarding future monetary policy. Traders hoping for stronger statements about continued easing did not receive them. In addition, Japan's own macroeconomic indicators and the Bank of Japan's policy continue to play an important role in yen dynamics. This morning, a weak report on machinery and equipment orders was released. The figure dropped sharply by 4.6%, weakening the yen against the U.S. dollar. This came as an unpleasant surprise for Japan's economy, which is already facing difficulties such as stagnant domestic demand and increased competition from other Asian countries. Analysts attribute the decline in orders to several factors: global economic uncertainty due to trade wars and geopolitical risks, as well as weak domestic demand caused by declining consumer confidence. As for the intraday strategy, I will focus more on implementing scenarios #1 and #2. Buy ScenarioScenario #1: I plan to buy USD/JPY today if the entry point around 147.66 (green line on the chart) is reached, targeting 148.70 (thicker green line). At 148.70, I intend to exit longs and immediately open shorts in the opposite direction, aiming for a 30–35 pip pullback. It is best to return to buying the pair on corrections and significant dips in USD/JPY. Important: Before buying, make sure the MACD indicator is above the zero line and just starting to rise from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to buy USD/JPY if the price tests 147.18 twice in a row while the MACD is in oversold territory. This will limit downside potential and trigger an upward reversal—expected targets: 147.66 and 148.70. Sell ScenarioScenario #1: I plan to sell USD/JPY only after breaking below 147.18 (red line on the chart), which should lead to a rapid decline. The key target for sellers will be 146.20, where I intend to exit shorts and immediately open longs in the opposite direction, aiming for a 20–25 pip rebound. It is always better to sell from higher levels. Important: Before selling, make sure the MACD indicator is below the zero line and just starting to decline from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to sell USD/JPY if the price tests 147.66 twice in a row while the MACD is in overbought territory. This will cap the upside potential and trigger a reversal downward—expected targets: 147.18 and 146.20. What's on the Chart:Thin green line – entry price at which the instrument can be bought. Thick green line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely. Thin red line – entry price at which the instrument can be sold. Thick red line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely. MACD indicator: When entering the market, it is important to refer to overbought and oversold areas. Important. Beginner forex traders should exercise extreme caution when making entry decisions. Before important fundamental reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid sharp price swings. If you decide to trade during the release of news, always use stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you don't use money management and trade large volumes. And remember: for successful trading, you need a clear trading plan, as I described above. Making spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation from moment to moment is a losing strategy for an intraday trader. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of 1.3660 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero line, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound. The Fed's decision to cut rates initially strengthened the pound, but demand for the dollar quickly returned. The market had expected more decisive action from the regulator, possibly clearer signals of further rate cuts in the near future. The absence of such guidance triggered a reassessment of risks and a return to more conservative strategies. The dollar, as a traditional safe-haven asset, once again drew investor interest amid concerns about global economic growth prospects. Today, in the first half of the day, the Bank of England's decision on the key interest rate and the monetary policy statement will be released. The central bank's likely maintenance of the current stance is unlikely to provide significant support for the pound. Ongoing concerns about the state of the British economy continue to weigh on the national currency. Most experts believe the central bank will leave the rate unchanged due to persistent risks. Market reaction, however, will depend on the BoE's rhetoric. If it expresses concern about inflation and signals readiness for a prolonged wait-and-see stance, the pound may receive temporary support. Otherwise, if the Bank takes no measures and provides no forward guidance, pressure on the pound could intensify. As for the intraday strategy, I will focus more on implementing scenarios #1 and #2. Buy ScenarioScenario #1: I plan to buy the pound today if the entry point around 1.3611 (green line on the chart) is reached, targeting 1.3667 (thicker green line). At 1.3667, I intend to exit longs and immediately open shorts in the opposite direction, aiming for a 30–35 pip pullback. A strong continuation of pound growth can be expected only in line with the ongoing upward trend. Important: Before buying, make sure the MACD indicator is above the zero line and just starting to rise from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to buy the pound if the price tests 1.3578 twice in a row while the MACD is in oversold territory. This will limit the downside potential and trigger an upward reversal. Targets will be 1.3611 and 1.3667. Sell ScenarioScenario #1: I plan to sell the pound after breaking below 1.3578 (red line on the chart), which should lead to a rapid decline. The key target for sellers will be 1.3524, where I intend to exit shorts and immediately open longs in the opposite direction, aiming for a 20–25 pip rebound. Sellers will step in if the BoE takes a very dovish stance. Important: Before selling, make sure the MACD indicator is below the zero line and just starting to decline from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to sell the pound if the price tests 1.3611 twice in a row while the MACD is in overbought territory. This will cap the upside potential and trigger a reversal downward—expected targets: 1.3578 and 1.3524. What's on the Chart:Thin green line – entry price at which the instrument can be bought. Thick green line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely. Thin red line – entry price at which the instrument can be sold. Thick red line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely. MACD indicator: When entering the market, it is important to refer to overbought and oversold areas. Important. Beginner forex traders should exercise extreme caution when making entry decisions. Before important fundamental reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid sharp price swings. If you decide to trade during the release of news, always use stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you don't use money management and trade large volumes. And remember: for successful trading, you need a clear trading plan, as I described above. Making spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation from moment to moment is a losing strategy for an intraday trader. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe test of 1.1864 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move upward from the zero line, which confirmed the correct entry point for buying the euro in line with the trend. As a result, the pair gained 50 pips. Yesterday's decision by the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 0.25% initially pushed the euro higher. However, since Fed Chair Powell did not provide clear, stronger guidance for further substantial monetary easing this year, the U.S. dollar quickly regained ground. Investors had hoped for a more decisive signal confirming the Fed's commitment to a dovish policy stance. The absence of firm promises disappointed market participants, who had been looking for stronger measures to stimulate the economy. Uncertainty about the Fed's future moves drove investors back into the dollar, which has historically been considered a safe-haven asset in times of economic instability. The euro's upward momentum is likely to remain constrained. Today, the ECB will publish its current account data, alongside a speech from ECB President Christine Lagarde. However, investors are unlikely to expect much, as Lagarde is not expected to touch on monetary policy. Overall, short-term forecasts for the pair remain negative. For a sustained euro recovery, encouraging macroeconomic indicators are needed; otherwise, pressure on the single currency will persist. As for the intraday strategy, I will focus more on implementing scenarios #1 and #2. Buy ScenarioScenario #1: Buy the euro at around 1.1805 (green line on the chart), targeting 1.1875. At 1.1875, I plan to exit long positions and sell immediately in the opposite direction, aiming for a 30–35 pip move down from the entry level. Buying should only be considered after strong economic data. Important: Before buying, ensure the MACD indicator is above the zero line and just starting to rise from it. Scenario #2: Another buying opportunity arises if the price tests 1.1774 twice in a row while the MACD is in oversold territory. This will limit the downside potential and trigger a reversal upward. Targets are 1.1805 and 1.1875. Sell ScenarioScenario #1: Sell the euro after the price reaches 1.1744 (red line on the chart). The target will be 1.1722, where I plan to exit shorts and buy in the opposite direction, aiming for a 20–25 pip rebound. Selling will gain momentum if economic data disappoints. Important: Before selling, ensure the MACD indicator is below the zero line and just starting to decline from it. Scenario #2: Another selling setup is if the price tests 1.1805 twice in a row while the MACD