-
Total de itens
7146 -
Registro em
-
Última visita
-
Dias Ganhos
2
Tipo de Conteúdo
Perfis
Fóruns
Market Outlook
Tudo que Redator postou
-
Solana (SOL) Holds Recent Gains – Key Levels Before Another Surge
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Solana started a fresh increase above the $240 zone. SOL price is now consolidating gains below $240 and might aim for another increase if it stays above $230. SOL price started a fresh upward move above the $240 and $242 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $240 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $238 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend losses if it dips below the $230 zone. Solana Price Consolidates Gains Solana price started a decent increase after it settled above the $220 zone, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed above the $235 level to enter a short-term positive zone. The price even smashed the $242 resistance. The bulls were able to push the price above the $245 barrier. A high was formed at $250 and the price recently started a downside correction. There was a move below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the $200 swing low to the $250 high. However, the bulls were active above $230. Solana is now trading below $240 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $238 level. Besides, there is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $238 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. The next major resistance is near the $242 level. The main resistance could be $250. A successful close above the $250 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $262. Any more gains might send the price toward the $280 level. More Downside In SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $238 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $232 zone. The first major support is near the $229 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the $200 swing low to the $250 high. A break below the $229 level might send the price toward the $220 support zone. If there is a close below the $220 support, the price could decline toward the $212 support in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $229 and $220. Major Resistance Levels – $238 and $250. -
‘It’s Hyperliquid Moment,’ Circle States, Seizing HYPE’s 1,500% Surge With New Investment
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Circle Internet Financial (CRCL), the firm behind the USDC stablecoin, has announced a significant investment in Hyperliquid (HYPE), a layer-1 blockchain that has experienced high demand this year. Circle’s Strategic Move Into Hyperliquid As part of this initiative, Circle has launched Native USDC and Cross-Chain Transfer Protocol (CCTP V2) on HyperEVM, an Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) integrated into Hyperliquid’s layer-1 blockchain. This move is expected to streamline the adoption of USDC and enhance its utility. Plans also include enabling direct deposits and ensuring CCTP interoperability for Hyperliquid USDC on HyperCore, a platform that specializes in on-chain financial operations. Circle’s announcement further revealed that it has become a direct stakeholder in Hyperliquid. The stablecoin issuer is also considering becoming a Hyperliquid validator, which would strengthen its position within the network. Hyperliquid also boasts nearly $6 billion in USDC, which is a little over 8% of Circle’s total USDC supply. These deposits would reportedly generate approximately $250 million in annual interest for partners such as Circle and Coinbase (COIN). Jeremy Allaire, Circle’s CEO stated on X (formerly Twitter): Don’t Believe the Hype. We are coming to the HYPE ecosystem in a big way. We intend to be a major player and contributor to the ecosystem. Happy to see others purchase new USD tickers and compete . Hyper fast native USDC with deep and nearly instant cross chain interoperability will be well received. HYPE Token Hits New All-Time High The blog post further asserted that the integration of Native USDC onto HyperEVM—and the upcoming support from HyperCore—promises to enhance the capital efficiency of transactions within the Hyperliquid ecosystem. This initiative is said to allow developers and users to transact seamlessly across the crypto economy, making it easier for fintech firms and other service providers to leverage USDC. Circle’s investment in Hyperliquid is just the beginning as the company plans to introduce incentive programs for builders working on HyperEVM, aiming to stimulate innovation and collaboration. The blog post concluded: We’ve simply been blown away by the growth and success of Hyperliquid over the last year, and as we’ve gotten to know Jeff and team, and many of the major emerging builders in the ecosystem, it’s very clear that this is something incredibly unique and special. Circle is here. We’re investing. We’re thrilled to be supporting this incredible community. According to CoinGeko data, HYPE has surpassed a market capitalization of $14 billion, surging over 1,500% since its inception and debut on December 1, 2024. As of this writing, the price of Hyperliquid’s native token has retraced toward $53 after reaching a new all-time high of $57 last Friday. Circle’s stock, on the other hand, which recently debuted on the Nasdaq, is trading at $135 per share — a nearly 55% drop compared to its all-time high of over $298. However, relative to its IPO price of $64, the stock has gained 157%. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com -
What to Pay Attention to on September 17? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Macroeconomic Report Analysis: There are quite a few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Wednesday, but it's worth reminding novice traders that yesterday's calendar was also full of data—yet none of it had any impact on the dollar, euro, or pound. So a similar situation might occur today. For instance, what should we expect from the second estimate of eurozone inflation, when this reading already has almost no impact on the ECB? US construction and real estate data are unlikely to be more important than industrial production and retail sales, which the market ignored yesterday. Thus, the only data of real interest is the UK inflation report. Fundamental Events Analysis: Among Wednesday's fundamental events, ECB President Christine Lagarde's speech stands out, but we won't dwell on it. She is speaking three times this week, and her first speech was not about monetary policy. The ECB meeting was held last week, so the market already has all the information it needs from the central bank. The biggest event of the day, week, and even the month is the Fed meeting. Even though everyone already expects the decision, there's plenty of room for surprises. For example, Powell might take an even more dovish stance, or the number of "doves" on the FOMC might increase. In general, surprises are possible, and the main risk is a new drop for the US dollar. General Conclusions:During the third trading day of the week, both currency pairs could continue their uptrends, but new buy signals are needed. The euro can be traded today from 1.1851, while the pound should be traded from the 1.3643–1.3652 area. Keep in mind that UK inflation may trigger a move in the pound, and the Fed meeting plus Powell's speech could drive both pairs. Key Rules for the Trading System:Signal Strength: The shorter the time it takes for a signal to form (a rebound or breakout), the stronger the signal.False Signals: If two or more trades near a level result in false signals, subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.Flat Markets: In flat conditions, pairs may generate many false signals or none at all. It's better to stop trading at the first signs of a flat market.Trading Hours: Open trades between the start of the European session and the middle of the US session, then manually close all trades.MACD Signals: On the hourly timeframe, trade MACD signals only during periods of good volatility and a clear trend confirmed by trendlines or trend channels.Close Levels: If two levels are too close (5–20 pips apart), treat them as a support or resistance zone. Stop Loss: Set a Stop Loss to breakeven after the price moves 15–20 pips in the desired direction.Key Chart Elements:Support and Resistance Levels: These are target levels for opening or closing positions and can also serve as points for placing Take Profit orders. Red Lines: Channels or trendlines indicating the current trend and the preferred direction for trading. MACD Indicator (14,22,3): A histogram and signal line used as a supplementary source of trading signals. Important Events and Reports: Found in the economic calendar, these can heavily influence price movements. Exercise caution or exit the market during their release to avoid sharp reversals. Forex trading beginners should remember that not every trade will be profitable. Developing a clear strategy and practicing proper money management are essential for long-term trading success. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
