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USD/JPY: simple trading tips for beginner traders on September 17th (U.S. session)
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Trade review and tips for trading the Japanese yen The price test of 146.62 in the first half of the day occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. The second test of 146.62, when the MACD was in the overbought area, led to the execution of sell scenario #2 and a 30-point drop in the yen. In the second half of the day, everything depends on the FOMC. The key interest rate will be announced, the committee's economic review will be published, and then Jerome Powell's press conference will take place. The recent unstable economic situation in the country makes the FOMC's decision a powerful factor capable of causing significant swings in financial markets. A rate cut and signals of similar policy in the future would lead to a sharp weakening of the dollar and strengthening of the Japanese yen. Apart from the rate decision itself, special attention will be paid to the FOMC's economic projections. This document will provide insight into how committee members see the future of the economy, including growth, inflation, and employment prospects. Any mismatch between the FOMC's outlook and market expectations could trigger volatility and repricing of assets. Fed Chair Jerome Powell's press conference is today's most important event. Given that today's debates are mainly focused on possible monetary easing, with signs of slowing economic growth and subdued inflation, many market participants expect Powell to strike a dovish tone, which would be negative for the dollar and positive for the yen. As for intraday strategy, I will rely mainly on implementing scenarios #1 and #2. Buy signal Scenario #1: Today I plan to buy USD/JPY at the entry point around 146.78 (green line on the chart), targeting growth to 148.26 (thicker green line on the chart). Around 148.26 I will exit purchases and open sales in the opposite direction (expecting a 30–35-point move back from the level). Growth in the pair can be expected only after a firm Fed stance. Important! Before buying, make sure the MACD indicator is above zero and just starting to rise from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to buy USD/JPY today in case of two consecutive tests of the 146.17 level when the MACD indicator is in oversold territory. This will limit the pair's downward potential and trigger a reversal upward. Growth can be expected toward the opposite levels of 146.78 and 148.26. Sell signal Scenario #1: I plan to sell USD/JPY today after breaking below 146.17 (red line on the chart), which will lead to a quick decline in the pair. The key target for sellers will be 144.67, where I will exit sales and immediately open purchases in the opposite direction (expecting a 20–25-point move back from the level). Pressure on the pair will return today if the Fed strikes a dovish tone. Important! Before selling, make sure the MACD indicator is below zero and just starting to move downward. Scenario #2: I also plan to sell USD/JPY today in case of two consecutive tests of the 146.78 level when the MACD indicator is in overbought territory. This will limit the pair's upward potential and trigger a reversal downward. A decline can be expected toward the opposite levels of 146.17 and 146.77. What's on the chart: Thin green line – entry price for buying the instrument;Thick green line – estimated price where Take Profit can be set or profits fixed manually, as further growth above this level is unlikely;Thin red line – entry price for selling the instrument;Thick red line – estimated price where Take Profit can be set or profits fixed manually, as further decline below this level is unlikely;MACD indicator – when entering the market, it is important to follow overbought and oversold zones.Important. Beginner Forex traders must make entry decisions with great caution. Before the release of important fundamental reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid sharp price fluctuations. If you decide to trade during news releases, always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you neglect money management and trade in large volumes. And remember, successful trading requires a clear trading plan, like the one I presented above. Making spontaneous decisions based on the current market situation is initially a losing strategy for an intraday trader. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
GBP/USD: simple trading tips for beginner traders on September 17th (U.S. session)
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Trade review and tips for trading the British pound The price test of 1.3631 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far below the zero mark, which limited the pound's downward potential. In the first half of the day, inflation data was released in the UK. The market showed no reaction. The pound sterling continued to trade within a narrow sideways channel. It will likely remain there until the Fed's decision. In the second half of the day, the FOMC decision on the key interest rate, FOMC economic projections, and Jerome Powell's press conference are expected. Markets are frozen in anticipation. Investors and analysts around the world are preparing for the moment of truth, when the Federal Open Market Committee announces its decision on the key interest rate. In recent months, the economic situation in the country has remained rather weak, and the FOMC's decision could become a catalyst for further moves in financial markets. Beyond the rate decision itself, close attention will be paid to the economic projections presented by the FOMC. These will provide insight into how committee members view the future of the economy, including prospects for growth, inflation, and employment. Any discrepancies between the FOMC's outlook and market expectations could trigger volatility and repricing of assets. The highlight of the day will be the press conference of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. He will answer journalists' questions and try to clarify the FOMC's stance, as well as comment on the latest economic data. His words will likely be scrutinized for hints about future monetary policy. As for intraday strategy, I will rely more on implementing scenarios #1 and #2. Buy signal Scenario #1: Today I plan to buy the pound at the entry point around 1.3660 (green line on the chart), targeting growth to 1.3731 (thicker green line on the chart). Around 1.3731 I will close purchases and open sales in the opposite direction (expecting a 30–35-point move back from the level). A strong rise in the pound today can be expected after weak Fed forecasts. Important! Before buying, make sure the MACD indicator is above zero and just beginning to rise from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to buy the pound today in case of two consecutive tests of the 1.3631 price level at a time when the MACD indicator is in oversold territory. This will limit the pair's downward potential and lead to a reversal upward. Growth can be expected toward the opposite levels of 1.3660 and 1.3730. Sell signal Scenario #1: I plan to sell the pound today after breaking below 1.3631 (red line on the chart), which will lead to a quick decline in the pair. The key target for sellers will be 1.3574, where I will exit sales and immediately open purchases in the opposite direction (expecting a 20–25-point move back from the level). The pound will fall if the Fed takes a firm stance. Important! Before selling, make sure the MACD indicator is below zero and just beginning to move down from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to sell the pound today in case of two consecutive tests of the 1.3660 price level at a time when the MACD indicator is in overbought territory. This will limit the pair's upward potential and lead to a reversal downward. A decline can be expected toward the opposite levels of 1.3631 and 1.3574. What's on the chart: Thin green line – entry price for buying the instrument;Thick green line – estimated price for placing Take Profit or fixing profit manually, as further growth above this level is unlikely;Thin red line – entry price for selling the instrument;Thick red line – estimated price for placing Take Profit or fixing profit manually, as further decline below this level is unlikely;MACD indicator – when entering the market, it is important to follow overbought and oversold zones.Important. Beginner Forex traders must make entry decisions with great caution. Before the release of important fundamental reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid sharp price swings. If you decide to trade during news releases, always set stop orders to minimize losses. Without stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you neglect money management and trade in large volumes. And remember, successful trading requires a clear trading plan, like the one presented above. Making spontaneous decisions based on the current market situation is initially a losing strategy for an intraday trader. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
EUR/USD: simple trading tips for beginner traders on September 17th (U.S. session)
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Trade review and tips for trading the euro The price test of 1.1845 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far below the zero mark, which limited the downward potential of the pair. For this reason, I did not sell the euro. Weak inflation data in the euro area, which fell to the target of 2.0%, is holding back EUR/USD growth, as it gives the European Central Bank the freedom to cut rates promptly if necessary. For this reason, the ECB will most likely approach decision-making with caution, carefully assessing all possible risks. In the current economic situation, the most probable scenario is maintaining the existing policy, providing room for maneuver depending on future developments. In the second half of the day, the Federal Reserve is expected to announce a cut in the key interest rate, presumably by 0.25%. However, the main focus will be on the updated economic projections and the committee's future plans regarding further stimulus measures. The rate cut itself is already priced in, so the context and outlook are what matter most. The details—wording in the meeting minutes and individual committee members' assessments—are of key importance. Fed Chair Powell's statement will be closely analyzed, and any slight downward revisions to forecasts could trigger active dollar selling and euro buying. As for intraday strategy, I will focus mainly on implementing scenarios #1 and #2. Buy signal Scenario #1: Today, I plan to buy the euro at around 1.1864 (green line on the chart) with a target at 1.1945. At 1.1945 I plan to exit the market and also sell the euro in the opposite direction, aiming for a 30–35-point move from the entry level. Counting on