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Although Ethereum (ETH) is still up approximately 80% over the past three months, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap appears to have lost its momentum lately, down 0.6% over the past month. Binance Ethereum Trading In Neutral Zone According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, Ethereum trading on Binance during September 2025 is witnessing a period of relative calm compared to other months. Notably, there has been a decline in the imbalance between ETH spot and perpetual volumes. Commenting on ETH’s recent price surge, which saw it jump from $2,127 on June 15 to around $4,500 at the time of writing, Arab Chain noted that this rally was not supported by strong momentum. Neither the spot market nor leveraged speculators contributed to the price appreciation. The CryptoQuant contributor brought attention to ETH’s Z-score, which has oscillated between 0.0 and -1.0 for most of September. Such a Z-score typically signifies the asset trading in a neutral zone, with a slight tilt toward the spot market. For the uninitiated, a Z-score measures how far a data point is from the mean, expressed in units of standard deviation. In trading, it’s used to identify whether a value – like volume or price – is unusually high or low compared to its historical average. In essence, ETH’s current Z-score means that perpetual contracts are slowly losing their dominance in trading volume. This could be due to multiple reasons, such as speculators exiting the market or due to increased dependence on real buy/sell orders from actual investors. The decline in perpetual trading volume is significant compared to the period between June and August. As a result, the appetite for leveraged speculation has dwindled too, a sign of growing caution in the market. Arab Chain added: Despite this decline, the spot market also showed limited strength, reflecting a general lack of investor engagement. Spot volume remained below the 500K–1M range, which is significantly lower than the peaks recorded in July and June. The analyst cautioned that although the lack of strong imbalances between the spot and perpetual markets may seem positive at first, it could also mean there is heightened uncertainty and stagnation pertaining to the direction of ETH’s price. Is ETH Preparing For A New Rally? Although ETH appears to be stuck in limbo due to its sluggish price action, some analysts are confident that the digital asset is likely to resume its bullish trajectory in the near term. For example, ETH reserves on exchanges continue to deplete at a rapid pace. Similarly, institutional demand for ETH continues to be strong, with some analysts forecasting ETH to climb to $6,800 by the end of 2025. At press time, ETH trades at $4,439, down 1.6% in the past 24 hours.

Ethereum price started a fresh decline below $4,620. ETH is now trading below $4,620 and might extend losses if it stays below $4,585. Ethereum is now correcting gains below the $4,620 zone. The price is trading below $4,600 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $4,580 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it settles above $4,580 and $4,620. Ethereum Price Faces Hurdles Ethereum price started a fresh decline after it failed to stay above the $4,650 zone, like Bitcoin. ETH price corrected gains and dipped below the $4,600 support. There was a move below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $4,268 swing low to the $4,765 high. The bears were able to push the price below $4,500 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $4,580 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. Ethereum price is now trading below $4,560 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $4,550 level. The next key resistance is near the $4,580 level and the trend line. The first major resistance is near the $4,620 level. A clear move above the $4,620 resistance might send the price toward the $4,665 resistance. An upside break above the $4,665 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $4,720 resistance zone or even $4,740 in the near term. Another Decline In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $4,580 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $4,480 level. The first major support sits near the $4,450 zone and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $4,268 swing low to the $4,765 high. A clear move below the $4,450 support might push the price toward the $4,380 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $4,320 region in the near term. The next key support sits at $4,250. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $4,450 Major Resistance Level – $4,580

CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin Bull Score Index has jumped from 20 to 50 in just four days, suggesting a swift shift out of bearish territory for the asset. Bitcoin Bull Score Index Is Back In Neutral Region In a new post on X, CryptoQuant head of research Julio Moreno has talked about the latest trend in the analytics firm’s Bull Score Index. This indicator basically tells us about which phase of the market Bitcoin is in right now. The index combines the data of several key on-chain metrics to determine its value. Some of these indicators include the Market Value to Realized Cap (MVRV) Ratio, keeping track of average investor profitability on the network, and the Stablecoin Liquidity, measuring the amount of capital stored in the form of fiat-tied tokens. When the Bull Score Index has a value of 60 or higher, it means the majority of the underlying metrics are currently giving a bullish signal. On the other hand, the metric’s value being 40 or lower implies BTC is in a bear phase according to its indicators. Now, here is the chart shared by Moreno that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Bull Score Index over the past year: As is visible in the above graph, the Bitcoin Bull Score Index was sitting at a low of just 20 four days ago, but since then, its value has witnessed a sharp climb to the 50 level. This means that on-chain metrics are signaling neutral market conditions for the asset now. This shift comes just as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) kicks off its two-day meeting on Tuesday. BTC price itself has taken to sideways movement ahead of it, indicating that the market is divided about the event’s outcome. Analytics firm Santiment has shared in an X post about how social media users are reacting to the meeting. In the chart, Santiment has attached the data of the “Positive/Negative Sentiment,” an indicator that compares the bullish and bearish posts related to Bitcoin that are appearing on the major social media platforms. This metric has surged recently and hit the 1.77 mark, suggesting that there are 1.77 positive comments being made for every negative comment related to the cryptocurrency. This is the most bullish that retail traders have been on social media in around 10 weeks. While some excitement can be normal, an excess of it isn’t usually a positive sign. As the analytics firm explains, “historically, markets move in the opposite direction of retail’s expectations.” BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $115,700, up more than 2.5% over the last week.

On Tuesday, the GBP/USD currency pair continued its upward movement. In the morning, the UK reports on unemployment and wages were published, but these only allowed traders to draw conclusions that had no impact on their trading decisions. For instance, the unemployment rate remained at 4.7%—what are we to conclude from that? Or the pace of wage growth slowed slightly (but stayed within forecasts)—what does that mean? Will the Bank of England take these figures and their results seriously? In our view, the UK data package was utterly pointless. On Monday, there were no significant releases or events in either the US or the UK, yet the pound kept rising at the same rate all day. So these reports did not affect trader sentiment. We can't call them super-positive, but we can't call them negative either. But what about British inflation, which comes out this morning? It doesn't matter anymore. What is the market looking at now? The ongoing trade war. The possibility that the Fed won't just cut rates a couple of times, but could start a whole easing cycle that ends with the rate at 1%. The fact that the Bank of England has no grounds to loosen policy in the near future. That means, regardless of whether August inflation is high or low, it's irrelevant. Currently, the consumer price index is 3.8%. What can be said about this in September 2025? It's more than twice as high as it was in September 2024. Inflation has been rising for a whole year—this is a trend, not a shock reaction to Trump's tariffs. Inflation is almost double the target. If UK inflation slows this morning, what difference does it make? None, because it's still high. If it accelerates even more—what difference does it make? None, because it's still high. In any case, the Bank of England can no longer afford to cut rates. And since it can't, the pound gets additional reasons to keep rising. If at least US macro stats were supportive for the dollar, we might expect the GBP/USD uptrend to pause a bit longer. However, US data continues to miss expectations, which fuels Trump's anger as he persists in blaming Powell & Co. If the Fed rate were lower, inflation would likely be even higher; however, business activity, GDP, NFP, industrial production, retail sales, and unemployment would also be lower. In other words, with a low rate, you'd have only one bad reading; with a high rate, everything is bad except GDP, which keeps climbing artificially. No wonder Trump is putting pressure on the Fed, but so far, the US president isn't getting much out of this battle. The average GBP/USD volatility over the last five trading days is 72 pips—a "medium" value for the pair. On Wednesday, September 17, we expect movement within the 1.3579–1.3723 range. The linear regression channel's upper band points upward, indicating a clear uptrend. The CCI indicator has again entered the oversold area, giving another alert of trend resumption. Nearest Support Levels:S1 – 1.3611 S2 – 1.3550 S3 – 1.3489 Nearest Resistance Levels:R1 – 1.3672 R2 – 1.3733 R3 – 1.3794 Trading Recommendations:The GBP/USD currency pair is again trying to continue its uptrend. In the medium term, Donald Trump's policy will likely continue to pressure the dollar, so we still do not expect dollar strength. Thus, long positions targeting 1.3723 and 1.3733 remain much more relevant if the price is above the moving average. If price drops below the moving average, small shorts are possible on purely technical grounds. Occasionally, the greenback makes corrections, but for a trend reversal, the dollar needs real evidence that the global trade war is over or other major positive factors. Chart Elements Explained:Linear regression channels help determine the current trend. If both channels point in the same direction, the trend is strong.The moving average line (settings 20,0, smoothed) indicates the short-term trend and trade direction.Murray levels serve as target levels for moves and corrections.Volatility levels (red lines) are the likely price channel for the next day, based on current volatility readings.The CCI indicator: dips below -250 (oversold) or rises above +250 (overbought) mean a trend reversal may be near.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

