-
Total de itens
7137 -
Registro em
-
Última visita
-
Dias Ganhos
2
Tipo de Conteúdo
Perfis
Fóruns
Market Outlook
Tudo que Redator postou
-
Anfield Energy to become latest uranium play on NASDAQ
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Anfield Energy’s Shootaring Canyon Mill project in southeast Utah. Credit: Anfield Energy Anfield Energy (TSXV: AEC) has been approved to for listing on the NASDAQ, with trading set to begin on Sept. 18 under the symbol “AEC”. Its OTC-listed shares will then cease trading, while its Canadian-listed stock will continue to trade under the same symbol. The company applied for the NASDAQ listing in April 2025, seeking to leverage its US-based uranium asset base at a time when domestic production of the nuclear fuel is falling short of anticipated demand. “With all of Anfield’s assets located in the United States, and with the United States having the largest installed nuclear reactor base worldwide – but producing less than 1% of required uranium – we believe the company is well positioned to attract additional US investor interest as a potential near-term uranium producer,” Anfield’s CEO Corey Dias stated at the time of application. “The listing will both elevate our profile in the United States and provide greater visibility and exposure to a broader institutional and retail investor base,” Dias reiterated in a press release issued Wednesday. The listing approval sent Anfield Energy’s Toronto-listed shares 13% higher by midday, with a market capitalization of approximately C$134 million ($97 million). Emerging US producer Anfield currently has over 20 uranium assets in its pipeline across the Western US. The closest to production is the Velvet-Wood project in Utah, which the US government had selected for fast-tracked permitting as part of the Trump administration’s efforts to boost domestic production of critical minerals. Located about 200 miles (322 km) south of Salt Lake City, the proposed mine comprises two separate areas that together hold 4.6 million lb. of uranium oxide equivalent (eU3O8) in the measured and indicated category, plus 552,000 lb. in the inferred category. Most of the work at the mine is expected to take place underground, targeting known mineral deposits left from earlier operations. In Wednesday’s release, CEO Dias confirmed that the company is pushing to start mine construction at Velvet-Wood in 2025. The project obtained environmental approval in May, becoming the first to be greenlit under a compressed 14-day review timeline. Elsewhere in Utah, Anfield also intends to reopen the Shootaring Canyon uranium mill, situated to the west of Velvet-Wood about 48 miles (77 km) south of Hanksville. The facility is one of only three licensed, permitted and constructed uranium mills in the US, and had a brief period of production during the 1980s. Both Shootaring Canyon and Velvet-Wood were acquired together by Anfield in 2015 from Uranium One. -
B2Gold (TSX:BTO) (NYSE AMERICAN: BTG) is open to mergers and acquisitions but may hold off until 2026, when management expects the market to assign greater value to its fully ramped-up Goose mine in Nunavut and the Fekola Regional project in Mali, President and CEO Clive Johnson said this week at Forum Americas in Colorado Springs. Johnson’s comments come as B2Gold joins a sector seeing a surge of deal-making in 2025, with Australian and Canadian miners driving consolidation. Recent transactions include Equinox Gold’s merger with Calibre Mining, Northern Star’s purchase of De Grey Mining, and Torex Gold’s acquisition of Prime Mining. Analysts at Jefferies noted on Wednesday that B2Gold may be waiting until its shares are re-rated higher before pursuing any transactions. The company said this week its Goose project had poured first gold in June, with commercial production expected in the coming weeks. B2Gold now forecasts 2025 output from Goose at 80,000 to 110,000 ounces, down from earlier guidance of 120,000 to 150,000 ounces, citing crushing plant capacity issues. Fourth-quarter production at Goose is expected at 70,000 ounces. Production is still forecast at 250,000 ounces in 2026, rising to 330,000 ounces in 2027. Over its first six years, Goose is expected to average 300,000 ounces annually. At the Fekola mine in Mali, production has exceeded budgeted levels in the first half of 2025, B2Gold said. The mine recently began underground ore output, while the company anticipates an exploitation permit for the Fekola Regional project by the end of the third quarter. Gold production is expected in early 2026, ramping up to 180,000 ounces a year. Elsewhere, the Otjikoto and Masbate mines outperformed expectations in the third quarter. B2Gold has approved development of the Antelope underground deposit at Otjikoto, cutting pre-production capital costs to $105 million from an earlier estimate of $129 million. Antelope is expected to begin contributing to output in 2026–27, lifting Otjikoto’s production by about 110,000 ounces annually over the life of the mine.
-
Log in to our mid-week North American Markets overview, where we examine the current themes in North America and provide an overview of indices and currency performances. This week finally lands some fundamental change for the currency space, and this will influence Markets for the time to come. After North American Central Banks holding due to tariffs uncertainty, the latest round of data provided what they needed for their decision-making: The Bank of Canada cuts its main rate to 2.50% after its last cut in March 2025. The change in policy reflects mounting evidence of economic weakness — Canadian GDP keeps contracting with the Q2 numbers and August saw a steep 60K job loss, underlining a still deteriorating labor market. Tariffs on key exports pressured growth leaving no choice for Macklem and the BoC to cut – this comes particularly as Macklem puts less emphasis on inflationary pressures. You can access his statement right here. Governor Tiff Macklem is actually speaking as I write this piece, and the speech is dovish/pessimistic on the Canadian Economy. Also check out our most recent piece on the data right here. The Federal Reserve is now expected to follow suit, with labor market cracks showing in the two most recent NFP releases – Despite US Inflation still elevated, Powell's August shift at the Jackson Hole speech indicated a switch in the FED's narrative (and added pressure from the Trump Administration). Furthermore, with the negative PPI print and a not-too-hot CPI, the green light is here for the FED to start cutting. With the sudden new balance of doves in the FED with Miran entering the meeting just before its start and Lisa Cook not being part of the meeting, an expected more dovish dot plot led to a huge selloff in the US Dollar, particularly as pre-meeting hedging accelerated. Read More:Access technical levels for major FX pairs ahead of the FOMC rate decisionFed (FOMC) Meeting Preview: 25 bps Cut Appears Baked In, Forward Guidance Is Key. Implications for the DXY, Dow Jones and S&P 500Guide to the FOMC statement and September SEP: Key takeaways and what to watch Let's dive right into a few charts to get an overview on North American Markets, from US and Canadian equity Markets performance, USD and CAD performance to USDCAD and DXY charts. North-American Indices Performance North American Top Indices performance since last Monday – September 17, 2025 – Source: TradingView North-American indices are still ravaging their way higher without leaving much space for bears. The ongoing rallies are particularly impressive when looking at other indices, particularly in Europe (Yellow) which struggled quite a lot in the past 1.5 week. The TSX left its throne for the Nasdaq which has been performing sensationally – We will see what was the effect of the most recent Bank of Canada rate cut for the TSX. There is an ongoing profit-taking move in Equities right ahead of the FOMC that is to be monitored! Dollar Index 8H Chart Dollar Index 8H Chart, September 17, 2025 – Source: TradingView As detailed in the chart published in our pre-FOMC FX technical level analysis, the Dollar Index freshly broke its August consolidation range and has stopped its free-fall just before its 2025 yearly lows (96.53 vs 96.23 July 1st lows). I also invite you to check out our most-recent DXY analysis to get further information on why the greenback moved so much these past few sessions. Levels to watch for the Dollar Index: Support Levels: 2025 Lows Major support 96.50 to 97.00Early 2022 Conslidation just below 96.0095.00 Key SupportResistance Levels: Range support now Pivot 97.50 (immediate resistance)98.00 higher timeframe PivotCurrent range Extreme resistance 98.50100.00 Main resistance zoneUS Dollar Mid-Week Performance vs Majors USD vs other Majors, September 17, 2025 - Source: TradingView. As seen through the DXY chart, the US Dollar throughout the past two weeks but the beating accelerated throughout the beginning of this week particularly. The Australian Dollar, Kiwi and Swissie are the two winners of the USD downfall but it seems that there is an ongoing (small) mean-reversion move. 1.5% to 2% move ranges are still huge, particularly in a precedently slow FX Market. Canadian Dollar Mid-Week Performance vs Majors CAD vs other Majors, September 17, 2025 - Source: TradingView. The CAD also took a beating since the release of the Canadian Employment figures as seen in the past week Mid-Week report. Saved by an even lower US Dollar, the Loonie has started to form some type of intermediate bottom despite the dovishness from Macklem – The Canadian Dollar is still at its cycle lows against all European currencies and depreciating also against the JPY, however the latter is a bit more balanced as of late. Intraday Technical Levels for the USD/CAD USDCAD 4H Chart, September 17, 2025 – Source: TradingView Even with the dovish Bank of Canada, the CAD is holding decently strong in today's session – It seems that after the terrible employment data, the beating that the Loonie took priced this exact dovishness as can be seen in the current hesitant upward candle (gravestone doji). Maybe a Sell the fact is taking place for the USDCAD? We will see after the FOMC what happens – I would look at EURUSD or the DXY also to see if USD weakness continues. Levels to place on your USDCAD charts: Resistance Levels BoC highs 1.37721.38 Handle +/- 150 pips1.3850 to 1.3860 Main resistance1.3925 Aug 22 highsSupport Levels Key longer-term pivot turned support 1.3750 (currently testing)1.3660 intermediate support1.3550 Main 2025 SupportUS and Canada Economic Calendar for the Rest of the Week US and Canadian Data for the rest of the week, MarketPulse Economic Calendar This ongoing session is huge and still far from over! The BoC rate decision (09:45 ET) and press conference just concluded with the as expected rate cut to 2.50%, pretty bearish on the Canadian economy but the CAD is holding well (for now). In about 2.5 hours, the spotlight shifts to the Fed at 14:00 ET, with the rate decision, economic projections, and dot plot, capped by Powell’s press conference at 14:30 ET. So much will be on the line for this FED Meeting which will keep Markets occupied for the entire session and upcoming weeks. The rest of the week has less on its plate: On Thursday, focus moves back to the U.S. labor market with the usual weekly jobless claims and the Philly Fed survey at 08:30 ET. Energy traders will also watch the EIA natural gas storage change at 10:30 ET. Friday closes with Canada’s Retail Sales (MoM, Jul), offering another read on consumer resilience or lack thereof. The Bank of Canada now expects a decent rebound towards the end of the year or should keep cutting rates. Watch the data closely (Retail sales actually was one of the better Canadian data and will have to hold). Safe Trades in preparation of the FOMC! Follow Elior on Twitter/X for Additional Market News, interactions and Insights @EliorManier Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.