Tuesday Trade Review:1H Chart of GBP/USD The GBP/USD pair also traded higher, but in a much calmer and more familiar fashion. The trendline remains relevant, so only further growth of the British pound should be expected, both in the short and long term. Yesterday's UK reports were bland and were clearly not the reason for the pound's rise. US figures beat forecasts, but the market simply ignored them. Today, an important UK inflation report is scheduled for release in about an hour and a half. The Fed meeting is later in the evening, and the Bank of England meets tomorrow. Therefore, volatility over the next 24 hours could be elevated, and we might see a lot of sharp movements and reversals on the charts. The outcomes of both the BoE and Fed meetings can be predicted with 90% certainty already, but surprises are always possible. The Fed may be more dovish than traders expect—or the opposite. As such, caution is advised with any market positions today and tomorrow. 5M Chart of GBP/USD On the 5-minute chart on Tuesday, four trading signals were generated. First, the price bounced three times from the 1.3643 level but failed to move even 20 pips in the needed direction each time—these signals duplicated each other. Then, the 1.3643–1.3652 area was broken, but this buy signal also didn't yield profit, as the pound's rally had already ended by that time. How to Trade on Wednesday:On the hourly timeframe, GBP/USD continues its uptrend; on higher timeframes, it shows signs of resuming the "2025 trend." As said before, there's no basis for expecting medium-term dollar growth, so we continue to anticipate further gains for the pound. Over the next 24 hours, price moves may be choppy and volatile. On Wednesday, the GBP/USD pair may continue moving north, having successfully broken the 1.3643–1.3652 area. However, today and tomorrow's movements will largely depend on macro and fundamental events. On the 5-minute chart, you can trade on the following levels: 1.3102–1.3107, 1.3203–1.3211, 1.3259, 1.3329–1.3331, 1.3413–1.3421, 1.3466–1.3475, 1.3529–1.3543, 1.3574–1.3590, 1.3643–1.3652, 1.3682, 1.3763. On Wednesday, the UK will publish a fairly significant inflation report, which could surprise with an unexpected August result. In the evening, the Fed decision and Jerome Powell's press conference will take place in the US—an event the whole world will be watching. Core Trading System Rules:Signal Strength: The shorter the time it takes for a signal to form (a rebound or breakout), the stronger the signal.False Signals: If two or more trades near a level result in false signals, subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.Flat Markets: In flat conditions, pairs may generate many false signals or none at all. It's better to stop trading at the first signs of a flat market.Trading Hours: Open trades between the start of the European session and the middle of the US session, then manually close all trades.MACD Signals: On the hourly timeframe, trade MACD signals only during periods of good volatility and a clear trend confirmed by trendlines or trend channels.Close Levels: If two levels are too close (5–20 pips apart), treat them as a support or resistance zone.Stop Loss: Set a Stop Loss to breakeven after the price moves 20 pips in the desired direction.Key Chart Elements:Support and Resistance Levels: These are target levels for opening or closing positions and can also serve as points for placing Take Profit orders. Red Lines: Channels or trendlines indicating the current trend and the preferred direction for trading. MACD Indicator (14,22,3): A histogram and signal line used as a supplementary source of trading signals. Important Events and Reports: Found in the economic calendar, these can heavily influence price movements. Exercise caution or exit the market during their release to avoid sharp reversals. Forex trading beginners should remember that not every trade will be profitable. Developing a clear strategy and practicing proper money management are essential for long-term trading success. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
-
Tuesday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair continued its upward movement. The hourly timeframe clearly shows the formation of a new bullish trend, and on the daily timeframe, the trend of 2025 is officially back in force. There's no point even searching for new reasons behind the dollar's latest fall. None of the four somewhat important reports yesterday had anything to do with the euro's growth. US retail sales and industrial production both exceeded forecasts, which should have caused the pair to fall. However, the global fundamental backdrop continues to exert powerful pressure on the US dollar. From time to time, the dollar does correct, but overall, we continue to expect only further decline. This evening we'll get the Fed's meeting outcome, which could spark another drop in the dollar—even though the event has already been partly "priced in" by the market, for instance, on Tuesday. 5M Chart of EUR/USD On the 5-minute timeframe on Tuesday, movement was decent, but the trading signals themselves were not the best. The first trading signal formed during the US session after a very inaccurate and indecisive breakout of 1.1808. It's worth noting that there were no macroeconomic reasons for a strong euro rally yesterday. Next came a false sell signal around 1.1851 and a late buy signal at the same level. As a result, it was quite difficult to profit from Tuesday's movement. How to Trade on Wednesday:On the hourly timeframe, the EUR/USD pair has every chance to continue the uptrend that's been forming since the start of this year. The fundamental and macro backdrop remains negative for the dollar, so we still do not expect a reversal to USD strength. In our view, as before, the dollar can only hope for technical corrections. A consolidation below the trendline would signal a new phase of technical decline, but for now, the pair is about 100 pips above that line. On Wednesday, the pair could continue its move north as the uptrend persists. From 1.1851 (with a signal), you can look for fresh longs toward 1.1908. Shorts become relevant if there's a break and close below 1.1851, targeting 1.1808. On the 5-minute timeframe, consider the following levels: 1.1354–1.1363, 1.1413, 1.1455–1.1474, 1.1527, 1.1571–1.1584, 1.1655–1.1666, 1.1737–1.1745, 1.1808, 1.1851, 1.1908, 1.1970–1.1988. On Wednesday, in the Eurozone, there will be another speech from Christine Lagarde as well as the second estimate of August inflation—both are secondary events. In the US, several minor reports and the Fed meeting are on the agenda. Core Trading System Rules:Signal Strength: The shorter the time it takes for a signal to form (a rebound or breakout), the stronger the signal.False Signals: If two or more trades near a level result in false signals, subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.Flat Markets: In flat conditions, pairs may generate many false signals or none at all. It's better to stop trading at the first signs of a flat market.Trading Hours: Open trades between the start of the European session and the middle of the US session, then manually close all trades.MACD Signals: On the hourly timeframe, trade MACD signals only during periods of good volatility and a clear trend confirmed by trendlines or trend channels.Close Levels: If two levels are too close (5–20 pips apart), treat them as a support or resistance zone.Stop Loss: Set a Stop Loss to breakeven after the price moves 15 pips in the desired direction.Key Chart Elements:Support and Resistance Levels: These are target levels for opening or closing positions and can also serve as points for placing Take Profit orders. Red Lines: Channels or trendlines indicating the current trend and the preferred direction for trading. MACD Indicator (14,22,3): A histogram and signal line used as a supplementary source of trading signals. Important Events and Reports: Found in the economic calendar, these can heavily influence price movements. Exercise caution or exit the market during their release to avoid sharp reversals. Forex trading beginners should remember that not every trade will be profitable. Developing a clear strategy and practicing proper money management are essential for long-term trading success. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
-
XRP Price Reclaims $3 – Bulls Struggle to Build on Gains
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
XRP price started a downside correction below the $3.050 resistance. The price is now recovering losses and faces hurdles near the $3.080 zone. XRP price is consolidating losses after declining below the $3.120 resistance. The price is now trading below $3.080 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $3.00 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if the price clears the $3.080 zone. XRP Price Attempts Recovery XRP price started a fresh decline below the $3.120 level, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price dipped below the $3.020 level to enter a short-term bearish zone. There was a move below the $3.00 pivot level and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. A low was formed at $2.957 and the price recently started a recovery wave. There was a move above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3.186 swing high to the $2.957 low. Besides, there was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $3.00 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The price is now trading below $3.060 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If the bulls protect the $3.00 support, the price could attempt another increase. On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $3.060 level. The first major resistance is near the $3.080 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3.186 swing high to the $2.957 low. A clear move above the $3.080 resistance might send the price toward the $3.120 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $3.180 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $3.250. Another Decline? If XRP fails to clear the $3.060 resistance zone, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $3.00 level. The next major support is near the $2.950 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $2.950 level, the price might continue to decline toward $2.880. The next major support sits near the $2.840 zone, below which the price could gain bearish momentum. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $3.00 and $2.950. Major Resistance Levels – $3.080 and $3.120. -
Ethereum Rally Stalls As Spot And Perpetual Volumes Flatten On Binance