euro growth is only reasonable if the Fed's forecasts turn out weak. Important! Before buying, make sure the MACD indicator is above zero and just starting to rise from it. Scenario #2: I also plan to buy the euro today if there are two consecutive tests of the 1.1831 price level at a time when the MACD indicator is in oversold territory. This will limit the pair's downward potential and trigger a reversal upward. Growth can be expected toward the opposite levels of 1.1864 and 1.1945. Sell signal Scenario #1: I plan to sell the euro after reaching 1.1831 (red line on the chart). The target will be 1.1762, where I intend to exit the market and immediately buy in the opposite direction (expecting a 20–25-point move back from this level). Pressure on the pair will return today if the Fed maintains a firm stance. Important! Before selling, make sure the MACD indicator is below zero and just starting to move downward. Scenario #2: I also plan to sell the euro today in case of two consecutive tests of the 1.1864 price level when the MACD indicator is in overbought territory. This will limit the pair's upward potential and trigger a reversal downward. A decline can be expected toward the opposite levels of 1.1831 and 1.1762. What's on the chart: Thin green line – entry price for buying the instrument.Thick green line – estimated price where Take Profit can be set or profits fixed manually, as further growth above this level is unlikely.Thin red line – entry price for selling the instrument.Thick red line – estimated price where Take Profit can be set or profits fixed manually, as further decline below this level is unlikely.MACD indicator – when entering the market, it is important to follow overbought and oversold zones.Important. Beginner traders in the Forex market must make entry decisions very carefully. Before the release of important fundamental reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid sharp price fluctuations. If you decide to trade during news releases, always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you neglect money management and trade in large volumes. And remember, successful trading requires a clear trading plan, such as the one I presented above. Making spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation is initially a losing strategy for an intraday trader. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
BHP, Lundin Mining bet $400M on Argentina copper hub
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
BHP (ASX, NYSE: BHP) and Lundin Mining’s (TSX: LUN) joint venture in Argentina is investing more than $400 million near the Chilean border, aiming to develop a multibillion-dollar copper project that could become the country’s next major production hub. The venture, Vicuña Corp, was created in January after the partners acquired Filo Corp. It controls both the Filo del Sol deposit in straddling the border Argentina-Chile and the Josemaría deposit in Argentina’s San Juan province. Since the acquisition, Vicuña has carried out tests and pre-construction work at Josemaría, with plans to seek approvals and begin production in 2030. The company also extended the mine’s useful life from 19 to 25 years after confirming higher-than-expected resources and set ore processing capacity at 175,000 tonnes per day. The budget already places Vicuña among Argentina’s largest foreign investors this year, even as final development costs are still being calculated, Vicuña’s senior country manager for Argentina and Chile told Bloomberg News. The company is also preparing an application for tax, customs, and currency exchange benefits under Argentina’s large investment incentives program, known as RIGI. “RIGI is critical,” Morea said. “It levels the playing field and allows for the project to be competitive in tax terms when compared to other jurisdictions in Latin America and across the world.” CEO appointed Vicuña expects to submit a technical report to its board by March, outlining timelines, production forecasts, and processing methods. To guide the next phase, the company appointed this week mining veteran Ron Hochstein as chief executive officer. Hochstein, who brings more than three decades of industry experience, most recently serving as Chair and CEO of Lundin Gold, will take the helm on November 7. Argentina has not produced copper since 2018, but a growing pipeline of projects could elevate the country into the world’s top 10 producers. -
This is a follow-up analysis and a timely update of our prior publication, “USD/JPY Technical: Mild JPY strength detected ahead of US CPI”, published on 11 September 2025. In the last four weeks, the US dollar has weakened significantly against several major currencies, such as the euro, which rallied to a 4-year peak against the greenback on Tuesday, 16 September, but the bearish momentum of the US dollar has lagged against the Japanese yen (see Fig. 1). Fig. 1: 1-month rolling performance of the US dollar against other major currencies as of 17 Sep 2025 (Source: TradingView) The USD/JPY has declined as expected within its range configuration and hit the minor range support of 146.40 (printed an intraday low of 146.20 on Wednesday, 17 September 2025, Asia session). Based on a one-month rolling performance basis as of 17 September 2025, the USD/JPY has dropped by -0.6%, less than the decline seen in the US Dollar Index at -1.1% over the same period at the time of writing. Interestingly, the momentum factor (technical analysis) is suggesting that the fortune of JPY is about to see a regime change, as the FOMC monetary policy decision outcome, the release of the latest Fed economic projections, and Fed Chair Powell’s press conference loom today. Let’s break down the short-term (1 to 3 days) trajectory and key technical levels to watch on the USD/JPY Fig. 2: USD/JPY medium-term trend as of 17 Sep 2025 (Source: TradingView) Fig. 3: USD/JPY minor trend as of 17 Sep 2025 (Source: TradingView) Preferred trend bias (1-3 days) Maintain a bearish bias in any bounces below the adjusted short-term pivotal resistance at 147.50 for the USD/JPY. A break below 145.95 (key range support) triggers the start of a potential medium-term bearish impulsive down move sequence for the next intermediate support to come in at 145.20 (also a Fibonacci extension) in the first step (see Fig. 3). Key elements The price actions of the USD/JPY have been oscillating within a medium-term “Ascending Wedge” range configuration since 22 April 2025 low. Right now, it is hovering just above the lower boundary of the “Ascending Wedge,” acting as a key medium-term support of 145.95 (see Fig. 2).The daily RSI momentum indicator has continued to inch downwards since the bearish breakdown of its former parallel ascending support on 22 August 2025, which suggests that medium-term bearish momentum remains intact, supporting a potential imminent bearish breakdown of the 145.95 support on the USD/JPY (see Fig. 2).Recent price actions of the USD/JPY have traded below its 20-day and 50-day moving averages, with the 20-day moving average acting as a key short-term resistance at 147.50.The hourly RSI momentum indicator did not flash out a bearish divergence signal before it exited from its oversold region yesterday, 16 September 2025, which suggests the USD/JPY may shape a minor corrective bounce in the next few hours rather than a bullish reversal.Alternative trend bias (1 to 3 days) A clearance above 147.50 invalidates the bearish scenario for the USD/JPY and sees a squeeze up towards the next intermediate resistance at 147.95. Above it triggers a further bounce towards the minor range resistance at 148.75/148.95 (also the 200-day moving average). Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.
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It is September, and it is the month when the crypto market usually flips the script. This September, memecoins are front and center, and Toshi crypto is leading the memecoin space. While the crypto sentiment shifts bullish following the Fed’s rate cut odds, retail money is pouring into Solana memecoin crypto plays like PENGU and Toshi, which just posted a massive 49% daily pump. (source – CME watch) Currently trading around $0.00088 with a market cap north of $366 million, Toshi crypto is crushing rivals like BRETT, while boosting confidence across the Solana memecoin sector. With daily volume on Toshi spiking past $363 million, fueled by a Korean Upbit listing, and Solana’s on-chain activity heating up, it’s clear the memecoin market is having its summer. (source – CoinGecko) DISCOVER: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025 Toshi Crypto Surges as BRETT Loses Steam: Can Solana Memecoin Ecosystem Heats Up with PENGU and PUMP? The Base ecosystem hasn’t seen this kind of memecoin run since January. Over the past 24 hours, Toshi has not only outperformed memecoin crypto contenders but also left BRETT in the dust. BRETT remains stuck at around $0.000504 with underwhelming volume, while Toshi crypto has climbed, and 300K+ wallets are holding the token. (source – Base TVL, DefiLlama) According to DeFiLlama, Base’s TVL has jumped 5% to more than $5 billion, largely on the back of this growing Toshi crypto hype. The SOL ▲0.23% memecoin scene is also gaining traction. PENGU holds a strong market cap of around $2 billion. PUMP, the pump.fun coin has also run above its all-time high, rising by more than 200% in the last few weeks. pudgy penguinsPriceMarket CapPENGU$2.96B24h7d1y Notably, 85% of Solana’s 2025 token launches have been memecoins, mostly launched in pump.fun. As per Dune data, more than 12 million tokens have been launched in pump.fun. (source – Dune) Toshi crypto run has undeniably echoes into Solana, lifting overall sentiment for memecoins like BONK and WIF. Trading volume is bumping, low fees—continues to support real retail interest in Solana memecoin scene. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates 56 minutes ago BTC USD Braces For Vital FOMC Meeting: Best Crypto to Buy Right Now? By Akiyama Felix Today is D-day, and leading crypto traders will know whether it is the right time to add to their portfolio the best crypto to buy right now. Bitcoin and its hot pair, BTC USD, are at the top of their list, but there are other quality altcoins to explore. Some may not be in the top 20, but they are rising steadily up the crypto ranking. Ahead of the FOMC announcement, where the Federal Reserve is largely expected to slash rates, BTC USD is firm and likely to close above a key resistance level at $118,000 by the end of the day. According to Coingecko, Bitcoin crypto is already up nearly +100% year-to-date, and steady over the past trading month. While BTC USDT prices slightly fell in the second half of last week, momentum has been building. In the last week of trading, the Bitcoin price is up roughly +4%. (Source: Coingecko) On Coinglass, top traders are bullish. The long/short ratio, which compares the number of long to short positions, is positive, at +2. However, looking at accounts, the long/short ratio is below +1, meaning most accounts on Binance are net bearish on the digital gold. (Source: Coinglass) Still, BTC USD and BTC USDT is rising, standing at $17.4Bn on Binance and over $8.3Bn on Bybit. It is also rapidly rising on Hyperliquid, standing at nearly $3Bn, up +18% in the past 24 hours. DISCOVER: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in 2025 Read the full article here. 2 hours ago What Time is The Fed Rate Cut Meeting Today? Fed Rate Cuts Looms As Bitcoin Traders Brace for $112K Whiplash By Akiyama Felix What time is the Fed rate cuts meeting today? BTC ▲0.99% is trading near $116,000 as markets await the Federal Reserve’s September 17 decision. CME FedWatch puts the odds of a 25-basis-point cut at 96%, effectively locking in cheaper capital. The fed rate cut decision will be made at 2:00 PM EST. The question for the Bitcoin price, however, and crypto is more about impact than timing. The worry right now is that a recession has followed a majority of rate-cutting cycles, and poor US economic data is ubiquitous leading into the meeting. (Source: FRED) Sometimes you get a soft landing (1984, 1995), but they’re rare and only tend to happen if unemployment is falling and yield curves are more normal. Neither is the case today. While rate cuts are stimulative in a vacuum, the Fed only tends to use them when unemployment worsens or the broader economy is at higher risk than rising inflation is. Jerome Powell and the Fed may have backed themselves into a corner after their excessive COVID stimulus. Analyst Lark Davis cautioned that liquidity shifts rarely play out cleanly, warning of a potential “sell-the-news” dip before upside momentum takes hold. Conversely, trader Sykodelic drew parallels to 2024, when Bitcoin climbed 77% in the three months after a 50 bps cut, calling the current setup “nearly identical.” So, where does crypto go next? Read the original story here. 2 hours ago CAT, AURA, WIF Lead As Meme Coins Dip For FOMC: Best Meme Coin to Buy Today? By Akiyama Felix Meme coins are struggling ahead of today’s FOMC meetings, which are expected to result in a 25bps rate cut. Standing out from the crowd are Simon’s Cat (CAT), Aura (AURA), and Dog Wif Hat (WIF), all in the green overnight, posting 4 to 6% gains. With the FOMC volatility expected, investors are wondering what is the best meme coin to buy Today? According to CoinGecko, the meme coin category is down 0.4% today, falling to a combined market cap of $86.5Bn. Most are in the red today, while a few outliers, such as the aforementioned meme coins, are holding strong in the face of today’s expected market volatility. (SOURCE) Read the full article here. The post Latest Crypto News Today, September 17: TOSHI Outperforming BRETT and Pudgy Penguins’ PENGU Crypto as Best of Memecoin Gains Traction appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
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Speculation around the XRP price and XRP spot ETF spiked after REX Shares said on Sept. 15 that the REX-Osprey XRP ETF (ticker: XRPR) will begin trading this week. If confirmed, it would mark the first US fund offering direct exposure to XRP ▼-0.51%, the market’s third-largest crypto by capitalization. This is it for XRP: The SEC Case is nearly settled, Donald Trump is president, XRP is in the strategic crypto reserve. If this doesn’t pump XRP price sky high, what will? People said once the lawsuit was finished, XRP would teleport to $10+ instantly, and nothing happened. So what is going on? The 20 SMA recently crossed above the 200 in a Golden Cross, but flattening shows indecision. In short, $3.01 is the line in the sand, and $3.04–$3.05 is the gate to the next leg higher. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 New Meme Coin Bitcoin Hyper: Is This The Best New Crypto to Buy This Week? While XRP is uncertain in where it goes next, Bitcoin Hyper is launching as the first Bitcoin Layer-2 chain to integrate the Solana Virtual Machine (SVM), aiming to deliver near-instant transactions and low fees while remaining secured by Bitcoin. The system runs on a bridge in which users lock BTC, mint a wrapped version, and use that token across decentralized applications within the Hyper ecosystem. (Source: X) By opening Bitcoin to DeFi, gaming, and tokenized real-world assets, HYPER broadens use cases and trims the circulating supply, two factors that can favor price. Early investors have put in $16.4 million less than 24 hours before the $0.012935 token round closes. If momentum builds, Bitcoin Hyper’s pitch of Bitcoin-grade security with Solana-style throughput could become a Q4 talking point for traders eyeing a $200k BTC. There’s also a 320% APY staking option for those who’d rather stack rewards while the ICO winds down. The HYPER crowd is live on Telegram and X for updates and chaos. Join the Utility HYPE Wave with BTC Hyper Now EXPLORE: ETH USD Price Primes to Retest $4,700: Dark Money Rotating into Ethereum? Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways Speculation around the XRP price and XRP spot ETF spiked after REX Shares said on Sept. 15 that the REX-Osprey XRP ETF will trade very soon. Bitcoin Hyper, a new Bitcoin Layer-2 chain built with the Solana Virtual Machine (SVM), is the first L2 to integrate SVM. The post Now That The XRP Price Is Dead, What’s Next? XRP ETF Buzz Heats Up as REX-Osprey Prepares Spot Launch appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
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From a technical perspective, yesterday's break of the round level of 147.00 and consolidation below it became a fresh trigger for the bears. Moreover, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart has once again started moving lower, indicating that the path of least resistance for spot prices is downward. However, a minor rebound from support at 146.20, where the 100-day SMA is currently aligned, calls for caution. Therefore, it would be prudent to wait for sustained selling below this area, as well as below the round level of 146.00, before planning further losses. In that case, the pair would accelerate its decline toward intermediate support at 145.30, opening the way to the psychological level of 145.00. On the other hand, a recovery above the nearest resistance zone of 146.70 would attract new sellers and remain capped at the round level of 147.00. However, subsequent buying beyond the 147.15–147.20 level, where the 100-day EMA passes, could lift USD/JPY toward the 147.50–147.60 level, where the 50-day SMA lies, on the way to the round level of 148.00. A firm move above this level would trigger short covering toward the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), which currently sits near 148.70. The next levels would be the round 149.00 and the monthly high around 149.15–149.20. If decisively broken, short-term sentiment would shift in favor of the bulls. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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The NZD/USD pair is struggling to extend its recent two-day rally that set a new monthly high. Sellers are now appearing near the psychological level of 0.6000, but the decline remains limited as traders await the key decision of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Fed is expected to announce at least a 25-basis-point rate cut. Market focus is on updated economic projections and Fed Chair Jerome Powell's press conference, which should provide guidance on the future rate path. These signals will have a direct impact on the short-term dynamics of the U.S. dollar and may set a new impulse for the NZD/USD pair. Ahead of this important event, position adjustments are taking place, leading to a moderate recovery of the dollar from its lowest levels since early July. At the same time, investor caution continues to support the dollar's status as a safe-haven currency, putting pressure on the risk-sensitive New Zealand dollar. However, significant dollar strengthening is unlikely, given the growing expectations of more active Fed easing, which overall supports the NZD/USD pair and limits potential losses. Going forward, market attention will shift to the release of New Zealand's Q2 GDP data, which is expected to show a 0.3% contraction following 0.8% growth in Q1. These figures may reinforce expectations of further rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) and determine the near-term direction of NZD/USD. Nonetheless, current fundamentals require caution from the bears. From a technical perspective, oscillators on the daily chart remain positive, prices are trading above the 100-day SMA, and the 9-day EMA is above the 14-day EMA. All this confirms a positive outlook for NZD/USD. The nearest resistance is seen at 0.5990, just below the round level of 0.6000. Immediate support lies at the 100-day SMA around 0.5960, and if prices fall below this level, the next support will be at 0.5940. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair consolidated above the resistance zone of 1.1789–1.1802 and continued its upward movement toward the 127.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.1896. Today, a rebound from this level would work in favor of the U.S. currency and lead to some decline toward 1.1802. A consolidation above 1.1896 would increase the probability of further growth toward the next Fibonacci level of 161.8% at 1.2034. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains straightforward and clear. The last upward wave broke the peak of the previous one, while the last completed downward wave failed to break the previous low. Thus, the trend is currently "bullish." The latest labor market data and the changed outlook for the Fed's monetary policy support only bullish traders, while the bears are left with nothing. On Tuesday, the bulls did not have many reasons for a new attack, but the market decided to act in advance. Today, the Fed meeting will be held, where an interest rate cut will be announced, and traders already priced in this event yesterday. Was it justified that the dollar fell again? Most likely, yes. Today's Fed decision will only be the first step, so the market is logically pricing in further rate cuts, of which there may be quite a few. Of course, if Jerome Powell this evening once again emphasizes the importance of economic data and states that there is no planned rate-cutting strategy, this may work against the bulls, who already traded on the "dovish" scenario. However, one way or another, the dollar faces nothing favorable in the near future. Everyone in the market understands this, so any new corrective pullback will be used by traders only for fresh EUR/USD purchases. It is also worth noting that, in principle, fairly good reports on industrial production and retail sales in the U.S. yesterday caused no reaction. The market is fully focused on Powell's speech and the signals the Fed will deliver. On the 4-hour chart, the pair consolidated above the horizontal corridor, allowing traders to expect further growth. A consolidation above the 161.8% Fibonacci level at 1.1854 will increase the chances of continued growth toward the next level at 1.2066, while a rebound from this level would allow for a decline toward 1.1680. Needless to say, I do not particularly believe in the second scenario. The CCI indicator is shaping up for a "bearish" divergence, but everything today will depend on the Fed. Commitments of Traders (COT) report: During the last reporting week, professional traders opened 2,389 long positions and closed 3,696 short positions. The sentiment of the "Non-commercial" group remains bullish, thanks to Donald Trump, and is strengthening over time. The total number of long positions held by speculators now stands at 258,000, compared to 132,000 short positions. The gap is effectively twofold. Also, note the number of green cells in the table above, which show strong increases in positions on the euro. In most cases, interest in the euro continues to grow, while interest in the dollar declines. For thirty-one consecutive weeks, large traders have been reducing short positions and increasing longs. Donald Trump's policies remain the most significant factor for traders, as they may create many problems of a long-term and structural nature for America. Despite the signing of several important trade agreements, many key economic indicators continue to show declines. News calendar for the U.S. and the Eurozone: Eurozone – Speech by ECB President Christine Lagarde (07:30 UTC). Eurozone – Consumer Price Index (09:00 UTC). U.S. – Building permits (12:30 UTC). U.S. – Housing starts (12:30 UTC). U.S. – FOMC decision on interest rate (18:00 UTC). U.S. – FOMC economic projections (18:00 UTC). U.S. – Fed press conference (18:30 UTC). On September 17, the economic calendar contains seven entries, of which the last three are the most significant. The impact of the news background on market sentiment on Wednesday may be strong. EUR/USD forecast and trader recommendations: Short positions in the pair can be considered today on the hourly chart if there is a rebound from 1.1896, with a target at 1.1802. Long positions could have been taken after consolidation above the 1.1789–1.1802 zone with a target at 1.1896. Today, it is better to close these trades in profit and wait for new signals. However, the bulls may continue their attacks today. The Fibonacci grids are built between 1.1789–1.1392 on the hourly chart and between 1.1214–1.0179 on the 4-hour chart. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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What time is the Fed rate cuts meeting today? BTC ▲0.99% is trading near $116,000 as markets await the Federal Reserve’s September 17 decision. CME FedWatch puts the odds of a 25-basis-point cut at 96%, effectively locking in cheaper capital. The fed rate cut decision will be made at 2:00 PM EST. The question for the Bitcoin price, however, and crypto is more about impact than timing. The worry right now is that a recession has followed a majority of rate-cutting cycles, and poor US economic data is ubiquitous leading into the meeting. (Source: FRED) Sometimes you get a soft landing (1984, 1995), but they’re rare and only tend to happen if unemployment is falling and yield curves are more normal. Neither is the case today. While rate cuts are stimulative in a vacuum, the Fed only tends to use them when unemployment worsens or the broader economy is at higher risk than rising inflation is. Jerome Powell and the Fed may have backed themselves into a corner after their excessive COVID stimulus. Analyst Lark Davis cautioned that liquidity shifts rarely play out cleanly, warning of a potential “sell-the-news” dip before upside momentum takes hold. Conversely, trader Sykodelic drew parallels to 2024, when Bitcoin climbed 77% in the three months after a 50 bps cut, calling the current setup “nearly identical.” So, where does crypto go next? Volatility First, Rally Later? bitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.33T24h7d1y Order book data shows heavy bids stacked under $115,000, raising the chance of a liquidity sweep before bulls defend the level. Spot markets are sending mixed signals, with BTC ETF inflows hitting $2.3 billion last week, according to Farside Investors, but futures open interest and funding suggest traders remain hesitant. Analysts broadly expect turbulence around the announcement, with some investors ready to buy dips if Bitcoin tests support. Altcoins may follow the same path, with liquidity rotation into smaller tokens if BTC holds ground above $112K. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in July 2025 Fed’s “Third Mandate” Raises Bigger Questions Beyond the immediate cut, policy watchers are dissecting a new Trump-Fed development. Trump’s Fed pick Stephen Miran has revived a little-known “third mandate” buried in the Federal Reserve Act, which is to moderate long-term interest rates. While long ignored, the clause could be used to justify yield curve control or expanded bond-buying. Former BitMex Co-founder Arthur Hayes suggested that yield curve control could push Bitcoin toward $1 million. With U.S. debt topping $37.5 trillion, sustained low rates may become not just a policy preference but a political necessity. (Source: DefiLlama) DeFiLlama data places the total crypto market cap near $4.1 trillion, just shy of last month’s highs. If Bitcoin reclaims $116,000 and ETF flows remain strong, 99Bitcoins analysts believe fresh all-time highs could follow. But if Powell signals restraint, BTC risks being trapped in the $107 -$115K range. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 What’s Next for Crypto Investors? Near term, traders expect turbulence around the Fed, with dip-buying opportunities and room for altcoin flows if Bitcoin breaks higher. The longer horizon, however, will feature ongoing fights over the Fed’s role, and the prospect of Trump allies rewriting its mandate. Bitcoin may not get a straight line to $120K, but with Wall Street and Washington both playing roles, the stakes have rarely been higher. EXPLORE: Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino Hopes For Net Positive From US Elections, Says Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Is A Great Idea: 99Bitcoins Exclusive Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways The BTC price is trading near $116,000 as markets await the Federal Reserve’s September 17 decision. Bitcoin may not get a straight line to $120K, but with Wall Street and Washington both playing roles, the stakes have rarely been higher. The post What Time is The Fed Rate Cut Meeting Today? Fed Rate Cuts Looms As Bitcoin Traders Brace for $112K Whiplash appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Tuesday continued its upward move and consolidated above the resistance zone of 1.3611–1.3620. Thus, the upward movement may extend today toward the next Fibonacci level at 1.3708. A decline in the pound will be considered only if the pair closes below the 100.0% Fibonacci level at 1.3587, with a target at 1.3482. The wave structure remains bullish. The last completed downward wave did not break the previous low, while the new upward wave easily broke the last peak. The news background does not allow bears to go on the offensive. The market expects strong monetary policy easing from the FOMC, which adds strength to bulls. At present, there are no grounds to expect a sharp decline in GBP/USD. On Tuesday, traders ignored all reports that did not fit their outlook. U.S. industrial production volumes rose by 0.1% in August (above expectations), and retail sales grew by 0.6% (also above forecasts). Nevertheless, bears did not attempt an attack. In the morning, UK reports on unemployment and wages were published, but the market paid no attention to them. This morning, the UK released inflation data, which is unlikely to deter bulls. Inflation stood at 3.8% y/y, as expected. Core inflation was 3.6%, also as expected. Thus, nearly all UK reports this week have shown no significant fluctuations. However, this is not a problem. Today and tomorrow, traders will have plenty to digest. First, the Fed will announce its decision, followed by the Bank of England. It seems likely that bears will once again be left empty-handed, though we should not get ahead of ourselves. Jerome Powell could again take a conservative stance and refrain from giving any forecasts on further monetary easing, which would undoubtedly disappoint bulls, who are already counting on three rate cuts by the end of the year. On the 4-hour chart, the pair continues its rise after consolidating above the 1.3378–1.3435 zone. Growth may continue toward the next corrective Fibonacci level of 127.2% at 1.3795. The CCI indicator shows signs of a bearish divergence, which may coincide with a corrective pullback. At the moment, the hourly chart provides more clarity. Commitments of Traders (COT) Report: Sentiment among the "Non-commercial" category of traders did not change over the last reporting week. The number of long positions held by speculators decreased by 1,213, while the number of short positions fell by 748. The current spread between longs and shorts is about 75,000 versus 109,000. Still, the pound leans toward growth, and traders toward buying. In my view, the pound still faces potential for a decline. The news background during the first six months of the year was disastrous for the U.S. dollar but is slowly beginning to stabilize. Trade tensions are easing, key deals are being signed, and the U.S. economy will likely recover in Q2 thanks to tariffs and various investments. At the same time, expectations of Fed monetary easing in the second half of the year are already creating strong pressure on the dollar, with the U.S. labor market weakening and unemployment rising. Therefore, I currently see no grounds for a "dollar trend." News Calendar for the U.S. and UK: UK – Consumer Price Index (06:00 UTC).U.S. – Building Permits (12:30 UTC).U.S. – Housing Starts (12:30 UTC).U.S. – FOMC Interest Rate Decision (18:00 UTC).U.S. – FOMC Economic Projections (18:00 UTC).U.S. – Fed Press Conference (18:30 UTC).September 17 brings six events in the economic calendar. The news background will influence market sentiment on Wednesday, with special attention on the evening FOMC meeting. GBP/USD Forecast and Trader Recommendations: Selling opportunities may appear today if the pair rebounds from 1.3708 on the hourly chart, targeting the 1.3611–1.3620 zone. Buying was possible on the close above 1.3611–1.3620 with a target at 1.3708. These trades can still be held open today with Stop Loss moved to breakeven. Fibonacci grids are built from 1.3586–1.3139 on the hourly chart and from 1.3431–1.2104 on the 4-hour chart. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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Is The US–UK Crypto Alliance A Turning Point For Stablecoin Regulation?