-
BHP to shutter Australia coal mine, lay off 750 workers
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
BHP (ASX, NYSE LSE: BHP) plans to close its Saraji South joint venture coal mine in Australia and lay off about 750 workers amid weak coal prices and high royalties in Queensland, media including the Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC) and The Wall Street Journal reported. Saraji is among five steelmaking coal mines operated in Queensland by BMA, a 50-50 joint venture between BHP and Mitsubishi Development Industry, Australia’s largest exporter of steelmaking coal. Saraji, located near the central Queensland town of Dysart, is to be shuttered in November. The state government’s coal tax has seen BMA pay A$0.67 for every dollar in royalties, or about eight times what the company made in profit, which is unsustainable, BMA President Adam Lancey said in a video posted Wednesday on The Australian’s website. BHP also plans to review its FutureFit mining training academy in Mackay, Queensland. The state’s deputy premier Jarrod Bleijie criticized that decision as “un-Australian,” saying the company should continue investing in young people who aspire to work in the mining sector, ABC News reported. The closure and layoffs mark the second significant set of downsizings by BHP in Australia in almost a year. In October, the company temporarily suspended its nickel operations in Western Australia due to low prices and oversupply. BHP shares fell 1.1% to A$40.31 apiece on Wednesday in Sydney, for a market capitalization of A$204.73 billion. The stock has traded in a 12-month range of A$33.25 to A$46.23. Spokespeople for BHP didn’t immediately respond to a message from The Northern Miner Wednesday seeking comment on the mine closing. Coal down 40% Steelmaking coal traded for $101.75 per ton on Wednesday, according to Trading Economics. Coal has lost about 40% of its value since 2023, when the price averaged $400 per ton, amid weak demand in Europe and parts of Asia. The Saraji Complex produced about 8.1 million metric tons of coal over the 12-month period until June, though Saraji South represents only a small part of the JV’s total output. Its closing might therefore have minimal impact on BMA’s fiscal 2026 or medium-term production, the WSJ said. Coal prices have also proved challenging for other producers in Queensland. Bowen Coking Coal said in July it would put its Burton Mine Complex into administration after its request to defer royalties to Queensland was rejected. ‘Unviable’ coal production Janette Hewson, CEO of industry group the Queensland Resources Council, has urged the state to change its royalty rates, which, combined with low prices are making coal production “unviable.” However, Bleijie said his party had pledged before it was elected last year to not change the royalty structure, the WSJ reported. -
enCore wins EPA backing to advance Dewey Burdock permitting
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
A major roadblock was cleared for enCore Energy’s (NASDAQ, TSXV: EU) Dewey Burdock in-situ recovery (ISR) uranium project in South Dakota after the US Environmental Protection Agency waived off a petition by local communities challenging its permitting decisions. In a press release issued on Wednesday, the company said the EPA environmental appeals board has dismissed a petition for review filed by the Oglala Sioux Tribe, Black Hills Clean Water Alliance and NDN Collective against its issuance of the project’s Class III and Class V underground injection control (UIC) permits, which are essential to the ISR operation. This decision, says enCore, allows the Dewey Burdock project to advance through federal permitting with the intent to commence state permitting activities in 2025, accelerating its development ahead of schedule. The project, which seeks to tap into nearly 25 million lb. of uranium oxide (U₃O₈) in resources, has been tied up in regulatory review and litigation for more than a decade, including challenges before both the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) and the EPA. The latest petition concerns alleged violations of the Safe Drinking Water Act, the Administrative Procedure Act and the National Historic Preservation Act, which the EPA denies. With the EPA ruling, the Dewey Burdock project now has all major federal authorizations to proceed with permitting, including the NRC source materials license (2014) and EPA UIC permits (2020), which the company says are final and effective. “This decision by the EAB affirms the validity of the permits and the integrity of the regulatory process following years of administrative and judicial review. The Dewey Burdock project is part of enCore’s US production pipeline, and today’s decision provides the certainty needed to continue advancing toward development,” stated Robert Willette, acting CEO of enCore Energy. With its permitting status solidified, enCore Energy’s share price shot up 3.4% to $2.60 on the NASDAQ by midday, giving the Texas-based uranium producer a market capitalization of $483.6 million. Fast-tracked project The EPA decision comes weeks after Dewey Burdock was added to the FAST-41 program, which the Trump administration is using to fast-track federal permitting for key critical minerals projects in the US. A preliminary economic assessment assumes that the permitting and licensing would be complete by the third quarter of 2026. However, engineering work is anticipated to commence in early 2026, and construction of the central processing plant would start a year after that. Once in operation, the plant is expected to process 1 million lb. of uranium per year, recovering more than 14 million lb. over its life. -
BREAKING: Tether Plans to Launch US Stablecoin, Market Rallies to Best Wallet Token
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Tether, the company behind the widely used stablecoin $USDT, is taking its next major step in the U.S. market. The firm has announced plans to roll out a new dollar-backed stablecoin called $USAT, designed to be fully compliant with U.S. regulations. And despite its expansion plans, the company has made one thing clear: it will remain a private enterprise. Navigating New Regulations The GENIUS Act clarified the US stablecoin landscape, and Tether is wasting no time in taking advantage. The law requires stablecoins issued domestically to be: backed by high-quality, liquid, U.S. dollar-denominated assets to provide monthly transparency into reserve holdings to undergo regular audits $USAT is being structured precisely to meet these requirements – and position itself to be the go-to crypto for the US stablecoin market. Anchorage Digital Bank, a federally chartered trust bank, will issue the stablecoin and help ensure regulatory compliance. To oversee the U.S.-facing push, Tether has appointed Bo Hines, formerly of the White House Crypto Council, to lead $USAT. The entire project is clearly focused on capturing a distinctly American feel for Tether’s latest offering. But while Tether hopes $USAT will capture public interest, Paolo Ardoino, the CEO, has no interest in taking Tether public. Strong Financial Foundations, Privacy Priorities That’s at least partially due to the fact that Tether is already highly profitable, decreasing the need for the company to seek public investment. With profits of roughly $13.7B in the previous year, there’s no need for Tether to go public to raise capital. Ardoino has said that being a private company allows the firm to focus long-term on its mission without having to answer to public market analysts every quarter. $USDT remains Tether’s key global stablecoin, widely used in emerging markets and across crypto trading with a $171B market cap. However, $USDT is structured under foreign issuer status when it comes to U.S. regulation. $USAT, by contrast, will operate under the laws and oversight required by U.S. authorities. The idea is for $USAT to capture the US domestic market and support $USDT’s continued market growth overseas, forming a 1-2 punch for Tether. On the back of growing stablecoin adoption, more and more crypto users are turning to versatile, powerful web3 crypto wallets – like Best Wallet. Best Wallet Token ($BEST) – Better Utility for Best Non-Custodial Crypto Wallet Keep your crypto keys, keep your crypto tokens. The oldest axiom of the blockchain still rings true as the total crypto market cap grows from a few nerds swapping bitcoins to over $4T in thousands of cryptos around the world. Best Wallet provides cutting-edge biometric and MPC security on top of a highly versatile and powerful web3 wallet. It’s fully non-custodial, so investors always control their own tokens. And the Best Wallet Token ($BEST) itself provides a range of added utility, including cheaper swaps and higher staking yields. $BEST and Best Wallet form part of a growing ecosystem, with plans for Best Card to making spending crypto easier than ever. The presale has raised nearly $16M so far, with tokens priced at just $0.025655. Visit the Best Wallet Token presale today. Tether’s move with $USAT adds more fuel to competition in the stablecoin space, especially with players like Circle’s $USDC already operating under stricter regulatory norms. But for consumers – especially those underserved by traditional banking – $USAT and powerful crypto wallets like $BEST could represent a more accessible path into regulated digital finance. Authored by Aaron Walker, NewsBTC — https://www.newsbtc.com/news/tether-us-stablecoin-launch-best-wallet-token-presale -
Bank of Canada lowers rates, Canadian dollar edges upwards
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
