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  1. RWA crypto is set for a massive shakeup this holiday season, with Bitwise filing for a groundbreaking Stablecoin and Tokenization ETF. If approved, the fund is expected to launch just before Thanksgiving, potentially triggering a year-end FOMO rally for stablecoin and real-world asset-linked tokens. With the stablecoin market now at $290Bn and tokenized assets climbing to $66Bn, this ETF could be the spark that brings institutional capital flooding into crypto. Here’s why this development matters and how it could transform the RWA space by the end of 2025. (Source – CoinGecko.com) What is Bitwise’s Stablecoin & Tokenization ETF and Why Does It Matter? Bitwise’s ETF is designed to give traditional investors exposure to stablecoins and tokenized assets without directly holding crypto. According to its SEC filing, the fund will track an index split evenly into two components: 1. Equity Sleeve (50%) Targets public companies building in stablecoins and tokenization. Includes issuers, infrastructure providers, payment processors, exchanges, and retailers. 2. Crypto Asset Sleeve (50%) Exposure to regulated crypto exchange-traded products (ETPs) like BTC ▲0.99% and ETH ▼-0.17%. Focuses on blockchain infrastructure supporting stablecoins and RWAs. bitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.33T24h7d1y To maintain balance, the largest crypto ETP in the sleeve will be capped at 22.5% with the index rebalancing quarterly to stay aligned with market trends. If approved, the launch would mark a milestone similar to the first Bitcoin ETF, which unleashed billions of dollars in institutional inflows earlier this year. DISCOVER: Top Solana Meme Coins to Buy in 2025 Could Thanksgiving Mark the Start of the Next RWA Crypto Bull Run? The SEC has delayed multiple ETF proposals in recent weeks, with final decisions expected in October and November. Historically, ETF launches have acted as major catalysts. Bitcoin ETFs in early 2025 sparked a rapid surge to $117K Ethereum ETFs drove ETH above $4.5K A similar dynamic could now play out for RWA-focused tokens like Centrifuge (CFG), Ondo (ONDO), and Avalanche (AVAX). Thanksgiving historically coincides with high liquidity and retail attention, amplifying any positive ETF news. The combination of institutional flow and holiday hype could create a perfect storm for RWA crypto markets heading into Q4. As tokenized asset markets grow, they could easily reach hundreds of billions in value, mirroring the early growth trajectory of Bitcoin and Ethereum. For investors, this means Thanksgiving could mark the beginning of a multi-year RWA narrative, with 2025 remembered as the year tokenized assets went mainstream. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways Bitwise filed for a Stablecoin & Tokenization ETF. And approval could spark a major RWA crypto rally heading into Q4 2025. The post Bitwise Will Change Everything For RWA Crypto This Thanksgiving appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
  2. A new meme coin from China, Pudgy Pandas ($PANDA), raised over $300K in one day on presale, gaining significant attention in the Asian crypto market via social platforms like WeChat. With a real-world cause (#FreeThePandas campaign) fuelling its momentum, this new meme coin on presale proves there’s room for more at the party Pudgy Pandas challenges the Pudgy Penguins ($PENGU) franchise, which has dominated the year so far with a market cap of over $2B. Speaking of, the $PENGU ETF with the SEC, as well as the $DOGE ETF, signal the rise of meme coins as serious investment products. That, combined with the growing buzz around projects like Pudgy Pandas, and Pudgy Penguins, is spilling over into newer projects, with degens hunting for the next breakout token. Maxi Doge ($MAXI) is pumped up and ready to ride this wave, already soaring past $2.2M in its presale. Meme Coin Mania Isn’t Stopping – Here Are the Tokens Degens Are Watching Now The meme coin market has surged over the past seven days, with several tokens reaching new highs. Dogecoin led the market with a 12.3% increase, followed by Pepe at 5.27%, signaling that the major meme plays still command the spotlight. In the lower cap range, MemeCore exploded by 20%, Bonk saw a 4% gain, and Pudgy Penguins inched up by +0.06%, highlighting how degens may be piling into newer, high-volatility tokens. Riding the meme coin wave, here are the top meme coins that our experts believe could surge in value in 2025. Historically, meme coins have shown the potential to deliver gains ranging from 10x to 100x during bullish periods. This is particularly true when investors enter early in a project’s cycle, as seen with the Maxi Doge ($MAXI) presale, which is drawing significant attention from early adopters eager to capitalize on the current meme coin mania. Meme Coin Frenzy Pushes Maxi Doge Presale to New Heights Maxi Doge ($MAXI) is a high-octane trading meme token built for ultra-leveraged strategies. The token rewards traders who love to time entries, ride market swings, and turn each green candle into an opportunity for massive gains. Besides high-leverage plays and relentless market action, here’s why $MAXI could be the next moonshot bag: An ‘Alpha Dog’ lifestyle token fueling conviction, stamina, and risk-taking in the bull run. It delivers the raw edge and motivation needed to out-trade, out-pump, and outlast. Its smart contract handles presale mechanics and automates prize distributions directly on-chain. Keeps the community always buzzing – firing up the squad with non-stop giveaways and degen competitions, pumping engagement, and keeping the vibes WAGMI. Plans for integration with larger DeFi platforms, including swaps, liquidity, and partner events, as the ecosystem expands. Maxi Doge is flexing hard right now. At just $0.0002575 per token, the presale has already raised over $2.2M; though the next price surge is set to occur once it reaches $2.4M, most likely tomorrow. The $MAXI vibe is MAX RIPPED. MAX GAINZ. MAX MENTALITY – a mantra so strong it;s seen some whales drop as much as $37K on $MAXI. Pure meme-fuelled early entries like this are where the real degens play, which can turn them into mega moonshots. Feeling the FOMO? If you ape in with $500 today, you’ll get about 1.94M $MAXI tokens plus an additional ~2.79M tokens in staking rewards at 144% APY p/a. That means your buy could stack serious passive gains, even before the next pump kicks in With over $5.2B $MAXI already staked, the community is clearly riding this bull wave. If meme coin momentum keeps raging, $MAXI could be the next crypto to explode. Bulk up on the $MAXI presale before the next pump. This is not financial advice. The cryptocurrency market can be highly volatile and speculative. Please do your own research before making any investments. Authored by Aaron Walker, NewsBTC – https://www.newsbtc.com/news/maxi-doge-raises-2-2m-pudgy-pandas-raises-300k/
  3. [AUD/JPY] – Wednesday, September 17, 2025 The appearance of a Hidden Bearish Divergence between the RSI and AUD/JPY price movement indicates a near-term potential for weakening. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 98.63 2. Resistance. 1 : 98.25 3. Pivot : 97.59 4. Support. 1 : 97.57 5. Support. 2 : 97.27 Tactical Scenario Pressure Zone: If AUD/JPY breaks down and closes below 97.57, it may test the 97.27 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 97.27 is broken and closed below, AUD/JPY will likely head towards the 96.89 level.Invalidation Level / Bias Revision Downside bias is contained if AUD/JPY appreciates upward and breaks to close above the 98.63 level. Technical Summary EMA(50) : 97.86 EMA(200): 97.85 RSI(14) : 41.44 + Hidden Bearish Divergence Economic News Release Agenda: Earlier this morning at 6:50 WIB from Japan, the Trade Balance economic data was released. Meanwhile, tonight until early morning from the United States, economic data will be released as follows: US - Building Permits - 19:30 WIB US - Housing Starts - 19:30 WIB US - Crude Oil Inventories - 21:30 WIB US - Federal Funds Rate - 01:00 WIB US - FOMC Economic Projections - 01:00 WIB US - FOMC Statement - 01:00 WIB US - FOMC Press Conference - 01:30 WIB The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  4. [XAU/USD] – [Wednesday, September 17, 2025] Although a Bearish Divergence pattern has appeared between the RSI and the price movement of XAU/USD, given that the EMA is still in a Golden Cross condition, the decline is most likely limited to a minor correction. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 3717.00 2. Resistance. 