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The US-UK crypto alliance is heating up, and industry insiders expect stablecoins to take centre stage. According to a Financial Times report published on September 16, 2025, this development occurred following a meeting between US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant and Chancellor Rachel Reeves. Prominent firms such as Coinbase, Circle, and Ripple, along with banking giants including Citi, Bank of America, and Barclays, also attended the talks held in London. Banking associations are pushing lawmakers to close a loophole that could allow issuers to offer yield indirectly through exchanges, warning of potential risks to the U.S. deposit base. EXPLORE: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in 2025 Key Takeaways Sycing of US-UK capital markets hinges on stablecoins as the UK seeks deeper capital market and fresh American investments Digital asset coordination expected to be the key talking points in Thursday’s political talks between President Trump and Prime Minister Keir Starmer London-based companies increasingly incorporating in New York have sounded alarm bells in the UK, cautioning the authorities of being left behind their American counterparts The post Is The US–UK Crypto Alliance A Turning Point For Stablecoin Regulation? appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
Forex forecast 17/09/2025: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USDX and Bitcoin
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctuations due to increased volatility. If you decide to trade during the news release, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes. For successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan and stay focues and disciplined. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for a scalper or daytrader. #instaforex #analysis #sebastianseliga The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
Zinsschock oder Kursexplosion? Bitcoin vor der Entscheidung
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Der Markt wartet gespannt auf die Zinsentscheidung der US-Notenbank. Im Vorfeld zeigt Bitcoin eine auffällige Stärke. Nach einem Rücksetzer konnte der Support gehalten werden, wodurch sich der Kurs erneut nach oben bewegte. Besonders der Ausbruch über eine diagonale Trendlinie gab den Bullen kurzfristig Rückenwind. Das Ziel bei rund 117.400 US-Dollar wurde jedoch knapp verfehlt. Der Chart zeigt eine bullische Flagge, die Raum für weitere Anstiege lassen könnte. Bitcoin Bullflag, Quelle: www.tradnigview.com Die Unsicherheit bleibt. Kommt eine Zinssenkung von 0,5 Prozent, wäre ein explosives Szenario nach Norden denkbar, möglicherweise sogar neue Allzeithochs. Bei nur 0,25 Prozent und einer mahnenden Rede von Jerome Powell droht dagegen ein Abverkauf. Anleger müssen sich also auf starke Schwankungen einstellen. Unterstützungen und Widerstände sind in dieser Lage entscheidend, um klare Setups zu finden. Widerstände im Blick Die entscheidende Zone liegt im Bereich von 119.000 bis 123.000 US-Dollar. Erst wenn Bitcoin diese Hürde nachhaltig überwindet, könnte der Weg frei sein für ein Schließen aller offenen Gaps und einen größeren Aufwärtsschub. Scheitert der Kurs an diesem Bereich, droht ein Rückfall in die Region um 113.000 oder sogar 100.000 US-Dollar. Charttechnisch verstärken sich die Risiken, da eine bearishe Divergenz auf dem Vierstunden-Chart sichtbar ist – steigende Kurse, aber ein schwächerer RSI. Kurzfristig bleibt der Markt also ein Spiel zwischen Geduld und Reaktionsgeschwindigkeit. Trader beobachten engmaschig die Bewegungen rund um diese Zonen. Auch die Entwicklung anderer Märkte wie S&P 500, Nasdaq oder Edelmetalle spielt eine Rolle, da sie stark mit der US-Geldpolitik verknüpft sind. Ethereum kämpft mit wichtigen Marken Ethereum verläuft ähnlich wie Bitcoin. Nach einem Rücksetzer konnte die Tageskerze oberhalb einer wichtigen diagonalen Linie schließen – ein positives Signal. Kurzfristig ist ein Anstieg bis in den Bereich zwischen 4.615 und 4.640 US-Dollar möglich. Erst über dieser Zone wäre der Weg zu 4.700 und darüber hinaus frei. Doch auch bei Ethereum ist Vorsicht angesagt. Fällt der Kurs unter 4.333 oder gar 4.200, könnten weitere 15 Prozent Verlust folgen, mit Kursen bis in den Bereich um 3.600 US-Dollar. Das eröffnet langfristig neue Einstiegschancen, kurzfristig droht aber Druck auf die gesamte Altcoin-Landschaft. Die Marktlogik bleibt also dieselbe: Überraschende Zinsschritte könnten für Rallys sorgen, während warnende Worte der Notenbank die Kurse belasten. In beiden Fällen reagieren Kryptowährungen besonders heftig. Gerade diese Unsicherheit macht die Nebenwerte spannend. Nach jeder größeren Bitcoin-Korrektur hatten Altcoins in den vergangenen Zyklen das Potenzial, überproportional zu steigen. Projekte mit innovativen Ansätzen nutzen die Marktphasen, um Investoren, die auf den Aufschwung hoffen, schon vorzeitig abzuholen. Ein Top-Beispiel ist hier Pepe Node ($PEPENODE). Das neue Projekt vereint spielerisches Mining von Memecoins mit einem Krypto Presale und bringt damit enormes Potenzial für einen Bullenmarkt. Das Projekt setzt nicht auf klassische Coud-Mining-Modelle, die in der Vergangenheit durch Skandale aufgefallen waren. Stattdessen kombiniert es Mining mit einem spielerischen Ansatz. Nutzer können virtuelle Mining-Setups aufbauen, upgraden und damit Meme-Coins wie Pepe oder Fartcoin verdienen. Ein entscheidender Mechanismus ist dabei die Deflation: 70 Prozent aller eingesetzten PEPENODE-Token beim Upgraden werden dauerhaft verbrannt. Dadurch sinkt das Angebot kontinuierlich. Zudem können Käufer ihre Tokens bereits im Presale staken mit dynamischen Renditen von über 1.100 Prozent pro Jahr (zum aktuellen Zeitpunkt). Damit entsteht eine seltene Kombination: frühzeitige Belohnungen und ein deflationäres Modell, das langfristig Druck auf den Kurs ausüben könnte. Mit inzwischen über 1,2 Millionen US-Dollar eingesammeltem Kapital zeigt PepeNode, wie stark das Interesse an innovativen Meme-Projekten derzeit ist. Auch wenn das Risiko eines Memecoins mitschwingt, scheinbar glauben viele Investoren an einen Altcoin Bullrun und an den Anstieg von PepeNode. Hier PepeNode Token im Presale kaufen. Hinweis: Investieren ist spekulativ. Bei der Anlage ist Ihr Kapital in Gefahr. Diese Website ist nicht für die Verwendung in Rechtsordnungen vorgesehen, in denen der beschriebene Handel oder die beschriebenen Investitionen verboten sind, und sollte nur von Personen und auf gesetzlich zulässige Weise verwendet werden. Ihre Investition ist in Ihrem Land oder Wohnsitzstaat möglicherweise nicht für den Anlegerschutz geeignet. Führen Sie daher Ihre eigene Due Diligence durch. Diese Website steht Ihnen kostenlos zur Verfügung, wir erhalten jedoch möglicherweise Provisionen von den Unternehmen, die wir auf dieser Website anbieten. -
The British pound is unchanged on Wednesday, trading at 1.3645 in the European sesison. UK inflation remains entrenched Today's inflation report was a dour reminder that UK inflation remains entrenched. CPI for August was unchanged at 3.8% y/y, matching the consensus and its highest level since January 2024. Airfares decreased but this was offset by food and petrol prices. Monthly, CPI rose 0.3%, up from 0.1% in July and matching the consensus. Core CPI, which excludes volatile items such as food and energy, eased to 3.6% from 3.8%. Monthly, core CPI ticked up to 0.3% from 0.2%. The inflation report comes just a day before the Bank of England announces its rate decision. Inflation is almost double the BoE's target of 2% and today's release likely means that the BoE will not reduce rates before 2026. The BoE cut rates by a quarter-point in August to 4.0% but will be hard pressed to follow up with additional cuts due unless inflation falls lower. The inflation data is bad news for Finance Minister Rachel Reeves. Food inflation has risen for five consecutive months and that will put consumers in a sour mood. Reeves will deliver a budget in November and may have to raise taxes to balance the books, which is sure to be an unpopular move. Fed widely expected to lower rates The Federal Reserve is virtually certain to lower rates at today's meeting. That would be a significant move as the Fed last cut rates in December 2024. With the rate decision virtually a given, investors will be looking for some clues as to whether the Fed is looking at further rates cuts before the end of the year. GBP/USD Technical GBPUSD is testing support at 1.3643. This is followed by support at 1.3638 and 1.36341.3647 and 1.3652 are the next resistance lines GBPUSD 1-Day Chart, September 17, 2025 Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.
