Redator

Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe first test of 1.3588 coincided with MACD moving far below zero, which limited downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. The second test at 1.3588 occurred when MACD was in oversold territory, allowing Scenario #2 to play out with a 20-pip rise. Today, reports on U.K. jobless claims, the unemployment rate, and average earnings will be published. Together, these reports offer a comprehensive view of labor market conditions, and their simultaneous publication creates a powerful flow of information that requires careful analysis. The change in the number of applications for unemployment benefits serves as a clear indicator of short-term employment trends. A sudden increase in applications may indicate slowing economic growth or specific issues within certain sectors, prompting companies to cut back on their workforce. On the other hand, a decrease in the number of applications suggests an improving labor market and greater business confidence. The unemployment rate, in turn, provides a broader view of the situation, reflecting the share of the working population actively looking for work. This indicator is often used as a key benchmark for determining the monetary policy of the Bank of England. Low unemployment can lead to inflationary pressure. Finally, the change in the level of average earnings is critical for assessing inflation risks and the dynamics of consumer demand. Wage growth can stimulate consumer spending, thereby supporting economic growth. However, excessive growth without a corresponding increase in productivity can lead to a rise in inflation, forcing the central bank to take measures to contain it. As for the intraday strategy, I will focus more on implementing scenarios #1 and #2. Buy ScenarioScenario #1: Buy at 1.3628 (green line) with a target of 1.3662 (thicker green line). Exit at 1.3662 and consider shorts for a 30–35 pip reversal. Growth is likely only as part of the ongoing uptrend. Important! Confirm MACD is above zero and just starting to rise before buying.Scenario #2: Buy if there are two consecutive tests of 1.3605 when MACD is oversold. This would limit downside and trigger a reversal upward. Targets: 1.3628 and 1.3662.Sell ScenarioScenario #1: Sell after a breakout below 1.3605 (red line). Target: 1.3567, where I plan to exit and reverse into buys for a 20–25 pip bounce. Sellers may become active at any moment. Important! Confirm MACD is below zero and just starting to fall before selling.Scenario #2: Sell if there are two consecutive tests of 1.3628 when MACD is overbought. This would limit upside and trigger a reversal downward. Targets: 1.3605 and 1.3567. What's on the Chart:Thin green line – entry price at which the instrument can be bought. Thick green line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely. Thin red line – entry price at which the instrument can be sold. Thick red line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely. MACD indicator: When entering the market, it is important to refer to overbought and oversold areas. Important. Beginner forex traders should exercise extreme caution when making entry decisions. Before important fundamental reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid sharp price swings. If you decide to trade during the release of news, always use stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you don't use money management and trade large volumes. And remember: for successful trading, you need a clear trading plan, as I described above. Making spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation from moment to moment is a losing strategy for an intraday trader. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe price test at 1.1773 coincided with the MACD indicator moving far above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. Yesterday, the euro continued its rise, with weak U.S. data helping it break through to new monthly highs. This morning, business confidence indicators in the eurozone and Germany from the ZEW research center, the German current conditions index, and fresh eurozone industrial production figures will be released. These will serve as key markers of the region's economic health. The ZEW Economic Sentiment Index will provide valuable information for assessing growth prospects in the eurozone and Germany. An increase would signal optimism among entrepreneurs and readiness to expand activity, potentially strengthening the euro. The German current conditions index, which reflects the economic climate, will add to the picture. However, given that things have not been running as smoothly since U.S. tariffs were imposed, it would not be surprising if the figure declines and comes in below economists' forecasts. Industrial production data will reveal the actual state of the industrial sector, the main driver of the economy. Growth, though unlikely, would indicate stronger demand, efficient resource use, and competitiveness of European businesses. Conversely, weak figures would reduce the incentive to buy euros. As for the intraday strategy, I will focus more on implementing scenarios #1 and #2. Buy ScenarioScenario #1: Buy the euro at 1.1788 (green line on the chart) with a target of 1.1816. Exit at 1.1816 and consider short positions for a reversal move of 30–35 pips. Euro growth is likely only if the data are strong. Important! Confirm that MACD is above zero and just starting to rise before buying.Scenario #2: Buy in case of two consecutive tests of 1.1771 when MACD is in oversold territory. This would limit downside potential and trigger an upward reversal—target levels: 1.1788 and 1.1816.Sell ScenarioScenario #1: Sell after reaching 1.1771 (red line on the chart). Target: 1.1747, where I plan to exit and reverse into buys for a 20–25 pip bounce. Selling pressure will return if the data are weak. Important! Confirm that MACD is below zero and just starting to fall before selling.Scenario #2: Sell if there are two consecutive tests of 1.1788 when MACD is in overbought territory. This would limit upside potential and trigger a reversal downward. Targets: 1.1771 and 1.1747. What's on the Chart:Thin green line – entry price at which the instrument can be bought. Thick green line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely. Thin red line – entry price at which the instrument can be sold. Thick red line – suggested price for taking profit or manually securing profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely. MACD indicator: When entering the market, it is important to refer to overbought and oversold areas. Important. Beginner forex traders should exercise extreme caution when making entry decisions. Before important fundamental reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid sharp price swings. If you decide to trade during the release of news, always use stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you don't use money management and trade large volumes. And remember: for successful trading, you need a clear trading plan, as I described above. Making spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation from moment to moment is a losing strategy for an intraday trader. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

The U.S. dollar continued to lose ground actively, which comes as no surprise. The market is increasingly convinced that the Federal Reserve will be forced to act more dovishly, which undermines dollar buyers' confidence. This morning, the eurozone and Germany will release ZEW business sentiment indices, the ZEW current conditions index for Germany, and eurozone industrial production figures. These reports will be important indicators of the region's economic health, helping assess business confidence and industrial sector dynamics. The ZEW sentiment index, as a barometer of business expectations, will provide insight into the outlook for economic growth in the eurozone and Germany. An improvement would signal optimism among entrepreneurs and readiness to expand activity, which in turn could stimulate investment and job creation. The German current conditions index will complement this picture, showing how well the economy is performing at present. Any divergence between current conditions and expectations could point to potential risks or opportunities for policy adjustment. Industrial production data will reveal the actual state of the industrial sector, the engine of the economy. In the U.K., the morning will bring a series of labor market reports: changes in jobless claims, the unemployment rate, and average earnings dynamics. Jobless claims serve as a leading indicator of shifts in employment. A sharp increase may warn of slowing growth or sector-specific difficulties, while a decrease would signal improving labor market conditions and stronger business activity. The unemployment rate offers a broader picture, reflecting the share of the labor force actively seeking but unable to find work. Only very strong figures are likely to lift the pound. If the data match economists' expectations, the Mean Reversion strategy is preferable. If results are significantly above or below expectations, the Momentum strategy is more effective. Momentum Strategy (Breakout):EUR/USDBuys on a breakout above 1.1785 could lead to growth toward 1.1830 and 1.1866. Sells on a breakout below 1.1760 could push the euro down toward 1.1735 and 1.1703. GBP/USDBuys on a breakout above 1.3625 could push the pound toward 1.3645 and 1.3677. Sells on a breakout below 1.3610 could push it down toward 1.3580 and 1.3555. USD/JPYBuys on a breakout above 147.16 could drive the dollar higher toward 147.55 and 147.84. Sells on a breakout below 146.95 could trigger a decline toward 146.66 and 146.31. Mean Reversion Strategy (Pullbacks): EUR/USDSells after a failed breakout above 1.1795 with a return below this level. Buys after a failed breakout below 1.1758 with a return to this level. GBP/USDSells after a failed breakout above 1.3631 with a return below this level. Buys after a failed breakout below 1.3593 with a return to this level. AUD/USDSells after a failed breakout above 0.6679 with a return below this level. Buys after a failed breakout below 0.6660 with a return to this level. USD/CADSells after a failed breakout above 1.3784 with a return below this level. Buys after a failed breakout below 1.3761 with a return to this level. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