is in overbought territory. This will cap the upside potential and trigger a reversal downward. Targets will be 1.1774 and 1.1722. What's on the Chart:Thin green line – entry price at which the instrument can be bought. Thick green line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely. Thin red line – entry price at which the instrument can be sold. Thick red line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely. MACD indicator: When entering the market, it is important to refer to overbought and oversold areas. Important. Beginner forex traders should exercise extreme caution when making entry decisions. Before important fundamental reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid sharp price swings. If you decide to trade during the release of news, always use stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you don't use money management and trade large volumes. And remember: for successful trading, you need a clear trading plan, as I described above. Making spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation from moment to moment is a losing strategy for an intraday trader. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

On-chain data shows the Dogecoin whales have gone on a notable selling spree recently, potentially explaining the decline DOGE has seen since its $0.307 high. Dogecoin Whales Have Reduced Holdings By 680 Million Tokens In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has discussed about the latest trend in the Supply Distribution of the Dogecoin whales. The “Supply Distribution” here refers to an indicator from on-chain analytics firm Santiment that tells us about the total amount of the DOGE supply that a given wallet group is holding right now. Investors or addresses are divided into these cohorts based on the number of coins that they are currently carrying. For example, a holder with 5 DOGE is put into the 1 to 10 tokens bracket. In the context of the current topic, whales are the investors of interest. These entities are typically defined as those holding between 100 million to 1 billion DOGE. At the current exchange rate, the range’s lower end converts to $26.4 million, while the upper one to $264 million. Thus, only the holders that have a substantial amount of capital invested into the memecoin would qualify for this group. As such, the behavior of the cohort in the form of its Supply Distribution trend can be worth keeping an eye on, as if nothing else, it can inform us about the sentiment among DOGE’s most influential investors. Now, here is the chart shared by Martinez that shows how the Supply Distribution of the Dogecoin whales has changed over the last few weeks: As displayed in the above graph, the Supply Distribution of this Dogecoin group has witnessed a sharp decline over the past few days, indicating that its members have participated in some net selling. In total, the DOGE whales offloaded 680 million tokens (worth around $181 million) over a four-day span during this selloff. From the chart, it’s visible that the distribution began alongside DOGE’s recovery run to the $0.307 mark. As whales have continued to sell, the memecoin’s price has plunged, currently sitting around 13% down compared to the earlier high. The trend in the indicator could now be to monitor in the coming days, as what these humongous investors do next could also have an impact on the cryptocurrency’s value. Whales of Dogecoin aren’t the only ones that have participated in distribution recently. As the analyst has pointed out in another X post, XRP has also been facing selling pressure from its big-money investors. Over the last couple of weeks, XRP whales have shed 200 million tokens from their holdings, worth a total of $605.5 million at the current price. DOGE Price At the time of writing, Dogecoin is floating around $0.264, up 1.5% over the last 24 hours.

Wall Street Shows Mixed Results US stock markets closed with mixed dynamics on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve announced a widely anticipated rate cut of 25 basis points. Despite the predictable decision, remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell added uncertainty to the trading session. Labor Market Concerns Overtake Inflation Risks The central bank signaled that it plans to continue easing monetary policy gradually through the end of the year. Policymakers emphasized growing weakness in the labor market, which they now view as a more pressing challenge than inflation. The Fed's forecast includes two additional quarter-point cuts in the coming months. Market Reaction Against this backdrop, the Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced by 260 points, or 0.57 percent, closing at 46,018.32. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 edged down by 0.10 percent to 6,600.35, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq fell 0.32 percent, finishing at 22,261.33. Political and Personnel Moves On Tuesday, Stephen Miran was sworn in as the new head of the Federal Reserve. At the same time, a US appeals court rejected President Donald Trump's attempt to dismiss Fed governor Lisa Cook. Nvidia Hit by Chinese Pressure Nvidia weighed on the Nasdaq after its shares slid 2.6 percent. The drop followed reports that China's internet regulator instructed major domestic tech firms to purchase all available AI chips produced by the US semiconductor giant. Investors Stir the Market Shares of Workday jumped 7.2 percent after news broke that activist hedge fund Elliott Management had acquired more than 2 billion dollars worth of stock in the human resources software provider. Lyft Surges, Uber Slides Lyft shares climbed 13.1 percent following reports that Waymo, Alphabet's self-driving unit, will launch autonomous taxis in Nashville next year in partnership with the ride-hailing company. Rival Uber, meanwhile, saw its stock drop 5 percent. Market Uncertainty After Fed's Move Global markets on Thursday showed signs of turbulence after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates for the first time this year. The central bank stressed a cautious approach to further easing, leaving investors uncertain about the pace of upcoming policy steps. Mixed Signals in Asia The MSCI index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan slipped 0.1 percent, pressured by losses in Australia and New Zealand, while Chinese equities fluctuated between gains and losses. Still, some markets advanced: South Korea's benchmark rose 0.8 percent, Taiwan's gained 0.4 percent, and Japan's Nikkei 225 added 1 percent. Euro Holds Near Multi-Year High The euro traded steadily around 1.181 dollars, after briefly spiking to 1.19185 dollars — its strongest level since June 2021 — in response to the Fed's statement. China Resists Following the Fed The Chinese yuan traded around 7.103 per dollar on Thursday after the People's Bank of China chose to keep borrowing costs on seven-day reverse repos unchanged. The decision signaled a refusal to mirror the Federal Reserve's latest policy shift. Sterling Retreats The British pound slipped 0.1 percent to 1.3621 dollars, pulling back from Wednesday's brief rally to 1.3726, the highest level since early July. The Bank of England is set to announce its policy decision later on Thursday, with markets largely expecting the rate to remain at 4 percent. Fed Cut Odds Rise Sharply Traders increased their bets on another Federal Reserve rate cut in October. According to CME Group's FedWatch tool, the probability of a quarter-point reduction has risen to 87.7 percent, compared with 74.3 percent just a day earlier. Canada Moves to Lower Rates The Bank of Canada reduced its key rate by 25 basis points to 2.5 percent on Wednesday, marking the lowest level in three years and the first cut in six months. Policymakers also signaled readiness to ease further if economic risks intensify in the coming months. New Zealand Hit by Recession Fears New Zealand's S&P NZX 50 index fell 0.9 percent after data revealed a sharper-than-expected economic contraction in the second quarter. The New Zealand dollar weakened by 0.7 percent against its US counterpart. Treasuries Strengthen Again After a pullback the previous day, the US bond market regained momentum. The yield on ten-year Treasury notes eased to 4.0718 percent compared with 4.076 percent at Wednesday's close. Short-Term Yields Edge Higher Two-year Treasury yields, often viewed as a barometer of expectations for Federal Reserve policy, inched up to 3.5385 percent. The modest rise reflects traders' caution about the potential direction of interest rates. Gold Rebounds from Dip Gold prices advanced by 0.1 percent to 3662.33 dollars per ounce, recovering slightly after Wednesday's retreat that followed a fresh all-time high. Oil Prices Retreat Crude oil slipped lower, with Brent futures down 0.5 percent to 67.62 dollars a barrel. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

[XPD/USD] – [Thursday, September 18, 2025] The appearance of a Hidden Bearish Divergence, coupled with the two EMAs crossing with a Death Cross, indicates that Palladium has the potential to weaken against the USD today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 1217.46 2. Resistance. 1 : 1187.50 3. Pivot : 1164.38 4. Support. 1 : 1134.42 5. Support. 2: 1111.30 Tactical Scenario Pressure Prone Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 1134.42, there is potential for continued weakness to 1111.30. Momentum Extension Bias: If 1111.30 is successfully broken and closes below it, there is potential for continued weakness to 1081.34. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision Downside bias is maintained if the XPD/USD price suddenly strengthens and breaks through and closes above 1217.46. Technical Summary EMA(50): 1166.65 EMA(200): 1182.49 RSI(14): 52.39 + Hidden Bearish Divergence Economic News Release Agenda: The following economic data will be released from the United States tonight: US - Unemployment Claims - 19L30 WIB US - Philly Fed Manufacturing Index - 19:30 WIB US - CB Leading Index m/m - 21:00 WIB US - Natural Gas Storage - 21:30 WIB The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