The EUR/USD currency pair on Tuesday clearly showed what traders expect in the near future. Despite a very weak macroeconomic backdrop, the euro rose all day and broke above the July 1 high, which was also the highest value in the last three years. For us, there's really nothing surprising here, as we've said many times: the dollar has no chance to grow, except for technical corrections. Over the last five weeks, upward movement has been quite weak, but the euro keeps climbing, not the dollar. The dollar more or less corrected for about a month, and now the decline has resumed. Granted, this is no longer a collapse like in the first half of 2025—but it's still a decline. Today, the US will announce the results of the Fed meeting, the sixth this year. Only three meetings remain before year-end—all of which could bring rate cuts. At least, for traders, this is now the base case they believe in. However, it's worth noting that in recent years, the market has always expected the "dovish" actions from the Fed and has never quite gotten them. So, we seriously doubt we'll see all three cuts by year-end. Jerome Powell keeps repeating the same thing: monetary policy will depend entirely on macroeconomic data. Yes, the labor market has been weakening for four months in a row, so it seems obvious to everyone that aid is needed. And that's probably true. But what if the labor market starts recovering as soon as September? And if it continues in October? Would three rate cuts still be needed this year? We believe the most important thing now isn't really medium-term outlooks or expectations, but rather the actual results of the September meeting—even if the decision is already made and announced. The market will focus closely on the FOMC vote. Not all voting details may be made public, but some information will certainly leak to the media. The market reaction will depend on how many FOMC officials lean "dovish." The market is not worried about a rate cut in September (which it's expected all year and thus has been fully priced in). The real concern is that at some point, the Fed rate could drop like a stone if Trump manages to sway most of the Monetary Committee—or fire those he can't persuade. That's what spooks the market, and what will send traders fleeing the dollar. Thus, the more signals we get about a growing "dovish" sentiment within the FOMC, the higher the chances of a new, strong, and prolonged dollar slide. And don't forget: the trade war, the main factor in the dollar's fall in the first half of 2025, hasn't gone anywhere—it's neither ended nor paused. There's a slight chance the US Supreme Court will block Trump's tariffs entirely, but we won't know until November at the earliest. The average EUR/USD volatility over the last five trading days as of September 17 is 69 pips, classed as "average." On Wednesday, we expect movement between 1.1776 and 1.1914. The linear regression channel's upper band is still pointed upward, indicating an ongoing uptrend. The CCI indicator has entered the oversold zone three times, signaling the uptrend's resumption. A bullish divergence has formed—another early warning of growth. Now the indicator is in the overbought area, but during an uptrend, this only hints at a correction, not a reversal. Nearest Support Levels:S1 – 1.1841 S2 – 1.1780 S3 – 1.1719 Nearest Resistance Levels:Trading Recommendations:The EUR/USD pair may resume its uptrend. The US dollar is still under significant pressure from Donald Trump's policies, and he "isn't stopping here." The dollar grew as much as it could (not for long), but now seems set for a new leg of prolonged decline. If the price is below the moving average, small shorts can be considered toward 1.1658 on purely corrective grounds. Above the moving average, long positions aiming for 1.1914 remain relevant with the trend. Chart Elements Explained:Linear regression channels help determine the current trend. If both channels point in the same direction, the trend is strong.The moving average line (settings 20,0, smoothed) indicates the short-term trend and trade direction.Murray levels serve as target levels for moves and corrections.Volatility levels (red lines) are the likely price channel for the next day, based on current volatility readings.The CCI indicator: dips below -250 (oversold) or rises above +250 (overbought) mean a trend reversal may be near.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

GBP/USD 5-Minute Analysis On Tuesday, the GBP/USD currency pair also continued to move north, though not as strongly as EUR/USD. The uptrend on the hourly timeframe remains, as evidenced by the trendline, while UK statistics released yesterday morning had no real effect on the pound's growth. All three UK reports published were dull and neutral, almost exactly matching economist forecasts. They simply couldn't provoke a rally throughout the day. The same applies to US data (industrial production, retail sales), which also beat forecasts and should have supported the dollar, not the pound. However, the US currency still has plenty of fundamental reasons for decline, and today and tomorrow, the central banks of both the US and the UK will hold their regular meetings, the results of which are 90% likely to favor the pound. We wouldn't rule out that the market is already starting to price these in. In general, even without the Fed and Bank of England meetings, the market has plenty of reasons for continued buying. Traders now expect only a rate cut from the Fed and a prolonged pause from the BoE. On the daily chart, the price has clearly corrected within the uptrend, so upward movement can continue. On the 5-minute chart, there was precisely one trading signal yesterday, but it was more than enough to profit. At the very start of the European trading session, the pair broke above 1.3615, allowing traders to open long positions. Afterwards, the price only continued to rise. COT Report COT reports on the British pound show that commercial traders' sentiment has been constantly changing in recent years. The red and blue lines (net positions of commercial and non-commercial traders) cross frequently and generally stay near zero. Right now, they're almost at the same level, which signals roughly equal amounts of long and short positions. The dollar is still falling due to Trump's policies, so market maker demand for the pound is not so important right now. The trade war will continue, one way or another, for a long time. The Fed will lower rates at least once more within the next year, so dollar demand will keep falling. The latest COT report shows "Non-commercial" closed 1,200 BUY contracts and 700 SELL contracts. So, the net position decreased by 500 contracts during the reporting week. The pound shot up in 2025, but the cause is clear—Donald Trump's policy. Once that factor is neutralized, the dollar could rally, but no one knows when that will happen. It doesn't really matter whether the net position in the pound rises or falls—the dollar's net position keeps shrinking, usually at a faster pace. GBP/USD 1-Hour Analysis On the hourly timeframe, GBP/USD is poised to form a new uptrend, which it is currently doing. The fundamental and macroeconomic backdrop for the dollar is still negative, so there's still no reason to expect medium-term dollar growth. This week, there could theoretically be a GBP pullback, but you'd need technical signals for that—such as a break of the trendline. For September 17, we highlight these important levels: 1.3125, 1.3212, 1.3369–1.3377, 1.3420, 1.3525–1.3548, 1.3615, 1.3681, 1.3763, 1.3833, 1.3886. The Senkou Span B (1.3460) and Kijun-sen (1.3581) lines may also serve as signal sources. A Stop Loss should be moved to breakeven after 20+ points in your favor. The Ichimoku indicator lines can shift during the day, so keep that in mind for signal generation. On Wednesday, an important UK inflation report will be released, but it's unlikely to affect the BoE's policy outcome. Still, a high inflation figure may fuel new pound growth, as the BoE stance will become less "dovish." In the US, the Fed meeting and a press conference with Jerome Powell are scheduled. Trading RecommendationsWe believe that on Wednesday, the pair's bullish movement can continue, as nearly all factors point in that direction. The 1.3615 level has been surpassed, so targets are 1.3681 and 1.3763. Shorts are theoretically possible, but we wouldn't risk them at the moment. Illustration Explanations:Support and resistance price levels – thick red lines where movement may end. They are not trading signal sources.Kijun-sen and Senkou Span B lines—These are strong Ichimoku indicator lines transferred to the hourly timeframe from the 4-hour one.Extremum levels – thin red lines where the price has previously rebounded. These act as trading signal sources.Yellow lines – trend lines, trend channels, and other technical patterns.Indicator 1 on the COT charts – the size of the net position for each category of traders.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