As investor anxiety grows over the possibility of a new bearish cycle, the case for Bitcoin (BTC) to resume its halted upward trajectory has gained significant traction among top market experts. Market analyst Ash Crypto recently highlighted several key factors, including demand and supply dynamics, a surge in US equities, and increasing inflows from exchange-traded funds (ETFs), suggesting that the current market conditions could favor Bitcoin’s resurgence. Market Makers Accused Of Manipulating Bitcoin Prices In a post on X (formerly Twitter), Ash pointed out that while US stocks are reaching new all-time highs, Bitcoin has struggled to break above the $117,000 mark, currently consolidating between $110,000 and $115,000. He argues that this situation is not indicative of weak demand, but rather the result of an alleged situation that is gaining strength among analysts: manipulation by market makers and exchanges. The analyst further highlights that historical data show Bitcoin’s price movements were primarily driven by spot market activities. Buyers would purchase coins, absorbing supply and driving prices higher. However, today’s landscape is markedly different. Ash Crypto suggests that the introduction of futures and derivatives has transformed how Bitcoin is traded. He alleges that exchanges discovered that creating synthetic Bitcoin contracts is often more profitable than dealing in actual spot Bitcoin. The analyst notes that this shift allows undisclosed cryptocurrency exchanges to manipulate market movements using leverage and bypass the need for tangible Bitcoin. What Historical Patterns Suggest Ash pointed out that a situation indicative of this alleged manipulation was when Bitcoin recently touched $124,000, market makers and larger investors quickly shorted the asset through futures and exchange-traded funds. This triggered a wave of liquidations for bullish investors that predicted a new leg up, causing the price of Bitcoin to plummet to the $107,000 mark only two weeks ago. The analyst noted that although US equities are experiencing significant growth and liquidity is flooding into risk assets, Bitcoin is still caught in a cycle of manipulation that obscures its true value. In short, spot demand for Bitcoin continues to build, ETFs are steadily absorbing more coins, cryptocurrency exchange reserves are dwindling, and long-term holders are refraining from selling. However, Ash Crypto notes that the presence of futures and derivatives for the cryptocurrency creates an “illusion of weakness,” reportedly designed to shake out retail investors from current market levels. Despite the current challenges, he notes that the current bullish cycle remains intact. Historical patterns from 2017 and 2021 show that Bitcoin often experiences periods of suppression and sideways movement before exploding higher, suggesting a potential new price discovery phase ahead for BTC. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at around $114,969. It is still recording gains of nearly 3% and 6% in the seven- and fourteen-day time frames, respectively. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

Crypto markets enter a decisive week as investors brace for the Federal Reserve’s FOMC meeting on September 17, where a 25bps rate cut is widely expected. Bitcoin has already shown choppy price action, briefly slipping below $115K before regaining support, while traders eye potential volatility around the Fed’s decision. Attention is also shifting to Coinbase’s Base network after Jesse Pollak hinted at the possibility of launching a native token and a possible airdrop. With Bitcoin consolidating and new opportunities emerging, investors are asking which altcoins might be the best to buy right now. EXPLORE: Coinbase Is Thinking About a Token for Base Network Bitcoin BTC ▲0.29% fell around 2,36% on Monday, struggling near $115,000 as traditional markets gained ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision. While the S&P 500 and Nasdaq opened higher and gold surged to within $20 of record levels, BTC diverged with a “classic” pre-FOMC dip. (Source: AUXUSD) Analysts noted that Bitcoin often corrects into Fed meetings. Markets largely expect a 0.25% rate cut, which could serve as a catalyst for risk assets if confirmed. bitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.30T24h7d1y Sentiment across markets remains cautious. While U.S. equities climb a “wall of worry,” large investors are still positioned net short on futures, a stance some see as contrarian fuel for continued gains. Meanwhile, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index sits at a neutral 50/100, reflecting indecision rather than euphoria as Bitcoin hovers just below price discovery. Best Altcoins to Buy? Base Weighs Network Token as Airdrop Speculation Builds Alongside Bitcoin’s price action, another development caught attention: Coinbase’s Base network may soon issue a native token. Jesse Pollak, founder of Base, said at the recent BaseCamp event that discussions are ongoing, though no final decision has been made. The idea marks a shift from Coinbase’s previous denials. The token, if launched, could support decentralization, governance, and developer incentives on one of Ethereum’s fastest-growing Layer-2 networks. With Base already securing around $5 billion in total value locked, community and regulatory input will be key as talks progress. 2 hours ago Dust Settles Over HYPE Price After Hyperliquid Stablecoin Decision By Fatima The dust is settling over Hyperliquid’s stablecoin partner decision, and now 99Bitcoins analysts are dissecting what’s next for HYPE price. HYPE price consolidation was rocked this week as the fast-growing derivatives exchange Hyperliquid concluded its highly anticipated stablecoin tender, with users voting to select Native Markets as issuer of the new USDH token. supreme financePriceMarket CapHYPE$168.35K24h7d1y The decision, finalized on September 15 after a week-long bidding process, marking one of the most significant developments yet in the $160Bn stablecoin sector. Read The Full Article Here The post [LIVE] Crypto News Today, September 16: Bitcoin Regains $115K, Base Airdrop Hints, and the Best Altcoins to Buy Now appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

Solana started a fresh increase above the $232 zone. SOL price is now correcting gains below $240 and might aim for another increase if it stays above $20. SOL price started a fresh upward move above the $232 and $240 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $240 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $242 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend losses if it dips below the $230 zone. Solana Price Dips Below Support Solana price started a decent increase after it found support near the $212 zone, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed above the $232 level to enter a short-term positive zone. The price even smashed the $240 resistance. The bulls were able to push the price above the $245 barrier. A high was formed at $250 and the price recently corrected some gains. There was a move below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $200 swing low to the $250 high. Besides, there was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $242 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. Solana is now trading below $240 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $238 level. The next major resistance is near the $240 level. The main resistance could be $245. A successful close above the $245 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $255. Any more gains might send the price toward the $262 level. More Losses In SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $240 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $232 zone. The first major support is near the $230 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $200 swing low to the $250 high. A break below the $230 level might send the price toward the $224 support zone. If there is a close below the $224 support, the price could decline toward the $220 support in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $230 and $224. Major Resistance Levels – $240 and $245.