1 : 3703.16 3. Pivot : 3688.72 4. Support. 1 : 3674.88 5. Support. 2 : 3660.44 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of Gold strengthens and breaks out to close above 3688.72, it has the potential to extend its gains up to 3703.16. Momentum Extension Bias: If 3703.16 is successfully broken and closed above, XAU/USD potentially continues its strengthening to test the 3717.00 level.Invalidation Level / Bias RevisionThe upside bias weakens if the price of Gold declines and breaks through to close below 3660.44. Technical Summary EMA(50) : 3684.07 EMA(200): 3660.31 RSI(14) : 40.46 + Bearish Divergence Economic News Release Agenda: Tonight until early morning from the United States, economic data will be released as follows: US - Building Permits - 19:30 WIB US - Housing Starts - 19:30 WIB US - Crude Oil Inventories - 21:30 WIB US - Federal Funds Rate - 01:00 WIB US - FOMC Economic Projections - 01:00 WIB US - FOMC Statement - 01:00 WIB US - FOMC Press Conference - 01:30 WIB The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  5. The market stepped back ahead of the announcement of the September FOMC meeting results. Some investors chose to lock in profits, as the meeting's outcome could spark volatility in the S&P 500. For the first time since 1988, there may be three dissenters voting for an immediate 50 bp rate cut—the very move Donald Trump is demanding. At the same time, a single misstep or slip of the tongue by Jerome Powell at the press conference could cause turmoil. Nearly thirty record highs in the S&P 500 are drawing investors back to the US stock market, which still looks expensive from a fundamental perspective. Valuation: Price to Average 10-Year Earnings It's no joke that the "Magnificent Seven" stocks trade at 43x their expected 12-month earnings, and the recent disruptor Oracle commands a P/E of 67. The S&P 500 Information Technology sector index has gained 27% over the past year on the back of 26.9% earnings growth. By contrast, the S&P ex-tech has gained just 13% and its earnings have grown only 6.4%. If there's a bubble in US stocks, it's definitely outside Big Tech. Strong sector results have masked problems in other companies. The tip of the iceberg looks great—but what lies beneath? US equities continue to attract investors. According to a Bank of America survey, asset managers hold their highest portfolio overweight in equities since February. Yet a record 58% see US stocks as overvalued. Twelve percent now cite global trade war as the biggest risk for the S&P 500, down from 80% in April. Twenty-six percent fear inflation, while 24% worry about the Fed's loss of independence under pressure from President Trump, which could further weaken the US dollar. In other words, when it rains, it pours. The strengthening of the USD index in 2022–2024 caused emerging market equities to lag. Now, as the idea of US exceptionalism fades and the greenback falls, emerging markets can come back to life. US and Emerging Markets Stock Performance Investors are increasingly putting money into Mexico and Brazil, and eyeing Asia. Without hedging for US dollar weakness, investing in the US is risky. There's a parallel to Japan under Shinzo Abe's "Three Arrows" policy, when the yen lost 50% of its value in the first three years. Donald Trump is pushing for an even more radical overhaul of the system. None of this bodes well for the dollar. Technically, the daily S&P 500 chart shows a steady uptrend. Key supports are the cluster of pivot levels near 6570 and the moving averages near 6500. A bounce from these zones would be grounds to initiate or add to long positions in the broader stock index. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  6. Following an all-time high (ATH) reached last August, Ethereum (ETH), the market’s second-largest cryptocurrency, has found itself in a consolidation phase, trading between $4,200 and $4,700. This price range reflects a broader stagnation in the cryptocurrency market, as various digital assets, including Bitcoin (BTC), struggle to regain the momentum that led both BTC and ETH reach new records above $124,000 and $4,9000 respectively. Notably, Citigroup, the third-largest investment bank in the United States, has tempered expectations for the Ethereum price, forecasting a year-end price target of $4,300 for the altcoin. Citi Forecasts Moderate ETF Inflows Into Ethereum According to a report by Reuters, Citigroup’s analysis attributes the current demand for Ethereum to burgeoning interest in Ethereum-based applications, including stablecoins and tokenization. However, the bank cautions that the recent price strength may be more a reflection of market sentiment than underlying fundamentals. In a note released on Monday, Citi remarked, “Current prices are above activity estimates, potentially driven by recent buying pressure and excitement over use-cases.” Ethereum’s appeal has grown among investors looking for more than just price appreciation. Analysts forecast increased price growth for the altcoin due to the recent passage of bills, including the GENIUS Act, which aims to provide a new framework for stablecoins, as well as the surge in interest in tokenization. Despite these developments, Citigroup predicts that the inflow of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) into Ethereum will be less robust compared to Bitcoin. In contrast, Standard Chartered has recently revised its year-end target for Ethereum significantly upward, from $4,000 to $7,500. Bearish And Bullish Scenarios For ETH This adjustment reflects stronger engagement within the industry and increasing corporate investments. The bank anticipates that the stablecoin sector could grow eightfold by 2028, which would likely drive up Ethereum network fees and demand. Citi also presented a more optimistic bull case, projecting a potential price of $6,400 if activity and adoption of Ethereum-based applications continue to rise. This would represent a major 42% uptrend ahead for the leading altcoin. Conversely, the bank outlined a bearish scenario in which the Ethereum price would drop to $2,200 in the event of a macroeconomic downturn or a decline in the equity market. If this scenario plays out, it could spell major trouble for bulls, as it would represent a 50% drop from current levels. Interestingly, a recent report from Sygnum, a digital asset bank, has painted a more favorable outlook for Ethereum. The bank highlights Ethereum’s upgrades and increasing institutional interest as significant factors that could position ETH to benefit from anticipated trends in stablecoin issuance and broader adoption. Furthermore, the digital asset bank highlighted that as liquid Ethereum reserves on exchanges diminish and demand intensifies, the possibility of a supply squeeze arises, potentially sending the altcoin into a new leg up to retest all-time high levels. As of this writing, ETH is trading at $4,480, which is up 5% on the weekly time frame. Compared to record prices, the altcoin is trading nearly 10% below all-time high levels. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
  7. This is a follow-up analysis and a timely update of our prior publication, “Dow Jones (DJIA) Technical: Poised for a potential bullish breakout as US CPI looms”, published last Thursday, 11 September 2025. The price actions of the US Wall Street 30 CFD Index (a proxy of the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures) have staged the expected bullish breakout above the minor “Ascending Triangle” range resistance at 45,780 and rallied by 1.3% to hit a fresh all-time intraday high of 46,140 on last Friday, 12 September 2025, during the early Asian session. Thereafter, the US Wall Street 30 CFD Index’s minor/short-term bullish momentum fizzled out and staged a corrective pull-back of -1.1% to print an intraday low of 45,645 on Tuesday, 16 September 2025, ahead of today’s FOMC monetary policy decision outcome and the release of the latest Fed economic projections (dot plot). Fig. 1: Performances of S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJIA & Russell 2000 from 12 Sep 2025 to 16 Sep 2025 (Source: MacroMicro) So far, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has both lagged and outperformed its peers from last Friday, 12 September, to this Wednesday, 16 September. The DJIA shed -0.2%, and in contrast, the mega-cap heavy S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 recorded gains of 0.3% and 0.8% respectively towards fresh all-time highs. Even the small-cap Russell managed to squeeze out a modest positive return of 0.2% (see Fig. 1). A key macro factor and its intermarket relationship hold the key to the