EUR/USD 5-Minute Analysis The EUR/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Tuesday, but this time the rally was much stronger. None of Tuesday's published reports played any significant role for traders. European data allowed room for the euro to rise, but, for example, industrial production came in weaker than forecast. US reports didn't interest the market at all: retail sales and industrial production came in above expectations, yet the dollar still fell all day. As we've said many times, the dollar has plenty of global fundamental reasons to fall, even in the absence of local macroeconomic catalysts. We've repeatedly noted that even technical analysis on practically all timeframes supports only upward movement. So Tuesday's euro rally is not at all surprising for us. Price is simply breaking through level after level, while the dollar continues to have no real chances for sustained growth—only occasional corrections. Today's Fed meeting could only worsen things for the US currency. Even though the decision is basically pre-announced and just needs to be made public, if the market detects even one extra "dovish" nuance in the Fed's statement, the dollar could fall even more swiftly and energetically. On the 5-minute timeframe, several trading signals were generated yesterday. Overnight, price bounced from the 1.1750–1.1760 area, and at the European session open, price was still close enough to this signal point, so a long position could be opened. During the US session, the 1.1846–1.1857 area was reached and almost immediately broken. This allowed the upward movement to continue. COT Report The latest COT report (as of September 9) shows the net position of non-commercial traders has been "bullish" for a long time, with bears only barely taking the upper hand at the end of 2024, and quickly losing it. Since Trump took office as US President, the dollar has been the only currency to fall. We can't say with 100% certainty that the dollar will keep declining, but current events globally do point in that direction. We still see no fundamental reasons for euro strength, but plenty are supporting the dollar's drop. The global long-term downtrend remains, but what does the last 17 years' price action matter now? Once Trump ends his trade wars, the dollar may rally, but recent events show that won't happen anytime soon. Potential loss of Fed independence is another major pressure point for the US currency. The red and blue lines of the indicator keep pointing to a persistent "bullish" trend. In the last reporting week, the number of longs in the Non-commercial group rose by 2,400 contracts, while shorts fell by 3,700. Thus, the net position increased by 6,100 contracts, which isn't a significant change. EUR/USD 1-Hour Analysis On the hourly chart, EUR/USD continues to show an uptrend. Yesterday, movement north strengthened further, and on the daily timeframe, it's clear that 2025's uptrend has officially resumed. Accordingly, traders are justified in expecting a further rise in the euro by as much as 500–600 pips. There is no limit to the dollar's decline given Donald Trump's current policy stance. For September 17, we highlight the following levels for trading: 1.1234, 1.1274, 1.1362, 1.1426, 1.1534, 1.1604–1.1615, 1.1666, 1.1750–1.1760, 1.1846–1.1857, 1.1922, 1.1971–1.1988, as well as the Senkou Span B (1.1694) and Kijun-sen (1.1766) lines. The Ichimoku indicator lines can move during the day and should be kept in mind when analyzing trade signals. Remember to move your Stop Loss to breakeven if the price moves 15 pips in your favor; this protects against losses should a signal prove false. On Wednesday, the eurozone will publish a second estimate of August inflation and a second speech by Christine Lagarde this week. Neither event is likely to excite the market. In the US, several minor reports will be out during the day, with the key event in the evening: the Fed meeting. Trading RecommendationsOn Wednesday, the pair may continue its upward movement. Thus, long positions remain current with targets at 1.1894, 1.1922, and 1.1971–1.1988. We see no grounds for short positions at this time. Be ready for sharp reversals and high volatility in the evening. Illustration Explanations:Support and resistance price levels – thick red lines where movement may end. They are not trading signal sources.Kijun-sen and Senkou Span B lines—These are strong Ichimoku indicator lines transferred to the hourly timeframe from the 4-hour one.Extremum levels – thin red lines where the price has previously rebounded. These act as trading signal sources.Yellow lines – trend lines, trend channels, and other technical patterns.Indicator 1 on the COT charts – the size of the net position for each category of traders.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Bitcoin price is moving higher above $116,200. BTC is now consolidating and might gain bullish momentum if it clears the $116,850 resistance zone. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $116,000 zone. The price is trading below $116,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a contracting triangle with resistance at $115,750 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another increase if it clears the $116,850 zone. Bitcoin Price Hits Resistance Bitcoin price started a fresh upward wave above the $114,500 zone. BTC managed to climb above the $115,000 and $115,500 resistance levels. The bulls were able to push the price above $116,200 and $116,500. Besides, there was a break above a contracting triangle with resistance at $115,750 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The price traded as high as $116,959 and is currently consolidating gains. It is stable above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $114,156 swing low to the $116,959 high. Bitcoin is now trading above $116,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $116,850 level. The first key resistance is near the $117,200 level. The next resistance could be $117,500. A close above the $117,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $118,400 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $118,800 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $119,250. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $116,850 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support is near the $116,250 level. The first major support is near the $115,550 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $114,156 swing low to the $116,959 high. The next support is now near the $115,200 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $114,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $112,500, below which BTC might decline heavily. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $115,550, followed by $115,200. Major Resistance Levels – $116,850 and $117,200.

With the Federal Reserve set to announce policy on Wednesday, September 17, a closely followed trader has laid out a precise, level-by-level playbook for navigating Bitcoin’s next move. In his weekly “Market Outlook #51,” published on September 15, Nik Patel (@cointradernik) for Ostium Research maps out both long and short triggers around a tight cluster of resistance at $117.5k–$120k and a “line in the sand” support at $112k—frameworks he argues should contain BTC’s path through the FOMC and into quarter-end. How To Trade Bitcoin Into September FOMC Nik’s higher-timeframe read starts with a strong weekly close that reclaimed the August open near $115.3k and, crucially, kept price above $112k. “This is now the line in the sand for short-term bullishness,” he writes, warning that a weekly close back below would reopen the route to July’s local lows around $107k and, in a deeper flush, the $99k swing low. To the upside, he highlights $117.5k as the next inflection; a clean acceptance over $120k would set up a swift run at all-time highs, where $123k is the first major cap on the daily timeframe. Into the event, his directional bias remains conditional rather than dogmatic. On the long side, he favors a liquidity sweep early in the week: “On the long side you want to see a sharp flush lower… into $113.5k, where you could layer bids with invalidation on a daily close below $112k,” aiming for a reaction back to $117.5k (TP1) and $119k (TP2) into the FOMC. Conversely, if BTC grinds higher without that flush, his short plan is to “short above $119k pre-FOMC,” then “add… on acceptance back below $117.5k post-FOMC,” with $112k as the first target and scope to trail for lower lows if structure weakens. The trader concedes the next couple of weeks are “a lot more unclear… with many variables,” but his base case still envisions “the second half of Q4 will be very strong.” The setup lands as BTC churns around $115k ahead of the decision—a zone multiple analysts have framed as pivotal. Heading into the weekly close, market commentary stressed that a sustained reclaim of ~$114k is a prerequisite for renewed momentum, with one widely tracked technician arguing, “The goal isn’t for Bitcoin to break $117k… The goal is for Bitcoin to reclaim $114k into support first.” Over the weekend and into Tuesday, BTC’s price action remained pinned in that band, keeping both the upside break toward $119k–$123k and the downside sweep into $113.5k–$112k on the table. Macro context heightens the stakes. Markets broadly expect the Fed to cut its policy rate by 25 bps on September 17, shifting the target range from 4.50% to 4.25%—a baseline Nik explicitly builds into his calendar. Yet traders are equally focused on Chair Jerome Powell’s guidance and the updated “dot plot,” which will shape the path for additional cuts into year-end. While a cut is priced, the tone—whether the Fed signals a shallow or accelerated easing path—could be the catalyst that resolves BTC’s tight $114k–$119k coil. Positioning provides further texture to Nik’s plan. He flags three-month annualized basis and the split between Bitcoin and altcoin open interest, along with concentrated one-week and one-month liquidation pockets just below spot and above the recent range highs—context for why he prefers either reactive longs on a downside flush or fades into strength near $119k–$120k if derivatives chase the move. The framework leans heavily on acceptance/rejection around well-defined levels rather than attempting to front-run the policy outcome itself. Bottom line: in the Ostium playbook, bulls want a controlled dip that holds $112k on a daily closing basis and then forces a reclaim of $117.5k on the way to $119k–$123k; bears get their best shot if price runs late into $119k–$120k pre-FOMC and then loses $117.5k on the reaction. With BTC glued to the mid-$110ks and the market already bracing for a quarter-point cut, the catalyst may come down to Powell’s nuance. At press time, BTC traded at $115,427.