The Canadian dollar has posted small gains on Wednesday. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3762, up 0.17% on the day. BoC reduces rates to 2.5% There were no surprises from the Bank of Canada, which lowered its policy rate by a quarter-point to 2.5%, its lowest level since July 2022. This was the first time the Bank of Canada lowered rates since March, as it was forced to respond to signs of weakness in the economy and lower inflation. The rate statement said that a rate cut was justified, given that the economy had weakened and there was less upside risk to inflation. The US tariffs were expected to have a further dampening effect on economic activity. The statement made three references to the uncertainty of the economic outlook, which has required the BoC to act cautiously. At a follow-up press conference, Governor Macklem defended the rate cut due to a weaker labor market and less upside pressure on underlying inflation. What was missing from the rate statement and press conference was any forward guidance about future rate cuts, as the central bank doesn't want to be pushed into any corners with regard to future decisions. If inflation risks continue to fade, the BoC could deliver one or even two rate cuts before the end of the year. Federal Reserve poised to lower rates The Federal Reserve is virtually certain to lower rates at today's meeting, barring a monumental surprise. The expected rate cut would be the Fed's first since December 2024. With the rate decision virtually a given, investors will be looking for some clues as to whether the Fed is looking at further rates cuts before the end of the year. USD/CAD Technical USD/CAD is testing resistance at 1.3752. Above, there is resistance at 1.3770There is support at 1.3721 and 1.3703 USDCAD 1-Day Chart, September 17, 2025 Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc. -
Bitcoin Advanced Sentiment Signals Bullish Edge As Traders Eye Fed Pivot
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Bitcoin is trading above the $115K level as the market enters a decisive week, with attention squarely on tomorrow’s Federal Reserve meeting. Investors prepare for potential policy changes, as they expect the Fed to announce its decision on interest rates—an outcome that could set the tone for global markets in the coming months. Top analyst Axel Adler explains that Bitcoin’s price action reflects cautious optimism. Ahead of the FOMC meeting, BTC is locked in a narrow corridor of $114.6K–$117.1K, with its high/low levels gradually shifting upward. Adler points out that this structure suggests a constructive trend, indicating that buyers are slowly gaining the upper hand despite the lack of a decisive breakout. Currently, Bitcoin is holding in the upper third of its range, but without a strong impulse before the Fed event. This positioning reflects a market waiting for confirmation rather than aggressively speculating. Traders and long-term investors alike are watching closely, knowing that the Fed’s policy stance—whether a modest or aggressive cut—could spark volatility across risk assets. Bullish Sentiment Supports Breakout Scenario According to Axel Adler, bullish sentiment currently dominates the Bitcoin market, creating conditions that favor an upward breakout. Adler highlights that Advanced Sentiment sits at 68.8%, a level that is close to the upper boundary of High Bull Sentiment. This indicates that optimism is prevailing among traders and investors, with market psychology leaning heavily toward an expectation of higher prices. Such a backdrop provides a clear advantage should tomorrow’s FOMC outcome be interpreted positively by the market. Adler emphasizes that while the market remains in a consolidation range, bullish sentiment tilts the balance toward strength. When bullish sentiment rises to such elevated levels, it often signals that large participants are positioning themselves in anticipation of a breakout. Historically, similar sentiment dynamics have accompanied strong upward moves, especially when combined with supportive macroeconomic events. The Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates is seen as the key trigger that could unleash this next leg higher. Even amid ongoing uncertainty and inherent volatility, most analysts align with Adler’s perspective that Bitcoin and the broader crypto market are setting up for higher levels. If the Fed confirms a moderate rate cut, it could provide the spark that aligns technical structure, sentiment, and macro drivers in favor of Bitcoin’s continuation toward uncharted highs. Bitcoin Price Analysis: Sideways With Bullish Bias The 8-hour chart of Bitcoin shows the price currently trading at $116,607, consolidating near short-term highs after a steady recovery from early September’s dip around $110K. This sideways price action is forming just below the major resistance zone at $123,217, which remains the key breakout level for bulls. The moving averages provide important context: the 50 SMA has turned upward, signaling renewed momentum, while the 100 SMA is flattening, and the 200 SMA still acts as a deeper support at $115,387. Bitcoin holding above these averages reinforces the constructive setup, with buyers continuing to defend key levels. The narrow range between $114.6K and $117.1K highlights indecision ahead of tomorrow’s FOMC meeting. A break above $117.5K would increase the probability of a retest toward $123K, while a drop below $114K could expose Bitcoin to deeper corrections around $112K–$113K. Overall, the chart suggests that Bitcoin is in a sideways consolidation with a bullish bias. Momentum remains constructive, but a decisive move will likely depend on the Federal Reserve’s decision. Traders are watching for a breakout confirmation, as the current positioning favors bulls but leaves room for volatility. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView -
Crypto market: interest rates not only factor driving Bitcoin's trend
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
The main event of the week — and of today — is the Federal Reserve's policy meeting. As market participants brace for the interest rate decision (scheduled for 18:00 GMT), the dollar is undergoing a correction, with the USDX index rebounding from its two-month low recorded on Tuesday near the 96.55 mark. The dollar is seeing a slight recovery — its sellers appear to be locking in some profits ahead of the key Fed announcement. However, today's Fed decision may shape the future trajectory not only of the US dollar but also of risk assets, including Bitcoin and other digital currencies. The BTC/USD pair, after reaching a four-week high near 117,320.00 in early European trading, is correcting downward ahead of the Fed's announcement. At the time of this publication, the pair is trading around 116,350.00. Nevertheless, crypto market experts believe that the immediate market response will depend less on the actual rate cut itself and more on the statements from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and his guidance regarding future monetary policy steps. Possible scenarios An aggressive rate cut (more than 25 basis points) could spark a rally in risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. No significant changes may lead to a price correction. A "hawkish" Fed tone (unexpectedly firm) could trigger heightened volatility, especially given currently elevated asset valuations. In August, amid speculation over the Fed's September decision, Bitcoin hit an all-time high at about 124,500.00, but ended the month down 13% from its peak. Meanwhile, crypto analysts emphasize that interest rates are not the sole driver of Bitcoin's price trend. Even a rate cut might not lead to price growth if it's rooted in economic weakness, while high inflation and investor caution could continue to dampen risk appetite. Conclusion The market is watching the Fed's policy meeting closely, but it's important to remember that a broader mix of economic factors and investor sentiment plays an equally significant role in shaping the future direction of the crypto market. Overall, our base case remains a further upward move in Bitcoin. A breakout above today's high of 117,320.00 could once again pave the way toward the recent record highs near 124,500.00. Any correction following the Fed's decisions and forecasts is likely to remain limited to the support zone around 115,000.00–113,500.00. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
Director of Brazilian Mining Agency arrested in $300M corruption probe
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
The Director of Brazil’s National Mining Agency (Agência Nacional de Mineração), Caio Seabra Filho, was arrested on Wednesday as part of a wide-ranging federal operation targeting corruption, environmental crimes, and illegal mining activity in the mineral-rich state of Minas Gerais. Launched by the Federal Police in partnership with the Federal Prosecution Service, the Comptroller General’s Office (CGU), and Brazil’s Internal Revenue Service, the investigation revealed a complex criminal network accused of fraudulently securing environmental and mining licenses. These licenses enabled illegal iron ore extraction in areas protected under federal environmental and cultural heritage laws. Among the lands granted unlawfully were sections of highly sensitive areas, including parts of the Serra do Curral, the Cercadinho Ecological Station, and the Serra do Rola Moça State Park. According to the Federal Police, the primary target of the investigation is a conglomerate of more than 40 companies, led by a holding called Minerar S.A., which is active in iron ore extraction across several environmentally sensitive regions of Minas Gerais. Authorities allege that public officials and private actors worked in tandem to bypass regulatory processes and greenlight high-value mining projects without proper oversight or legal compliance. In total, law enforcement carried out 79 search and seizure warrants and issued 22 preventive arrest orders. Over 1.5 billion reais (approximately $300 million) in assets were frozen or seized, and operations of companies directly linked to the scheme were suspended. Investigators also flagged several active projects tied to the network that could exceed 18 billion reais ($3.6 billion) in economic value. Seabra, a lawyer specialized in mining and environmental law, was appointed to the agency’s board in late 2023. He previously held influential roles within the ANM, including director of area availability and superintendent of mineral resources. In addition to the arrest of ANM director, the operation also led to the detention of Rodrigo de Melo Teixeira, former director of administrative police at Brazil’s Federal Police and currently assigned to the Brazilian Geological Survey. Investigators suspect that he held a hidden ownership stake in a mining company, in a direct conflict of interest. Over the past decade, Minas Gerais — one of Brazil’s top mining jurisdictions — has faced sustained scrutiny following the Mariana (2015) and Brumadinho (2019) tailings dam disasters. -
Lithium Ionic boosts projected returns for Brazil project