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Although Ethereum (ETH) is still up approximately 80% over the past three months, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap appears to have lost its momentum lately, down 0.6% over the past month. Binance Ethereum Trading In Neutral Zone According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, Ethereum trading on Binance during September 2025 is witnessing a period of relative calm compared to other months. Notably, there has been a decline in the imbalance between ETH spot and perpetual volumes. Commenting on ETH’s recent price surge, which saw it jump from $2,127 on June 15 to around $4,500 at the time of writing, Arab Chain noted that this rally was not supported by strong momentum. Neither the spot market nor leveraged speculators contributed to the price appreciation. The CryptoQuant contributor brought attention to ETH’s Z-score, which has oscillated between 0.0 and -1.0 for most of September. Such a Z-score typically signifies the asset trading in a neutral zone, with a slight tilt toward the spot market. For the uninitiated, a Z-score measures how far a data point is from the mean, expressed in units of standard deviation. In trading, it’s used to identify whether a value – like volume or price – is unusually high or low compared to its historical average. In essence, ETH’s current Z-score means that perpetual contracts are slowly losing their dominance in trading volume. This could be due to multiple reasons, such as speculators exiting the market or due to increased dependence on real buy/sell orders from actual investors. The decline in perpetual trading volume is significant compared to the period between June and August. As a result, the appetite for leveraged speculation has dwindled too, a sign of growing caution in the market. Arab Chain added: Despite this decline, the spot market also showed limited strength, reflecting a general lack of investor engagement. Spot volume remained below the 500K–1M range, which is significantly lower than the peaks recorded in July and June. The analyst cautioned that although the lack of strong imbalances between the spot and perpetual markets may seem positive at first, it could also mean there is heightened uncertainty and stagnation pertaining to the direction of ETH’s price. Is ETH Preparing For A New Rally? Although ETH appears to be stuck in limbo due to its sluggish price action, some analysts are confident that the digital asset is likely to resume its bullish trajectory in the near term. For example, ETH reserves on exchanges continue to deplete at a rapid pace. Similarly, institutional demand for ETH continues to be strong, with some analysts forecasting ETH to climb to $6,800 by the end of 2025. At press time, ETH trades at $4,439, down 1.6% in the past 24 hours. -
Ethereum Price Need Breakout – Key Hurdles Before Rally Can Continue
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Ethereum price started a fresh decline below $4,620. ETH is now trading below $4,620 and might extend losses if it stays below $4,585. Ethereum is now correcting gains below the $4,620 zone. The price is trading below $4,600 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $4,580 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it settles above $4,580 and $4,620. Ethereum Price Faces Hurdles Ethereum price started a fresh decline after it failed to stay above the $4,650 zone, like Bitcoin. ETH price corrected gains and dipped below the $4,600 support. There was a move below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $4,268 swing low to the $4,765 high. The bears were able to push the price below $4,500 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $4,580 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. Ethereum price is now trading below $4,560 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $4,550 level. The next key resistance is near the $4,580 level and the trend line. The first major resistance is near the $4,620 level. A clear move above the $4,620 resistance might send the price toward the $4,665 resistance. An upside break above the $4,665 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $4,720 resistance zone or even $4,740 in the near term. Another Decline In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $4,580 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $4,480 level. The first major support sits near the $4,450 zone and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $4,268 swing low to the $4,765 high. A clear move below the $4,450 support might push the price toward the $4,380 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $4,320 region in the near term. The next key support sits at $4,250. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $4,450 Major Resistance Level – $4,580 -
Bitcoin Bull Score Sees Sharp Jump, No Longer Signals Bear Phase
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin Bull Score Index has jumped from 20 to 50 in just four days, suggesting a swift shift out of bearish territory for the asset. Bitcoin Bull Score Index Is Back In Neutral Region In a new post on X, CryptoQuant head of research Julio Moreno has talked about the latest trend in the analytics firm’s Bull Score Index. This indicator basically tells us about which phase of the market Bitcoin is in right now. The index combines the data of several key on-chain metrics to determine its value. Some of these indicators include the Market Value to Realized Cap (MVRV) Ratio, keeping track of average investor profitability on the network, and the Stablecoin Liquidity, measuring the amount of capital stored in the form of fiat-tied tokens. When the Bull Score Index has a value of 60 or higher, it means the majority of the underlying metrics are currently giving a bullish signal. On the other hand, the metric’s value being 40 or lower implies BTC is in a bear phase according to its indicators. Now, here is the chart shared by Moreno that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Bull Score Index over the past year: As is visible in the above graph, the Bitcoin Bull Score Index was sitting at a low of just 20 four days ago, but since then, its value has witnessed a sharp climb to the 50 level. This means that on-chain metrics are signaling neutral market conditions for the asset now. This shift comes just as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) kicks off its two-day meeting on Tuesday. BTC price itself has taken to sideways movement ahead of it, indicating that the market is divided about the event’s outcome. Analytics firm Santiment has shared in an X post about how social media users are reacting to the meeting. In the chart, Santiment has attached the data of the “Positive/Negative Sentiment,” an indicator that compares the bullish and bearish posts related to Bitcoin that are appearing on the major social media platforms. This metric has surged recently and hit the 1.77 mark, suggesting that there are 1.77 positive comments being made for every negative comment related to the cryptocurrency. This is the most bullish that retail traders have been on social media in around 10 weeks. While some excitement can be normal, an excess of it isn’t usually a positive sign. As the analytics firm explains, “historically, markets move in the opposite direction of retail’s expectations.” BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $115,700, up more than 2.5% over the last week. -
GBP/USD Overview. September 17. British Inflation No Longer Matters
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
On Tuesday, the GBP/USD currency pair continued its upward movement. In the morning, the UK reports on unemployment and wages were published, but these only allowed traders to draw conclusions that had no impact on their trading decisions. For instance, the unemployment rate remained at 4.7%—what are we to conclude from that? Or the pace of wage growth slowed slightly (but stayed within forecasts)—what does that mean? Will the Bank of England take these figures and their results seriously? In our view, the UK data package was utterly pointless. On Monday, there were no significant releases or events in either the US or the UK, yet the pound kept rising at the same rate all day. So these reports did not affect trader sentiment. We can't call them super-positive, but we can't call them negative either. But what about British inflation, which comes out this morning? It doesn't matter anymore. What is the market looking at now? The ongoing trade war. The possibility that the Fed won't just cut rates a couple of times, but could start a whole easing cycle that ends with the rate at 1%. The fact that the Bank of England has no grounds to loosen policy in the near future. That means, regardless of whether August inflation is high or low, it's irrelevant. Currently, the consumer price index is 3.8%. What can be said about this in September 2025? It's more than twice as high as it was in September 2024. Inflation has been rising for a whole year—this is a trend, not a shock reaction to Trump's tariffs. Inflation is almost double the target. If UK inflation slows this morning, what difference does it make? None, because it's still high. If it accelerates even more—what difference does it make? None, because it's still high. In any case, the Bank of England can no longer afford to cut rates. And since it can't, the pound gets additional reasons to keep rising. If at least US macro stats were supportive for the dollar, we might expect the GBP/USD uptrend to pause a bit longer. However, US data continues to miss expectations, which fuels Trump's anger as he persists in blaming Powell & Co. If the Fed rate were lower, inflation would likely be even higher; however, business activity, GDP, NFP, industrial production, retail sales, and unemployment would also be lower. In other words, with a low rate, you'd have only one bad reading; with a high rate, everything is bad except GDP, which keeps climbing artificially. No wonder Trump is putting pressure on the Fed, but so far, the US president isn't getting much out of this battle. The average GBP/USD volatility over the last five trading days is 72 pips—a "medium" value for the pair. On Wednesday, September 17, we expect movement within the 1.3579–1.3723 range. The linear regression channel's upper band points upward, indicating a clear uptrend. The CCI indicator has again entered the oversold area, giving another alert of trend resumption. Nearest Support Levels:S1 – 1.3611 S2 – 1.3550 S3 – 1.3489 Nearest Resistance Levels:R1 – 1.3672 R2 – 1.3733 R3 – 1.3794 Trading Recommendations:The GBP/USD currency pair is again trying to continue its uptrend. In the medium term, Donald Trump's policy will likely continue to pressure the dollar, so we still do not expect dollar strength. Thus, long positions targeting 1.3723 and 1.3733 remain much more relevant if the price is above the moving average. If price drops below the moving average, small shorts are possible on purely technical grounds. Occasionally, the greenback makes corrections, but for a trend reversal, the dollar needs real evidence that the global trade war is over or other major positive factors. Chart Elements Explained:Linear regression channels help determine the current trend. If both channels point in the same direction, the trend is strong.The moving average line (settings 20,0, smoothed) indicates the short-term trend and trade direction.Murray levels serve as target levels for moves and corrections.Volatility levels (red lines) are the likely price channel for the next day, based on current volatility readings.The CCI indicator: dips below -250 (oversold) or rises above +250 (overbought) mean a trend reversal may be near.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