Ethereum rallied again this week as fresh institutional demand and heavy ETF inflows pushed traders to consider higher price paths. According to market reports, some analysts now see a possible run toward $8,500 if current buying continues and macro conditions remain calm. Institutional Flows Drive Interest Based on reports, one day of ETF inflows was reported at close to $730 million, a figure that traders said helped limit selling pressure and lift market confidence. Standard Chartered has been cited with a year-end forecast of $7,500, while other market commentators and smaller research groups have floated targets as high as $8,500. That mix of big-name bank views and crypto-focused analysis is what is feeding the talk on an extended rally. Technical Levels And On-Chain Signals Reports have disclosed technical setups that traders are watching closely. A pivot point near $4,811 was named by some analysts as the level that needs to clear for a larger advance to become more likely. Ethereum’s recent trading band has been roughly in the $4,400–$4,600 range in many charts, which means significant upside would be required to reach the lofty targets being discussed. What Would Need To Happen For $8,500 According to market commentary, several things would have to line up. Continued ETF inflows and steady institutional accumulation are key. Also important are clearer rules for ETF products and a soft macro backdrop that keeps risk appetite intact. Some analysts add that if Bitcoin moves higher — a move to roughly $150,000 has been used in scenarios — Ethereum could gain as investors reallocate across major crypto assets. Risks That Would Halt The Rally News cautions that the $8,500 concept is built on several positive developments occurring simultaneously. Policy shifts, softer ETF demand, or a change in macro sentiment might also stop a rally in a hurry. Unless Layer 2 growth or network usage equates to increased mainnet demand, price appreciation may be capped. Regulation news in big markets also reverses flows rapidly. Meanwhile, forecasts span a broad range. Standard Chartered’s $7,500 view is on the higher side among big banks. Other companies provide more modest estimates, and smaller analysts suggest more bullish estimates up to $8,500. The disparity highlights the extent to which price targets are reliant on assumptions regarding flows, adoption, and macro considerations. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView

MetaMask has officially launched its own stablecoin, MetaMask USD (mUSD), adding a new player to the expanding lineup of dollar-pegged tokens. What makes mUSD different is that it’s issued directly by the MetaMask wallet itself, which means users stay in control of their funds at all times. There’s no central platform holding your money for you. It’s all self-custodied, straight from the wallet. How It’s Built and What Backs It The stablecoin is created through a platform called Bridge, which works in partnership with Stripe. Behind the scenes, the minting process runs on a protocol called M0. This setup is designed to offer both transparency and reliability. Each mUSD is backed one-to-one with cash or short-term U.S. Treasury assets. The idea is to give people confidence that every token is actually worth a dollar, and that they can redeem it if needed. Where You Can Use It Right Now mUSD is already live on Ethereum’s main network and also on Linea, which is MetaMask’s own layer-2 network. Inside the MetaMask wallet, users can swap, send, hold, or transfer it to others across different networks. That makes it pretty versatile from the start. There are also plans to connect mUSD to the MetaMask Card, which would allow people to spend it at any place that accepts Mastercard. That feature is expected to go live later this year. DISCOVER: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 The Numbers and What MetaMask Aims For Right now, the total amount of mUSD in circulation is around 18 million dollars. It’s still early days, but MetaMask is clearly aiming to make mUSD the go-to dollar inside its wallet and related products. The timing lines up with a bigger trend in the market where more companies are rolling out their own stablecoins. Alongside giants like USDT and USDC, there are also new entrants like PayPal’s PYUSD and other bank-issued tokens trying to grab attention. ethereumPriceMarket CapETH$541.84B24h7d1y What Could Hold It Back Even with strong backing and partnerships in place, mUSD still has a lot to prove. For one, it needs enough liquidity outside of MetaMask’s own environment. Without that, users might run into trouble when trying to trade or convert their mUSD. Another key area is trust. People will want to see clear audits and reserve reports. If MetaMask can consistently prove that mUSD is fully backed and redeemable, that will help build long-term confidence. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 A Busy Field With More Players Joining Stablecoins are everywhere now. They’ve become a core part of crypto trading, payments, and even savings. MetaMask is stepping into a space that’s already packed with options, and many of them have been around for years. But by launching its own token that’s tied directly to its wallet, MetaMask is hoping to offer something more seamless for its users. Whether that’s enough to stand out remains to be seen. Final Thoughts If mUSD catches on, it could change the way people use stablecoins inside crypto wallets. MetaMask already has millions of users, and giving them a native dollar that works across chains could be a big move. But adoption takes time, and the real test will be how useful mUSD becomes outside the MetaMask bubble. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways MetaMask has launched mUSD, its own dollar-pegged stablecoin, which is already live on Ethereum and Linea. mUSD is backed by cash and short-term US Treasuries, with Bridge and M0 handling the issuance and cross-chain tech. The stablecoin is fully built into MetaMask, letting users swap, bridge, and spend mUSD directly inside the wallet. MetaMask says mUSD meets regulatory standards and is designed for transparency, with a focus on trust and safe backing. Adoption will be key as MetaMask enters a competitive stablecoin market dominated by USDT and USDC. The post MetaMask Launches mUSD: A Wallet-Native Stablecoin appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

Binance is in talks with the US Department of Justice to remove the independent monitor that was assigned after the company’s massive $4.3 billion settlement last year. The monitor’s job was to keep an eye on whether Binance was fixing the compliance issues that got it into trouble in the first place. These discussions are still underway, but the two sides appear to be moving closer to an agreement. Why the Monitor Was Put in Place The monitor wasn’t just there for show. It was installed to oversee Binance’s operations from the outside and make sure the company was actually improving its internal systems. Regulators wanted assurance that Binance was cleaning up its handling of customer verification, suspicious transactions, and general oversight. Without the monitor, they would’ve had to rely mostly on Binance’s own reporting, which wasn’t going to cut it after a fine that large. What’s Behind the Push to Remove It There’s been a shift in how the DOJ approaches these cases. Instead of keeping monitors in place for years, the focus is starting to lean toward internal accountability and more flexible enforcement tools. Binance, for its part, has reportedly made real progress since the settlement. It has expanded its compliance team, revamped internal systems, and taken steps to align more closely with regulatory expectations. All of this seems to have opened the door for a possible change in oversight. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in September2025 What It Could Mean for Binance If the DOJ agrees to remove the monitor, Binance probably won’t walk away without strings attached. There would likely still be strict reporting requirements and ongoing reviews, just not from a third-party watchdog. That could ease some operational pressure, but it also raises the stakes. Without the extra layer of outside eyes, the company will need to prove that it can maintain high standards on its own. Trust takes time to rebuild, and any misstep would be under the spotlight. bnbPriceMarket CapBNB$142.51B24h7d1y Where the Talks Stand Nothing is finalized yet, and the DOJ hasn’t confirmed whether the monitor will be removed. This condition was a key part of the original agreement, so adjusting it isn’t a small move. There’s also a second monitor involved, tied to a separate agreement with the Treasury Department, and that one remains in place for now. Even if the DOJ backs off, Binance won’t be free of oversight entirely. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 Why It Matters Beyond Binance This could set an example for how other high-profile crypto enforcement cases are handled. If Binance gets the monitor removed, it might encourage other firms to push for similar treatment if they can show meaningful improvements. At the same time, it raises questions about how much oversight is enough and who decides when it’s time to scale it back. What to Watch Next The outcome of these discussions will shape Binance’s next chapter. If the DOJ decides to step back, it will likely come with new expectations and internal benchmarks. The real test will be how well Binance holds itself accountable without someone else looking over its shoulder. Regulators and the public will be watching closely. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways Binance is in talks with the DOJ to remove the independent monitor assigned after its $4.3 billion settlement. The monitor was put in place to oversee compliance fixes tied to customer checks, suspicious activity, and internal controls. Binance has reportedly improved its systems and grown its compliance team, opening the door for a change in oversight. If the DOJ agrees to remove the monitor, Binance would still face strict internal reporting and reviews without third-party supervision. The outcome could shape how regulators approach other crypto cases, with wider implications for future enforcement strategies. The post Binance Nears Deal With DOJ to Remove Outside Monitor From $4.3B Settlement appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

Ethereum has shown signs of strength after completing a healthy pullback. Having met and retested its $4,811 target, ETH is now holding firm, suggesting the correction phase may be over. If buyers regain control, the path could open for a powerful rally in the near term. Ethereum Pulls Back, But Bullish Signals Confirm Strength Javon Marks, in his most recent update, emphasized that ETH reached the $4,811.71 target before entering a pullback phase. Despite the temporary dip, bullish signals have re-emerged, indicating that ETH has regained strength and could soon retest this important level. He noted that surpassing the $4,811.71 zone would mark a decisive step forward for Ethereum. A confirmed breakout above this level could act as a catalyst, unlocking fresh buying pressure and signaling a continuation of the broader bullish trend. According to MARKS analysis, the bigger picture remains highly promising, as a sustained rally above this target could drive ETH toward $8,557.68, an impressive +77% move. Such a development would not only reinforce Ethereum’s dominance in the market but also underscore its ability to outperform as investor sentiment strengthens. Trendline Support Holds Firm, Strengthening Bullish Case According to Crypto King in a recent post, ETH looks to be preparing for its next decisive move in the market. After a period of consolidation, the price action has continued to show resilience, refusing to break down despite fluctuations across the broader crypto space. This behavior highlights the underlying strength of ETH and suggests that buyers are quietly accumulating while defending critical levels. The analyst emphasized that ETH is firmly holding its ascending trendline, which has served as a strong backbone of support during recent pullbacks. Each time the price has tested this line, it has attracted renewed momentum, underscoring the importance of the trendline as a technical foundation. Now that the latest retest appears to be complete, Ethereum seems to be shifting toward another potential upside move. The structure of higher lows remains intact, showing that momentum is gradually building and buyers are preparing for a possible breakout attempt. If this bullish pressure continues, ETH could soon reclaim higher levels and aim for fresh targets in the coming sessions. Crypto King further noted that for traders or investors looking to position themselves for the next rally, this could be the ideal time to act. Should Ethereum follow through with a strong rally, the current price zone might be remembered as a key accumulation point ahead of its next major advance.