short to medium-term performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. More details below. A re-steepening of the US Treasury yield curve is needed to revive the bulls of Dow Jones Fig. 2: DJIA, momentum, value factors, US Treasury yield curve major trends as of 16 Sep 2025 (Source: TradingView) The Dow Jones Industrial Average tends to be viewed as a more “value-oriented” barometer benchmark US stock index due to its higher weightage of value-related sectors, such as Financials, over the Nasdaq 100; the Financials sector has a weightage of 27% in the DJIA. One of the key drivers that allows the DJIA to stage a bullish breakout on 22 August 2025, above its former all-time high of 45,074 printed on 4 December 2024, is a macro factor (undiversifiable risk), the bullish steepening of the US Treasury yield curve (10-year minus 2-year), which, in turn, also reinforced the bullish breakout of the ratio chart of the S&P 500 Enhanced Value ETF (35% weightage in Financials)/S&P 500 ETF (see Fig. 2). A bullish steepening of the US Treasury yield curve indicates short-term interest rates are falling at a faster pace than long-term interest rates due to an accommodating monetary policy environment undertaken by the Fed. Hence, a US Treasury bull steepening environment tends to benefit the US Financials, especially in wholesale banking, as net interest margins expand, in turn, triggering a positive feedback loop back into the Dow Jones Industrial Average (heavily weighting in the Financials sector). The recent pull-back in the DJIA since last Friday, 12 September, has moved in line with the flattening of the US Treasury yield curve (10-year minus 2-year). Interestingly, the flattening process of the US Treasury yield has stalled at a major ascending support, and a re-steepening motion seems to be in progress as it staged a bounce from 0.48% on 11 September 2025 to 0.52% on Tuesday, 16 September 2025. The further re-steepening of the US Treasury yield curve will likely hinge on today’s release of the Fed’s latest economic projections and Chair Powell’s press conference, both of which will shape market expectations for monetary policy. Should the Fed strike a dovish tone that prompts markets to price in more than the three rate cuts currently anticipated for 2026 (latest CME FedWatch tool data), the yield curve may resume its bull-steepening trend, in turn supporting the next bullish impulsive move in the DJIA. Let’s now focus on the short-term (1 to 3 days) trajectory and key technical levels to watch on the US Wall Street 30 CFD Index Fig. 3: US Wall Street 30 CFD minor trend as of 17 Sep 2025 (Source: TradingView) Preferred trend bias (1-3 days) The minor corrective pull-back from last Friday, 12 September 2025, may have reached its terminal point for a potential bullish reversal. Maintain a bullish bias on the US Wall Street 30 CFD Index with 45,780/45,690 as key short-term pivotal support. A clearance above 46,180 adds impetus to the start of another bullish impulsive up move sequence for the next intermediate resistances to come in at 46,365/46,400 and 46,570 (Fibonacci extension) (see Fig. 3). Key elements The recent pull-back of the US Wall Street 30 CFD Index has started to stall at the lower boundary of the minor ascending channel in place since the 1 August 2025 low.The 45,780/45,690 key short-term pivotal support also coincides with the pull-back for the former minor “Ascending Triangle” range resistanceThe hourly RSI momentum indicator has staged a rebound after it reached its oversold zone on Tuesday, 16 September 2025, which suggests that the recent bearish momentum has eased.Alternative trend bias (1 to 3 days) A break below the 45,690 key short-term support invalidates the bullish reversal scenario on the US Wall Street CFD Index. A further extension of the minor corrective decline may materialise to expose the next intermediate supports at 45,425 and 45,290/45,175. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.
  8. Bitcoin is knocking on the $117,000 level, while Ethereum isn't feeling too confident, trading around the same levels as at the week's start. While markets await a rate cut from the US Federal Reserve and another push toward all-time highs, analytics firm Santiment notes that ahead of the FOMC meeting, greed and bullish sentiment for BTC have reached a 10-week high, which historically is "bearish." This fact should raise some concern among investors and analysts. Excessive optimism and belief in nonstop growth usually precede a correction or, worse, a deeper drop. Financial history is full of examples where euphoria turned into disappointment. Growing greed, amplified by falling rates, can potentially overheat the market. Investors, driven by the fear of missing out (FOMO), begin to buy assets without regard to fundamentals. Eventually, this bubble can burst, leaving many market participants at a loss. On the other hand, it's important to remember that market sentiment is just one factor influencing prices. Fundamentals and central bank actions play a crucial role. So, rushing to conclusions based solely on sentiment analysis can be a mistake. Intraday crypto strategy: I'll continue to focus on buying into any major dips in Bitcoin and Ethereum, betting on the still-intact medium-term bull trend. Short-term trading strategy and conditions are outlined below. BitcoinBuy ScenarioScenario #1: Buy Bitcoin today if it reaches an entry point around $117,300, targeting a rise to $118,100. Around $118,100, exit longs and sell on the bounce. Before buying a breakout, make sure the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is above zero.Scenario #2: Buy Bitcoin from the lower boundary at $116,800 if there's no bearish reaction, aiming for a reversal up to $117,300 and $118,100.Sell ScenarioScenario #1: Sell Bitcoin today if it hits $116,800, targeting a fall to $115,800. Around $115,800, exit shorts and buy on the bounce. Before entering a breakout short, check that the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is below zero.Scenario #2: Sell Bitcoin from the upper boundary at $117,300 if the breakout fails, aiming for a drop to $116,800 and $115,800. EthereumBuy ScenarioScenario #1: Buy Ethereum today if it reaches an entry near $4,535, targeting a rise to $4,599. Around $4,599, exit longs and sell on the bounce. Before entering a breakout long, check that the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is above zero.Scenario #2: Buy Ethereum from the lower boundary at $4,499 if there's no bearish reaction, targeting $4,535 and $4,599.Sell ScenarioScenario #1: Sell Ethereum at $4,499, targeting a drop to $4,417. Around $4,417, exit shorts and buy on the bounce. Before entering a breakout short, verify the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is below zero.Scenario #2: Sell Ethereum from the upper boundary at $4,535 if the breakout fails, targeting $4,499 and $4,417.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  9. Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenThe test of 146.88 occurred when the MACD indicator had just started moving down from the zero mark, confirming it as the correct entry point for selling the dollar, and this resulted in a drop of over 40 pips in the pair. Expectations that the Federal Reserve will take a more dovish approach have been the main factor pressuring the dollar and supporting the Japanese yen. Most likely, in the first half of today, the dollar will continue to struggle to gain ground. This situation is due to several factors. First, US economic data lately has been clearly negative, offering a sobering picture of the US economy. Second, even though the market has already priced in the Fed's coming rate cuts, this continues to make the dollar less attractive to investors. Third, the Japanese yen, in contrast, is benefiting from expectations of imminent changes to Bank of Japan policy. As for the intraday strategy, I will focus more on implementing scenarios #1 and #2. Buy ScenarioScenario #1: I plan to buy USD/JPY today around the entry point of 146.62 (green line on the chart), targeting a rise to 147.05 (thicker green line). Near 147.05, I'll exit longs and open shorts on the bounce (expecting a 30–35 pip reversal). The optimal opportunities to buy this pair are on pullbacks and deep corrections. Important! Before buying, make sure the MACD is above the zero line and just starting to rise. Scenario #2: I also plan to buy USD/JPY if there are two consecutive tests of 146.39 while the MACD is in the oversold zone. This will limit downside and trigger a reversal up. Look for growth to the opposite levels, 146.62 and 