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Today, Federal Reserve officials are expected to support the weakening U.S. labor market by cutting interest rates. This would mark a shift after months of holding back due to concerns about tariff-driven inflation. Economists and analysts are watching the decision closely, as it could significantly affect the trajectory of the U.S. economy. A rate cut is expected to stimulate borrowing and investment, potentially leading to higher employment and stronger growth. However, some experts are concerned about the potential long-term consequences of such a move. They argue that a return to lower interest rates could inflate asset bubbles and increase financial instability. Moreover, they warn that the cut might prove ineffective if businesses and consumers remain hesitant to borrow and spend amid ongoing economic uncertainty. The policy shift comes under unrelenting pressure from President Donald Trump, who this week pushed for a larger cut. The political drama has also raised uncertainty about who would even participate in this week's policy meeting, although the lineup was likely finalized Monday evening when the Senate confirmed a new Fed governor. Beyond the political intrigue, investors will focus on Chair Jerome Powell's remarks and the updated economic projections for insights into the likely path of interest rates in the coming months. Particular attention will be paid to the so-called dot plot — the chart showing individual forecasts of FOMC members regarding future rates. Significant divergences in these projections could highlight divisions within the Fed and add uncertainty to the markets. Investors will also study the Fed's updated forecasts for inflation, GDP growth, and unemployment. Any major changes in these projections could strongly influence market expectations and investor behavior. "Each cut will be more difficult than the last, unless the labor market shows further signs of deterioration," Bank of America analysts noted. As mentioned earlier, Fed watchers see potential divisions over the expected quarter-point cut. Some officials may push for a deeper reduction, while others may prefer to keep rates unchanged. Ultimately, the debate centers on which concern outweighs the other: a labor market on the brink of sharp deterioration or accelerating inflation driven by tariffs. Either way, if we don't see significant changes in policymakers' forecasts and today's cut is already priced in, the dollar could strengthen in the short term. But if most committee members adopt a more dovish outlook for the future—or worse, decide on a half-point cut—the dollar will likely fall against risk assets, including the euro and the British pound. Technical Outlook for EUR/USD: Buyers now need to take control of the 1.1875 level. Only then can they aim for a test of 1.1910. From there, the pair could move toward 1.1940, though achieving this without support from large players will be difficult. The ultimate target lies at the 1.1985 high. On the other hand, meaningful buying interest is expected only around 1.1835. If absent there, it would be preferable to wait for a retest of 1.1790 or open long positions from 1.1750. Technical Outlook for GBP/USD: Pound buyers need to break through nearby resistance at 1.3665. This would open the way toward 1.3710, above which further gains will be challenging. The furthest target is around 1.3745. If the pair declines, bears will attempt to take control of 1.3625. A break below this range would deal a serious blow to bulls and push GBP/USD toward 1.3590, with the potential to extend losses to 1.3550. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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GBP/USD. Indicator Analysis on September 17, 2025
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Wednesday, from the level of 1.3642 (yesterday's daily close), the market may begin moving downward toward 1.3626 — a historical support level (blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may continue moving upward toward 1.3682 — the 161.8% target level (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.General conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: On Wednesday, from the level of 1.3642 (yesterday's daily close), the market may continue moving upward toward 1.3682 — the 161.8% target level (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, a pullback downward toward 1.3624 — a historical support level (blue dashed line) is possible. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
Is The Dogecoin Bottom In? Confluence Of Signals Says Yes
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The Dogecoin daily chart is clustering several classical support signals around $0.256–$0.265, as highlighted by Cantonese Cat (@cantonmeow) via X: “DOGE finding support. Tweezer bottom. 0.382 linear fib holding. AVWAP from cycle high holding.” On the Coinbase DOGE/USD one-day view shown, price is reclaiming the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement at $0.26537 while riding the Anchored VWAP drawn from the cycle high, with yesterday’s session marked at an open of $0.26840, high $0.27214, low $0.25680 and last $0.27119. What This Means For Dogecoin Price For readers less familiar with the terms, a “tweezer bottom” is a two-bar reversal formation in which consecutive candles print almost identical lows after a decline. The repeated low shows that dip buyers defended the same price on back-to-back sessions, and the intraday wicks rejecting that level often indicate absorption of sell pressure. In the chart, the twin lows cluster exactly into the $0.265 area, giving a clean reference for risk. On higher timeframes such as the daily, this pattern is watched because it defines a precise inflection without requiring a long basing process; confirmation is typically evaluated by whether subsequent candles hold above those lows and push through the interim highs of the pattern. The 0.382 “linear fib” refers to a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement calculated on a linear price scale from the prior swing extremes drawn on the chart. In practical terms, it marks a shallow retracement level where trends frequently pause or resume. Here, that retracement prints at $0.26537, almost perfectly overlapping the tweezer lows. “Holding” in the analyst’s note means price probed the level intraday but closed back above it, preserving it as support rather than converting it to resistance. AVWAP—the Anchored Volume-Weighted Average Price—is the running average price of all trades since a chosen starting point, weighted by traded volume, with that starting point “anchored” to a specific candle. The anchor here is the cycle high visible on the left side of the chart. Functionally, this AVWAP (drawn as the blue band) represents the composite cost basis of market participants from that top onward. When price is below an AVWAP anchored to a major high, it often behaves as dynamic resistance because many holders are underwater; when price reclaims it, the same line can flip into dynamic support as the average participant moves back to break-even or profit. On this chart, the AVWAP is sloping through $0.265–$0.27 and “holding,” meaning successive tests have found buyers along that band, precisely where the 0.382 retracement and tweezer lows coincide. Technically, that three-way overlay—pattern, retracement, and anchored cost basis—is what traders call confluence. It improves the quality of a level because different methods, derived from different data (price structure, proportional retracement, and volume distribution over time), all argue for the same zone. Where Is DOGE Heading Next? The chart also frames the next directional checkpoints. The nearest marked resistance is the 0.5 retracement at $0.30724, which capped the latest advance before the pullback into $0.265. Above that, the Fibonacci ladder steps to $0.34911 (0.618), $0.40871 (0.786), $0.44419 (0.886), and $0.48464 (1.000), with extensions labeled at $0.58115 (1.272) and $0.63153 (1.414). If the confluence at $0.265 were to fail on a closing basis, the next plotted downside reference on this template is the 0.236 retracement at $0.21357, while the bottom of the displayed range sits at $0.12984. Put together, the chart Cantonese Cat shared communicates a straightforward message: DOGE tested a cluster of technical supports at $0.265, produced a tweezer-style reaction there, and is attempting to stabilize above both the 0.382 retracement and the AVWAP from the cycle high. That is the specific technical context behind the analyst’s “local bottom” read. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.267. -
Latest Crypto News Today, September 16: BTC USD in A Strong Price Zone at 117K, ETH Back Above 4.5K as XRP, BNB, SOL Follow. Crypto market is walking at a steady pace as September rise continues. BTC price holds firm above 117K USD . Meanwhile, ETH is back over 4,500, XRP stays strong at 3.04, and SOL moves up near 238 against USD. bitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.33T24h7d1y All four major coins have posted healthy gains in the past 24 hours, and the current momentum suggests there’s more upside ahead. Add to that BNB with a 2.9% bump to $956, blasting all-time high after all-time high. bnbPriceMarket CapBNB$142.17B24h7d1y According to DeFiLlama, DeFi TVL remains stable at around $159 billion, almost close to the top of the 2021 crypto bull run. Also, according to the data, DEX volume is up over 21% this week, and crypto is likely prepping for a breakout. (source – DeFi TVL, Defillama) DISCOVER: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025 BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP Price Climbs Against USD as Fed Odds Spark Excitement. But, will BNB be the winner in this Q3? After a slump weeks ago, the BTC USD price has now touched $117K twice in two days. CoinGlass shows exchange inflows dropped 15% as whales are accumulating. Open interest on BTC ▲0.99% futures is over $42 billion, with CME data showing a 22% rise in long positions since the start of the month. (source – BTC Inflows, CoinGlass) On CoinGecko, 24-hour trading volume sits at $42 billion or 12% above the weekly average. With CME FedWatch predicting a 96% chance of a rate cut https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html, many believe BTC USD price could continue higher as macro winds turn favorable. There’s real momentum behind ETH USD numbers game right now as it is back above $4,500 again, largely thanks to Lido’s growing TVL, now at $38.6 billion. AAVE ▲4.10% not far behind at $41 billion, and that kind of traction says something as capital is choosing DeFi again. Restaking through EigenLayer added $19 billion in fresh value, giving ETH USD price a strong narrative heading into Q4. (source – Lido TVL, DefiLlama) SOL, meanwhile, is carving out its own identity around 237 USD in price. SOL has been holding support better than most expected. Pantera’s $1.1 billion position in Solana is a sign of big-money conviction. Plus, with Solana’s DEX volumes jumping 25% in a week, it’s now seriously competing with Ethereum on throughput. Both SOL ▲0.23% and ETH ▼-0.17% are good, and right now, both look ready to run. https://twitter.com/mellometrics/status/1849915699059118429 XRP USD has been flying under the radar, but that might not last much longer. Sitting steady at $3.04 per XRP ▼-0.51%, there’s more brewing. Ripple’s On-Demand Liquidity volume hit $1.3 trillion last quarter, and there are whispers backed by Polymarket odds that we might see ETF approval by October. Current predictions give it a 96% chance. (source – Polymarket) If that happens, XRP USD could easily attract billions in inflows. And with 38 billion XRP still locked in escrow, scarcity could come into play fast, and Ripple can rally against USD in a single move. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates 51 minutes ago USDC Targets Hyperliquid Crypto for Expansion: Will HYPE Price Break $60? By Akiyama Felix Stablecoin crypto giant USDC is making bold moves into the decentralized exchange sector, with plans to expand its footprint on Hyperliquid, one of the fastest-growing crypto derivatives platforms. This strategic partnership could dramatically increase liquidity for HYPE, Hyperliquid’s native token, setting the stage for a potential breakout above the critical $60 level. The announcement comes as stablecoins become the backbone of on-chain crypto trading. USDC’s integration with Hyperliquid signals a deeper shift toward fully decentralized liquidity networks, providing institutional and retail traders with faster, more transparent, and cost-efficient trading solutions. With HYPE price already up over 12% this month, traders are wondering if this partnership could trigger a FOMO-fueled run in the coming weeks. hyperliquidPriceMarket CapHYPE8$54.89B24h7d1y Read the original piece here. 52 minutes ago Bitwise Will Change Everything For RWA Crypto This Thanksgiving By Akiyama Felix RWA crypto is set for a massive shakeup this holiday season, with Bitwise filing for a groundbreaking Stablecoin and Tokenization ETF. If approved, the fund is expected to launch just before Thanksgiving, potentially triggering a year-end FOMO rally for stablecoin and real-world asset-linked tokens. With the stablecoin market now at $290Bn and tokenized assets climbing to $66Bn, this ETF could be the spark that brings institutional capital flooding into crypto. Here’s why this development matters and how it could transform the RWA space by the end of 2025. (Source – CoinGecko.com) Read the full story here. The post Latest Crypto News Today, September 17: BTC USD in A Strong Price Zone at 117K, ETH Back Above 4.5K as XRP, BNB, SOL Follow appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
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EUR/USD. Indicator Analysis on September 17, 2025
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Wednesday, from the level of 1.1866 (yesterday's daily close), the market may start moving downward toward 1.1828 — a historical support level (blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may continue moving upward toward 1.1881 — the resistance line (thick blue line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.General conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.1866 (yesterday's daily close), the price may continue moving upward toward 1.1907 — the 208% target level (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may roll back downward toward 1.1881 — the 185.4% target level (red dashed line). The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
Wall Street Ends in the Red U.S. stock markets closed lower on Tuesday, with the three major Wall Street indexes finishing the session in decline. Investors adopted a cautious stance ahead of the Federal Reserve's much-anticipated interest rate decision. Rate Cut Expectations Most market participants continue to bet that the Fed will trim its key rate by 25 basis points. The move is seen as a response to mounting signs of weakness in the U.S. labor market, highlighted by a series of recent economic reports. Political Moves Overlooked Political developments failed to shift market sentiment. The Senate confirmed White House economic adviser Steven Miran to the Federal Reserve Board, while an appeals court rejected former President Donald Trump's attempt to dismiss Fed Governor Lisa Cook. Both events were largely ignored by traders. Retail Sales and Market Volatility Government data showed that U.S. retail sales in August rose more strongly than economists had forecast. Still, the upbeat consumer spending numbers did little to shake expectations of a rate cut. Meanwhile, the CBOE Volatility Index climbed to 16.04, its highest level in more than a week. Pressure from Market Giants Blue-chip stocks weighed on the indexes. Shares of UnitedHealth Group dropped 2.3 percent, while Nvidia slid 1.6 percent. The latter decline followed analyst reports pointing to weaker-than-expected demand in China for Nvidia's latest AI chip. U.S. Indexes Break Records On Monday, Wall Street once again set fresh milestones. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at all-time highs, extending their streak of intraday records across several sessions. Despite September's reputation as a tough month for equities, all three major indexes have posted solid gains since the beginning of the year. Webtoon Soars on Disney Partnership Shares of Webtoon Entertainment surged nearly 39 percent after the company struck a deal with Disney. The collaboration involves launching a digital comics platform featuring content from Disney's vast portfolio, including the Marvel universe and Star Wars. Oracle Gains on TikTok News Oracle stock advanced 1.5 percent after Donald Trump announced that the United States and China had reached an agreement allowing TikTok to remain operational in the U.S. Market enthusiasm was further boosted by reports that Oracle is part of an investor consortium backing the arrangement. European Markets Regain Ground In Europe, stocks opened slightly higher on Wednesday, recovering from losses in the previous session. By early morning GMT, the STOXX 600 index was up 0.1 percent at 551.56 points, with tech companies leading the way. Tech Sector Leads the Rally SAP and Prosus were among the strongest performers, each rising about 2 percent, reinforcing the rebound of the broader technology sector. Focus on the Federal Reserve Global investors are now turning their attention to the conclusion of the Federal Reserve's two-day policy meeting. The outcome of the Fed's deliberations is expected to play a decisive role in shaping market sentiment. PostNL Jumps on Strategic Shift Shares of PostNL surged by more than seven percent after the company unveiled its new roadmap during Capital Markets Day. Starting in January 2026, the parcel delivery division will be split into two separate businesses, one focused on e-commerce and the other on platform services. Novo Nordisk Upgraded Pharmaceutical giant Novo Nordisk saw its stock rise nearly two percent. The advance came after brokerage firm Berenberg upgraded its rating on the Danish drugmaker from Hold to Buy, boosting investor confidence in the company's prospects. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Shares Take a Breath After Record Rally Most Read: Fed (FOMC) Meeting Preview: 25 bps Cut Appears Baked In, Forward Guidance Is Key. Implications for the DXY, Dow Jones and S&P 500 Asian stocks had a mixed day, moving between small gains and losses. This happened as investors waited for the US Federal Reserve's policy decision, with many expecting the central bank to cut interest rates for the first time this year. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index initially fell but then recovered to gain 0.1%. In Hong Kong, Chinese technology stocks soared to their highest level in four years, driven by growing excitement and demand related to artificial intelligence. On Wednesday, China's main stock indexes ended the day higher. The blue-chip CSI300 Index rose by 0.6%, and the Shanghai Composite Index gained 0.4%. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index also did well, climbing 1.8%. Technology companies listed in Hong Kong saw a big jump of 4.2%, following a rally in their U.S. counterparts. Baidu's shares surged by almost 16% to their highest price since October 2023. Alibaba's shares also went up by 5%, reaching their strongest point since November 2022. However, stocks of companies related to consumer spending didn't react much, even after China announced new measures on Tuesday to boost spending on services. UK Inflation Remains Sticky, Holds at 3.8% Based on official figures, British inflation stayed at 3.8% in August, which is the highest rate among major developed economies. Source: ONS This high number suggests to investors that the Bank of England is unlikely to cut interest rates again this year. I however think we could still get another rate cut as wage growth continues to cool and service inflation data has seen some progress. Time will tell. Inflation for transportation slowed down, mostly because airfare prices dropped. Price increases were also lower for services, recreation and culture, and clothing and footwear, while housing and utilities prices stayed steady. However, the prices of motor fuels had the biggest impact, pushing inflation up. Prices for restaurants and hotels, food (reaching its highest level since January 2024), and furniture also increased at a faster rate. On a monthly basis, consumer prices rose by 0.3%, which was more than the previous month and matched predictions. On an annual basis, core inflation, which leaves out food and energy costs, slightly decreased from 3.8% to 3.6%. The news from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) did not cause much