Pantera Lithium (ASX: PFE) said on Tuesday that shareholders overwhelmingly voted in favour of the proposed sale of its subsidiary Daytona Lithium Pty Ltd to Energy Exploration Technologies (EnergyX). Daytona Lithium indirectly owns mineral rights in southwest Arkansas, and EnergyX is progressing its project Lonestar Lithium in the Smackover with its near completed demonstration plant. This summer, EnergyX bought another 35,000 acres in the Smackover, an underground geological formation stretching from Florida to Texas filled with lithium-rich brine, in a $26 million cash and shares deal, upping the company’s stake to 47,500 acres. Analysts estimate the Smackover could contain more than 4 million metric tons of lithium, enough to power millions of electric vehicles and other electronic devices. This acquisition, EnergyX said in an email, strengthens its mineral resource base and accelerates its ability to secure lithium supply leveraging its LiTAS suite of direct lithium extraction and refining technologies in the US. The technology has raised over $110 million in total funding, backed by investors including General Motors, Eni and POSCO. The privately-held company’s recent moves also include securing a Chilean lithium resource comprising 90,000 acres of mining concessions in 2023, and in 2024 acquiring a 40,000-square-foot production facility in Austin, Texas.

For the first time in 2025, the United States Federal Reserve is preparing to cut interest rates while the S&P 500 is trading at all-time highs, and according to The Kobeissi Letter, the time has come for an important shift in markets that could usher in the next crypto market bull run. As it stands, record stock valuations, resilient GDP growth, sticky inflation, and cracks are forming in the labor market, leaving the stage open for volatility in traditional markets that could spill over into the next explosive altcoin season. Fed Rate Cuts At Record Valuations Expectations are also high that the Fed will keep lowering rates at the next interest rate decision on Wednesday, September 17, 2025 and through the end of this year. According to a lengthy thread that was posted on the social media platform X, this could have long-term bullish effects on the crypto industry. The Federal Reserve usually cuts rates in the face of economic weakness and depressed equity markets, but this time is different. As noted by The Kobeissi Letter, valuation metrics tracked by Bloomberg show US stocks are more expensive than ever, having surpassed even the 1929 pre-Depression peak and the dot-com bubble. Furthermore, the S&P 500’s price-to-book ratio hit 5.3x in late August, its record level. Despite these extremes, policymakers are expected to cut by at least 25 basis points this week based on weakness in the labor market. History shows that when rate cuts occurred with stocks within 2% of all-time highs, as shown in 2019 and 2024, the S&P 500 delivered strong gains over the following year. This unusual mix could once again amplify capital flows into high-growth assets, including cryptocurrencies, in the last quarter of 2025. A Perfect Time For Altcoins Cutting rates into hot inflation adds liquidity fuel just as investors chase risk assets. That backdrop has always caused powerful surges for Gold, Bitcoin, and other major cryptocurrencies, as the return of these assets thrives when fiat returns come under question. As The Kobeissi Letter framed it, the time has come. The Fed’s decision to cut rates with stocks at record highs, amid a 3% GDP growth and hot inflation 110 bps above the Fed’s long-term target, could be the driver of the next altcoin season. Gold and Bitcoin have already been priced in this new era of liquidity, as both are now up by 450% and 105%, respectively, since 2023. The setup is even better for altcoins like Ethereum, XRP, Chainlink, and most especially cryptocurrencies involved in the growing AI niche. There could be more immediate-term volatility, but long-term asset owners will benefit the most from the rate cut. However, if the Federal Reserve opts for a slower pace of cuts than markets are currently pricing in, the disappointment could ripple through both equities and cryptocurrencies and cause short-term declines this week.

In addition to everything mentioned above, it's important to remember that tariffs are not beneficial for the European Union. If Europe imposes duties on India and China, retaliatory tariffs and sanctions will follow. In my opinion, such policies only escalate geopolitical tensions. In recent years, there's already been too much talk about a potential World War III—a scenario we'd all like to avoid. Regardless, the European economy would suffer just as the US economy suffered if Brussels were to implement such tariffs. The issue of Slovakia and Hungary's oil purchases is especially unclear; both countries claim they have no alternative to Russian oil and are unwilling to pay higher prices from other suppliers due to budget constraints. Moreover, for the EU to decide on tariffs, all 27 member states have to vote in favor. Do you think Hungary or Slovakia would support such tariffs? It's likely that other countries might also block this kind of initiative. That's why, in my view, the "Trump plan" to pressure Moscow through third countries is doomed to fail. And Washington is not ready to "pull chestnuts out of the fire" alone. Scott Bessent stated this week that without the Europeans, America will not introduce tariffs. Chinese officials made it clear that oil purchases are a sovereign matter for each country, and in response to any new tariffs from Washington, Beijing will respond with fresh tariffs of its own. Bessent also said, "If Europe imposed duties on importers of Russian oil and gas, the war in Ukraine would end within 2–3 months." Taking all this into account, I suggest that the global trade war will only intensify, and Washington is already trying to forge a coalition against the East. If that's the case, the dollar will remain under market pressure for a long time to come. Recall that markets always interpret new tariffs in the same way—by identifying their source. The source sits in the White House. Therefore, demand for the US dollar will continue to decline. Wave Pattern for EUR/USD:Based on my analysis, EUR/USD continues to build a rising section of the trend. The wave structure remains heavily influenced by the news background, particularly Trump's decisions and the new Administration's domestic and foreign policies. The targets for this trend could reach the 1.25 area. The news background remains unchanged; therefore, I continue to view 1.1875 (which corresponds to the 161.8% Fibonacci retracement) and above as the first upside targets. Wave Pattern for GBP/USD: The GBP/USD wave structure remains unchanged. We're dealing with a bullish, impulsive trend leg. Under Donald Trump, markets could face many more shocks and reversals, possibly affecting the wave pattern, but for now, the core scenario is intact, and Trump's policy is consistent. The upside target for this trend leg lies around the 261.8% Fibonacci extension. I expect further price increases as part of wave 3 in 5, with a target of 1.4017. My Key Analysis Principles:Wave structures should be simple and clear; complex patterns are tough to trade and invite frequent changes.If you're not confident in what's happening in the market, it's better to stay out.You can never have 100% certainty in direction. Always use protective Stop Loss orders.Elliott wave analysis can be combined with other types of analysis and trading strategies.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

On Monday, I wrote that America has shown its willingness to introduce new tariffs on imports from China and the European Union because these countries are buying oil and other energy resources from Russia—something the White House believes is prolonging the conflict in Ukraine. However, both Trump and Treasury Secretary Bessent have also made it clear that they are unwilling to proceed with new tariffs without Europe's participation. On one hand, Washington's position is logical. What's the point of sanctioning India and China if the European Union keeps buying oil from Russia? First, Europe must completely stop buying Russian oil and gas, and only then can tariffs be introduced, with the aim of stopping the war. At least, that's how it should work in theory. In practice, the Kremlin has repeatedly stated that no new sanctions or tariffs will make it abandon its goals. Personally, I doubt India and China will stop buying from Russia. Russia is a close neighbor to both with vast natural resources—why should Beijing and New Delhi search the world for what's already next door, paying higher prices due to more complicated logistics? As always, it will come down to money. If Europe and America introduce joint duties against India and China, the main consideration will be the balance sheet. If the loss from new tariffs outweighs the extra logistics costs of getting oil and gas elsewhere, then both countries might indeed agree to stop buying from Russia. But again, there are many weak links in this "genius plan." When Trump started the trade war, many countries became "hubs" for imports to the US. How does that work? If Chinese goods face tariffs when entering the US, consider importing them through third countries labeled as non-Chinese origin. There are countless ways to circumvent sanctions. It's now known that China and Russia could maintain their trade with good old-fashioned barter. Wave Pattern for EUR/USD:Based on my analysis, EUR/USD continues to build a rising section of the trend. The wave structure remains heavily influenced by the news background, particularly Trump's decisions and the new Administration's domestic and foreign policies. The targets for this trend could reach the 1.25 area. The news background remains unchanged; therefore, I continue to view 1.1875 (which corresponds to the 161.8% Fibonacci retracement) and above as the first upside targets. Wave Pattern for GBP/USD: The GBP/USD wave structure remains unchanged. We're dealing with a bullish, impulsive trend leg. Under Donald Trump, markets could face many more shocks and reversals, possibly affecting the wave pattern, but for now, the core scenario is intact, and Trump's policy is consistent. The upside target for this trend leg lies around the 261.8% Fibonacci extension. I expect further price increases as part of wave 3 in 5, with a target of 1.4017. My Key Analysis Principles:Wave structures should be simple and clear; complex patterns are tough to trade and invite frequent changes.If you're not confident in what's happening in the market, it's better to stay out.You can never have 100% certainty in direction. Always use protective Stop Loss orders.Elliott wave analysis can be combined with other types of analysis and trading strategies.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