Macroeconomic Report Analysis: There are plenty of macroeconomic releases scheduled for Tuesday. None of these is extremely important, but each carries some weight and may impact the market. The U.K. unemployment rate is on the rise. The higher it goes, the more the Bank of England will need to cut rates. But inflation, which is also rising, prevents it from doing so. Inflation remains the more critical metric. Jobless claims and wage data are less important. In the Eurozone today, industrial production will be published; in Germany, the ZEW economic expectations index; in the U.S., industrial production and retail sales. All of these may provoke reactions if actual figures deviate from forecasts. Fundamental Events Analysis: There are no notable fundamental events on Tuesday. Fed officials currently cannot give interviews or make policy statements. The same applies to BoE representatives. The ECB meeting was held just last week, providing all necessary information about the European economy and monetary policy outlook. Today, the focus will be on macro data. General Conclusions:On the second trading day of the week, both pairs may continue upward, but new buy signals are needed. Both the euro and the pound have broken through key resistance areas and may advance toward their respective targets. For the euro, the target is 1.1808; for the pound, the 1.3643–1.3652 area. Macro data may trigger several intraday reversals. Key Rules for the Trading System:Signal Strength: The shorter the time it takes for a signal to form (a rebound or breakout), the stronger the signal.False Signals: If two or more trades near a level result in false signals, subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.Flat Markets: In flat conditions, pairs may generate many false signals or none at all. It's better to stop trading at the first signs of a flat market.Trading Hours: Open trades between the start of the European session and the middle of the US session, then manually close all trades.MACD Signals: On the hourly timeframe, trade MACD signals only during periods of good volatility and a clear trend confirmed by trendlines or trend channels.Close Levels: If two levels are too close (5–20 pips apart), treat them as a support or resistance zone. Stop Loss: Set a Stop Loss to breakeven after the price moves 15–20 pips in the desired direction.Key Chart Elements:Support and Resistance Levels: These are target levels for opening or closing positions and can also serve as points for placing Take Profit orders. Red Lines: Channels or trendlines indicating the current trend and the preferred direction for trading. MACD Indicator (14,22,3): A histogram and signal line used as a supplementary source of trading signals. Important Events and Reports: Found in the economic calendar, these can heavily influence price movements. Exercise caution or exit the market during their release to avoid sharp reversals. Forex trading beginners should remember that not every trade will be profitable. Developing a clear strategy and practicing proper money management are essential for long-term trading success. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

[Natural Gas] – [Tuesday, September 16, 2025] Although the EMA has not yet formed a Golden Cross, the RSI is in the Neutral Bullish area, so Natural Gas has the potential to strengthen today. Key Levels 1. Resistance 2: 3.135 2. Resistance 1: 3.089 3. Pivot: 3.002 4. Support 1: 2.956 5. Support 2: 2.869 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the #NG price successfully breaks through and closes above 3.089, it will potentially lead to #NG strengthening all the way to 3.135. Momentum Extension Bias: If the 3.135 level is successfully broken through and closes above it, 3.222 has the potential to be the next level to be tested. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision Upside bias weakens as Natural Gas prices weaken and fall below 2,869. Technical Summary EMA(50): 2,995. EMA(200): 2,999 RSI(14): 60.94 Economic News Release Agenda: Today, the following economic data will be released from the United States: US - Core Retail Sales m/m - 19:30 WIB US - Retail Sales m/m - 19:30 WIB US - Import Prices m/m - 19:30 WIB US - Capacity Utilization Rate - 20:15 WIB US - Industrial Production m/m - 20:15 WIB The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

[Silver] – [Tuesday, September 16, 2025] All technical indicators are bullish, although a divergence on the RSI indicates the potential for a limited correction. Key Levels 1. Resistance 2: 43,160 2. Resistance 1: 42,900 3. Pivot: 42,435 4. Support 1: 42,175 5. Support 2: 41,710 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the price breaks out and closes above 42,900, Silver has the potential to move to 43,160. Momentum Extension Bias: If the 43,160 level breaks out and closes above it, 43,625 will be the next target to be tested. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The upside bias weakens when the Silver price weakens and closes below 41,710. Technical Summary EMA(50): 42.117 EMA(200): 41.833 RSI(14): 51.55 + Divergent Economic News Release Agenda: Today, the following economic data will be released from the United States: US - Core Retail Sales m/m - 19:30 WIB US - Retail Sales m/m - 19:30 WIB US - Import Prices m/m - 19:30 WIB US - Capacity Utilization Rate - 20:15 WIB US - Industrial Production m/m - 20:15 WIB US - Business Inventories m/m - 21:00 WIB US - NAHB Housing Market Index - 21:00 WIB The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Nasdaq-listed firm Helius Medical Technologies Inc. unveiled the launch of a $500 million Solana-focused Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) backed by Pantera Capital and Summer Capital. Helius Reveals Solana Treasury Strategy On Monday, Helius Medical Technologies, a neurotech company in the medical device field, announced an oversubscribed private investment in public equity (PIPE) offering of common stock to launch a new Solana treasury strategy. The offering, led by Pantera Capital and Summer Capital, is estimated to raise $500 million and an additional $750 million in stapled warrants to purchase shares of common stock, assuming full exercise. Additionally, Big Brain Holdings, Avenir, SinoHope, FalconX, Arrington Capital, Animoca Brands, Aspen Digital, Borderless, Laser Digital, HashKey Capital, and Republic Digital are also participating in the offering, which is expected to close on September 18, 2025. Following the closing, the company’s management team will include Summer Capital’s founder, Joseph Chee, as Director and Executive Chairman, Pantera’s General Partner, Cosmo Jiang, as Board Observer, and Pantera Capital’s founder, Dan Morehead, as Strategic Advisor. According to the announcement, Helius intends to use the offering’s proceeds to implement a DAT strategy and purchase Solana’s native token, SOL, to make it the company’s primary treasury reserve asset. Notably, the company expects to build an initial SOL position, with plans to significantly scale holdings over the next 12–24 months through a best-in-class capital markets program, incorporating ATM sales and other proven strategies. Additionally, it will evaluate staking, lending, and other opportunities throughout the ecosystem to generate revenue from the SOL Treasury, while maintaining a conservative risk profile, the company explained. Institutions Push SOL Adoption Cosmo Jiang told news media outlet Fortune he believes there can only be a handful of successful public companies dedicated to just one cryptocurrency, affirming that “just as much as it is about scale, it’s about velocity.” “We’d much rather start with a moderate size so that we can really go out to market and grow very quickly, rather than start too big and then have a harder time growing on a percentage basis,” he said. He affirmed that the deal structure for this Solana treasury company positions it to be competitive: “We believe we have the right setup to be the leading, if not, at least one of the two or three, but certainly the leading, Solana DAT.” It’s worth noting that recently, Galaxy Digital, Jump Crypto, and Multicoin Capital announced their plan to establish Forward Industries, a SOL treasury company, to purchase the cryptocurrency, stake it, and generate excess returns. The company successfully closed its PIPE financing on September 11, securing gross proceeds of approximately $1.65 billion. In the press release, he also highlighted that “there is a real opportunity to drive the flywheel of creating shareholder value that Michael Saylor has pioneered with Strategy (…) by accelerating Solana adoption.” Meanwhile, Dan Morehead affirmed that Solana is a “category-defining blockchain and the foundation on which a new financial system will be built,” adding that “a productive treasury company, backing the industry’s most affordable, fastest, and most accessible network, stands to substantially increase institutional and retail access to the Solana ecosystem and help fuel its adoption around the world.”