EUR/USD Overview. September 17. Historic Fed Meeting. On the Eve
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
The EUR/USD currency pair on Tuesday clearly showed what traders expect in the near future. Despite a very weak macroeconomic backdrop, the euro rose all day and broke above the July 1 high, which was also the highest value in the last three years. For us, there's really nothing surprising here, as we've said many times: the dollar has no chance to grow, except for technical corrections. Over the last five weeks, upward movement has been quite weak, but the euro keeps climbing, not the dollar. The dollar more or less corrected for about a month, and now the decline has resumed. Granted, this is no longer a collapse like in the first half of 2025—but it's still a decline. Today, the US will announce the results of the Fed meeting, the sixth this year. Only three meetings remain before year-end—all of which could bring rate cuts. At least, for traders, this is now the base case they believe in. However, it's worth noting that in recent years, the market has always expected the "dovish" actions from the Fed and has never quite gotten them. So, we seriously doubt we'll see all three cuts by year-end. Jerome Powell keeps repeating the same thing: monetary policy will depend entirely on macroeconomic data. Yes, the labor market has been weakening for four months in a row, so it seems obvious to everyone that aid is needed. And that's probably true. But what if the labor market starts recovering as soon as September? And if it continues in October? Would three rate cuts still be needed this year? We believe the most important thing now isn't really medium-term outlooks or expectations, but rather the actual results of the September meeting—even if the decision is already made and announced. The market will focus closely on the FOMC vote. Not all voting details may be made public, but some information will certainly leak to the media. The market reaction will depend on how many FOMC officials lean "dovish." The market is not worried about a rate cut in September (which it's expected all year and thus has been fully priced in). The real concern is that at some point, the Fed rate could drop like a stone if Trump manages to sway most of the Monetary Committee—or fire those he can't persuade. That's what spooks the market, and what will send traders fleeing the dollar. Thus, the more signals we get about a growing "dovish" sentiment within the FOMC, the higher the chances of a new, strong, and prolonged dollar slide. And don't forget: the trade war, the main factor in the dollar's fall in the first half of 2025, hasn't gone anywhere—it's neither ended nor paused. There's a slight chance the US Supreme Court will block Trump's tariffs entirely, but we won't know until November at the earliest. The average EUR/USD volatility over the last five trading days as of September 17 is 69 pips, classed as "average." On Wednesday, we expect movement between 1.1776 and 1.1914. The linear regression channel's upper band is still pointed upward, indicating an ongoing uptrend. The CCI indicator has entered the oversold zone three times, signaling the uptrend's resumption. A bullish divergence has formed—another early warning of growth. Now the indicator is in the overbought area, but during an uptrend, this only hints at a correction, not a reversal. Nearest Support Levels:S1 – 1.1841 S2 – 1.1780 S3 – 1.1719 Nearest Resistance Levels:Trading Recommendations:The EUR/USD pair may resume its uptrend. The US dollar is still under significant pressure from Donald Trump's policies, and he "isn't stopping here." The dollar grew as much as it could (not for long), but now seems set for a new leg of prolonged decline. If the price is below the moving average, small shorts can be considered toward 1.1658 on purely corrective grounds. Above the moving average, long positions aiming for 1.1914 remain relevant with the trend. Chart Elements Explained:Linear regression channels help determine the current trend. If both channels point in the same direction, the trend is strong.The moving average line (settings 20,0, smoothed) indicates the short-term trend and trade direction.Murray levels serve as target levels for moves and corrections.Volatility levels (red lines) are the likely price channel for the next day, based on current volatility readings.The CCI indicator: dips below -250 (oversold) or rises above +250 (overbought) mean a trend reversal may be near.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
GBP/USD 5-Minute Analysis On Tuesday, the GBP/USD currency pair also continued to move north, though not as strongly as EUR/USD. The uptrend on the hourly timeframe remains, as evidenced by the trendline, while UK statistics released yesterday morning had no real effect on the pound's growth. All three UK reports published were dull and neutral, almost exactly matching economist forecasts. They simply couldn't provoke a rally throughout the day. The same applies to US data (industrial production, retail sales), which also beat forecasts and should have supported the dollar, not the pound. However, the US currency still has plenty of fundamental reasons for decline, and today and tomorrow, the central banks of both the US and the UK will hold their regular meetings, the results of which are 90% likely to favor the pound. We wouldn't rule out that the market is already starting to price these in. In general, even without the Fed and Bank of England meetings, the market has plenty of reasons for continued buying. Traders now expect only a rate cut from the Fed and a prolonged pause from the BoE. On the daily chart, the price has clearly corrected within the uptrend, so upward movement can continue. On the 5-minute chart, there was precisely one trading signal yesterday, but it was more than enough to profit. At the very start of the European trading session, the pair broke above 1.3615, allowing traders to open long positions. Afterwards, the price only continued to rise. COT Report COT reports on the British pound show that commercial traders' sentiment has been constantly changing in recent years. The red and blue lines (net positions of commercial and non-commercial traders) cross frequently and generally stay near zero. Right now, they're almost at the same level, which signals roughly equal amounts of long and short positions. The dollar is still falling due to Trump's policies, so market maker demand for the pound is not so important right now. The trade war will continue, one way or another, for a long time. The Fed will lower rates at least once more within the next year, so dollar demand will keep falling. The latest COT report shows "Non-commercial" closed 1,200 BUY contracts and 700 SELL contracts. So, the net position decreased by 500 contracts during the reporting week. The pound shot up in 2025, but the cause is clear—Donald Trump's policy. Once that factor is neutralized, the dollar could rally, but no one knows when that will happen. It doesn't really matter whether the net position in the pound rises or falls—the dollar's net position keeps shrinking, usually at a faster pace. GBP/USD 1-Hour Analysis On the hourly timeframe, GBP/USD is poised to form a new uptrend, which it is currently doing. The fundamental and macroeconomic backdrop for the dollar is still negative, so there's still no reason to expect medium-term dollar growth. This week, there could theoretically be a GBP pullback, but you'd need technical signals for that—such as a break of the trendline. For September 17, we highlight these important levels: 1.3125, 1.3212, 1.3369–1.3377, 1.3420, 1.3525–1.3548, 1.3615, 1.3681, 1.3763, 1.3833, 1.3886. The Senkou Span B (1.3460) and Kijun-sen (1.3581) lines may also serve as signal sources. A Stop Loss should be moved to breakeven after 20+ points in your favor. The Ichimoku indicator lines can shift during the day, so keep that in mind for signal generation. On Wednesday, an important UK inflation report will be released, but it's unlikely to affect the BoE's policy outcome. Still, a high inflation figure may fuel new pound growth, as the BoE stance will become less "dovish." In the US, the Fed meeting and a press conference with Jerome Powell are scheduled. Trading RecommendationsWe believe that on Wednesday, the pair's bullish movement can continue, as nearly all factors point in that direction. The 1.3615 level has been surpassed, so targets are 1.3681 and 1.3763. Shorts are theoretically possible, but we wouldn't risk them at the moment. Illustration Explanations:Support and resistance price levels – thick red lines where movement may end. They are not trading signal sources.Kijun-sen and Senkou Span B lines—These are strong Ichimoku indicator lines transferred to the hourly timeframe from the 4-hour one.Extremum levels – thin red lines where the price has previously rebounded. These act as trading signal sources.Yellow lines – trend lines, trend channels, and other technical patterns.Indicator 1 on the COT charts – the size of the net position for each category of traders.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
-