What's meant to happen will happen. EUR/USD has managed to revive its uptrend and is now heading toward 1.20. That's precisely where Goldman Sachs now sees the main currency pair. The bank has raised its 3-month forecast from 1.17 to 1.20, its 6-month forecast from 1.20 to 1.22, and projects that in 12 months, one euro will be worth $1.25. According to the bank, the euro is now leading the first stage of US dollar weakening. Later, the lead will pass to the Japanese yen and Chinese yuan. The foundation for the EUR/USD rally lies in divergences in economic growth and monetary policy. The cooling US labor market signals GDP deceleration. Meanwhile, increased spending on defense and infrastructure in the Eurozone and Germany will accelerate GDP growth in the currency bloc. And let's not forget Spain, which, thanks to migrants and tourism, is forecast by the government to grow by 2.7% in 2025. That's nearly identical to the Bank of Spain's estimate of 2.6%—more than twice the expected growth rate for the eurozone as a whole. Economic Dynamics in Spain and the Eurozone If the currency bloc provides positive surprises, the ECB may start considering an overnight rate hike next year, setting up further monetary policy divergence. According to futures markets, the Fed is expected to cut the federal funds rate by 150 basis points over the next 12 months. The attractiveness of US Treasuries will continue to decrease—they are already losing to their European and Asian counterparts, which means capital could flow out of North America. Bond Investment Efficiency in Dollar Equivalent In practice, if there is a capital outflow, it's not yet major. Foreign investors are still buying US securities—especially stocks, given the S&P 500's record highs. At the same time, many are hedging currency risks by selling the US dollar. This keeps the greenback under constant pressure, along with the fundamental divergences in growth and monetary policy. Trust in the "greenback" is also being undermined by Donald Trump's attacks on the Fed—criticizing Jerome Powell, attempting to fire Lisa Cook, and appointing Stephen Miran to the FOMC, all of which signal that the fight is only beginning. As a result, a sharp split within the central bank is expected already in September. Some members will vote for a 25 bp cut, some for 50 bp, and some may want to keep things unchanged. However, if there are more than three aggressive doves, the US dollar's decline could accelerate. Technical view: On the daily chart, EUR/USD has broken out of a consolidation cage and has hit the first of two previously set targets at 1.184 and 1.195. The euro has managed to restore its uptrend, with new targets now coming into view—alongside 1.195, there's 1.220. In this environment, it's sensible to stick with the previous strategy: buy on pullbacks or on the breakout of resistances. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

The UK labor market report came out in line with expectations, and in some aspects even exceeded forecasts. Employment increased, the number of jobless claims decreased—an indirect sign of economic revival—and wage growth remains strong, which supports inflation expectations. On Wednesday, the August inflation report will be published. After inflation rose to 3.8% y/y in July, the likelihood of the Bank of England continuing to cut rates has dropped significantly, and August is unlikely to change the bigger picture. Core inflation is expected to decrease from 3.8% to 3.6% y/y, while headline inflation is expected to rise to 3.9%, which, of course, does nothing to alleviate price pressures. Confidence in continued moderate economic recovery is backed up by robust PMI data, especially in the services sector, while manufacturing remains relatively weak. The Bank of England will hold its next monetary policy meeting on Thursday. The policy rate is expected to be maintained at 4.0%, with only two cuts forecast through the end of 2026. In order for rate cuts to begin, there needs to be signs of disinflationary pressure, and since there are none, the rhetoric may even turn more hawkish. The market still sees a high chance of a cut in November, but for that to happen, there must be clear signs of falling inflation, which makes the report highly significant for the pound. Speculative positioning on the pound has hardly changed over the reporting week—the net short position stands at -$2.8B, but the estimated fair value is climbing higher, despite this bearish positioning. GBP/USD has breached the 1.3580/95 resistance, as we expected last week, and is trying to build on this success, moving toward 1.3787. There are mainly two reasons for this: as usual, concerns about dollar weakness and the prospect of the Fed cutting rates faster than anticipated this summer, as well as expectations for a more hawkish Bank of England, since UK inflationary pressure is not abating. If things develop according to market expectations, the likely scenario is continued GBP/USD growth towards 1.3787. The 1.3580/95 area has turned into support, which now looks quite solid. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

The euro-dollar pair, following almost two weeks of sideways movement, suddenly surged into the 1.18 figure, breaking out of the 1.1680–1.1760 price range, which corresponds to the middle and upper lines of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the daily chart. Riding this northern impulse, EUR/USD buyers pushed through the upper boundary of the price corridor and reached 1.1819, marking a new nearly three-month high. The last time the pair traded in the 1.18s was at the end of June, and before that, four years ago in September 2021. If the Federal Reserve does not adopt an overly cautious position on Wednesday, EUR/USD bulls could not only secure a foothold in the 1.18 area but also potentially test the resistance at 1.1870, which matches the upper Bollinger Band on the weekly chart. Tuesday's price rally in EUR/USD is driven by two factors: first, the overall weakening of the US dollar, and second, relatively solid ZEW indices. The US dollar index has been sliding for a second consecutive day, hitting a two-month low on Tuesday (96.58). "Dovish" expectations regarding the Fed's future actions are intensifying following a mixed string of reports on the US labor market. Ahead of the Fed's September meeting (outcome to be announced on Wednesday, September 17), an increasing number of analysts believe the central bank is lagging in cutting rates. Now, it is expected that the Fed will "catch up," easing monetary policy more aggressively. This is a controversial view (given the overall CPI acceleration in August and the stagnation of the core index), but here it's all about market psychology. The behavioral factor among traders has worked in favor of EUR/USD buyers. Until Monday, traders were cautious, aware that excessive dovish expectations could backfire. But on Tuesday the market began to price in a "dovish cut" in advance: the famous "buy the rumor..." principle. Now, market participants are not only convinced the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, but also that it will signal more to come. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of an additional 25-point rate cut in October is almost 80%, with about a 70% chance of another cut in December. Will the Fed "guarantee" this scenario for traders? It's not impossible, considering the rapid cooling of the US labor market. Still, we should remember the Fed usually tries to maintain balance in its rhetoric. Meanwhile, traders, judging by market expectations, are unlikely to tolerate any "ifs"—any sign of hesitation could be interpreted against the greenback. In that case, the "buy the rumor, sell the fact" rule will be fully at play—both in "buy" and "sell" contexts. In other words, the market is currently preemptively playing out an ultra-dovish scenario that may not come to pass (and most likely won't). If the Fed disappoints on Wednesday, the spring could snap back in the other direction. That's why long positions in EUR/USD should be approached with caution, despite the confident price growth. The pair is rallying on shaky ground, pricing in an event that hasn't happened yet. Additional support for EUR/USD buyers on Tuesday came from the ZEW indices, though these are not without caveats. According to the report, the German economic sentiment index rose in September to 37.3 (from 34.7), exceeding the consensus forecast for a decline to 27.3. A similar situation occurred with the eurozone-wide index, which ticked up slightly (to 26.1 from 25.1), beating the 20.3 consensus. However, the ZEW current conditions index disappointed: it fell to -76.4, below the expected -75.0, marking a second consecutive month of declines. In other words, the ZEW indices reflected growing pessimism about current conditions against a moderately improving outlook for the next six months. The result was interpreted in the euro's favor, so the pair is rising not only on dollar weakness, but also thanks to strengthening in the European currency. Still, in my view, it makes sense to take a wait-and-see position on the pair. While there's a non-zero chance of an ultra-dovish scenario from the Fed, there's also a high risk the central bank will deliver a "hawkish cut." That is, the Fed might cut rates but accompany it with very cautious rhetoric about further easing this year. Such a result from the September meeting would put pressure on EUR/USD, given the market's already feverish dovish expectations. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