Monday Trade Review:1H Chart of GBP/USD On Monday, GBP/USD also continued its upward movement, even without local drivers. Still, the pound remains well-positioned against the U.S. dollar, so it can rise even without fresh macroeconomic inputs. Recall that the trend on the hourly timeframe is bullish, on the daily timeframe as well, while the U.S. macroeconomic backdrop collapsed in September. This week, the Bank of England will keep its key rate unchanged, while the Federal Reserve is expected to cut it. Over the next year, the Fed may cut rates multiple times, whereas the BoE is very unlikely to do so. Everything points to the dollar continuing to fall, with only technical corrections offering it support, as we have repeatedly noted. A consolidation below the trendline would signal another technical correction. 5M Chart of GBP/USD On the 5-minute timeframe, two signals appeared on Monday, both of which could be worked through. First, the price broke through the 1.3574–1.3590 area, and then bounced from it on the upside. If U.K. data do not disappoint today, the pair may continue rising toward 1.3643. Volatility remains low, but with the BoE and Fed meetings set for Wednesday and Thursday, stronger market moves can be expected midweek. How to Trade on Tuesday:On the hourly timeframe, GBP/USD continues its uptrend, while on higher timeframes it shows signs of resuming the "2025 trend." As we said earlier, there are no grounds for medium-term dollar growth, so we expect further strengthening of the pound. On Tuesday, GBP/USD may well continue its rise, as the 1.3574–1.3590 area has been successfully broken. The nearest target area is 1.3643–1.3652. Sell signals can also be considered, as the upward movement remains weak and includes corrections. On the 5-minute timeframe, trading levels are: 1.3102–1.3107, 1.3203–1.3211, 1.3259, 1.3329–1.3331, 1.3413–1.3421, 1.3466–1.3475, 1.3529–1.3543, 1.3574–1.3590, 1.3643–1.3652, 1.3682, 1.3763. On Tuesday, the U.K. will publish reports on unemployment, jobless claims, and wages. While not the most critical, they could trigger some reaction. In the U.S., industrial production and retail sales are due, which may only spark volatility if the numbers strongly deviate from expectations. Core Trading System Rules:Signal Strength: The shorter the time it takes for a signal to form (a rebound or breakout), the stronger the signal.False Signals: If two or more trades near a level result in false signals, subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.Flat Markets: In flat conditions, pairs may generate many false signals or none at all. It's better to stop trading at the first signs of a flat market.Trading Hours: Open trades between the start of the European session and the middle of the US session, then manually close all trades.MACD Signals: On the hourly timeframe, trade MACD signals only during periods of good volatility and a clear trend confirmed by trendlines or trend channels.Close Levels: If two levels are too close (5–20 pips apart), treat them as a support or resistance zone.Stop Loss: Set a Stop Loss to breakeven after the price moves 20 pips in the desired direction.Key Chart Elements:Support and Resistance Levels: These are target levels for opening or closing positions and can also serve as points for placing Take Profit orders. Red Lines: Channels or trendlines indicating the current trend and the preferred direction for trading. MACD Indicator (14,22,3): A histogram and signal line used as a supplementary source of trading signals. Important Events and Reports: Found in the economic calendar, these can heavily influence price movements. Exercise caution or exit the market during their release to avoid sharp reversals. Forex trading beginners should remember that not every trade will be profitable. Developing a clear strategy and practicing proper money management are essential for long-term trading success. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Monday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD On Monday, the EUR/USD currency pair continued its upward movement in line with the prevailing trend. Despite the absence of any significant macroeconomic releases, the euro kept appreciating at a steady pace. Recall that over the past one and a half to two months, market volatility has sharply declined, which affects the quality of trades and signals. In simple terms, signals may be strong, but the lack of movement prevents traders from profiting from them. Yesterday's first speech by Christine Lagarde this week brought no new information for traders, as expected. The ECB laid out its plan last week, leaving no open questions. Rates may be raised if inflation starts moving above 2%. Rates may be lowered if inflation falls below 2%. Thus, the ECB's monetary policy is now entirely dependent on inflation. Since inflation is currently stable at around 2%, changes in rates should not be expected in the near term. 5M Chart of EUR/USD On the 5-minute timeframe, only one trading signal was formed on Monday. During the European session, the price broke through the 1.1737–1.1745 area, allowing traders to open long positions. Given the current low volatility, there was no need to close this trade in the evening. A Stop Loss could be moved to breakeven while waiting for the euro to continue rising. How to Trade on Tuesday:On the hourly timeframe, EUR/USD has every chance to continue the uptrend that has been forming since the start of this year. The fundamental and macroeconomic backdrop remains negative for the U.S. dollar, so we still do not expect its strengthening. In our view, as before, the dollar can only rely on technical corrections. A consolidation below the trendline would signal the start of a new corrective decline. On Tuesday, EUR/USD may continue its slow upward movement, as the trend remains bullish. For longs, breaking above the 1.1737–1.1745 area was required, with the next target now at 1.1808. On the 5-minute timeframe, levels to consider are: 1.1354–1.1363, 1.1413, 1.1455–1.1474, 1.1527, 1.1571–1.1584, 1.1655–1.1666, 1.1737–1.1745, 1.1808, 1.1851, 1.1908, 1.1970–1.1988. On Tuesday, reports on economic expectations and industrial production will be released in the Eurozone. In the U.S., retail sales and industrial production are due. These reports may trigger a notable reaction only if actual values deviate significantly from forecasts. Core Trading System Rules:Signal Strength: The shorter the time it takes for a signal to form (a rebound or breakout), the stronger the signal.False Signals: If two or more trades near a level result in false signals, subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.Flat Markets: In flat conditions, pairs may generate many false signals or none at all. It's better to stop trading at the first signs of a flat market.Trading Hours: Open trades between the start of the European session and the middle of the US session, then manually close all trades.MACD Signals: On the hourly timeframe, trade MACD signals only during periods of good volatility and a clear trend confirmed by trendlines or trend channels.Close Levels: If two levels are too close (5–20 pips apart), treat them as a support or resistance zone.Stop Loss: Set a Stop Loss to breakeven after the price moves 15 pips in the desired direction.Key Chart Elements:Support and Resistance Levels: These are target levels for opening or closing positions and can also serve as points for placing Take Profit orders. Red Lines: Channels or trendlines indicating the current trend and the preferred direction for trading. MACD Indicator (14,22,3): A histogram and signal line used as a supplementary source of trading signals. Important Events and Reports: Found in the economic calendar, these can heavily influence price movements. Exercise caution or exit the market during their release to avoid sharp reversals. Forex trading beginners should remember that not every trade will be profitable. Developing a clear strategy and practicing proper money management are essential for long-term trading success. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Join OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities, and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.