147.05. Sell ScenarioScenario #1: I plan to sell USD/JPY today only after a move below 146.39 (red line on the chart), which could trigger a rapid drop. Sellers' key target will be 146.01, where I'll exit shorts and immediately open longs in the opposite direction (expecting a 20–25 pip bounce). It's best to sell as high as possible. Important! Before selling, ensure the MACD is below zero and starting to drop. Scenario #2: I'll also look to sell USD/JPY if there are two consecutive tests of 146.62 while the MACD is in overbought territory. This will cap the upside and trigger a reversal down, targeting the opposite levels: 146.39 and 146.01. What's on the Chart:Thin green line – entry price at which the instrument can be bought. Thick green line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely. Thin red line – entry price at which the instrument can be sold. Thick red line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely. MACD indicator: When entering the market, it is important to refer to overbought and oversold areas. Important. Beginner forex traders should exercise extreme caution when making entry decisions. Before important fundamental reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid sharp price swings. If you decide to trade during the release of news, always use stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you don't use money management and trade large volumes. And remember: for successful trading, you need a clear trading plan, as I described above. Making spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation from moment to moment is a losing strategy for an intraday trader. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  10. Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe first test of the 1.3646 price occurred when the MACD indicator had just started to move up from the zero mark, confirming this as the correct entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose, stopping just short of the 1.3671 target. UK labor market data kept demand for the pound healthy in the first half of the day, after which dollar weakness returned. Despite the lack of strong positives in the published data, the mere resilience of the UK labor market—contrary to some analysts' expectations—supported the national currency. Investors who feared a sharp deterioration got a signal that the UK economy is perhaps more resilient to external shocks than previously thought. Today, the pound's dynamics will be influenced by UK Consumer Price Index data and its core value. Economists forecast increases in both, which could have a significant effect on Bank of England policy and the value of the pound. If the CPI comes in above expectations, this will likely strengthen the case for a more restrictive BoE stance—this could bolster the pound. Conversely, lower-than-expected inflation readings may reduce pressure on the central bank, leading to a softer pound. The core CPI (stripping out the volatility of food and energy prices) gives a clearer picture of underlying inflation trends. Faster core CPI growth compared to the headline figure may signal deeper problems with inflation in the UK economy. As for the intraday strategy, I will focus more on implementing scenarios #1 and #2. Buy ScenarioScenario #1: I plan to buy the pound today at the entry point near 1.3650 (green line on the chart), targeting a rise to 1.3671 (thicker green line). Around 1.3671, I'll exit longs and open shorts on the reversal (expecting a 30–35 pip move in the opposite direction). Strong pound rallies can be expected if the uptrend continues. Important! Before buying, make sure the MACD is above zero and just starting to rise. Scenario #2: I also plan to buy the pound if there are two consecutive tests of the 1.3631 price while the MACD is in the oversold zone. This will limit the pair's downside and lead to an upward reversal. Growth to the opposite levels of 1.3650 and 1.3671 can be expected. Sell ScenarioScenario #1: I plan to sell the pound today after a breakdown below 1.3631 (red line on the chart), which should cause a quick decline. Sellers' main target will be 1.3612, where I'll exit shorts and immediately buy on a reversal (expecting a 20–25 pip move in the opposite direction). Pound sellers are unlikely to be very active in the first half of the day. Important! Before selling, ensure the MACD is below zero and beginning to decline. Scenario #2: I'll also consider selling the pound if there are two consecutive tests of 1.3650 while the MACD is in the overbought zone. This will cap the upside and lead to a reversal downward, targeting 1.3631 and 1.3612. What's on the Chart:Thin green line – entry price at which the instrument can be bought. Thick green line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely. Thin red line – entry price at which the instrument can be sold. Thick red line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely. MACD indicator: When entering the market, it is important to refer to overbought and oversold areas. Important. Beginner forex traders should exercise extreme caution when making entry decisions. Before important fundamental reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid sharp price swings. If you decide to trade during the release of news, always use stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you don't use money management and trade large volumes. And remember: for successful trading, you need a clear trading plan, as I described above. Making spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation from moment to moment is a losing strategy for an intraday trader. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  11. Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe test of the 1.1821 price occurred when the MACD indicator was just starting to move up from the zero mark, confirming the right entry point for buying the euro in line with the trend. As a result, the pair reached the target level of 1.1848. The euro's confident climb was driven by encouraging data from Germany's ZEW institute, reflecting positive shifts in economic sentiment across the eurozone. The main driving force on the currency market then became expectations for continued dovish policy from the US Federal Reserve. Initial expectations pointed to a cautious Fed approach to rate cuts, but now many traders expect at least two rate reductions by year-end, which is bearish for the dollar. Today is shaping up to be busy, with many events potentially impacting currency fluctuations. Market participants and experts will pay special attention to how actual CPI readings differ from economists' forecasts. If the numbers come in above expectations, this could increase pressure on the ECB to rule out further rate cuts this year, which would most likely boost the euro. Conversely, results below forecasts could trigger the opposite, prompting a euro decline. ECB President Christine Lagarde is also set to speak today. The market will closely scrutinize her comments on the inflation outlook and future ECB measures. Lagarde may use this platform to adjust current market expectations or to offer clearer guidance on the central bank's next moves. As for the intraday strategy, I will focus more on implementing scenarios #1 and #2. Buy ScenarioScenario #1: Today, I plan to buy the euro if the price reaches the 1.1864 area (green line on the chart), targeting a rise to 1.1898. At 1.1898, I intend to exit longs and sell in the opposite direction, counting on a 30–35 pip move from the entry. Buying the euro is only advisable after strong stats. Important! Before buying, make sure the MACD is above zero and just starting to rise. Scenario #2: I'll also plan to buy the euro if there are two consecutive tests of 1.1845, while the MACD is in the oversold zone. This will limit the pair's downside potential and trigger a reversal upward. Growth to the opposite levels of 1.1864 and 1.1898 can then be expected. Sell ScenarioScenario #1: I plan to sell the euro after it reaches 1.1845 (red line on the chart), targeting 1.1822, where I'll exit shorts and immediately buy on the rebound (expecting a 20–25 pip move in the opposite direction). Downside pressure may return to the pair today if the data is weak. Important! Before selling, ensure the MACD is below zero and just starting to decline. Scenario #2: I'll also look to sell the euro if there are two consecutive tests of 1.1864 while the MACD is in the overbought zone. This will cap the pair's upside and trigger a reversal downward—look for declines to the opposite levels: 1.1845 and 1.1822. What's on the Chart:Thin green line – entry price at which the instrument can be bought. Thick green line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely. Thin red line – entry price at which the instrument can be sold. Thick red line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely. MACD indicator: When entering the market, it is important to refer to overbought and oversold areas. Important. Beginner forex traders should exercise extreme caution when making entry decisions. Before important fundamental reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid sharp price swings. If you decide to trade during the release of news, always use stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you don't use money management and trade large volumes. And remember: for successful trading, you need a clear trading plan, as I described above. Making spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation from moment to moment is a losing strategy for an intraday trader. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  12. The US dollar continued to lose ground actively—a development that's easy to explain. There is growing talk in the market that the Fed will be forced to act more dovish, especially after the latest fundamental data from the US, which hardly gives dollar bulls any confidence. Yesterday, strong data from Germany's ZEW institute, which indicated improving economic sentiment in the eurozone, led to a stronger euro. Investors saw this as a signal of potential regional economic stabilization, increasing interest in the European currency. However, the key factor influencing the FX market in the second half of the day was a shift in expectations around future Federal Reserve policy. This weakened dollar appeal, since lower interest rates make the currency less attractive to investors seeking higher yields. The dollar's decline, in turn, further strengthened the euro, pound, and other risk assets. Today promises to be packed with events that could significantly impact FX trends. CPI reports for both the eurozone and the UK will be in focus, providing crucial insights into inflation dynamics. These figures will be key for assessing the monetary policy outlook of both the European Central Bank and the Bank of England. Investors and analysts will be watching closely to see how the actual CPI results match expectations. If the readings beat forecasts, pressure on the ECB to halt further rate cuts will intensify, likely strengthening the euro. Conversely, lower-than-expected results could trigger the opposite reaction, weakening the euro. An upside surprise in the UK CPI is likely to increase pressure on the BoE to take a more cautious approach—this may strengthen the pound, as the prospect of higher yields on sterling assets enhances their investment appeal. On the other hand, weaker-than-forecast inflation could relieve pressure on the BoE and lead to a lower pound. Thus, today's inflation data will be a key factor in defining the next trajectory for both the euro and the pound. Traders and investors are advised to pay close attention to these releases and be ready to react swiftly to any significant deviations from forecasts. If the data matches economists' expectations, it's best to use a Mean Reversion strategy. If the data comes in much higher or lower than expected, a Momentum strategy is most appropriate. Momentum Strategy (Breakout):EUR/USDBuying on a breakout above 1.1870 could bring the euro up to the 1.1900 and 1.1937 Selling on a breakout below 1.1840 could sink the euro toward 1.1793 and 1.1754GBP/USDBuying on a breakout above 1.3665 could send the pound up to 1.3705 and 1.3746Selling on a breakout below 1.3625 could drag the pound down to 1.3590 and 1.3555USD/JPYBuying on a breakout above 146.70 could lift the dollar toward 147.12 and 147.40Selling on a breakout below 146.30 could send the dollar down to 145.92 and 145.63Mean Reversion Strategy (Pullbacks): EUR/USDI'll look to sell after a failed breakout above 1.1872, once the price comes back below this levelI'll look to buy after a failed breakout below 1.1840, once the price returns above this level GBP/USDI'll look to sell after a failed breakout above 1.3660, once the price comes back below this levelI'll look to buy after a failed breakout below 1.3630, once the price returns above this level AUD/USDI'll look to sell after a failed breakout above 0.6690, once the price comes back below this levelI'll look to buy after a failed breakout below 0.6669, once the price returns above this level USD/CADI'll look to sell after a failed breakout above 1.3757, once the price returns below this levelI'll look to buy after a failed breakout below 1.3738, once the price returns above this levelThe material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  13. A month ago, on August 19, we expected a US stock market reversal based on the completion of five DeMark sequences. However, that reversal didn't materialize—there was only a five-day correction. Now, however, we've encountered six sequences, marked by the number "9" on the daily chart. Given today's complex monetary policy decision, the Fed faces, the chances of a significant S&P 500 decline are even higher. Visually, the market could fall into the 5916–5973 range, a zone it traded in from mid-May to mid-June before resuming its uptrend. Another reference point is the simple moving average (SMA) with a period of 233, which currently lies just above that zone. The MA377 is below this range and will reach its lower boundary in about 40 trading days. Therefore, if the market breaks beneath the MA377 before then, a longer-term decline in the stock market may be in play. On the second daily chart, it's clear that since June—when the S&P 500 resumed growth out of the 5916–5973 range—the Marlin oscillator's signal line has been moving sideways, hovering around the zero line. Now, the signal line is turning down from the upper boundary of the channel. This indicates weakness in the entire three-month rally. Our target zone aligns with a 38.2% correction of the advance since April. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  14. On-chain analytics firm Glassnode has explained how the Bitcoin price trend remains constructive as long as the asset trades above the short-term holder cost basis. Bitcoin Is Still Maintaining Above Short-Term Holder Realized Price In a new post on X, Glassnode has discussed about the Realized Price of the Bitcoin short-term holders. The “Realized Price” here refers to an indicator that keeps track of the cost basis of the average investor or address on the BTC network. When the value of the metric is greater than BTC’s spot price, it means the investors as a whole are sitting on some net unrealized profit. On the other hand, it being under the asset’s value implies the overall market is in a state of net loss. In the context of the current topic, the Realized Price of a specific segment of the userbase is of interest: the short-term holders (STHs). This cohort includes the investors who purchased their tokens within the past 155 days. Now, here is the chart shared by Glassnode that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Realized Price for the STHs over the last few years: As displayed in the above graph, Bitcoin retested the STH Realized Price at the start of the month and found support at it. Since then, the coin’s price has seen some recovery. This pattern of the STH Realized Price acting as a support barrier has actually been seen many times through this bull market. The reason behind the pattern may lie in investor psychology. Statistically, the longer an investor holds onto their coins, the less likely they become to sell them in the future. Since the STHs have a relatively low holding time, however, they don’t tend to be resolute, and thus, easily make panic moves when shifts occur in the market. The STHs can particularly be susceptible to panic when the cryptocurrency retests their break-even level. When the market mood is bullish, the reaction comes in the form of buying. This is because the STHs look at drawdowns to their cost basis as dip-buying opportunities. Similarly, STHs react to surges to their Realized Price by selling during bearish periods instead, fearing that the asset would decline again in the near future and send them back into a state of loss. For now, Bitcoin is maintaining above the STH Realized Price. “As long as the price respects this level, the trend remains constructive,” notes the analytics firm. “Losing this support has coincided with phases of contraction or pullbacks.” BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $116,200, up almost 5% over the last seven days.