[Nasdaq 100 Index] – [Thursday, September 18, 2025] The Nasdaq 100 Index has the potential to strengthen today, as confirmed by its two EMAs intersecting in a Golden Cross, and the RSI position in the Neutral Bullish zone and exhibiting Bullish Divergence with its price movement. Key Levels 1. Resistance 2: 24483.4 2. Resistance 1: 24358.7 3. Pivot: 24173.9 4. Support 1: 24049.2 5. Support 2: 23864.4 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the Nasdaq 100 index strengthens and closes above 24358.7, it has the potential to continue strengthening to 24483.4. Momentum Extension Bias: If 24483.4 is successfully broken and closes above it, there is the potential for a test of 24668.2. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision Upside bias weakens when the #NDX price weakens and closes below 23864.4. Technical Summary EMA(50): 24275.5 EMA(200): 24174.5 RSI(14): 67.34 + Bullish Divergent Economic News Release Agenda: Tonight, the following economic data will be released from the United States: US - Unemployment Claims - 19L30 WIB US - Philly Fed Manufacturing Index - 19:30 WIB US - CB Leading Index m/m - 21:00 WIB US - Natural Gas Storage - 21:30 WIB The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Macroeconomic Report Analysis: There are very few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Thursday, and none of them are significant. The most important reports this week have already been released in the U.K., while at the end of the week, traders will be entirely focused on the meetings of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. The Fed announced the results of its meeting yesterday evening, but throughout today, both currency pairs may remain under the pressure of that event. The Fed meeting will overlap with today's BoE meeting, which will undoubtedly keep the key rate unchanged, but at the same time could trigger either a rise or a decline in the pound, as the market will pay attention to the distribution of votes on the rate decision. Fundamental Events Analysis: Among Thursday's fundamental events, another speech by ECB President Christine Lagarde can be noted. Lagarde has already spoken twice this week, and in both cases, she did not touch on monetary policy at all. The European Central Bank meeting took place last week, so all the information the market needed has already been provided. The key event today is the BoE meeting. Its outcome will determine the dynamics of the British currency during the day. General Conclusions:On this penultimate trading day of the week, both currency pairs may resume upward movement, but new buy signals are required for this to happen. The euro can be traded today from the 1.1808 level, while trading the pound sterling should depend on the outcome of the BoE meeting. Until this important fundamental event, we would not recommend entering the market, as the reaction could be unpredictable—no one can know in advance what information the British central bank will provide. Key Rules for the Trading System:Signal Strength: The shorter the time it takes for a signal to form (a rebound or breakout), the stronger the signal.False Signals: If two or more trades near a level result in false signals, subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.Flat Markets: In flat conditions, pairs may generate many false signals or none at all. It's better to stop trading at the first signs of a flat market.Trading Hours: Open trades between the start of the European session and the middle of the US session, then manually close all trades.MACD Signals: On the hourly timeframe, trade MACD signals only during periods of good volatility and a clear trend confirmed by trendlines or trend channels.Close Levels: If two levels are too close (5–20 pips apart), treat them as a support or resistance zone. Stop Loss: Set a Stop Loss to breakeven after the price moves 15–20 pips in the desired direction.Key Chart Elements:Support and Resistance Levels: These are target levels for opening or closing positions and can also serve as points for placing Take Profit orders. Red Lines: Channels or trendlines indicating the current trend and the preferred direction for trading. MACD Indicator (14,22,3): A histogram and signal line used as a supplementary source of trading signals. Important Events and Reports: Found in the economic calendar, these can heavily influence price movements. Exercise caution or exit the market during their release to avoid sharp reversals. Forex trading beginners should remember that not every trade will be profitable. Developing a clear strategy and practicing proper money management are essential for long-term trading success. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