EUR/USD 5-Minute Analysis The EUR/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Tuesday, but this time the rally was much stronger. None of Tuesday's published reports played any significant role for traders. European data allowed room for the euro to rise, but, for example, industrial production came in weaker than forecast. US reports didn't interest the market at all: retail sales and industrial production came in above expectations, yet the dollar still fell all day. As we've said many times, the dollar has plenty of global fundamental reasons to fall, even in the absence of local macroeconomic catalysts. We've repeatedly noted that even technical analysis on practically all timeframes supports only upward movement. So Tuesday's euro rally is not at all surprising for us. Price is simply breaking through level after level, while the dollar continues to have no real chances for sustained growth—only occasional corrections. Today's Fed meeting could only worsen things for the US currency. Even though the decision is basically pre-announced and just needs to be made public, if the market detects even one extra "dovish" nuance in the Fed's statement, the dollar could fall even more swiftly and energetically. On the 5-minute timeframe, several trading signals were generated yesterday. Overnight, price bounced from the 1.1750–1.1760 area, and at the European session open, price was still close enough to this signal point, so a long position could be opened. During the US session, the 1.1846–1.1857 area was reached and almost immediately broken. This allowed the upward movement to continue. COT Report The latest COT report (as of September 9) shows the net position of non-commercial traders has been "bullish" for a long time, with bears only barely taking the upper hand at the end of 2024, and quickly losing it. Since Trump took office as US President, the dollar has been the only currency to fall. We can't say with 100% certainty that the dollar will keep declining, but current events globally do point in that direction. We still see no fundamental reasons for euro strength, but plenty are supporting the dollar's drop. The global long-term downtrend remains, but what does the last 17 years' price action matter now? Once Trump ends his trade wars, the dollar may rally, but recent events show that won't happen anytime soon. Potential loss of Fed independence is another major pressure point for the US currency. The red and blue lines of the indicator keep pointing to a persistent "bullish" trend. In the last reporting week, the number of longs in the Non-commercial group rose by 2,400 contracts, while shorts fell by 3,700. Thus, the net position increased by 6,100 contracts, which isn't a significant change. EUR/USD 1-Hour Analysis On the hourly chart, EUR/USD continues to show an uptrend. Yesterday, movement north strengthened further, and on the daily timeframe, it's clear that 2025's uptrend has officially resumed. Accordingly, traders are justified in expecting a further rise in the euro by as much as 500–600 pips. There is no limit to the dollar's decline given Donald Trump's current policy stance. For September 17, we highlight the following levels for trading: 1.1234, 1.1274, 1.1362, 1.1426, 1.1534, 1.1604–1.1615, 1.1666, 1.1750–1.1760, 1.1846–1.1857, 1.1922, 1.1971–1.1988, as well as the Senkou Span B (1.1694) and Kijun-sen (1.1766) lines. The Ichimoku indicator lines can move during the day and should be kept in mind when analyzing trade signals. Remember to move your Stop Loss to breakeven if the price moves 15 pips in your favor; this protects against losses should a signal prove false. On Wednesday, the eurozone will publish a second estimate of August inflation and a second speech by Christine Lagarde this week. Neither event is likely to excite the market. In the US, several minor reports will be out during the day, with the key event in the evening: the Fed meeting. Trading RecommendationsOn Wednesday, the pair may continue its upward movement. Thus, long positions remain current with targets at 1.1894, 1.1922, and 1.1971–1.1988. We see no grounds for short positions at this time. Be ready for sharp reversals and high volatility in the evening. Illustration Explanations:Support and resistance price levels – thick red lines where movement may end. They are not trading signal sources.Kijun-sen and Senkou Span B lines—These are strong Ichimoku indicator lines transferred to the hourly timeframe from the 4-hour one.Extremum levels – thin red lines where the price has previously rebounded. These act as trading signal sources.Yellow lines – trend lines, trend channels, and other technical patterns.Indicator 1 on the COT charts – the size of the net position for each category of traders.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
-
Bitcoin Price Back at Resistance – Fed Meeting Could Trigger Big Move
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Bitcoin price is moving higher above $116,200. BTC is now consolidating and might gain bullish momentum if it clears the $116,850 resistance zone. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $116,000 zone. The price is trading below $116,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a contracting triangle with resistance at $115,750 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another increase if it clears the $116,850 zone. Bitcoin Price Hits Resistance Bitcoin price started a fresh upward wave above the $114,500 zone. BTC managed to climb above the $115,000 and $115,500 resistance levels. The bulls were able to push the price above $116,200 and $116,500. Besides, there was a break above a contracting triangle with resistance at $115,750 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The price traded as high as $116,959 and is currently consolidating gains. It is stable above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $114,156 swing low to the $116,959 high. Bitcoin is now trading above $116,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $116,850 level. The first key resistance is near the $117,200 level. The next resistance could be $117,500. A close above the $117,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $118,400 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $118,800 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $119,250. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $116,850 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support is near the $116,250 level. The first major support is near the $115,550 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $114,156 swing low to the $116,959 high. The next support is now near the $115,200 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $114,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $112,500, below which BTC might decline heavily. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $115,550, followed by $115,200. Major Resistance Levels – $116,850 and $117,200. -
How To Trade Bitcoin Into September FOMC, Top Analyst Reveals
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
With the Federal Reserve set to announce policy on Wednesday, September 17, a closely followed trader has laid out a precise, level-by-level playbook for navigating Bitcoin’s next move. In his weekly “Market Outlook #51,” published on September 15, Nik Patel (@cointradernik) for Ostium Research maps out both long and short triggers around a tight cluster of resistance at $117.5k–$120k and a “line in the sand” support at $112k—frameworks he argues should contain BTC’s path through the FOMC and into quarter-end. How To Trade Bitcoin Into September FOMC Nik’s higher-timeframe read starts with a strong weekly close that reclaimed the August open near $115.3k and, crucially, kept price above $112k. “This is now the line in the sand for short-term bullishness,” he writes, warning that a weekly close back below would reopen the route to July’s local lows around $107k and, in a deeper flush, the $99k swing low. To the upside, he highlights $117.5k as the next inflection; a clean acceptance over $120k would set up a swift run at all-time highs, where $123k is the first major cap on the daily timeframe. Into the event, his directional bias remains conditional rather than dogmatic. On the long side, he favors a liquidity sweep early in the week: “On the long side you want to see a sharp flush lower… into $113.5k, where you could layer bids with invalidation on a daily close below $112k,” aiming for a reaction back to $117.5k (TP1) and $119k (TP2) into the FOMC. Conversely, if BTC grinds higher without that flush, his short plan is to “short above $119k pre-FOMC,” then “add… on acceptance back below $117.5k post-FOMC,” with $112k as the first target and scope to trail for lower lows if structure weakens. The trader concedes the next couple of weeks are “a lot more unclear… with many variables,” but his base case still envisions “the second half of Q4 will be very strong.” The setup lands as BTC churns around $115k ahead of the decision—a zone multiple analysts have framed as pivotal. Heading into the weekly close, market commentary stressed that a sustained reclaim of ~$114k is a prerequisite for renewed momentum, with one widely tracked technician arguing, “The goal isn’t for Bitcoin to break $117k… The goal is for Bitcoin to reclaim $114k into support first.” Over the weekend and into Tuesday, BTC’s price action remained pinned in that band, keeping both the upside break toward $119k–$123k and the downside sweep into $113.5k–$112k on the table. Macro context heightens the stakes. Markets broadly expect the Fed to cut its policy rate by 25 bps on September 17, shifting the target range from 4.50% to 4.25%—a baseline Nik explicitly builds into his calendar. Yet traders are equally focused on Chair Jerome Powell’s guidance and the updated “dot plot,” which will shape the path for additional cuts into year-end. While a cut is priced, the tone—whether the Fed signals a shallow or accelerated easing path—could be the catalyst that resolves BTC’s tight $114k–$119k coil. Positioning provides further texture to Nik’s plan. He flags three-month annualized basis and the split between Bitcoin and altcoin open interest, along with concentrated one-week and one-month liquidation pockets just below spot and above the recent range highs—context for why he prefers either reactive longs on a downside flush or fades into strength near $119k–$120k if derivatives chase the move. The framework leans heavily on acceptance/rejection around well-defined levels rather than attempting to front-run the policy outcome itself. Bottom line: in the Ostium playbook, bulls want a controlled dip that holds $112k on a daily closing basis and then forces a reclaim of $117.5k on the way to $119k–$123k; bears get their best shot if price runs late into $119k–$120k pre-FOMC and then loses $117.5k on the reaction. With BTC glued to the mid-$110ks and the market already bracing for a quarter-point cut, the catalyst may come down to Powell’s nuance. At press time, BTC traded at $115,427. -