XRP price started a downside correction from the $3.180 resistance. The price is now consolidating and might start another increase if it clears $3.050. XRP price is consolidating losses after declining from the $3.180 resistance. The price is now trading below $3.050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $3.020 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if the price clears the $3.050 zone. XRP Price Corrects Gains XRP price started a downside correction below the $3.120 level, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price dipped below the $3.050 level to enter a short-term bearish zone. There was a move below the $3.00 pivot level and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. A low was formed at $2.957 and the price is now consolidating losses. There was a minor move above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3.186 swing high to the $2.957 low. The price is now trading below $3.050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $3.020 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. If the bulls protect the $2.950 support, the price could attempt another increase. On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $3.020 level. The first major resistance is near the $3.050 level. A clear move above the $3.050 resistance might send the price toward the $3.120 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $3.180 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $3.250. More Downsides? If XRP fails to clear the $3.020 resistance zone, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $2.950 level. The next major support is near the $2.920 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $2.920 level, the price might continue to decline toward $2.880. The next major support sits near the $2.840 zone, below which the price could gain bearish momentum. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $2.950 and $2.920. Major Resistance Levels – $3.020 and $3.050.

As Bitcoin (BTC) leads the ongoing consolidation phase in the crypto market, analysts are closely watching the next ten days as a pivotal time for both altcoin season and a potential new market rally. Analysts from The Bull Theory, a crypto research firm, have emphasized the significance of this upcoming period, suggesting it could determine the fate of what they term “mega altseason” in the fourth quarter (Q4) of the year. Could Global Economic Data Trigger A Surge In Crypto Prices? The urgency of this new prediction for the broader crypto sector, comes in light of recent economic data from China, which revealed signs of weakening demand. Retail sales grew by only 3.4% year-on-year, falling short of the expected 3.9%. Similarly, industrial production increased by just 5.2%, marking the slowest growth in twelve months, while urban unemployment rose to 5.3%. These indicators suggest that the world’s second-largest economy is cooling, leading to speculation that quantitative easing (QE) may be the only viable solution moving forward. China has already begun injecting substantial liquidity into its economy, and further measures could significantly boost the global money supply. The situation in the United States adds another layer of complexity, as markets are anticipating a 25 basis point cut in the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rates on September 17. If Fed Chair Jerome Powell not only confirms this cut but also signals the possibility of additional easing, The Bull Theory claims that this situation could lead to a surge in liquidity. Historically, such moves have prompted sharp upward movements in crypto and Bitcoin prices, often ranging from 5% to 10% within weeks. Moreover, Ethereum (ETH) could see increased inflows, particularly from exchange-traded funds (ETFs), while altcoins may benefit from an expanded risk appetite among investors. However, if the Federal Reserve hesitates to implement further cuts, risk assets across the board could face a sharp correction. Potential Rate Cuts From Key Central Banks The following days will also see critical decisions from other central banks, including the Bank of England (BOE) on September 18. Should the BOE signal a willingness to cut rates, it would reinforce the narrative of synchronized global easing. This could align with potential dovish moves from the Bank of Japan (BOJ) on September 19, which would further weaken the yen and facilitate more dollar liquidity flowing into the market. According to the firm’s analysis, in the macroeconomic landscape the best-case scenario would involve a coordinated global easing strategy, featuring cuts from the Federal Reserve, a dovish BOJ, and a supportive BOE. They assert this could lead to massive liquidity inflows, potentially pushing Bitcoin past the $120,000 mark, accelerating exchange-traded fund inflows into Ethereum, and prompting stronger performance from altcoins. The Bull Theory concludes that if global central banks align their policies towards easing, the next ten days could very well mark the beginning of a robust altcoin season. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