After failing to hit a new all-time high (ATH) of $5,000 in August 2025, Ethereum (ETH) may finally be ready to breach the psychologically important price level. A decline in Binance open interest suggests that ETH is likely close to a local bottom, ready for its next leg up. Ethereum Open Interest Declines, Is Local Bottom Close? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor burakkesmeci, Ethereum may be nearing a local bottom. The analyst referred to the Binance ETH open interest (OI) hourly timeframe metric for their analysis. In their analysis, burakkesmeci noted that according to the Binance ETH OI metric, local bottoms have formed with an average decline of 14.9% over the past three months. On the spot market side, these corrections have typically resulted in an average 10.7% decline. The analyst said that drops in ETH OI have usually signaled spot price corrections ahead of time. For example, on August 17, the Binance ETH OI decreased from $11.4 billion to $10.2 billion, representing a 10.52% drop. Similarly, on August 20, the Binance ETH OI tumbled from $13 billion to $9.7 billion, a correction of 25.38%. The latest major tumble in Binance ETH OI was observed on September 13, when it crashed from $11.39 billion to $10.4 billion. The analyst concluded: So, we can say this: when spot price rallies are supported by the futures side, the trend progresses more healthily – just like a plane flying with two wings. In the opposite scenario, OI signals potential corrections. Binance ETH OI (measured on the highest-volume exchange, acting as a leading indicator) gives us a chance to catch local bottoms early. The analyst added that based on the recent trends, it can be speculated that the Binance ETH OI may dwindle to $9.69 billion. It also suggests that ETH is currently in the local bottom zone. However, the ETH price may fall further before it finds its local bottom. Is ETH Eyeing $6,800? Meanwhile, fellow CryptoQuant analyst, PelinayPA, noted that Fund Market Premium (FMP) has remained mostly neutral or positive between July and September 2025 – indicating renewed institutional demand. Over the same period, ETH has surged from $2,500 to $4,400. For the uninitiated, the FMP in Ethereum’s context measures the price gap between futures contracts and the spot market. Currently, with positive premiums dominating, the market is showing strong institutional support for ETH. PelinayPA added: This environment could help Ethereum maintain stability above $4.4K and potentially sustain further upside momentum. Major target $6,8K. In addition, ETH exchange reserves continue to deplete at a rapid pace. Recent analysis by another CryptoQuant contributor named Arab Chain forecasted ETH to touch $5,500 in September. That said, the current pause in ETH’s rally remains a point of concern. At press time, ETH trades at $4,491, up 0.8% in the past 24 hours.

Wednesday Trade Review:1H Chart of GBP/USD The GBP/USD pair on Wednesday showed movements similar to those of the EUR/USD pair. In the morning, the U.K. released an important inflation report, but its significance turned out to be as "bland" as other reports this week. Traders barely noticed it. Inflation in the U.K. remained at 3.8%, which will not affect today's Bank of England decision in any way. The British central bank will, without question, keep monetary policy parameters unchanged, and the main intrigue lies in how the votes of Monetary Policy Committee members will be distributed in the rate decision. Even if the BoE meeting turns out more "dovish" than expected, the pound may fall slightly, but the global uptrend will not be cancelled. At present, the dollar has accumulated so many global fundamental negatives that it could continue to decline for several more years. Donald Trump is regularly adding to this negative background for the U.S. currency. 5M Chart of GBP/USD On the 5-minute TF on Wednesday, several trading signals were formed. First, the pair either bounced from or broke through the 1.3643–1.3652 area from top to bottom, and then moved back in the opposite direction. The first signal was false, while the second could have generated profit if novice traders managed to close long positions in the 10 minutes after the Fed's announcement, during which the pair rallied sharply. How to Trade on Thursday:On the hourly TF, GBP/USD continues its uptrend, while on higher TFs it shows signs of resuming the "2025 trend." As mentioned before, we see no grounds for medium-term dollar growth, so we expect further strengthening of the British currency. In the next 24 hours, market movements may be volatile and erratic. While the price remains above the trendline, the uptrend is intact. On Thursday, the GBP/USD pair may well resume its upward advance, as the price remains above the trendline. However, for the second day in a row, the fundamental background will exert a strong influence on market sentiment. On the 5-minute TF, trading can be based on the following levels: 1.3102–1.3107, 