  15. Yesterday, the euro made an impressive jump upward by 105 pips, reaching the upper boundary of the price channel precisely at 1.1879. Economic data out of Europe and the US were solid: in Europe, the key figures were the ZEW Economic Sentiment Index, while in the US, industrial production, retail sales, and Q3 GDP forecast (3.4% vs. 3.1% previous estimate). If it weren't for market nervousness about the expectation of three Fed rate cuts, the dollar would have definitely strengthened. This time, however, even a slight increase in European data (sentiment for September 26.1 vs. 25.1 in August; July industrial production +0.3% vs. -0.6% in June) was met with extra enthusiasm—even against a declining stock market (S&P 500 -0.13%) and slightly declining US bond yields. Possibly, euro strength was also supported by oil jumping 2.12% and currency contract expiries. All of this is a sign of a looming collapse. In our opinion, the market has overestimated the influence of employment figures on Fed policy. This can be traced to Trump's discontent and the resignation of Bureau of Labor Statistics head E. McEntarfer. However, Jerome Powell remarked at Jackson Hole that, in tackling weak employment and high inflation, the Fed would primarily focus on inflation. And inflation has been rising for four straight months. Its current level, 2.9%, is surpassed only by Japan (3.1%), the UK (3.8%), and Mexico (3.57%). Therefore, the market's expectation of three cuts by year-end seems even more inflated than in January, when investors had priced in six cuts for the year. Today, the Fed will cut its rate by 0.25%—if only not to disappoint a bond market that has fully priced in such a move—but will give a very firm signal: no more cuts this year. After all, Trump's tariffs have only just started to drive this inflation higher (in four months). On the four-hour chart, the Marlin oscillator has shown accelerated growth and has entered the overbought zone—a sign of an impending pullback. In the coming days, we expect EUR/USD to head toward 1.1392 (the August low). Supports at 1.1632 and 1.1495 are now seen as interim levels. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  16. The British pound gained 47 pips yesterday, closing above the target level of 1.3631. The range between 1.3631 and 1.3700 looks too fragile amid the upcoming Fed decision on monetary policy. The 1.3525–1.3631 range appears slightly stronger, but the truly solid and strategically important range is 1.3364–1.3525, which the pound left behind after short futures contracts were closed ahead of today's Fed meeting. The Fibonacci time grid points to the completion of the growth cycle since August 1 (8 periods)—a collapse may follow today. A move below 1.3525 (coinciding with the MACD line) will open the way to 1.3364 (the lows of July 16 and June 23), then to 1.3253. On the 4-hour chart, the rise from 1.3525 was not supported by the Marlin oscillator, which remained sideways. The MACD line reinforces the 1.3525 support. Accordingly, a break below this level will anchor the bearish sentiment. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  17. Solana started a fresh increase above the $240 zone. SOL price is now consolidating gains below $240 and might aim for another increase if it stays above $230. SOL price started a fresh upward move above the $240 and $242 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $240 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $238 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend losses if it dips below the $230 zone. Solana Price Consolidates Gains Solana price started a decent increase after it settled above the $220 zone, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed above the $235 level to enter a short-term positive zone. The price even smashed the $242 resistance. The bulls were able to push the price above the $245 barrier. A high was formed at $250 and the price recently started a downside correction. There was a move below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the $200 swing low to the $250 high. However, the bulls were active above $230. Solana is now trading below $240 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $238 level. Besides, there is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $238 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. The next major resistance is near the $242 level. The main resistance could be $250. A successful close above the $250 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $262. Any more gains might send the price toward the $280 level. More Downside In SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $238 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $232 zone. The first major support is near the $229 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the $200 swing low to the $250 high. A break below the $229 level might send the price toward the $220 support zone. If there is a close below the $220 support, the price could decline toward the $212 support in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $229 and $220. Major Resistance Levels – $238 and $250.
  18. Circle Internet Financial (CRCL), the firm behind the USDC stablecoin, has announced a significant investment in Hyperliquid (HYPE), a layer-1 blockchain that has experienced high demand this year. Circle’s Strategic Move Into Hyperliquid As part of this initiative, Circle has launched Native USDC and Cross-Chain Transfer Protocol (CCTP V2) on HyperEVM, an Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) integrated into Hyperliquid’s layer-1 blockchain. This move is expected to streamline the adoption of USDC and enhance its utility. Plans also include enabling direct deposits and ensuring CCTP interoperability for Hyperliquid USDC on HyperCore, a platform that specializes in on-chain financial operations. Circle’s announcement further revealed that it has become a direct stakeholder in Hyperliquid. The stablecoin issuer is also considering becoming a Hyperliquid validator, which would strengthen its position within the network. Hyperliquid also boasts nearly $6 billion in USDC, which is a little over 8% of Circle’s total USDC supply. These deposits would reportedly generate approximately $250 million in annual interest for partners such as Circle and Coinbase (COIN). Jeremy Allaire, Circle’s CEO stated on X (formerly Twitter): Don’t Believe the Hype. We are coming to the HYPE ecosystem in a big way. We intend to be a major player and contributor to the ecosystem. Happy to see others purchase new USD tickers and compete . Hyper fast native USDC with deep and nearly instant cross chain interoperability will be well received. HYPE Token Hits New All-Time High The blog post further asserted that the integration of Native USDC onto HyperEVM—and the upcoming support from HyperCore—promises to enhance the capital efficiency of transactions within the Hyperliquid ecosystem. This initiative is said to allow developers and users to transact seamlessly across the crypto economy, making it easier for fintech firms and other service providers to leverage USDC. Circle’s investment in Hyperliquid is just the beginning as the company plans to introduce incentive programs for builders working on HyperEVM, aiming to stimulate innovation and collaboration. The blog post concluded: We’ve simply been blown away by the growth and success of Hyperliquid over the last year, and as we’ve gotten to know Jeff and team, and many of the major emerging builders in the ecosystem, it’s very clear that this is something incredibly unique and special. Circle is here. We’re investing. We’re thrilled to be supporting this incredible community. According to CoinGeko data, HYPE has surpassed a market capitalization of $14 billion, surging over 1,500% since its inception and debut on December 1, 2024. As of this writing, the price of Hyperliquid’s native token has retraced toward $53 after reaching a new all-time high of $57 last Friday. Circle’s stock, on the other hand, which recently debuted on the Nasdaq, is trading at $135 per share — a nearly 55% drop compared to its all-time high of over $298. However, relative to its IPO price of $64, the stock has gained 157%. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
  19. Macroeconomic Report Analysis: There are quite a few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Wednesday, but it's worth reminding novice traders that yesterday's calendar was also full of data—yet none of it had any impact on the dollar, euro, or pound. So a similar situation might occur today. For instance, what should we expect from the second estimate of eurozone inflation, when this reading already has almost no impact on the ECB? US construction and real estate data are unlikely to be more important than industrial production and retail sales, which the market ignored yesterday. Thus, the only data of real interest is the UK inflation report. Fundamental Events Analysis: Among Wednesday's fundamental events, ECB President Christine Lagarde's speech stands out, but we won't dwell on it. She is speaking three times this week, and her first speech was not about monetary policy. The ECB meeting was held last week, so the market already has all the information it needs from the central bank. The biggest event of the day, week, and even the month is the Fed meeting. Even though everyone already expects the decision, there's plenty of room for surprises. For example, Powell might take an even more dovish stance, or the number of "doves" on the FOMC might increase. In general, surprises are possible, and the main risk is a new drop for the US dollar. General Conclusions:During the third trading day of the week, both currency pairs could continue their uptrends, but new buy signals are needed. The euro can be traded today from 1.1851, while the pound should be traded from the 1.3643–1.3652 area. Keep in mind that UK inflation may trigger a move in the pound, and the Fed meeting plus Powell's speech could drive both pairs. Key Rules for the Trading System:Signal Strength: The shorter the time it takes for a signal to form (a rebound or breakout), the stronger the signal.False Signals: If two or more trades near a level result in false signals, subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.Flat Markets: In flat conditions, pairs may generate many false signals or none at all. It's better to stop trading at the first signs of a flat market.Trading Hours: Open trades between the start of the European session and the middle of the US session, then manually close all trades.MACD Signals: On the hourly timeframe, trade MACD signals only during periods of good volatility and a clear trend confirmed by trendlines or trend channels.Close Levels: If two levels are too close (5–20 pips apart), treat them as a support or resistance zone. Stop Loss: Set a Stop Loss to breakeven after the price moves 15–20 pips in the desired direction.Key Chart Elements:Support and Resistance Levels: These are target levels for opening or closing positions and can also serve as points for placing Take Profit orders. Red Lines: Channels or trendlines indicating the current trend and the preferred direction for trading. MACD Indicator (14,22,3): A histogram and signal line used as a supplementary source of trading signals. Important Events and Reports: Found in the economic calendar, these can heavily influence price movements. Exercise caution or exit the market during their release to avoid sharp reversals. Forex trading beginners should remember that not every trade will be profitable. Developing a clear strategy and practicing proper money management are essential for long-term trading success. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  20. Tuesday Trade Review:1H Chart of GBP/USD The GBP/USD pair also traded higher, but in a much calmer and more familiar fashion. The trendline remains relevant, so only further growth of the British pound should be expected, both in the short and long term. Yesterday's UK reports were bland and were clearly not the reason for the pound's rise. US figures beat forecasts, but the market simply ignored them. Today, an important UK inflation report is scheduled for release in about an hour and a half. The Fed meeting is later in the evening, and the Bank of England meets tomorrow. Therefore, volatility over the next 24 hours could be elevated, and we might see a lot of sharp movements and reversals on the charts. The outcomes of both the BoE and Fed meetings can be predicted with 90% certainty already, but surprises are always possible. The Fed may be more dovish than traders expect—or the opposite. As such, caution is advised with any market positions today and tomorrow. 5M Chart of GBP/USD On the 5-minute chart on Tuesday, four trading signals were generated. First, the price bounced three times from the 1.3643 level but failed to move even 20 pips in the needed direction each time—these signals duplicated each other. Then, the 1.3643–1.3652 area was broken, but this buy signal also didn't yield profit, as the pound's rally had already ended by that time. How to Trade on Wednesday:On the hourly timeframe, GBP/USD continues its uptrend; on higher timeframes, it shows signs of resuming the "2025 trend." As said before, there's no basis for expecting medium-term dollar growth, so we continue to anticipate further gains for the pound. Over the next 24 hours, price moves may be choppy and volatile. On Wednesday, the GBP/USD pair may continue moving north, having successfully broken the 1.3643–1.3652 area. However, today and tomorrow's movements will largely depend on macro and fundamental events. On the 5-minute chart, you can trade on the following levels: 1.3102–1.3107, 1.3203–1.3211, 1.3259, 1.3329–1.3331, 1.3413–1.3421, 1.3466–1.3475, 1.3529–1.3543, 1.3574–1.3590, 1.3643–1.3652, 1.3682, 1.3763. On Wednesday, the UK will publish a fairly significant inflation report, which could surprise with an unexpected August result. In the evening, the Fed decision and Jerome Powell's press conference will take place in the US—an event the whole world will be watching. Core Trading System Rules:Signal Strength: The shorter the time it takes for a signal to form (a rebound or breakout), the stronger the signal.False Signals: If two or more trades near a level result in false signals, subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.Flat Markets: In flat conditions, pairs may generate many false signals or none at all. It's better to stop trading at the first signs of a flat market.Trading Hours: Open trades between the start of the European session and the middle of the US session, then manually close all trades.MACD Signals: On the hourly timeframe, trade MACD signals only during periods of good volatility and a clear trend confirmed by trendlines or trend channels.Close Levels: If two levels are too close (5–20 pips apart), treat them as a support or resistance zone.Stop Loss: Set a Stop Loss to breakeven after the price moves 20 pips in the desired direction.Key Chart Elements:Support and Resistance Levels: These are target levels for opening or closing positions and can also serve as points for placing Take Profit orders. Red Lines: Channels or trendlines indicating the current trend and the preferred direction for trading. MACD Indicator (14,22,3): A histogram and signal line used as a supplementary source of trading signals. Important Events and Reports: Found in the economic calendar, these can heavily influence price movements. Exercise caution or exit the market during their release to avoid sharp reversals. Forex trading beginners should remember that not every trade will be profitable. Developing a clear strategy and practicing proper money management are essential for long-term trading success. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  21. Tuesday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair continued its upward movement. The hourly timeframe clearly shows the formation of a new bullish trend, and on the daily timeframe, the trend of 2025 is officially back in force. There's no point even searching for new reasons behind the dollar's latest fall. None of the four somewhat important reports yesterday had anything to do with the euro's growth. US retail sales and industrial production both exceeded forecasts, which should have caused the pair to fall. However, the global fundamental backdrop continues to exert powerful pressure on the US dollar. From time to time, the dollar does correct, but overall, we continue to expect only further decline. This evening we'll get the Fed's meeting outcome, which could spark another drop in the dollar—even though the event has already been partly "priced in" by the market, for instance, on Tuesday. 5M Chart of EUR/USD On the 5-minute timeframe on Tuesday, movement was decent, but the trading signals themselves were not the best. The first trading signal formed during the US session after a very inaccurate and indecisive breakout of 1.1808. It's worth noting that there were no macroeconomic reasons for a strong euro rally yesterday. Next came a false sell signal around 1.1851 and a late buy signal at the same level. As a result, it was quite difficult to profit from Tuesday's movement. How to Trade on Wednesday:On the hourly timeframe, the EUR/USD pair has every chance to continue the uptrend that's been forming since the start of this year. The fundamental and macro backdrop remains negative for the dollar, so we still do not expect a reversal to USD strength. In our view, as before, the dollar can only hope for technical corrections. A consolidation below the trendline would signal a new phase of technical decline, but for now, the pair is about 100 pips above that line. On Wednesday, the pair could continue its move north as the uptrend persists. From 1.1851 (with a signal), you can look for fresh longs toward 1.1908. Shorts become relevant if there's a break and close below 1.1851, targeting 1.1808. On the 5-minute timeframe, consider the following levels: 1.1354–1.1363, 1.1413, 1.1455–1.1474, 1.1527, 1.1571–1.1584, 1.1655–1.1666, 1.1737–1.1745, 1.1808, 1.1851, 1.1908, 1.1970–1.1988. On Wednesday, in the Eurozone, there will be another speech from Christine Lagarde as well as the second estimate of August inflation—both are secondary events. In the US, several minor reports and the Fed meeting are on the agenda. Core Trading System Rules:Signal Strength: The shorter the time it takes for a signal to form (a rebound or breakout), the stronger the signal.False Signals: If two or more trades near a level result in false signals, subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.Flat Markets: In flat conditions, pairs may generate many false signals or none at all. It's better to stop trading at the first signs of a flat market.Trading Hours: Open trades between the start of the European session and the middle of the US session, then manually close all trades.MACD Signals: On the hourly timeframe, trade MACD signals only during periods of good volatility and a clear trend confirmed by trendlines or trend channels.Close Levels: If two levels are too close (5–20 pips apart), treat them as a support or resistance zone.Stop Loss: Set a Stop Loss to breakeven after the price moves 15 pips in the desired direction.Key Chart Elements:Support and Resistance Levels: These are target levels for opening or closing positions and can also serve as points for placing Take Profit orders. Red Lines: Channels or trendlines indicating the current trend and the preferred direction for trading. MACD Indicator (14,22,3): A histogram and signal line used as a supplementary source of trading signals. Important Events and Reports: Found in the economic calendar, these can heavily influence price movements. Exercise caution or exit the market during their release to avoid sharp reversals. Forex trading beginners should remember that not every trade will be profitable. Developing a clear strategy and practicing proper money management are essential for long-term trading success. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
  22. XRP price started a downside correction below the $3.050 resistance. The price is now recovering losses and faces hurdles near the $3.080 zone. XRP price is consolidating losses after declining below the $3.120 resistance. The price is now trading below $3.080 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $3.00 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if the price clears the $3.080 zone. XRP Price Attempts Recovery XRP price started a fresh decline below the $3.120 level, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price dipped below the $3.020 level to enter a short-term bearish zone. There was a move below the $3.00 pivot level and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. A low was formed at $2.957 and the price recently started a recovery wave. There was a move above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3.186 swing high to the $2.957 low. Besides, there was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $3.00 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The price is now trading below $3.060 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If the bulls protect the $3.00 support, the price could attempt another increase. On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $3.060 level. The first major resistance is near the $3.080 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3.186 swing high to the $2.957 low. A clear move above the $3.080 resistance might send the price toward the $3.120 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $3.180 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $3.250. Another Decline? If XRP fails to clear the $3.060 resistance zone, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $3.00 level. The next major support is near the $2.950 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $2.950 level, the price might continue to decline toward $2.880. The next major support sits near the $2.840 zone, below which the price could gain bearish momentum. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $3.00 and $2.950. Major Resistance Levels – $3.080 and $3.120.