Ethereum Bulls Target $8,500 With Big Money Backing The Move – Details
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Ethereum rallied again this week as fresh institutional demand and heavy ETF inflows pushed traders to consider higher price paths. According to market reports, some analysts now see a possible run toward $8,500 if current buying continues and macro conditions remain calm. Institutional Flows Drive Interest Based on reports, one day of ETF inflows was reported at close to $730 million, a figure that traders said helped limit selling pressure and lift market confidence. Standard Chartered has been cited with a year-end forecast of $7,500, while other market commentators and smaller research groups have floated targets as high as $8,500. That mix of big-name bank views and crypto-focused analysis is what is feeding the talk on an extended rally. Technical Levels And On-Chain Signals Reports have disclosed technical setups that traders are watching closely. A pivot point near $4,811 was named by some analysts as the level that needs to clear for a larger advance to become more likely. Ethereum’s recent trading band has been roughly in the $4,400–$4,600 range in many charts, which means significant upside would be required to reach the lofty targets being discussed. What Would Need To Happen For $8,500 According to market commentary, several things would have to line up. Continued ETF inflows and steady institutional accumulation are key. Also important are clearer rules for ETF products and a soft macro backdrop that keeps risk appetite intact. Some analysts add that if Bitcoin moves higher — a move to roughly $150,000 has been used in scenarios — Ethereum could gain as investors reallocate across major crypto assets. Risks That Would Halt The Rally News cautions that the $8,500 concept is built on several positive developments occurring simultaneously. Policy shifts, softer ETF demand, or a change in macro sentiment might also stop a rally in a hurry. Unless Layer 2 growth or network usage equates to increased mainnet demand, price appreciation may be capped. Regulation news in big markets also reverses flows rapidly. Meanwhile, forecasts span a broad range. Standard Chartered’s $7,500 view is on the higher side among big banks. Other companies provide more modest estimates, and smaller analysts suggest more bullish estimates up to $8,500. The disparity highlights the extent to which price targets are reliant on assumptions regarding flows, adoption, and macro considerations. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView -
MetaMask Launches mUSD: A Wallet-Native Stablecoin
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
MetaMask has officially launched its own stablecoin, MetaMask USD (mUSD), adding a new player to the expanding lineup of dollar-pegged tokens. What makes mUSD different is that it’s issued directly by the MetaMask wallet itself, which means users stay in control of their funds at all times. There’s no central platform holding your money for you. It’s all self-custodied, straight from the wallet. How It’s Built and What Backs It The stablecoin is created through a platform called Bridge, which works in partnership with Stripe. Behind the scenes, the minting process runs on a protocol called M0. This setup is designed to offer both transparency and reliability. Each mUSD is backed one-to-one with cash or short-term U.S. Treasury assets. The idea is to give people confidence that every token is actually worth a dollar, and that they can redeem it if needed. Where You Can Use It Right Now mUSD is already live on Ethereum’s main network and also on Linea, which is MetaMask’s own layer-2 network. Inside the MetaMask wallet, users can swap, send, hold, or transfer it to others across different networks. That makes it pretty versatile from the start. There are also plans to connect mUSD to the MetaMask Card, which would allow people to spend it at any place that accepts Mastercard. That feature is expected to go live later this year. DISCOVER: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 The Numbers and What MetaMask Aims For Right now, the total amount of mUSD in circulation is around 18 million dollars. It’s still early days, but MetaMask is clearly aiming to make mUSD the go-to dollar inside its wallet and related products. The timing lines up with a bigger trend in the market where more companies are rolling out their own stablecoins. Alongside giants like USDT and USDC, there are also new entrants like PayPal’s PYUSD and other bank-issued tokens trying to grab attention. ethereumPriceMarket CapETH$541.84B24h7d1y What Could Hold It Back Even with strong backing and partnerships in place, mUSD still has a lot to prove. For one, it needs enough liquidity outside of MetaMask’s own environment. Without that, users might run into trouble when trying to trade or convert their mUSD. Another key area is trust. People will want to see clear audits and reserve reports. If MetaMask can consistently prove that mUSD is fully backed and redeemable, that will help build long-term confidence. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 A Busy Field With More Players Joining Stablecoins are everywhere now. They’ve become a core part of crypto trading, payments, and even savings. MetaMask is stepping into a space that’s already packed with options, and many of them have been around for years. But by launching its own token that’s tied directly to its wallet, MetaMask is hoping to offer something more seamless for its users. Whether that’s enough to stand out remains to be seen. Final Thoughts If mUSD catches on, it could change the way people use stablecoins inside crypto wallets. MetaMask already has millions of users, and giving them a native dollar that works across chains could be a big move. But adoption takes time, and the real test will be how useful mUSD becomes outside the MetaMask bubble. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways MetaMask has launched mUSD, its own dollar-pegged stablecoin, which is already live on Ethereum and Linea. mUSD is backed by cash and short-term US Treasuries, with Bridge and M0 handling the issuance and cross-chain tech. The stablecoin is fully built into MetaMask, letting users swap, bridge, and spend mUSD directly inside the wallet. MetaMask says mUSD meets regulatory standards and is designed for transparency, with a focus on trust and safe backing. Adoption will be key as MetaMask enters a competitive stablecoin market dominated by USDT and USDC. The post MetaMask Launches mUSD: A Wallet-Native Stablecoin appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
Binance Nears Deal With DOJ to Remove Outside Monitor From $4.3B Settlement
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Binance is in talks with the US Department of Justice to remove the independent monitor that was assigned after the company’s massive $4.3 billion settlement last year. The monitor’s job was to keep an eye on whether Binance was fixing the compliance issues that got it into trouble in the first place. These discussions are still underway, but the two sides appear to be moving closer to an agreement. Why the Monitor Was Put in Place The monitor wasn’t just there for show. It was installed to oversee Binance’s operations from the outside and make sure the company was actually improving its internal systems. Regulators wanted assurance that Binance was cleaning up its handling of customer verification, suspicious transactions, and general oversight. Without the monitor, they would’ve had to rely mostly on Binance’s own reporting, which wasn’t going to cut it after a fine that large. What’s Behind the Push to Remove It There’s been a shift in how the DOJ approaches these cases. Instead of keeping monitors in place for years, the focus is starting to lean toward internal accountability and more flexible enforcement tools. Binance, for its part, has reportedly made real progress since the settlement. It has expanded its compliance team, revamped internal systems, and taken steps to align more closely with regulatory expectations. All of this seems to have opened the door for a possible change in oversight. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in September2025 What It Could Mean for Binance If the DOJ agrees to remove the monitor, Binance probably won’t walk away without strings attached. There would likely still be strict reporting requirements and ongoing reviews, just not from a third-party watchdog. That could ease some operational pressure, but it also raises the stakes. Without the extra layer of outside eyes, the company will need to prove that it can maintain high standards on its own. Trust takes time to rebuild, and any misstep would be under the spotlight. bnbPriceMarket CapBNB$142.51B24h7d1y Where the Talks Stand Nothing is finalized yet, and the DOJ hasn’t confirmed whether the monitor will be removed. This condition was a key part of the original agreement, so adjusting it isn’t a small move. There’s also a second monitor involved, tied to a separate agreement with the Treasury Department, and that one remains in place for now. Even if the DOJ backs off, Binance won’t be free of oversight entirely. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 Why It Matters Beyond Binance This could set an example for how other high-profile crypto enforcement cases are handled. If Binance gets the monitor removed, it might encourage other firms to push for similar treatment if they can show meaningful improvements. At the same time, it raises questions about how much oversight is enough and who decides when it’s time to scale it back. What to Watch Next The outcome of these discussions will shape Binance’s next chapter. If the DOJ decides to step back, it will likely come with new expectations and internal benchmarks. The real test will be how well Binance holds itself accountable without someone else looking over its shoulder. Regulators and the public will be watching closely. DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways Binance is in talks with the DOJ to remove the independent monitor assigned after its $4.3 billion settlement. The monitor was put in place to oversee compliance fixes tied to customer checks, suspicious activity, and internal controls. Binance has reportedly improved its systems and grown its compliance team, opening the door for a change in oversight. If the DOJ agrees to remove the monitor, Binance would still face strict internal reporting and reviews without third-party supervision. The outcome could shape how regulators approach other crypto cases, with wider implications for future enforcement strategies. The post Binance Nears Deal With DOJ to Remove Outside Monitor From $4.3B Settlement appeared first on 99Bitcoins. -