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Lithium Ionic (TSXV: LTH) said a definitive feasibility study for its Bandeira project in eastern Brazil shows higher returns, lower capital costs and a longer mine life than prior calculations. Thanks to increased reserves and an optimized mine design, Bandeira is now projected to deliver a post-tax net present value of $1.45 billion instead of the $1.31 billion estimated by a May 2024 study, Lithium Ionic said Wednesday in a statement. The project’s internal rate of return climbs to 61% from 40% while the payback period shrinks to 2.2 years from 3.4 years. News of the improved economics comes about four months after Lithium Ionic lifted the project’s contained resources by about one-third over the 2024 study. Located in Minas Gerais state, Bandeira sits about 1,000 km north of Rio de Janeiro. Production is expected to start in the second half of next year, according to a presentation posted on the company’s website. “What was already a robust project is now even stronger – delivering a longer mine life, lower capital requirements and significantly improved project economics,” CEO Blake Hylands said in a statement. “These results reinforce Bandeira’s position as one of the most competitive hard-rock lithium projects globally.” Lithium Ionic shares advanced 3.8% to C$0.82 Wednesday morning in Toronto, giving the company a market value of about C$130 million. The stock has traded between C$0.50 and C$1.15 in the past year. First quartile Capital expenditures – including contingency – are now estimated at $191 million, 28% less than the $266 million calculated earlier. Operating expenses are pegged at $378 per tonne of spodumene concentrate, which the company says would put the project in the first quartile of global lithium production costs. Bandeira is projected to operate for 18.5 years, up from 14 years in the prior study. Annual spodumene concentrate output should average 177,000 tonnes over the mine’s life, the company says. Measured and indicated resources now total 27.27 million tonnes grading 1.34% lithium oxide (Li₂O) for 901,059 tonnes of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE), compared with the 696,520 contained tonnes in last year’s study, the company said May 6. Inferred resources for the project logged a slight 1.9% increase to 18.55 million tonnes at 1.34% Li₂O, or 615,432 contained tonnes of LCE. The project claims sit across 1.6 sq. km, representing about 1% of the company’s 141.8-sq.-km land package in Brazil’s “Lithium Valley.” The area is also home to another Lithium Ionic project, Salinas, about 120 km north of Bandeira. -
Ivanhoe Mines (TSX: IVN) has agreed to a $500 million investment from Qatar that gives its sovereign wealth fund 4% of the Canadian copper miner founded by billionaire Robert Friedland. Ivanhoe Mines plans to issue 57.5 million common shares to the Qatar Investment Authority (QIA) through a private placement at a price of C$12 per share, according to the deal announced on Wednesday. Shares in Ivanhoe were flat at C$13.19 apiece in Toronto on Wednesday morning — about 9% more than the placement offer — valuing the company at C$17.8 billion. The investment “is a powerful endorsement of Ivanhoe Mines’ vision to be a leading supplier of critical metals that will drive the electrification of the global economy, development of new energy infrastructure, and growth of advanced technologies like large-scale data centres and AI,” executive co-chair Friedland said in a release. “QIA’s forward-looking vision is fully aligned with our own.” Ivanhoe operates the Kamoa-Kakula copper complex and the Kipushi zinc-copper-germanium-silver mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo as it prepares to start production this year from the Platreef platinum group metals project in South Africa. The company is working to overcome flooding at Kamoa after setting output records. Eastern investors Friedland is no stranger to investors outside of North America. China’s CITIC Metal Co. holds about a quarter of Ivanhoe Mines as its largest shareholder, and Zijin Mining, China’s top gold and copper producer, owns nearly 14%. The billionaire has been active in the Middle East in recent years, showing interest in the region’s attempt to pivot away from petroleum through exploration in the Arabian-Nubian Shield region. “Investors might wonder why QIA got such a steep discount when it appears there is a path forward to improving production at Kamoa-Kakula post-seismicity,” Fahad Tariq, a mining analyst at Jefferies in Toronto, said in a note Wednesday. “The discount has more to do with locking up a patient, long-term shareholder in QIA, and because there may be future ‘strategic partnerships’ between Ivanhoe and QIA.” The QIA, which describes itself as among the largest and most active sovereign wealth funds globally, holds $557 billion in assets under management as of last month – including an 8.6% stake in global mining giant Glencore (LSE: GLEN). Most of its funds come from offshore natural gas fields, particularly the North Field, which is the world’s largest single non-associated natural gas reservoir. “This strategic investment reflects QIA’s conviction not only in Ivanhoe Mines’ world-class portfolio of tier-one assets,” fund CEO Mohammed Saif Al-Sowaidi said in the same release. “But more importantly, in supporting its team in finding, developing and sustainably supplying the critical minerals essential to the global energy transition and advanced technology applications.” Copper exploration Ivanhoe said it intends to use the investment to advance those growth opportunities, including more collaboration with the fund, as well as for general corporate purposes. The fund may get seats on Ivanhoe’s board if its ownership rises above 10%. CITIC and Zijin have rights to acquire common shares of Ivanhoe at the same issue price as the fund to maintain their pro rata equity interest. The miner is exploring for copper in the Western Forelands region near Kamoa-Kakula, where it’s found high-grade indicated tonnes in the Makoko district. It’s also branching out to neighbouring Angola and Zambia, as well as Kazakhstan. “Ivanhoe’s journey is only just beginning, as we search the globe for our next discoveries and opportunities to develop new tier-one mines,” Friedland said. “QIA’s investment will be instrumental in opening up new horizons.”
-
Deutsche Bank lifts gold price forecast to $4,000
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Deutsche Bank has raised its 2026 gold price forecast to $4,000 per ounce, citing continued central bank demand, especially from China, a falling US dollar, and rising uncertainty over Fed independence. In a note to clients, analysts led by Michael Hsueh said that the recent surge in gold still has “further headroom to run,” revising their previous forecast of $3,700 to a more bullish $4,000 per troy ounce on average for 2026. The team pointed to macroeconomic volatility and political developments in the US, highlighting uncertainty created by changes in the composition of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and growing challenges to the Federal Reserve’s independence. These dynamics, they said, could influence how the central bank adjusts its policy tools in the face of shifting economic conditions next year. Gold has been on a tear in 2025, surging about 41% year-to-date and recently breaking through the $3,700 mark for the first time ever. The rally has outpaced gains in major asset classes like the S&P 500 and pushed bullion beyond its inflation-adjusted peak from 1980. A weakening U.S. dollar—now at its lowest levels since July—has also helped propel prices, as has a widely expected rate cut by the Fed that markets have mostly priced in. Deutsche Bank also emphasized the role of official sector buying in supporting prices. Central banks are currently acquiring gold at roughly double the pace seen between 2011 and 2021, with China being the largest contributor. Recent trade data showed that China’s net gold imports via Hong Kong rose by 126.81% in July compared to June. Meanwhile, the People’s Bank of China has continued to add gold to its reserves, further strengthening demand. While the long-term outlook remains bullish, the bank flagged several possible headwinds. These include strong equity market performance that may reduce safe-haven demand, increased clarity around former President Donald Trump’s trade policies, and potential changes in US immigration enforcement that could alter labor market dynamics and affect Fed policy. Earlier this month, Goldman Sachs issued an even more aggressive projection, suggesting that gold could approach $5,000 per ounce if just 1% of privately held US Treasuries were reallocated into the metal. -
Bitcoin Price Turns Bullish Above $114,000 With Hidden Divergence Forming
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Bitcoin’s price action has managed to break above $115,000 after spending the majority of the past two weeks trading below this level. Bitcoin is now holding firm above $114,000, and the leading cryptocurrency has regained momentum over the past week that shows signs of renewed bullish strength. According to technical analysis, a hidden bullish divergence is forming with the recent price action this week, and this could be the setup that pushes Bitcoin to new price highs. Bitcoin Revealing Hidden Bullish Divergence Technical analysis of Bitcoin’s weekly candlestick timeframe chart, which was posted on the social media platform X by crypto analyst CrypFlow, shows that Bitcoin could be on track to resume its journey of new all-time highs. Last week’s close means that Bitcoin has confirmed a higher price low in the weekly timeframe following the pullback that began after its August all-time high. As shown in the weekly candlestick chart below, this low is a higher low compared to June’s low below $100,000. On the other hand, while the price printed a higher low, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) posted a lower low in the same time frame. This mismatch between price and momentum creates what is called a hidden bullish divergence, which is a technical pattern that suggests bullish continuation. The weekly candlestick chart shared by CrypFlow shows Bitcoin defending an important support level around $114,000 and is now on two bullish weekly candlesticks. According to the analyst, if this divergence is confirmed as expected, it could provide the foundation for Bitcoin to push to new highs again. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading 5.7% below its current all-time high of $124,128. Stochastic RSI Flips Bullish The stochastic RSI indicator on the weekly timeframe has just flipped bullish, though confirmation will depend on how Bitcoin closes in the coming sessions. The last time such a bullish flip occurred on the weekly timeframe was in April, just before Bitcoin kickstarted a run that saw it close at bullish prices for seven consecutive weeks. A similar playout could see Bitcoin register at least five more bullish weekly closes in the coming weeks. The upcoming macroeconomic events could introduce volatility into the crypto industry, and this is worth keeping an eye on. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is set to meet on Wednesday, and expectations are running high that policymakers will announce an interest rate cut of 25 basis points or possibly even 50 basis points. An interest rate cut could have different effects, and history has shown that this could shift investor sentiment toward Bitcoin and other large-cap cryptocurrencies. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $117,040, already playing out bullish continuation by being up by 9% from its September open. -