GBP/USD 5-Minute Analysis On Monday, the GBP/USD pair continued its upward movement, with no local reasons provided. However, in 2025, the absence of local drivers means little for the market, as there are plenty of fundamental ones. The British pound is likely to continue appreciating this week, as the Federal Reserve is almost guaranteed to cut rates, while the Bank of England is expected to hold steady. Moreover, the next monetary easing in the UK is unlikely to happen anytime soon, while the Fed's September cut may become just the first in an entire series. And if Trump reshapes the FOMC in 2026 as he intends, rates could quickly fall into the 1–2% range. In the short term, there is an ascending trendline, and until it is broken, there are no grounds to expect a decline. On the daily timeframe, it is clear that the price has corrected to the 38.2% Fibonacci level and is ready to continue the "2025 trend." Trump's tariffs will remain in place at least until November. In the near future, Trump plans to impose additional tariffs on China and India. In addition, he wants the European Union to adopt similar restrictions. As we can see, the trade war may escalate further before year-end, giving the dollar another reason to weaken against its rivals. On the 5-minute timeframe, two trading signals formed on Monday. Overnight, the price bounced from the 1.3548 level, and by the time the European session opened, it had moved only slightly from that point. Therefore, long positions could have been opened. By the start of the U.S. session, the price reached the 1.3615 level and rebounded from it, forming a sell signal that could also be executed. While it did not bring large profits, it still provided some gains. COT Report COT reports on the British pound show that commercial traders' sentiment has been constantly changing in recent years. The red and blue lines (net positions of commercial and non-commercial traders) cross frequently and generally stay near zero. Right now, they're almost at the same level, which signals roughly equal amounts of long and short positions. The dollar is still falling due to Trump's policies, so market maker demand for the pound is not so important right now. The trade war will continue, one way or another, for a long time. The Fed will lower rates at least once more within the next year, so dollar demand will keep falling. The latest COT report shows "Non-commercial" closed 1,200 BUY contracts and 700 SELL contracts. So, the net position decreased by 500 contracts during the reporting week. The pound shot up in 2025, but the cause is clear—Donald Trump's policy. Once that factor is neutralized, the dollar could rally, but no one knows when that will happen. It doesn't really matter whether the net position in the pound rises or falls—the dollar's net position keeps shrinking, usually at a faster pace. GBP/USD 1-Hour Analysis On the hourly chart, GBP/USD is ready to form a new uptrend, which is exactly what it is doing. The fundamental and macroeconomic background remains highly unfavorable for the dollar, so there are still no grounds to expect its medium-term growth. This week, a decline in quotes is theoretically possible, but the fundamental picture already suggests that the dollar is likely to continue falling. For September 16, we highlight the following important levels: 1.3125, 1.3212, 1.3369–1.3377, 1.3420, 1.3525–1.3548, 1.3615, 1.3681, 1.3763, 1.3833, 1.3886. The Senkou Span B line (1.3460) and the Kijun-sen line (1.3556) may also serve as signal sources. Stop Loss orders are recommended to be set at breakeven once the price moves 20 pips in the right direction. Ichimoku lines may shift during the day, which should be considered when identifying trading signals. On Tuesday, the UK will release reports on unemployment, jobless claims, and wages. In the U.S., industrial production and retail sales are due. All of these reports are roughly equal in importance for traders, but due to their number, they may influence market sentiment throughout the day. Trading RecommendationsWe believe that on Tuesday, the upward movement may continue, as virtually all factors currently support this scenario. The 1.3615 level has been reached, and a breakout above it will open the way toward 1.3681. Illustration Explanations:Support and resistance price levels – thick red lines where movement may end. They are not trading signal sources.Kijun-sen and Senkou Span B lines—These are strong Ichimoku indicator lines transferred to the hourly timeframe from the 4-hour one.Extremum levels – thin red lines where the price has previously rebounded. These act as trading signal sources.Yellow lines – trend lines, trend channels, and other technical patterns.Indicator 1 on the COT charts – the size of the net position for each category of traders.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

EUR/USD 5-Minute Analysis The EUR/USD pair continued its upward movement on Monday and, for the second time, broke through the important 1.1750–1.1760 area. The first breakout turned out to be false, but the uptrend on the hourly timeframe remains intact, which gives sufficient (technical) grounds to expect further growth of the European currency. From a fundamental and macroeconomic standpoint, the arguments in favor of further euro appreciation are even stronger. All recent U.S. data have, in one way or another, indicated worsening economic conditions. The only exception was the ISM Services PMI, which has traditionally shown more resilience than manufacturing in recent years. Fundamentally, the dollar's only chance for relief lies in the possibility that the U.S. Supreme Court overturns Donald Trump's tariffs. Of course, we do not believe that in this case, Trump would give up and not attempt to reintroduce tariffs through other legislation. However, such a decision would at least give the dollar a temporary reprieve. As mentioned, on the hourly timeframe, there are no reasons to expect the uptrend to end. The movement remains weak, but stable. Volatility is still low, but this is the nature of the market. On the 5-minute timeframe, Monday produced one excellent buy signal in the form of a bounce from the critical line. After that, the price reached the 1.1750–1.1760 area and broke above it. Therefore, exiting the buy trade was not even necessary. Let us also recall that the upcoming Fed meeting will most likely turn out to be dovish rather than hawkish. COT Report The latest COT report (as of September 9) shows the net position of non-commercial traders has been "bullish" for a long time, with bears only barely taking the upper hand at the end of 2024, and quickly losing it. Since Trump took office as US President, the dollar has been the only currency to fall. We can't say with 100% certainty that the dollar will keep declining, but current events globally do point in that direction. We still see no fundamental reasons for euro strength, but plenty are supporting the dollar's drop. The global long-term downtrend remains, but what does the last 17 years' price action matter now? Once Trump ends his trade wars, the dollar may rally, but recent events show that won't happen anytime soon. Potential loss of Fed independence is another major pressure point for the US currency. The red and blue lines of the indicator keep pointing to a persistent "bullish" trend. In the last reporting week, the number of longs in the Non-commercial group rose by 2,400 contracts, while shorts fell by 3,700. Thus, the net position increased by 6,100 contracts, which isn't a significant change. EUR/USD 1-Hour Analysis On the hourly chart, the EUR/USD pair continues a modest uptrend. A rebound from the trendline, coupled with the U.S. inflation report, triggered another wave of growth. The pair still spends most of its time in the 1.1615–1.1750 range, but the upward bias remains. The dollar continues to face numerous bearish factors and is only losing ground slowly because of the generally low volatility. For September 16, the following levels are identified for trading: 1.1092, 1.1147, 1.1185, 1.1234, 1.1274, 1.1362, 1.1426, 1.1534, 1.1604–1.1615, 1.1666, 1.1750–1.1760, 1.1846–1.1857, along with the Senkou Span B line (1.1660) and the Kijun-sen line (1.1721). Ichimoku indicator lines may shift during the day, which should be taken into account when identifying trading signals. Do not forget to set a Stop Loss at breakeven once the price moves 15 pips in the right direction, which will protect against potential losses if the signal turns out to be false. On Tuesday, the euro area will release reports on industrial production and economic sentiment. Neither can be described as particularly important. In the U.S., retail sales and industrial production reports are scheduled, which are of slightly greater interest. Trading Recommendations On Tuesday, the pair may continue moving north, as the 1.1750–1.1760 area was successfully broken. Therefore, long positions remain relevant following yesterday's rebound from the Kijun-sen line, with a target at 1.1846–1.1857. Short positions will only be justified if the price consolidates back below the 1.1750–1.1760 area, with the target at the Kijun-sen line. Illustration Explanations:Support and resistance price levels – thick red lines where movement may end. They are not trading signal sources.Kijun-sen and Senkou Span B lines—These are strong Ichimoku indicator lines transferred to the hourly timeframe from the 4-hour one.Extremum levels – thin red lines where the price has previously rebounded. These act as trading signal sources.Yellow lines – trend lines, trend channels, and other technical patterns.Indicator 1 on the COT charts – the size of the net position for each category of traders.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