Ethereum’s Pullback Complete? ETH Set Eyes On 77% Breakout Run
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Ethereum has shown signs of strength after completing a healthy pullback. Having met and retested its $4,811 target, ETH is now holding firm, suggesting the correction phase may be over. If buyers regain control, the path could open for a powerful rally in the near term. Ethereum Pulls Back, But Bullish Signals Confirm Strength Javon Marks, in his most recent update, emphasized that ETH reached the $4,811.71 target before entering a pullback phase. Despite the temporary dip, bullish signals have re-emerged, indicating that ETH has regained strength and could soon retest this important level. He noted that surpassing the $4,811.71 zone would mark a decisive step forward for Ethereum. A confirmed breakout above this level could act as a catalyst, unlocking fresh buying pressure and signaling a continuation of the broader bullish trend. According to MARKS analysis, the bigger picture remains highly promising, as a sustained rally above this target could drive ETH toward $8,557.68, an impressive +77% move. Such a development would not only reinforce Ethereum’s dominance in the market but also underscore its ability to outperform as investor sentiment strengthens. Trendline Support Holds Firm, Strengthening Bullish Case According to Crypto King in a recent post, ETH looks to be preparing for its next decisive move in the market. After a period of consolidation, the price action has continued to show resilience, refusing to break down despite fluctuations across the broader crypto space. This behavior highlights the underlying strength of ETH and suggests that buyers are quietly accumulating while defending critical levels. The analyst emphasized that ETH is firmly holding its ascending trendline, which has served as a strong backbone of support during recent pullbacks. Each time the price has tested this line, it has attracted renewed momentum, underscoring the importance of the trendline as a technical foundation. Now that the latest retest appears to be complete, Ethereum seems to be shifting toward another potential upside move. The structure of higher lows remains intact, showing that momentum is gradually building and buyers are preparing for a possible breakout attempt. If this bullish pressure continues, ETH could soon reclaim higher levels and aim for fresh targets in the coming sessions. Crypto King further noted that for traders or investors looking to position themselves for the next rally, this could be the ideal time to act. Should Ethereum follow through with a strong rally, the current price zone might be remembered as a key accumulation point ahead of its next major advance. -
EnergyX to acquire Daytona Lithium, expanding Arkansas resource base
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
Pantera Lithium (ASX: PFE) said on Tuesday that shareholders overwhelmingly voted in favour of the proposed sale of its subsidiary Daytona Lithium Pty Ltd to Energy Exploration Technologies (EnergyX). Daytona Lithium indirectly owns mineral rights in southwest Arkansas, and EnergyX is progressing its project Lonestar Lithium in the Smackover with its near completed demonstration plant. This summer, EnergyX bought another 35,000 acres in the Smackover, an underground geological formation stretching from Florida to Texas filled with lithium-rich brine, in a $26 million cash and shares deal, upping the company’s stake to 47,500 acres. Analysts estimate the Smackover could contain more than 4 million metric tons of lithium, enough to power millions of electric vehicles and other electronic devices. This acquisition, EnergyX said in an email, strengthens its mineral resource base and accelerates its ability to secure lithium supply leveraging its LiTAS suite of direct lithium extraction and refining technologies in the US. The technology has raised over $110 million in total funding, backed by investors including General Motors, Eni and POSCO. The privately-held company’s recent moves also include securing a Chilean lithium resource comprising 90,000 acres of mining concessions in 2023, and in 2024 acquiring a 40,000-square-foot production facility in Austin, Texas. -
Expert Says ‘The Time Has Come’, What Could Drive The Next Explosive Altcoin Season
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
For the first time in 2025, the United States Federal Reserve is preparing to cut interest rates while the S&P 500 is trading at all-time highs, and according to The Kobeissi Letter, the time has come for an important shift in markets that could usher in the next crypto market bull run. As it stands, record stock valuations, resilient GDP growth, sticky inflation, and cracks are forming in the labor market, leaving the stage open for volatility in traditional markets that could spill over into the next explosive altcoin season. Fed Rate Cuts At Record Valuations Expectations are also high that the Fed will keep lowering rates at the next interest rate decision on Wednesday, September 17, 2025 and through the end of this year. According to a lengthy thread that was posted on the social media platform X, this could have long-term bullish effects on the crypto industry. The Federal Reserve usually cuts rates in the face of economic weakness and depressed equity markets, but this time is different. As noted by The Kobeissi Letter, valuation metrics tracked by Bloomberg show US stocks are more expensive than ever, having surpassed even the 1929 pre-Depression peak and the dot-com bubble. Furthermore, the S&P 500’s price-to-book ratio hit 5.3x in late August, its record level. Despite these extremes, policymakers are expected to cut by at least 25 basis points this week based on weakness in the labor market. History shows that when rate cuts occurred with stocks within 2% of all-time highs, as shown in 2019 and 2024, the S&P 500 delivered strong gains over the following year. This unusual mix could once again amplify capital flows into high-growth assets, including cryptocurrencies, in the last quarter of 2025. A Perfect Time For Altcoins Cutting rates into hot inflation adds liquidity fuel just as investors chase risk assets. That backdrop has always caused powerful surges for Gold, Bitcoin, and other major cryptocurrencies, as the return of these assets thrives when fiat returns come under question. As The Kobeissi Letter framed it, the time has come. The Fed’s decision to cut rates with stocks at record highs, amid a 3% GDP growth and hot inflation 110 bps above the Fed’s long-term target, could be the driver of the next altcoin season. Gold and Bitcoin have already been priced in this new era of liquidity, as both are now up by 450% and 105%, respectively, since 2023. The setup is even better for altcoins like Ethereum, XRP, Chainlink, and most especially cryptocurrencies involved in the growing AI niche. There could be more immediate-term volatility, but long-term asset owners will benefit the most from the rate cut. However, if the Federal Reserve opts for a slower pace of cuts than markets are currently pricing in, the disappointment could ripple through both equities and cryptocurrencies and cause short-term declines this week. -
Bessent Confirms: America Awaits Sanctions from Europe. Part 2
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
In addition to everything mentioned above, it's important to remember that tariffs are not beneficial for the European Union. If Europe imposes duties on India and China, retaliatory tariffs and sanctions will follow. In my opinion, such policies only escalate geopolitical tensions. In recent years, there's already been too much talk about a potential World War III—a scenario we'd all like to avoid. Regardless, the European economy would suffer just as the US economy suffered if Brussels were to implement such tariffs. The issue of Slovakia and Hungary's oil purchases is especially unclear; both countries claim they have no alternative to Russian oil and are unwilling to pay higher prices from other suppliers due to budget constraints. Moreover, for the EU to decide on tariffs, all 27 member states have to vote in favor. Do you think Hungary or Slovakia would support such tariffs? It's likely that other countries might also block this kind of initiative. That's why, in my view, the "Trump plan" to pressure Moscow through third countries is doomed to fail. And Washington is not ready to "pull chestnuts out of the fire" alone. Scott Bessent stated this week that without the Europeans, America will not introduce tariffs. Chinese officials made it clear that oil purchases are a sovereign matter for each country, and in response to any new tariffs from Washington, Beijing will respond with fresh tariffs of its own. Bessent also said, "If Europe imposed duties on importers of Russian oil and gas, the war in Ukraine would end within 2–3 months." Taking all this into account, I suggest that the global trade war will only intensify, and Washington is already trying to forge a coalition against