Access technical levels for major FX pairs ahead of the FOMC rate decision
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
It isn't typical to see as much FX volatility ahead of such a key FOMC. Currency Markets had been particularly slow throughout August after some post-NFP correction in the US Dollar – Despite having reasons to sell the USD further, particularly after Powell's dovish speech at Jackson Hole, end-summer slow trading largely contained volatility for fiat majors. To catch up with the volatility seen in Equities (which kept flying higher throughout that entire period), the US Dollar took a two-day downward train to start this week. The greenback saw close to 1% moves in Monday and yesterday's consecutive sessions against European currencies particularly – The widest range throughout the whole FX Market between the 12th of August to last Friday had been ~0.50%. As explained in our previous piece, except for a huge switch of fundamentals and/or a leak to an upcoming decision, it is rare that players accelerate such volatility ahead of the FOMC. The only reasoning would be strong and sudden hedging that corroborates with Miran entering the FOMC meeting right before its start. Anyways, let's have a look at technical levels for all FX major pairs as the market gets ready for the FOMC decision (and the Bank of Canada rate decision, releasing very soon – we will update the levels on a new piece). DXY 4H Chart, September 17, 2025 – Source: TradingView Watch how the Dollar broke lower this Monday after resisting in a range throughout the entire past month – You can check out our most recent DXY analysis right here. Read More:Fed (FOMC) Meeting Preview: 25 bps Cut Appears Baked In, Forward Guidance Is Key. Implications for the DXY, Dow Jones and S&P 500Dow Jones (DJIA) Technical: Resting at key support ahead of FOMC, watch the US Treasury yield curve to trigger a bullish moveMarkets Today: UK Inflation Sticky, Gold Prices Retreat, FTSE 100 Hovers at 200-Day MA Ahead of FOMC DecisionAll FX Majors Charts with the key levels in play for the September FOMCNZDUSD 8H Chart and levels NZDUSD 8H Chart, September 17, 2025, Source: TradingView Trading Levels for NZDUSD: Resistance Levels Immediate Resistance 0.60Next Resistance 0.6060July 1st Highs 0.6120Support Levels 0.5950 Main Pivot (acting as immediate support)0.59 (+/- 150 pips) Support0.58 Key SupportUSDJPY 8H Chart and levels (testing support) USDJPY 8H Chart, September 17, 2025, Source: TradingView You can access an in-depth USDJPY analysis right here, released earlier today! Levels to watch for USDJPY: Resistance Levels Mid-range pivot 147.50 to 148.00May Range Extremes 148.70 to 149.50150.00 psychological resistance150.90 July highsSupport Levels 146.50 range support (testing)145.00 psychological support142.35 low of the May range, main supportAUDUSD – A sharp rebound from the prior week selloff AUDUSD 8H Chart, September 17, 2025, Source: TradingView You can access one of our most recent analysis for AUDUSD right here (chart is from Monday) – Watch the RSI which is starting to shape downwards. AUDUSD Trading Levels: Resistance Levels US CPI highs 0.6690 (2025 highs)Daily resistance 0.6670 to 0.67400.69 zone main resistance (+/- 150 pips)Support Levels July Highs 0.66250 (+/- 100 pips) acting as key pivot and support0.6510 to 0.6530 support (confluence with 50-day MA)0.6420 August 22, 2025 lows (pre-Jackson Hole conference)Daily Support 0.63 to 0.64EURUSD 8H Chart and levels EURUSD 8H Chart, September 17, 2025, Source: TradingView You can check out our Monday EURUSD Analysis which preceded a huge breakout to new highs – The fundamentals are still valid despite the new levels. Levels to watch for EURUSD: Resistance Levels: 2025 highs 1.1880Main resistance turned pivot 1.18 to 1.1830 (yearly highs)1.20 psychological level and 2021 highsSupport Levels: 1.1750 Intermediate Pivot (+/- 150 pips)1.1650 Key support1.16 Main support1.1470 Pivotal Support (bearish below this)The Swissie regains some strength – USDCHF USDCHF 4H Chart, September 17, 2025, Source: TradingView Here is our latest in-depth analysis of the USDCHF (from yesterday) that was published as things were moving aggressively. Despite new lows being reached, the analysis is still valid! Levels to watch for USDCHF: Resistance Levels 0.7950 Key pivotLong-term pivot 0.80 Zone (0.80 to 0.8010)Main resistance 0.8150 to 0.82 (last highs 0.8165)May 2025 highs 0.8475 Resistance ZoneSupport Levels 0.78575 2025 lows Support0.77 to 0.7735 August 2011 lows0.76 Psychological levelThe Pound is back on track – GBPUSD GBPUSD 8H Chart, September 17, 2025, Source: TradingView Levels to watch for GBPUSD: Resistance Levels 2025 precise high 1.37882025 Highs resistance 1.3760 to 1.38Resistance 1.37 Zone (immediate resistance)Support Levels Resistance turned pivot at the 1.36 zoneSupport Zone 1.351.34 Support ZoneUSDCAD (Subject to change with ongoing Bank of Canada decision, Cut by 25 bps) USDCAD 8H Chart, September 17, 2025, Source: TradingView An update to the chart will be presented in an upcoming piece: Mid-Week NA Markets update with a detailed USDCAD analysis inside. Here is the BoC statement. Levels to watch for USDCAD: Resistance Levels 1.38 Handle +/- 150 pips1.3850 to 1.3860 Main resistance1.3925 Aug 22 highsSupport Levels Key longer-term pivot turned support 1.3750 (currently testing)1.3660 intermediate support1.3550 Main 2025 Support Safe Trades as the FOMC approaches! Follow Elior on Twitter/X for Additional Market News, interactions and Insights @EliorManier Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc. -
USD/CHF Outlook: Swiss Franc renews 15-year highs on shifting SNB doctrine
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Riding on the coattails of dollar weakness and safe-haven demand for much of 2025, USD/CHF currently trades at monthly lows of 0.78698, down -1.10% in yesterday’s session aloneDespite renewed deflationary pressures, as seen in Monday's PPI report, safe-haven flows concerning U.S. policy, especially regarding trade, continue to benefit CHF pricingWhile the SNB has been expected to return to its usual playbook of currency interventions to weaken the franc, recent market realisations suggest that new leadership is less interested in ‘interventionist’ policy Currently on pace for its best yearly performance in over two decades, 2025 has been an interesting year for dollar-franc traders. While recent domestic GDP numbers and continuing deflationary pressures within the Swiss economy would typically bode poorly for the Swiss franc, the significant appreciation in value seen across much of this year can be summed up in three words: safe-haven flows. This goes double considering the recent change of tack from the Bank of Japan, with the unwinding of the now infamous carry trade diverting much of the demand for safe-haven currencies towards the franc over the yen. Despite an unremarkable economic performance, at least one outcome is a rapid appreciation in franc value, currently at #1 in year-to-date performance, with the euro coming in a close second place. Read more on the Swiss franc’s performance in 2025: Swiss franc leads majors as US session begins and reclaims 2025 crown USD/CHF: Shifting SNB doctrine to remove USD/CHF downside limit With the Swiss franc trading at multi-year highs since June, many expected the Swiss National Bank to intervene, in a return to its typical playbook. Having relied heavily on currency intervention to control CHF pricing in years past, it would seem that new leadership, under Chair Martin Schlegel, is less interested in ‘interventionist policy’ than his predecessors. While the market has slowly but surely come to this realisation, having seen many opportunities this year where intervention would have likely happened in years past, it seems the SNB is taking a more hands-off approach. This has been further vindicated by the SNB's clear difference in buying habits, which have purchased fewer francs in the last twelve months than in previous years by an order of magnitude. While traders have been cautious about taking further CHF shorts, fearing a potential for intervention, it would seem that, once all pieced together, the SNB is more comfortable with a stronger franc than once thought. On this basis, considering the SNB is more likely to leave the CHF at the mercy of market forces in the short term, we can consider USD/CHF downside renewed, as seen in yesterday’s session. That said, traders would do well to remember that an apparent change to ‘non-interventionalist’ policy only remains true until it doesn't; so best to approach with at least some caution. USD/CHF: Technical Analysis 17/09/2025 USD/CHF, OANDA, TradingView,17/09/2025 Painting fresh 15-year lows in yesterday’s session, bearish momentum has been renewed owing to SNB developments. Breaking previous lows at 0.78713, the level has failed to offer any support to a falling USD/CHF priceYesterday’s price action also broke the previously held downwards channel, with 0.78500 being an obvious next key level target should downside continueIn line with Fibonacci theory, and assuming price will stage a short-term retracement, bears will likely consider 0.79018 as an entry point. Otherwise, and if price continues to break down, 0.78069 will be the next target Read more from MarketPulse: Fed (FOMC) Meeting Preview: 25 bps Cut Appears Baked In, Forward Guidance Is Key. Implications for the DXY, Dow Jones and S&P 500 Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc. -
Over $9B in USDT, USDC Flood Crypto Exchanges Ahead of FOMC: BTC USD To $130,000?