change in the value of the British pound or in British interest rate futures. European Open - European Shares Edge Higher On Wednesday, European stocks went up slightly, recovering from their losses in the previous session. This happened as investors were waiting for the US Federal Reserve's decision on monetary policy later in the day. The overall European STOXX 600 index rose by 0.1% to 551.56 points, after hitting a one-week low on Tuesday. Technology stocks led the gains, with shares of SAP and Prosus both increasing by about 2%. Later, investors around the world will focus on the results of the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting. Markets are largely expecting the Fed to cut interest rates by a quarter of a percent to address the weakening US job market. However, investors will be paying especially close attention to what Chairman Jerome Powell says about the future policy plans. In other company news, PostNL's shares rose by 7.5% after the company announced a new strategy, including dividing its Parcels business into two new segments, E-commerce and Platforms, starting in January 2026. Novo Nordisk's shares also increased by 1.8% after the brokerage firm Berenberg upgraded its rating on the Danish drugmaker from "Hold" to "Buy." On the FX front, The euro dropped by 0.25% to 1.1838, after reaching a four-year high of 1.18785 on Tuesday. The British pound fell by 0.13% to 1.3630, which is still close to its highest point in two and a half months, following British inflation data that met expectations. The U.S. dollar index, which compares the dollar to six other major currencies, was up 0.20% at 96.84, after hitting its lowest level since early July on Tuesday. The index is down almost 11% this year, and investors are preparing for more losses after a recent pause. The Swiss franc eased by 0.22% to 0.7875 per US dollar, remaining near the decade-high it reached in the previous session. The Australian dollar hit an 11-month high and was last at 0.6674. The Japanese yen strengthened to 146.22 per dollar, its strongest in a month. This happened ahead of the Bank of Japan's policy meeting on Friday, where the central bank is expected to keep rates unchanged. The yen was last down 0.10% at 146.63. Currency Power Balance Source: OANDA Labs Oil prices went down slightly on Wednesday, after rising by more than 1% the day before. The ongoing political tensions around the world prevented prices from falling too far. Traders are also keeping a close eye on the US Federal Reserve, which is expected to cut interest rates later in the day. Brent crude futures dropped by 33 cents, or 0.5%, to $68.14 per barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell by 32 cents, or 0.5%, to $64.20 per barrel. For more information on Oil, please read WTI Oil Rallies 1% After Ukrainian Attacks on Russian Oil Facilities, Russia Sanction Calls Grow Gold prices fell slightly on Wednesday. This was because the US dollar saw a small increase, and investors decided to sell their gold to secure the profits they made after gold reached a record high on Tuesday. Spot gold fell by 0.5% to $3,671.61 per ounce, after hitting a record high of $3,702.95 the day before. US gold futures for December also dropped by 0.4% to $3,709. For more information on Gold, read Gold (XAU/USD) Soars to Breach $3700/oz. FOMC Meeting Next, Will the Rally Continue? Economic Data Releases and Final Thoughts Looking at the economic calendar, the European session has had a busy morning thus far. Markets attention will now turn to the US session where we will also get the Bank of Canada interest rate decision before the highly anticipated Federal Reserve decision and Fed Chair Powell speech. For all market-moving economic releases and events, see the MarketPulse Economic Calendar. (click to enlarge) Chart of the Day - FTSE Index From a technical standpoint, the FTSE has retreated and broken the bullish structure on the four-hour chart. The four-hour candle close below the swing low at 9240 has seen a change in structure, which hints at further downside. The index is now trading at the bottom end of the range which it broke earlier this week. There is a possibility of a pullback though before the next leg low, with the swing high at 9285 now holding the key. Before that though, resistance is being provided by the 100-day MA at 9236 and 9262 before that 9285 handle comes into focus. Looking at support on the downside, immediate support rests at the 200-day MA at 9203 before the 9180 handle comes into focus. FTSE 100 Four-Hour Chart, September 17. 2025 Source: TradingView.com (click to enlarge) Follow Zain on Twitter/X for Additional Market News and Insights @zvawda Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.
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Stock Market on September 17: S&P 500 and Nasdaq return to earth
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US equity indices closed lower yesterday, with the S&P 500 down 0.13% and the Nasdaq 100 slipping 0.07%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.27%. Futures on major indices are fluctuating between minor gains and losses ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy decision, as investors speculate that the central bank may lower rates for the first time this year. Ahead of the Fed meeting, many traders are taking a cautious stance, waiting for clearer signals on the central bank's next steps. The market appears to be holding its breath, bracing for a potential catalyst that could trigger a sharp move up or a significant downturn in the major indices. In addition, geopolitical factors are increasingly shaping the outlook for financial markets. Any signs of instability, whether from escalating conflicts or new trade restrictions, could push investors into safer assets, which would inevitably impact stocks and other risk-sensitive instruments. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index erased early losses to finish unchanged. Chinese indices jumped to a four-year high, buoyed by optimism over artificial intelligence demand. Baidu Inc. shares surged 18% after an analyst rating upgrade. US equity futures were little changed, while European contracts moved higher. The dollar held steady after two days of declines that brought it close to levels last seen in March 2022. Gold remains near record highs after climbing above $3,700 an ounce for the first time. As mentioned above, investor focus is firmly on the Fed, where they will be searching for clues about the rate outlook that could shape the path forward. Some bond traders have increased their bets that the central bank will cut rates by at least half a percentage point over the three remaining monetary policy meetings this year. Japanese government bonds advanced after a 20-year debt sale saw the strongest demand since 2020, as investors were drawn in by higher yields despite ongoing political uncertainty. Meanwhile, money markets have fully priced a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut, along with additional easing in the coming year. If the Fed fails to deliver clear signals about further rate cuts, it would be a discouraging sign for equity bulls who are counting on a gradual shift toward looser policy. In commodities, oil prices stabilized after three days of gains as traders assessed the implications of Ukrainian attacks on Russian oil infrastructure. From a technical perspective, the immediate task for S&P 500 buyers today is to overcome nearby resistance at $6,616. That would set the stage for a push to $6,627. Securing a hold above $6,638 remains a key objective for the bulls. On the downside, buyers will need to defend the $6,603 area in the event of weaker risk appetite. A move below this level would quickly drag the index back to $6,590 and potentially open the way to $6,577. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
Dogecoin Price Eyes 1,250% Surge To $3.5 – Here’s The Roadmap
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The Dogecoin price recorded one of the most notable recoveries over the weekend, rising by more than 15% to reach the $0.3 target once again. The meme coin has since hit a roadblock with the market correction and continues to decline with the anticipation of the Fed rate cuts coming later in the week. But this has not eroded the bullish sentiment that continues to surround the meme coin and has, in fact, brought about more expectations that the Dogecoin price will soon cross $1. Dogecoin Price Eyes Next Surge To Reach $3.5 Back in 2021, Dogecoin ushered in a new age of cryptocurrency with its meme coin run, allowing room for others like Shiba Inu to shine. After rallying over 30,000% in a matter of months, it has managed to plant the seed in the minds of investors that it can stage a similar rally. While not expecting another 5-digit surge, crypto analyst Zonix has suggested that the Dogecoin price will at least see a 4-digit surge this cycle. This prediction is based on the fact that the Dogecoin price was about to complete its breakout over the weekend with momentum. It had moved towards a previous pullback level at $0.3, suggesting that this will be the level to break for bulls to confirm a continuation. Given this, the analysts explain that the “funneling” might be over for the Dogecoin price. This is based on Dogecoin reaching a third reaction high (RH3) with the recent uptrend. If indeed the funneling is over, then the Dogecoin price could be primed to continue its upward trajectory. There is also the possibility that a “primer” for the next surge could be forming at this level. If this is the case, then the crypto analyst says it is possible that the price could be headed for $3.5. From the current price level, it would mean an over 1,200% increase before the rally is over. Volume Surge Could Support Further Upside The recent Dogecoin price uptrend was propelled forward by a surge in volume over the weekend, as shown by Coinglass data. The meme coin had recorded its highest daily volume so far for the month of September after rising to $19.66 billion on Sunday, September 14. This shows that momentum remains on the side of the bulls. At the same time, there was also a notable surge in the open interest, hitting a brand new all-time high above $6 billion. All of these go to show that Dogecoin is getting a lot of attention from crypto investors, something that could propel it to higher highs if the market conditions remain favorable.