1.3203–1.3211, 1.3259, 1.3329–1.3331, 1.3413–1.3421, 1.3466–1.3475, 1.3529–1.3543, 1.3574–1.3590, 1.3643–1.3652, 1.3682, 1.3763. On Thursday, the BoE will announce its policy decision, which could impact both the pound and the euro. From a technical standpoint, the pair's growth may resume, but a more "dovish" vote on rates could trigger another decline in the British pound. Core Trading System Rules:Signal Strength: The shorter the time it takes for a signal to form (a rebound or breakout), the stronger the signal.False Signals: If two or more trades near a level result in false signals, subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.Flat Markets: In flat conditions, pairs may generate many false signals or none at all. It's better to stop trading at the first signs of a flat market.Trading Hours: Open trades between the start of the European session and the middle of the US session, then manually close all trades.MACD Signals: On the hourly timeframe, trade MACD signals only during periods of good volatility and a clear trend confirmed by trendlines or trend channels.Close Levels: If two levels are too close (5–20 pips apart), treat them as a support or resistance zone.Stop Loss: Set a Stop Loss to breakeven after the price moves 20 pips in the desired direction.Key Chart Elements:Support and Resistance Levels: These are target levels for opening or closing positions and can also serve as points for placing Take Profit orders. Red Lines: Channels or trendlines indicating the current trend and the preferred direction for trading. MACD Indicator (14,22,3): A histogram and signal line used as a supplementary source of trading signals. Important Events and Reports: Found in the economic calendar, these can heavily influence price movements. Exercise caution or exit the market during their release to avoid sharp reversals. Forex trading beginners should remember that not every trade will be profitable. Developing a clear strategy and practicing proper money management are essential for long-term trading success. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Wednesday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD The EUR/USD pair traded on Wednesday fully in line with the fundamental background. For almost the entire day, market movements were ultra-weak, as traders awaited the results of the Fed meeting and Jerome Powell's press conference. All other events of the day were irrelevant, even though another set of weak U.S. reports was published — this time in the construction sector. After the Fed's decision was announced, "fireworks" began. As we warned, volatility increased, and the price moved in both directions. First, the dollar dropped 70 pips in 10 minutes, then strengthened by 100 pips over the next several hours. Today, it may well return to its starting positions around 1.1851, as the Fed delivered the most basic and widely expected scenario. That is why we always say that an event like the Fed meeting should be analyzed with conclusions drawn about a day later, once the emotional moves settle. 5M Chart of EUR/USD On the 5-minute TF on Wednesday, there was no sense in entering the market. If a good signal had formed in the first half of the day, it could have been traded, and before the Fed meeting, a Stop Loss could have been placed at breakeven. However, no good signals appeared. The only thing that beginner traders could have worked with was the consolidation below 1.1851 during the European session. How to Trade on Thursday:On the hourly timeframe, EUR/USD still has every chance to continue its uptrend despite yesterday's drop. The fundamental and macroeconomic background for the U.S. dollar remains negative, so we still do not expect the U.S. currency to strengthen. In our view, as before, the dollar can only count on technical corrections. The Fed meeting did not change the dollar's outlook in any way. On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair may resume its upward movement, since the trend remains bullish. From the 1.1808 level (if a rebound occurs), long positions may be opened with targets at 1.1851 and 1.1908. Short positions will become relevant if the price consolidates below 1.1808, with a target at 1.1737–1.1745. On the 5-minute TF, the following levels should be considered: 1.1354–1.1363, 1.1413, 1.1455–1.1474, 1.1527, 1.1571–1.1584, 1.1655–1.1666, 1.1737–1.1745, 1.1808, 1.1851, 1.1908, 1.1970–1.1988. On Thursday, another speech by Christine Lagarde is scheduled in the Eurozone, but it will have no significance for traders. In the U.S., there will be only a secondary jobless claims report. Today, all market attention will be focused on the Bank of England meeting. Core Trading System Rules:Signal Strength: The shorter the time it takes for a signal to form (a rebound or breakout), the stronger the signal.False Signals: If two or more trades near a level result in false signals, subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.Flat