Ahead of a major FOMC meeting, DORA Meme Coin and ZORA Crypto are exploding, but what are the best altcoins to buy in September? A burst of meme-market momentum pushed creator-token platform Zora and BNB-chain meme coin DORA onto traders’ dashboards in the past 24 hours, initiating talk of the best altcoin to buy in September as volumes and fresh catalysts stirred activity. Zora (ZORA) and DORA traded higher during September 16-17, tracking the broader rebound in meme coins. By early Wednesday, ZORA was at $0.0773, up +4% on the day with about $223M in 24-hour volume. (Source – ZORA USDT, Tradingview) Meanwhile, DORA hovered near $0.333, little changed on the session but still showing a +81% gain over the past week. (Source – Coinmarketcap) The backdrop has been a surge in speculative flows. Solana’s Pump.fun launchpad logged more than $1.02Bn in daily volume on Monday, setting a new record and extending Sunday’s $942M rally. (Source – Pump.fun) That spike in activity has spilled over into meme tokens, with DORA among the biggest movers in recent days. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 What Makes Zora and DORA Stand Out as the Best Altcoin to Buy in September? Zora’s near-term driver is momentum inside the Base ecosystem. At Coinbase’s BaseCamp event on Sept. 15, Base creator Jesse Pollak confirmed the network is “going to be exploring a network token.” That marks a shift from earlier caution and immediately sparked talk of possible airdrop dynamics for Base-native assets. Zora, which powers creator and content coins within the Base app, picked up the spillover. Pollak stressed that plans remain early, but the signal was enough to move markets. Over the past 24 hours, ZORA traded between $0.0703 and $0.0829. With a circulating supply of 3.29Bn, its market cap sits close to $256M. zoraPriceMarket CapZORA2$776.36M24h7d1y The token is still down about -47% from its Aug. 11 all-time high, keeping volatility top of mind for momentum traders. Analysts say speculation has also been fueled by chatter about a potential Solana link and signs of accumulation by larger holders on-chain. DORA, meanwhile, has carved its own path. Separate from the older Dora Factory token, this BNB-chain meme coin has become one of September’s catch-up plays. In its latest session, DORA ranged between $0.309 and $0.337. That leaves it about 46% below its late-July peak, underscoring its position within the high-beta, headline-sensitive meme cohort. Both tokens now face the same test: whether fresh narratives and speculative flows can sustain their momentum as September’s trading cycle continues. DISCOVER: Best Base Meme Coins to Buy How Base Token Signals Could Reprice Zora? Crypto’s “creator-coin” wave has been one of 2025’s clear breakouts, with Zora standing out as the Base app rolled out tools for minting and trading creator tokens. That link means even small signals from Base policy can quickly shift how traders price ZORA. DORA, meanwhile, has risen on broader momentum. The coin has been swept up in a meme-driven surge as small-cap names rode Pump.fun’s record activity and a rise in social chatter surrounding a new Base coin. According to Coinmarketcap, ZORA’s fully diluted value is now near $778M. Its limited float and shifting narratives make it prone to fast swings in either direction. DORA faces its own risk, with most of its liquidity sitting on PancakeSwap and a few mid-tier exchanges. Thin depth can amplify volatility when momentum slows. For now, higher trading volumes and a supportive backdrop keep both tokens in play. Any hints from Base on token plans could reset ZORA’s outlook, especially as Zora pushes cross-chain and whale flows remain active. For DORA, new listings and liquidity moves will matter, as will whether Pump.fun can keep pulling in billion-dollar days. If meme-coin volumes hold up, September’s rotation could continue. If they drop, the rally may unwind just as fast. DISCOVER: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in September 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates The post DORA Meme Coin and ZORA Crypto Explode: Best Altcoin to Buy in September? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

While fan token markets have been quiet in 2025, Chiliz Group’s empire is slowly growing, and now CHZ price is set to slam high. Chiliz Group, the blockchain company behind Socios.com, has taken a majority stake in OG Esports, fueling speculation over whether its native token CHZ could eventually aim for the $0.20 level. The company said on Tuesday it acquired a 51% controlling interest in OG, naming co-founder and former shareholder Xavier Oswald as the new CEO. What Does New Chiliz Deal Mean For CHZ? Socios.com will now serve as the exclusive wallet and engagement platform for the $OG Fan Token. The deal, announced on September 16 in Madrid, is intended to expand OG’s operations and deepen Web3-based fan engagement within the Chiliz network. The move comes as OG’s fan token reached a major milestone, becoming the first esports-focused token to cross a $100M market cap. Independent esports outlets also confirmed the purchase and management shake-up, highlighting how tokenized fan assets continue to attract investor attention. Chiliz has been steadily broadening its regulatory and product base this quarter. On August 29, Socios Europe Services, part of the Chiliz Group, received MiCA pre-authorisation from Malta’s financial regulator, a step toward full compliance across the European Union. In June, the company also revealed plans for a $DOJO Fan Token with Ninjas in Pyjamas, signaling its push further into esports beyond its football partnerships. At the time of writing, CHZ traded around $0.0417 with daily volume near $39M. (Source – CHZ USDT, Tradingview) While still far from the $0.20 mark, the new acquisition adds weight to Chiliz’s long-term ambitions in esports and tokenized fan engagement. DISCOVER: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 CHZ Price Prediction: Can CHZ reclaim the $0.045 zone and push toward $0.05? chilizPriceMarket CapCHZ$393.98M24h7d1y Chiliz (CHZ) is attempting to establish a higher low after its recent breakout, with traders weighing whether the move can hold. The token has just been resisting at a price of between $0.043 to $0.045, where the selling pressure has taken a row and the price has returned to the support. Technical patterns indicate that CHZ has broken a downward trend line based on the summer highs, indicating that the corrective phase is over. The price is consolidating now just below immediate resistance, and buyers are looking to defend higher levels to continue with the price. (Source – X) In case the sellers gain control, CHZ might revert to the support levels of between $0.0407 and $0.0397. This is also the breakout retest level, and so it is also an important point to observe. Any failure here would give the token a greater downside risk of $0.0353. On the upside, there are immediate resistance levels of $0.04507, then there is $0.04726, and then there is resistance of $0.05051. Any daily close above $0.045 would give bullish traction and provide an avenue towards the $0.05 psychological level. The existing structure indicates a conventional breakout-retest design. The chart projection shows that the projection may dip into support in the short term before recovering to $0.045. The effective defense of this zone would be able to ground further achievements. For now, Chiliz remains at a critical juncture. Whether buyers can hold the $0.040 region will likely determine if the token extends its uptrend or slips back into consolidation. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in 2025 The post Chiliz Group’s Empire Is Quietly Growing: Is CHZ Price Set to Slam $0.20? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

Institutional investment in Solana (SOL) has entered a new phase, with corporate treasuries and leading funds accelerating their exposure to the blockchain. Pantera Capital, Galaxy Digital, and Helius Medical Technologies have emerged as the most prominent players, collectively pushing Solana holdings above $3.8 billion. This surge in capital mirrors early adoption cycles once seen in Bitcoin and Ethereum, fueling speculation that Solana could evolve into a critical layer of global finance and overall crypto adoption. Pantera Leads With $1.1 Billion Solana Bet Pantera Capital has placed its biggest-ever bet on a single crypto asset: $1.1 billion in Solana. CEO Dan Morehead called Solana the “fastest and best-performing blockchain,” citing its ability to process nine billion transactions per day, more than all global capital markets combined. Morehead, who previously focused on Bitcoin and Ethereum, said the firm now sees Solana as its most promising long-term bet. “Our biggest position is Solana,” he emphasized, signaling a strong shift in institutional conviction toward the network. Helius and Galaxy Add Firepower Helius Medical Technologies has added a corporate twist to the Solana treasury strategy. Backed by Pantera and Summer Capital, Helius secured $500 million through an oversubscribed funding round, with an option to expand its treasury to $1.25 billion via stapled warrants. The adoption reflects a broader trend of public companies integrating Solana into their balance sheets. Meanwhile, Galaxy Digital aggressively acquired $1.55 billion worth of SOL in just five days, including a single $306 million purchase transferred to custody platform Fireblocks. This buildup coincided with Galaxy’s $1.65 billion investment in Forward Industries, further expanding Solana’s increasing presence in institutional finance. A Defining Moment for Solana With Pantera’s $1.1 billion stake, Helius’s scaling plan, and Galaxy’s quick accumulation, Solana is seeing unprecedented institutional inflows. The trend mirrors Bitcoin’s early treasury adoption and Ethereum’s rise as the foundation of decentralized finance. For Solana, the challenge is to maintain this momentum through ecosystem growth, developer retention, and macroeconomic resilience. If successful, the blockchain could establish itself as the next major category-defining digital asset, greatly increasing Solana’s (SOL) market position. Cover image from ChatGPT, SOLUSD chart from Tradingview