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Ahead of the highly anticipated FOMC meeting later today, the total crypto market cap is up a decent 0.5% to over $4.1T. The Bitcoin price is steady above $116,000, and traders are generally upbeat, expecting BTC USD to explode above $118,000 and towards all-time highs set in mid-August. While confidence is high, the pace at which the Bitcoin price will tick higher largely depends on macro factors. This time around, eyes are on Jerome Powell and the FOMC. Besides the rate cut decision, their comments on the economy and monetary policy in the coming months before the end of the year will have a huge bearing on capital inflows, not only to Bitcoin crypto but also to other best cryptos to buy. As of September 17, the world’s most valuable crypto is up nearly +4% in the past week, per Coingecko. On Coinglass, BTC USDT trading activity is decent. Over $21M of leverage BTC USD shorts have been closed in the last day. At the same time, the funding rate is positive, meaning the general sentiment is bullish as longs are paying shorts to hold their positions. (Source: Coinglass) DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in 2025 Over $9B in Stablecoins Flood Top Crypto Exchanges Looking at on-chain data, it is likely that BTC ▲0.83%, top altcoins, and even some of the top Solana meme coins will edge higher, pushing funding rates more into the positive territory. Latest on-chain data shows that over the last 36 hours before the FOMC meeting, approximately $9B in top stablecoins, including USDT and USDC, was moved to crypto exchanges. If history guides, BTC USD could soar by another +40%, placing the Bitcoin price above $150,000 by the end of the year. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in 2025 Over $9B in Stablecoins Moved To Exchanges, BTC USD To $130,000? Bitcoin price firm ahead of FOMC meeting $9Bn in stablecoins moved to crypto exchanges FOMC likely to slash rates Will BTC USD surge to $130,000 in the coming weeks The post Over $9B in USDT, USDC Flood Crypto Exchanges Ahead of FOMC: BTC USD To $130,000? appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
$1 Million Bitcoin Is Coming: Arthur Hayes Says Fed Just Pulled The Trigger
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Arthur Hayes believes the macro domino that sends Bitcoin to $1 million has just tipped. In a post on X late Monday, the BitMEX co-founder argued that the US Federal Reserve is preparing markets for “yield curve control” (YCC) under what he called a “third mandate,” pointing to the confirmation of economist Stephen Miran to the Fed’s Board of Governors and a fresh Bloomberg report raising the same specter. “With Fed board member Miran now confirmed, the MSM is preparing the world for the Fed’s ‘third mandate’ which is essentially yield curve control. LFG! YCC -> $BTC = $1m,” Hayes wrote. His comment came hours after Bloomberg published “Fed ‘Third Mandate’ Forces Bond Traders to Rethink Age-Old Rules,” which frames the possibility that the Fed will more actively shepherd long-term rates as part of its statutory goals. Miran’s arrival at the Board is no longer hypothetical. He was narrowly confirmed by the US Senate and sworn in ahead of this week’s policy meeting while simultaneously the broader political fight over the central bank’s independence is flaring up. The crux of Hayes’s claim is that the Fed’s oft-described “dual mandate” is, in fact, three-part, and that emphasizing “moderate long-term interest rates” could lead policymakers toward direct control of the yield curve. That wording is not a meme; it is statutory. Under 12 U.S.C. § 225a, Congress instructs the Fed to promote “maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates,” a formulation also reflected on the Fed’s own website. What Yield Curve Control Means For Bitcoin On X, several market voices quickly co-signed the framing. Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan simply replied, “Agree.” Macro investor Lawrence Lepard reacted, “Wow! Miran saying the quiet part out loud!” Others noted they’ve been flagging the “third mandate” for months. Mel Mattison highlighted the statute in June, writing that keeping the long end “moderate” is “just as much part of their mandate as are price stability and unemployment,” and argued that in a conflict of goals—as during Covid—policymakers could “sacrifice one to get two,” i.e., use balance-sheet tools to stabilize the long end and employment even if it risks higher inflation. His point underscores the operational hinge in Hayes’s thesis. What YCC would mean in practice is contested but conceptually clear. Unlike standard QE—which sets a purchase size and lets yields float—YCC targets specific yields on medium- or long-dated Treasuries, enforcing caps with unlimited buying if needed. The St. Louis Fed describes YCC as “imposing interest rate caps on particular maturities,” a framework seen in Japan since 2016 and, briefly, in Australia. Such a regime would aim to arrest disorderly jumps in long rates that complicate debt service and risk transmission; critics view it as a soft form of financial repression with inflationary tail risks. Hayes has tied this macro lever to an extreme Bitcoin upside for years. In 2022 he wrote that “YCC = $1mm BTC,” a refrain he revived in 2023 and again today. The logic is straightforward in his telling: if the Fed caps long-term yields while fiscal deficits remain wide, real yields are suppressed and fiat debasement accelerates, directing marginal flows into hard-cap assets like Bitcoin. Whether that causal chain unfolds is an open question, but the call is consistent with his prior essays and public posts. Bloomberg’s piece did not declare YCC policy imminent; instead it documented how traders are re-pricing duration risk in light of Miran’s remarks about “moderate long-term interest rates” and the political context surrounding the Fed. Still, the statutory anchor gives the “third mandate” narrative more than rhetorical weight. As the Fed convenes its September meeting—with a rate cut widely anticipated and the Board’s composition in flux—debate over whether the institution will ultimately be pushed from guidance to control on the long end has moved from fringe threads into mainstream coverage. For Bitcoin, Hayes argues that merely acknowledging that path is the “trigger.” For markets more broadly, the stakes lie in whether managing the curve becomes a policy choice—or a policy necessity. At press time, BTC traded at $116,694. -
$ETH Remains Strong Despite Treasuries’ Downturn: Best Altcoins to Buy
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
There’s a new worry for the crypto market. Companies that hold huge amounts of digital assets on their balance sheets are struggling, and their declining values are putting about 4% of all circulating Bitcoin at risk. While the digital asset treasuries (DATs) are feeling the squeeze, Ethereum-focused ones seem to be holding up just fine. Some of the best altcoins to buy, like Best Wallet Token ($BEST), prove why, as they offer you more bang for your buck. Why Ethereum Holds the Advantage These DATs are basically public companies that have bet big on crypto, and their health is a key driver of demand. The main issue is a sharp drop in their market net asset values, or mNAVs. An mNAV is like a company’s financial report card; if it drops below a certain point, they can’t afford to keep buying more crypto. Standard Chartered’s Geoffrey Kendrick pointed out in a conversation with Decrypt that this is exactly what’s happening, and it’s making it tough for many of the treasuries to grow holdings. But this is where Ethereum gets to shine. Unlike Bitcoin or Solana, Ethereum lets its holders stake their $ETH. This means earning a return just by helping to secure the network. That extra yield can directly boost a company’s mNAV, making stronger balance sheets and more resilience market downturns. While Bitcoin treasuries might have to consolidate or rotate their coins, Ethereum treasuries can keep accumulating, giving $ETH a nice tailwind. It’s a clear that simply holding a coin isn’t enough anymore; you need to make it work for you. And making your coins work for you is exactly what Best Wallet Token ($BEST), Snorter Token ($SNORT), and Floki ($FLOKI) offer, giving you more for your investment. 1. Best Wallet Token ($BEST): Unlock the Future of Crypto Best Wallet Token ($BEST) is your all-access pass to a smarter, more secure Web3 experience. The native token of Best Wallet, one of the leading non-custodial crypto wallets, transforms your experience into that of a VIP. As a $BEST holder, you get instant perks like lower transaction fees, meaning you keep more of your money – yes, please! Plus, you’ll earn more on your investment with higher staking rewards, currently sitting at a healthy 83%. With the help of the ‘Upcoming Tokens’ feature, you’ll also get early access to some of the hottest presales, meaning you can get in before everyone else, nabbing the best price. As if that wasn’t enough to tempt you already, there are some impressive and inventive projects in the works, like the upcoming Best Card, which allows you to spend your crypto anywhere that accepts Mastercard. We all love a bit of convenience! Best already works on several blockchains like Solana and BNB, but plans to expand to over 60, increasing your ability to trade with ease across chains. You can get your $BEST now for $0.025655 from its presale site, and if you’re unsure how, let us guide you through the process. 2. Snorter Token ($SNORT): The Swiss-Army Aardvark If you’re tired of meme coins that have no purpose, then meet Snorter Token ($SNORT), the fun crypto that gives you a serious trading edge. It powers the Snorter Bot, which is your new best friend for lightning-fast trading on Solana and Ethereum. And there are further blockchain expansions in the works as part of the project roadmap. With all its features, it’s like a Swiss Army knife. Holding $SNORT unlocks advanced tools for sniping new meme coins right as they launch, powerful copy-trading to follow the pros, and analytics that give you an edge over the competition. Plus, you get a reduced rate on transaction fees (0.85%), and if you buy today, you can stake your tokens for 118%. It does a lot for a little aardvark, and it’s all to help you succeed, something investors are recognizing as $SNORT has already raised over $3.9M. Sniff up your $SNORT today for $0.1047 before you get a blocked nose. If it reaches our predicted end of 2025 high of $1.02, you’d net yourself an 874% ROI on today’s price. 3. Floki ($FLOKI): Join the Floki Vikings and Build a Better Future Floki ($FLOKI) is way more than a cryptocurrency; it’s a movement. It all started as a meme and grew into a powerful ecosystem with real-world utility. When you hold $FLOKI, you’re becoming part of a community building some incredible things. There’s the play-to-earn metaverse game called Valhalla. Step into a Viking world where you can battle, explore, and earn $FLOKI just by playing. All the items you collect are NFTs you truly own and can sell on the marketplace. Beyond gaming, the FlokiFi suite of DeFi products gives you the power to control your finances. With the FlokiFi Locker, you can securely lock your digital assets and earn rewards, giving you peace of mind and passive income. There’s also the University of Floki, a free educational platform designed to help everyone learn about blockchain and Web3. With a dedicated community, $FLOKI is building a future where crypto is for everyone. You can buy yours now for around $0.00009584 from exchanges. Remember, this isn’t intended as financial advice, and you should always do your own research before making any investments. Authored by Aaron Walker, NewsBTC — https://www.newsbtc.com/news/best-altcoins-to-buy-as-eth-remains-strong-during-treasuries-downturn -