EUR/USD The euro, along with the entire currency and related markets, shifted toward risk yesterday. The price fully consolidated above the MACD indicator line, opening the target at the upper boundary of the price channel at 1.1888. If the price moves beyond the channel boundary, a medium-term uptrend could unfold. However, such growth is only possible if the Fed actually cuts rates three times, which at present looks unrealistic. The issue will only be clarified tomorrow, meaning investors are once again buying into expectations. Should the price return below the MACD line (1.1721), yesterday's breakout would clearly be false. The focus is on the Fed's monetary policy decision. On the four-hour chart, the price is moving above both indicator lines, while the Marlin oscillator is also rising, though noticeably slower than the price. This makes the rally look immature. A move below the MACD line, under 1.1715, will serve as a confirming signal of a euro reversal, opening the target at 1.1632 (the June 12 high). The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

GBP/USD Sterling rose 40 pips yesterday against the backdrop of a 0.37% decline in the dollar index. However, this rise occurred on below-average volumes, which only underlines the risks of such a move in the absence of large players. The target level of 1.3631 could be reached, but this would hardly change the signals of the Marlin oscillator, which is poised to reverse from the upper boundary of its own channel. A consolidation above 1.3631 would open the target at 1.3700 – the upper boundary of the global 18-year descending price channel. A reversal from this level is also expected. A return below 1.3525, which would also correspond to moving under the MACD line, would open targets at 1.3364 and then 1.3253. On the H4 chart, the price is aiming to test the target level of 1.3631, but Marlin is moving sideways. A pullback from the achieved level is expected. On this timeframe, the 1.3525 level is additionally supported by the MACD line from below. The 1.3525 mark is therefore key in determining whether the market chooses a downward direction. All eyes are on tomorrow's Fed meeting. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

EUR/NZD The EUR/NZD pair abandoned its downward scenario, reversing from support at the MACD line. A consolidation above 1.9778 would coincide with the Marlin oscillator shifting into positive territory, making bullish momentum the primary scenario. The main growth target lies at the embedded price channel line, around 2.0300. In this case, the 2.0029 level (the August 20 high) becomes the interim target. On the four-hour chart, the price has broken above both indicator lines, with Marlin firmly in positive territory. The pair is preparing for a breakout above resistance at 1.9778. Today, industrial production data for the euro area will be released for July. The forecast is +0.3% after the previous 1.3% decline. If the data exceeds expectations, the euro may strengthen further against the New Zealand dollar. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Ethereum price started a fresh decline from $4,765. ETH is now trading below $4,650 and might extend losses if it stays below $4,620. Ethereum is now correcting gains below the $4,650 zone. The price is trading below $4,620 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $4,610 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it settles above $4,620 and $4,650. Ethereum Price Dips Again Ethereum price started a fresh decline after it failed to clear the $4,765 zone, like Bitcoin. ETH price corrected gains and dipped below the $4,650 support. There was a move below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $4,268 swing low to the $4,765 high. The bears were able to push the price below $4,550 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $4,610 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. Ethereum price is now trading below $4,550 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $4,600 level. The next key resistance is near the $4,620 level. The first major resistance is near the $4,650 level. A clear move above the $4,650 resistance might send the price toward the $4,720 resistance. An upside break above the $4,720 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $4,765 resistance zone or even $4,800 in the near term. Another Decline In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $4,620 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $4,500 level. The first major support sits near the $4,460 zone and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $4,268 swing low to the $4,765 high. A clear move below the $4,460 support might push the price toward the $4,385 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $4,350 pivot level in the near term. The next key support sits at $4,270. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $4,460 Major Resistance Level – $4,620

After hitting a weekend high of $116,689 on September 15, Bitcoin (BTC) fell slightly, trading just above $114,000 at the time of writing. However, fresh data from Binance crypto exchange indicates that the Bitcoin Scarcity Index recently witnessed its first spike since June 2025. Bitcoin Scarcity Index Spikes, Will BTC Rally? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, the Bitcoin Scarcity Index witnessed its first spike yesterday since June 2025. The analyst referred to the latest exchange data from Binance to confirm the spike in Bitcoin Scarcity Index. For the uninitiated, the Bitcoin Scarcity Index measures how limited the available supply of Bitcoin is on exchanges relative to immediate buying demand. A spike in the index usually indicates strong accumulation by large investors or institutions, signaling potential price pressure to the upside. In their analysis, Arab Chain remarked that the latest spike in the Bitcoin Scarcity Index means that either a large amount of BTC was withdrawn from Binance, or the volume of sell orders fell significantly on the exchange. As a result, the available supply of BTC on Binance suddenly became scarce. Notably, such movements are usually associated with the entry of large investors – such as whales or sharks – who hold substantial quantities of BTC. Arab Chain added: The index jumps when immediate buying power exceeds available supply, as if buyers are racing to acquire Bitcoin on the market This type of spike is often linked to positive news or sudden capital inflows. The same pattern occurred last June and persisted for several days, after which Bitcoin climbed to around $124,000. BTC may confirm the beginning of a strong accumulation phase and the continuation of the uptrend if the Bitcoin Scarcity Index remains positive for several consecutive days. However, if the index rises rapidly – followed by an equally quick descent – it may suggest speculative activity or order liquidations. Such a phase is often followed by a period of calm or a price correction. In recent months, the Bitcoin Scarcity Index has reached new all-time highs (ATH). The chart below shows the metric reaching as high as +6, before quickly falling toward neutral and even negative territory. Is BTC Losing Momentum? Arab Chain concluded by saying that the contrast between BTC’s high price, and the index’s quick move back to or below zero suggest that some strong buying momentum has started to decline. That said, some positive signs persist. For example, the flagship cryptocurrency recently broke above the mid-term holder breakeven, hinting that a fresh rally to the upside may be on the horizon. From a technical perspective, BTC recently flashed the Golden Cross, a rare bullish signal that has crypto pundits forecasting a potential price appreciation of 100%. At press time, BTC trades at $114,601, down 0.9% in the past 24 hours.