  23. Although Ethereum (ETH) is still up approximately 80% over the past three months, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap appears to have lost its momentum lately, down 0.6% over the past month. Binance Ethereum Trading In Neutral Zone According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, Ethereum trading on Binance during September 2025 is witnessing a period of relative calm compared to other months. Notably, there has been a decline in the imbalance between ETH spot and perpetual volumes. Commenting on ETH’s recent price surge, which saw it jump from $2,127 on June 15 to around $4,500 at the time of writing, Arab Chain noted that this rally was not supported by strong momentum. Neither the spot market nor leveraged speculators contributed to the price appreciation. The CryptoQuant contributor brought attention to ETH’s Z-score, which has oscillated between 0.0 and -1.0 for most of September. Such a Z-score typically signifies the asset trading in a neutral zone, with a slight tilt toward the spot market. For the uninitiated, a Z-score measures how far a data point is from the mean, expressed in units of standard deviation. In trading, it’s used to identify whether a value – like volume or price – is unusually high or low compared to its historical average. In essence, ETH’s current Z-score means that perpetual contracts are slowly losing their dominance in trading volume. This could be due to multiple reasons, such as speculators exiting the market or due to increased dependence on real buy/sell orders from actual investors. The decline in perpetual trading volume is significant compared to the period between June and August. As a result, the appetite for leveraged speculation has dwindled too, a sign of growing caution in the market. Arab Chain added: Despite this decline, the spot market also showed limited strength, reflecting a general lack of investor engagement. Spot volume remained below the 500K–1M range, which is significantly lower than the peaks recorded in July and June. The analyst cautioned that although the lack of strong imbalances between the spot and perpetual markets may seem positive at first, it could also mean there is heightened uncertainty and stagnation pertaining to the direction of ETH’s price. Is ETH Preparing For A New Rally? Although ETH appears to be stuck in limbo due to its sluggish price action, some analysts are confident that the digital asset is likely to resume its bullish trajectory in the near term. For example, ETH reserves on exchanges continue to deplete at a rapid pace. Similarly, institutional demand for ETH continues to be strong, with some analysts forecasting ETH to climb to $6,800 by the end of 2025. At press time, ETH trades at $4,439, down 1.6% in the past 24 hours.
  24. Ethereum price started a fresh decline below $4,620. ETH is now trading below $4,620 and might extend losses if it stays below $4,585. Ethereum is now correcting gains below the $4,620 zone. The price is trading below $4,600 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $4,580 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it settles above $4,580 and $4,620. Ethereum Price Faces Hurdles Ethereum price started a fresh decline after it failed to stay above the $4,650 zone, like Bitcoin. ETH price corrected gains and dipped below the $4,600 support. There was a move below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $4,268 swing low to the $4,765 high. The bears were able to push the price below $4,500 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $4,580 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. Ethereum price is now trading below $4,560 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $4,550 level. The next key resistance is near the $4,580 level and the trend line. The first major resistance is near the $4,620 level. A clear move above the $4,620 resistance might send the price toward the $4,665 resistance. An upside break above the $4,665 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $4,720 resistance zone or even $4,740 in the near term. Another Decline In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $4,580 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $4,480 level. The first major support sits near the $4,450 zone and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $4,268 swing low to the $4,765 high. A clear move below the $4,450 support might push the price toward the $4,380 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $4,320 region in the near term. The next key support sits at $4,250. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $4,450 Major Resistance Level – $4,580
  25. CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin Bull Score Index has jumped from 20 to 50 in just four days, suggesting a swift shift out of bearish territory for the asset. Bitcoin Bull Score Index Is Back In Neutral Region In a new post on X, CryptoQuant head of research Julio Moreno has talked about the latest trend in the analytics firm’s Bull Score Index. This indicator basically tells us about which phase of the market Bitcoin is in right now. The index combines the data of several key on-chain metrics to determine its value. Some of these indicators include the Market Value to Realized Cap (MVRV) Ratio, keeping track of average investor profitability on the network, and the Stablecoin Liquidity, measuring the amount of capital stored in the form of fiat-tied tokens. When the Bull Score Index has a value of 60 or higher, it means the majority of the underlying metrics are currently giving a bullish signal. On the other hand, the metric’s value being 40 or lower implies BTC is in a bear phase according to its indicators. Now, here is the chart shared by Moreno that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Bull Score Index over the past year: As is visible in the above graph, the Bitcoin Bull Score Index was sitting at a low of just 20 four days ago, but since then, its value has witnessed a sharp climb to the 50 level. This means that on-chain metrics are signaling neutral market conditions for the asset now. This shift comes just as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) kicks off its two-day meeting on Tuesday. BTC price itself has taken to sideways movement ahead of it, indicating that the market is divided about the event’s outcome. Analytics firm Santiment has shared in an X post about how social media users are reacting to the meeting. In the chart, Santiment has attached the data of the “Positive/Negative Sentiment,” an indicator that compares the bullish and bearish posts related to Bitcoin that are appearing on the major social media platforms. This metric has surged recently and hit the 1.77 mark, suggesting that there are 1.77 positive comments being made for every negative comment related to the cryptocurrency. This is the most bullish that retail traders have been on social media in around 10 weeks. While some excitement can be normal, an excess of it isn’t usually a positive sign. As the analytics firm explains, “historically, markets move in the opposite direction of retail’s expectations.” BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $115,700, up more than 2.5% over the last week.
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