Solana’s Meme Ecosystem Explodes: $PUMP Pumps 77% as Snorter Joins the Hype
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Pump.fun, one of the popular launchpads on Solana, has been making headlines with its $PUMP token surging 77% over the past week. In July, the project initiated a buyback program and put its profits back into $PUMP, rewarding diamond hands with a price increase in the process. Despite $PUMP dipping since its $0.012 ATH in early July, Pump.fun’s recent marketing efforts and creator rewards have helped push the token to a $0.0087 peak, sparking talks of a full recovery and a potential rally. This uptick reflects strong community support and highlights just how popular Pump.fun’s creator initiative is right now. Through this program, Pump.fun aims to reward meme coin creators every time someone makes a transaction on their token. Besides growing interest and activity in top Solana meme coins, this wave is also fueling new Solana projects like Snorter Token ($SNORT). This presale has been attracting significant attention from both whales and retail traders looking for the next big hype and potential 100x gains. Solana Meme Coins Surging as Pump.fun’s Success Fuels Bullish Sentiment Pump.fun’s buyback strategy and subsequent 70% pump shows that there’s still a lot of potential left for Solana-based meme coins. The ripple effect from $PUMP’s positive performance is evident across the Solana ecosystem. Top 24-hour gainers include $FREYA (+97%), $SCAM (+50%), and $QSTAY (+48%). The 24-hour trading volume is also up by 8.57%. Some of the popular Solana meme coins, such as Bonk ($BONK), Dogwifhat ($WIF), and Mogcoin ($MOG), have also shown positive performance recently, with $WIF showing a 77% increase in its 24-hour trading volume. Fueling the momentum further, Solana’s new consensus protocol, ‘Alpenglow,’ has been approved via a governance vote. This protocol will reduce transaction finality from ~12 seconds to 150 milliseconds, creating a stronger and efficient network with more scalability for dApps. Additionally, other upgrades, such as Firedancer, aim to improve throughput and decentralization, while reducing latency and fees. Not to mention, the recent surge in institutional inflows and SOL accumulation has brought Solana-based meme coins into the spotlight, driving more investors towards early opportunities like the Snorter Token presale. Snorter Token ($SNORT) – A Solana Presale Nearing $4M Snorter Token ($SNORT) is a governance token that powers the Snorter Bot, a Telegram-native trading bot designed for trading Solana and Ethereum meme coins. Holding $SNORT stacks real utility by slashing trading fees down to 0.85%, unlocking advanced sniping and copy-trading features, and unlocking higher trading limits for the Snorter Bot. Here are a few other reasons why degens are FOMO-ing into the Snorter Token presale: You can stake $SNORT for attractive 118% APY rewards. The bot lets you instantly buy new tokens as soon as liquidity hits, before whales or other bots. Snorter Bot now supports Solana and Ethereum, with plans to later expand to BNB, Polygon, and Base. You can benefit from rugpull/honeypot detection tools and live blocklist scans. Snorter Token has already raised $3.9M in the presale, with the token now costing $0.1047 (a hair above its Stage 1 price of $0.0935). The next price rise comes at $4.4M and the final target listing price is set at $0.1053. This is a model that allows early birds to secure tokens at a lower cost. Not to mention, the high staking APY lets you further multiply your coins throughout the presale. A whiff of $SNORT’s promise was enough to trigger a $107.1K whale buy recently. But even if you invested just $100 today, you would receive approximately 954 Snorter tokens. Assuming the staking APY is applied for a whole year, your staked tokens could grow by 118%, meaning your 954 $SNORT could become roughly 2,079 $SNORT by year-end. And that’s not even counting potential price increases, which will occur as the project reaches its roadmap milestones. According to our $SNORT price prediction, the token could reach $1.02 by the end of 2025, meaning that, under bullish conditions, your $100 investment today might be worth approximately $2,120, in addition to staking gains. Furthermore, projections suggest that $SNORT could reach $0.40 in 2026, paving the road for long-term growth for early investors. Join $SNORT’s presale now to snag tokens at lower prices. This is not financial advice. Please do your own research before making any investments. Authored by Aaron Walker, NewsBTC — https://www.newsbtc.com/news/solana-pump-rallies-meme-coins-snorter-token/ -
Potential deep drop in the S&P 500 after the Fed's announcement Analysts forecast that the S&P 500 index could face a significant decline following the Federal Reserve's upcoming decision on interest rates. The index is expected to potentially drop into the 5916–5973 range, posing risks not only of a short-term correction but also of a long-term recession for the U.S. economy. Investors are seriously concerned about the possibility of slower economic growth if the Fed opts for a more hawkish stance. The market remains cautious as it awaits the outcome of the meeting. [More at the link.] US stock indices close lower amid Fed rate decision anticipation Yesterday, major US stock indices ended the trading day in the red — the S&P 500 declined by 0.13%. This performance reflects growing uncertainty among investors who are waiting for clarity from the Federal Reserve on potential monetary policy easing. In anticipation of the news, the market is showing signs of caution — participants prefer to avoid active moves, leading to subdued price action. [More at the link.] Profit-taking and Fed expectations fuel market turbulence Ahead of the Fed meeting, investors are visibly reassessing their strategies. Many are opting to close positions and lock in profits amid concerns over potential market instability driven by the Fed's upcoming statements. There is a widespread belief that at least three committee members may support a significant rate cut. Market participants are also voicing concerns over rising asset prices and the influence of political factors on the future of the US economy. [More at the link.] The dollar weakens, the euro gains ahead of the Fed's decision The US dollar is extending weakness ahead of the critical Fed meeting, while the euro is gaining strength amid expectations of lower US interest rates. This movement is creating new opportunities in the forex market: investors are actively increasing their euro positions and adjusting their trading strategies in response to shifting currency demand. Volatility is rising, opening up new entry points for traders. [More at the link.] US stock market declines as investors stay on the sidelines The US stock market ended another trading session in the red, despite positive retail sales data. Investors have taken a cautious, wait-and-see approach ahead of the Fed's decision on future interest rate policy. This uncertainty and risk-aversion have contributed to the decline of major indices and may impact market performance in the coming days. [More at the link.] Reminder: InstaForex offers the best conditions for trading stock indices, equities, and bonds, allowing you to profit from changes in market dynamics. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
-
Ecuador’s President casts doubt on Dundee’s Loma Larga
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Ecuador’s President Daniel Noboa has cast doubt on the future of DPM Metals (TSX: DPM) Loma Larga gold project, handing responsibility for its approval or rejection to authorities in the southern province of Azuay. The move follows a request from provincial leaders last week that Environment Minister María Luisa Cruz revoke the environmental permit granted to Dundee in June. On Tuesday, residents marched through Cuenca, the provincial capital, protesting the $419-million project. Demonstrators in the “March for Water” argued the mine would threaten the region’s water supply. Experts counter that while the concession lies within the El Cajas Massif Biosphere Reserve, the project area is outside the water protection zone established by the environment ministry in 2012. Dundee says it has monitored water in the area for 20 years and plans to recirculate 90% of what it uses. Ecuador’s president puts Dundee’s Loma Larga gold project on uncertain ground. (Image courtesy of journalist Christian Sánchez Mendieta via X.) Noboa has asked provincial authorities to submit technical reports and reasoned administrative resolutions addressing alleged risks of water contamination, local media reported. Historic consultation DPM, known until last week as Dundee Precious Metals, acquired the Loma Larga project in 2021. That same year, former presidential candidate Yaku Pérez and allied groups sued, claiming the project violated environmental and human rights. A provincial judge dismissed the allegations but required a free, prior, and informed consultation before production could begin. The Ministry of Energy completed that process in May, marking the first such consultation for a mining project in Ecuador. The underground mine holds an estimated 926,000 ounces of gold and is projected to produce 200,000 ounces annually during its first five years, before averaging 170,000 ounces over the next seven. The site also contains copper and silver and includes a processing plant and tailings facility. Observers fear Loma Larga could face the same fate as the Río Blanco gold project, also in Azuay, which was halted by a 2018 court decision and later became a target for illegal mining. Loma Larga is one of six major projects expected to move into construction or production in Ecuador, alongside SolGold’s Cascabel, Silvercorp’s El Domo, Lumina Gold’s Cangrejos, Atico Mining’s La Plata and Solaris Resources’ Warintza. Earlier this month, Dundee expanded its portfolio with a $1.25 billion acquisition of Adriatic Metals, gaining assets in Bosnia and Serbia. -
Sui Crypto Joins Google’s AP2 Launch, Putting Crypto Payments Into the AI Era