Japanese financial firm Credit Saison has launched a new fund called Onigiri Capital, aimed at backing early-stage blockchain startups. The focus is on helping US companies expand into key Asian markets by giving them access to capital, infrastructure, and regulatory guidance. The idea is to use Credit Saison’s deep local knowledge to make cross-border growth smoother and more realistic for crypto founders. Building Toward a $50 Million Fund So far, the fund has raised $35 million, intending to hit $50 million. Backing has come from Credit Saison and other strategic investors. The fund will invest in early-stage startups that are building foundational tools for finance. That includes platforms for tokenization, new types of payment systems, and other tools built on blockchain that can work across traditional and digital finance. Targeting Key Parts of the Market The fund is looking to support projects that deal with real-world assets, digital payments, and decentralized financial tools. These are areas where startups often struggle with scaling and regulation. By helping with both funding and regional know-how, Onigiri Capital wants to give these companies a path into countries like Japan, Singapore, and Indonesia without having to figure everything out on their own. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in September2025 Helping US Founders Move East A key goal is to help US-based startups set up in Asia. Many American crypto firms have good products but get stuck when trying to expand into new regions. Onigiri will provide support through banking partners, legal frameworks, and operational advice. The aim is to remove some of the friction that comes with entering highly regulated or unfamiliar markets. bitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.30T24h7d1y The People Behind the Fund Qin En Looi, a partner at Saison Capital, is helping lead the new fund. She says the team is focused on finding builders who want to solve real problems, not just chase hype. Hans de Back, another managing partner, says the team is paying close attention to legal structures and compliance so that the companies they back can scale without getting tripped up. Timing Matters This new fund comes at a time when the crypto funding landscape has slowed down. In 2022, capital flowed freely into blockchain startups, but the past year has seen a pullback. Investors are being more cautious and want to see real value. That environment makes a fund like this even more important because it brings more than just money to the table. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 Regulatory Issues Still Loom Expanding across borders isn’t easy. Every country has different laws, especially when it comes to digital assets, stablecoins, or financial services. Startups will still need to navigate licensing, audits, and compliance. The difference here is that they’ll have a partner who has already worked with those systems. Why This Fund Could Be a Big Deal Credit Saison isn’t just throwing money around. They’re offering startups access to a network that understands both legacy finance and new tech. If the fund delivers on its promise, it could help shape how US crypto companies operate in Asia and may influence how digital finance evolves in the region. What Comes Next The success of the fund will depend on how carefully it picks its investments and how much real help it can offer those companies. If it works, Onigiri Capital could become a template for how traditional finance supports innovation without getting in the way. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways Credit Saison has launched Onigiri Capital, a fund designed to help US blockchain startups expand into Asia with financial and regulatory support. The fund has raised $35 million so far toward a $50 million target, with investments focused on tokenization, payments, and financial infrastructure. Onigiri Capital will back projects working on real-world assets, decentralized finance, and digital payment solutions. The fund’s leadership, including Qin En Looi and Hans de Back, is stressing compliance and legal frameworks to make scaling smoother for startups. This move comes during a cautious investment climate, positioning Credit Saison as a key bridge between traditional finance and blockchain innovation in Asia. The post Saison Capital Launches Blockchain Fund to Connect US Startups With Asia appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

Coinbase’s Base network might soon have a native token. Jesse Pollak, the founder of Base, brought it up at the recent BaseCamp event. He said they’re exploring the idea, but nothing has been finalized yet. There’s no official timeline or design, just open discussion. That’s a noticeable change from earlier, when Coinbase had said there were no plans for a token. Why the Token Is Being Considered The main reason for thinking about a token is to help Base grow. Pollak explained that the goal is to give the community more power over how the network develops. A token could be used to encourage more developers and users to get involved. It would also fit into Base’s wider vision of being a decentralized layer built on Ethereum, since any token would be native to that chain. What We Know So Far Base has grown quickly since launching in 2023. Right now, the network has around five billion dollars in total value locked. A good chunk of that came just this year. Despite all the activity, Base still doesn’t have its own token. Users pay gas fees in ETH. Pollak made it clear that nothing is set in stone. Everything from the token’s purpose to its governance and rollout is still being discussed. DISCOVER: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 Staying Open and Compliant Pollak said the team wants to do this in the open. That means involving the community and working closely with regulators. They don’t want to move too fast and create legal problems. Brian Armstrong, Coinbase’s CEO, also said there are no firm plans yet. He called the shift more of a mindset change than a concrete move. The company seems to be laying the groundwork while keeping an eye on how regulators might react. ethereumPriceMarket CapETH$543.48B24h7d1y Where Base Stands Right Now Base is one of the most active layer 2 networks built on Ethereum. It was designed to offer fast and cheap transactions. That focus has helped it gain traction, especially among developers. With that momentum, it makes sense that people are wondering when or if a token will come. The timing of these conversations also lines up with growing interest in governance, incentives, and how to reward long-term participants. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Challenges to Work Through There are still a lot of open questions. The biggest one is what the token would actually do. Without a clear purpose, it risks becoming a distraction. There’s also the legal side to consider. Any missteps around securities laws could slow things down or even stop the project altogether. On top of that, Base needs to make sure the process remains fair and actually helps the people building and using the network. Community Response The reaction from developers and community members has been mostly positive. Some people are excited by the idea of more ownership and participation. Others are more cautious, waiting to see how serious Coinbase really is. So far, the fact that this conversation is happening out in the open has been seen as a good sign. What Happens Next For now, everything is still up in the air. The Base team will need to work through the details, from design to governance to legal structure. They’ll also have to keep the community involved and regulators informed. If all of that goes well, Base could be on the path to launching a token that actually adds value. But nothing’s guaranteed, and there’s still a lot to figure out. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways Coinbase’s Base network is openly exploring a native token, marking a shift from earlier statements that no token was planned. Founder Jesse Pollak says a token could support growth by giving the community more power and encouraging developer participation. Base has grown quickly since its 2023 launch, with around $5 billion in total value locked, but it still relies on ETH for gas fees. The team is involving the community and regulators from the start, with no official design, timeline, or purpose confirmed yet. Key challenges include defining the token’s role, staying compliant with securities laws, and ensuring governance benefits builders and users. The post Coinbase Is Thinking About a Token for Base Network appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

Bitcoin price is correcting gains from $116,500. BTC is now consolidating and might start a fresh decline if it stays below the $116,500 resistance zone. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $115,000 zone. The price is trading below $115,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $115,350 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another increase if it clears the $116,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Struggles To Continue Higher Bitcoin price started a fresh upward wave above the $113,500 zone. BTC managed to climb above the $114,500 and $115,000 resistance levels. The bulls were able to push the price above $116,000 and $116,200. The price traded as high as $116,743 and recently started a downside correction. There was a minor decline below the $116,000 zone. The price even dipped below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $110,815 swing low to the $116,743 high. Bitcoin is now trading below $115,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $115,350 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $115,350 level. The first key resistance is near the $116,150 level. The next resistance could be $116,750. A close above the $116,750 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $117,500 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $118,500 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $118,800. Downside Continuation In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $116,150 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support is near the $114,500 level. The first major support is near the $113,750 level or the 50% Fib level of the recent move from the $110,815 swing low to the $116,743 high. The next support is now near the $113,200 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $112,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $110,500, below which BTC might decline heavily. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $114,500, followed by $113,750. Major Resistance Levels – $116,150 and $116,750.