Markets: In flat conditions, pairs may generate many false signals or none at all. It's better to stop trading at the first signs of a flat market.Trading Hours: Open trades between the start of the European session and the middle of the US session, then manually close all trades.MACD Signals: On the hourly timeframe, trade MACD signals only during periods of good volatility and a clear trend confirmed by trendlines or trend channels.Close Levels: If two levels are too close (5–20 pips apart), treat them as a support or resistance zone.Stop Loss: Set a Stop Loss to breakeven after the price moves 15 pips in the desired direction.Key Chart Elements:Support and Resistance Levels: These are target levels for opening or closing positions and can also serve as points for placing Take Profit orders. Red Lines: Channels or trendlines indicating the current trend and the preferred direction for trading. MACD Indicator (14,22,3): A histogram and signal line used as a supplementary source of trading signals. Important Events and Reports: Found in the economic calendar, these can heavily influence price movements. Exercise caution or exit the market during their release to avoid sharp reversals. Forex trading beginners should remember that not every trade will be profitable. Developing a clear strategy and practicing proper money management are essential for long-term trading success. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Early in the European session, the euro is trading around 1.1813 following a technical correction after the price reached a new high around 1.1917. The euro has been trading within an upward trend channel since early August. Yesterday, during the American session, the EUR/USD pair reached the top of this channel around 1.1917. From this level, we observe a technical correction so that the instrument could continue its fall in the coming days until it reaches the 8/8 Murray support at 1.1718. If the euro finds support around the 21 SMA at 1.1798, this could be seen as an opportunity to resume long positions with targets at 1.1880 and 1.1900. Below the 21 SMA, the euro could undergo a rapid correction to reach the bottom of the uptrend channel around 1.1700. Given that the euro has reached levels of 1.1690, it is likely that the technical correction will continue in the coming days, and we could even expect a trend reversal if the price settles below 1.1690. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Gold, following the release of the Fed's interest rate decision, made a strong upward move, reaching a new ATH around $3,707. From this level, gold began a technical correction and subsequently bounced within the downtrend channel. The technical correction is likely to continue in the coming days, pushing the price down to the 200 EMA around $3,634. As long as the gold price consolidates below $3,671, it will be seen as an opportunity for short positions, as the 7/8 Murray is located in this area, now acting as resistance. We could expect the price to reach $3,652, and possibly even reach the $3,640 level. Gold could find good support around $3,630. This level represents a good point for long positions, as the Eagle indicator shows oversold levels. Therefore, we could look for buying opportunities in the coming days if gold rebounds above $3,634. Conversely, if gold consolidates above $3,671, it could continue its rise until it reaches the 61.8% Fibonacci level around $3,685. The price could even reach the psychological level of $3,700. The key level to watch in the coming days is the $3,670 area. Strong bearish pressure could occur below this level. Above this level, we could expect a recovery in gold. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

GBP/USD The British pound reached its target — the upper boundary of the global descending price channel — and even pierced it with its upper shadow (weekly chart). Now the price may well retreat from such strong resistance. If the outcome of today's Bank of England meeting aligns with this expected pullback, a medium-term decline could develop. Here, the key level to watch is the MACD line around 1.3395. On the daily chart, the price reversed downward at the 8th Fibonacci time line. The Marlin oscillator is pointing down from the upper boundary of its range, suggesting the price may attempt to work out the nearest support at 1.3525, which the MACD line has already touched from above. On the four-hour chart, the price consolidated below 1.3631 but remains above the indicator lines. The Marlin oscillator is holding within the range, but already in negative territory, showing readiness to exit downward. The nearest target is 1.3555 along the MACD line, followed by price support at 1.3525. The pair may consolidate within the 1.3525/55 range. Since no changes in monetary policy are expected at today's Bank of England meeting, the national currency is unlikely to receive support. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com