Here’s everything you need to know about tomorrow’s upcoming COTI mainnet upgrade and a COTI price analysis to determine market sentiment. COTI Network confirmed that its V2 chain will undergo a scheduled mainnet upgrade on Wednesday, Sept. 17, 2025, and it will apply protocol refinements. Can this upgrade push the COTI price to $0.1? The project says users will not need to take any action, and node operators are responsible for upgrading to the latest build. The team outlined that this upgrade prepares the network for a hard fork slated for October. Following a recent Hacken audit, version 1.1.4 of the software introduces fixes and stability improvements across COTI’s multiparty computation (MPC) and gcEVM components. cotiPriceCOTI24h7d1y According to COTI, the same version was tested on the network’s testnet without issues. Funds will remain secure during the short maintenance window, the developers added. COTI V2 describes itself as a privacy-first chain designed for confidential transactions. It combines garbled circuits and MPC with an EVM-compatible stack, aiming to strengthen the security and resilience of its infrastructure ahead of the October fork. Once the upgrade is live, updated guidance for node runners is expected to follow. COTI Price Prediction: Can the Falling Wedge Pattern Spark a Breakout for COTI? On the market side, COTI is trading at around $0.053 at press time, up roughly +5% on the day, with a market capitalization of $125.5M and 24-hour trading volume of about $13.1M. (Source – COTI USDT. TradingView) Price action shows an intraday range between $0.0496 and $0.0534. Technical indicators paint a mixed picture. COTI trades below its 30-day simple moving average (around $0.052) and its 200-day SMA (around $0.062). The relative strength index remains neutral. Analysts point to these levels as the next hurdles if momentum builds following the upgrade. The upgrade is expected to set the stage for the October fork, so traders are watching closely to see if renewed confidence can help the token push back toward the $0.10 mark. The COTI community is paying close attention to technical setups. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in 2025 Analyst Javon Marks highlighted this week that the token is “working on a breakout of a smaller falling wedge,” a formation that often signals an upward move. (Source – X) For months, COTI has been consolidating inside a narrowing downward channel of lower highs and lower lows. The current wedge is developing within a broader recovery pattern that began after the steep drop from 2021 highs. This layered structure suggests the token may build strength for a larger reversal once resistance is cleared. The smaller wedge mirrors a larger wedge breakout earlier in the cycle, leading to a strong rally. If this setup breaks upward, analysts say it could trigger another sharp follow-through. Projections based on past moves outline a potential surge of more than 800%, with price targets around the $0.50 mark. Such a breakout would mark one of the strongest recoveries for COTI since its previous cycle peaks. For now, traders are waiting to see if COTI can secure a clean breakout from the wedge. Strong trading volume and a decisive daily or weekly close above resistance would likely confirm the move. The longer-term projection points to the chance of a sharp recovery, but that depends on key support levels holding firm. If the breakout holds, COTI could shift out of its long consolidation and into a new uptrend, with $0.50 becoming the next major target. If not, the token may stay stuck in its current corrective range, leaving the rally on pause. DISCOVER: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 The post Everything to Know For COTI Mainnet Upgrade Tomorrow: Can COTI Price Bounce Back to $0.1? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

Most Read: Gold (XAU/USD) Soars to Breach $3700/oz. FOMC Meeting Next, Will the Rally Continue? The Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting is a big deal for the US economy and financial markets as a whole. The latest economic data suggests the Fed should start lowering interest rates. However, the market already expects a rate cut and based on market moves it appears that it has largely been priced in. Because of this, the Fed's announcement about their future plans will likely be more important than their actual decision at this meeting. That is likely to be what will really stoke volatility barring a surprise decision by the Fed. Source: CME FedWatch Tool The Macroeconomic Case for a Rate Cut The main concern is the weakening job market. While the economy grew by 3.3% in the second quarter, this was mostly due to a big change in trade, which hid the fact that consumer spending was weak. People were spending less because they were worried about tariffs, a cooling job market, and unstable wealth. This was confirmed by the Federal Reserve's Beige Book, which showed little to no economic activity and declining consumer spending across the country. It also reported that most districts were not hiring and that the job market was slowing. Last Friday's jobs report also showed a small increase in jobs, and unemployment went up. Revisions to job numbers from the past year showed the economy created less than half the jobs that were previously reported. Even though inflation is still above the target, the risk to the job market now seems more urgent to the Fed. They'll likely start to move toward a less restrictive policy. Three factors that drove inflation up in 2022—oil prices, housing rents, and wages—are now gone, and are even helping to lower inflation. A cooling economy with rising unemployment will also help bring inflation back down to 2% by the end of 2026. The Fed will probably lower its forecasts for economic growth and inflation while raising its unemployment projections. We expect the Fed to cut interest rates by 0.25% at their September 17 meeting, with more cuts to follow in October, December, January, and March. It's possible the Fed could start with a larger cut of 0.50%, but a 0.25% cut is more likely because most members are still cautious about the impact of tariffs on inflation. The Fed's Challenge: Reining in Dovish Expectations The Federal Reserve is in a tough spot. Even with evidence pointing to a need for lower interest rates, the market has already bet on a lot of rapid rate cuts. This creates a significant communication challenge for the Fed. They have to manage market expectations very carefully. The "Dovish" Surprise One possibility is that the Fed tries to meet or even beat the market's high expectations. Traders are already anticipating a lot of cuts by the end of 2026. For the Fed's announcement to truly be a positive surprise for the market, they would need to signal an even faster pace of rate cuts than what is already expected. If they simply use their normal cautious language, even when announcing a cut, the market might see it as a disappointment. The real risk here isn't a wrong policy decision, but a gap between what the Fed says and what the market wants to hear. The "Powell Pushback" A different view is that Fed Chair Powell will intentionally try to lower market expectations. This perspective suggests that he will push back against the idea of quick rate cuts in October and December. Instead, he would likely emphasize that the Fed will continue to be guided by incoming economic data, keeping their options open. This cautious approach is about protecting the Fed's credibility. Having been criticized for underestimating inflation in the past, they don't want to cut rates too soon only to have to reverse course if inflation spikes again. By remaining patient and focusing on data, Powell would be protecting the Fed's reputation and ensuring they can react to the economy as it unfolds, rather than being forced into a schedule set by the market Probable Scenarios and Forward Outlook Source: Google Gemini Impact Analysis on US Indices and Broader Markets The market's reaction to the FOMC meeting will translate the two primary scenarios into tangible consequences for US indices and other asset classes. The reaction to a dovish signal would likely be a boon for equities. The S&P 500 would likely rally, driven by the anticipation of lower borrowing costs and a broader "risk-on" sentiment. The Nasdaq 100, composed of technology and growth stocks, would likely outperform due to its higher sensitivity to changes in interest rates. Conversely, a hawkish signal would be a source of disappointment for "doves," potentially triggering a pullback in US indices as traders unwind their aggressive rate-cut bets. Tech and growth stocks would be particularly vulnerable. The following table summarizes the potential impact on key US indices and the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) under the two scenarios. Source: Google Gemini Since the market is already highly dovish, the disappointment of a cautious Fed is significant. A potential sell-off might be sharp, but it could also be short-lived if the underlying macroeconomic data remains fundamentally sound. A cautious hold today might simply be a delay of an inevitable cut tomorrow. This understanding is critical for long-term investors aiming to distinguish between temporary market volatility and a fundamental shift in economic trajectory. Tomorrow's meeting promises fireworks regardless of the decision. Volatility will definitely rear its head and the decision could have wider implications for global markets and risk sentiment. For more on tomorrow's meeting and what to look out for, read Guide to the FOMC statement and September SEP: Key takeaways and what to watch Trade Safe. Follow Zain on Twitter/X for Additional Market News and Insights @zvawda Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2025 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.