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Sui Crypto is about to have a major breakout in Q4. The L1 blockchain created by former Facebook devs has been thrust into the spotlight with Google’s launch of the Agentic Payments Protocol (AP2), a framework built for AI-driven payments. Backed by PayPal, Salesforce, and dozens of others, AP2 aims to let autonomous agents manage direct purchases and recurring transactions with little to no human input. According to analyst MartyParty, AP2 “creates a traceable audit trail, making automated purchases safer,” while setting the stage for broader Web3 applications in subscriptions and digital content monetization. Here’s what else you need to know about Sui crypto heading into Q4. Sui Crypto Price Action: Could Tight Bollinger Bands Hint at Breakout? (Source: CoinGecko) At the time of writing, SUI trades at $3.57, up +2.29% in 24 hours and logging a +1% weekly gain. While modest on the surface, traders are watching a bigger technical story unfold. Past setups of this SUI price action echo similar squeezes in Dec. 2023 and Sept. 2024, which triggered 250% and 404% rallies. It also helps that the Bollinger bands are at their tightest levels in SUI’s history, suggesting volatility is about to expand. (Source: X) Analyst CryptoBullet expects a 150–200% move if history repeats, with $5–$6 as early targets. That technical setup, layered on top of Sui’s AP2 partnership, has made it one of the most closely tracked altcoins this week. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 Why Google’s AP2 Could Be a Catalyst for Sui’s Next Rally For investors, the key is whether agent-led commerce becomes more than a buzzword. I mean, would anyone you talk to on the street know what “agent-led” commerce was? No. But if AI-driven agents gain traction in industries like subscriptions, enterprise licensing, or automated trading, Sui’s architecture is well-positioned to capture demand. Its Move-based design allows fast, asset-oriented execution and it is exactly what’s needed for microtransactions at scale. (Source: DeFiLlama) DeFiLlama reports $290B in stablecoin liquidity across the market, capital that could rotate quickly if AP2 adoption picks up. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Sui ETF Filings Add Fuel to the Fire: Is SUI The Breakout Star For Q4? “SUI”Price“SUI”24h7d30d1yAll time The news comes as US regulators face a flood of new crypto ETF filings. Among them is Bitwise’s spot Avalanche ETF, Tuttle’s “Income Blast” funds covering Sui (SUI) and Bonk, and a leveraged Orbs ETF. While analysts see AVAX and tokenization funds as likeliest to win approval, the presence of Sui in ETF filings adds another institutional angle. Whether SUI rallies 150% as traders predict will depend on adoption and broader market risk appetite, yet it is clear that Sui is now part of Google’s vision for AI-powered finance. EXPLORE: Singapore Denies Do Kwon’s $14M Refund Demand For ‘Stolen’ Penthouse Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways Sui Crypto is about to have a major breakout in Q4. The L1 blockchain created by former Facebook devs just partnered with Google. Whether SUI rallies 150% as traders predict will depend on adoption and broader market risk appetite. The post Sui Crypto Joins Google’s AP2 Launch, Putting Crypto Payments Into the AI Era appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
Solana Sees Institutional Accumulation: 413,075 SOL Moved Off Exchanges In Hours
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Solana has been in the spotlight after delivering a powerful rally, surging more than 50% since August and climbing to the $248 level. This move has reaffirmed bullish sentiment across the market, with momentum continuing to build around one of the leading altcoins. Analysts are now calling for the possibility of a massive surge in the coming weeks, pointing to both technical strength and increasing institutional participation as key drivers. Bulls appear firmly in control as Solana consolidates its gains at higher levels, showing resilience even in the face of broader market volatility. Unlike past rallies driven mainly by retail speculation, this surge is being accompanied by institutional accumulation, signaling deeper conviction and long-term positioning by large players. Fresh data from Lookonchain highlights this trend, revealing that another major institution has been buying significant amounts of SOL. These purchases align with the broader narrative that big players are preparing for the next phase of the crypto cycle by loading up on high-conviction assets. Solana Sees Accumulation Ahead of Fed Decision Solana has once again taken the spotlight as fresh data reveals significant institutional activity in the market. According to Lookonchain, over the past eight hours, FalconX—a well-known institutional trading platform—has withdrawn 413,075 SOL, worth approximately $98.4 million, from major exchanges including Binance, OKX, Coinbase, and Bybit. Such large-scale withdrawals are often interpreted as a signal of accumulation, with institutions moving tokens off exchanges for custody, staking, or long-term holding rather than short-term trading. This activity suggests that institutional players are quietly but aggressively positioning themselves in Solana. By removing supply from exchanges, FalconX’s actions could reduce the immediate liquidity available for trading, tightening supply and potentially fueling upward price pressure if demand continues to rise. Historically, moves of this scale have often preceded strong rallies, particularly when they align with broader bullish momentum. Solana, which has already surged over 50% since August, may now be setting the stage for another leg higher if accumulation trends persist. At the same time, macroeconomic factors are converging with this institutional demand. Later today, the Federal Reserve will announce its decision on interest rates, a pivotal event that will influence risk sentiment across global markets. Whether the Fed opts for a modest 25bps cut or a deeper move, the outcome will shape liquidity conditions for months to come. For Solana, the combination of institutional buying and the Fed’s decision creates a high-stakes backdrop that could define its trajectory well into year-end. Testing Key Levels After A Rally Solana (SOL) has been in a powerful uptrend since August, gaining more than 50% and reaching a high of $248 before cooling slightly. The daily chart shows SOL now trading at $236, consolidating after the sharp rally. The uptrend remains intact, with the 50-day SMA ($197) and 100-day SMA ($178) trending upward, both acting as solid dynamic support. The 200-day SMA at $161 is far below current levels, confirming the strength of the long-term bullish structure. However, the recent slowdown near $240 suggests that the market is encountering resistance. This level previously acted as a supply zone in late 2024, and bulls will need to push through it decisively to open the door toward a potential retest of $300. A rejection here could trigger a short-term pullback toward $220 or even the $200–$210 area, where the moving averages cluster, offering strong support for continuation. Institutional accumulation has also been a major catalyst for Solana’s recent surge. Large withdrawals from exchanges highlight ongoing whale positioning, suggesting that demand remains strong despite near-term volatility. If momentum continues and macro conditions—particularly the Fed’s decision on rates—provide a favorable backdrop, SOL could extend its rally toward new highs. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView -
Level and Target Adjustments for the U.S. Session – September 17th
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Today, the pound and the Australian dollar were traded using the Mean Reversion strategy. I tried to trade the yen through Momentum, but the result was mediocre. The released data showing a decline in the Consumer Price Index in the eurozone put pressure on the euro. However, falling inflation is not an unconditional signal for policy easing. Observers note that the slowdown in consumer price growth may be driven not only by the ECB's effective measures but also by weaker economic growth in the region and external factors such as lower energy prices. In this context, a premature rate cut could lead to undesirable consequences, something some ECB representatives have recently emphasized. UK inflation data also did not change the balance in GBP/USD, as the results matched economists' forecasts. In the second half of the day, the Fed is expected to cut the interest rate, most likely by a quarter point. But more important are the projections to be published. The rate cut, though anticipated, is only a small part of the complex puzzle traders have to solve. The true key lies in the details—in the carefully worded statements in the minutes, in subtle hints about future actions, and in the individual forecasts of committee members. Every word from Chair Powell will be examined under a microscope, and every change in the economic projections will trigger speculation. The market seeks clarity: does the Fed intend to continue a dovish easing policy, or was this a one-off step? In addition, it is important to consider the geopolitical environment. Trade wars, political instability, and the unpredictability of global economic processes add uncertainty, forcing the Fed to act cautiously and flexibly. Will the U.S. regulator be able to balance domestic economic needs and external shocks, or will its actions lead to undesirable consequences? It remains to be seen. In the case of strong statistics, I will rely on the Momentum strategy. If the market shows no reaction to the data, I will continue to use the Mean Reversion strategy. Momentum strategy (breakout) for the second half of the day: For EUR/USD Buying on a breakout of 1.1862 may lead to growth toward 1.1903 and 1.1937;Selling on a breakout of 1.1830 may lead to a decline toward 1.1790 and 1.1750;For GBP/USD Buying on a breakout of 1.3667 may lead to growth toward 1.3707 and 1.3746;Selling on a breakout of 1.3625 may lead to a decline toward 1.3590 and 1.3555;For USD/JPY Buying on a breakout of 146.70 may lead to growth toward 147.40 and 147.72;Selling on a breakout of 146.20 may lead to a decline toward 145.70 and 145.20;Mean Reversion strategy (return) for the second half of the day: For EUR/USD I will look for sales after a failed breakout above 1.1867 and a return below this level;I will look for purchases after a failed breakout below 1.1828 and a return above this level; For GBP/USD I will look for sales after a failed breakout above 1.3657 and a return below this level;I will look for purchases after a failed breakout below 1.3623 and a return above this level; For AUD/USD I will look for sales after a failed breakout above 0.6682 and a return below this level;I will look for purchases after a failed breakout below 0.6666 and a return above this level; For USD/CAD I will look for sales after a failed breakout above 1.3765 and a return below this level;I will look for purchases after a failed breakout below 1.3741 and a return above this level.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com