the East. If that's the case, the dollar will remain under market pressure for a long time to come. Recall that markets always interpret new tariffs in the same way—by identifying their source. The source sits in the White House. Therefore, demand for the US dollar will continue to decline. Wave Pattern for EUR/USD:Based on my analysis, EUR/USD continues to build a rising section of the trend. The wave structure remains heavily influenced by the news background, particularly Trump's decisions and the new Administration's domestic and foreign policies. The targets for this trend could reach the 1.25 area. The news background remains unchanged; therefore, I continue to view 1.1875 (which corresponds to the 161.8% Fibonacci retracement) and above as the first upside targets. Wave Pattern for GBP/USD: The GBP/USD wave structure remains unchanged. We're dealing with a bullish, impulsive trend leg. Under Donald Trump, markets could face many more shocks and reversals, possibly affecting the wave pattern, but for now, the core scenario is intact, and Trump's policy is consistent. The upside target for this trend leg lies around the 261.8% Fibonacci extension. I expect further price increases as part of wave 3 in 5, with a target of 1.4017. My Key Analysis Principles:Wave structures should be simple and clear; complex patterns are tough to trade and invite frequent changes.If you're not confident in what's happening in the market, it's better to stay out.You can never have 100% certainty in direction. Always use protective Stop Loss orders.Elliott wave analysis can be combined with other types of analysis and trading strategies.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
Bessent Confirms: America Awaits Sanctions from Europe
um tópico no fórum postou Redator Radar do Mercado
On Monday, I wrote that America has shown its willingness to introduce new tariffs on imports from China and the European Union because these countries are buying oil and other energy resources from Russia—something the White House believes is prolonging the conflict in Ukraine. However, both Trump and Treasury Secretary Bessent have also made it clear that they are unwilling to proceed with new tariffs without Europe's participation. On one hand, Washington's position is logical. What's the point of sanctioning India and China if the European Union keeps buying oil from Russia? First, Europe must completely stop buying Russian oil and gas, and only then can tariffs be introduced, with the aim of stopping the war. At least, that's how it should work in theory. In practice, the Kremlin has repeatedly stated that no new sanctions or tariffs will make it abandon its goals. Personally, I doubt India and China will stop buying from Russia. Russia is a close neighbor to both with vast natural resources—why should Beijing and New Delhi search the world for what's already next door, paying higher prices due to more complicated logistics? As always, it will come down to money. If Europe and America introduce joint duties against India and China, the main consideration will be the balance sheet. If the loss from new tariffs outweighs the extra logistics costs of getting oil and gas elsewhere, then both countries might indeed agree to stop buying from Russia. But again, there are many weak links in this "genius plan." When Trump started the trade war, many countries became "hubs" for imports to the US. How does that work? If Chinese goods face tariffs when entering the US, consider importing them through third countries labeled as non-Chinese origin. There are countless ways to circumvent sanctions. It's now known that China and Russia could maintain their trade with good old-fashioned barter. Wave Pattern for EUR/USD:Based on my analysis, EUR/USD continues to build a rising section of the trend. The wave structure remains heavily influenced by the news background, particularly Trump's decisions and the new Administration's domestic and foreign policies. The targets for this trend could reach the 1.25 area. The news background remains unchanged; therefore, I continue to view 1.1875 (which corresponds to the 161.8% Fibonacci retracement) and above as the first upside targets. Wave Pattern for GBP/USD: The GBP/USD wave structure remains unchanged. We're dealing with a bullish, impulsive trend leg. Under Donald Trump, markets could face many more shocks and reversals, possibly affecting the wave pattern, but for now, the core scenario is intact, and Trump's policy is consistent. The upside target for this trend leg lies around the 261.8% Fibonacci extension. I expect further price increases as part of wave 3 in 5, with a target of 1.4017. My Key Analysis Principles:Wave structures should be simple and clear; complex patterns are tough to trade and invite frequent changes.If you're not confident in what's happening in the market, it's better to stay out.You can never have 100% certainty in direction. Always use protective Stop Loss orders.Elliott wave analysis can be combined with other types of analysis and trading strategies.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com -
What's meant to happen will happen. EUR/USD has managed to revive its uptrend and is now heading toward 1.20. That's precisely where Goldman Sachs now sees the main currency pair. The bank has raised its 3-month forecast from 1.17 to 1.20, its 6-month forecast from 1.20 to 1.22, and projects that in 12 months, one euro will be worth $1.25. According to the bank, the euro is now leading the first stage of US dollar weakening. Later, the lead will pass to the Japanese yen and Chinese yuan. The foundation for the EUR/USD rally lies in divergences in economic growth and monetary policy. The cooling US labor market signals GDP deceleration. Meanwhile, increased spending on defense and infrastructure in the Eurozone and Germany will accelerate GDP growth in the currency bloc. And let's not forget Spain, which, thanks to migrants and tourism, is forecast by the government to grow by 2.7% in 2025. That's nearly identical to the Bank of Spain's estimate of 2.6%—more than twice the expected growth rate for the eurozone as a whole. Economic Dynamics in Spain and the Eurozone If the currency bloc provides positive surprises, the ECB may start considering an overnight rate hike next year, setting up further monetary policy divergence. According to futures markets, the Fed is expected to cut the federal funds rate by 150 basis points over the next 12 months. The attractiveness of US Treasuries will continue to decrease—they are already losing to their European and Asian counterparts, which means capital could flow out of North America. Bond Investment Efficiency in Dollar Equivalent In practice, if there is a capital outflow, it's not yet major. Foreign investors are still buying US securities—especially stocks, given the S&P 500's record highs. At the same time, many are hedging currency risks by selling the US dollar. This keeps the greenback under constant pressure, along with the fundamental divergences in growth and monetary policy. Trust in the "greenback" is also being undermined by Donald Trump's attacks on the Fed—criticizing Jerome Powell, attempting to fire Lisa Cook, and appointing Stephen Miran to the FOMC, all of which signal that the fight is only beginning. As a result, a sharp split within the central bank is expected already in September. Some members will vote for a 25 bp cut, some for 50 bp, and some may want to keep things unchanged. However, if there are more than three aggressive doves, the US dollar's decline could accelerate. Technical view: On the daily chart, EUR/USD has broken out of a consolidation cage and has hit the first of two previously set targets at 1.184 and 1.195. The euro has managed to restore its uptrend, with new targets now coming into view—alongside 1.195, there's 1.220. In this environment, it's sensible to stick with the previous strategy: buy on pullbacks or on the breakout of resistances. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
-
The UK labor market report came out in line with expectations, and in some aspects even exceeded forecasts. Employment increased, the number of jobless claims decreased—an indirect sign of economic revival—and wage growth remains strong, which supports inflation expectations. On Wednesday, the August inflation report will be published. After inflation rose to 3.8% y/y in July, the likelihood of the Bank of England continuing to cut rates has dropped significantly, and August is unlikely to change the bigger picture. Core inflation is expected to decrease from 3.8% to 3.6% y/y, while headline inflation is expected to rise to 3.9%, which, of course, does nothing to alleviate price pressures. Confidence in continued moderate economic recovery is backed up by robust PMI data, especially in the services sector, while manufacturing remains relatively weak. The Bank of England will hold its next monetary policy meeting on Thursday. The policy rate is expected to be maintained at 4.0%, with only two cuts forecast through the end of 2026. In order for rate cuts to begin, there needs to be signs of disinflationary pressure, and since there are none, the rhetoric may even turn more hawkish. The market still sees a high chance of a cut in November, but for that to happen, there must be clear signs of falling inflation, which makes the report highly significant for the pound. Speculative positioning on the pound has hardly changed over the reporting week—the net short position stands at -$2.8B, but the estimated fair value is climbing higher, despite this bearish positioning. GBP/USD has breached the 1.3580/95 resistance, as we expected last week, and is trying to build on this success, moving toward 1.3787. There are mainly two reasons for this: as usual, concerns about dollar weakness and the prospect of the Fed cutting rates faster than anticipated this summer, as well as expectations for a more hawkish Bank of England, since UK inflationary pressure is not abating. If things develop according to market expectations, the likely scenario is continued GBP/USD growth towards 1.3787. The 1.3580/95 area has turned into support, which now looks quite solid. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com